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@TrentonMidby 8 күн бұрын
Thanks for all the help in building my first K prop model! As this season has gone on I've been having some trouble finding any Over projections. I’ve seen you mention reworking some of the formulas in an older video, and I noticed you’ve added a 'Projected Ks w/deviation' column in your newer videos-I'd love to learn more about that. Thanks again for all the great content!
@joshmorgan228 17 күн бұрын
How similar is this to Google sheets
@alvinthecat8426 24 күн бұрын
Nice work, thanks for sharing.
@w33518 25 күн бұрын
Cease risky or free ?
@bankruptingbooks 25 күн бұрын
Wouldn’t say it’s free, but 8.5 seems like a lot against the Dodgers lineup so I like it
@alvinthecat8426 26 күн бұрын
Flaherty most likely won't start, too many trade rumors and the like. Thanks for posting these vids.
@bankruptingbooks 26 күн бұрын
Was hoping Flaherty would start the game and get pulled early so the under would hit, but definitely get why he isn’t throwing
@w33518 26 күн бұрын
First like, free prop of the day will be ?
@bankruptingbooks 26 күн бұрын
Sorry got wrapped up at work, would’ve been Flaherty but he isn’t throwing today
@alvinthecat8426 27 күн бұрын
did u ever try to calc a percentage chance of success and then compare to the odds offered?
@bankruptingbooks 27 күн бұрын
That's actually on my list of things to take a look at for the offseason. It's hard to make changes to the model throughout the season because of the amount of volume throughout the season.
@laronferguson3934 27 күн бұрын
Any Favorite Plays?
@bankruptingbooks 27 күн бұрын
Not one specific play, but I have confidence in all four of the plays for today
@w33518 28 күн бұрын
Favorite play of the day? ❤
@bankruptingbooks 27 күн бұрын
I don't have a favorite out of these four. I have the same confidence level in all of them
@user-cu1xh3iu7x 29 күн бұрын
👍
@alvinthecat8426 Ай бұрын
Any positive day is a good day.
@bankruptingbooks Ай бұрын
Facts
@w33518 Ай бұрын
Y not hunter brown bro?
@bankruptingbooks Ай бұрын
Didn’t fit the requirement to qualify as a play
@w33518 Ай бұрын
How accurate are this data man, I got bamboozled yesterday heavy
@bankruptingbooks Ай бұрын
It’s not perfect by any means but the model gives a good idea of where pitchers typically finish up with strikeouts
@thelightbearer459 Ай бұрын
My kinda of show, Thanks 🙏🏿 💰
@KingpinTaylor Ай бұрын
🔥🔥🔥
@fab5derf1 Ай бұрын
Strikeout O/U @Freddy5225
@alvinthecat8426 Ай бұрын
do you look at alternate lines?
@bankruptingbooks Ай бұрын
I haven't looked into alternate lines much, but definitely could be a way to take advantage of the big discrepancies and get better odds
@RackzzzzMusic Ай бұрын
I’m bout to hit u think famber Valdez 17.5 out and geogre kirby under
@alvinthecat8426 Ай бұрын
positive win % - negative unit % 😢 hate when that happens
@bankruptingbooks Ай бұрын
Yeah it sucks, the odds for the strikeout props never seem favorable
@Shmoney_picks Ай бұрын
Just trailed 8 of them on sleeper
@KingpinTaylor Ай бұрын
Favorite under?
@bankruptingbooks Ай бұрын
My bad, got wrapped up in some things today and missed your comment
@KingpinTaylor Ай бұрын
Nelson hurt my feelings yesterday haha bounce back today 😤
@tarzankg Ай бұрын
Stumbled across you today. I thought okay I'll give this awful sunglasses a shot. Rhyne convinced me your model is as bad as those shades. Dont quit your day job.
@bankruptingbooks Ай бұрын
Thanks for the feedback
@raulmontalvoiii Ай бұрын
What is the excel you’re using?
@bankruptingbooks Ай бұрын
I built a strikeout model in excel that predicts the number of strikeouts that a starting pitcher will have on any given day
@raulmontalvoiii Ай бұрын
@@bankruptingbooks impressive. Was it difficult to create?
@bankruptingbooks Ай бұрын
Took a lot of time and trial and error, I’ve been working on it for a few years so it was a bit difficult at first
@raulmontalvoiii Ай бұрын
@@bankruptingbooks do you sell copies?
@KingpinTaylor Ай бұрын
Let’s gooo! One of my fav underrated channels on KZbin
@bankruptingbooks Ай бұрын
Appreciate it!
@KingpinTaylor Ай бұрын
You used to say your favs in your vids bro. Especially with this many fire plays. Mind sharing your top 2 confident ones?
@bankruptingbooks Ай бұрын
Pepiot under and Irvin under would be my top two for today
@KingpinTaylor Ай бұрын
@@bankruptingbooks let’s gooooo means a lot
@w33518 Ай бұрын
First like first view❤ Ohtani and oneil Cruz for 2 base That can hit right ✅️?
@bankruptingbooks Ай бұрын
Sorry just saw this, but I don’t mess around with batting props much because the uncertainty of who the hitters will face out of the bullpen
@w33518 Ай бұрын
@bankruptingbooks thank you for you kind reply brother, can you simply the term bullpen, still unable to understand it
@bankruptingbooks Ай бұрын
The bullpen is the pitchers that come into the game after the guy that starts the game
@fab5derf1 Ай бұрын
Strikeout props @Freddy5225
@w33518 Ай бұрын
Top batting props for the day boss? Thank you
@bankruptingbooks Ай бұрын
Not super confident in batting props, but looks like we’re off to a good start to today’s card!
@w33518 Ай бұрын
Top 3 safest for today if u had to pick?
@bankruptingbooks Ай бұрын
Wesneski/Crawford/Keuchel
@alvinthecat8426 Ай бұрын
Like your format. Straight to the point. Thanks.
@w33518 Ай бұрын
Top 3 safest?
@bankruptingbooks Ай бұрын
I’d go with Bassitt, Irvin, and Pallante
@alanwiley1349 Ай бұрын
Great to have you back! Lets win
@ajay1985lc 3 ай бұрын
Missing your vids
@erikruete982 3 ай бұрын
Where are you bro? Hope everything is good with you! We miss your videos
@erikruete982 3 ай бұрын
Missing your videos. Loved tailing your picks.
@CristianR1vera 3 ай бұрын
missing your videos bro, good content
@bankruptingbooks 3 ай бұрын
Been a bit under the weather the last few days, but vids should be back tomorrow morning
@erikruete982 3 ай бұрын
Appreciate the daily videos and content. Keep up the great work!!
@alanwiley1349 3 ай бұрын
Hit 3 leg on prize picks!
@RackzzzzMusic 3 ай бұрын
🔥🔥
@erikruete982 3 ай бұрын
Let’s keep rolling! Rough couple days over the weekend but hey I knew you would bounce back. I parleyed a few of yesterdays with total home run picks and hit. Let’s Goo!!! Th
@lukegragg2697 3 ай бұрын
Hey BankruptingBook. Just found your strikeout pro videos and love them. I’m also trying to build a strike out model and would love to use your as a good foundation. Is there a link to this spreadsheet just to help with formulas? If so, may I use it and I would be very grateful. Thank you
@lukegragg2697 3 ай бұрын
And also what would you do if the pitcher is below average k/9
@bankruptingbooks 3 ай бұрын
I don't currently have a link to my model, but it could be something that I can look into. Also, the K/9 is one of the factors in the formulas, so if the pitcher is below average then they would likely have lower projections
@alvinthecat8426 3 ай бұрын
who do u get the lines from?
@bankruptingbooks 3 ай бұрын
I use multiple different sports books to get the best lines. Mainly FanDuel, DraftKings, ESPN Bet, and Fanatics
@erikruete982 3 ай бұрын
Let the swing begin!! Let’s gooooo!!
@erikruete982 3 ай бұрын
Let’s bounce back today!!
@KingpinTaylor 3 ай бұрын
Yesterday hurt smh especially on favorite plays 😢
@bankruptingbooks 3 ай бұрын
Yeah, those days are going to happen. Just need more winning days than losing days
@erikruete982 3 ай бұрын
Yesterday was rough! But hey can’t always have winning days. Today we’re going 6-3
@KingpinTaylor 3 ай бұрын
Dang today was rough too and I only played the favorites. Wow
@erikruete982 3 ай бұрын
@@KingpinTaylorI’m still riding with him. His system is one of the best and most accurate.
@KingpinTaylor 3 ай бұрын
Mannn I appreciate you also calling out your top 3!
@chrisheld684 3 ай бұрын
Hey!! All y'all people that watch his video will you at least hit the "Like" button...I mean for fucks sake ppl, it ain't that hard.
@chrisheld684 3 ай бұрын
Damn. Put in an 8-leg last night and hit all but Dylan Cease...just devastating
@bankruptingbooks 3 ай бұрын
Dang, we got burned on a couple of the late games last night. Could’ve been a really good day