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@CDCrest 3 сағат бұрын
Im definitely not voting for Trump this time. Im in PA
@chandlerwitt2410 4 сағат бұрын
Would be incredibly shocked if this is correct
@LonnieLue 6 сағат бұрын
❤❤❤VOTE RED TO SAVE AMERICA!!
@myles6917 20 сағат бұрын
harris2024
@carlosximenes4171 21 сағат бұрын
Great video. Greetings from Brazil
@BuffettWarren3 22 сағат бұрын
I would actually agree on you with Pennsylvania, if they truly believe trump is a facist then that justifies any kind of cheating to meet their end goal. Let's hope not but I would say it's more likely than not unfortunately.
@caseyhansen4583 23 сағат бұрын
We disagree, but good luck to you fellow American.
@trith72 Күн бұрын
You need to recheck the standard polls. There is nothing to support any of your rust belt calls except for a lot of hope.
@dacream_reaper0493 12 сағат бұрын
That is only if you look at republican backed pollsters paid for by the Trump campaign. On average for these swing states 30 out 40 polls are usually republican backed. If you look at non partisan polls they paint the picture that this guy is showing. I think North Carolina will turn red but nevada and Pennsylvania look to be more likely turning blue
@whowasthat Күн бұрын
If this happens I see something very bad happening
@kindaparadoxical5631 Күн бұрын
So you are saying that if Kamala Harris wins “something very bad happens” (corrected grammar) got to love threatening language
@andyquinones1762 Күн бұрын
Very interesting and kudos to you for not just going “chalk” and taking the RCP averages of each state and calling it a day haha. Here’s my two cents (lol): I do trust AZ will go to DJT. Fox News has moved them from a toss up to a lean Republican state . Remember, Fox was, by far, the first news outlet to correctly call AZ for Biden in 2020 so I trust that they know what they’re doing with that state. I keep coming back to Mark Robinson for NC. I know the early vote looks good for the GOP but it’s hard for me to believe there’ll be such a huge difference in performance between Trump and Robinson (and MR is down at least 10 points in his race). Hot Take: I think this could be the cycle where the blue wall “breaks”. I’m especially suspicious that Michigan may shift rightward to Trump. Highest poverty rate in the Rust Belt combined with Arab Americans dissatisfied with Biden’s response to the War in Gaza, and Trump performing well among African American/Hispanic men could cause the flip. Agree on WI and PA though.
@ballinhunter12 Күн бұрын
I think you’re right about NC. I live in NC and am an ex Trump voter (2016) and voted Kamala Harris. My parents are both republicans who have always voted Republican since 1988 who told me while they won’t vote for Kamala, they didn’t vote for Trump. Trump has alienated a lot of moderate republicans and I think that might be just enough combined with January 6th to push Kamala over the edge here. Not saying it’s definitely gonna happen but wouldn’t be surprised.
@ballinhunter12 Күн бұрын
Also my dad is pretty Conservative and Trumps Republican Party is not conservative. He likes Vivek Ramaswamy but he thinks Trump is a moron and I concur with that observation.
@BB-tx8ty Күн бұрын
This map is exactly how I see the election going
@OJCHIMPSON Күн бұрын
I like your map. Only things I'd change are NC and NV go red. It'll be 270-268 Kamala. It's going to be VERY close. There is no doubt in my mind that we won't have final results on election night and there will be outcries of fraud.
@Bronkeys Күн бұрын
your 2 cents ain’t worth 2 cents. NC, NV and PA are all going red. biased af ngl
@brianstwocents1707 Күн бұрын
LMAO That's why it's MY two Cents. Doesn't have to be yours
@NayanfanLoosu Күн бұрын
Let's vote blue. 🎉
@chrisa7355 Күн бұрын
lol
@jordhivallejo482 Күн бұрын
VOTE FOT RED LETS GO
@gustavocustodio9186 Күн бұрын
Dude, you're just dreaming. No way Trump is going to lose NC or even pennsylvania
@myles6917 20 сағат бұрын
he’s prob gonna lose pennsylvania
@gustavocustodio9186 20 сағат бұрын
@myles6917 Almost every poll points to a Trump victory in PA. So, no.
@camdengoff8203 15 сағат бұрын
@@gustavocustodio9186 dont rely on polls
@dacream_reaper0493 12 сағат бұрын
@gustavocustodio9186 most polls for the last month are republican backed and paid for by trump or his surrogates. He explained this on the joe rogan podcast. About spending 300k or so. Definitely unreliable but all of that non partisan polls point harris ahead
@IHaveTrueGrit Күн бұрын
This is a fantasy.
@misc.2331 Күн бұрын
NC and Nevada are going red my guy lol. Harris may well win the rust belt though. Lots of voter shenanigans going on there, but we'll see.
@brianstwocents1707 Күн бұрын
We will see
@ballinhunter12 Күн бұрын
I think Trumps claims are all baseless and he’s screamed “Rigged” about every election since 2012, even the election he won in 2016. But if there’s any good thing that’s come out of it, I think it’s a good thing to make sure there is no fraud and I think it’s helping secure our elections more.
@georgedixon9863 Күн бұрын
If Harris wins anything, it'll be pro-abortion women. NV is tilting toward Trump
@TurboFist0 Күн бұрын
If Trump didn't lose NC to Biden then he sure as hell won't lose it to Kamala. I also refuse to believe she sweeps WI, MI, and PA. At least one of them will go Trump's way and get him over 270.
@yuranbes6971 Күн бұрын
very informative video, kinda cool the us has actual election where either side can win
@crimson1453 Күн бұрын
Trump is going to win, there is no way Harris wins North Carolina and wins all 3 of the rust belt states lol.
@frankalmanzar3492 Күн бұрын
Why do people think NC is going blue? Allan Lichtman thinks the same. I think Kamala is going to win but isn’t NC usually red?
@Twilightfang196 Күн бұрын
The early voting gender gap is what Alan Lichtman is looking at, and right now its at 10% gender gap (55% women to 44% men in the early vote) between men and women there, and with it being so close- women are more likely to lean towards Harris due to the abortion rights policy she has presented them with.
@crimson1453 Күн бұрын
@@Twilightfang196 men vote the day of the election. Trump isn't going to lose North Carolina,
@georgedixon9863 Күн бұрын
wishful thinking probably
@NayanfanLoosu Күн бұрын
GA and NC will flip blue. MAGA clowns will have to crawl into their holes again.
@Twilightfang196 Күн бұрын
@@crimson1453 i wish men good luck at catching up with the ladies voting against trump… way more women in this country than men lmao. 🤣
@LTP1776 2 күн бұрын
We’re doomed if Harris wins
@brianstwocents1707 2 күн бұрын
@@LTP1776 half the country says the same thing if Trump wins
@LTP1776 2 күн бұрын
@ Really? Most of the country said that life was easier under Trump. I can’t do another 4 years of the Harris administration
@Twilightfang196 Күн бұрын
We are more doomed if Trump wins....
@Twilightfang196 Күн бұрын
@@LTP1776 They are basing it upon his first 3 years in office when the economy was doing fairly well.. That's thanks in most part to Obama leaving trump with a healthy economy. Trump's failure with handling the Covid-19 Pandemic resulted in MAJOR disruptions in the job market, and cost millions of Americans their jobs in which in return put major strain on global economies. After to which when we started to rebound back from the pandemic, attributed to one of the reasons why inflation became so high...
@LTP1776 Күн бұрын
@ inflation became high because of Biden and Harris and you know it’s true. Nice try
@JadeiteMcSwag 3 күн бұрын
It's donald time
@brianstwocents1707 3 күн бұрын
@@JadeiteMcSwag lmao. Maybe? Maybe not
@alexkamer8331 19 сағат бұрын
If by donald time you mean we get to witness an orange twat of a man word vomiting dangerous lies and undermining our democracy then...yeah. I totally agree its donald time.
@CrackingCody 7 күн бұрын
Anyone who thinks Trump even has a chance this election is beyond delusional at this point. I look forward to your cope in a week and a half. XD
@ScottLee-xw8vm 7 күн бұрын
Delusional? Seriously? I mean I won't even go into the many reasons why Kamala voters are beyond delusional, instead I'll just focus on why Trump is likely going to win. RCP average currently has Trump up in the national vote by 0.1%. Not a ton, but to put it in perspective, on the same day in 2016, Clinton was up on the same average by nearly 6% and Biden by nearly 8% in 2020. Personally I think Trump is gonna win 312 minimum, but even if he doesn't, it ain't gonna be no blue tsunami lmao.
@trith72 7 күн бұрын
312 Trump, minimum. Possible 335 with the new tossups.
@ScottLee-xw8vm 7 күн бұрын
Amen brotha
@jamesross3939 8 күн бұрын
Nope... my bet is that 1 in 5 R's are voting for Kamala ... so ain't gonna happen. If it does, get ready for a Putin like government.
@usalways6306 8 күн бұрын
you are such a nut and hoping for crazy mircale, you are really a trump bum
@danielsiminski5878 8 күн бұрын
The ADULTERER FELON/SEX OFFENDER's days as a "politician" are DONE!
@Dwayne-mb2uj 9 күн бұрын
Everyone and his brother is on u tube saying that Trump will win. without any evidence .
@a.j.pinckney88 9 күн бұрын
😂😂😂😂 😂
@mr.wonderful4737 9 күн бұрын
Sorry Trump ain’t winning
@TheLunatrick 8 күн бұрын
cope
@markanderson6362 8 күн бұрын
I don't think it's even close. If she's gaining ground in Texas, she's smashing it.
@TheLunatrick 8 күн бұрын
@markanderson6362 Joe biden literly was up 7 points in the POLLS in PA in 2020 but only won by 0.6 less than a point. These stats were replicated in the other swing stats with 100% of polls underestimating in 2020 (my sauce on that 100% is a recent CNN video) RCP now even has trump up in the NATIONAL VOTE. she is far from crushing it
@underwaterlevelz1947 8 күн бұрын
@@markanderson6362 she isnt. Every 4 years we hear about the Democrat pipedream of flipping Texas, it never happens.
@brianstwocents1707 8 күн бұрын
@@underwaterlevelz1947 I don’t think she will win Texas but it is trending towards the left. I think it will be a true swing state in 2028
@HenriettaIlarina 10 күн бұрын
D. TRUMP & JD VANCE FOR AMERICAN.
@danielsiminski5878 8 күн бұрын
@michaelharrington5860 16 күн бұрын
People like Harris even less than Hillary. I don't see her winning WI, MI, NC, or ME. ✌
@noahjonmarshall5779 16 күн бұрын
good work; like the county analysis
@devintoner1160 16 күн бұрын
Great video, very thorough and grounded analysis.
@ivonnehaggerty7680 17 күн бұрын
Lol
@Scott-A-Montgomery 17 күн бұрын
She might win Nevada, not the others, I even wonder about Virginia
@brianstwocents1707 17 күн бұрын
@@Scott-A-Montgomery you don’t have to wonder, she will win it by about 5-6 points
@Scott-A-Montgomery 17 күн бұрын
@@brianstwocents1707 I know that Christopher Newport pollsters believe that but I have seen considerable ground game that helped Youngkin win there and that was interesting to see
@Spazzbro728 29 күн бұрын
Trump will not win Georgia and lose North Carolina, there is no world in which that'll happen. If you look at the raw Voter Registration data and Mail-in ballot Request's in States like Arizona, Nevada, Pennsylvania, Georgia, and North Carolina, then you would know Harris is in Big Trouble. Most people making election predictions have Trump at 312 electoral Votes to Harris's 226 and for good reason because that is what the raw data is telling us. But in a worse case scenario for Trump I still have him winning Georgia, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania which would put him at 270 electoral votes. The reason why I see Trump winning Pa no matter what is because of the fact Democrats are down 300,000 in mail-in ballot requests, Democrats Voter registration advantage was around 650,000 in 2020 now it is 340,000 registration advantage over Republicans. Republicans have been out registering Democrats for quite a while in Pennsylvania. You then also have groups like Pa Chase that are chasing down ballots and getting Pa Truckers, Hunters, and The Amish to become registered voters which all these groups favor Trump immensely more then Harris, and remember Trump only lost the state by 80,000 votes in 2020. There is a reason why the Harris Campaign has given up in Pennsylvania and people within the Harris camp have emitted they are doubtful about Harris's odds in Pennsylvania. Will have to wait and see on election night, but I truly believe that this election will be a landslide and will may also very well see Trump win the Popular vote too.
@ansc6472 29 күн бұрын
How does this guy predict the election?
@astrodude7306 29 күн бұрын
He's some guy, and he made guesses about stuff
@msscott22 29 күн бұрын
Wisconsin is notoriously hard to poll. Trump being so close in the polls indicates he could be winning. It'll be interesting to see.
@mark4262 29 күн бұрын
You are FOS
@blazehudson2147 Ай бұрын
Need more videos on house races. Thanks.
@VM-oi3dk Ай бұрын
Fantasy prediction
@brianstwocents1707 Ай бұрын
@@VM-oi3dk ok, how do you think it will go?
@Subher0 Ай бұрын
Applicable name because this prediction is more or less worth two cents. RFK is a lunatic, to think middle America will be swayed by him is laughable. This election will be decided by turnout, as it always does. High turnout and momentum always means the Democrat wins. Currently there is quite a bit of momentum still behind Harris, boosted by her debate performance though not really helped by Walz' performance yesterday which I think was a missed opportunity. Long story short turn out the vote is going to bury Trump most likely.
@sidjappie4102 Ай бұрын
The popular Vote is the People’s Choice. The electoral college is a cheating mechanism. The people didn’t select Trump.
@election-time-news Ай бұрын
Thanks for your valuable two cents, Brian!
@PowerPunch-j2e Ай бұрын
Let's not forget, OBOMA is a TURD !!!
@PowerPunch-j2e Ай бұрын
Click Fart for Demoturds