Thanks for all the help in building my first K prop model! As this season has gone on I've been having some trouble finding any Over projections. I’ve seen you mention reworking some of the formulas in an older video, and I noticed you’ve added a 'Projected Ks w/deviation' column in your newer videos-I'd love to learn more about that. Thanks again for all the great content!
@joshmorgan22817 күн бұрын
How similar is this to Google sheets
@alvinthecat842624 күн бұрын
Nice work, thanks for sharing.
@w3351825 күн бұрын
Cease risky or free ?
@bankruptingbooks25 күн бұрын
Wouldn’t say it’s free, but 8.5 seems like a lot against the Dodgers lineup so I like it
@alvinthecat842626 күн бұрын
Flaherty most likely won't start, too many trade rumors and the like. Thanks for posting these vids.
@bankruptingbooks26 күн бұрын
Was hoping Flaherty would start the game and get pulled early so the under would hit, but definitely get why he isn’t throwing
@w3351826 күн бұрын
First like, free prop of the day will be ?
@bankruptingbooks26 күн бұрын
Sorry got wrapped up at work, would’ve been Flaherty but he isn’t throwing today
@alvinthecat842627 күн бұрын
did u ever try to calc a percentage chance of success and then compare to the odds offered?
@bankruptingbooks27 күн бұрын
That's actually on my list of things to take a look at for the offseason. It's hard to make changes to the model throughout the season because of the amount of volume throughout the season.
@laronferguson393427 күн бұрын
Any Favorite Plays?
@bankruptingbooks27 күн бұрын
Not one specific play, but I have confidence in all four of the plays for today
@w3351828 күн бұрын
Favorite play of the day? ❤
@bankruptingbooks27 күн бұрын
I don't have a favorite out of these four. I have the same confidence level in all of them
@user-cu1xh3iu7x29 күн бұрын
👍
@alvinthecat8426Ай бұрын
Any positive day is a good day.
@bankruptingbooksАй бұрын
Facts
@w33518Ай бұрын
Y not hunter brown bro?
@bankruptingbooksАй бұрын
Didn’t fit the requirement to qualify as a play
@w33518Ай бұрын
How accurate are this data man, I got bamboozled yesterday heavy
@bankruptingbooksАй бұрын
It’s not perfect by any means but the model gives a good idea of where pitchers typically finish up with strikeouts
@thelightbearer459Ай бұрын
My kinda of show, Thanks 🙏🏿 💰
@KingpinTaylorАй бұрын
🔥🔥🔥
@fab5derf1Ай бұрын
Strikeout O/U @Freddy5225
@alvinthecat8426Ай бұрын
do you look at alternate lines?
@bankruptingbooksАй бұрын
I haven't looked into alternate lines much, but definitely could be a way to take advantage of the big discrepancies and get better odds
@RackzzzzMusicАй бұрын
I’m bout to hit u think famber Valdez 17.5 out and geogre kirby under
@alvinthecat8426Ай бұрын
positive win % - negative unit % 😢 hate when that happens
@bankruptingbooksАй бұрын
Yeah it sucks, the odds for the strikeout props never seem favorable
@Shmoney_picksАй бұрын
Just trailed 8 of them on sleeper
@KingpinTaylorАй бұрын
Favorite under?
@bankruptingbooksАй бұрын
My bad, got wrapped up in some things today and missed your comment
@KingpinTaylorАй бұрын
Nelson hurt my feelings yesterday haha bounce back today 😤
@tarzankgАй бұрын
Stumbled across you today. I thought okay I'll give this awful sunglasses a shot. Rhyne convinced me your model is as bad as those shades. Dont quit your day job.
@bankruptingbooksАй бұрын
Thanks for the feedback
@raulmontalvoiiiАй бұрын
What is the excel you’re using?
@bankruptingbooksАй бұрын
I built a strikeout model in excel that predicts the number of strikeouts that a starting pitcher will have on any given day
@raulmontalvoiiiАй бұрын
@@bankruptingbooks impressive. Was it difficult to create?
@bankruptingbooksАй бұрын
Took a lot of time and trial and error, I’ve been working on it for a few years so it was a bit difficult at first
@raulmontalvoiiiАй бұрын
@@bankruptingbooks do you sell copies?
@KingpinTaylorАй бұрын
Let’s gooo! One of my fav underrated channels on KZbin
@bankruptingbooksАй бұрын
Appreciate it!
@KingpinTaylorАй бұрын
You used to say your favs in your vids bro. Especially with this many fire plays. Mind sharing your top 2 confident ones?
@bankruptingbooksАй бұрын
Pepiot under and Irvin under would be my top two for today
@KingpinTaylorАй бұрын
@@bankruptingbooks let’s gooooo means a lot
@w33518Ай бұрын
First like first view❤ Ohtani and oneil Cruz for 2 base That can hit right ✅️?
@bankruptingbooksАй бұрын
Sorry just saw this, but I don’t mess around with batting props much because the uncertainty of who the hitters will face out of the bullpen
@w33518Ай бұрын
@bankruptingbooks thank you for you kind reply brother, can you simply the term bullpen, still unable to understand it
@bankruptingbooksАй бұрын
The bullpen is the pitchers that come into the game after the guy that starts the game
@fab5derf1Ай бұрын
Strikeout props @Freddy5225
@w33518Ай бұрын
Top batting props for the day boss? Thank you
@bankruptingbooksАй бұрын
Not super confident in batting props, but looks like we’re off to a good start to today’s card!
@w33518Ай бұрын
Top 3 safest for today if u had to pick?
@bankruptingbooksАй бұрын
Wesneski/Crawford/Keuchel
@alvinthecat8426Ай бұрын
Like your format. Straight to the point. Thanks.
@w33518Ай бұрын
Top 3 safest?
@bankruptingbooksАй бұрын
I’d go with Bassitt, Irvin, and Pallante
@alanwiley1349Ай бұрын
Great to have you back! Lets win
@ajay1985lc3 ай бұрын
Missing your vids
@erikruete9823 ай бұрын
Where are you bro? Hope everything is good with you! We miss your videos
@erikruete9823 ай бұрын
Missing your videos. Loved tailing your picks.
@CristianR1vera3 ай бұрын
missing your videos bro, good content
@bankruptingbooks3 ай бұрын
Been a bit under the weather the last few days, but vids should be back tomorrow morning
@erikruete9823 ай бұрын
Appreciate the daily videos and content. Keep up the great work!!
@alanwiley13493 ай бұрын
Hit 3 leg on prize picks!
@RackzzzzMusic3 ай бұрын
🔥🔥
@erikruete9823 ай бұрын
Let’s keep rolling! Rough couple days over the weekend but hey I knew you would bounce back. I parleyed a few of yesterdays with total home run picks and hit. Let’s Goo!!! Th
@lukegragg26973 ай бұрын
Hey BankruptingBook. Just found your strikeout pro videos and love them. I’m also trying to build a strike out model and would love to use your as a good foundation. Is there a link to this spreadsheet just to help with formulas? If so, may I use it and I would be very grateful. Thank you
@lukegragg26973 ай бұрын
And also what would you do if the pitcher is below average k/9
@bankruptingbooks3 ай бұрын
I don't currently have a link to my model, but it could be something that I can look into. Also, the K/9 is one of the factors in the formulas, so if the pitcher is below average then they would likely have lower projections
@alvinthecat84263 ай бұрын
who do u get the lines from?
@bankruptingbooks3 ай бұрын
I use multiple different sports books to get the best lines. Mainly FanDuel, DraftKings, ESPN Bet, and Fanatics
@erikruete9823 ай бұрын
Let the swing begin!! Let’s gooooo!!
@erikruete9823 ай бұрын
Let’s bounce back today!!
@KingpinTaylor3 ай бұрын
Yesterday hurt smh especially on favorite plays 😢
@bankruptingbooks3 ай бұрын
Yeah, those days are going to happen. Just need more winning days than losing days
@erikruete9823 ай бұрын
Yesterday was rough! But hey can’t always have winning days. Today we’re going 6-3
@KingpinTaylor3 ай бұрын
Dang today was rough too and I only played the favorites. Wow
@erikruete9823 ай бұрын
@@KingpinTaylorI’m still riding with him. His system is one of the best and most accurate.
@KingpinTaylor3 ай бұрын
Mannn I appreciate you also calling out your top 3!
@chrisheld6843 ай бұрын
Hey!! All y'all people that watch his video will you at least hit the "Like" button...I mean for fucks sake ppl, it ain't that hard.
@chrisheld6843 ай бұрын
Damn. Put in an 8-leg last night and hit all but Dylan Cease...just devastating
@bankruptingbooks3 ай бұрын
Dang, we got burned on a couple of the late games last night. Could’ve been a really good day