2024 Pacific Hurricane Season Forecast - Force Thirteen

[@CycloneSakura]

1961 in this basin had 9 storms, 2 hurricanes, and no majors. However, it did see Hurricane Tara, which killed 400-500 people in Southwest Mexico

[@Alejandro-x2m1k]

Tara not retired

[@notmrpopular0099]

EPAC/CPAC season, I don't have much of a high expectation here... This season could be similar to 2005, 2010, 2016, 2017, or 2020. 2010 and 2020 for a below average season, 2005, 2016, and 2017 for a near or above average season.

[@fran0033]

I Think likely 2021 and 2022

[@starizstar5135]

love ur channel

[@HurricaneGilma]

Same

[@starizstar5135]

@@HurricaneGilma have you ever gotten hit by a hurricane

[@HurricaneGilma]

@@starizstar5135lorenzo 2019

[@starizstar5135]

@@HurricaneGilma do you live on the azore islanda

[@HurricaneGilma]

@@starizstar5135no Europe

[@NakrilioneRepublic_s1g]

I hope EPAC will be safe! I dont want any deadly hurricane hit Mexico, i feel bad for the peoples after Hurricane Otis😢

[@Thememegodwannystar1]

i want hone to form this year

[@JarredProductions9228]

1-2 storms may form in Cpac ig

[@NakrilioneRepublic_s1g]

​@@JarredProductions9228Hone Iona😮

[@HurricaneGilma]

It has formed

[@TyphoonMike1990]

I thought hone was less likely this year...

[@JarredProductions9228]

Excited for Wpac

[@Nine-Signs]

Last time we came out of an El Nino condition Houston became Atlantis and Seoul was battered among myriad other powerful hurricanes that wiped out entire islands. Roll the dice and lets see what we get.

[@AlphaConsultancyandAnalysis]

Clarity and Narration 🙌☀️🪷

[@michaeloreilly657]

With the Atlantic so warm, it's difficult to get good analogues years.

[@YourrandomComrade]

The only others would be 2020 and 2005?

[@MAUSAMTAKGOURAV]

Exited for NIO

[@davidhibbs6989]

Gonna be a active hurikin season 😅

[@fran0033]

My predictions Atlantic Tropical storms: 23-28 Hurricanes: 14 Major hurricanes: 6-9 Eastern Pacific Tropical Storms: 18 Hurricanes: 8 Major hurricanes: 4 Western pacific Tropical storms: 22 Typhoons: 11 Super Typhoons: 3

[@notmrpopular0099]

For EPAC, a wild card is going to determine EPAC's activity, the La Nina. The timing of a La Nina is critical for this year. If the La Nina develops later in the season, EPAC may not be as inactive as we may think. HOWEVER, if the La Nina comes almost immediately after the EPAC season starts, then EPAC may be inactive. Let that sink in for any EPAC fans, shall we?

[@JarredProductions9228]

@@notmrpopular0099 speaking of La Nina, will this also affect WPAC if it does develop later in the season

[@notmrpopular0099]

@@JarredProductions9228 I think so, I don't see why not. But even then, there's the -PDO (warm) phase, which discourages storm formation in the WPAC. The -PDO is why last year's season is unusually inactive in terms of named storms. So far, the -PDO phase is not going anywhere, which may be a major player this year... There's other key players as well like the MJO.