What we did not expected is Philippines is cheap running dog of US today

国際政治のダイムパラダイムを理解する上で有意義な講演ですね。だが、9年前の情況と現在との相違をも気付かせる論議でもあるように思えます。昨日大統領候補のトランプ氏が狙撃されました。安倍さんと同様です。政治理念、パラダイムのレベルと離れた所で揺れ動く政治情勢ではあるが、国内の民意や経済運営を反映する政治理念の枠組みを再構築を迫られているのではないでしょうか。尊敬と信頼を欠いた理念、パラダイムに陥っているのでは? 愚かな 狙撃手の中にも人間の本質を見詰めなければならないのは残念ではあるが、これも現実ですし、事実紛争現場では日常です。

聞きやすいようにゆっくり言ってくれてるのありがたい

字幕が常に上下、上下に移動するため、非常に読み難い。途中から読みたくても読むことがいやになる。やめました。

Ah foolish human race. 偷生。

Prof. Mearsheimer now acknowledges the possibility of Ru and the South growing tired of Western impunity and hypocrisy and aligning with China against the US.

Mr Mearsheimer, I hope that everyone understands your formula clearly. Thanks.

That was hard said to the Japanese in their own land. I'm very interested in the Japanese subtitles of the conversation 😂

Whenever Putin talks, Putin lies. And Mearsheimer believes him.

He is one of the best scholars in the world. It is too bad that the Japanese government did not take his advice seriously. Look the mess of our current world. Japan is now in a big trouble being a friend of the aggressive yet stupid US.

リベラルは、 脳の病気なので、 仕方ないです。

日本はありがたいことに、自国核を持てと勧めらている。そのことを質問する人がいないのは情けない。

Its up to DIVINE not you,

Loved it. Prophetic! I listened twice. Very encouraging to hear the 🇯🇵 Japanese questions posed to Prof. John Mearshimer. He is brilliant presenter. Thanks 🙏🏽 for making this available. Salute to fellow PRAGMATIC … REALIST! Wish more of 🇺🇸 USA 🇺🇸 leadership share Prof. JM’s views. #ACommon1Connectivity to Reality!

ほんっと多様性だの共生社会だのホザいてる奴らって、自分らと違う意見の人らには笑っちまうぐらい暴力的だもんなｗ あれ欧米でも同じだから精神病の一種だぞきっと

War game.

He is like a prophet. Everything he said became true.

ミアシャイマー先生

Great info. Too bad the person filming him could not afford a tripod for their camera.

A.) Why isn’t Japan considered a regional power? B.) what can Japan do to become a regional power?

Excellent lecture. Like Chomsky, Mearsheimer can be prophetic, so much of what he said has come to pass. They both have facts, logic, reason and a realistic understanding of power at their disposal.

He's just a CCP and Putin useful tool.

For that same reason. Japan deserves to be attacked by China, so they can learn their lesson. After WW2 Japan has taken a passive role it’s military, strength of its people and national pride. They have become a nation of meek men and devious women, completely relying on a foreign identity to keep you safe. Big mistake.

Considering the current situation in Ukraine, he is really genius when he answered the question of if he's the secretary of state. War might be avoided.

Eu tenho video "public "

I think Germany should give up some territory and and court supremacy to Russian Federation. That would be even Steven.

After all, Japan is digging its own grave without heeding his warning.

Very profound insight. Look at the US doing totally the opposite in these 8 years after this lecture.

Mearsheimer should not have used the U.S. Monroe Doctrine in his geopolitical argument because the United States abandoned the Monroe Doctrine long ago. For instance, a key principle of the Monroe Doctrine is the declaration that the United States will not be involved in European affairs. As World War 1, World War 2, and the Cold War proved, the United States have been involved in European affairs for many decades. Also the United States ignored the United Kingdom declaring sovereignty over the Falkland Islands, which are in the Americas, in 1833 and the United Kingdom's war against Argentina in 1982 to maintain its sovereignty over the Falkland Islands. Finally, U.S. President Barack Obama's Secretary of State John Kerry told the Organization of American States on November 18, 2013, "The era of the Monroe Doctrine is over." Mearsheimer is also wrong about why Russia invaded Ukraine. Ukraine is not a member of NATO, and it is very unlikely to become one because several NATO member nations, like France and Germany, oppose NATO membership for Ukraine because they don't want to upset Russia due to their dependence on Russian crude oil, natural gas, and solid fossil fuels. Several NATO member nations (i.e., Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, and Poland-- Remember, Kaliningrad Oblast is part of Russia like Hawaii is part of the United States) already border Russia and have done so peacefully for over 18 years. The only thing that NATO members on the border of Russia means is that Russia cannot invade and annex any NATO member without triggering the Article 5 collective security obligations of the NATO Treaty-- which means that Russia would have to fight all 30 members of NATO instead of the country that it invaded. Occam's razor stands for the principle that when you hear hoofbeats, think horses not zebras. In the Ukraine Crisis, think Russia is continuing its long history of annexing land and population from its weaker neighbors, which has made it by far the world's largest country that spans across two continents (Europe and Asia) and 11 of the world's 24 time zones, not that Russia, the world's greatest nuclear power, is supposedly afraid of non-nuclear Ukraine or NATO being at its borders.

Xi is pro communist follower of Mao and has been brain washing their people to hate the West and have no desire to make peace with the world. They will dominate taking over their country after giving them loans that can't be paid back later like Sri Lanka and Pakistan. Nuclear armed S Korea will neutralize China within 5 min.

I am writing this in 2022 and therefore 8 years after this conference, Pr Mearsheimer predictions and Realism model seem to be right with the NATO little game of expansion consequences, the current conflict in Ukraine, and the involvment of USA which will impede its Asian pivot. Even worse for Japan and Europe, the "double down" of USA and Europe have prompt Russia to get closer to China. US and European leaders should have listened to Pr Mearsheimer... is it too late ? 私はこれを2022年に書いているので、この会議から8年後、ミアシャイマー博士の予測とリアリズムモデルは、NATOの拡大の結果、ウクライナでの現在の紛争、そしてアジアの要を妨げる米国の関与と一致しているようです。 さらに悪いことに、米国とヨーロッパの「ダブルダウン」により、ロシアは中国に近づくようになりました。 アメリカとヨーロッパはミアシャイマー博士に耳を傾けるべきだった...手遅れですか？

Unbelievable that he foresaw all this mess.

ニクソンもキッシンジャーも中国に説得される前まではこのミアシァイマー氏と同じ考えだったと伊藤貫氏に教えられた。今こそ日本は目を覚まし、本来の国家のあるべき姿を取り戻すべき。

7 years video and this man could not be more right.

1、　 President Vladimir Putin like Alexander Dougin。 Alexander Dougin is a Russian geopolitician。 2、　 Alexander Dougin's claim is similar to "Karl Haushofer"。 Karl Haushofer's claim influenced Nazi Germany。 Karl Haushofer was an enthusiastic advocate of the Japanese - Nazi Germany military alliance。 He divided the world into four spheres of influence.。　He believed that "Soviet Union, Germany, America, Japan" would manage it naturally from a geopolitical point of view !!! His thinking completely ignores international law !!! 3、　Alexander Dougin said Ukraine is part of Russia。 He said that the area with "Russian-speaking people, Slavs, followers of the Greek Orthodox Church" should be dominated by Russia。 4、　John Mearsheimer's thinking completely ignores international law !!!

Not even subtitles to Japanese speech? What is this? A scholar, who cannot speak English? Useless latter part of the video.

ワシントン在住の国際政治アナリスト伊藤貫氏が、しばしばミヤシャイマー氏の見解を引用します。 世界のまともな国20ヶ国くらいは、核を持った方が 戦争しなくなるという、リアリスト学派の 核戦略理論 をもっと 日本に広めるべきだと思います。 いつまでも、日本を非武装国にしておくより、日本に核武装させて、中国を牽制する方が、長期的にみて 米国の国益になるだろう、と いう考えをお持ちで、私も この意見に賛成です。 今回のロシアウクライナ戦争についても、米国のやり方に反対の立場をとっておられるそうです。 米国は、世界の覇権を取るために、東アジアでは日本に米軍を起き支配し、欧州はNATOを置いている、NATOの東方拡大は クリントン政権から始まっており、ウクライナは ロシアの国防政策でほとんど急所なのだと。だから、ファイトバックしてるんですね。日本が、真珠湾攻撃したのと、全く同じです。ミヤシャイマー氏は、もし、中国が、カナダやメキシコと同盟し、中国軍を配備したら、米国は黙っていないだろう？と。米国の政権中枢にいるイケイケの好戦的な連中が、世界を混乱させていて、きっと 米国は 対露政策も対中政策も失敗するだろうと、伊藤氏は予測しています。日本は、自国の国防を米国に丸投げしていますから、米国の失敗により、日本破滅する未来が待っています。 ウクライナを見て、可哀想とか そんなことより、日本は本当にこのままでいいのか？そんな議論すら出ないことに、一国民として 情けなく 絶望的な気持ちになります。

Japan tried to dominate the region of East Asia in the 1930's to 1940's and invaded China. China fought and won a bitter war to preserve the country China. China is not going to let it happen again.

Fun Fact: post WW2, No 2 Democratic countries has a ever gone to war. What about if Russia had became Democratic & spent its oil money on people. Russian joined the EU & NATO. 1990s I was thinking one day Russia going to Join EU but Putin choose a different F Uped path. Russia economy is close to Spain, so 14 former countries joined or want to Join EU. Why you want to do business with Spain when you can do big business with USA 23Trillion Economy. I never see Russia a threat except Nuclear ☢️, it’s just like a Don with a gun.

convenient policy shift for such a policy rigid people….

Funny video 😂😂😂😂😂

So prescient

ミアシャイマーの言わんとすることの行間を読むならば、『お前らな、オレの英語がわかりやすいなんて喜んでる場合じゃねえんだぞ、さっさと目を覚ましてちゃんと軍拡して核武装せんと内臓はみ出すまでチャイナにファックされっぞ、わかってんのか！』ということ。そしてミアシャイマーの凄いところは『ISISなんか切り捨てでいい＝中東のベドウィンなんかに関わるな、ウクライナは緩衝地帯にしとけ＝ロシアのメンツを刺激すんな』とすっぱりと『見捨てる・切り捨て』ができること。 If you read between the lines of what Mearsheimer is saying, he is saying, "You guys don't have time to be happy that my English is so easy to understand, you need to wake up, expand your army and get your nukes, or China will fuck you until your guts stick out! You know what I mean? And the great thing about Mearsheimer is that he is able to say, "Abandon ISIS, don't get involved with the Bedouins in the Middle East, keep Ukraine as a buffer zone, don't provoke Russia.

THIS GUY FORGET (PARADOXICALY) THE HUGE DILLEMAS OF THE FUTURE (CLIMATE CHANGE ETC.) IN HIS CONSIEERATIONS....AND THE OTHER HAND HE THINK CHINA WILL PUT IN DANGER THE SURVIVOR OF EEUU IF BECAME HEGEMONIC COUNTRY...THIS NO MAKE SENSE BECAUSE A BIG OCEAN SEPARATE THE BOTH , AND ABOUT THE CLIMATE CHANGE , THE FUTURE WILL OBLIGE ALL COUNTRIES TO COOPERATE BY NECESITY , JUST TO SURVIVE....SO HE IS WRONG IN BASIC CONSIDERATIONS....

The reason they don't worry about it is because Guatemala has no intention of invading the United States. It's Guatemala that has to worry about the United States. Mearsheimer just ignores the next issue :: What do smaller States do to protect themselves from larger, aggressor-States ?

His each and every word are in the interste of India

He is twisting facts and argument to serve his self-interest of maintaining US world dominance. If he is honest with his own theory, then he should promote the notion that all countries around the world should join hands to contain the USA instead. What right does the USA has to dominate the world while acting irresponsibly against other countries who choose to develop with a different path? In Chinese culture, a dominating world power is acceptable but it must act responsibly and fairly towards others. Such actions are referred to by the Chinese as 'Dao' (道), or the natural path. And the Chinese believe those who follow the Dao more closely will gain more support from everywhere. In the eyes of most Chinese, the West, especially the USA, have been behaving against the Dao, and will face decline for sure.

It's so disappointing! Someone has to tell the Japanese politely that their language is not understood by us outside Japan. It is, therefore, very impolite and counterproductive, to say the least, to speak only Japanese to us also, the non-Japanese!

Prof. Mearsheimer has a fatal flaw in his argument. He argues that the West foolishly attempted to transform Ukraine and Georgia into Western bulwarks and made the regions unstable, which led to war. Yet when it comes to China, he argues the US should use her allies to contain China. That's exactly what the West did in Ukraine and Georgia. The conflicts in Ukraine and Georgia stemmed from the US's attempts to "contain Russia" to force the government to capitulate to the West's system. Security guarantees and military alliances with nations along Russia's border made the regions unstable. So why would we think that security guarantees and military alliances with nations along China's border will have a different outcome? If anything, it will have a similar outcome. For example, Mearsheimer pointed out that Russia is fighting in Ukraine because it feels threatened by the military alliance on its border. Also, he points out that Crimea has a special significance to Russia as a cultural, economic, and strategic center. Are we supposed to assume that China will not feel threatened by a Western alliance along China's borders? Are we also to assume that China's surrounding territories do not have similar cultural, economic, and strategic significance as Crimea does to Russia? We know that these regions have much more significance to China than they do to the United States. If the United States decides to create a political, strategic, and military alliance along China's border, then that would spell disaster. Such security guarantees in Asia would make the region unstable and create an impetus for war, just as it did in Ukraine. Mearsheimer offered a good analysis, but his solution does not stand up to scrutiny.

What does the Japanese text from 1m23s to 10m40s mean? Is there at least a transcription, or even a translation? (Best: both transcription AND translation.)