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Righting Software shows that every project design option carries risk. In order to know when is a project design option too risky or too safe, you can look for the risk crossover points. You calculate these points by comparing the rate of growth of cost and risk between the points of minimum cost and maximum risk. This how-to video demonstrates how to find the crossover points. You can use these files as templates for your project.
For more on project design, see Righting Software.
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