Great video topic. I love betting against short priced layoff horses. They seem to win less often than they normally would.
@Weekendhandicapper4 жыл бұрын
I agree. Coming off a layoff is usually a prime time to take a shot at beating a low price horse.
@snappingfingers87862 жыл бұрын
I look for M/L Favorites coming off +180 days as a False Fav,, especially if dropping,
@Weekendhandicapper2 жыл бұрын
Good angle!
@patrickdebonis649311 ай бұрын
Another fabulous spot is when a layoff horse just misses, comes right back within a week at a higher class. The rise in class preserves the price.
@josephvitale70864 жыл бұрын
Good information, do you talk to trainers and jockeys? I would only bet a horse off a layoff if their odds are 6to1 or better and even then I would not single him. I normally play trifectas, I love to swing for the fence. I love horse racing but don't bet alot so I have to go for the long shots to win anything nice. Keep up your videos you have a way of making them fun and informative
@Weekendhandicapper4 жыл бұрын
I like that approach. Swing for the fences. You dont have to be right that often playing that way. I appreciate the kind words and feedback. Thank you and keep betting on those prices!
@patrickdebonis649311 ай бұрын
These were some of my favorite spot plays. I would look for a horse that was laid off 30 days or more. However, a 30 day breather is commonplace now - especially at major tracks. Plus, there are fewer racing days now, so it is harder for the trainer to find a spot. If I was still playing now I'd expand that to 45 or 60 days. The next thing I'd look for is a drop in class - especially in claiming races. I wanted to trainer to risk something to show me that it wasn't just a tune up. Then, I would actually look for no workouts. That might indicate that the trainer was working the horse on a private track. You won't see that much anymore. So the steady work pattern is the next best thing. But I don't want to see blowout works that leave his race on the behind him. I would also look for another kind of change. It could be a claim where he was jailed and dropped, a shipper, distance, surface or equipment change etc. The only thing I didn't like was a turn back for a router. That signals a tune up. Then. I'd need to get 6-1 or better. But most importantly, it had to show action on the board. If the ML was 10-1 and it dropped to 6-1, that is the kind of sign I'm talking about. Usually, that kind of action would scare people off and the horse would go off higher than the ML.
@ronniebravo62444 жыл бұрын
long lay off is always 50/50.If it is a Graded Horse and Race it in Graded Race with more than 6 entries,is vulnerable.,But if it will Race on AOC,then you have take a closer look.,imao..