Taiwan has never been part of People's Republic of China (PRC), not a single day. I don't know what Beijing based on to claim Taiwan its territory.

Very comprehensively presented...To keep India intact as a country was a tough challenge with 80% illiteracy ,famine like condition and religious intolerance...As a leader Nehru did his best to modernize the country.

Taiwan is a country formed by former Japanese territories of Formosa, Pescadores and Spratley's when Japan renounced these islands. Prior to that, western half of Formosa was incorporated into the Manchu Empire between 1885 and 1895. The Chinese contingents of the Allied Forces were sent to set up a care taker administration on the order of General MacArthur but were not given the country's sovereignty. So Taiwan is sovereign albeit under ROC administration.

Bone spurs Trump and his idiotic followers are so scared of war that China will take advantage of this invade Taiwan because they know Trump and his followers will not want war over Taiwan. Don't forget that in 2016 Russian troops invaded the Ukrainian Donbas on Trump's watch. Trump sat by and did nothing.

Have you looked at China's current 5-year and 15-year plans?

Did Pettis get roughed up by CCP goons? Blink if you need help!

The best way would be to force the labor laws which will create more jobs and sustain consumption.

no way he can sell this to Chinese

You have to be kidding yourself if you think Putin will ever abide by any "deal". The proof is a very long history of doing exactly the opposite. Mr. Trump is someone who is completely transactional, he has to get something for himself. The Ukrainians won't agree to any deal unless there's a fully transparent military and civil support that ensures Russia will never again attack. Simply put, Putin wants a break so he can continue unabated. There is NO deal with Russia they will abide by, and western countries have failed to enforce the previous one.

Thank you so much for this interesting talk and sharing your view!

China lack aggregated demand

same as here.

Michael has a French father and an American mother a Western product to spy on China

Same problem in the US going forward: Trump wants to bring manufacturing back to the US, so needs to shift wealth to manufacturing from one of the two remaining blocks of wealth, government or house holds. Obviously he would prefer that the Democrat's base (government) suffers that loss. The Democrats would prefer that Trump's base (house holds) suffer that burden.

Those Chinese workers who don't have permission to work where the jobs are remind me a bit too much of the US illegal alien problem. They contribute to the social security fund, yet can't receive benefits, send their wages home so don't contribute to inflation, and distort the housing supply, as they need shelter only temporarily. Opening up to China was supposed to make them more like us. Instead it made us more like them.

Research topic: PR Chinese often complain about crimes under cameras going unsolved, including assaults. And then if solved prefer to resolve by payment contracts at police stations rather than in courts (this is an old practice). My hypothesis is that Chinese police are lazy, and work under the incentive schemes of the old CCP, haven’t reformed, and lack empathy for victims (who aren’t family members). There may be a deeper story about camera access. Stories about lazy cops abound and the fix is usually just more rules and work for cops which they find ways to avoid. Bribing police was common in the 1990s, but I don’t know the latest on the practice. Anyone?

40:15 You have to encrypt recordings in progtess, do interviews on walks, for quick questions mutiple choice questions have vectored lists and do factor analysis (but requires larger sample). Mainland urban elites are happily a safe group rarely suffering repercussions, but also adept at vague responses. - Also did interviewees have cellphones on them?

40:15 You have to encrypt recordings in progtess, do interviews on walks, for quick questions mutiple choice questions have vectored lists and do factor analysis (but requires larger sample). Mainland urban elites are happily a safe group rarely suffering repercussions, but also adept at vague responses. - Also did interviewees have cellphones on them?

40:15 You have to encrypt recordings in progtess, do interviews on walks, for quick questions mutiple choice questions have vectored lists and do factor analysis (but requires larger sample). Mainland urban elites are happily a safe group rarely suffering repercussions, but also adept at vague responses.

Thanks you for providing this. I am not favorably inclined to the methods and what I see as a superficial approach. Chinese studies is hard. Talking about and separating out kinds of internet surveillance concerns such as pornography attitudes is difficult. However, these are scholarly and not personal attacks on character, effort, intelligence etc. And, I will surely be citing this work.

My beef with China is the trade imbalance. It needs to be balanced. Trump will work, with tariff to move those product out of China. Hopefully some back to the USA.

Ban CCP imports 🇨🇳🇨🇳🇨🇳

I understand Ariane took great lengths to protect her interviewees. What you don't ask her are these: 1. Did the Chinese authorities pressure her to provide them with detailed info about their interviewees? 2. Did the Chinese authorities question her in any way about the research project she conducted and her intentions? My suspicion is that the authorities have NO interest in either 1+2. They have more important things to do.

Very insightful on the macro economic side of the Chinese financial crisis. However, proof that western people have very limited understanding in Chinese political economics fabrics when it comes to the Hukou system. As long as China remains a highly centralised one party state, it won’t be abolished. The system can be traced back to Qin dynasty more than 2000 years ago when China was unified under one emperor for the first time. One can imagine how hard it is to abolish that if you know a little bit of Chinese history.

China and Japan are very different. Japan invested lot in manufacturing and when japanese bubble popped, japan exported its way out through china but china does not have any bigger china to do that. Also China cannot increase its money supply to get out of trouble because of the dollar peg. Mundell-Fleming Framework says if you have fixed exchange rate then you dont have monetary control. Thats why china stopped more real estate. its not because xi wanted it because they are wasting resource but because to continue real estate bubble, real estate credit must increase by 15%. thus given chinese real estate account for 30% of GDP, it will take 4.5% of credit. But if US credit growth is 4%, china can increase its credit growth only by 6% in order to maintain the dollar peg. Thus if real estate takes 4.5% of 6%, only 1.5% is available for rest. Thats why real estate was popped not because of Xi's voluntary three red lines

I am afraid this presentation is too academic for me. If you are looking at the Chinese political elite viewpoint, China is Socialist country whereas the western countries all mainly capitalists. From external economic securities these elites would enforce policies that protect the country from being exploited, e.g. NOT open the door too wide in order for the capitalist running dogs would come into the country to exploit the labour and capital resources in the country a good eg foreign investments in China must a component of transferring technologies to the country via local companies, etc. Internally there are millions of Chinese capitalists willing accumulate enormous amount of capital in order trying to influence the government like what is happening now in the US, and other issues. So the Chinese introduce polices attempting to discourage that, e.g. Jack Ma is an example. One can write a recitation from the angle I point out above.

maybe we should thinking more basically, just like the noble prize award point out-----focus on the system, party centered totalitarian system?

Crapitalism has failed. Commodifying everything is morally wrong. Blood(misery) for money is especially wrong.

Incredible historical and currently relevant insights into the world economy ! I am not so sure that the leaders of China and the major world powers will follow his advice.

You can just skip the speech of the third guy, who is wasting everyone’s time.

Today, Great Britain has been reduced to "Little Britain", so LB should not overrate itself as it is no longer seen as a big power, much less a superpower as seen from the lenses of China as well as most countries in Asia. It's an important country, but definitely not as powerful as it used to be. So, position yourself and what's good for your country, not become the lapdog of the U.S. Also, please refrain from using the western yardstick to view and just China, it has its own, based on its several thousand years of history of up and down throughout its history. And, for most of 2024 years to date, the dominance of the West in the last 200-300 years is an aberration as China, India to a certain degree were the largest economies of the world.

😂😂is this guy joke?

Wow! Truly insightful!

Hope yr shoulder recovers soon Prof!

Most of the directors of the East India Company were not English they were Scots, ie the Merchant Class as educated managers.

🌞🌍⏳🗺️🌚⚖️🛕💯%🧞‍♀️🗝️☯️👸🏼🪬🇨🇳🇹🇭❤️🍒🌷👆🏻🇪🇺🇷🇺🇩🇪🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🇨🇮🇵🇭🇺🇲🇬🇧🙇🏼‍♀️

So proud of you Srilata, my classmate and friend at TISS Mumbai

what can we learn about Mexicos ignorance? The country is still a third world country full of drugs murders and extreme poverty as well as corruption in every corner that country. Your "equality" means nothing for Mexico. She is incapable of solving Mexicos problems and is just another European colonist posing as a Mexican.

what can we learn about Mexicos ignorance? The country is still a third world country full of drugs and murders and extreme poverty as well as corruption in every corner that country. Your "equality" nonsense means nothing for Mexico. She is incapable of solving Mexicos problems and is just another European colonist posing as a Mexican.

philippines could learn from thiss

What a brilliant podcast! Thanks for this!

Stop killing Hindus in Bangladesh, Pakistan and USA

Change the sale of wet wipes to be only toilet wipes, which breakdown.

How can you seriously address the history of China-Britain relationship while sweeping imperialism under the carpet? Remember that Queen Victoria went to war to be able to sell drugs to China. Yet, it is Pablo Escobar who is portrayed as the greatest state-sponsored drug dealer ever. You've got to be a bit more honest in this conversation.

Way to go

I wish the sound quality was better is there another recording?

11:08 what is the name of this tower palace

"biggest opportunity", "nothing that negative about it". Does Helen have access to the news? Crop yield reductions, export bans, national grain stockpiling, 1300 heat deaths during Hajj, cat6 hurricanes, places uninsurable, + 2-3C climate, billions migrating. I'll have to find the full interview as this clip is mental.

It could have been so different if it were not for traitors bought off. The Khalsa had the EIC army at it's mercy. It could have been wiped out as an effective fighting force. How history would have changed.

This video is really fantastic