No offense sir, 97% of scientist is not the same as 97% of Climate scientist. Science is not politics, it is not a popularity contest, verifiable data is required. I have a hard time listening to people making arguments about things they seem to misunderstand so badly. Many times they are just regurgitating talking points prepared for them by their assistants.
@rainbowlemon7 жыл бұрын
If you watch the video all the way through, you can see that the more expertise a scientist has in the field of climate research, the more they agree that humans are causing inadvertent climate change.
@mediasharer49957 жыл бұрын
I think the video answered your first point, seeing as how it specifically breaks down which type of scientists gave which response and in which proportion. As far as real data, I know it's easy for you to just wander around the internet watching short videos and then criticise them, however if you believe in data that will require effort on your part to READ things, such as the published paper itself, which is referenced in the video description. If you "have a hard time listening to people making arguments" ...don't do it. Read the paper and make educated responses/criticisms instead of ignorant lazy ones.
@rakooi7 жыл бұрын
"Climate Change was theorized in 1799, Alexander von Humboldt." Please notice that that was 1799...a LONG time ago, they knew ! . "Climate Changed Scientifically tied to Global Warming & Human Activity, physicist & astronomer Simeon Denis Poisson, 1811-1827." . "George Perkins Marsh (1801-1882) author of the 1847 lecture that predicted "human-induced climate change.” . THEY WERE LECTURING ABOUT GLOBAL WARMING and the resulting Climate Changes, in 1847 ! . “The heat-trapping nature of carbon dioxide & other gases was experimentally demonstrated & *PROVED* in the mid-19th century.” ..( these same fundamental experiments are replicated Every year in nearly every college science class 101, around the world ! ...they are put up for critique and every science student takes a shot on the science... for decades, no appreciable critique of the science of Global Warming...not in climatology, not in physics, not in Meteorology, etc.) "....The line of empirical evidence that humans are causing global warming is as follows: ((there will be a test later !) . We're raising CO2 levels Human carbon dioxide emissions are calculated from international energy statistics, tabulating coal, brown coal, peat, and crude oil production by nation and year, going back to 1751. CO2 emissions have increased dramatically over the last century, climbing to the rate of 29 billion tonnes of CO2 per year in 2006 (EIA). . Atmospheric CO2 levels are measured at hundreds of monitoring stations across the globe. Independent measurements are also conducted by airplanes and satellites. For periods before 1958, CO2 levels are determined from air bubbles trapped in polar ice cores. In pre-industrial times over the last 10,000 years, CO2 was relatively stable at around 275 to 285 parts per million. . Over the last 250 years, atmospheric CO2 levels have increased by OVER 100 parts per million. Currently, the amount of CO2 in the atmosphere is increasing by around 15 gigatonnes every year. . (( Instead of 250-285PPM, as it has been for well over 10,000 years, today we are NOW OVER 405PPM ! )) . (( What has change which has caused this to occur? )) . Atmospheric CO2 levels and Cumulative CO2 emissions (CDIAC). While atmospheric CO2 levels are usually expressed in parts per million, here they are displayed as the amount of CO2 residing in the atmosphere in gigatonnes. CO2 emissions includes fossil fuel emissions, cement production and emissions from gas flaring. .... ((((( Humans are emitting more than 135 TIMES as much CO2 as ALL of the volcanoes on EARTH, each & every year, COMBINED ! ))))) . >> CO2 traps heat. << . According to radiative physics & decades of laboratory measurements, increased CO2 in the atmosphere is expected to absorb more infrared radiation as it escapes back out to space. ** In 1970, NASA launched the IRIS satellite measuring infrared spectra. ** In 1996, the Japanese Space Agency launched the IMG satellite which recorded similar observations. ** Both sets of data were compared to discern any changes in outgoing I.R. energy radiation over the 26 year period SOURCE: (Harries 2001). What they found was a drop in outgoing radiation at the wavelength bands that greenhouse gases such as CO2 and methane (CH4) absorb energy. The change/reduction in outgoing radiation was consistent with Global Warming theoretical expectations. ** Thus the paper found "direct experimental evidence for a significant increase in the Earth's greenhouse effect" and Global Warming. ((If Infra Red Energy, does not escape, it is retained in our Earth System as rising temperatures...(( in the Oceans, soil and atmosphere )) This result has been confirmed by subsequent Research papers using data from later satellites. . SOURCE: (Griggs 2004) SOURCE: ( Chen 2007 ) . Change in spectrum from 1970 to 1996 due to trace gases. 'Brightness temperature' indicates equivalent blackbody temperature . SOURCE: (Harries 2001). . When greenhouse gases absorb infrared radiation, the energy heats the atmosphere which in turn re-radiates infrared radiation in all directions. Much of it makes its way back to the earth's surface. . Hence we expect to find more infrared radiation heading downwards. . Surface measurements from 1973 to 2008 find an increasing trend of infrared radiation returning to earth. . SOURCE: (Wang 2009) . A regional study over the central Alps found that downward infrared radiation is increasing due to the enhanced greenhouse effect. . SOURCE: (Philipona 2004) . Taking this a step further, an analysis of high resolution spectral data allowed scientists to quantitatively attribute the increase in downward radiation to each of several greenhouse gases. . SOURCE: (Evans 2006) . The results lead the authors to conclude that "this experimental data should effectively end the argument by skeptics that no experimental evidence exists for the connection between greenhouse gas increases in the atmosphere and global warming." . Spectrum of the greenhouse radiation measured at the surface. Greenhouse effect from water vapor is filtered out, showing the contributions of other greenhouse gases. . SOURCE: (Evans 2006) . The planet is accumulating heat . When there is more energy coming in than escaping back out to space, our climate accumulates heat. The planet's total heat build up can be derived by adding up the heat content from the ocean, atmosphere, land and ice. . SOURCE: (Murphy 2009) . Ocean heat content was determined down to 3000 metres deep. Atmospheric heat content was calculated from the surface temperature record and heat capacity of the troposphere. Land and ice heat content(eg-the energy required to melt ice)were also included. . Total Earth Heat Content from 1950. . SOURCE: (Murphy 2009) . SOURCE: (Ocean data taken from Domingues et al 2008.) . From 1970 to 2003, the planet has been accumulating heat at a rate of 190,260 gigawatts with the vast majority of the energy going into the oceans. . Considering a typical nuclear power plant has an output of 1 gigawatt, imagine 190,000 nuclear power plants pouring their energy output directly into our oceans. . What about after 2003? A map of of ocean heat from 2003 to 2008 was constructed from ocean heat measurements down to 2000 metres deep . . SOURCE: (von Schuckmann 2009) . Globally, the oceans have continued to accumulate heat to the end of 2008 at a rate of 0.77 ± 0.11 Wm?2, consistent with other determinations of the planet's energy imbalance. . SOURCE: (Hansen 2005) SOURCE: (Trenberth 2009). The planet continues to accumulate heat. 1. So we see a direct line of evidence that we're causing global warming. Human CO2 emissions far outstrip the rise in CO2 levels. 2. The enhanced greenhouse effect is confirmed by satellites and many surface measurements. 3. The planet's energy imbalance is confirmed by summations of the planet's total heat content and ocean heat measurements...." (which have been duplicated dozens of time around the world)
@rakooi7 жыл бұрын
Although temperatures had been running lower than the central estimate of IPCC projections in recent years, they were, and are, still CLEARLY within the projection ‘envelope,’ as shown in the figure above and discussed at length in the linked articles. Moreover, I added, there was and is a long track record in the scientific literature of successful predictions by climate models. It was collected and documented by Barton Paul Levenson (also linked in sidebar.) I quoted Barton as follows below, Multi National Global Climate Computer Models (dating back decades) have SPOT-ON-ACCURATELY predicted: . That the globe would warm, and about how fast, and about how much. That the troposphere would warm and the stratosphere would cool. That nighttime temperatures would increase more than daytime temperatures. That winter temperatures would increase more than summer temperatures. Polar amplification (greater temperature increase as you move toward the poles). That the Arctic would warm faster than the Antarctic. The magnitude (0.3 K) and duration (two years) of the cooling from the Mt. Pinatubo eruption. They made a retrodiction for Last Glacial Maximum sea surface temperatures which was inconsistent with the paleo evidence, and better paleo evidence showed the models were right. They predicted a trend significantly different and differently signed from UAH satellite temperatures, and then a bug was found in the satellite data. The amount of water vapor feedback due to ENSO. The response of southern ocean winds to the ozone hole. The expansion of the Hadley cells. The poleward movement of storm tracks. The rising of the tropopause and the effective radiating altitude. The clear sky super greenhouse effect from increased water vapor in the tropics. The near constancy of relative humidity on global average. That coastal upwelling of ocean water would increase. Seventeen correct predictions? Looks like a pretty good track record to me. + 47% of Species have already been disturbed/driven out of their native habitat. www.nationalgeographic.com/magazine/2017/04/seven-things-to-know-about-climate-change www.bbc.com/future/story/20170403-miamis-fight-against-sea-level-rise
@nin62467 жыл бұрын
The sad truth is that there's much more serious concerns and dangers in regards to immediate pollutive effects from energy production than the projected "end of the earth" due to global warming/climate change. If we focus on immediate toxic effects, we can achieve near 100% consensus and potentially alter behavior on our own volition without having to be threatened or jailed by the State in order to comply.
@anadodgen29497 жыл бұрын
Good work communicating science to the public!
@TheLRider8 жыл бұрын
A very very poor summary of the complexities of the benefits/disadvantages of both types of energy storage/transfer system. As with all research one has to ask who paid for the research and why on earth publish such a short and simple conclusion?
@GCIUQ7 жыл бұрын
Hello Brian, Many people enjoy bite-sized tidbits of information. We are always looking at better ways to communicate research. If you have a better 1.5 minute method of explaining the benefits/disadvantages of both types of energy storage/transfer system, we would love to see it. For those who want more detail, we wrote this video description, which you can see if you click "show more" under the video: Professor of energy engineering Sally Benson explains why electric vehicles are better than hydrogen fuel cell vehicles. A related research article co-authored by Prof Benson: www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0360544216311173 Sally Benson is the Executive Director of the Global Climate and Energy Project and Energy Resources Engineering at Stanford University. Learn more: pangea.stanford.edu/research/bensonlab/sallybenson/ This short video is part of GCI’s insights video series. The Global Change Institute is is an independent source of innovative research, ideas and advice for addressing the challenges of a changing world at the University of Queensland, Australia. www.gci.uq.edu.au/ The views expressed in this video do not necessarily represent the views of the Global Change Institute.
@Deebz2708 жыл бұрын
Excellent and passionately delivered lecture Chris. Although this focused on the plight of the GBR, the message given was appropriate to governments of all nations. Here in the UK, the recent government approval for further licences to undertake hydro-fracturing, that could extend over 50% of the British mainland! Yet we 'ratified' COP22 (?) Not to mention cutting incentives to renewable energy in favour of further off-shore oil prospecting and the expansion of Hinkley C Nuclear facility. . The Canadian Tar Sands debacle being simply another example of Political Cognitive Dissonance.
@rakooi8 жыл бұрын
All of the experiments & observations that led to the Global Warming projections in the 1810's to 1890's are replicated tens of thousands of times PER YEAR (by nearly every entry level college Science student) in Colleges & University around the world. "...All of the Scientific Organizations on Earth, (old & respected) have studied the evidence (human observations) (Scientific experiments) (ground digital & satellite Measures) & they have voted on the issue & ALL of the Scientific Organizations (a few by governing board votes) (vast majority by overwhelming votes of memberships) (Supervised & Verified) *have endorsed the VERY REAL THREATS OF WARMING WORLD TEMPERATURES & the RESULTING CLIMATE CHANGES which will require huge changes to our economies, our level of technology & our level of civilization. * "... a synthesis of consensus estimates on human-caused global warming We have shown that the scientific consensus on AGW is robust, with a range of 90%-100% depending on the exact question, timing & sampling methodology. This is supported by multiple independent studies despite variations in the study timing, definition of consensus, or differences in methodology including surveys of scientists, analyses of literature or of citation networks From a broader perspective, it doesn’t matter if the consensus number is 90% or 100%. The level of scientific agreement on AGW is overwhelmingly high because the supporting evidence is overwhelmingly strong.doi:10.1088/1748-9326/11/4/048002 iopscience.iop.org/arti...
@Desertphile8 жыл бұрын
A fine video; thank you.
@TheCriticsAreRaving8 жыл бұрын
"Consensus on consensus", what a glorious rebuttal!
@GCIUQ8 жыл бұрын
In South East Asia, one billion people lack access to ‘improved sanitation facilities’ and only half of the population in the Pacific Island countries have access to such facilities. Poor hygiene and unsanitary living conditions in remote Australian Aboriginal communities have contributed to children experiencing a higher rate of common infectious diseases than non-Aboriginal, urban communities. Access to clean, safe water and sanitation are key interventions for primary health prevention and could reduce the global disease burden by almost ten per cent. The United Nations seeks to address this situation through Sustainable Development Goal 6 (SDG6) to ‘ensure access to water and sanitation for all’. Two experts from the World Health Organisation jointly presents a GCI Insights seminar on global health challenges from unsafe drinking water and inadequate sanitation - and the potential for the Sustainable Development Goals to improve this global challenge. They highlight case studies from their recent SDG training in the Pacific. They are visiting Australia as keynote speakers and specialist trainers for Water, Sanitation and Hygiene (WASH) Futures conference in Brisbane.
@papagiorgio101208 жыл бұрын
What is affecting earth's climate more? Minor fossil fuel (CO2), that constitutes 0.04% of the atmosphere - OR - The Sun which is 1.3 million times bigger than Earth, is situated around 150 million kilometers away from Earth and makes a half of the day significantly warmer that the other half? Don't you think that Sun's activity is crucial in understanding Earth's climate? Look at seasons, tiny shift in earths rotaional axis, creats only a tiny difference in distance from the Sun and ... we have winter instead of summer. Can these changes have something to do with higher/lower activity of the Sun (dark spots i.e.), rather than some tiny little humans using what is only Earth's natural component? Do you really feel so proud and so important, that you think you can justify taking away people's money and inhibiting their development?
@GCIUQ8 жыл бұрын
Hello +Papa Giorgio, these concerns have been investigated and responded to by scientists. Please take a look at these videos from our online course "Making sense of Climate Science Denial" which explain how we know that, in this case, the sun is not what is causing global warming: "Structure of the atmosphere" explains why the pattern of warming does not match what changes in solar radiation would cause: kzbin.info/www/bejne/gn7CpH6QeNtlbKM "Measuring from space" explains that something that is present even in very small amounts can have a big effect (think of things like blood alcohol level): kzbin.info/www/bejne/rXbYhJmDh6dqprc "Full interview with Michael Lockwood" is an exclusive interview with a physicist who has dedicated his career to studying the effects of the sun on our climate. In it, he explains how we know the sun is not responsible for warming in the last century kzbin.info/www/bejne/hKKrgmufa6xgm6s We hope you find these resources to be useful. If you'd like more information, consider registering for our free online course. It has links to research and more lectures that you may find interesting. www.edx.org/course/making-sense-climate-science-denial-uqx-denial101x-0
@ElkoJohn8 жыл бұрын
+Papa Giorgio Hi Papa, -- the way I understand it, the green house gases (of which CO2 is one) trap the heat of the sun bouncing off the earth's surface, which would head back into space if not stopped by the greenhouse gas layer at the top of our atmosphere. So yes, it's the sun -- but the greenhouse gas layer is the real culprit.
@xchopp8 жыл бұрын
Hi John, You're correct that GH gases are the real culprit (though there are contributions from black carbon aerosols) -- but that's not quite accurate. The GH gases are well mixed: not just a layer at the top of the atmosphere. More importantly: counter-intuitive as it is, the Earth is warmed by _light from the sun -- mostly by light in the visible wavelengths (look up "solar spectrum"). About 70% is reflected by Earth components (clouds, snow, ice, aerosols, land, even water) but ~30% is absorbed, heating the materials and causing them to radiate more "heat" (EMR in longer wavelengths than light). GH gases raise the altitude in the atmosphere at which this thermal radiation can escape to space, thus thickening the Earth's radiative insulation and resulting in warming at the surface (look up "lapse rate"). hth.
@ElkoJohn8 жыл бұрын
thanks for helping me learn more . . .
@maribelhutchinson51749 жыл бұрын
I am pretty sure you can find good solution on inplix page :)
@GCIUQ10 жыл бұрын
From hitting the stage with Leonardo DiCaprio to launching projects to transform farming in Africa, it's been an exciting year for the Global Change Institute! Thanks everyone for your support throughout 2014 and have a great festive holiday.
@dejanamaros11 жыл бұрын
Great tour! Is there some place I can get this concept design scheme ( at 1:54)? I'm working on small university project and I'm doing research on this specific building. I would like to see how things work in this case and it looks like this is excellent example. Thank you in advance!
@StaticApnea11 жыл бұрын
John Cook, you have really become a good science communicator and a very important voice in climate science communication over the last few years. Keep up the good work and thank you for running Skeptical Science in such a fabulous way!