Sounds as if someone traded one religion for another. And the squable is who gets to be the new grand leader.

You’re the man Arnold!

If we wish to make and sustain a world fit for explorers and to fit ourselves to live in such a world the wisdom and practice of Michael Strong merits our attention and investment. It is obvious that we should "think for ourselves", but add this: Michael's use of Socratic gradually reveals that there is more to the obvious than is obvious. And that makes all the difference.

For subscribers only....but just wait a few minutes!

Fun fact: India is the Only country where Jews were not kicked out of or discriminated against. My grandparents were Jews in Western India in exile due to Ancient Greek expulsions. But India became their homeland. 🇮🇳

Karl Marx was brought into Christianity by his Jewish father. Karl brought Communism by combining the first book of Acts and the French Revolution. American socialism much popular in NYC comes directly from the Communist Manifesto. There is no Judaism in atheism.

I didn't catch the full name of the Lorenzo you keep speaking of, Helen. Is it Lorenzo Warby who has written for your Substack?

Your skin looks absolutely beautiful in this video, Helen. I'm listening to all the interviews with you that I can find on KZbin. Have become a great fan after hearing you on Louise Perry's MMM.

"If there is hyperinflation... bitcoin goes down the toilet." Why? I think you imply this, but do you mean because you don't view it as a "hard asset?" Thanks.

This is a terrible history. You really need people from other countries, particularly the Commonwealth.

To be fair, to be accurate, a book on WW2 would have to have come out after 1975 and the release of the 30 year secrets.

Interesting discussion. One positive thing I've got for Gen Zers is that they'll probably age out of leftism as Gen Xers did with pot in the 90s. Youth and elder culture never ever go in hand. Just look at Arlo Guthrie, in a show about discussing the pros and cons of 60s culture in the 80s, Guthrie has very much that counter-culture attitude and expressing opinions, the flamboyant 70s hair and working class clothes denoting his hippy stature. Yet nowadays, when you look at his thoughts, he almost looks down on the 60 (but not quite entirely).

i appreciate the caution of the this group. what is clear is that the demographics are changing as Ernie said

Freddie is great to listen to. I wish I could hear more about his thoughts on COVID. The couple articles he published on it were good.

We appreciate your work Professor Kling! Thank you for hosting & posting!

What is thinking but the process of digesting information and comparing the previous x amount of experiences or knowledge about sed topic and creating an answer.

Here is the chat file if you want to follow along: 20:05:06 From Chitwood, Ami : DEC 20:05:47 From Dennis P Waters : PDP-11! 20:05:52 From Chitwood, Ami : 😀 Stan's forgotten more about KM than the rest of us! 20:06:06 From Jennilyn Wiley (Auburn University) : Reacted to "😀 Stan's forgotten ..." with ❤ 20:07:20 From Stan Garfield : My KM site sites.google.com/site/stangarfield/ 20:07:53 From Tom Grey : Reacted to "My KM site s..." with 👍 20:14:30 From Stan Garfield : I just asked: what should i get my wife for valentines day? The ideal Valentine's Day gift for your wife depends on her personal preferences, but some popular options include: Jewelry, such as a necklace, bracelet, or earrings A bouquet of her favorite flowers A romantic getaway or a staycation A spa day or massage A cooking or baking class A sentimental item, such as a photo album or custom-made keepsake A book or movie she has been wanting to read/watch A thoughtful piece of home decor Remember, the most important part is showing your love and appreciation for her, so choose a gift that fits her unique personality and interests. 20:15:46 From Bart Verheijen : Reacted to "I just asked: what s..." with 👍 20:19:53 From Barbara : I have found Viva Topics (part of the Microsoft Viva suite) to have a similar approach. The AI "suggests" a lot and users are expected to answer question like "is this correct"? Then the AI learns, I guess. 20:20:40 From Chitwood, Ami : It does not perform references interviews. 20:25:15 From Chitwood, Ami : Solving search... 20:27:27 From Jennilyn Wiley (Auburn University) : it wou;d be great if it cited sources 20:28:27 From Bart Verheijen : You can ask it to give (links to) sources 20:28:44 From Bart Verheijen : but they do tend to be wrong or sometimes non-existent 20:28:50 From Tom Grey : Replying to "it wou;d be great if..." I think it's statistical token analysis is not like usual human sources, like wiki. 20:29:07 From Stan Garfield : knowledge.wharton.upenn.edu/podcast/wharton-business-daily-podcast/chatgpt-passed-an-mba-exam-whats-next/ 20:29:07 From Jennilyn Wiley (Auburn University) : Reacted to "but they do tend to ..." with 👍 20:34:07 From Stan Garfield : My document on the 32 KM components and ChatGPT 1drv.ms/w/s!Aioueb8G-fzngcQe79exETEFPnz0pA?e=gN1mA4 20:34:23 From Jennilyn Wiley (Auburn University) : just like librarians have helped people figure out search strings to be efficient and effective, that will transition to how to best write and refine prompts. A good prompt for chatGPT makes all the difference 20:35:43 From Chitwood, Ami : ^Jennilyn - 100% and the ability to evaluate results 20:36:00 From Jennilyn Wiley (Auburn University) : yes, chatGPT told me it is not able to evaluate results 20:36:55 From Jennilyn Wiley (Auburn University) : SEO for AI 20:37:59 From Chitwood, Ami : Just like you can manipulate social media (e.g., having a error) to increase chances for "viral," I predict that there will be ChatGPT stuffing/manipulations.... 20:40:12 From Bill Kaplan : Always trust but verify..always 20:40:28 From Jennilyn Wiley (Auburn University) : Reacted to "Always trust but ver..." with 👍 20:40:33 From Chitwood, Ami : Reacted to "Always trust but ver..." with 👍 20:40:35 From Tom Grey : Reacted to "Always trust but ver..." with 👍 20:42:24 From Bart Verheijen : Reacted to "Always trust but ver..." with 👍 20:42:32 From Bill Kaplan : I have a 1908 Keuffel and Esser slide rule 20:45:14 From JC Monney : Correct it odes not have context 20:45:53 From JC Monney : you ned to provide GPT with your context. It is not good (yet) at asking context 20:46:13 From Bill Kaplan : Reacted to "you ned to provide G..." with 👍🏻 20:47:08 From Barbara : In addition to providing context, it helps to ask good questions or at least try to ask the question in different ways to get slightly different answers. 20:49:10 From JC Monney : Viva Topics works best with 100,000 documents 20:49:19 From Barbara : Reacted to "Viva Topics works be..." with 👍 20:49:21 From Chitwood, Ami : Imagine...looking in all of our personal KM systems? (OneDrive, Teams, Email...) 20:49:43 From Tom Grey : Reacted to "Viva Topics works be..." with 👍 20:49:51 From Jennilyn Wiley (Auburn University) : i'd love to know in the black box how it determines expertise. since it's probabilistic, is it just looking at volume? (e.g., the more prolific a writer, the more weight it gives their source info) 20:49:56 From Barbara : Viva Topics and intranets also need to be relatively "clean" for this to work. 20:50:12 From JC Monney : they will provide API to you enterprise content 20:50:18 From Bill Kaplan : A key for GPT is to provide the right best context in the query and as you engage with chat GPT. I have found that the better the context for the Q and the A the better the outcome for your query 20:50:43 From JC Monney : deep mind 20:51:09 From Bart Verheijen : Replying to "Viva Topics and intr..." clean meaning no duplicates or the content within the topics being true or verified? 20:51:43 From Stan Garfield : Constitutional AI refers to the use of artificial intelligence (AI) systems and technologies in accordance with the principles, values, and laws that are enshrined in a nation's constitution. This approach involves the development, deployment, and use of AI in a manner that aligns with the fundamental rights and freedoms guaranteed by the constitution. It aims to ensure that AI is used ethically, responsibly, and transparently, while also protecting the privacy and human rights of citizens. 20:52:06 From Bill Kaplan : I believe Microsoft is going to announce tomorrow or next day how chat GPT has been integrated into Edge. 20:54:49 From Bart Verheijen : Google news today: We’ve been working on an experimental conversational AI service, powered by LaMDA, that we’re calling Bard. 20:54:50 From Barbara : Bing already separates the external search from internal system search, so I look forward to seeing how ChatGPT will be integrated in Bing. 20:55:04 From Bart Verheijen : blog.google/technology/ai/bard-google-ai-search-updates/ 20:55:36 From Tom Grey : Reacted to "blog.google/..." with 👍 20:56:34 From Tom Grey : analyticsindiamag.com/openai-rival-anthropic-starts-claude-early-access/ 20:57:24 From Bill Kaplan : The non disclosure issue reminds me about the original discussions and concerns with CoPs about what can be discussed online. within an organzation 20:57:35 From Barbara : Reacted to "The non disclosure i..." with 👍 20:57:44 From Jennilyn Wiley (Auburn University) : www.cnn.com/2022/10/21/tech/artists-ai-images/index.html 20:58:18 From Jennilyn Wiley (Auburn University) : Artists not happy about their art being used to train Open AI. I believe Getty sued. 20:58:30 From Bart Verheijen : Reacted to "Artists not happy ab..." with 👍 20:59:23 From Jennilyn Wiley (Auburn University) : www.cnn.com/2023/01/17/tech/getty-images-stability-ai-lawsuit/index.html 20:59:27 From Bart Verheijen : Replying to "Artists not happy ab..." Thanks! That's basically artists requesting their (creative) work be removed or excluded from the training set; and thereby from the responses 20:59:53 From Tim Wood Powell : All of this is a huge rip off of the content creators! Information is created by people who get paid to do it - this is just a way to “reuse” this on a massive scale - without attribution or [ayment! 20:59:54 From Barbara : Knowledge graph+ChatGPT for internal use? 20:59:56 From Bill Kaplan : Thank you for this time 21:00:04 From Jennilyn Wiley (Auburn University) : Reacted to "All of this is a hug..." with 👍 21:00:30 From Dennis P Waters : Lord help us if financial institutions decide to use this for enterprise risk management 21:00:31 From JC Monney : thank you for the invite and great sharing 21:00:34 From Dennis Pearce : www.aistudy.com/paper/aaai_journal/AIMag10-02-002.pdf 21:00:57 From Chitwood, Ami : Right on - I remember when excel came to the workplace...people are still here 🤓 21:01:06 From Jennilyn Wiley (Auburn University) : Reacted to "Right on - I remembe..." with 😂 21:01:09 From Tom Grey : Reacted to "Knowledge graph+Chat..." with 👍 21:01:53 From Jennilyn Wiley (Auburn University) : +1 Ami - disruptive and changing but not necessarily career ending

14:46 "Execution is the best barrier to entry." -Arnold Kling

p̶r̶o̶m̶o̶s̶m̶

37:17 - Arnold Kling discusses his own views of macroeconomics, which he calls PSST (Patterns of Sustainable Specialization and Trade)

Still struggling but THANK YOU for addressing it at all. NO ONE, in university or business ever know or even attempt at explaining it.

Technically development cost money, something that will be a lot harder to come by in the future.

It seems to me the symbol people and people people particularly live in bubbles that are myopic about what the basic needs for life are and how they are sustained. Air, water, food, shelter, energy, tooling, storage, group co-operation. The greens aren't figuring in their utopian vision the actual total real cost of going "green" in any particular endeavor plus denying the significance of the best and most green technology available and actually workable today apart from dammed up water, nuclear power. Political biases promoted by vested interests are corrupting medicine, some sciences, and sustenance issues. In today's world, energy is the basis of all life support systems. There is NO ability to store most of the "green" forms of green energy production in order to even out it's use on the grid. And going back to teepee, hunter gatherer forms of living will not support the present population structure. Children are being under educated to even understand where we came from or where we are now (even geographically). Most people today could not care or feed themselves in the wild. I listened to this podcast because I have followed Zeihan for a while and find him to be one of the most astute expositors of fundamental world geopolitical issues that deal with the 'big picture" as it is today. I am a 1970 Duke Graduate 1945 boomer who has spent my life in the maritime towing industry with skills in every form of blue collar trades for self support. When the volcano Krakatoa went through each of it's historical 2 big explosions it plunged the world into climate catastrophes that moved and wiped out millions. The sun storm of the late 1800s wiped out the world telegraph sys. Climate change is inevitable and must be prepared for with realistic preparations. The politically forged lying narratives must be done away with. This podcast was rambling and not well prepared. Read all of Zeihan's books. And watch history videos on KZbin. There does not seem to be enough knowledge base in this discussion to make it educational to me. For a good look back into a historical presentation of how tenuous world culture is to external factors as volcanos, wars, etc. look up any one of the presentations of Eric Cline's 1177 B.C.: The Year When CIVILIZATION Collapsed .

Good discussion.... Adaptation away from lowest cost to safest manufacture due to unreliable factors rising by definition means higher cost/less output.... No country can gain a huge advantage by tech, all will copy, so Chinas less workers costlier labor is not overcomable by "better robot" that India and Japan just copy, so workforce numbers and quality matters.... Here in TX I've learned oil and money bubbling up is sooooo helpful, that only US out of China, EU and Japan has extra $1000b bubbling up yearly is magical, that others won't frack is silly and dooms them.... As noted China and Russia sell lots so need welcoming markets, yet their Ego made them act like jerks and name-call and war when GDP per capita was just 6th US and Europe so now are hated, unlike Japan which got 6/6ths to income equality then US got worried, so China and Rus ruined their chance --- showing being corrupt-states hugely hurt them.... Relative power matters, if US alone stays rich $20T and advanced making Chips and Jets then rest falling by 40% makes US 30% gdp share rise to 45% so 150% as powerful....

Good insight about job types: work predominantly with things, people, or symbols.

this didnt age well....

Though I am not at all a raw formulas guy but a visual learner, somehow this video solved the issue for me. Great job, thanks!

fast ga cheppara thingara nakodaka.

thank you sir, very helpful

This...did not really help me understand. You clearly know what you're talking about, is there anyway to condense this with a more condensed script to get to the point of why we find the square root on n in stats? I just want to know WHY ;___;

Thank you for the clear explanation.

But the Pigou effect would give you a downward sloping AD in inflation real GDP space... ?

hello plz could you help me ?

doesnt help it doesnt explain anything thank you

looks like you wrote with a potato

what if the P(A&B) = .1 is not given?

the legibility of the writing makes it hard to follow

at 3:10 p-hat is a stat not a parameter; you have a good message here but your printing could be neater

Hi Dr Kling. Very clearly explained, thanks. I have two questions. 1. If the sum of the probabilities for A and B is greater than 1, should the probabilities be re-scaled? 2: What happens if the probabilities of the two events both occurring = 0, does this mean that the two variables are no longer independent? I have been trying to calculate the joint distribution of two binomial variables where P(A &B) = 0 and P(A) + P(B) > 1, and have been obtaining negative values for P(A' and B') < 0.

thanks -enjoyed the lecture and will use as a similar example

Externalities????????

lmao!!! you explained something my college professor made so complicated smh Thanks!!!!

I appreciate the attempt. I have to understand formulas before I can use them. It was a little difficult to understand because of the lack of neatness though. Sorry, I still don't understand it.

Chicken scratch m8

Marginal cost *clap clap* Marginal cost *clap clap*

can we use Keynesian model to solve Marginal propensity to save(MPS)?..

Maybe I'm being dense; Is this not strictly the sum of the expectation of two random variables, not the sum of two random variables.

I hope you see that unicorn soon, because its right in your face.

Thanks, I enjoyed working through this example. I got a t value of 3.962, which from Triola´s table has a p value of less than 0.005. Way less than the stated alpha of 0.05. Your t value was slightly lower than mine because you used n2 = 600 but in the stated problem n2 = 660. The conclusion is the same, though.

Thank you! Very helpful!