Irrelevant to me I’ve still never even encountered one of the birds. In fact today I used the incense for 2 hours straight and no bird

Spoofers wait 2 hours before catching pokemon they teleport to to remove cooldown so if you want to wait 2 hours on a legendary bird to try and increase your catch rate that be better than wasting balls the ball wasting increases the time you are on the catch screen which is what would be doing it not wasting the balls themselves.

It warms my heart to see you use the limit of a geometric series to adjust for the 90% flee rate, instead of just simulating an approximation in a loop.

Admittedly I may be a bit biased, but excellent video! I especially appreciate the mention of confirmation bias at the start. So many misconceptions in this game (and in life) can be traced back to confirmation bias.

Awesome thanks!!!!

the man makes a python for throwing balls, you know excel? hahaha amazing video man

Nigga, stop using ai art. Putting all this effort just to flash bang me

I don't like fast catch despite how useful it is I rather niantic adds a new feature that allows us to skip those animations like similar to eggs where just tapping skips to the end

Don't forget the mirrored throws :(

Ok oddly enough it has happened to me on moltres. I caught it with 1 actual ball hit. I did miss 4 times tho on accident because it kept moving. But the 1 ball that hit it caught it. I have 2 moltres now.

what is the p value?

The first time I tried this it worked !! It hasn't worked since.

Omg finally somebody answered this question ever since i saw that video of the waste your balls trick to increase your catch rate ive been trying to find someone to answer this question but all the other sources where old and outdated, thanks for making this, and your excellent catching videos are the best simce it has helped me improve my throwing skills.❤

Thanks for the analysis. I was hesitant to waste Pokeballs on the rumor. That internet archive is great when a site goes down. I had lost a character build for a diablo-style game until I found it there.

Oh, that's smart to have a pre-recorded vocal template of sorts that's just "this Pokemon" instead of changing it for every Pokemon.

Well for Galarian Bird.... kinda not, i just throw 10 Ultra, get excellent throw, shake once.... broke and ran away

Great

Just found your channel, and there's a lot of amazing stuff here! I SUPER appreciate the guide to be a better catcher.

Such intense! Very wow!

Tldr: im confused and just want to catch shiny pocket monster birds 😢

Amazing video! Very well researched, thanks for providing this information :D

Anecdotally, during Niantics adjustments of 2024 it seems they increased slightly the catch rate of the first one or two throws. I’ve not come across similar statistical analysis though, or spent the time tracking it myself. Has anyone else had similar observances?

Do excellents or greats increase catch rate? Or just hitting the curve ball in general? I’m new to the game sorry if this is a dumb question

This channel is soooooooo good. The production quality is high, and the math is easy to follow. Why don't you have 100x the subs and views??

“There’s nothing I love more than being corrected on the internet.” Well said!

Hi : ) I only play for 2 months and I wanted to perfect my throws by looking at your video (thank you so much for your content btw). Is there an other recent change in excellent throws? After the pokemon attack, the excellent circle is going back to a larger size, resulting in the incapacity of using the technic of waiting for the end of his attack to get an excellent throw. Am I right? But, on the other side, for a beginner like me, it really helps adjusting a second throw since we are now able to throws the second ball in a really short time and making the adjustments needed without having to wait a full turn of circle. Hope I can make me understood, I'm french and writting english is much more difficult than listening 😓

Its funny how TheKruseShip started this whole trend of trying/debunking the ball trick myth

Thank u

Were the final numbers on the average number of throws to catch the shiny based on regular throws without Golden Raz and Ultra Ball? Or was it including those?

I plug a GameBoy into my phone and hold down + B, works half the time all the time :p

This is quite useful to know tbh, great video!

I appreciate that you cite your sources and link to them!

Why the sad song at the end of the video?

Always wondered why that last ball catch even if I flubbed an excellent and got a great throw felt like odds were boosted.

I knew it!!! Thanks 🙏

This is fantastic. Thanking the algorithm for suggesting this

this channel is going to blow. Investing at 3.73k subs I expect to see 10k in 2 months and 50k by halfway through 2025

i did this with a zapdos and got it. but the next time i tried no luck

Interesting. I always thought this was the case but never knew there was research into it. I am curious, though. Does it matter if the ball hits the pokemon? If you miss a throw, does your catch chance still increase on the next ball?

The increased catch rate of Premier Balls is consistent with my experience when catching Shadow Pokémon from Rocket teams. However, I wonder if the boost correlates with effective throws (even if the catch fails) or all throws (including those where the ball doesn’t hit the target and is wasted). Either way, the best practice would be to use the circle lock technique and avoid wasting any available balls.

The dedication! Hope you make a video on how to get excellent throw on galarian birds too. Since shinies just got released, I am sure people will start looking for an excellent throw guide.

Nice video. I have a question, I´ve heard that making an excellent throw with the 1° ball (in legendary raids at least) increases your chances to catch in the final ball. Is that true?

Best chanel out

K so why am I still failing the goddamn legends from raids it’s not fair

I've found that a regular throw right after an excellent throw is often more effective than the excellent throw itself

"...any magic incantation..." 😂🤣 This channel is gold! This topic was totally new to me. Thanks so much!!

I've caught 4 Galarian birds with this method so I thought it must've had at least SOME truth to it. Interesting! Guess I just got lucky.