Пікірлер
@devonrd
@devonrd 5 күн бұрын
Agree
@MunchinYou-jy6km
@MunchinYou-jy6km 17 күн бұрын
I skipped the moment Eric said that he is a human being.
@kloskas
@kloskas Ай бұрын
Great talk, really exciting application! I find difficult to trust doubly robust and double ML solutions given the fundamental assumption of unconfoundedness, any mitigation measure for this?
@themowgli123
@themowgli123 Ай бұрын
ET James? Who are you guys talking about? Where is the link?
@professer00000
@professer00000 19 күн бұрын
Edwin Jaynes -- late physics professor at WashU
@sgeorg80
@sgeorg80 Ай бұрын
👍
@scotmorrsn
@scotmorrsn 2 ай бұрын
Great episode!
@learningbayesianstatistics8147
@learningbayesianstatistics8147 2 ай бұрын
Thanks Scot! And nice to see you here ;)
@araldjean-charles3924
@araldjean-charles3924 2 ай бұрын
Great explanation. Has anyone ever thought of using these ideas for a language model? It could have continuous learning built in, due to the Bayesian Approach.
@FrancescoMADRISOTTI
@FrancescoMADRISOTTI 3 ай бұрын
Hâte d'écouter cet épisode !
@bla-dd2zg1cr2b
@bla-dd2zg1cr2b 4 ай бұрын
we love your accent
@andresfelipehiguera785
@andresfelipehiguera785 4 ай бұрын
Very interesting, thanks.
@matitabicolore
@matitabicolore 5 ай бұрын
Alex, your channel is Amazing!!
@cerioscha
@cerioscha 5 ай бұрын
Is there a typo in the slide @ 5:58 with reads: "P( theta | D ) proportional to P( D | theta ) P(D)". Should this not be: " "P( theta | D ) proportional to P( D | theta ) P(theta)" ?
@nathanielforde8952
@nathanielforde8952 5 ай бұрын
😅 good catch thanks
@cerioscha
@cerioscha 5 ай бұрын
@@nathanielforde8952 Not al all, thanks for a great talk. It's a great time to be a Bayesian, we've come a long from "I think therefore i am, to i act because I infer'".
@ABG1788
@ABG1788 5 ай бұрын
amazing talk
@JSinval
@JSinval 6 ай бұрын
Wow, I can't believe it's finally here! Such an interesting interview!
@shawns0762
@shawns0762 6 ай бұрын
There is no black holes. General Relativity predicts dilation, not singularities. In the 1939 journal "Annals of Mathematics" Einstein wrote - "The essential result of this investigation is a clear understanding as to why the Schwarzchild singularities (Schwarzchild was the first to raise the issue of General Relativity predicting singularities) do not exist in physical reality. Although the theory given here treats only clusters (star clusters) whose particles move along circular paths it does seem to be subject to reasonable doubt that more general cases will have analogous results. The Schwarzchild singularities do not appear for the reason that matter cannot be concentrated arbitrarily. And this is due to the fact that otherwise the constituting particles would reach the velocity of light." He was referring to the phenomenon of dilation (sometimes called gamma or y) mass that is dilated is smeared through spacetime relative to an outside observer. It's the phenomenon behind the phrase "mass becomes infinite at the speed of light". Time dilation is just one aspect of dilation. Dilation will occur wherever there is an astronomical quantity of mass because high mass means high momentum. It's the original and correct explanation for why we cannot see light from the galactic center. It can be inferred mathematically that dilation is occurring in our own galactic center. In other words that mass is all around us. Sound familiar? This is the explanation for the abnormally high rotation rates of stars in spiral galaxies. The "missing mass" is dilated mass. It also explains why all planets and all binary stars have normal rotation rates, not 3 times normal. Dilation does not occur in galaxies with low mass centers because they do not have enough mass to achieve relativistic velocities. To date, 6 very low mass galaxies including NGC 1052-DF2 and DF4 have been confirmed to show no signs of dark matter. There was clarity in astronomy before television and movies popularized singularities starting in the 1960's. Einstein is known to have repeatedly said that they cannot exist. Nobody believed in them when he was alive including Plank, Bohr, Schrodinger, Dirac, Heisenberg, Feynman etc.
@creedarla
@creedarla 7 ай бұрын
Hi, do you need editing services to raise your views on the reels and shorts?
@cornagojar
@cornagojar 8 ай бұрын
Just finished reading the book, very informative thanks
@learningbayesianstatistics8147
@learningbayesianstatistics8147 8 ай бұрын
Thanks a lot, happy yo hear you found it helpful!
@brianparbhu3285
@brianparbhu3285 9 ай бұрын
Awesome talk!
@learningbayesianstatistics8147
@learningbayesianstatistics8147 8 ай бұрын
Thanks a lot Brian!
@aruncps
@aruncps 10 ай бұрын
Wow... wonderful interview ❤
@learningbayesianstatistics8147
@learningbayesianstatistics8147 10 ай бұрын
Thanks a lot!
@EdoardoMarcora
@EdoardoMarcora 11 ай бұрын
Great talk Justin... remembering the good ol' days at Caltech! :)
@shawns0762
@shawns0762 11 ай бұрын
There is an elephant in the room explanation for "dark matter". Most people don't know that Einstein said that singularities are not possible. In the 1939 journal "Annals of Mathematics" he wrote "The essential result of this investigation is a clear understanding as to why the Schwarzchild singularities (Schwarzchild was the first to raise the issue of General Relativity predicting singularities) do not exist in physical reality. Although the theory given here treats only clusters (star clusters) whose particles move along circular paths it does seem to be subject to reasonable doubt that more general cases will have analogous results. The Schwarzchild singularities do not appear for the reason that matter cannot be concentrated arbitrarily. And this is due to the fact that otherwise the constituting particles would reach the velocity of light." He was referring to the phenomenon of dilation (sometimes called gamma or y) mass that is dilated is smeared through spacetime relative to an outside observer. It's the phenomenon behind the phrase "mass becomes infinite at the speed of light". Even mass that exists at 75% light speed is partially dilated. General Relativity does not predict singularities when you factor in dilation. Einstein is known to have repeatedly spoken about this. Nobody believed in black holes when he was alive for this reason. Dilation will occur wherever there is an astronomical quantity of mass because high mass means high momentum. There is no place in the universe where mass is more concentrated than at the center of a galaxy. It can be shown mathematically that our own galactic center is dilated. This means that there is no valid XYZ coordinate we can attribute to it, you can't point your finger at something that is smeared through spacetime. Or more precisely, everywhere you point is equally valid. This is the explanation for the abnormally high rotation rates of stars in spiral galaxies, the "missing mass" is dilated mass. According to Einstein's math, there would be no dilation in galaxies with very, very low mass because they do not have enough mass in their centers to achieve relativistic velocities. It has recently been confirmed in 5 very, very low mass galaxies to show no signs of dark matter
@mikelwrnc
@mikelwrnc 11 ай бұрын
Neat coincidence: the 1/60 mixture of interesting to uninteresting events mentioned in the video happens to be about the same as the mixture of brain-activity signals to other physiological signals observed in raw fMRI & fNIRS data
@learningbayesianstatistics8147
@learningbayesianstatistics8147 11 ай бұрын
Ha ha really? Fun coincidence indeed ;)
@niceday2015
@niceday2015 11 ай бұрын
very good a bayes introducation course for this episode, thanks for sharing , as always more than good
@ChristophB-um8wc
@ChristophB-um8wc 11 ай бұрын
great episode!
@learningbayesianstatistics8147
@learningbayesianstatistics8147 11 ай бұрын
Thanks a lot Christoph!
@subzero4579
@subzero4579 11 ай бұрын
Excellent 👏👏👏
@sinraall
@sinraall Жыл бұрын
Absolutely fantastic. Thanks Justin. Alex, please keep doing these webinar sessions, they add so much value to your excelent podcasts. :-)
@learningbayesianstatistics8147
@learningbayesianstatistics8147 Жыл бұрын
Thanks a lot for your great feedback! Any topic you'd like to hear about in this format?
@sinraall
@sinraall 11 ай бұрын
​@@learningbayesianstatistics8147Thanks for asking. I like the idea to be surprised by any guest you invite. :-) Bayesian factor analysis would be great. Or survival models.
@niceday2015
@niceday2015 Жыл бұрын
Thank you so much for your wonderful work
@bradkolb
@bradkolb Жыл бұрын
This is great stuff.
@learningbayesianstatistics8147
@learningbayesianstatistics8147 Жыл бұрын
Thanks Brad!
@crossbound9645
@crossbound9645 Жыл бұрын
Thanks for the subtitles
@kyrgyzsanjar
@kyrgyzsanjar Жыл бұрын
This is really good! Please keep them coming!
@learningbayesianstatistics8147
@learningbayesianstatistics8147 Жыл бұрын
Thanks, really glad to hear that's useful!
@Irfankhan-jt9ug
@Irfankhan-jt9ug Жыл бұрын
Hi thank you for the brilliant podcast. Can you kindly interview Prof. Dr. Samuel Kaski from Aalto University, Finland?
@learningbayesianstatistics8147
@learningbayesianstatistics8147 Жыл бұрын
Great idea, will contact him ;)
@Irfankhan-jt9ug
@Irfankhan-jt9ug Жыл бұрын
Hi Thanks for the amazing podcast. Can you guys please start tutorials for bayesian stuff? I would be extremely greatful
@learningbayesianstatistics8147
@learningbayesianstatistics8147 Жыл бұрын
Hi, and thanks for listening to the podcast! Happy to hear it's helpful. In addition to this podcast, we have released a wealth of Bayesian content entirely for free. In particular, the documentation for PyMC and ArviZ are comprehensive and freely accessible. www.pymc.io/welcome.html python.arviz.org/en/stable/ I also host modeling webinars ~every month on this very channel (you can already access the first one ;) ) I also recommend the PyMC Labs Meetups (www.meetup.com/pymc-labs-online-meetup/) and KZbin channel (kzbin.info) Finally, if you want a one-stop-shop, there is my online course: www.intuitivebayes.com/ We've designed it to get you from beginner to practitioner fast. If you're a Patron of my podcast, you get 10% off ;) www.patreon.com/learnbayesstats Once again, thank you for your kind words about my podcast! Hope all of this helps, and best Bayesian wishes
@Irfankhan-jt9ug
@Irfankhan-jt9ug Жыл бұрын
please give the link of the book mentioned in the podcast for learning bayesian statistics
@muralik98
@muralik98 Жыл бұрын
Started reading book today
@AnExplorer1000
@AnExplorer1000 Жыл бұрын
Thinking about doing the same soon. First I'll need to finish a couple of 3B1B's playlists that I've started some time ago. BTW, very nice moto on your profile icon. Kind regards.
@sef83
@sef83 Жыл бұрын
make the speed 1.25 and the music becomes a cool rap song :)
@user-wr4yl7tx3w
@user-wr4yl7tx3w Жыл бұрын
Why is Bayesian noticeably prevalent in medicine research?
@Irfankhan-jt9ug
@Irfankhan-jt9ug Жыл бұрын
Hi Thanks for the great channel. Can you please do video podcasts?
@learningbayesianstatistics8147
@learningbayesianstatistics8147 10 ай бұрын
Thanks for the suggestion -- we are now, since episode 85 ;)
@mikelwrnc
@mikelwrnc Жыл бұрын
Finally!😃
@wesleyyoung4063
@wesleyyoung4063 Жыл бұрын
Need that notebook ASAP!
@pattiknuth4822
@pattiknuth4822 Жыл бұрын
Do not waste your time. Strictly audio.
@learningbayesianstatistics8147
@learningbayesianstatistics8147 Жыл бұрын
It's a podcast, so it's in audio format indeed
@user-wr4yl7tx3w
@user-wr4yl7tx3w 2 жыл бұрын
How can we find out the list of your most popular podcasts? Just like to start by listening to those first if available.
@learningbayesianstatistics8147
@learningbayesianstatistics8147 2 жыл бұрын
Thanks for listening to the pod! Here is a playlist of the most popular episode ;) kzbin.info/www/bejne/hXvcoIuAr92HfdU
@learningbayesianstatistics8147
@learningbayesianstatistics8147 2 жыл бұрын
This video has been UPDATED and MOVED here: kzbin.info/www/bejne/oH6wlHiCl7x1ea8
@aminshn8650
@aminshn8650 2 жыл бұрын
49:46 which book? I couldn't get it
@leonardofacchin1452
@leonardofacchin1452 2 жыл бұрын
I believe he was referring to the book "Statistical Rethinking" by Richard McElreath
@mehdishishehbor1686
@mehdishishehbor1686 2 жыл бұрын
Who is rapping? Loved the podcast.
@eric2718281
@eric2718281 2 жыл бұрын
Same here. Bought the book before I was done listening. This was great.
@EvanZamir
@EvanZamir 2 жыл бұрын
Ah I have watched Aubrey's KZbin lectures in the past. Nice to see him as a guest!
@cornagojar
@cornagojar 2 жыл бұрын
Thanks for the interview, I liked Aubrey's lessons about Jaynes's book
@niceday2015
@niceday2015 3 жыл бұрын
I listen to this episode again and again, not only benefiting from the academic Resources, but also his altitude towards learning. Don't have to apologize for the past. It is not easy for me to learn bayesian statistics, but every small step makes me much more clearer about the my biology experiments design. How to figure out compounding(d-separation) and the way to consider most of the event from a probability point of view. I am lucky to come across with your podcast. I hope you may keep the good job and it is really a key to open the door to a bayesian statistics world. Thanks a lot.
@niceday2015
@niceday2015 3 жыл бұрын
Months to run a model, ??oh?? . Always enjoy Alex's clear voice, and speak highly of his modest.