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Пікірлер
@zacheekarimi7766
@zacheekarimi7766 2 жыл бұрын
Well was it a bubble? Prices just went up and up many years after this
@christopherjones1782
@christopherjones1782 4 жыл бұрын
what a find!
@christopherjones1782
@christopherjones1782 4 жыл бұрын
What a find this is ! I wish I’d found this 7 years ago!
@GemCapitalAdelaide
@GemCapitalAdelaide 4 жыл бұрын
Thanks for watching. GEM
@christopherjones1782
@christopherjones1782 4 жыл бұрын
wish i'd found these in 2013!
@tomastersoglio2380
@tomastersoglio2380 5 жыл бұрын
maybe a microchip?
@craigcookmusic
@craigcookmusic 5 жыл бұрын
I'm in Auckland nz for years I've heard the lie houses allways go up, well no they don't. People have to much debt and the baby boomer time bomb look at Japan that's the future
@TDubya811
@TDubya811 5 жыл бұрын
What about now: 27 April 2019 today. Has it it bottom yet?
@mgtow5336
@mgtow5336 5 жыл бұрын
If property advisers and real estate agents wanted to make money with their own - why are they wasting their time and advice, when if they believed in their beliefs - acting as our saviours and taking our money.
@SevenCostanza
@SevenCostanza 5 жыл бұрын
finally an economist i feel i can trust when he talks.... others seem like the economy is a product theyre trying to sell to me
@harpreetkasana9863
@harpreetkasana9863 5 жыл бұрын
There is a one more issue which no one talks about. Lots of people booked blocks of land from developers and create a false demand. Simply The plan of these bookies is to sell that piece of land to someone who can’t buy the next stage development from developers because of over price instead he/she can pay 20k less and buy from a bookie before settlement.
@Viralclown
@Viralclown 5 жыл бұрын
Roger that
@barryetherton4889
@barryetherton4889 5 жыл бұрын
People have to buy a house for the right reasons, to live in. Not to make money from.
@bloxband2882
@bloxband2882 5 жыл бұрын
I both agree and and disagree about your comment on “tradies”. A licensed electrician or plumber will always have work and don’t rely solely on construction as they fall into the service and maintenance sector. Electrical in particular is so broad and in demand. From my personal experience working in electrical, construction sites in Sydney don’t actually have many tradesman but more labourers, backpackers, 457 visa workers (unlicensed tradies).
@rockonthelough5417
@rockonthelough5417 5 жыл бұрын
They may but how much work and at what price?
@chaz4609
@chaz4609 5 жыл бұрын
Must turn d' Bull on his backside seating position to shoot out a gigantic Bull fart for the housing market liftoff.
@maxlatour7912
@maxlatour7912 5 жыл бұрын
We haven't even had an official rate increase from the RBA for how long now?????.... Just wait for that to happen....shit will hit the fan
@chrisk1903
@chrisk1903 5 жыл бұрын
... Last time I heard we are in a recession on a per capita basis
@alanfurlong-drummer4419
@alanfurlong-drummer4419 5 жыл бұрын
Great interview and thank you tonRoger for his great analysis on what is a very bleak outcome.
@alanfurlong-drummer4419
@alanfurlong-drummer4419 5 жыл бұрын
Look at Ireland’s example 2006 onwards....Australia is following the same process.
@meninatym435
@meninatym435 5 жыл бұрын
Yes, History is gold!
@CookieMonster-wy4qb
@CookieMonster-wy4qb 5 жыл бұрын
I will reserve my judgement on this blokes claims he’s been predicting this since 2015 ! The only voices I kept on hearing were mike Martins, martin North , John Adams , steve Keen ! I haven’t heard anything from this bloke but I will investigate his claims ! 🤔 Apologies Roger I will add u too the names above well done ! 👍
@starcarbonracer
@starcarbonracer 5 жыл бұрын
Steve keen was predicting this in 07
@Travelingman-1980
@Travelingman-1980 5 жыл бұрын
The housing ponzi is finished
@xxxchurch100
@xxxchurch100 5 жыл бұрын
As Max Keiser say repeatedly " you can't taper a ponzi scheme "
@jaspergatrill3461
@jaspergatrill3461 5 жыл бұрын
Excellent interview and interesting investment opportunity. Thanks.
@GemCapitalAdelaide
@GemCapitalAdelaide 5 жыл бұрын
Thanks for your comment
@JimBostock
@JimBostock 5 жыл бұрын
brilliant, thank you
@wagnessfletcher
@wagnessfletcher 5 жыл бұрын
Well said and very true
@chrish9155
@chrish9155 5 жыл бұрын
Roger has a clear logic thinking. Well explained!
@GemCapitalAdelaide
@GemCapitalAdelaide 5 жыл бұрын
Thanks for your comment
@MoneyHarmonyJourney
@MoneyHarmonyJourney 5 жыл бұрын
One of the better vidoes I have seen on the subject. Great work.
@GemCapitalAdelaide
@GemCapitalAdelaide 5 жыл бұрын
Thanks for your comment
@richardzedman1160
@richardzedman1160 5 жыл бұрын
Well I think houses are still well over priced they will come down a bit more yet
@paulohara6727
@paulohara6727 5 жыл бұрын
The Royal Commission into banking has put a stop to these outlandish lending practices.
@MrDaymien1
@MrDaymien1 5 жыл бұрын
Wow , they are still building into a property collapse sure will drive prices lower, IO loan refi looks expensive . With construction, retail and the financials under pressure insuring job losses expect more inventory because forced sales. Should be interesting with forced sales from investors unable to unload used properties to other investors once negative gearing goes . The property market will be like that beer , cascade . Rate cut and REFI `s may give some the ability to take on some more debt for spending but higher imports and energy import will gobble that up , throw some gov spending in there and we get a good measure of inflation and further slowing of the economy .
@arthurtreibs4174
@arthurtreibs4174 5 жыл бұрын
Roger, you are a class act in an industry littered with superficiality, amateurism and rent seeking. Strong complements for your level of research and intellect!
@wirelessdangersaustralia8345
@wirelessdangersaustralia8345 5 жыл бұрын
kzbin.info/www/bejne/fYnKXpWLi9GWndU @ What Telecom, Telstra, Verizon want tell you!
@JohnSmith-tw3rw
@JohnSmith-tw3rw 6 жыл бұрын
Slow and steady wins the race. Good yarn and lesson.
@officialspock
@officialspock 6 жыл бұрын
And after a year still no crash, cmon everyone is just guessing, when will it happen? Been waiting for it
@mickusachus
@mickusachus 6 жыл бұрын
Montgomery is a legend
@bidyarthiwb1767
@bidyarthiwb1767 6 жыл бұрын
Thanks
@vaughanwilliams77
@vaughanwilliams77 6 жыл бұрын
Health effects are extremely detrimental. 😡 5G is bad. Do your research.
@GemCapitalAdelaide
@GemCapitalAdelaide 6 жыл бұрын
Thanks for your feedback
@buccXA
@buccXA 6 жыл бұрын
Thanks for the truth. Have subbed
@HandbagChinwag
@HandbagChinwag 7 жыл бұрын
Can we can have an updated video on the state of the Australian property market particularly in light of cooling in sydney?
@GemCapitalAdelaide
@GemCapitalAdelaide 7 жыл бұрын
We will be doing a follow up with Roger - it probably will be done in early 2018 - thanks for your feedback.
@Michael_Mears
@Michael_Mears 7 жыл бұрын
A very good video, thank you for sharing. I like your outlook for China, your comments on banks and their returns, and "cash has the beauty of certainty of value and ... flexibility...that is despised" 37:55.
@MarjjorieDawes
@MarjjorieDawes 7 жыл бұрын
It's not just property ponzi, it's population ponzi too. All these hopefuls have been imported and we won't need them in a recession.
@whatwhyandwhos68
@whatwhyandwhos68 7 жыл бұрын
subbed, liked and shared.....great vid
@leftleaf3590
@leftleaf3590 7 жыл бұрын
The way property is inflating in Melbourne and Syd. The average home price will be over 1.7 mil. Smells like Ponzi spirit. QE is next. If China sneezes.....
@lindafukuyu5767
@lindafukuyu5767 7 жыл бұрын
It's everywhere .. Australia, HongKong, America, Canada, UK, etc. It's an overheating market in the past few years .. It's becoming insane. How can someone with stagnant salary can afford to buy half million dollar house? The household debt is close to 200% .. for every dollar you earned .. $2 you owed. Assuming your property value is still the same or appreciate the value. When your property value is going down south and you are still paying your mortgage .. You will lose money and still pay huge mortgage at the same time.
@steamknife1
@steamknife1 7 жыл бұрын
Chinese investors. You have no idea how many cash the Chinese are holding. You also have no idea the amount of illegal cash that's desperately awaiting to be converted into property assets.
@wingmanmedia6536
@wingmanmedia6536 7 жыл бұрын
People may have combined income of 200K or even double of that. But even with 200K 1.5M house is about 10-12 annual salaries. We can compare house affordability index worldwide to see if 10-12 can be called a bubble. www.numbeo.com/property-investment/rankings.jsp Sydney takes 80th place in it with almost 12 for the index Hong Kong is almost 40(2nd place). And how about all thoses 79 places before Sydney and 100 and more before Melbourne, Brisbane etc? It is not really about how much a house costs, it is all about how affordable it is in each place for locals.
@cfmc6201
@cfmc6201 7 жыл бұрын
Linda Fukuyu buy In area you can afford. Say Sydney buy in Campbelltown $550k for a house the interest is about $400per week. If you can't afford this you need work harder and smarter. This is in the most expensive city in Australia let alone in other cities. Stop complaining start working
@cfmc6201
@cfmc6201 7 жыл бұрын
Michael S why do you need a $1.5million dollar house. Why not start with an $800k semi and grow your wealth. Delayed gretification and patience. The world does OT owe you the right to live close to where you want to be in an expensive country like Australia. Live In Vietnam come back you will appreciate what you have more
@chandraramu2385
@chandraramu2385 7 жыл бұрын
Australia economy is fully dependent on selling raw commodities to China. It is a dig and sell economy
@Tobacc0
@Tobacc0 7 жыл бұрын
Perth is a mining town. Unless you're coming here for a high paying FIFO gig there's no point.
@ashthegreat1
@ashthegreat1 7 жыл бұрын
Ive always liked Roger, since his early appearances with Ticky Fullerton on The Business. And what he says stacks up... 2018 is gonna be the year of the boomerang!
@elijahsydney
@elijahsydney 7 жыл бұрын
Very informative Video. Personally, I think the next stage of government economy propping will be in the form of infrastructure expenditure. They know housing construction has run it's course, as did mining construction prior to that. It's time for government dept to swell instead of putting all the burden on us private citizens. We seriously can't take on any more debt than we've taken and they know it. After infrastructure - well, I guess it's either curtains or, who knows, maybe we'll back a bit away from the global economy and actually return to producing some of our own goods like we used to in 50s and 60s, howbeit, with a considerably lower standard of living.
@ashthegreat1
@ashthegreat1 7 жыл бұрын
Watch interest rates rise. The RBA always follows the fed...
@grahamwood156
@grahamwood156 7 жыл бұрын
Sorry you guy's have said this for 3 years. I sold my home 3 years ago and missed out on 40% growth
@freesyddotcom
@freesyddotcom 7 жыл бұрын
ouch
@marybarber377
@marybarber377 7 жыл бұрын
Graham Wood that's what happens when you gamble
@grahamwood156
@grahamwood156 7 жыл бұрын
Mary Barber I wasn't gambling I was very sick
@JohnDoe-mv1sm
@JohnDoe-mv1sm 6 жыл бұрын
it'll go up longer than anyone anticipates. but nothing goes up forever...
@sensaznal
@sensaznal 7 жыл бұрын
In Sydney it's still fine. It won't crash but it's just headed for a soft landing.
@youtoob8166
@youtoob8166 7 жыл бұрын
sensaznal bwahahaha
@ashthegreat1
@ashthegreat1 7 жыл бұрын
Im with You Toob. Syd is going to be the next Tokyo. Unit prices will collapse 60%
@adenovirus.
@adenovirus. 7 жыл бұрын
Australians haven't been able to afford houses for some time now. When the overseas buyers can't afford it then that is when the prices will come down.
@PsychicIsaacs
@PsychicIsaacs 7 жыл бұрын
I remember post 1987 crash...hollowed out CBDs...This is going to be way, way worse. Anyone who has paid $1, 000, 000 plus for a 2 bedroom inner suburbs terrace house will realize that they have been played for a fool...
@PsychicIsaacs
@PsychicIsaacs 7 жыл бұрын
I agree. I bought my farm at the beginning of 2013. It was run down and thus undervalued. I paid $95 000 for 20 acres with a house. I have since adversely possessed the 40 acres next door and begun caring for it because I found out it was intestate land. So I have a 60 acre farm and I paid $95, 000 AUD for it. The 20 acre farm next door (on the other side) just sold for $155,000. But the buyers paid cash so it doesn't matter so much to them what the price does. But people with a mortgage here will be royally screwed when this whole thing goes down...
@davidlusby987
@davidlusby987 7 жыл бұрын
Guineith Isaacs Hello, where did you buy? I'm currently looking for land in Qld/NNSW... That's a very good price you paid. What do you farm on it?
@fpsSYRIA
@fpsSYRIA 6 жыл бұрын
Guys what’s your thoughts and opinions on the market right now?? It’s looking disgusting.
@chrisk1903
@chrisk1903 7 жыл бұрын
Australia - the Japan sequal
@stchew49
@stchew49 6 жыл бұрын
Well said.