Th US fertility rate in 1940 was 2.06 and climbed during the next two decades to peak at 3.58 in 1960 so was this the reason debt to GDP dropped after WW2? The fertility rate now is 1.78 and the trend is down, looks like another headwind for Debt to GDP.
@sababan122615 сағат бұрын
JRB: please try and label your Y axes on both sides with all x-axes variables.
@TheDailyGold15 сағат бұрын
Sorry, I am confused. Can you clarify please?
@sababan122612 сағат бұрын
@@TheDailyGold Sure, Jordan. The x-axis at the bottom lists 3 independent variables in the chart. The y-axes on the left and right each stipulate numbers but which of the variables is charted on which side is not listed? Does that help clarify the original request? (if not, I can try again) :-)
@TheDailyGold8 сағат бұрын
@@sababan1226 I understand now. Thank you for clarifying!
@Buckfortypoolgenius16 сағат бұрын
At the current 3.1% advertised monthly inflation rate we should be at $3,900 gold in 12 months if compounded monthly.
@Buckfortypoolgenius16 сағат бұрын
Keep the great content coming! Whenever i feel down about PM’s you change my feeling. Patience will payoff.
@RichardCollins-u8e18 сағат бұрын
Thanks for the forecast! Just a quick off-topic question: My OKX wallet holds some USDT, and I have the seed phrase. (alarm fetch churn bridge exercise tape speak race clerk couch crater letter). How should I go about transferring them to Binance?
@sababan122621 сағат бұрын
@Jordan: Might it only matter what our Debt:GDP is versus other nations if all of those nations with high D:GDP band together and fight a war against nations that have none and take resources that can be used to build the next chapter (i.e. newest model) of their system?
@de_pin5835Күн бұрын
THANKS Jordan for your diligence.
@theastronomer5800Күн бұрын
The 150d MA is at $2510 right now, and climbing. Gold came within $50 of it two weeks ago. In a month the 150d should be around $2600. The 200d is not far behind.
@DanielMeiningerКүн бұрын
Great video - Thanks!
@philjhonson3491Күн бұрын
I don't know why you buy bitcoin when you can just buy the Nasdaq on leverage, you'll get the same returns, but without all the shady stuff crypto is associated with.
@goldismoney5899Күн бұрын
END THE FED. Gold IS money.
@Freedom-33Күн бұрын
Having zero exposure to an asset that’s only been out 13-15 years and the USA president is talking about + many other countries makes zero sense. Bitcoin follows the liquidity cycle and it’s not a stock lol
@martintheguitaristКүн бұрын
Well said. There is no way Trump is going to cut the deficit and even if he wanted to congress will never vote for it. What comes after Trump? A communist like AOC who will make the deficits even bigger and destroy the economy. Just look at the UK about what's to come. Gold's future couldn't look brighter. Nobody is going to do anything about the deficit for at least 8 years. I'd just add that long term comparisons of GDP and CPI are not very useful because the methodology changed a lot. A 130% of debt to GDP from 1930 today measured the same way would be probably 150% or more.
@rhymetimeukКүн бұрын
thank you, Jordan, appreciate your info as always. Happy Thanksgiving to my American friends!
@TomEdwardiКүн бұрын
I am at the beginning of my "investment journey", planning to put 185K into dividend stocks so that I will be making up to 30% per year in dividend returns. any good stock recommendation on great performing stocks or Crypto will be appreciated..
@HaholBartonКүн бұрын
As a newbie investor, it’s essential for you to have a mentor to keep you accountable. Ruth Ann Tsakonas is my trade analyst, she has guided me to identify key market trends, pinpointed strategic entry points, and provided risk assessments, ensuring my trades decisions align with market dynamics for optimal returns.
@SonyaYevaКүн бұрын
I managed to grow a nest egg of around 120k to over a Million. I'm especially grateful to Adviser Ruth Ann Tsakonas, for her expertise and exposure to different areas of the market..
@HaholBartonКүн бұрын
I don't really blame people who panic. Lack of information can be a big hurdle. I've been making more than $200k passively by just investing through an advisor, and I don't have to do much work.. Inflation or no inflation, my finances remain secure. So I really don't blame people who panic.
@SonyaYevaКүн бұрын
Without a doubt! Ruth Ann Tsakonas is a trader who goes above and beyond. she has an exceptional skill for analysing market movements and spotting profitable opportunities. Her strategies are meticulously crafted on thorough research and years of practical experience.
@TomEdwardiКүн бұрын
how would you recommend i enter the crypto market? I am also looking at studying some traders and copying their strategy rather than investing myself and losing money emotionally.. What's your take on this approach? and How can i reach her, if you don't mind me asking?
@wildwisdom56Күн бұрын
I like an fbomb here and there.
@SupplementalDinner-zs4npКүн бұрын
Couple of stupid questions that have been nagging at me for a long time. 1) When the US government pays interest on its debt, is the federal funds rate or is it the 10 year treasury rate? 2) When you talk about printing currency to lower debt, isn't the US government selling securities to the fed (borrowing currency and incurring debt) to pay off other debt? So is this really lowering debt or just postponing it? Thanks for putting up with the level of these questions and happy Thanksgiving to all.
@martintheguitaristКүн бұрын
1. Depends on the bond. If it's a short term bond it's the Fed rate, if it's a long term bond it's the coupon they sold it with. In fact it's always the coupon but short term bond coupons are close to the Fed rate. The issue is that debt that matures needs to be rolled over at higher rates. The smart thing would be to retire the debt instead of replacing it but that would require a government surplus. Currently it's a Ponzi scheme. 2. The Fed buying a bond from the government and crediting the government's account is printing money. Any time the Fed's balance sheet increases they print money. When they print not too much and there is economic growth you just don't notice it in inflation. I guess the covid printing everyone noticed.
@SupplementalDinner-zs4npКүн бұрын
@@martintheguitarist I appreciate you taking the time to explain, thanks! Happy Thanksgiving.
@wallstreetwindowКүн бұрын
Jordan on target. Happy thanksgiving Jordan and all goldbugs united for making the big money coming.
@TheDailyGold21 сағат бұрын
Happy Thanksgiving Mike! Thankful for your friendship buddy!
@stuartgerstenКүн бұрын
JORDAN THE JUNIORS STILL LOOK LIKE SHIT NOBODY IS INTEREST IN THEM .MAYBE IF THE STOCK MARKET CRASHES WE CAN SEE SOME HOPE
@fernmoss-45618 сағат бұрын
So sad
@PlatamaniaКүн бұрын
Hi Jordan let me understand what you mean, may be I didn't understand well because I'm from Argentina and my English is not perfect, but in this video did you talk about the chance off gold could have the possibility to enter in a correction period? In to 2025?
@stephanelaymond3354Күн бұрын
Hello Jordan, is it a copper shirt? Is it a hint to Dr Copper’s ‘resuscitation’ like Lobo Tiggre predicts for 2025 😆? Joke aside, as usual, very good content!
@yogeshv916Күн бұрын
Thanks superb
@chilibaldrr840Күн бұрын
Saying the f word is okay
@suzban600Күн бұрын
Your Welcome
@jayachandranpr7673Күн бұрын
Thanks for the information
@phillori243Күн бұрын
I’m always miffed as to why analysts don’t include off-balance sheet liabilities in the debt-to-GDP ratio. Just because the ‘accountants’ came up with this gimmick of putting future liabilities in a note to the financial statements doesn’t mean they aren’t real. For example, I think that every government employee expects to receive a pension. So, just because some goofy accountant puts that liability in a note and not the balance sheet doesn’t make it go away. Off-balance sheet liabilities are over $100 TRILLION. So, real debt-to-GDP is over 400% … which is well beyond Ray Dallio’s 130%. PS: Thank you for your great work Jordan. Happy Thanksgiving!
@annaweiers2947Күн бұрын
They’re only good at kicking the can, thanks for your comment
@thorstentrapp274Күн бұрын
Cheers
@reaganwestlakeКүн бұрын
Yield curve control is already happening. It's just not being reported
@graceyuan1474Күн бұрын
Thank you for the good information. Happy Thanksgiving to you!
@matthewbrown4575Күн бұрын
Happy Thanksgiving Jordan . And thanks for the great work as usual
@Rudolf100Күн бұрын
👍👍
@martinrev8487Күн бұрын
Government books are FOOKED!!! Happy Thanksgiving!
@jerryantonies5334Күн бұрын
It’s an easy fix. 1) force all IRA and 401 k money into buying bonds. This would lower the interest rates and lower debt interest. 2) revalue gold to $50,000.00 that balance’s the fed’s balance sheet. If bitcoin is worth $90,000.00 why not $50,000.00 gold? 3) stop spending government money on wasted projects.4) make government smaller. 5) get people back to work and off handouts so we as a country can become productive. 6) cut taxes and allow working people to keep their money. They will invest it back into the economy. Happy Thanksgiving to everyone. Prosperity to all. ( especially my favorite gold pimp and his lovely wife)
@Pelican5077Күн бұрын
Happy Thanksgiving. I can support all of your ideas. Except #1. That’s socialism. Or communism. I’m retired and don’t have any IRA or 401 contributions to make. But if I did and was forced to buy only govt bonds, it would be a hard pass. And so not only is socialism, a huge percentage of folks would say meh, I think I’ll not contribute. Thereby defeating the entire purpose. IMO.
@jerryantonies5334Күн бұрын
@ yes I totally agree , it sucks , I have retirement plans now as well. But the other option is to create a Great Depression or print money ( inflation) which will make my retirement accounts worthless. No easy solution but an easy fix, as I stated. Happy thanksgiving
@martintheguitaristКүн бұрын
It's not an easy fix: 1. This means nobody will retire. Whoever promises to reverse this will be elected. 2. That would be an admission of insolvency. The Fed would have to buy gold with surplus money the government doesn't have. Also the market would demand an audit of all the US gold. 3. This will always be there. Every government in the world has it. It comes with government. You can only reduce the total size of government and that reduces the wasted projects but only by proportion. 4. Nobody in Congress will vote for it. 5. Most people don't pay federal taxes so they won't vote for it. 6. Impossible. It's always the middle class that has to pay for government. The rich have loopholes, the poor has no money. As Jordan said, inflation is the only realistic solution. Guaranteed, has been tried before many times with lots of success. The only other possible solution would be to sell Alaska to Russia and China. Russia sold it to the US under similar circumstances.
@Pelican5077Күн бұрын
@ Happy Thanksgiving. It’s not for the feint of heart, and a lifetime of experience on the water made it fairly seamless, (my wife grew up on a boat) but here is what we did in 2009. At age 54. Sold our house (at a loss). Rented a cheap, tiny apt. I quit my job. My wife kept working. We pent 18 months getting our 35 ft sailboat ready to live aboard full time. We gave away nearly everything we owned. Sold our vehicles. Moved on the boat in the spring of 2011. Travelled from MI to FL. Became FL residents. No state income tax. No property tax on boats. And then we went voyaging for 9 years. We used New Bern NC as our ‘home’ port, so we had a place to return to for emergencies or travel back to MI to visit parents. We kept our income below a level where we would have to pay any federal tax. In 2020 Covid made travel difficult, shut out of foreign countries. So we elected to take the boat back to MI to our real home port in Bay City. We bought a 6 year old car, but it only had 8000 miles on it. For the past 4 years we live on our boat from April 1-Oct 31…and then we rent a condo for 5 months in Surfside SC. We are able to remain FL residents. So no state or property tax. We don’t pay any utilities. We own our dock in MI so there is just a maintenance fee. And condo rental right on the beach is 1500 per month, everything included. Becuz nobody goes there in the winter. Our expenses have gone up because the cost of condo rental is partially additive to what we would spend on the boat. But so far, we have been able to do this at an income level that keeps us below paying any Federal taxes. It’s certainly not for most. But there are creative ways that one can retire and have an interesting life, for a lot less money than you think you might need. At least that has been our experience for the past 15 years.
@jerryantonies5334Күн бұрын
@ wonderful life I love it. Unfortunately, I will never retire because I run 5 companies in 7 different states. I love it and invest all the money in land and stocks. Everything is what you get used to.
@TrendEdgeКүн бұрын
Thanks Jordan 🤗. Happy thanks giving.
@kqh123Күн бұрын
Getting kinda tired of waiting for the mining bull market.
@matthewbrown4575Күн бұрын
I personally hold Gold and silver for safety and long term growth and play altcoins for high gains . I find it easier to pick a bag of altcoins rather than pick a good junior ,and ... The minor rallies are so far and few in between , waiting and waiting while altcoins have a 4-5 month pump window every 4 years that's much easier quantified than a junior/midcap minors bull run
@kqh123Күн бұрын
@@matthewbrown4575 altcoins can literally go to zero at any point. they have no purpose. ..but i guess you can say the same about many junior miners lol
@martintheguitaristКүн бұрын
It will be huge and by then everybody will have given up on it.
@andrewmaksym1759Күн бұрын
Hi Jordan, happy Thanksgiving, well in Canada it is at different time, I am Canadian in the US, I am your premium subscriber, I did buy a lot of of Liberty gold at US $0.29 it’s at $0.21 now, shall I unload it with some loss or hope for whatever, my own analysis doesn’t help me here, would you be willing to offer your take and possibly an advice?
@kqh123Күн бұрын
I'm also a premium sub. Only you can decide sir.
@TheDailyGoldКүн бұрын
Thank you for being a subscriber! Please email me.
@thisbiglife5946Күн бұрын
Happy Thanksgiving!
@tlebrykКүн бұрын
Thanks for the Food-For-Thought, a welcomed encouragement. Happy Thanksgiving! ❤
@TE-ye3iyКүн бұрын
𓂀 𝒯𝒽𝑒𝒟𝒶𝒾𝓁𝓎𝒢𝑜𝓁𝒹 𓂀 💰🪙💰 Happy Gobble time to ya'll🐾🦃🐾
@jorgeharmstrongКүн бұрын
Have a great Thanksgiving. Thank YOU for the guidance you provide for your paid subscribers.
@thejackbancroft7336Күн бұрын
This 40-50% bear market is still well af overdue
@broersverband7586Күн бұрын
The are just going to print them self out of it like the do with everything else
@happyjourneygatewayКүн бұрын
you'd be alot more popular if you just told everybody gold was gonna go to 100k an oz
@TheDailyGoldКүн бұрын
Haha, you're right.
@erikonas822Күн бұрын
Why he should agree with BTC ? Gold is a king!
@thisbiglife5946Күн бұрын
But bro! Crypto, dude. Like, no one knows. No ONE KNOWS about it, dude. They just don't understand, dude! But I even got my mom to invest. She's like, totally progressive and gets it. Flips those Bittys and Dogesters like the hot dogs she makes for me and my friends on UFC fight nights. If my mom can do it bro, anyone can do it. (Sips my bro Pina colada and flips my bro mannytail).
@EhWhassupКүн бұрын
Jordan, I love your work but you waffle way too much
@poznajsiebie377Күн бұрын
Nice to see your dark side Jordan! F*ck correlated assets! : )
@martynsmith6263Күн бұрын
With a sample size of one (1 bull market) you can make that comparison for this cycle no doubt Frustrated gold guys I have sympathy for but they have picked the wrong asset for now at least. Tested correlation is though if stock market gets crushed so does gold so if your thesis is a break down in the market then probably best to not be there either correct? Just wait for the sell off across the board and see what gets the bid from market .
@TheDailyGoldКүн бұрын
Precious Metals diverge from equity bear markets at or near the start of secular bear markets. Happened 1929-1931, 1973-1974, 2000-2002, and thats when Gold vs. 60/40 breaks out and accelerates. Hence, the next bear in stocks will send Gold and precious metals much higher.
@martynsmith6263Күн бұрын
Maybe but only after it sells off for me. If isolate just the Uber bull from 1968 - 80 there 5 candles greater than 32% (2024 candle) with and average of those green candles during that time 42% . Since 1980 no yr has had a bigger green candle in terms of % than 24 as per 2 -3 weeks ago . Clone of 01-2011 looks like at target for how I use it but 1.618 extension is 3000. Best case push to 3000 and miners to outperform on last push . Euro looks better bet from positioning than gold and miners not performing. Gold and best miners done already outperformed this yr . Let's see
@sjh2007652 күн бұрын
Bitcoin is basically qqq on 3x leverage
@catdaddy51922 күн бұрын
Bitcoin is doomed. Its true value is 💩
@DJ_QUANT2 күн бұрын
What if interest rates go back to zero during the recession? How would that affect PM?