2024 Preakness Stakes Analysis and Picks

Analysis and picks for the Preakness Stakes at Pimlico.
It's the second leg of the triple crown. Will Bob Baffert win his 9th Preakness? Will the Kentucky Derby winner Mystik Dan take the second leg of the triple crown. Good luck to Seize the Grey!
#horseracing #preaknessstakes #triplecrown
#kentuckyderby
#pimlico

[@mysteryhandicapper]

Muth has scratched out of the Preakness Stakes due to a fever. He was my pick to win the Preakness. Who am I picking to win now? Checkout my updated video. If you're subscribed, you received the alert immediately. If you're not subscribed, I encourage you to subscribe to my channel. Good luck and thanks for supporting my channel!

[@nicholasmarzigliano7616]

I love the meticulous way you take apart these races. Keep up the good work !

[@mysteryhandicapper]

Thank you! I appreciate it.

[@pointgiven7857]

@@mysteryhandicapperMuth scratched. Who you going with now?

[@petehoward8494]

I appreciate your no nonsense style of handicapping. New Sub.

[@mysteryhandicapper]

Thank you! Welcome to the channel.

[@leereed1970]

Congratulations on BIG GREY !!!!!!!! I am so happy for you sir God bless

[@mysteryhandicapper]

Thank you! It was exciting watching him come down the stretch. God bless you too.

[@royanderson3478]

Top notch commentary 👌. Since I've followed your channel 👍 , you break races down so simply. Good 👍 job mate.

[@mysteryhandicapper]

Thanks for supporting my channel! Good luck!

[@gregorycampbell3828]

CONGRATULATIONS TO YOU AND ALL THE OTHER OWNERS🎉🎉🎉. A WIN WELL DESERVED. You all have a wonderful horse and he’s gonna be a GOOD ONE. I got this one wrong, but hey , when a whole bunch of people can find a reason to celebrate, I’m happy for all of you 🎉🎉🎊🎊🍷🍷GOOD TIMES!!!

[@mysteryhandicapper]

Thank you!!! He looks awesome! Back-to-back impressive wins. I'm so proud of him.

[@JW-mx8no]

I agree! Congratulations MH

[@mysteryhandicapper]

@@JW-mx8no Thank you!!!

[@gretafields4706]

Congratulations!😃 Seize the Grey!!!

[@mysteryhandicapper]

Thank you!!! He wanted the lead, took the lead and didn't look back. I'm so proud of him.

[@gretafields4706]

It was a powerful start AND total run! I had to analyze why I did not see that run (I pictured Tuscan Gold linking up with Imagination instead.). Well, I tossed STG into a grade 2 box, along with Liberal Arts, and did not reassess him, even after he won the Pat Day. However, a couple days before the Preakness, Ij thought, "what if STG runs straight down the center of the track, strongly like in the Derby?" I SHOULD have pounced upon that thought. But instead, I put STG back into the grade 2 box and added Tuscan Gold to the top 4 and moved STG back😔. Powerful lesson here: LISTEN TO YOUR INTUITIONS. I just watched the Derby again and noticed that STG ran strongly, but got blocked in. STG could have won the Derby! (I think that your eyes see potential winners, even if you don't. So you must learn to pounce on those ideas running thru your mind, and not block them!!) It is intuition!!!

[@qdup17]

Congratulations on seize the grey!!!! Deserved

[@mysteryhandicapper]

Thank you! Gate to wire. He looked awesome.

[@qdup17]

Was so happy for y’all!! Do you recommend getting micros in on Caldera?

[@mysteryhandicapper]

@@qdup17 I haven't decided if I'm going to get shares of Caldera. You never know what these horses are going to do. You just hope for the best.

[@royanderson3478]

Very good in breaking down each possible contender. Always tricky in handicaping cross country shippers. Triple Crown 👑 races are always good value.

[@mysteryhandicapper]

Thank you! I agree, it is tricky handicapping cross country shippers.

[@user-kt2on3zc1t]

Another great video. (You sound like you might have been a trainer or close to it.) This will be an entertaining Preakness, unlike last year’s. Weather is questionable. Baffert’s higher odds horses seem to rise to the occasion. So maybe we should use our Imagination and see if Catching Freedom catches that horse in the stretch.

[@mysteryhandicapper]

Thank you! I agree, this will be an entertaining Preakness. Have to watch the weather, if they get significant rain, it could influence the race. I like the play on words. Good luck!

[@royanderson3478]

Bob Baffert is not just a trainer. He sends them generally ready.

[@rcg9573]

and doped 🙂

[@user-sh9dj4hf2d]

roy, generally....juiced.

[@mysteryhandicapper]

He doesn't ship to lose.

[@user-sh9dj4hf2d]

@@mysteryhandicappermyst....he has lost many times. After Medina Spirit die he was not winning much.

[@OHRaceFan]

Nice job. I enjoy your videos. Good luck.

[@mysteryhandicapper]

Thank you! Good luck!

[@roninslv]

Catching Freedom looks ready.

[@mysteryhandicapper]

He looks good.

[@user-rq1dm3ny3s]

Awesome channel. I ended up pulling off of Honor Marie in the Kentucky Derby and just watched the race on T.V. at home. Money in the pocket. What an exciting Derby! Yeah, I agree, it's pretty hard to go against Muth. Time will tell.

[@mysteryhandicapper]

Thanks! It was an exciting derby. Honor Marie had no chance in that race with the rough trip. Good luck!

[@kevinhall7066]

Congrats MH!

[@mysteryhandicapper]

Thank you!

[@terrenceoneill5621]

Good luck very informative thankyou

[@mysteryhandicapper]

Thank you! Good luck!

[@kellyjones9435]

Glad to see another brother who is a certified horse player!

[@mysteryhandicapper]

Thanks! Good luck!

[@jimphillips2004]

Sierra Leone is a solid horse. Mystik Dan just stared him down the the final 1/8 in the Derby. we'll take him to win. Good luck everyone. Great analysis Mystery.

[@mysteryhandicapper]

Sierra Leone is a solid horse. Good luck! Thank you!

[@toddfortune3480]

I like your attitude about being involved with my race horse. You sound like an outsider. I think your expectations are as like they make the calls, I go along for the ride. Good luck Saturday. The work that Imagination put in at SA was very good. I like him with Mystic Dan and all underneath. 5/9 with 5/9 with all.

[@mysteryhandicapper]

You're right about my expectations with MRH, they make the call and the shareholders go along for the ride. Imagination races well, never out of the exacta in six races. Good luck!

[@davidnettles8138]

Muth was just scratched. This will definitely make the race be more wide open in my opinion. Once again, Mystery you have provided us with a very thorough and informative race breakdown . Job well done, Sir....

[@mysteryhandicapper]

Thank you! I have to pick another horse to win. I just uploaded the video with my new pick to win the Preakness.

[@ronpagliaro3442]

Hi Mystery Handicapper, my picks (1) Catching Freedom , (2) Imagination, (3) Tuscan Gold Take care, Ron Pagliaro ( Muth scratched, looks wide open, I don’t think Mystik Dan will get the same good ride)

[@larryhernandez76]

I sure would like the #3 horse 🐎 to win 🤔🙏🤔

[@mysteryhandicapper]

Hi Ron, Solid picks. I posted an updated video following the scratch of Muth. Good luck!

[@eddie4986]

Like what you do and how you do it.. New Sub here as well

[@mysteryhandicapper]

Thank you! Welcome to my channel!

[@LABoyko]

Need to be within one length at second call to win the Bob Baffert Invitational. Last two winners were wire jobs. Tuscan Gold took a big step forward in the LAD. Will press the fav every step and might just out sprint him to the wire at a square price. The #8 horse is the pick. My racehorse, your racehorse, heck, he's EVERYBODY'S racehorse now! One more time, Coach!

[@mysteryhandicapper]

Chad Brown knows how to get them ready for the Preakness. You're right, you don't want to be too far back. Good luck! Good luck to Seize The Grey!

[@gretafields4706]

Imagination sounds like the best, by numbers, stride et . However, he looks like he wants to hang back beside other horses. If so, Frankie will whip and drive him to make him win. I don't think he looks like Baffert's other front runners. I watched replays if his races again. But maybe Baffert has got him trained now? He has been Muth's running mate, but will he run as well as Muth when he is alone? If he slows down on the lead, it gives other horses a chance... Mystik Dan, Tuscan Gold, or Capturing Freedom (and CF is so fired up, he is bucking and kicking). I am still on Mystik Dan, but CF or Tuscan Gold oughta be in the top four too. I wouldn't be suprised to see Seize the Grey in 4th either.

[@mysteryhandicapper]

Nice analysis. I agree, Imagination doesn't look like Baffert's other front runners. Good luck!

[@malathaat74]

I own seize the grey share but think he’s outclassed(thought that before though). But catching freedom if there’s some pace; I think he’s best 3 year old router

[@mysteryhandicapper]

If there's pace, then this race sets up well for Catching Freedom. Good luck!

[@christopherbristol4598]

All the talking all the handicapping it will be another big odds winning mark my words

[@mysteryhandicapper]

You might be right. Good luck!

[@raymondciarleglio2394]

I also own a piece of Seize the Grey. He's up against it speed wise, but I think he moves up in the water. Good luck.

[@mysteryhandicapper]

Racing again off of 2 weeks rest and against this quality isn't going to be tough for Seize The Grey, but I'm rooting for him. Good luck!

[@bobgreenfield9158]

Muth Imagination Mystik Dan Catching Freedom

[@mysteryhandicapper]

Solid picks. Good luck!

[@mulatto2776]

Catching Freedom - Imagination - Muth - Mystik Dan

[@markburry8827]

Muth is scratched all chalk picks

[@duncanjbb]

Thia is shorter race than the Derby. It usually has much faster fractions, 22-23, 45-46, 110 etc. I think there is a lot of speed in the race and may set up for a closer. Every day I rethink the race and by Saturday - pick the wrong horse (s). I think fresh horses do very well. Good luck to all.

[@user-sh9dj4hf2d]

dun, that happen to most handicappers, pick your horse about five days before the race....dont wait until Saturday. Good luck.

[@mysteryhandicapper]

Good luck to you too!

[@user-sh9dj4hf2d]

dun, speed or not speed, Mystik is a lock. He will run second or third and take the lead to the wire....whenever he wants.

[@alcw625]

thank you for sharing the charts! I love Imagination but California horses don't fare well. I am waiting to see what the weather does in Charm City on Saturday.. can I say overall, this is a so so field...there's no one that really stands out as big favorite. Muth is the only consistent horse with high speed figures but even they are all that impressive. Mystik Dan was fading in KyDrby and would have been overtaken with a few strides by two horses. That was a lucky win and don't see that happening again here.

[@user-sh9dj4hf2d]

alc, the distance was longer. He might improve more or fade.

[@mysteryhandicapper]

You're welcome. Thanks for your comments. Good luck!

[@kevinhall7066]

I wanted Muth to win too. Oh well... going with Imagination.

[@mysteryhandicapper]

Same here.

[@MartinNixdorf]

Catching Freedom by 3

[@mysteryhandicapper]

Good luck!

[@mikeg534]

Solid horse but there may not be enough pace for his one run deep closer style for him to win. He will most likely be in the money though since he always tries his best.

[@markburry8827]

You need to do another video your pick Muth is scratched whose your top pick now?

[@mysteryhandicapper]

I just posted an updated video with a new pick to win.

[@c.s.mcleod7383]

Mystic Dan.

[@mysteryhandicapper]

If he wins, that makes the Belmont even more interesting. Good luck!

[@kevinchiang5003]

I will bet Catching Freedom again. Last time I bet him finished 4th.

[@mysteryhandicapper]

I'm using him in my exotics. I've used him on my tickets in every race this year. Good luck!

[@royanderson3478]

Mystic Dan, McPeek is sneaky good

[@mysteryhandicapper]

He is.

[@ritasics1903]

I like Imagination. He is well rested and fast 1:49 and likes a fast track like SA. I think Pimlico is a fast track.

[@mysteryhandicapper]

He looks good and Baffert does well in the Preakness. Good luck!

[@BluesBloodlines]

Bet on CF @ Kentucky Derby together w/ Fierceness Sierra Leone & Just A Touch as Superfecta.. Now in Preakness I Will bet again in CF together w/ Muth, Mystik Dan & Imagination as Superfecta!

[@mysteryhandicapper]

My superfecta was similar to yours in the Kentucky Derby. Good luck!

[@johnljacksonjr5074]

1,2 Toss 8,3,9,6 EX , Tri, SF $$$

[@mysteryhandicapper]

Good luck!

[@tomkat9557]

Uncle Heavy in the mud…..winner. Watch the Wood, 99-1 shot fell right in front of him in the stretch.

[@mysteryhandicapper]

Uncle Heavy likes an off track. Good luck!

[@joycekanadet481]

Yea muth is out so who else u picking

[@mysteryhandicapper]

I posted an updated video.

[@austinthomas9068]

I like Muth also

[@mysteryhandicapper]

He should get an ideal trip. Good luck!

[@duncanjbb]

Methodical but I'm leaning differently. It seems that the top of Tuscan Gold's form cycle is this race. This horse will be overlooked. Uncle heavy has Irad, wide last race and just seems to be in the right place. Just steel came in 17th 33 lengths back. Obviously the jockey gave up between 1C and 2C. He's goy a good shot for the money. There is so much money bet in the Triple Crown races that you can make a bundle, retirement money. There are two ways to bet this race - Muth on top with 4 longer shots for 2,3,4. Drop a yard note on a four horse Super one way. Close you eyes and pray. 4 with 2378. $100 super 8 7 6 2, one way.

[@mysteryhandicapper]

I agree, triple crown races can be very lucrative for bettors. Good luck!

[@SchachtStudio]

😂😂 His owners didn't even bet on him.

[@mysteryhandicapper]

LOL

[@cliffmangar478]

No Muth who’s the winner now?

[@mysteryhandicapper]

I just posted another video.

[@javiermagdaleno8345]

💪✌️💙🏇🏇🏇

[@mysteryhandicapper]

Good luck!

[@glennsmith8390]

Imagination and Muth--put those two in the 1-2 position and the rest underneath for my $1 Superfecta. Like this Muth/ Imagination over Muth /Imagination over all.

[@mysteryhandicapper]

Baffert horses on top. Good luck!

[@DavidJones-ly9bh]

Mystic Dan/just steel

[@mysteryhandicapper]

Good luck!

[@drdontpassone8164]

guy can cap

[@mysteryhandicapper]

Thanks! I appreciate it.

[@jamestakacs]

Yo Bro. Muth is scratched.

[@mysteryhandicapper]

I have to pick another horse to win. I just uploaded the video.

[@timwalsh8973]

I got best number on catching freedom.. win this race. then wheel these horses for tri,super mugatu, imagination , Tuscan gold and Seize the Grey. if mugatu runs second or third , the tri and super pay very good. especially runs second. don't know why 2nd nest number on this horse.has no class or anything say even hits board love Catching Freedom to win it.

[@mysteryhandicapper]

Good luck! I agree, if Mugatu runs 2nd or 3rd you're looking at a nice payout.

[@ronsoaper3737]

Lukas is 88--no time off for any horse--LOL--Lukas has always ran many horses in the big races I subscribed --liking what I hear--Muth over the 6-7-8-9----heavy wager on Muth over the 9--Baffert exacta with a big F U going to Churchill Downs from Bobby B

[@mysteryhandicapper]

Thanks for subscribing! Good luck!

[@user-sh9dj4hf2d]

Mystik Dan will win again....if not, then Catching Freedom.

[@mysteryhandicapper]

Good luck!

[@user-sh9dj4hf2d]

@@mysteryhandicapper myst, thanks. If the track is sloppy....Dan wins again.

[@user-kg5wp7ly3p]

Probably Muth

[@mysteryhandicapper]

Good luck!

[@wayneforet5187]

Most of the time these so called handicappers never pick the winner, because it's hard to do. I had Mystic Dan on both the big races. I am from Louisiana, and I bet with my heart, and the jockey, eventhough I do look at the horse, and bloodline, and trainer owner combos. It's hard to pick the winner. DAN will be not rested so I am going Baffert to finish 1st, and 2nd on a exacta box of $50, and put them in my super with Catching Freedom, and Seize the Gray.

[@mysteryhandicapper]

I'm from Louisiana too. Picking winners is hard to do, but that's what makes it fun. It's challenging, there's a lot of factors to consider. Pedigree, pace, trip, etc. Congrats on picking Mystik Dan at a nice price in the derby! Good luck!

[@anthonyachilles9241]

Muth won’t like this distance… he doesn’t look like the type of horse that would handle it.. 3,6 or 8 will win.. with things changing if the track is muddy

[@mysteryhandicapper]

Interesting perspective. Will be interesting if track is muddy. Good luck!

[@smargo77]

imagination looks far and away the best now

[@mysteryhandicapper]

It could be a repeat of last year's race with National Treasure. Watch for track conditions. I just uploaded an updated video with my new pick to win.

[@dennyzeecko5183]

If It's an off track I'm going with Imagination ,Muth and Mystic Dan. In that order. If Imagination gets the lead, that'll be it. Boat race.

[@mysteryhandicapper]

Good luck! We just might get an off track.

[@magapatriot3740]

Catching freedom nor mystik dan will make the excata...one may get 3rd at best...it is sad how pathetic the cards are for the 2 days at pimlico, honestly its criminal...good luck to any owners and handicappers ! May all horse be safe

[@mysteryhandicapper]

May all horses be safe. That's most important. Good luck!

[@TomWard-sx2ip]

Who.do.i.like.bro.well.after.watching.your.video.i.like.the.combo..of...imagination.+.mystic.dan.+.joal.rosario..boxed....tri.per.an.d.alone.

[@mysteryhandicapper]

Good luck! Solid picks.