A Short Term Prediction on this 2023 Victor Wembanyama Prizm Rookie Card

[@brettcb471]

Another caveat - Wemby is a Fanatics-exclusive signer, so him not having autos in Panini products mean his base and parallels will hold higher value than normal due to no autos

[@ChristopherSmithNYC]

I think Wemby is different. If he dosent get hurt he is so far above everyone else on the floor.

[@johnschamel7255]

I'm not sure you're correct here. I've watched 15 cases of this opened and I'd guess that a Wembanyama base is only being pulled 1 in every 30 blaster boxes. At $30 a blaster thats $900 to get you a base Wembanyama on average. Currently these early blaster boxes have the base Wemby as an extremely short print. With the demand, his potential, and the extreme limited availability at the moment I think it will surely go up in value unless Panini decides to change the print run on these later with future variations of the product. But I'll bet money, with the current back drop, that future Prizm products Panini releases will have a different photo for all the rookies with higher print runs. Making these early short print ones exceptionally coveted.

[@macmapa4440]

yeah! Ive seen a guy in yt break 8 boxes and got one Prizm base RC. Could be an SP base card who knows but i think the market has changed a bit and with that the coming of Wemby and his hype. 4-5 years down the road this could sell for 100-150 give or take. 5 years later if they get to the conf finals or the finals... sheeeeeesh! it would hopefully appreciate more... Id trade keldon and picks for a legit star. Keep sochan and vassell, the rest can go

[@TheBookofTobit]

Card goes for $100 right now!​@@macmapa4440

[@uhhmariii]

@@macmapa4440yeah I’m with you I have about 3 base silver rookies and refuse to sell. I feel like this will follow the Luka and be minimum 80-100 bucks in 3 years when he’s breaking all kinds of block records and prolly a defensive player of the year he finished 2nd his rookie year he’ll win it next year or the year after and this card gonna shoot up

[@MrK623]

You Tube intentionally messing up video playback for Firefox users. I guess I won't use their site for a while.

[@720pLyrics]

Price range as of august 17, 2024 Wemby #136 base is selling for anywhere between $30-$50 dollars

[@NirvanaLuxury]

About to grade like 100 chrome stock Wemby's. I certainly hope he lives up to the hype!

[@tedjerdee1028]

Hi Chris, I had a random video idea today. I've been trying to collect some rare junk wax era cards and realized that a lot of key players in very common sets from the 90's aren't graded nearly as much as I thought. Even 1990 Donruss doesn't have a crazy PSA pop count compared to a lot of 2018/2019 stuff. To that point, a lot of these cards have under 1000 PSA 10's yet those cards go for pretty cheap. It makes me think that a lot of these high grade cards from the 90's are very overlooked. People just assume the supply is unlimited and the sets are junk so no one wants to grade them. I'd also be very surprised if someone opening up 30+ year old product can get a gem rate over 2%. Once the supply of sealed junk wax dries out, I wonder if a renewed interest will return as the junk wax era is very nostalgic for multiple generations even young people who open junk wax packs today for fun. In summary, I think the junk wax era sets are overlooked as grading was not very prevalent at the time and people thought of these sets as garbage by the time grading was popular. Because of that, there's a lot of low pop PSA10's that get overlooked in a lot of "famous" sets.

[@BRIANCARRUTHERS]

AGREE 💎

[@danielmorack]

Love the channel! My dad and I watch your videos. If anyone could please please give me some advice, my father has roughly 500 baseball cards from the 60s he started collecting when he was 8 years old and has kept the cards in a box for the last 50 years. We started to go thru them and there seems to be some really valuable cards but NOTHING is graded yet. What’s the best way to start selling some of these cards? Should we really go get 500 cards graded or should we take them to an action or what? So sorry to sound like a “noob” at this but him and I have never sold cards before and I want to make sure we do it the right way. Thank you for the help anyone

[@bobwhite4671]

Learn the value of the cards, if there is no value there do not waste your time grading a 10.00 card when it is going to cost you 15.00 or more. Any HOF from that era are in general can be valuable. Mantle, Aaron, Clemente, Mays, Ryan, are valuable. Never sell anything before you learn the value of what you have.

[@danielmorack]

@@bobwhite4671 really appreciate that! If I may ask one more question for these type of cards is it better to get graded from SGC or PSA? I saw in one of his videos he did a top 10 sell list of 2023 and the top 4 were graded by SGC I believe but there seems to be a big PSA following. Any opinion on one verses the other? In terms of selling them? Thank you sir

[@sp123]

​@@danielmorackPSA has the most brand loyalty and rich collectors. If you think the card will grade well, PSA is the way to go

[@richardbianco9674]

​@danielmorack keep in mind psa has a much lower max value cap for their economy tier than sgc does. If you have cards like those HOFers in high mid grade ( think 7-9) the value will push it up to the next tier at psa. Psa is 65 days turnaround where as sgc is 15 days. The values are getting close enough where sgc might be the better option at that point

[@bobwhite4671]

@@danielmorack personally prefer SGC, they are less expensive, quicker turnaround times, have very good customer support, and I prefer the look of their slabs over PSA. If I buy graded cards the PSA or SGC designation means very little to me.

[@drsmithel5095]

Now, four months later, is this a card worth holding? I pulled his silver rookie yesterday and I don’t know if I should grade it, sell it, or hold it for a while. Thoughts? Also any ideas about where the card might be in a years time?

[@CraigJanney]

Agreed. If you miss the prediction, you should take a photo in front of a black curtain with a similarly poor Photoshop job wearing a Spurs uniform in the Prizm design, print 10 copies, sign them, and give them out at the Chantilly show.

[@SlapNSniff]

I really like what you said at the end of the video about buying the card now if you want it now. I am a collector. I have overpaid many times for a card I wanted because I wanted that card right then. It's not about money to me.

[@cacsports]

Glad you made this video. This is a message I've been trying to get out on my channel vis-a-vis Connor Bedard cards this year as well but am not sure people are getting it. Card design is beautiful as always :)

[@cashadder]

Was he right on Purdy?

[@curtissoileau6029]

These cards are looking like case hits. I think the value holds long term, as long as his healthy.

[@FredWilliams-fn2nw]

The only thing i see that may make the value hold steady on all of Victor Wembanyama cards is half of his cards are gonna hold there value considering he has no panini autographs.

[@cardphins68]

Really good video as usual, insights backed by fact. No way should that base Card be anywhere near $100- and I'm a Wemby Fan who has been chasing his Cards. Hmm, I'm thinking $25- to $30 Raw and I'm in a good mood, lol. You are so spot on about the Printing Press being cranked up, it's true. Thanks again! Panini lazy, no way, lol!

[@ktc629]

for the record, the Jokic Prizm base Raw rookie is holding 180.00 current value. Does a lower print run really make that difference stand out? Ill leave that up to youl

[@collectorinvestordealer]

Good point. I would say any prizm set pre-2018 has a much lower print run (the farther back you go, the lower the print run) and isn't really comparable in my opinion.

[@NukeBryan]

As on the morning of March 22nd, 2024, the base Prizm Victor Wembanyama RC sells for about $85.00 - $95.00 all in

[@collectorinvestordealer]

My prediction is not looking good....

[@NyckulasLowe]

Good morning, Chris! Another great video…as always. I appreciate all your videos because they all give interesting information that helps me be a better collector, investor, dealer 😂

[@CommercialFreeShow]

Agree But what will a psa 10 be in July?

[@aesa21]

Just pulled an ice Prizm wemby and I’m unsure to hodl till ROY award or sell now, classic problem lol. It’s a nice card with wemby spurs colors

[@davidportnoy3237]

The base card was purposely short printed. It won't go down in price unless they start mass printing it. It goes for more now then the time of this video. Great prediction.

[@AlexVegasLimo]

They are being mass produced in china 😅

[@matthewsouza5730]

I agree with everything you said Chris as this seems to be the case each year. Generally the cards that rise are the unexpected players who rise after the rookie year. One idea for a "punishment" could be you have to create a better photo shop version of the card.

[@jacobmuch2054]

If he wins ROY (which he will) would the card shoot up in value right after that?

[@vince2345678]

this wenbanyama card (#136) or the #2 prizm card ?

[@scottvaughn9]

Pretty wild. Purdy has had the absolute best case scenario play out for his cards this entire season. You couldn’t have asked for anything more, performance-wise, as the 49ers make their way into the playoffs. Which is the hottest time for desirability. Yet, all that being said, the Purdy’s are still only selling for 15 bucks.

[@Ksun9669]

Spot on prediction. Base prizm wembys going for $30-40 now on eBay.

[@jtbarney3]

There's no doubt his highlights are crazy, but his eFG is less than mediocre at 43%, and currently he doesn't affect winning. He may be a rookie in the NBA, but he's been playing professionally for years now with very little improvement in his 3 point shot. I look at Kevin Durrant's rookie season he shot 28% from 3 point, but improved to 42% in year 2, then leveled to 38%. For me a good predictor of Wemby's success in the NBA will be his 2nd year 3 point percentage. Anything less than 33% I would sell on him becoming an all time great. Also, the rate of injury for players 7'3" and taller is astronomical. I'm hoping for the best, but the data doesn't support him reaching his potential at this point. He's a seriously high risk card for investing, so waiting for the the market to crash makes sense if you want to invest.

[@cecilepuckhaber1067]

I didn't realize he had the best trainers in the world in France. News to me.

[@herbertfoulk8191]

He's absolutely right

[@Bomboclatt1970]

It’s June 4th and I bought it on 35$! Great prediction

[@TenaciousAC]

Something Wembanyama might have to keep his cards a little warmer than Purdy had will be a run at the Rookie of the Year award. That award will be announced between your two Prediction dates. Now, granted, I think the heat generated should he win will be minimal and probably done a week or two after the award, but how the market will react to his two-horse race with Chet could be interesting. Whoever wins will get a little bump, whoever loses a little drop-off…..

[@vegasanimal]

UPDATE - The Purdy Mosaic base is now selling for $6, $35 at PSA 10; The Wemby is $15-20 raw PSA 10 $100, PSA 9 $30. Can I ask you do you think there is future value (2-5 years) in the PSA 9 for $30? Enjoy your channel thanks

[@jonathanralphs7939]

His One of One Black Shimmer just been pulled.

[@lowrollerscratcher3563]

What do you think victor wemb silver hand ball prism selling 1000 dollars Now? What is your price prediction?

[@collectorinvestordealer]

I would predict it to drop significantly as well, but because the supply is much less, it has a better chance of holding.

[@ivanzrno1765]

im seeing his silver prizm go for 1000 canadian which is nuts

[@bdablader95]

Victor's case is no different than CJ Stroud's, they're both the only rookies of their class who truly lived up to their hype and are exceeding expectations. Prizm is always a terrible set value-wise, now it's literally hit 1 specific rookie or you take a massive L.

[@JoelRohrer-y8e]

and there arent any autos fir either right?

[@jasontrojanowski2139]

I got the Topps holiday wembys 2 in one pack the card dealer told me they are worth more

[@ACD1994]

Wemby was highly touted as a generational talent, and best number 1 pick since LeBron. Whether he can have an all-time great career; time will tell

[@itmeyo0]

gj chris , always liked your analytical approach to it .

[@josephmcgregor4877]

Good prediction. I recently sold sold several VWNBA Hoops and Prizm Draft Picks rookies for $10-15 a piece and I'll bet they'll go for about half that in a year

[@sp123]

What WNBA cards did you sell?

[@matthewcook2097]

im happy you said the thing about "if your a collector go buy it if you want it" lol - i recently bought a griffey card i have always wanted that RARELY goes up for sale (like 1 every 2 yrs) because it is rare. I saw it listed for buy it now like 20 minutes after it posted for buy it now or best offer, i just slammed the buy it now vs. submitting offers because i couldnt live with myself if i missed my chance because i was trying to get like 50 bucks off or something lol. Anyway, love the saturday vids!

[@jamesm6006]

Which rare Griffey is this?

[@matthewcook2097]

​@@jamesm6006it was 1998 pinnacle emerald epix season, there are different emeralds and the season version is never available and it's the most rare for griffey.

[@RCA_Dome]

Not a good comparison. Griffey cards have stabilized for years now. Their values don't change. The Wemby is going down and will continue to go down until it's a 10 dollar card. So if you are a collector, wait 1 year and go buy Wemby for 5 bucks

[@aznation4592]

What about the White Wembanyama that’s going for over a $1,000 to ,$3k on eBay just crazy

[@maxxdcarroll]

Also there is higher chance of buying raw gem copies now than later on

[@collectorinvestordealer]

Good point

[@shakascloset1700]

I always have to remind myself to wait when a new release comes out and my PC player is included in it. I won't buy any base cards and will try and get in player breaks but will go after any /25 or lower cards. Because you might not ever get another chance on the rarer cards.

[@slangnrox7473]

Are you going to post an update to your Purdy video 1 year later?

[@collectorinvestordealer]

I did an update on the Purdy prediction right after my prediction expired

[@williamcollins8098]

He could make a position change in the future,after getting banged up crashing the boards.As a center grabbing rebounds saving his energy.

[@chrisojeda7377]

Zion-Luka-SGA prices were sky high thanks to the surplus of people coming into the hobby during the boom. You know, those "collectors" who were just following the pump and dumpers of that time. No one is really pumping Wemby,, if anything, many Collectors don't beleive he has physical attributes to have a long (HOF?) career.

[@colinburroughs9871]

looks like a walking injury

[@KingKuba1313]

Those "collectors" are lining up for Bedard YG. It will be $2000 PSA 10 right of the bat.

[@Luddig12]

Just got this in PSA 10 for $150 good price?

[@collectorinvestordealer]

Average of recent sales for PSA 10s is around $125 so maybe it was a little high but not bad.

[@jeffsharpe5048]

And now

[@michaeldenzer6024]

Good points!!! Too much hype on over printed cards

[@MainiacCards207]

Selling for around $80 atm

[@ronserpico4376]

You might e correct on the June 1 prediction. We always hope the hype is real. The next huge deal. Zion fizzled. I hope he doesn’t. I bought the Topps now draft card. Waiting to see

[@RCA_Dome]

Even if Wemby becomes a star this card will drop to 10 dollars. It's not about how good he plays. This is about a wrong card value from beginning

[@JohnMiller-jj9kx]

I like it! If your wrong, maybe you have to wear a pink halter top or a tutu tor your next prediction show. 😁

[@atxtreasurechest]

Wow what a hard prediction that is. Happens almost every single time.

[@theamazingyoungguy5572]

Hey maybe prizm printed less this year 😅 and if that’s the case then you know what that means

[@matthewelliott2213]

I agree with your estimation of upcoming value--but if you're wrong you must "punish yourself" by buying that crazy expensive orange Cal Ripken Jr minor league card you've always wanted...

[@Philly_Joe]

Thank you! I think you are being generous - card will be worth less than $25 by June.....but I'm a moron so we will see........👍

[@colesdad2000]

How much is a Shaq rookie.... ya

[@joeyj5538]

I know hockey is not something you focus on a lot, but would love to see a similar video with the Connor Bedard young gun about to come out. Prediction: I think it will be slightly above what you predicted Punishment : giveaway cards again, (but this time to KZbin viewers)

[@tommayrant2279]

Your soothsayer call should be right on the $ with the Wembanyama. Griffey's 1989 UD RC had better photoshop. If your prediction is wrong then you have to do a video reaction for a LeBron flopping compilation.

[@ericzdrojewski137]

I also think of the 2022 Topps Wander Franco Rc. Especially once the first PSA submissions came back and they went for well over $2000. Whats it’s worth now in a 10? Under $10?

[@CoreyInCreamCity]

As punishment, you have to do a full verse of one of your favorite solo hip hop artists on youtube. It won't cost you anything, and we can all enjoy it.

[@collectorinvestordealer]

That would be more of a prize than a punishment :)

[@AlexVegasLimo]

Psa 10s going for 175-200+

[@pickzkickz]

What about now?

[@jeffsharpe5048]

And now

[@andrewvasquez8541]

The prediction was wrong, but the spirit of the prediction was right? 🤔

[@twoshedsjohnson8540]

Currently seeing sales in the mid $80s now.

[@themashugana9440]

when do the autographed base Prizm wembys come out? any predictions on the value of that card?

[@PedroSimoes-sp7ln]

100% I agree...let me just say I'm glad someone else noticed the sh!t job Panini did with both the Brock n Wembys... I think we need to go back to the Beckett for mat for pricing cards... It's obvious that collectors can't be trusted with setting the bar for the price of cards it's just ridiculous... Let Beckett,PSA,SGC,or someone or some company set the card prices... No cards back wen I collected in the early 90s went for anywhere near what they go for now... If ur know do a KZbin only giveaway...

[@theothermiketrout4861]

Always a fan of predictions as it makes things interesting. As a possible punishment for being wrong, maybe give away a raw silver copy of this card. Cheers

[@joeym2675]

I agree! The print runs of all sports cards are through the roof now! I started trying to rebuild my collection in 2019-2020 and I paid to much for a lot and paid cheap for a lot of cards! But I was going out buying boxes to try to pull the cards I wanted and buying in breaks and I have gave up on breaks but buy a box every month or so now to open for fun! But I took your advice and I just buy the cards I want and I’ve saved in the long run! I’m a big Julio Rodriguez fan and collector and was trying to get one of every RC and it’s not impossible but it’s to many to even consider it worth the money! But o have gotten lucky and got several low #d cards of his and those are what I’m Hoping will be the long term investments! But I’m a small time investor and big time collector! So it’s more about the love of the hobby than what I gain in the long run! But I still want to buy smart cards! So now I focus on HOFers and Vintage graded cards! Thank You Chris for you knowledge and advice on sports and sports cards!!

[@springercollectibles]

1000% agree. No logic behind this mass produced card holding value. The Luka example says it all, to say the least

[@civicminim]

Punishment should be. You have to mail a wemby rookie to whoever predicts closest market price to your prediction.

[@MrPasta98]

Pulled 3 victor rookies. Gonna hold my SSP rookie red foil silver holo and my green Prizm. Sold the base rookie for $70. I think Wemby is legit. Guy is putting up full game stat lines in 20 minutes

[@rubenavila2274]

They got a LOT of 4 Wemby cards for $60. It has his prizm base card.

[@user-ow3jl5dp5o]

That's monopoly

[@markthompson7503]

Funny to see the people that paid hundreds of dollars for base rookies are now stuck with five dollar cards.

[@KingKuba1313]

They still sell for thousands in hockey just no one gives a crap about basketball. No collectors. I'll still be selling base cards for thousands in a few months when when Bedard comes out while these other sports sell their top rookies for $5 lol

[@TeamSleep]

😬

[@bobjohnson7294]

Aren’t print runs relative to the amount of people buying cards? For instance the print run has gone way up but so has the number of customers. Wouldn’t that mean print runs don’t mean that much?

[@collectorinvestordealer]

If demand matches supply (print runs), then yes it wouldn't matter. But supply has gotten so high on base cards that that demand cant keep up.

[@bobjohnson7294]

@@collectorinvestordealer thanks

[@aaronbbreaks1814]

If you are wrong you have to grow the jedi braid back!! :)

[@darijobubica3919]

Hay Chris I think your going to be pretty close..Nice prediction.. This guy has had no impact on them winning twenty games this year? To me that's not very reliable..They still need many pieces to their figuring out how to win games.. I'm not sold on him... A similar player to Ralph Sampson with lots of upswing let's see how the injuries go on his fragile body???

[@heinzdelf]

On Point!!!

[@aw.8.]

The photo on the Wemby card is actually from the NBA rookie photo shoot, so not photoshopped. But yeah definitely a crappy image for such a big card

[@bigsmooth7998]

Panini has had curtains in the background of rookie cards dating back to 2009, go look at Steph Curry’s 2009 Panini #307 & #357, is it still a lazy effort from Panini though? Definitely, they could have picked a better photo but I doubt Wemby was going to risk an injury going up for dunks during a rookie photo shoot.

[@justinmusgrove2548]

If Luka is a 60 dollar card still, I'd be shocked this card is going for any less. Zion and Edwards don't have near the hype as Wembenyama and dude is doing some insane shit while playing 24 minutes.

[@soluscristus1]

Zion hype was huge.

[@justinmusgrove2548]

@@soluscristus1 compared to Wembenyama? Not even close

[@ryanfitzgerald2816]

Justin, are you like 13 and weren't old enough yet to see the Zion hype? Zion was hyped way MORE than Wembenyama has been in the NBA speculator, I mean "hobby", world. Zion and Luka are the 2 most over-hyped sport card athletes of all-time in my eyes.

[@justinmusgrove2548]

@ryanfitzgerald2816 dude great. In the hobby. I'm 40. I'm talking real basketball. Zion hype nowhere near Wembenyama.

[@KingKuba1313]

​@@justinmusgrove2548it was bigger. Wemby hype is already gone.

[@chrisojeda7377]

I think $30 by April is a solid guess. Now imagine the massive flood of PSA 10 cards we will be seeing soon enough. I think if you have to give away 3-5 Wemby base as a punishment, you should go live for 15 mins and just randomorg them to those in attendance. Makes it hard to meet you at any card show being from the Midwest.

[@FF-7]

People are totaly crazy. Hype is money😂😂😂 i dont know but people are out of this World, its the social Media hype

[@tonyrobertson9452]

Cj Strauds should increase also as he has Definitely been the Best Rookie hands Down ... Purdy. Are you kidding !

[@jasonrichmann5135]

I think it will be under $25 by April 1st!

[@davidridgeway5793]

Nah nothing under 45 by April 1st

[@fliplife67]

It’s weird based cards are dead thanks to overprinting but U still get people trying to buy base cards why???

[@bigdraco3644]

Wemby is a true unicorn

[@MichaelSalzle]

Agree Chris lame looking card by Prizm for potential superstar and way overpriced at this point. Reminds me of Labron tribute that was at $125 during covid and now at $15?

[@sammyhill93]

Punishment is, you have to reenact Wemby’s Prizm photo and post it to your Instagram and community page on KZbin 😏

[@joshuajohnson7519]

I thought I heard many of the Panini people were hired by Fanatics. Maybe why photoshop and design elements are so lazily done on Panini products recently?

[@stevenherschkowitz2591]

I think that you are spot on with your analysis. Possible punishment (which seems unfair for you to burden alone since I agree with you!😂) is that you have 10 custom cards produced, with you in the exact same pose/position as Wemby, and send them to random commenters to this video. And the back could read “Chris Sewall here, collector, investor, dealer, supply and demand mythbuster in that order”.

[@rubenavila2274]

Raw Wemby cards are $25 to $35. After a year it should go up $20....

[@johnm1008]

I don't think you are overestimating the print run. A bazillion actually sounds low to me.

[@vicknewman9418]

Invest in rookies that you believe in! Autos, RPA and numbered cards. Its simple

[@creatine101]

If I packed this I would instantly sell it. If we were talking something other than base, that’s different. Your punishment should be buying a Wemby jersey and either wear it to a card show or wear it in your next 5 videos or something like that.

[@edjela]

My friend sold his for $300.00

[@reallygraycards7139]

If you are wrong you have to buy one and submit it to PSA until you get a PSa 1 (one, not 10) 😂

[@AlexVegasLimo]

Wemby monopoly purple is where you’ll make the most money roo

[@Chad-xs2de]

Even bolder prediction: in two months you can get it for $20.

[@thirtyoneless]

I believe its a pretty good prediction and could see it coming faster than June 1st for the 40$. I honestly am not sure on the punishment outside of something similar to the Brock Purdy one.

[@BRRRwm]

agree

[@Bradydog-in7ut]

Chis Sewell!, the new prognosticator of cards! You’re exactly right, they print these cards as fast as the printer can spit them out. Maybe if these guys become Joe Montana or Michael Jordan the cards will be worth the high prices in 25 years! I own 3 Gretzky rookie cards that I paid .25 for when O was a kid. I bought them because I loved hockey, not for how much they could be worth (.25 was the pack price).

[@youngpup2028]

CJ stroud is the same right now.