5 Times MEL KIPER was DEAD WRONG About NFL Draft Projections...

Everyone loves to talk about Mel Kiper and his draft predictions and today, I want to talk about 5 times he was dead wrong on prospects and how they aged, enjoy!

[@ScottFisherCFB]

What obscure video topic should I do next?

[@dman1069]

Do the one about Deshon Kizer’s Brady/Newton comment

[@ZeusAmun-pt9dc]

Kasey Klausen!!!!! Or is it Clausen? Any way Jimmy's big brother that started 4 years at Tennessee. Please and thank you. Is it Casey Clausen?

[@brianjamds6617]

You should probably edit this one… there’s at least 4 mistakes where you repeat yourself.

[@7187case]

You should make a video of all the horrible WR that Bill Belichick or just his horrible 2nd round picks

[@xXNjxSniPeZXx]

I mean this in the nicest way possible, but you need to edit your videos better. It seems like there’s always a repeated line in all of your videos. The editing is so lazy. Take this more seriously.

[@endcensorship874]

I commend you for sticking to just five. This could have been 50.

[@jerseyraider9618]

I also commend him for sticking to Kiper as this could have been about literally any other draft analyst, GM, former player, or fan.

[@sodog44]

50 is being generous

[@richardsiemion5903]

🔥

[@richardsiemion5903]

Braylon Edwards was a pro bowler and a much under appreciated weapon for the jets”surprise” playoff run where they finished an inch from the Super Bowl…. Remember the flip? How is that not doing much? Wow.

[@dasjerkstore]

Millions

[@MLGDouglas]

Kipper thought jimmy clausen and Johnny Manziel was the second coming of Christ💀💀💀💀

[@justinterry2926]

So did many

[@thatonewriter8043]

@@justinterry2926 Anyone who watched even three Notre Dame games knew that Clausen was a fraud. It's not like he was outright terrible, but he made too many mistakes for a first round QB, and he rubbed plenty of people the wrong way on and off campus. Every team's scouts were aware and concerned to at least some extent about the leadership and locker room issues his ego might cause. I don't blame anyone who didn't watch the Charlie Weiss era Irish, because they certainly didn't live up to their potential (much to my delight as someone who had to deal with ND fans on a daily basis). But even just box score scouting, you had to take 2009 as gospel and ignore the previous two years to buy in on him at all.

[@robbie192]

​@justinterry2926 no..he had clausen in the top 5 kid

[@adoniswilliamson3010]

He did not like Johnny at all he said he should had been a second round pick on first take he knew about his drug, partying and maturity issues

[@yeeyee9294]

He did not love Manziel lol

[@sebastainjohnson4123]

"Who the hell is Mel Kiper?" An actual talent evaluator.

[@jerseyraider9618]

You understand, on average,“actual talent evaluators” are wrong just as often right?

[@sebastainjohnson4123]

@@jerseyraider9618 My post is in reference to a particular incident between Kiper and Bill Polian.

[@ToddButcher-vt9jm]

It was Bill Tobin who said that , not Bill Polian

[@sebastainjohnson4123]

​@@ToddButcher-vt9jm You are correct...ugh, I'm getting old. My condolences to the Tobin, btw.

[@travismiller4320]

I still wonder what Colts would have been like with Trent Dilfer…didn’t Jim Harbaugh get Colts to AFC Championship game within two years…

[@atlguy2396]

Fun fact about Brad Kaaya. Felisha from Ice Cube and Chris Tucker’s classic 1995 movie Friday is his mom

[@thundergato84]

I just googled it. I didn't know that. Cool.

[@kevinbond8966]

Bye Felicia

[@Kuromi_hellokittyandfriends]

Wow!

[@TehSchwizz]

That is a fun fact!

[@Davidjon1946]

I just need to borrow you're car for a minute 😅

[@MrEddie2042]

Imagine if Mel kiper was a financial analyst everyone would be broke

[@leftisbest7173]

Everyone who listened to him would be. The rest of us would be fine.

[@benfillar940]

That's just Jim Cramer

[@orderofgrandpuba]

Financial Analysts arent always right. They just play the odds.

[@mateoedwin4202]

Mel has to have dirt on someone because his rankings and analysis are awful

[@green-user8348]

My opinion, he gets waaaaay too much air time.

[@evanwilliams6406]

Jimmy Clausen got the Panthers Cam Newton, thanks Jimmy!

[@kevinbond8966]

Same number of super bowls🤣🤣

[@kc1john]

I remember people at the time were very suspicious of his ridiculous take on Jimmy Clausen because they shared the same agent. Kiper also failed to live up to his promise to retire if he was wrong about Clausen and he was dead wrong.

[@justin423]

Any GM that says that athleticism can carry a quarterback (or for that matter, an offensive lineman, or middle linebacker) should be working in a Wal Mart and not the NFL.

[@pfelon]

Good topic. Mike Williams' resurgence with Seattle after 2 years out of the NFL is interesting. Reuniting with his former USC coach Pete Carroll really put him on track to at least be a productive player for a short period there.

[@cassidy109]

Jimmy Clausen’s hair looked like it had been licked by a cat.

[@ecwfaithful]

I think we all wish we could find someone who believes in us as much as Mel Kiper believed in Jimmy Clausen

[@kc1john]

They shared the same agent. I don’t think that’s a coincidence.

[@Mandrahale]

The Jamarcus Russel story about being given blank tapes that were supposed to be game films was precious. He said he watched the tapes. 😂😂😂😂

[@bucsredsoxredwings]

There was a Mel Kiper page and twitter account few years back that listed all of his predictions and looked at them 5 and 10 years later. Last time I checked it, maybe in 2018 or sth, he was dead wrong on about 800 players. It´s like flipping a coin

[@saquadsbarkley4643]

So u can predict everything?

[@deesee2051]

I don’t get why ppl think Mel Kiper is supposed to be right he’s just an entertainer espn pays him because he gets ppl to pay attention

[@DoctorBiobrain]

It’s because he’s got great hair. If you had hair like a televangelist people would want to hear your opinion too.

[@Bbbmurr]

It would be a quicker video of the times he got it right 😂

[@raymondjackso25]

The Clausen stuff is like a definitive moment for me in realizing Mel Kipers just be sayin shit. 😂😂😂 He hyped up Clausen to the heavens.

[@WackJallis]

Do a video about the times Mel might have been proven right while going against the majority opinion on a prospect. Probably a little harder to find those instances but I’m sure they exist lol

[@atenchifan]

Would love to see a part 2. Also what about players he was right about? Great video!

[@forevertj]

The list of people wrong about the NFL draft is a mile long.

[@fritzpollard266]

I’m not a huge fan of his and I’m aware I’m oversimplifying but he does make 224 guesses each year a gm makes 7 and 31 GM’s made roughly 6 enormous mistakes and 198 mistakes in total in 1 draft were made before Brady was drafted. He may have made excuses years down the road when he’s been wrong but I don’t recall any.

[@chucknola484]

I’ll see you at his HOF induction. Lmao wow that take is molten hot!

[@Rollo_26]

Kenny pickett is Giving Jarvis jones a run for his money as The worst Draft pick

[@fredwheeler4853]

I met JaMarcus Russell at the 2007 Senior Bowl (he's from Mobile so he was just walking around shaking hands); nice enough guy, but talking to him for 10 seconds you could see that the lights were on but no one was home.

[@dirtybird311]

I’m passing through a town called “Russellville” right when you got to number one. What a coincidence!

[@chiefgangmusic]

I’d love to see you do a video of the guys Kipper got right.

[@BigBFH72-dr5tn]

I remember a story about JaWalrus that he didn't want to stay on evaluate film at the Raiders facility. He asked if he could be provided with the film on DVD's so he could take them home and study. They gave him blank DVD's. The next week they asked him how his study sessions worked out and he bold face lied and told them that after watching the weeks opponents game film, he was ready for the opponent.

[@MrDuneedon]

Interesting. Would a follow-up video be possible where Kiper thought guys were gonna be busts and they turned out to be very solid in the league?

[@yujuandouglas7891]

The first name you said I'm like who😂😂😂😂😂😂😂

[@Deathstroke4200]

I love how 2024 draft has turned out. I love it when they are wrong after usually pick 4 to 6. They say how good these college players are going to be in the NFL. They don't know the person at all, the team they are being drafted to puts them in a system that benefits the players. They watch tapes of college football. Hell I could tell you who "could be good with this team".

[@DM-hl3bx]

In mels defense, a lot of people thought Jarvis Jones was a lock to be great. He was a monster at georgia.

[@vincenthammons-kd9du]

you have to pay just to get his mock draft, I laugh and anyone who does

[@stephenrose9845]

He still had Josh Allen number 1 in 2018.. I commend him for that

[@akvalues]

Well you make million predictions over 35 years you will miss!!😂😂😂

[@danielgiles7133]

Kipper doesn’t actually scout players. He just collects what scouts say and ranks them. He’s the Rotten Tomatoes of the NFL Draft.

[@brianbelden2449]

Yeah but Kiper has been breaking down draft picks for damn near 40 years. Of course Kiper is going to have some glaring misses on prospects in a game where the best GMs and scouts get it wrong significantly more often than they get it right. If you guys really want to be objective than you should also point out the number of times that Kiper has gotten it right, which he has done. Mel Kiper actually has a fairly good track record on player assessments Long before the age of algorithms and analytics were made available to the dirty work for every nickel and dime draft geek. Also, any way that one wants to slice it, Mel Kiper was instrumental in popularizing the NFL Draft into what it has become to casual fans. Before the early 2000s casual fans didn't pay any mind to the NFL draft process. Hard-core football fans were the only ones tuning in on ESPN 2. Now the draft/combine/Senior Bowl week are must watch TV with the draft itself dominating the ratings for every round 1-7 on mainstream networks. Kiper was instrumental in getting every Tom, Dick and Harry office geek to tune in on every April 25th and was only able do so because Kiper did manage to get it right over 30+ years alot more than his critics care to mention or give him credit for.

[@hailmaryrecordings8255]

Exactly

[@alcarocci532]

On point these guys are like politicians! One way street.! Bitches

[@mt_baldwin]

I think Caleb Williams is going to be a bust. Too many red flags that the media hype machine going into overdrive has caused to be completely ignored or falsely reported. Somehow he's now said to react well to being pressured? WTF, no he's bad under pressure. He's also going to have to learn how to run a structured, pro style offense from scratch. He's never done 3 or 7 step drop backs, never done timing passes or RPO's (like what %90 of NFL passes are). All he's ever done is shotgun formation + scrambling hero ball.

[@thatonewriter8043]

He's not going to be a bust, per se, but I think the expectations are higher than almost anyone can reach. We get a hype train going every few years about the best guy in a draft class, and he *usually* is, but every QB has weaknesses, and those weaknesses always seem to get ignored if a guy makes enough impressive plays. He has Rome. He has Moore. He's the current Bears administration's pick (unlike Fields). They're going to make it work the best they can. He's just going to make mistakes, and the same with Luck and Lawrence, he's going to be picked apart for every single way he fails to be a Madden Create-a-Player.

[@zac.s]

I think 98% of a rookie QB's success is their environment. Unfortunately, I don't think the Bears are what people would call a good environment.

[@hailmaryrecordings8255]

Bears-fan here, and I hope you’re wrong; but agree that the hype is ridiculous and there are several red-flags that make me nervous about how he’ll deal with the Chicago media and fans. We’re rough, we’re desperate, we’re crybabies, and most of us really don’t know a lot about football. The heat will be on too. He’d better ball-out fast, or he’s going to be reviled by a lot of fans. I’m hoping for the best, but not *expecting* this guy to be Peyton Manning.

[@hailmaryrecordings8255]

@@thatonewriter8043yep

[@chiefgangmusic]

Eeeeeeee 😬 plz don’t erase these comments. Make sure you all stand on what you said. It’s going to be very interesting to see if you all are going to be right or made to look very silly. We don’t have to wait for that “environment” bs tho. That’s already some silly sh*t. It has already been said by pretty much everyone that knows anything about football that Caleb is coming into the best situation of any 1st overall QB draft pick ever. What would be a better environment than having 2 of the top 8 WR’s in the entire league, plus a WR that lead the entire ncaa in receiving yards and contested catches, plus top 7 TE, plus 2 very good RB’s, plus an upgraded OLine, plus an OC that made Gino Smith a pro bowl QB, and plus a defense that finished the 2nd half of the season as the #1 scoring defense while also leading the entire league in interceptions. Lmao in order to “not think the Bears are a good environment”, you’d have to be missing a 🧠 or just one hellava hater.

[@mrgrrr9552]

about 5 yrs ago i got into an argument on here with someone I'm convinced was mel. he kept saying insane crap like kipper being "beloved by millions" lmao

[@brewermike1018]

A lot of what he’s saying was the correct evaluation for the prospect. What you don’t get to evaluate is the system they’re put in, the coaches that progress him and the culture of the locker room. All listed 5 could of easily succeeded in the nfl with motivation, correct culture, good coaches, and right system

[@DAVYMAC]

Also a BUNCH of "running QBs" that were predicted to be the absolute ANSWER for each and every franchise. Also a slew of SEC defensive and offensive players that got embarrassed by players from other conferences. Especially during the playoffs!

[@KTthaSouthernGent22]

This video has aged perfectly 😂😂😂😂😂

[@prideofalion]

But you know what, he's actually been right about a lot of them too. You know, just like everyone else who tries to predict things that are nearly unpredictable.

[@carlhallowell3421]

He's the Dave Meltzer of football. Fans take his words seriously, whereas the people actually involved thinks he's an imbecile.

[@Slimdulla87]

He's completely wrong about crying for over 4 days on why it was foolish for the falcons to draft Penix.

[@brianstancato3945]

Its crazy that these on air personalities can make a statement that they are not obligated into being hell accountable for. I realize that ESPN has a contract with him, however once Clausen did not pan out he should have been released like so many others were in cost saving moves.. this would also apply to Christopher Russo who said he was done when the D-backs beat the Dodgers...

[@besinji2000]

He was right this year about Bub Means being the best WR in the draft.

[@peelslowly28]

I think Mel Kiper is just the embodiment of the notion that there really is no way to know how someone is going to be in the NFL.

[@Jones11b]

I swear I have more draft knowledge then Mel keiper

[@rogergonzalez9295]

Kiper? Who the fk is Mel Kiper??

[@craigkdillon]

What about 5 players Mel Kiper thought were crap, and ended up being great? Did that ever happen??

[@pre-approved438]

Coming out early (or rather trying) means he has character issues?

[@Ray-oh1vo]

I can't ever remember him ever being right.

[@michaelt312]

Just five? Was this just the first round of the (insert year here) draft?

[@kvinche8120]

I thought Jarvis Jones would be a HOFer

[@user-qe6zu2yi7i]

How many times was he spot on?

[@carnagedna]

Theres 257 picks in the modern day draft. Even if the guy bats 10% thats pretty good

[@jeffbosworth8116]

Most of these so called "Draft Experts" are rarely better than a coin flip

[@deanmuhl7417]

The truth is that no one knows if anyone is going to measure up to the hype. The ones that do are in the minority.

[@AT-il2ej]

Kiper is right a lot too. FWIW the draft is always going to be a crapshoot.

[@kolboy757]

Even I knew Jimmy Clausen wouldn’t do well in the league

[@christophercarrigg3775]

Brad kaaya's mom is Felicia from the movie Friday. Bye Felicia!

[@josemontejano4811]

Not me he sucks all the time

[@Davidjon1946]

Poor Jimmy he never stood a chance 😅

[@sweetdaddydee1314]

See, this is why you don't listen to ANY of the shit any of these analysts say.

[@jesuspena6394]

Mel Kiper's job is easy since his mistakes don't cost him anything. Nfl GMs can't make the same mistakes.

[@AD-df5tm]

To be fair, NFL GMs make horrible picks all the time too and its their literal job.

[@aleks1939]

Not a Kiper fan at all. But this video could be made about any draft analyst.

[@Lonesurvivor256]

As opposed to Mad Mel who never misses

[@fizzyfuzz5878]

Sorry but Jake Delhomme pre 2008-9 playoffs is the best QB Carolina ever had. Much better passer, more clutch and didn't fold as much as Cam. Cam was just a great rusher

[@paulbarron9745]

Mel was wrong a lot but he’s the creator of the hype on the draft.

[@hushson9411]

Good video. Braylon Edwards > Chris Henry though. I know he died, and Edwards was a dropped pass waiting to happen, but still…

[@jolese24]

There is only one relevant Kiper know, and that's...... MAD Mel Kiper!

[@tacocat773]

I wish ESPN got rid of him instead of Todd mcshay

[@midknightfalconfan]

I don't know why Kiper still has a job.

[@timothymichael7552]

Most of these guys had the potential to live up to those expectations. They just wasted their talent and opportunity. Mel and other analysts aren’t conducting interviews. They’re not talking to coaches, they’re not hiring PI’s like the teams do.

[@toddwinegar7365]

Only 2 Heisman winning QBs have ever won a Super Bowl . Those 2 being Roger Staubach and Jim Plunkett! It's been over 40+ years since we have had that. I'm a Redskins fan so I was screaming please don't take Daniel's or Williams. Imo they might turn out to be decent QBs but neither will win a SB. If anyone breaks this streak imo it will be Joe B, but he does play for the Bengals so........ I also predict Pennix to be the most successful out of this draft, well him or Drake May! Ice been wrong before but this isn't me and my feelings it's facts as far as the Heisman QB = SB wins! I'm right more often than Mel but so are most people lol.

[@Cooljohn760]

Mel Kiper should just do team projections draft pick not hype or trash projections.

[@averyslots2789]

I like videos like this… but I also think it’s dumb to point out the times he’s way off like he does this every year for over 500 kids who the hell wouldn’t get some wrong 😂

[@matthewtaylor6683]

Never trust someone who never played or worked in the sport they’re covering.

[@sageohio1864]

Kipper is never right

[@hailmaryrecordings8255]

Who of us hasn’t been wrong about draft-picks? I get why people pick on Mel, but we’re all kinda’ full of shit when it comes to correctly identifying all-pro talent. Especially those of us who never played the game at even the college level.

[@shaheemtaylor960]

Kipper is the G.O.A.T he makes mistakes but most of what he says about the draft is dead on. The man’s life is scouting college football all year round. The Jimmy Clausen prediction was wild tho

[@chucklamantia3067]

Are You His Agent

[@mramisuzuki6962]

@@chucklamantia3067his son.

[@RobertScribner-vs3do]

If you have to be a junior you are done

[@16960734]

Kiper isnt the greatest analyst but predicting player outcomes before the draft is hatd

[@chuco915C]

He’s cool.

[@CleptoeastsideBoyleheights]

🦅🦅🦅

[@BigTex915]

How about 5 times Kiper was right

[@jamesbeachem2003]

It's not Mel's fault about Claussen's attitude. A lot of people thought he would be a star

[@ThaDjavi101]

But. He’s been right alot

[@Kenniscent]

I can’t really stand Mel kipper to be honest , I get why he does what he does tho if like to get paid well to make guess too .. in his defense tho the draft is basically a guessing game for everyone if not Tom Brady would have been 1st over all and Jamarcus Russell would have been an undrafted free agent

[@jonahfalcon1970]

Only 5?

[@broncodeviltexas]

Now do the thousands he was right about.

[@adamhout4271]

Kiper was right about Josh Allen, though. He said Allen would be the best in the 2018 class. He got that one right

[@darenmaples9872]

Personally I think he’s the best at what he does. It’s not about being right or wrong, it’s about his opinion and giving people something to talk about. He’s been doing it 41 years so he’s doing something right

[@Bambino_60]

I just don’t put any merit into what he says. He’s ok otherwise.

[@CleptoeastsideBoyleheights]

🦅🦅🦅🦅💚💚💚💚💚

[@jamesbeachem2003]

A lot of these guys had the tools and hype. But it seems you think Kiper has the ability to know a guy's character.

[@crittoneida958]

Sure but have u heard him trash team selections on the NFL draft shows? As if he is the expert.....

[@thatonewriter8043]

@@crittoneida958 Kiper started as the most qualified person in the room by virtue of being basically the only sports writer doing draft research. No one has clued him in that just about everyone does mock drafts now, and they're all more competent than he is.

[@crittoneida958]

@@thatonewriter8043 I will give Mel the credit for creating an industry & being the lead draft guy on ESPN tho...

[@briananderson9650]

Or 150😂

[@TommyRibs]

He is probably about as good as NFL General Managers to be fair.