2024 Elections | Elections analysis

South Africa has gone through a number of surveys which predicted results leading up to these elections, and now it's a few of days before the nation gets to hear the outcomes.
The Council for Scientific and Industrial Research, or CSIR, through its partnership with the SABC, has been using its technology to bring its elections forecast to the South African audiences since the two organisations formed a partnership in 1999.
Joining us in the studio is the Manager of Planning and Systems at the CSIR Professor Pravesh Debba.
Also joining us is Doctor Sithembile Mbete, Senior Lecturer at the University of Pretoria.
For more news, visit sabcnews.com and #SABCNews on all Social Media platforms.

[@0i0_himself]

We have a serious mental issue in SA

[@pamelatire8386]

Completely agree with you.

[@jilokizito1705]

I am a foreigner and i've seen that.

[@zikusookasophiewamono4784]

It's so sad

[@NdidzulafhiMaduwa]

Agree on that

[@cathypotgieter6345]

I don't think it is a mental issue-I think that it is an IQ issue and lack of education.Keep the masses ignorant and they believe anything and everything that they are continually promised.

[@AndrewDaniels-ck3ky]

The ANC took the people of South Africa for granted, and this is the consequences of that behavior.

[@Alias-gy3tz]

What consequences? They will form a coalition, they only need 10% at most. They will remain in power. I blame the useless opposition who keep ignoring the poor.

[@MariaMotaung-bi4nz]

ANC is useless we all know and we are suffering because of it

[@AndrewDaniels-ck3ky]

@@Alias-gy3tz You are still showing no remorse, it's sentencing time..

[@m.x.refrigxolani8365]

I blame the opposition parties for instead of focusing on the actual ills of the South Africans, they tend to focus on their own agendas. Let alone the arrogance.

[@Userde989]

​@@Alias-gy3tzthat coalition won't survive

[@MvelNhlakanipho]

People are happy with their vote in KZN🎉🎉

[@chernorjalloh5765]

I am from Sierra Leone, do people still vote for Zuma! Do you people have nosense.

[@stevepointe727]

MK will be SA's worst regret! South Africans seem to forget Zuma's legacy! Africa will remain Africa!!!!!!

[@mpumemanyathi4292]

Shame on you

[@luckyphikela4506]

What about whites legacy? You like to emphasize the mistakes done by black within a short period of time and forget about those done by white for a long period of time.

[@captainunderpants936]

He must first learn to count .

[@phakamanimhlongo6518]

The statistics will tell you more about wat Zuma has done for pple of SA. What yr friend has done except killing ppl, having a useless educated president does not help any of South Africans ppl need change which they saw by the tym of mighty Msholozi

[@Chidlhealt]

It goes to show the people on the ground have ethnic loyalty and feel comfortable with people of thier culture is some segments of souuth Africa. I think it will be KZN biggest regret than the whole country. The same has been said of the eff, but the eff has held thier head up through and through.

[@kwanelezwane-r5h]

GWEDE MANTASHE is rude he take people of kwazulu natal for granted

[@MorganChinhengo]

never this country does not belong to zulus tribes

[@FictionHubZA]

​@@MorganChinhengoWhy are you commenting on South African videos?

[@Jeee_Joo]

I am having a feeling that EFF is a victim of some kind of ....😊😊

[@akachillas6437]

Mk won't have time to work for people because first are going to fight internally for positions secondly zuma will be in and out of courts.

[@Truthseeker-iz3dj]

Zuma will be fine, part of the coalition with ANC will be to let Zuma off the hook.

[@Ummo2850]

100% if parliament currently is anything to go by, they all fight, now let’s watch the kids out at play in crèche

[@jabulanimathuthu2610]

Fortunately wishes are not horses. The white devils and captured courts hv bn persecuting Zuma for more than 20 years. The man has survived. U might die and leave him here. Stop yo nonsense

[@jabulanimathuthu2610]

@@Ummo2850 u think like a brainless fool. For all the persecution he has gone through, do u think Zuma wud be on his feet? Ur still peddling propaganda even now after the elections? Pathetic

[@tshepotau5754]

This lady's non stop laughter is boring. She ate her head and it ends therr.

[@ThandoCengimbo]

I think your party is losing votes, that's why you got issues with the lady and not the news content?

[@Sa.r.a.h]

Seems like EFF supporters have deflected to MK. Lets hope they won't be forced to regret this decision.

[@obeahman6286]

Something went down. We saw the crowd in the stadium.

[@michaelvanmolendorff9114]

Jacob zuma's party seriouslyy?????? You guys know he is a criminal right? And lets not forget how terrible things went while he was in power 😔

[@FictionHubZA]

​@michaelvanmolendorff9114 I don't know his appeal. But, at least there are less communists in the country now.

[@michaelvanmolendorff9114]

@@FictionHubZA yeah man communisim is not what we want but unfortunitly it appeals to the lower class people

[@FictionHubZA]

@@michaelvanmolendorff9114 I've always said that if jobs were created and unemployed fell, the eff would disappear.

[@1kingkay]

Next Election should be online

[@Alias-gy3tz]

Why? So it's easier to rig the elections? NO. Are you an illegal immigrant? Why would you want that?

[@MariaMotaung-bi4nz]

AMEN then you'll see something

[@sandilefilita2212]

I fully agree with you brother

[@PrincessVelaryon]

Nah hacking will be a problem

[@SibusisoMyaka]

No no no! Don't give this people a chance to hack the results

[@denisepeters7720]

Am I the only one who finds the overage fractured

[@thembisibanyoni4435]

IEC website is down whats going on?

[@Userde989]

Crooks IEC

[@papimphahlele8166]

All technology has limitations..

[@user-oo8ei4lj6s]

​@@papimphahlele8166Question everything

[@KKOPPONG]

Not enough servers to deal with the number of users.

[@RVII]

I thought it was just me

[@MakhosazaneKoloane]

Yes Gwede Mantashe really looks down upon Msholozi , Kzn and Zulu nation as a whole and it's making us Zulus very very angry at him period

[@Samuel-w7x3b]

they respect no other culture brother ..im Khoi an Zulu mixed bloodline living in the western cape..an they disrespect us to

[@babatundeolagoke2687]

EFF can not even win Malemas province.

[@MariaMotaung-bi4nz]

All because of bad attitude and arrogancy he thinks he owns people Respect Malema

[@mthunzimapatwana]

You do realize Cyril lives in the same province right

[@UniversalHappenings24]

​@@mthunzimapatwanaRamaphosa grew up in Soweto unlike Malema

[@lungelophewa9107]

Malema is fighting a national war, not a provincial/tribal war. The initial stance you take in political battles will surely determine where the tides take you. He's not a regionalist, he's an Economic Freedom Fighter for ALL. Africans at large. I'm proudly associated with his aspirations.

[@luckyphikela4506]

​@@lungelophewa9107charity begins at home.

[@RIGGABEATZ]

Mk saved ANC

[@whitewitch2511]

How plz elaborate

[@williamshakur8715]

Zuma is still the member of anc .he is helping anc is what he said😅😅😅😅😅

[@riri1718]

​@@whitewitch2511they'll go into coalition with them

[@whitewitch2511]

@@riri1718 pipe dream

[@whitewitch2511]

@@williamshakur8715 u need psychiatric evaluation

[@matshwenyegomabusha2793]

Botswana 🇧🇼 Botswana 🇧🇼 Botswana 🇧🇼 Botswana 🇧🇼 Botswana 🇧🇼 we support president Jacob zuma mk party 2024

[@thembinkosimgetyengana9274]

The ANC is currently experiencing Stage 6 vote shedding

[@sandilefilita2212]

These people from the Eastern Cape annoy me to the core! I will never understand their thinking capabilities.

[@SimonMahlangu-kq6bs]

I had a dream in 20210 that these such election were to take place and remember that this is for the first time of voting for a region but I'm not surprised I waited for this and it's happening, but don't be surprised by two third majority of ANC.

[@diegofaraldo3946]

Whats the difference between Anc and mk.? Do they steel the same or are they worst

[@redeyewarrior]

Not a big difference. Still a capitalist system with social policies.

[@kamangacecilia7925]

Worst

[@quentinadkins432]

Mk is far far left take land nationalize banks etc ... Anc is more left middle they realize C is for capital not for communist .. although they try appeal to far left anc actually does realize you need an economy

[@aarongunnz9513]

MK is family business ANC is congress of crooks

[@redeyewarrior]

@@quentinadkins432 far far left? No it's not. It's still a mixed economy of capitalism with social policies. Where does it state that they nationalize banks and take lands? What I have read it states that they secure borders and make sure that the resources produced by South African land is not exploited by foreign entities and instead focused on the wealth of South Africa. That's what it states. There is nothing it states about banks from what I have read.

[@ND9.0]

can we find out if Mbalula is ok guys m really concerned.

[@luckyphikela4506]

😂😂😂

[@thulasnkosi9641]

😂

[@aarongunnz9513]

Both Mbalula and Malema are in hiding

[@babatundeolagoke2687]

MK should team up with DA with all progressives, drop their hatchets and pride, coalesce and take South Africa forward and this country will blossom.

[@thecryptoguy8381]

Lool

[@weymouthesterhuizen1145]

Legacy written in past news and experiences.

[@MariaMotaung-bi4nz]

I agree 100 percent

[@tearyb]

MK has no actual leaders, no structures or branches, they only have the face of an old madala, D A has all of these, and experience in governing. Why would DA form coalition with people it would still need to train.

[@NdidzulafhiMaduwa]

As for me anc still leading i don't think mk will make it

[@riri1718]

We'll have an ANC/MK coalition

[@thulasnkosi9641]

Not gonner happen they are allergic to big nose ​@@riri1718

[@PrincessVelaryon]

ANC will drop below 40% then will need a DA coalition. MK needs to stick it out and play the long game.

[@ArokDeng-nh4xr]

Voting for ANC is like committing suicide

[@ErnestZwane-l3d]

Blame the boarder less advocate CIC

[@Osiris_fc]

ah eastern cape ??? you vote ANC every time then come to the western cape for jobs ????

[@cathypotgieter6345]

AND you build tents and shacks in our beautiful city!!!

[@kwanelezwane-r5h]

where is THABO MBEKI?

[@leboganglekhu4219]

HE'S RESTING, HE'S NURSING HIS FLU

[@mikemitiku3916]

SA u decide to live in darkness please complain

[@Slayer-kx5fz]

Limpopo 75% ANC. Must be Venda tribalism at play! Since Ramaphosa is Venda it must mean all those people just voted ANC because of their blind support for a Venda candidate. Where's Gwede to call it out?!!🤔

[@ChrisMaifo-fd5lt]

We don't have such in Limpopo 😂

[@JacquesvanVuuren-o4w]

What happened here fighters I was hoping we will run with this one

[@gerriedoll154]

People need glasses they can see how the country falling apart, but they like it !!!!

[@PrincessVelaryon]

Oldies still make up a large % of voters and they vote based on trauma of the passed. Youngins don't vote. The fact that the voter turn out is sitting around 50% is why the ANC still has votes

[@ambrosemshengu]

Where is Mbalula Mbeki Mtolo Duma .........we want them to come out and inform us kwenzekeni na nge ANC Baphi abaphume batshele amalunga ombutho

[@WilliamMaredi-i9x]

ANC will rule until lord comes said J.Zuma

[@moketeledwaba2767]

Malema dropped because he once he wanna opend the boarders and be a free pass between South Africa and other African countries

[@captainunderpants936]

I believe if a chicken started a party then people would have voted for the chicken aswel 😂

[@Ummo2850]

You mean if KFC started a party …🤣🤣🤣🤣

[@charlestumwesigye1205]

people by their very nature love new things, new cars etc.A new party MK is like a new beautiful girl in the area. All men will be wanting her. Only to realise later that she like any other of the older girls, the same,if not even worse!

[@Alias-gy3tz]

You are a chauvinist. That comment was very revealing about your opinion of woman. May your wife or girlfriend wake up to the fact that you don't value woman.

[@mphothulo7929]

Why girl,are you a feminist,MK is not new as it ilibarated this country

[@jabulanimathuthu2610]

Nonsensical

[@LM-to5qb]

Not really, it's a cult of personality Zuma has built over the years.

[@fanamlawuli6761]

Where is Mbaks!😂😂😂😂

[@KKOPPONG]

EFF nowhere to be found😂…those boys will be lucky to get 10%.

[@Phillip-oo2ft]

Mk must rid themselves of the guptazumas...all of them and move forward without them...then their win will be permanent

[@matshwenyegomabusha2793]

That woman sakina is supporting ANc l Remember one day she says something about mk party watching from 🇧🇼 Botswana 🇧🇼 Botswana 🇧🇼 Botswana 🇧🇼 Botswana 🇧🇼 Botswana 🇧🇼 viva mk party viva we support president Jacob zuma mk party 2024

[@ThokozaniBhebe]

How far now guys

[@coolexio]

Constant laughing on live TV, a bit unprofessional.

[@richreignztheteacher9603]

❤❤❤who won elections in south Africa 🌍🌍🌍

[@FictionHubZA]

You know what? Nobody. Cause listen. Cause listen. Nobody.

[@mtetelelimrwetyana2002]

More curse is coming for those who cursed Israel, how many now hate Zuma and MK?

[@MakhosazaneKoloane]

Mbuyiseni Ndlozi disrespected Msholozi too much a few days ago and that caused anger in few eff members in kzn and that's why eff is losing this election #decline

[@ErnestZwane-l3d]

Who is voting the day

[@delainejackson9581]

Its likely the anc will fall more. Music to my ears

[@Zhu936]

The ANC must engage in profound introspection following these election outcomes. It must return to its fundamental principles and commit unequivocally to serving the people. Though I have consistently supported the ANC since independence, without a substantial socio-economic and political overhaul, I fear it will be consigned to history's dustbin in the 2029 general election. By then, I may regrettably shift my loyalty to another party.

[@QueenZan]

ANC will do better to win the trust, and come 2029, they will do better.

[@Zhu936]

@@QueenZan I believe we will too!

[@BenNjapha]

Only showing us 3 parties doesn't make sense

[@bella357]

Some are just a waste of time

[@McjohnesKambitoto]

❤❤ malume is winner it's long time you been stealing his vote

[@Phillip-oo2ft]

😂😂😂..go get your red overall and start screaming shouting ..🙄🙄🙄

[@ahmedhaji7341]

Malema so close of Zuma confused EFF voter's 😅

[@tutotutot5193]

eff should learn that the youth dont vote.....they sing, comment on youtube and go and drink on voting day

[@sandilefilita2212]

You are absolutely correct. What a sad reality. The way the. Youth behaves is like they are not going to grow up and age. They don't think of the future.

[@tutotutot5193]

@@sandilefilita2212 my young brother didnt vote even though he ha never had a job. my parents just shake their head and are not taking it serious...this mentality is the reason we take our kids out of townships...white kids voted en masse for DA

[@mypainmystrength]

Who is peading now

[@SimonMahlangu-kq6bs]

Mk party has weakened the IFP and ANC epically in KZN., Zunma as a failure and true leader of African people he must step down and let other tribes show their skill in leadership.

[@velaphiedwin5294]

EFF😥

[@emmanjnatri7438]

Athas there see athas la, there is Alostro!

[@EthanReds]

Why don't you strike if the system is rigged😂💀🇰🇪

[@FictionHubZA]

The anc and eff lost. I'm happy with that.

[@LorraineMalambo-ti6zx]

Ons Baiza nie ...

[@ravip7347]

Mk all the way

[@mogamadgreyson143]

I voted,tell me what happened when its all done,at least Donald Trump isnt screaming that they are still counting 😂😂😂😂

[@sadrudeanschoeman570]

Sakina let's leave politics, let me take you out for lunch😊

[@SizweNdlovu-r8f]

Uhlekani umbeje

[@Hilda-h5l]

Viva Eff malema

[@Phillip-oo2ft]

😂😂😂..go get your red overall...and start screaming shouting in the midst of the civil people..go crazy in your overalls..😂😂

[@kutlokevinmabati6966]

To ensure the fairness and future-focused nature of our electoral process, it is essential to consider implementing an age cut-off for voters above the age of 60. This proposal is not a critique of the wisdom or experience of older adults; rather, it acknowledges that the younger generation will live with the long-term consequences of today's decisions. Therefore, setting a general voting age range from 18 to 60 would help align the electorate more closely with those who will be most impacted by future policies. Moreover, to modernize and secure our voting process, elections should be conducted through highly secured IEC voting stations. These stations should be equipped with cameras and computerized ballot platforms that incorporate advanced biometric security measures. The system should be designed to close immediately after voting and prevent any tampering with the results. By implementing these robust security features, the IEC can ensure the integrity and reliability of the electoral process. By adopting these measures, we can create a more equitable and forward-thinking electoral system for South Africa, one that leverages technology to enhance security and trust in the democratic process.

[@matshwenyegomabusha2793]

7:24 Thabo mbeki is supporting mk party in secret he knows that in zuma he cant ditch anything

[@SikelelwaMbuli-cd7me]

UAT Halala

[@ZibuyileNdimande]

Musani ukuba nomona shiyani monona ezindlini zenu mlilo wamaphepho nkosi uyanilida anihloniphi nizani nina kuphela besebekhathela abantu ubuxoki

[@Ummo2850]

Like to hear sabc take because it’s always skewed and furthest from reality, anc based news station. 🤡🤡

[@bohlalemaphosa454]

Dr. Mbeki is naughty. I like the hat eating narrative. The MK Party will make you eat your hat.

[@josedasilva9658]

Sounds like another Kamala Harris.

[@thobanimkhwanazi2489]

Msholozi

[@bukelwamdleleni8247]

Viva Mk

[@ZeldaDuplessis-u3e]

How wil mk run the country

[@ThokozaniMngomezulu]

U will.see dont worry

[@LauraineBooysen]

Into the ground

[@Userde989]

How is ANC run the country right now?

[@leboganglekhu4219]

No clear process hence failure of their 2/3 ambitions, you can't change the Constitution with ill intentions. People are not blind

[@ErnestZwane-l3d]

As long as ANC is shaken we don't care

[@TIKTOK-ub7wy]

Mk is making history

[@esilevinichronicles4269]

Let's see when votes from Harding, Port Shepstone, Mzimkulu Kokstad are captured. This is premature

[@maryanderson3594]

Sakina let your guests talk and don't talk so much, they are the experts

[@mypainmystrength]

Who is leading