A World in Revolution: The Inevitable Backlash against Global Elites

Skip ahead to main speaker at 3:20
The Trump election and populist movements in Europe and Asia can be considered akin to true revolutionary movements--ideologically driven; brought about by a slow-down in social mobility, elite factionalization and decline in public goods; and pursuing a revolutionary agenda including propagandist reshaping of reality and a radical reconfiguration of international relations. This talk will show the common demographic factors behind these developments, and examine whether historical lessons can be drawn regarding the durability of such revolutionary movements in modern democratic states.
Jack A. Goldstone is the Virginia E. and John T. Hazel, Jr. Professor of Public Policy at George Mason University, a Senior Fellow of the Mercatus Center, and a Public Policy Scholar at the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars in Washington D.C. Previously, Dr. Goldstone was on the faculty of Northwestern University and the University of California, and has been a visiting scholar at Cambridge University, Stanford University, UCLA, the Hong Kong University of Science and Technology and the California Institute of Technology. He has received the Distinguished Contribution to Scholarship award from the American Sociological Association, the Arnoldo Momigliano Prize, the Barrington Moore Jr. Award, the Myron Weiner Award, and fellowships from the MacArthur Foundation, the JS Guggenheim Foundation, the U.S. Institute of Peace and the Mellon Foundation. He also served as the Richard C. Holbrooke Distinguished Visitor to the American Academy in Berlin.
A life member of the Council on Foreign Relations, Dr. Goldstone is also an Academic Fellow of the European Policy Council, and serves on the International Advisory Board of the Gaidar Institute (Moscow). He led a National Academy of Sciences study of USAID’s democracy assistance policies, and has served as a consultant on state fragility to USAID, Britain’s DFID, and the OECD. He helped lead the Political Instability Task Force initiated by the office of the U.S. Vice-President, and co-developed in State Fragility Index now published by the Center for Systemic Peace.
Dr. Goldstone’s research focuses on the impact of global population changes on social and economic development. His 2010 essay in Foreign Affairs - “The New Population Bomb: The Four Megatrends that will Change the World” - has been widely cited as a critical guide to the impact of future population change. He has been a keynote speaker at events in Oslo, Moscow, Antalya, Delhi, Beijing, Berlin, Aspen and New York, and appeared on CNN, MSNBC, Al Jazeera, Russia Today, and Fox News.
His recent books include Political Demography: How Population Changes are Reshaping International Security and National Politics (Oxford U. Press, 2011) and Revolutions: A Very Short Introduction (Oxford U. Press 2014). Prof. Goldstone blogs on global politics and economic trends at www.newpopulationbomb.com.

[@hungryghost6205]

as a parent I learned to not dismiss your child s fears, but to show empathy and acknowledge them as valid

[@mhikl4484]

Lydia Davidson So other than an ear and affirmation of their plight, how was the problem of your child's fears made not-fears. Of course a child's fears should never be dismissed; but solutions and assurances that the sun is coming up tomorrow are the order of such moments.

[@rosesandsongs21]

At 33:18 he says: ''If you're going to have a revolution you need elites to lead it.'' Now THAT is new to me and honestly, doesn't seem to make much sense unless... who would benefit?

[@ngonea]

We have been the subjects of a revolution lead by Elites, www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-03-17/feudalism-then-now

[@aquious953]

Yah, it’s all blah, blah, blah to me. Average people are done.

[@georgemonster2025]

You mean you've never read 1984? Goldstein explains it all

[@MJ-xi1mk]

Grasshopper

[@rosesandsongs21]

Lizard.

[@Kalarandir]

Very interesting and he seems to have his finger on what has been happening. However, his solution appears to be more of the same that the working classes have been suffering for the last 40 years.

[@lawrencelortie]

Power and human nature, is still only the coin of the relem. Every one wants change according to their own interests. Mabe Trump and Bannen will help the revelution. Rational people don't seem to be able to get it done. I'm hoping rationality will win in the end.

[@fukyutube2279]

Of course it is. Look at who funds these scumballs

[@dobertjowneyrunior3023]

If course that’s his solution, we aren’t begging to be their slaves yet

[@zanniethompson]

I agree with some of the analysis, but this lecture makes it seem like people's perceptions about where the inequality and corruption lies are inaccurate and wrong-headed. That the status quo has an inevitability to it. I do not think this is the case. Nor do I think that real change will come by co-opting establishment power players as figureheads. And by the way, Clinton lost because she was a terrible candidate and the figurehead of a bought-out party who offered the people nothing because to offer anything was to bite the hand that feeds them so lavishly.

[@johnwhite6346]

Jantes Inferno inequality is normal but when social mobility stops.It creates reactions and revenge.Humans need hope social mobility incentivises people to try harder if you freeze decrease social mobility then incentives no longer work and peoples productivity drops.Capitalism in Europe is actually causing this lack of enthusiasm for work much like communism did in the 1980s where workers did not work more because nothing would change.In fact workers often despised those who tried harder because it forced those who knew nothing would improve anyway would be forced to work harder so they tried to crush those individuals.In capitalism if you have to work harder and make less you achieve the loss of productivity.If you take out debt you become risk averse if your risk averse you are entrepreneurial and you make no progress long term you slow down. Hence why people are voting outside of traditional parties.No incentive to keep picking the status quo.

[@Mulberry2000]

so lets start with getting your job and see how you feel about inequality then

[@josephinhiding3595]

It's not the knowledge workers who disrespected the "deplorables". It's the politicians and Trump doesn't seem to be cutting it.

[@mns8732]

Joseph Inhiding Bull Crap.

[@haleybrown2836]

Suzanne Thompson, the lecture started out great but went down hill from there. I gave up when we got to the point of poor HRC. My impression, this person is very well off and has little knowledge about what really goes on in the country, too much theory and too little reality.

[@darknightbegins85]

"Poor Hillary Clinton" Probably the first time I've heard that.

[@thomasmurphy9429]

John Lovelace yeah...nobody on the populist left or right buys this shit

[@Waterskibug]

His analysis is purely from a leftist elitist view, he spews of arrogance. Not an objectively analysis. This is the socialistic crap coming out of our universities today. Our universities have completely disconnected with the average American and only interested in controlling our lives as they believe we should live.

[@katherinesparkes6860]

Lol.

[@martinjanecek4950]

@@Waterskibug get vaccinated

[@patrickvernon4766]

If he was a socialist he would close the border and give equal access to education, healthcare, and so on to white working class but he does not and will never. He wants that global capitalism elite

[@hopelessearth]

"Poor Hillary Clinton" ahahahahahha I'm dying.

[@stephenyang2844]

Tell this to the entrenched elite!

[@tonywilson4713]

great description the "entrenched elite" After you Dobert Jowney Runior pointed out the elites project their failure onto others. Its amazing that its 2022 and people are still watching this and commenting. About 2 years ago Saggar Enjeti pointed out a comment by Ngaire Woods the New Zealand economist made at the World Economic Forum that went basically: _"The good news is the elites have never trusted each other more than they do know. The bad news is the rest of the population has never trusted the elites less."_ The scary thing about that comment was she was *NOT* pointing out as a problem problem like Jack Goldstone is pointing out here, where the elites have failed to deliver. Ngaire Woods was *COMPLAINING* about how the rest of the population didn't trust them when they should. Her attitude was exactly the type Jack describes as to why people wanted change and didn't care where that change came from. Its amazing how many people forget that before he beat Hilary Clinton, Trump steam rolled over 16 GOP establishment candidates. Trump tapped into a mountain of anger and frustration the elites refused to recognise and STILL DON'T. Prof Richard Wolff (who's a Marxist and teaches Marxism) said once the people of Virginia did vote in the economic interests in 2016 when they switched form voting Blue to Red. Because despite voting Blue for decades the Dems had failed to deliver again and again and again.

[@rapauli]

Whoa! Now everything makes sense!

[@spyro1159]

This seems most relevant now

[@martinjanecek4950]

how about now

[@canteluna]

The effect of financial inequality in society can't simply be measured by mere envy or individual perception; arguably the worst outcomes of inequality are that the wealthy gain more control of the government, ensure their own financial interests (e.g. lower taxes, fewer regulations) are at the expense of others.

[@jamiehartman3350]

(starting the video) - despite a few minor points, it's good to see a compassionate view of things, especially considering he's from privilege himself... (halfway through) - on second thought, guess I should have finished watching the whole video. (almost done with video) - what was I thinking?!

[@redcoltken]

Preserve the constitution....

[@Johnny_Savage]

his points about failing to raise taxes, and not spending enough in certain sectors, may be true for the US and maybe the UK, but they're certainly not true for all the other countries in the world where populist leaders have gained traction, especially France and the other European countries. especially in France, Greece and Italy those higher taxes have not been used wisely, the public debt has become unsustainable, and crony capitalism blocks growth. and they're not true also for the ones that slipped back into autocracy (russia, turkey) - their long and complex history of adopting and rejecting the "western" system already gives enough reasons. he doesn't touch on delocalization and automation enough, which explain a lot of what he's talking about instead. his points on immigration, demography and cultural threat are true but certainly nothing new, we'd like to hear realistic solutions now.

[@markmahan38]

First it is ironic to see a man dressed in what looks to be a very well tailored and exspensive attire. Be the person to address backlash to Gobal Elites. But let's hear what the suite has to say.

[@windokeluanda]

Professor Jack A. Goldstone thinks!

[@thomasd2444]

0:20:00 - The Baby Boom Gravity Still Distorts Reality ___________ & distorts the Perceived Reality ___________ IMMIGRATION & CULTURAL THREAT 0:20:10 - The Immigration Welcome Cycle : Sometimes YES Sometimes NO 0:20:17 - Periods of Growing Immigration causes periods of restrictions 0:20:29 - Brian Gratton

[@mns8732]

"knowledge workers" might really be stupid

[@flicknut]

I listened to this guy until he tried to say that Hillary Clinton is not corrupt. Hilarious.

[@realisticallyspeaking9196]

He's describing a pattern in the narrative that follows a typical form throughout history that leads to revolution. You are swept into the narrative

[@Yor_gamma_ix_bae]

@@realisticallyspeaking9196 Yea not sure its always obvious how much we focus on individuals rather than systemic mistakes while actors short term political gain most benefit from the lack of complexities in pushing such a focus. I'd personally say the clintons were a realization of political success around taking up the mantle of conservative politicians including a new business sector backing in tech. Which does not translate into "more corrupt than republicans, or evil." yet an adapted version of the success reagan/george bush sr had via the backing of industry. The alternative was to keep losing, and stick to what was rapidly being painted as the past(welfare,education,social democrats etc,keynes). The result is, no one notices that Obama was mandated by liberals/conservatives that rejected the extreme Neo Con response to clintons sucesses. Now the public sees them as the same, or blames the total victory of capital elites on the clintons who were operating as mitigation and adapting to the new rules of politics.

[@MeGawOOt99]

@@Yor_gamma_ix_bae But the individual is seeking one of the highest leadership position in the world. You can say they were focused on short term gains but lets be honest. The word leadership has the ethos of taking responsibility for the actions and inactions of the group or organization the leader belongs to. If a father had a child that was bullying people in his/her school, and he didn't know. Here is the thing, he should have known. Its his/her child. It's his responsibility. The fact that so many people in leadership positions or considered 'experts' didn't know that globalism removed 80-90 percent manufacturing jobs, and that most of them were democrat supporting states. Why are the 'experts' or leaders shocked when they stopped voting for them? Ask yourself, who betrayed who?

[@janszeneri3572]

Love it! They want women to have a place in history, n when it turns out they are corrupt as hell, they complain of bad press. I could give a flying leap if the person is male or female, but if I’d go to jail for doing what they did, then they sure as hell better be prosecuted. Talk about privilege.......

[@billmartins6555]

"We have welcomed this change." BAHAHAHA. No, "we" haven't. Look at ANY poll on the average American's attitude toward immigration. Heritage Americans have ALWAYS been opposed. This was thrust upon us by elite, consumers of labor in the greatest treachery of human history. You know this, Jack. How disappointing. Also, what's this constant "they're worried their culture is ending?" Come on Jack, you know about evolution, kin selection, social capital and diversity. You know what they're truly worried about -- that their extended family, the white race, is going extinct. Many of them would embrace any new culture if it meant their people would continue to survive in a homogenous homeland.

[@niesporczak_magnum]

wait.. it isn't the inevitable backlash band ;_;

[@bertnijhof5413]

That coherent ideology is called fascism.

[@felisunlighter]

why put Bernie on the same camp as trump. in many respects trump and Hillary are the status quo. trump has merely put the paymasters of Washington into direct power and cut out the middle man. Bernie seems to me to have a sincere desire to attempt to fix the problems that neoliberalism has produced. He is hardly radical as he proposed a New Deal light.

[@1cspr1]

sableblack x Do you know the definition of insanity? Its doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results. Americans are insane. They (well, these who can be bothered to show up) vote for different clowns every 4 years, and after every election, surprise, nothing changes. And then the smartest of them become frustrated and talk about "the system is broken" and "the founding fathers" and 1776, while the rest sincerely belive that in 4 years they will vote for someone else and itll be different. It wont. Because the founding fathers set up the system that way, US was a oligarchy from day 1. The portion (about 30-40%) of populace in the name of the majority (100%) elects random people to rule the country for the benefit of the few (0,1%).

[@1873Winchester]

I'm a bernie supporter and I'd still classify him as a radical and populist by american standards. It's just that in his case, I don't find that to be a derogatory description. It's exactly what's required to get the people to vote and care. Have to offer a vision of a better future for people.

[@katherine6182]

I treat my objects like women Some states choose the same clowns over and over again. I can't say much about the other 49 states, but Wisconsin has had the same people go to D.C. for at least a decade (except for one senator, but he's been re-elected a couple times as well), including the current Speaker who's been in office since 1998.

[@yvonnem.langlois5197]

Because the elites like the status quo, easier to steal.

[@stefanhensel8611]

Really insightful lecture. Really horrible slides.

[@tracynorwood6274]

Couldn’t even listen as long as the previous commenter. This guy is “in” the box all the way. It’s just not going to work.

[@jeffmeltzer1484]

I commend the speaker for his adept use of rhetoric, drawing from the wisdom of Greek philosophers Plato and Aristotle. Initially, for the first 30 minutes, he constructs a compelling critique of our society. However, midway through, he pivots his argument, suggesting that embracing left-wing policies elites advocate will rectify our societal woes. This assertion needs to be revised. Liberal policies have been given ample opportunity since the 1980s, yet they have consistently failed to uplift the underprivileged. It's akin to the old adage: insanity is doing the same thing repeatedly and expecting different results. The speaker portrays dissenting elites as mere spoilers, insinuating they seek to hoard resources. This portrayal lacks nuance. Figures like Elon Musk challenge such generalizations, as they actively contribute to societal progress rather than merely amass wealth. While the speaker's rhetoric is commendable, I dissent. Let's not allow the so-called elites to dictate solutions unchallenged. It's imperative to critically assess policies and actors, striving for genuine progress. I encourage others to critically engage with these ideas. Feel free to share and disseminate this message widely.

[@MariettaFarley]

The other problem is the decrease in purchasing power of the dollar as a result of the FED printing funny money which the elite get first shot at enriching themselves and impoverishing contracted, hourly, and salaried workers and pensioners down the line who can't buy as much by the time the money reaches them. My food bill is SIX TIMES what it was in October 2008 without any other change (and you can be sure my income is not up). That is massive inflation. Thank GOD that gas is still below $2.50/gal!

[@joyceduhaine2744]

Can anyone at Watson PLEASE contact the Young Turks and try to join forces with each other?? These speeches/lessons/presentations are too important, too vitally relevant to get only 300 or so views... Some of them are essential viewing for those living in current events... The truth tellers who are not just fighting the darkness, but warning us of the darkness, need to join forces - for protection, to make allies and friends, and to help make each other stronger. (The Watson Institution- part of the TYT Network- would triple, if not quadruple the members...and help educate the progressive base at a time when education is under siege . Please, please make this happen - it's too important that you do this...Watson institute Online would open up online to such a huge extent , and you'd find a much larger audience in which to ask for donations, who'd be very willing to help you out, given the work you do, which speaks for itself , I might add. Make the merge - what have you got to lose?! Thanks, from a progressive fan, terrified of the darkness and what it's doing to America , the people, and the world.

[@rawereawera]

Joyce Duhaine highly unlikely as this is a part of brown university and universities don't like partnering with companies except in specific circumstances. However nothing is stopping tyt doing segments on these talks, via fair use, and inviting the presenters to talk on their show. It's up to tyt not Brown

[@gracieallen8285]

Joyce Duhaine, I found this channel because Jimmy Dore had Mark Blyth on his show. Hopefully other people did too.

[@joyceduhaine2744]

Fluffy Bunny - That was how I found it too!

[@gracieallen8285]

Joyce Duhaine, 😊👍

[@joyceduhaine2744]

rawereawera - I definitely see your point. It would have to be links to Watsons recent talks, with the title of the talk, and maybe some TYT hosts could discuss the video, the length of which depending on its importance. Just acknowledging Watsons importance to current events will demonstrate TYT's commitment to truth. It can only benefit TYTs image. On the other side, it will bring a lot more eyes to Watsons videos, the talks will educate thousands more people. There is definitely a way they can do this without stepping on the university's ethics, and without looking like TYT is exploiting Watson. And the progressive umbrella is going to have to be an enormous umbrella - willing to give shelter, comfort, and protection to all American groups and individuals who value the truth, basic fairness, and human life and liberty - whether it be Black Lives Matter, Redacted Tonight, Greenpeace, or the Greenwich Village Poetry Group. How closely affiliated any organizations become will be up to how comfortable they are with each other.

[@luketracey3269]

💚✝️🍀

[@aquious953]

"Poor Hilary Clinton"? She's not corrupt? Please!

[@tonywilson4713]

I don't think he's pointing out she's not corrupt. I think he's pointing out her problem is with being ignorant of the fact that a massive slab of the population never believed her crap for a heartbeat. If Hilary is/was corrupt then look no further than the stock trading scandal since to see that they are all corrupt. You commented back in January/February so when you commented the stock scandal was only just beginning. Only a few days ago the new legislation to stamp it out was squashed.

[@donaldgrant9067]

Well In all your squacken below I don't see any answers to the problems for the people who didn't go to college in this country so things will get worse off.

[@carnivoroussarah]

If you are bringing a child here (not adoption), you are giving the rich more wage slaves. Protest by not having kids. Period.

[@MariettaFarley]

A lot of the problems you mention can be easily traced to immigration from poor countries by what should be called the second wave. The best and brightest from those countries came here as soon as they could, 10 or more years ago. Now we are getting the poorly prepared from those countries. Often ill, not very smart, and hard to educate. A healthy society and economy can support a certain percentage of non productive - disabled, uneducable, elderly, ill, and generationally unwilling to work - people, but there is a limit. A lot of our problem is a result of the Obama years of ignoring riots and dangerous behavior IF it was performed by minorities. This made all of us feel unsafe. The other problem is that we were supposed to "solve" illegal immigration in the 80's. THAT DIDN'T HAPPEN and I'll guess that by two degrees of separation most Americans have experience with an illegal immigrant driver that injured them financially or physically or both. So, simply ENFORCING the borders and the LAW within our borders should help a great deal.

[@BJ-xh8tg]

m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=3262918153763166&id=124955570892789

[@venkataponnaganti]

A scholarly global picture. Thanks.

[@ZoggyWoggyII]

out of touch this guy is living in the clouds

[@CommonSenseBeatsIntelligence]

California Ubër Alles

[@martinjanecek4950]

OK Incel.

[@albertdittel8898]

Wow, this video has so many smart and well informed comments, is it really KZbin?!

[@19ronin76]

why america has to lead the world , may be that is the problem. History had shown that imperialism is always leading in the wrong direction.

[@andrewgrayb]

i wonder how much his net worth is. also, i can't help but think he looks like jeffery epstein.

[@tbay1959]

This guy is a joke. He totally leaves out inflation in all his arguements. This is on purpose so he doesnt have to talk about central banks. He is scared to open that can of worms. He talks about immigration as being good for the economy. This is true but not for the reasons he says. Many people come here with astounding educations but work for minimum wage or less. This is what helps the economy is paying less for talented people that will do the job that Americans wont do for twice the amount being paid to the immigrants. I can poke holes in much more of his disconnected bull....... speech but people like this cause my blood pressure to rise. Time to search for more Jacques Fresco and Peter Joseph videos.

[@MRJJJarhead]

I just realized Nigeria and the N word share the same root in etymology...

[@donnabradley8638]

WOW this guy is way off on the "immigrants" from India!!! He is CLUELESS!

[@buzoff4642]

???