Jason Chen

Пікірлер

@user-xc7kg5rr3u 25 күн бұрын

这个刘小光，啥玩意

@jasonchen5248 23 күн бұрын

@@user-xc7kg5rr3u 可以去查查

@roshannanayakkara5865 Ай бұрын

Who the fuck do u think u are, u are talking to a Noble prize winner

@user-up5sf5oq4r Ай бұрын

强哥加油💪

@shaundudley4576 3 ай бұрын

Andy is the man

@wanghuan3945 4 ай бұрын

Nice talk

@biua8155 5 ай бұрын

东哥说社会终究会进步的现在还这么想吗。当假货拼多多出来打破秩序窃取消费者情报假货仿卖货充满市场还被消费者买账当法治和谈论自由的权利戛然而止。。。

@biua8155 5 ай бұрын

多好呀大家都有钱赚的时代！

@mingjin1853 6 ай бұрын

阴道是一种器具成了一种资本

@jmnthe3rd 7 ай бұрын

What is this? There is such a mismatch between the shallowness of the questions they're asking and the depth of the research they're asking them about. This hurts my brain.

@yoyohol4708 8 ай бұрын

京东平台专员乱判断，有客户在我这里购买商品，商品己注明七无理由退货（破损不可退），但是強制給退货，找平台客服理论。客服說可拒收，而且12月25号开要求专员解释破损为什么可以退，商品己拒收怎样处理，现货品及货款己在顾客手上，如何处理，得到答案48小时回复，最后1月10日专员回复说你不应拒收，平台教商家拒收最后不𠄘认。太可分 1月3日顾客在商家购买商品，不想要，选择退款，商家发协商要求改退货退款，顾客拒收商品产費用还要商家𠄘担，申诉說不行

@ttssttss-se6pi 10 ай бұрын

决定国家的永远不是一小部分人而是广大的人的人性

@ttssttss-se6pi 10 ай бұрын

你看空的房价终于跌了。但是造就打到你的止损了吧

@吹推绿隐跳 Жыл бұрын

22:47 两三年的时间窗口整好被涨价去库存完美错过。。

@airlogitecQ-electrical Жыл бұрын

什么叫真？什么又叫假？

@user-fuckupxx00 2 ай бұрын

自己百度去实在不行 Google

@jean-michelbendaci2564 Жыл бұрын

Cochrane Will be the next Nobel prize.

@jean-michelbendaci2564 Жыл бұрын

Obama or Kamala Harris will be elected in 2024.

@jasonchen5248 Жыл бұрын

别玩汇率

@WilRockQ Жыл бұрын

Who are these ignoramus interviewers who keep interrupting Shiller?

@maoxingge9497 Жыл бұрын

还是可以听有价

@jojoeb16 Жыл бұрын

Markets are not efficient because people are not rational. That is the single biggest indictment of the entire MPT framework.

@Sam-fp8zm Жыл бұрын

you can't beat the market. the market means the long term s and p 500. buy index funds. vanguard world index fund.

@RebuttalRecords 2 жыл бұрын

What baffles me is why Robert Shiller would wast his time with such media whores.

@MartinSage 2 жыл бұрын

You can’t beat the market?? Tell Ed Seykota who turned $5000 to $15,000,000 in 10yrs! 🤑🤑. Or Soros or Drunkemiller who put all $7,000,000,000 in one basket in Sterling and made 1 Billion in 1day.!

@Martin-qb2mw 2 жыл бұрын

The value style doesn't beat the market on a risk adjusted basis so it doesn't violate the effecient market hypothesis. The value premium is compensation for risk.

@theWebWizrd 8 ай бұрын

There are a lot of stuff wrong with what you are saying there. First and foremost, value generally has lower standard deviation ane lower beta than 'growth' stocks. So if anything, value will look better on a risk adjusted basis than it does without it. Secondly, many people who oppose EMH also oppose the notion that standard deviation is any meaningful measure of risk, so the argument is rather meaningless. And finally, if risky assets can be relied upon to outperform then they aren't exactly risky, so there is a fundamental misnomer in the idea that you can reliably take on risk to gain expected return.

@Martin-qb2mw 8 ай бұрын

@@theWebWizrd You have some reasonable points but you miss the fact that Value have other types of risk associated with it, besides standard deviation. Career risk is a big one. Hypothetically, let's say I can construct a portfolio that is 100% guaranteed to outperform on a ten or twenty year horizon but is also guaranteed to underperform 90% of months then I would like to invest in this and probably so would you. But, professional money managers they cannot invest in this. They will get fired if they do because they are evaluated on a quarterly basis. This is called career risk and it's a very real risk associated with value. This risk is not diversifiable and will stick around forever. The portfolio I described is a pretty good model for value. It always wins in the long run and it always sucks in the short run. Proffesionals cannot invest in stuff like this. They get fired. There are other similar risks associated with value that are also not diversifiable and are also not captured by STD but I will leave it here to avoid writing a book.

@mainstreet6999 Ай бұрын

@@theWebWizrd such great definitions, and language I hope with this I can make more money... But the academics are academics, they ain't businessmen...

@jasonchen5248 2 жыл бұрын

哈哈

@davidwebb2318 2 жыл бұрын

Fama believes markets are perfect, they aren't perfect they are just the best we have got.

@accumanddistrading3963 2 жыл бұрын

yeah - the guy on the left is not even in the same league as Robert Shiller.

@darmingliu778 2 жыл бұрын

那京东做大了，国内那些经销商，各种代理商，是不是得拉胯了，他们不恨死京东？

@yulin1341 Жыл бұрын

不会，你在京东自营买个100块钱的东西它会给你电子发票，13%税票它必须交给国家13块钱。别的地方95块钱你不要他不一定给你发票，假如有一半的人图便宜而且不知道要发票的情况下那你在京东买两件一共200块钱的东西京东收到174，别的地方两件190块钱但是只有一件给你发票的情况下他们会收入177元，只要消费者不知道要发票他们一直会比京东赚得多

@williamc4221 2 жыл бұрын

Behaviorists seem to use hindsight examples to demonstrate market inefficiencies. Fama would ask, "Okay. I'll accept that, but how do I use that knowledge to predict anomalies?". Behaviorist can't really provide a helpful answer here.

@theWebWizrd 8 ай бұрын

Yes, they can. In this very video Shiller points to fads. So look at people predicting a downfall in hyped things like Bitcoin, NFTs, Tesla, NVIDIA and other AI stocks, or even just people predicting that the US stock marked will lag the next 5-10 years due to high index P/E. These are all predictions that are impossible to make with any degree of certainty - zero- under EMH.

@alinebaruchi1936 2 жыл бұрын

I know war theory and phil Geography Loads of things I can beat it easily

@alinebaruchi1936 2 жыл бұрын

@douglashurd4356 2 жыл бұрын

"... optimal expectations of future craziness." I think I've found my new motto.

@virnamisra1657 2 жыл бұрын

Just what's your title s sumup Mista

@高尔基-o1d 2 жыл бұрын

以后估计见不到了

@huluba2025 2 жыл бұрын

说真话难啊

@a2333232332 2 жыл бұрын

🐷惹的祸

@a2333232332 2 жыл бұрын

猪头肉好吃吗？

@user-vm7yk7wl8t 2 жыл бұрын

美味

@g0g158 3 жыл бұрын

我有可能见过胡舒立，在我前妻的住处。她参加基督教查经活动。肯定都是找我，我连找人家的想法就没有。通常是遇到大麻烦了。见我后并不敢和我多说话，主要是回去后说找过我，威慑别人。

@user-we2vt9mn2q 3 жыл бұрын

东哥做大了遵纪守法是对东哥最有利的条件，当一个小作坊完全遵纪守法是很难做的。

@cryptonomics9925 3 жыл бұрын

经典

@maddoo23 3 жыл бұрын

I thought it was already a democracy, a socialist democracy.

@mkz42279 3 жыл бұрын

It is not OK when the interviewer speaks more than the guest (Schiller).

@DatFabric 3 жыл бұрын

Long on shrimp?

@mrgoldie109 3 жыл бұрын

Interpretation: Markets are both efficient and inefficient. The big picture (news) or longterm is efficient. The day trader picture (emotion) or very short term is inefficient. Analogous to the distant bend in the road becomes straighter closer up. Markets are efficient in the distance and inefficient close up. Chaotic close, Ordered far away. “No thing under the sun is new.” (Ecclesiastes 1:9).

@BarsonlineOrg2013 5 ай бұрын

If they are both, then they are neither, then they are inefficient, no matter the horizon :)

@esmacihan844 3 жыл бұрын

ulan bırakın adam konuşsun

@ADADAS4EH 3 жыл бұрын

格局决定成败强子的企业价值观还是很好的 👌 牛逼

@AHHUAT2 3 жыл бұрын

现在又回来看谢国忠的忠告，可惜又灵验了！中国的资产抵押债券 (Collateralised Debt Obligations CDO) 通过 P2P 网贷市场爆发性吸收民间贷款，就连地方政府融资平台都滥用来支撑它们的烂债。现在全都爆了，一片狼藉！至于人民币债券市场，违约一片！中国的次”应收账款“和美国的次级房贷一个样，烂！