The number of threads is not enough to tell. The strength of raids is also a factor. Cassandra will try to kill you every single time. Randy can send you pathetic or hellish raids.

I swear to god Randy always watches me, every time i send out a caravan there's always a raid that follows shortly after

Randy decided to drop my lone pawns entire family in -100 Celsius weather in the middle of a raid during my ice sheet run. I couldn't even win because my mood debuff was stuck at 0 for a month.

I just dont get randy man he would sometimes be a jerk that gives me the plague,heat waves in the middle of the dessert and raids back to back in day one or he would send me tamed animals and colonist early game

Cassandra gives you challenge. Randy does or doesn't care for you, he is here to entertain himself, not you. Pheobe..... pheobe is.. My fear. I though I was prepared, but I was not.

I was a beginner and want to try to make the best community with minimal threats and chose Cassandra. Well, I got hit with 3 raid in 1 day (human, mech, human)

Phoebe is by far the most dangerous story teller on losing is fun. The absolutely retarded level of difficulty she throws at you after a few years and you get set up is nuts

Randy is the most dangerous for one reason: Randy is the only one that can drop 2 or 3 raids on you at the same time. Cassandra kills you with consistent pressure. If you can keep up with the pressure, you're unlikely to be overrun. Randy has the same average output, but it's not applied evenly like it is with Cassandra. Usually it's spread out by sheer probability, but occasionally you hit blips that are way above the expected difficulty curve (that Cassandra sticks to religiously) by chance and get completely annihilated out of nowhere when you were otherwise doing fine.

Phoebe is sooo underestimated. She hits harder, much harder, than Cassandra and usually out of the blue. Phoebe on the highest difficulty is hard mode. Randy can give you some issues for sure but I consider him the easiest of them.

I dont play with Phoebe anymore, because she is treacherous, the other storytellers send threats to you in their way, but very often, if you win you get good loot to arm your people, Phoebe no, she leaves you in peace for a long of time, you chill out and take easy on building defenses, arm your people, and when you least expect, she send you 10 messages of raiders at the same time, and some of them are not small groups, i think that i never survive her more than 2 years, i know this sound ridiculous, but i survive more time with Randy and Cassandra.

It IS Cass, but it COULD be Randy

Average randy playthrough: Zzzzt...

i have like 70 hours and allways chose Cassandra, i have been masochist without knowing.

Well done! I’d love a Vanilla Expanded Storyteller’s comparison focused on danger, specific pros/cons, and unique conditions ideal for niche colonies/playthroughs.

i love rimworld, im just awful at raids, i can handle everything else except human raids

Member of the Always Randy Random club here, life is random and so must be the Rimworld experience. Give me the 560 cans of milk after 3 pirate raiders and a plague

Praise Randy for he sends Milk! oh and like 20 raiders plenty of food and drink truly a benevolent storyteller.

This is offset if you are way too good at the game and make a really good base. Cass and Phoebe will try and kill you hard with ridiculously overpowered raids while Randy is just like "whatever". Sure, those other two will make up with good things if you're doing too badly, but do too well and suddenly they want to make Ruby Ridge look like a kids show.

5:08 Community builder and peaceful difficulties exist. Stardew valley simulator on the rim is not only possible, but encouraged by the game for new players. Personally in my first 20 hours I was playing SDV sim bc I had no idea how the game mechanics worked.

Phoebe is by far the most brutal in my experience. You get a nice long time in the beginning to set everything up, then you, (if you are like me), get inundated by prospective new recruits by the dozen(even if you only keep the best ones and release the rest back to their factions for points) and at some point, half of the raids turn into overpowered mechanoid swarms that slowly grind down whatever forces you have. After 10+ years, my biggest concern was buying enough uranium for three automated cannons and my entire colony still needed to line up behind them just so they won't completely overwhelm my perfect killbox. I didn't play much DLC, so maybe that helps, but modded autocannons that shot uranium slugs weren't.

I would say Cassandra is most dangerous because she will hit on regular intervals and she will keep upping the game every time, while Randy can sometimes send nuclear fallout or major plague day 1 but other times he would leave you alone for several in-game years, sending only some minor events.

Phoebe tricks you and she don't let you know her next moove and kill you out of nowhere after 200 hours with malaria, siedge, toxic fallout

It's also worth noting that, Randy being Random, not only are his events less predictable, thus harder to prepare for, but bad luck could really make him worse than on this video.

Randy can be more dangerous if you have bad RNG, sometimes he spawns 2-3 raids very close to each other, which depending on the combination make the raid easier, or close to impossible. He also adds a 10% raid size increase.

My autism thanks you

The biggest problem with this video is the overly data based approach youve removed the human factor in all of these Id argue Cassandra is the easiest because she plays no mind games Phobe will send a flurry of soft balls for letting you forget about shoring up your defenses because your 3 colonists with assault rifles can easily take a few tribals then out of nowhere pheobe slaps a huge mechanoid cluster on top of you and they wipe your colony Randy does similar but you always have randy in the back of your mind when you chose him so you tend to prepare a little more Cassandra will send you constant reminders to upgrade your defense as much as you can by time she starts sending mechanoid giga clusters at you theres a maginot line protecting you from them The production of this video is great data is clearly laid out and its entertaining but the data provided is mostly useless because it just reiterates what the game literally spells out for you while ignoring the one part the game doesnt warn you of

Two promising videos and then he disappears for two years. A shame.

The problem with Phoebe is that because her events are so far apart you end up getting huge difficulty spikes. Cassandra is consistent which makes her easy to deal with early game but she scales like crazy with colony wealth. Randy is just Randy. He's never trying to kill you but sometimes he accidentally kills you. I find it easiest to start with Cassandra for her early game consistency and then switch to Randy once Cassandra starts to scale out of control.

Cassandra: Kills you on purpose Randy: Kills you by accident Phoebe: _Remind yourself that overconfidence is a slow and insidious killer_

I play mostly randy, and those moments when he throw at you sickness and 3 raids in 24h, thats when it hits.

Its worth evaluating the average time and Standard deviation between events. Bad-bad. good-good and bad-good. Randy should be different than Cassandra. Randy's highly variable experience is more manageable than Cass showing up every 4-6 days, even if he occasional sends a back to back raid every couple of years.

Two Raids can neutralize each other if they spawn the same day and give you a lot of loot.

Low pop Randy is king.

Randy will eventually just fk you over with no break between raids, so I think thats actually enough to put him in most dangerous bc they are pretty close otherwise bc this is what really ends runs

I feel like Cassandra gave me a very scheduled back and forth for the first few years, and then swapped over into murder mode and send me so many dangers with very little time between that i eventually just couldn’t keep up with healing time Randy has been giving me larger threats when they happen, though that might just be because i have been doing better on building up, but i like that raids aren’t a regularly scheduled tuesday activity but something that shows up as a surprise In conclusion, as a fairly new player, i feel like Cassandra killed me on purpose, Randy kills on accident trying to see what will happen

didn't watch don't care I have 2.000 hours in game Phoebe is the hardest. Casandra is strong. Randy is easy mode. I mostly play with randy cause i want a fun easier experience.

The conclusion isn't right. While it was mentioned, that Randy may spawn major threats nearby, the fact was generally overlooked. But it is HUGE. Several bad events in a row may kill even a good player, while just spawning bad events within a timer isn't even remotely that dangerous.

cassandra might be ever so slightly more likely to send you bad events but you are guaranteed recovery time if casandra doesn't end you in an instant you can heal up and rebuild. Randy can hit you with no downtime so that slightly less bad events gets offset massively by the possibility of getting hit by back to back disasters. i'd say cassandra has less of a chance of ending you than randy especially because difficulty ramps up as you get richer so long periods of downtime wont offset 3 back to back raids plus a disease.

I’m pretty sure Geneva suggestion is a step up from rim world, it’s a Geneva checklist kinda game

5:03 52.7% VS 54.5% seem to be almost the same (the same could be said about general threat 22 vs 19) And like a lot of comment said, back to back threat are usually more dangerous (because you got no recovery time).

Missed one metric. How large/small these events are relative to event scaling factors. According to story teller descriptions Phoebe's singular rare events should be larger relative to your factors. Randy is probably unlimited on upper and lower limits which is why you might see 20 manhunter squirels 1 day in, or 5 man hunter squirels after your second year.

Phoebe is deceptively dangerous as she withholds raids letting the raid point counter rise extra high and lets you get wealthy without some luxuries like getting guns off of small raids or resources from mechs, esc. Plus, it’s hard to tell if your defenses are good enough for the current time if there are such long breaks in-between. Who needs to build extra turrets? Last raid was just 3 naked tribals. Well, the next one is 8 guys with armor and guns and you are caught with your pants down with just the starting revolver and bolt-action. Randy however could decide to make most of your colony ill and then throw a siege at you. Or he could do nothing much for a full year. Randy is, true to name, random but phoebe will make you chillax when you should be preparing.

I've always preferred Randy. With Cassandra, it feels too much like she's trying to micromanage me. Like, if I start doing really good, she'll punch me in the dick. But if I'm struggling, she'll help me get back on my feet. With Randy, things just happen. So things feel much more immersive with Randy

Whats that chiptune at the start and where can I find the full version? It sounds like do your balls hang low, but I can't find a chiptune version anywhere.

You should try collecting your recent algorithm blessing and try making videos again

I come just like that , and find a exellent video with super funny edit .keep going !

Did you use normal OLS? You have discrete not continuous data, so youd need a Logit model.

Randy can do anything, he once gave me 4 Ambrosia sprouts, then only a weak raid, aka free meat!

And now to repeat your study, because with n = 1, none of your data is presentable

Can you make a version of this video for some of the Vanilla expanded storytellers?