So, the way I see it (and yes, I have been following these updates, as well as my own models), is that Steve and the team have not yet gotten it "wrong". There was a decline at exactly the time predicted by the cycle analysis (tick). Yes, there was a large rally with the election that is a continuation of the up trend, but that was very early in November, and as I write this, it is only November 10th. So, if it happens that we have just hit a top late cycle, then there is still time for the period of risk to play out. Also, large corrections can happen much more quickly than large movements to the upside. So, let's give it another week at least!
@4pitch16 сағат бұрын
Good job as always it's never about predictions it's is about probabilities and perspective.
@askSlimTeam16 сағат бұрын
Appreciate you
@Enadalnabare-m3o18 сағат бұрын
You got it wrong in November, I’ll give another try to see if it will make correction in December as you said If not I’ll cancel my membership and never listening to you again We invested a lot of money in options hoping you will be right :(
@askSlimTeam17 сағат бұрын
I’m wondering if you hear me talking each week about the importance of “trade ownership.” Also, we constantly showed the momentum conditions as positive, and members hear our suggestions of taking only the smallest position if entering counter to the indicators when anticipating a turn. If you made a “big investment” it’s on you. If you’re a premium member, you’re not using information in a healthy way. You might as well cancel now.
@Enadalnabare-m3o17 сағат бұрын
@ got it , as you like I’ll cancel now , thank for your response and wish all luck
@MarcBowen-p1o19 сағат бұрын
Why can't there be respect in saying "yeah I got it wrong" instead of always trying to back track and justify. If you can't I can....YOU GOT IT WRONG!! PERIOD!! It's OK, nobody gets it right very often, just man up.
@askSlimTeam18 сағат бұрын
You must not have heard the comment in which it was said the projection was a decline of 6% or more, but in only fell 3%. How much clearer can it be?
@DavidisDawei20 сағат бұрын
How long can any of us sprint up a hill indefinitely before needing to stop and take a break
@askSlimTeam20 сағат бұрын
Good question
@cristiansoave575222 сағат бұрын
Thanks Steve. It is always good to have your experience with us. Greetings from Buenos Aires.
@askSlimTeam22 сағат бұрын
So nice of you
@James-qz6viКүн бұрын
Because Trump will cut government jobs that could slow down spending. Half of the new jobs created were government jobs; purposely to inflate jobs reported. Plus massive illegal immigrates caused increased earnings. It’s all fabricated.
@kevintran5035Күн бұрын
Thanks Slim, always interesting information❤
@askSlimTeamКүн бұрын
My pleasure!
@niklas4031Күн бұрын
2025 will be ugly
@askSlimTeamКүн бұрын
I agree that is a very strong possibility
@niklas4031Күн бұрын
@ yeah I have been bullish for 2 years but further gains are hard to justify
@OldLion6416 сағат бұрын
All other things being equal yes but we could see yet another melt up too before that. I personally see a credit crunch on the horizon which can throw a monkey wrench into everything too. Lots of moving parts right now so very unpredictable IMO. Being cautious.
@bubbagump6961Күн бұрын
I will respectfully comment that the market did not respect your cycle prediction.
@askSlimTeamКүн бұрын
Thank you, appreciate the respect. I’m wondering if you have followed us over these past several weeks as we have shown the timing for when we thought a correction would come. That allowed for the possibility of into December. Also, in the show, I was clear saying that the magnitude of the correction was far less than the normal projection
@Dennis_510Күн бұрын
Trump will want to start pumping oil at full capacity, so price will continue to the downside in 2025 I would think
@askSlimTeamКүн бұрын
✔️
@Dennis_510Күн бұрын
Started legging into metals this week on the pullback, early I'm sure but don't want to let them run away from me again
@askSlimTeamКүн бұрын
👍
@askSlimTeamКүн бұрын
Please always be respectful and keep your comments constructive. We have an amazingly hard-working team and they deserve it.
@ankiindi2886Күн бұрын
No one expects you to be right 100% of the time, no one is. And if you were, you won't be making YT videos. But at least accept when you are off the mark. "catastrophic weakness is coming soon" suddenly becomes "weakness came and went as we predicted". It's clear that the current upmove is contradicting the time cycles below. It's fine, just accept it. Be humble, learn from market - like everyone does. It's OK to be not 100% right.
@askSlimTeamКүн бұрын
Thanks for your comments. I believe I clearly said that the market did not have the magnitude of decline that was expected.
@askSlimTeamКүн бұрын
+@ankiindi2886 please tell me when you heard me say “catastrophic weakness is coming soon”, as I don’t believe I would ever use that language. I am my team always try to be moderate our forecasts.
@florianmaier9017Күн бұрын
Very Gold analysis! It would be cool if you make an cycle Analysis of QQQ/SPY as well - so we could see if it makes more sence to buy QQQ or SPY kind regards from Bavaria Germany
@askSlimTeamКүн бұрын
That is available to our premium members
@kenchinn3275Күн бұрын
I scalped the ES while watching election announcements all night and since, got out at 6030 today, it was an awesome week, kept scalping, made a killing since Tuesday
@askSlimTeamКүн бұрын
Great to hear this
@ghihbgyuКүн бұрын
I was expecting you to present the possibility of a shift to a longer cycle as shown in the SIR with dotted lines. You abandoned that idea?
@askSlimTeamКүн бұрын
I showed the two scenarios that we have been showing for several weeks.
@ghihbgyuКүн бұрын
@@askSlimTeam I know, but in the SIR it's proposed that the election (or perhaps the august selloff?) triggered a new money flow pattern, putting us not in the cycle low but rather at a rising phase in a larger cycle.
@mambastephen7102Күн бұрын
Will ? Shallow pullback ? 😂 you analysis do not know shallow or deep , do not know it happened or not. Everything is uncertain, why do you charge people!? You quibble old head keep shifting your time-frame to fool people that’s your “cycle analysis“? You're talking about all the possibilities. A bunch of bullshit😂😂
@dude0643Күн бұрын
Thanks Slim. I like the cycle analysis but you never give us the bullish scenario. Always bearish. Luckily I see the Market Maker positioning and just use the timing, not the levels.
@askSlimTeamКүн бұрын
Actually, we have said consistently that the indicators have been bullish. And our daily analysis always points to whatever the highest reasonable potential move is at that time. The charts that premium member see and in the future speak show on Wednesdays, we are very clear on upside potential as well as downside potential. There are times when the highest probability is arising market or the highest probability is a declining market. We share those, and of course we don’t always get them, right. We appreciate your comments.
@Jenny제니Күн бұрын
The drop that will come next week will also be limited. Your analysis will be wrong again
@askSlimTeamКүн бұрын
Did you watch the show, the scenarios did show the possibility of a shallow pull back.
@JaroejКүн бұрын
Hi Slim. Timing for 180 day cycle was quite good, however the down move was very limited (in by calculations 180 corective period has ended). When we consider 30 day cycle, then next bottom is somewhere in a first week of December. Ok, but what about NVIDIA. It has 90 day cycle bottom somewhere in mid Novemeber. So SP500 could have some small drop.
@askSlimTeamКүн бұрын
Could align to late November or early December
@gilodi7149Күн бұрын
Thank you for the yield analysis , Steve miller
@askSlimTeamКүн бұрын
Welcome
@BathshebaE1Күн бұрын
Great analysis as usual but more importantly, honest.
@askSlimTeamКүн бұрын
Much appreciated
@stevef7814Күн бұрын
As good as your Nikki Haley call. Jk. Huge event skew, and we should be happy for it.
@askSlimTeamКүн бұрын
❓
@samw2586Күн бұрын
Loaded up on UVIX expecting a volatility spike. Boy did I get (hopefully temporarily) screwed
@askSlimTeamКүн бұрын
Hope it works out for your
@tadbuckmiller2100Күн бұрын
Me too! I loaded up on UVXY, seeing the daily RS turned negative. Got killed! Not selling until can get out of this hole. Hopefully, it doesn’t take months.
@gerryhalmagyi8363Күн бұрын
Dude. It was FDR’s policies that not only extended the duration of the Great Depression longer than any other country but also its impact.
@askSlimTeamКүн бұрын
Yes
@martinjames27Күн бұрын
I am trying to learn, but the cycles keep beating you and me! hard luck, next time!
@askSlimTeamКүн бұрын
Actually, across the huge number of symbols, we follow, cycle analysis has been excellent. Timing on the stock market actually was good too. It’s just that the depth of the decline was much more shallow then anticipated so far
@MarcBowen-p1oКүн бұрын
Oh, has the October “pain” been moved again? Days of cycle analysis are over.
@askSlimTeamКүн бұрын
Wait, let me check your website to see your analysis.
@MarcBowen-p1oКүн бұрын
Don’t need a site as not trying to sell people bogus info. Just follow price a couple moving averages and volume. That’s all you need……and BTW they’re FREE.
@jennifercheng8193Күн бұрын
the stock market is fearlessly going up up up
@askSlimTeamКүн бұрын
✔️
@OrlandoFL16Күн бұрын
Thank you. Excellent analysis. Do you think Int term next year TNX could go higher than 4.5%?
@askSlimTeamКүн бұрын
Thanks! Please watch the year-end show
@fitnesspoint2006Күн бұрын
Sl9m now blaming the election as an abnormal eventl that skews his correction phase based on cycles. Even tho we knew the election in Nov 5 wad coming up 4 years ago.
@askSlimTeamКүн бұрын
How ya doing?
@johnliebenthalКүн бұрын
Markets may be as unpredictable as Donald Trump and his new team!
@askSlimTeamКүн бұрын
✔️
@johnliebenthalКүн бұрын
But VIX down to Earth
@RoryVanucchiКүн бұрын
👍
@askSlimTeamКүн бұрын
👍
@arthurlopez4487Күн бұрын
He forecasted a drop that never happened. Trump elected markets skyrocketed with TSLA and COST I was long and made thousands.
@askSlimTeamКүн бұрын
GFY
@beniyaz621Күн бұрын
Steve, the risk is UP and UP and UP. Like I said, they are taking the elevator up and stairs down???? Crazy market, the game changed!!!
@askSlimTeamКүн бұрын
✔️
@laynegibbs1097Күн бұрын
Remember in 2022 when Slim said we were in a secular bear market and the bulls would not break above 4,819? Oof…6,010 sure seems higher than 4,819
@askSlimTeamКүн бұрын
Brilliant comment
@laynegibbs1097Күн бұрын
@@askSlimTeam A factual comment nonetheless
@GPx1Күн бұрын
@askSlimTeam lol its rough out in these streets Slim! Thanks to you and your team for your best efforts
@derekb2817Күн бұрын
@@laynegibbs1097 no one could have predicted trillions more $ would continue to be printed after the initial 5 to 6 trillion stimulus.... The market rise is more a function of the crashing dollar..
@douvinskyКүн бұрын
You are outdated. In 2023 the target was revised downwards to 4300 because above that the valuation doesn't allow.
@anthonyciacciarelli1197Күн бұрын
5 month cycle Jan lower than December. June lower than Jan Just play it forward Oct-March-August-Jan-June. Go from low of bear Oct-March (last year had a bigger correction reset 5 month cycle. June low of next year end we go up 2026 problems.
@askSlimTeamКүн бұрын
✔️
@hassann.mugisha6084Күн бұрын
I can tell everyone, no stretching, we will go higher by 10% more , snp 6500 . Qqq 600. The market isnt stretched enough to have any serious downside
@askSlimTeamКүн бұрын
Ok
@saeedabroadКүн бұрын
... imo the only learning here is that no one, no matter how "experienced" should be convinced of a particular outcome among several. Sure, it's fine to point them all out, but to put heavy emphasis on one is asking for trouble especially ahead of binary events. Personally, never been convinced of static cycles and certainly wouldn't pay for any.
@saeedabroadКүн бұрын
"the snapback will be dramatic"... c'mon, stop with the hyperbole. That's what got you into trouble earlier, with such pessimistic forecasts. Didn't pan out, move on....
@askSlimTeamКүн бұрын
Our approach does not use “Static cycles “
@cristiansoave5752Күн бұрын
Gracias Slim. Era correcto considerar en el analisis la victoria del candidato de los mercados?. En Argentina sucedió exactamente lo mismo con Milei. Abrazo.
@askSlimTeamКүн бұрын
Yes, but it could’ve gone in either direction! There were two candidates
@cristiansoave5752Күн бұрын
@@askSlimTeampero uno era pro-mercados jefe 🤷♀️.....
@jefftam01Күн бұрын
The cycle analysis he shares are great to leverage as a purely a data point in the broader narrative. I use Slim's cycles mainly to understand when the "Periods of Risk" are so I know when to lighten up but I would never load the boat on the actual projections which he always says are highest probability. The market will do what it wants to do
@askSlimTeamКүн бұрын
👍
@moneycashstocksКүн бұрын
Brutal move to the upside. Eliminating bears for now... mild correction. Market priced much higher than perfect.
@askSlimTeamКүн бұрын
If you are saying that the market is priced higher than it would be if it were priced for perfection, high wholeheartedly, agree with you. Maybe they’re pricing in 15% corporate tax rates.
@moneycashstocksКүн бұрын
@askSlimTeam sounds like a 115% effort from the stock market.
@jeffy911Күн бұрын
Great analysis thanks Slim!
@askSlimTeamКүн бұрын
And thank you!
@mikechalek3773Күн бұрын
You are not the only one lacks timing. Peter Eliades is the other one. he has been a bear for the last 2 years. And Ron Walker is another one.
@askSlimTeamКүн бұрын
Actually, the timing of the stock market rhythms has been very good. The real issue has been that we expected sharper downward declining phases.
@MarcBowen-p1oКүн бұрын
Ron Walker is the worst. Absolute clown show.
@joshualevelle3886Күн бұрын
I sold my short positions before the election seeing a new daily cycle was starting. Unfortunately I missed the move post election but it's ok I did very well the weeks before. Thanks Mr. Miller
@askSlimTeamКүн бұрын
Great to hear!
@danielpinto2656Күн бұрын
Thx Slim
@askSlimTeamКүн бұрын
Welcome
@mikechalek3773Күн бұрын
How is that "High Risk Zone" working for you
@askSlimTeamКүн бұрын
Sarcasm gets you banned.
@jabronisrusКүн бұрын
Wait? The drop you have been talking about all of a sudden already happened? We haven't even went down at all lol.
@askSlimTeamКүн бұрын
Only 3% did you watch the show?
@ReiGon-v7hКүн бұрын
@@jabronisrushe clearly stated and on his charts show that he doesn't know if Nov or Dec was going to be the bottom.. His daily charts been so accurate.. So what are you talking about?
@Enadalnabare-m3oКүн бұрын
Your signal is wrongggghh again bro You said market will go down it went soooo up
@godrulesme8619Күн бұрын
Yes, but... He never says anything is guaranteed...it is simply an education possible prediction. It should do this or that.... Most likely it should or could do this... He is saying it properly in my opinion.
@askSlimTeamКүн бұрын
Thank you!
@joshualevelle3886Күн бұрын
He never said it would go down just that selling pressure would hit on this or the next daily cycle. He constantly said it was bullish bro. Don't be mad you got taken...
@ReiGon-v7hКүн бұрын
@@Enadalnabare-m3o he nailed the short term top around 10/22 to 10/25... Then he nailed the daily bottom between 11/3, 11/6 to 11/9.... I cashed out on 10/23.. And went in again 11/4.. So thank you slim