Michael Beckley on The End of China’s Rise & the Future of Global Order | WORLD KNOWLEDGE FORUM 2024

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American Enterprise Institute

American Enterprise Institute

Күн бұрын

Пікірлер: 2 600
@himanv
@himanv 8 күн бұрын
A word to the camera guy: show us the slides/presentation, not people's faces. The importance is about the data and info being talked about and not audience's reaction or the speaker's face.
@SamtheIrishexan
@SamtheIrishexan 5 күн бұрын
Considering nearly all were ethnic Chinese their facial expressions and attention etc are actually very important things to keep an eye on. Reading even resting body language tells you more than a slide can.
@marcmans2186
@marcmans2186 5 күн бұрын
No their disapproval was my favourite part (although FYI a fair few of them are Korean who are not disapproving)
@pieterkock695
@pieterkock695 5 күн бұрын
@@SamtheIrishexan not the info we need tho. unless you want info about how asian people feel about this... and, besides that; its quite funny you think thats 'asians' all and want the same thing. im sure south koreans for example will kinda love china loosing a bit. and they are not alone.
@gamebm
@gamebm 5 күн бұрын
The issue isn't with the camera man; there's a fixed camera that captures the entire screen quite clearly. The problem lies with the person who edited this video, who seems overly fond of showing his face.
@9ty9t
@9ty9t 4 күн бұрын
@@SamtheIrishexan No, those are korean people. lol
@bennfetalvero4403
@bennfetalvero4403 9 күн бұрын
China had the chance to lead Asia. They had the chance to lead it with decency and show normalcy amidst a robust economy. Instead, they harass their fellow Asians, undermine their sovereignty and used their power to be above the law and order. We never truly had a leader in Asia which we can look up to and admire and aspire to be like the US for the Americas or Germany and UK for Europe. They jail their tech heads and leading CEOs, too. China also curtail the rights of their citizens hence limiting them from becoming the next Elon Musk or Einstein. What they are doing now is just hurting themselves more and more. No, this is not their culture. Preserving your culture and traditions does not involve oppressing people's freedoms. Japan was and still is prevailing in preserving its culture and traditions while rising as one of the world's top economies. This one is communism or a significant remnant of it that they can't just forego for a better, bigger, more prosperous China. We hope one day, there will really be one that will rise on top and lead Asia - it may still be China or perhaps India or someone else.👍🏿
@omr4745
@omr4745 8 күн бұрын
"aspire to be like the US for the Americas or Germany and UK for Europe" just say you put the whites on a pedestal and go. The West have been doing what you are accusing China of for centuries but here you are, being a bootlicker gold medalist.
@kenkens9874
@kenkens9874 8 күн бұрын
Yes. Preach it bro
@mchoy1010
@mchoy1010 8 күн бұрын
🥕❗😊…∴…∴i6∴yrrl!😮😮…∴∵人1 8:48 😊:、😅😊😊、、↖😮、、戚😮
@mchoy1010
@mchoy1010 8 күн бұрын
∴ 10:46 10:46 10:46 “😅∵😅:😅😅😅😅😅 11:47 11:47 冫
@johnm7267
@johnm7267 8 күн бұрын
America has invaded 13 countries illegally since 1949 and killed millions of people. How many countries has China invaded in that time? I think you are confused
@paulrise-vb7wc
@paulrise-vb7wc 3 күн бұрын
This is one of the best presentations I have ever seen on economic influence on geopolitical events. Tying the threads together lets us see what could be the future. At the same time in the US, we have some of the same circumstances developing. These events are pointing to a 3rd WW. It will be catastrophic
@aoeu256
@aoeu256 18 сағат бұрын
Hmm, there are a lot of gaps though. Like don't they know that China is building up their military to counter the blockade not the reverse, and the size of Chinese military should be done by an independent country since American rich guys are threatened by China (btw not normal Americans). Most of Southeast Asian countries are still positive about China (Malaysia, Thailand, Myanmar, Indonesia, even the Phillippines). If Chinese were really more nationalist, why do they do tanping and have so few children. Look up cosplay Bangkok, Hanoi, Manilla, etc... and see that nearly half of the cosplayers are cosplaying characters from Chinese IPs like Genshin Impact, etc... The "Uyghur genocide" in the UN was voted against by a lot of nations including nations from Turkestan and 11 out of 12 Muslim nations voted against it, mostly Western nations voted for it. a
@musicandairplanes6330
@musicandairplanes6330 18 сағат бұрын
Naw, you must not know what the capabilities of the United Air Force are. Oh you have to have a Top Secret clearance!
@loremasteringwion9930
@loremasteringwion9930 4 күн бұрын
Don't celebrate too early. A declining China could be far more dangerous and unpredictable than an ascending one. War is still a possibility as declining nations could use aggression to hold onto power, and there's a lot that could change in the coming years. Stay vigilant. Long live Democracy and Freedom!
@henryt4695
@henryt4695 2 күн бұрын
Yes, that is what he is saying as well.
@aoeu256
@aoeu256 18 сағат бұрын
Hmm democracy can be improved, get rid of the vote of bad people (extreme lack of ambition, criminals, don't pay much in taxes). China also supports democracy in that they want to help southeast asia and latin america and africa grow with infrastructure, actually ask people from there not from western lens what they think of China.
@JimEast123
@JimEast123 9 күн бұрын
From what I've seen over the past year or so this is spot on. I've been watching China for years and it's spining out of control.
@gmk4990
@gmk4990 6 күн бұрын
of course spot on, he is just spewing facts... and diverting people's attention away from the decline of USA hahaha, and keeping his job as a contrarian.
@teckchuonting4582
@teckchuonting4582 6 күн бұрын
😂😂😂
@诗酒趁年华-f6c
@诗酒趁年华-f6c 5 күн бұрын
中国已经崩溃二三十年了,不要浪费你的时间
@j4genius961
@j4genius961 4 күн бұрын
​@@teckchuonting4582 I swear these people are funny😂 China is outmanufacturing the entire west combined but according to them they will collapse in 2 weeks
@Devilishlybenevolent
@Devilishlybenevolent 4 күн бұрын
This is a right wing think tank. They have been predicting the fall of China/CCP for 70 years and it STILL hasn't happened 🤣
@emersonguhiling3429
@emersonguhiling3429 10 сағат бұрын
Its not a push back, simply its the other countries taking back their factories because of massive intellectual property violations.
@JojoLloren-j8i
@JojoLloren-j8i 12 күн бұрын
Boycott anything made in China
@rcchin7897
@rcchin7897 8 күн бұрын
Tariffs! Have China subsidze the USA economy, instead of the other way around!
@DukeLM
@DukeLM 8 күн бұрын
You go ahead. I need affordable products.
@slchoong007
@slchoong007 7 күн бұрын
Boycott overcapacity American junks from Apple and Tesla
@zacksmith5644
@zacksmith5644 7 күн бұрын
Why ?
@palmtreeshenanigans
@palmtreeshenanigans 7 күн бұрын
@@rcchin7897 LOl lOL LOL tell me you don't understand tarrifs while you think you do. Americans would have to pay 40 to 60 percent higher prices for the duration of tariffs and America is less than 3% of chinas gdp. The rest of the world is not going to listen to trump and knife themselves in the back by putting his dumb tarrifs in place, but we will see i am just glad it is not my country doing this right now.
@GoogleAccount-l2r1t
@GoogleAccount-l2r1t 9 күн бұрын
👍👍👍 Absolutely correct analyse ! The US needs more talented people like you.
@gmk4990
@gmk4990 6 күн бұрын
The USA needs Trump, not this biased man... hahaha and indeed they voted for Trump
@westwoodly
@westwoodly 4 күн бұрын
../ with a skewed perspective of the world? Listen more to the likes of American scholars like renowned Profs Jeffery Sachs and Richard Wolff and other scholars.
@ricardoagila3115
@ricardoagila3115 6 күн бұрын
Free the Himalayas! Free South China Sea! Free East China Sea! Free Hong Kong! Free Taiwan! Free Tibet! Free the Chinese people!
@c.herman8281
@c.herman8281 6 күн бұрын
With all due respect, I'm a Hong Kong citizen living in Hong Kong, and I'm quite satisfied with living condition nowadays😅 We wished democracy could have helped us develop our society even more but after the riot/coup in the name of "democracy" in 2019, all we want is a balanced, developed society which honestly China is contributing instead of the encouragement from the West to demolish our society based on "liberation"
@Yellow1964
@Yellow1964 6 күн бұрын
@@ricardoagila3115 day dream, go study history. Hongkong is part of China for thousands of years. How study to claim free part of nation which has 5000 years history? The era the western rape the world is long over ? Tibet is part of China since 1700, why double standard ? Why not claim free Scotland or Ireland or Texas ? Come take it if you are strong enough, if not, shut up. Taiwen is part of civil war. The leader of Taiwen used to control the whole China and flee to the island when lost the civil war. What kind of stupid idea to interfere any country’s civil war ?
@Yellow1964
@Yellow1964 6 күн бұрын
@@ricardoagila3115 I do not get it, why interfere other nation’s internal affairs ? Why give you the right to police the world ? Look at western nations, are you sure your nation is the good example of civil rights? Murder is daily event, homeless every where, huge wealth gap. Come on dude. Color revolution is a new way to control other nations. Hongkong basic laws are no difference from US federal laws to suppress the rioters in U.S. it is part of effort to contain China. Why Hongkong is quiet and have peace now? Because the riot organizers are charged and sent to jail for many years. Truth is that western gave money and organize the riots inside Hongkong. China leant from US federal laws to stop that.
@bellyfilled887
@bellyfilled887 6 күн бұрын
Facts: Besides Beijing, and Shanghai, Tibet has the third highest average salary in whole of China. What to free? Many would love to work in Tibet! Stop believing in Goblins such as this dude will do good for you.
@feihongwong2524
@feihongwong2524 2 күн бұрын
@ricardoagila3115 All those countries you mentioned were free, except your country was not free.🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣
@ideastshoa6383
@ideastshoa6383 16 күн бұрын
One of the most objective analysis on China, and likely the best in this year. Thanks a lot for the talk!
@Monkehrawrrr
@Monkehrawrrr 10 күн бұрын
KZbin "Inside China Business" and then see if China is at the end of its rise or is the US empire in decline lol
@Lululemon2023
@Lululemon2023 10 күн бұрын
Only a misinformed and biased mind would come your conclusion
@Cuck_life
@Cuck_life 10 күн бұрын
@@Lululemon2023 Only a nationalist would say Chinas doing great right now. Why are the Chinese so terrified of anything negative about China. That or they have to make a comparison to the US.
@FredKhoo-x2t
@FredKhoo-x2t 9 күн бұрын
Bullshit
@Abdul_JaculBuratsadorSalsalani
@Abdul_JaculBuratsadorSalsalani 7 күн бұрын
​​@@Lululemon2023 Yes Wumao... these scripts is not on your Wolf Warrior manuals given by Winnie the Poohp 💩!
@stevekim2017
@stevekim2017 10 күн бұрын
Michael Beckley’s analysis highlights genuine challenges that China faces, but it may underestimate China’s capacity to adapt and evolve. The country’s strategic investments in technology, its unique economic model, regional influence, and ability to leverage its central governance structure present a counterpoint to the narrative of inevitable decline. While China may not achieve rapid growth rates indefinitely, its continued rise as a major player in a multipolar global order remains a plausible outcome, especially as it pursues a model tailored to its strengths and mitigates its weaknesses.
@kennethli8
@kennethli8 10 күн бұрын
I highly suggest reading Michael Pettis' vlog and research papers. He's been right about China for over 15 years. Pettis is currently a finance professor at Beijing University for well over 23 years.
@Zt3v3
@Zt3v3 9 күн бұрын
This is the least weird post to counter the narrative of the video. It's like this comment section is filled with Chinese nationalists. Back to your comment, I agree, I don't think anything is certain when it comes to the outcome of nations. China will surprise us all, I'm sure of that.
@ZakiHaider-y9o
@ZakiHaider-y9o 7 күн бұрын
​@@kennethli8 funny how u only provided Michael Pettis. No one cares about him
@ZakiHaider-y9o
@ZakiHaider-y9o 7 күн бұрын
​@@Zt3v3"everyone that disagrees is a chinese bot" excuse .
@zacksmith5644
@zacksmith5644 7 күн бұрын
@@kennethli8 u lost the moment you mentioned Pettis. What's next Gordon chang
@joaoboscomelo
@joaoboscomelo Күн бұрын
Awesome presentation. Congrats to the Professor Beckley!
@systemBuilder
@systemBuilder 23 сағат бұрын
Top notch analysis; thanks Michael Beckley.
@TempestTossedWaters
@TempestTossedWaters 4 күн бұрын
If China is so awesome, why does the CCP impose limits on the amount of capital that can leave the country? If it was so good, why do you need to keep the money prisoner there? Wouldn't the money want to be there if it was so great in China?
@drmasroberts
@drmasroberts 20 сағат бұрын
Agreed. Xi stops student mass bicycling at night. He is visibly a paranoid dictator trying to control even peaceful rebellion.
@dr.magnanimous8973
@dr.magnanimous8973 18 сағат бұрын
China is so awesome in stopping toxic money like Sorors coming in and getting out to create hovac in financial markets. If US is so great, why does it bar Chinese investments and products? Like BYD, Huawei, TikTok... and more. You just put your foot in your mouth.
@aoeu256
@aoeu256 18 сағат бұрын
The Rich people don't want to pay their taxes O_o. BTW America also has a lot of policies that prevent people from going overseas because they will be double taxed...
@nyenchenthangla
@nyenchenthangla 20 күн бұрын
Truth is always painful!
@scottmechura5084
@scottmechura5084 13 күн бұрын
Peter Zeihan has been saying this exact message for a while now.
@henryt4695
@henryt4695 2 күн бұрын
He has, but he's also more cataclysmic about China's prospects.
@neil81812
@neil81812 Күн бұрын
Outstanding lecture. Thank you!
@itsame1277
@itsame1277 16 сағат бұрын
Fascinating story. Thank you.
@sword7872
@sword7872 20 күн бұрын
I suppose it doesn't matter what is being said. Only time will tell who predicted it right.
@chriswong9158
@chriswong9158 20 күн бұрын
Not if you're bet again China like the European Unions did in 2024. The German lost bet with loosing VW Auto Company & BASF (Badische Anilin und Soda Fabrik) a German chemical company to the Chinese... Many more European and American company will join them in China in 2025. Reason: Cheap Energy.
@asean1503
@asean1503 19 күн бұрын
He is blind and wrong from the start
@Freedom_from_imp
@Freedom_from_imp 15 күн бұрын
Making a living off lies and misinformation is a career path for some people in this information age.
@raiAshwa
@raiAshwa 3 күн бұрын
I think India has the potential to lead Asia which obviously China wouldn't allow but they also need Indian Markets to sell their products which is why I see China and India leading Asia in the near future
@VladimirKelman
@VladimirKelman 2 күн бұрын
At the same time, China is still PRODUCING. Almost every consumer product we're buying here in the US is made in China.
@robertcarter8868
@robertcarter8868 2 күн бұрын
For years, avoid buying chinese stuff. Concerned about food products the most. They have done horrible things to such products
@surfer123au
@surfer123au 9 күн бұрын
Appreciate the comment about the US at the end of your presentation. Please do the same presentation about current day USA: National debt. Student debt. % in prison. % drug addicted. % access to medical care. Home ownership rate over time. Wealth concentration and disappearing of middle class. Political divide, nationalism, hostility. Thanks.
@NPC8474
@NPC8474 4 күн бұрын
America is easily the best positioned country in the world for the next decade.
@kaiserblazer
@kaiserblazer 3 күн бұрын
China is more indebted than the US, this is included in the presentation.
@JR-vc4gm
@JR-vc4gm 3 күн бұрын
​That maybe true. But the Chinese government has much more power and tools to deal with debts.
@NPC8474
@NPC8474 3 күн бұрын
@@JR-vc4gm Nobody cares about China anymore. They had a moment in the 2010s but it's over now
@saiko2225555
@saiko2225555 3 күн бұрын
The West - "been there, done that, learned from it."
@ulstermandc
@ulstermandc 19 сағат бұрын
Very thoughtful and thorough presentation. Smart guy and objective.
@Jerry-ii2yp
@Jerry-ii2yp 9 күн бұрын
Nowadays betting anything against China is a bold move😂 I admire the courage of this man.
@junkscience6397
@junkscience6397 9 күн бұрын
LOL I've made bucketloads of cash betting Against China. LOL It's a winning strategy...and Trump isn't even in office yet! Buckle up, Buckaroo. You're going to learn the hard way that China needs the world WAY more than the world needs China.
@fs5775
@fs5775 9 күн бұрын
how are your chinese stocks doing?? 🤣🤣
@zacksmith5644
@zacksmith5644 7 күн бұрын
​@@junkscience6397always the same bot . Still jealous of China
@zacksmith5644
@zacksmith5644 7 күн бұрын
​@@fs5775 u tell me . On your chinese phone
@Yellow1964
@Yellow1964 6 күн бұрын
@@Jerry-ii2yp Jerry, this is exactly the betting and wishful thinking on America side. Instead to fix own issue to catch up, spread fake news about your competitor. Be objective to your competitor. Trashing your competitors will not help you. Maybe just maybe make you feel good for a moment. Truth hurt, do not seeking this temporary pain relieve by lie about your competitor.
@CattleFarmer667
@CattleFarmer667 20 күн бұрын
They tried hard to look like many Chinese attend this but actually the hall is quite empty. Serious, where is the food?
@raymondwu9483
@raymondwu9483 20 күн бұрын
They are Korean. This was in Incheon.
@tweedy4sg
@tweedy4sg 19 күн бұрын
@@raymondwu9483 Ahhh .... a receptive environment for such indoctrination.
@guangzhouguide
@guangzhouguide 19 күн бұрын
@@tweedy4sg they got what they want from papa Sam
@fs5775
@fs5775 9 күн бұрын
the chinese grab hags hoarded it along with all the TP lol
@henryt4695
@henryt4695 2 күн бұрын
It's at dinner following the presentations. Guess you didn't listen till the end. 😂
@gyurmethlodroe1774
@gyurmethlodroe1774 13 күн бұрын
Wow ...such a honest, fair and free analysis
@JCSY1
@JCSY1 10 күн бұрын
@@gyurmethlodroe1774 No wonder the US supporters always got all the outdated and wrong info. Believing in some fake propaganda and information for self satisfaction will cause bad decisions which will ultimately results in one's own downfall.
@texazwhyte2791
@texazwhyte2791 10 күн бұрын
Ummm,,,, there are many many holes in his hypothesis, it is very much based in American exceptionalism thinking, you may have noticed that while speaking of China’s aggression, with a map of American bases surrounding China. Given our history of the countries we have bombed over the last 70 yrs, ide say they forgiven for feeling a little insecure. That’s just one of many. His take on demographics is valid. But I must say I bit shocked at his lack of insight to China. But, still, it’s good to hear all sides
@JCSY1
@JCSY1 10 күн бұрын
@texazwhyte2791 It's just full of hot air western ideology and thinking. They don't actually understand anything real and true about China.
@Monkehrawrrr
@Monkehrawrrr 10 күн бұрын
China's productivity has been decreasing for a decade?!?!?! WTF haahhaha you believe that????
@gyurmethlodroe1774
@gyurmethlodroe1774 9 күн бұрын
@@texazwhyte2791 you want to hear all sides? Read these books: 1. Rise and fall of House of B0....Penguin publication 2. ln the Campss...by Darran Bylarr 3. The Private Life of Chairman Mao...by Li zishui ( personal doctor to Mao)
@eddyr1041
@eddyr1041 10 күн бұрын
May humanity thrive with acience art etc... peace love❤ World need more good samaritans spirits... Be happy for our fellow friebds happiness
@benedictusompi3687
@benedictusompi3687 6 күн бұрын
Thanks AEI, Informative 👍👍
@Hieronymus1450
@Hieronymus1450 21 күн бұрын
please dont film the audience again, its boring and distracting
@leehengchoon
@leehengchoon 4 күн бұрын
Yes, America is great. especially when they have people like you to analyse it in details for them. In Malaysia, we have kangkung professor. Much similarities.
@Utube1024
@Utube1024 20 күн бұрын
He should writes a book to compete with Gordan Chang
@asean1503
@asean1503 19 күн бұрын
Americans addicted to entertainment like Hollywood
@fs5775
@fs5775 9 күн бұрын
gosh your comment is so original you little pink
@vladpootin5973
@vladpootin5973 2 күн бұрын
A very insightful lecture, really an excellent piece indeed.
@DavidHolland-wh1qr
@DavidHolland-wh1qr 8 күн бұрын
Very informative and solid data. Also, very well presented 😃 I hired a great electronic manufacturing concern in South China near Dong Guan, a Nasdaq traded company. I started seeing many of the things mentioned. Thank you❤
@ZakiHaider-y9o
@ZakiHaider-y9o 7 күн бұрын
There was no data
@Prakash2artic
@Prakash2artic 7 күн бұрын
Very enlightening to grasp the changes taking place in the situation of China and implications to the future of China and geopolitics and other countries relying on China's growth.
@gmk4990
@gmk4990 6 күн бұрын
do you think that India can replace China? and if India rise too much, will the USA not also do the same to punish India? will India's rise be the next USA target when their elections come? we have to think about these things
@hootowl6354
@hootowl6354 9 күн бұрын
He's far from the only one saying these things. Just looking at the numbers, a lot of it is obvious. Demographics is hugely important. It's easy to grow when you emerge from nothing, have endless cheap labor, and take on a lot of debt, all at once. That has driven Chinese growth. No one can argue that can go on indefinitely. But predictions are predictions. Some end up being more accurate than others, and no one gets everything right. I'd bet he's off in his timescale. Overall though, a very insightful presentation that makes so much sense.
@quicksilver0201
@quicksilver0201 4 күн бұрын
Demographics do affect growth. So does automation, and China is the source of most industrial automation, not the US. Automation offsets demographics.
@hootowl6354
@hootowl6354 3 күн бұрын
@@quicksilver0201 To some degree it does. Robots don't go home and cook and clean, and take care of parents though, or pay taxes, or do charity work, or serve in the military, or ? I decided to look up which nation leads in automation - automation density. From, International Federation of Robotics: Korea does, by far. Almost four times more than China. China is ninth on the list. The U.S. is higher than China. But that was 2020 data. China is probably above the US now.
@mori7146
@mori7146 15 күн бұрын
Please remember one thing: China’s WIN-WIN means China wins twice. If a dictator allows win-win, his rival will challenge his authority by asking how can you let the enemy win.
@JCSY1
@JCSY1 8 күн бұрын
@@mori7146 It's much much better than to go to war and chaos which lose 150% of everything and many lives. Who and which country actually wants to sacrifice themselves and lose everything every time for others? Do you think people believe that the US and the west give things for free? Go and dream again. Now it is already 2024, not 1980s and almost everyone can see who is real and who is fake.
@Yellow1964
@Yellow1964 6 күн бұрын
@@mori7146 talk is cheap. If you strong enough, come to get it, or shut up.
@j4genius961
@j4genius961 4 күн бұрын
Western win win has been soooo beneficial to the world for the past 400 years imaright😂
@JCSY1
@JCSY1 4 күн бұрын
So? The US win means EVERYONE loses BIG BIG TIME. 😂😂
@Yellow1964
@Yellow1964 4 күн бұрын
Who gave the right to judge other nation? In 1900, the Eight-Nation Alliance, which included the United States, invaded northern China to relieve the siege of foreign legations in Beijing during the Boxer Rebellion. The Western soldiers basically raped China. You have zero moral credibility to point fingers. How about Iraq war? Kill one millions Iraqs and cost trillions of tax payer dollar, lost 4000 plus young soldiers. For what? How wars US started last 40 years ? In Korean War and Vietnam war, US basically fight against Chinese soloists and Chinese officers. US did not win either war. Both war for ideology, anti communist.
@Vijayawada-p2x
@Vijayawada-p2x 11 күн бұрын
Very enlightening talk. Thanks to sponsor.
@amandacollyer645
@amandacollyer645 2 күн бұрын
Excellent, fact based talk - thanks.
@powchailum
@powchailum 20 күн бұрын
Is is obviously not a very convinced audience
@ronaldcasanillo
@ronaldcasanillo 20 күн бұрын
because they cannot handle the truth... they are all stunned ! they think of the opposite (these Chinese Audience are still in the bubble... they cannot believe what they are hearing... ). But I cannot fault about the speaker... he simply tell you the reality of China Today.
@Jerry-ii2yp
@Jerry-ii2yp 9 күн бұрын
This guy sounds like American representative 😂
@junkscience6397
@junkscience6397 9 күн бұрын
Make sure Xinnie The Pooh gives you a Social Credit for your contribution. Otherwise, you've got literally nothing to add. LOL
@bluesky3201
@bluesky3201 7 күн бұрын
if its proganda, i call it a very good propaganda
@zacksmith5644
@zacksmith5644 7 күн бұрын
​@@bluesky3201 made up
@zacksmith5644
@zacksmith5644 7 күн бұрын
​@@junkscience6397 why are u describing trump😂
@anuragsinha2013
@anuragsinha2013 7 күн бұрын
Nice way to cope hard, wishing about someone else's failure rather than wishing for you own success.
@tenzind4175
@tenzind4175 10 күн бұрын
One of the daring speaker ever ... Who is this guy ....must appreciate his solid Analysis 👍👍
@michelfortier9563
@michelfortier9563 2 сағат бұрын
Great video!
@karenjonstone8763
@karenjonstone8763 8 күн бұрын
Loving the pain in the junior ccp comments here. Your precious CCP is exactly why China so far behind your neighbors and now will never catch up.
@harem_lord-FFM
@harem_lord-FFM 8 күн бұрын
huh? how is China behind when it's the #1 trading partner of all its neighbors? Japan and S.Korea rely on the Chinese to survive, and China's biggest trading partner is the ASEAN, and they have a close working relationship with Russia, they also lead the BRICS nations. lmao. Cope hard. Even Elon Musk won't survive without Chinese battery technology.
@miltonlai4850
@miltonlai4850 2 күн бұрын
what 😂 which neighbor are you talking about?
@karenjonstone8763
@karenjonstone8763 18 сағат бұрын
@@miltonlai4850 China is well behind Korea, Taiwan, Japan, Singapore and will never catch up... because they let the communists run things.
@yokwah1
@yokwah1 10 сағат бұрын
@@miltonlai4850 she refer to India 😅
@miltonlai4850
@miltonlai4850 10 сағат бұрын
@@yokwah1 damn, she is so right!
@menangal
@menangal 20 күн бұрын
Are they Taiwanese?
@Utube1024
@Utube1024 20 күн бұрын
DPP supporters
@george6696
@george6696 19 күн бұрын
He is Taiwanese American
@menangal
@menangal 18 күн бұрын
21:06 the look on her face was so spot on: "i can't believe i'm here to listen to this utter BS" 😂
@Freedom_from_imp
@Freedom_from_imp 15 күн бұрын
Could be another NED funded speech
@chew5461-l7f
@chew5461-l7f 14 күн бұрын
@@Utube1024 🤣
@davidwilson1273
@davidwilson1273 8 күн бұрын
Why do you fret ? The man is just telling the truth.i know who doesn’t like that.😂
@TheJpmaree
@TheJpmaree 7 күн бұрын
Brilliant and insightful talk
@zacksmith5963
@zacksmith5963 7 күн бұрын
😂😂😂When China comes they trade When white man comes . They lecture
@alexandersibajev4542
@alexandersibajev4542 2 күн бұрын
Very good! Congratulations.
@OverlandingParadise
@OverlandingParadise 8 күн бұрын
There is a way China can back to the track of prosperity. It is standing by the western countries doing following things. 1. Give up for Taiwan. 2. Condemn Russia for Ukraine War and join the section. 3. Pressure North Korea to stop aggression. 4. Change leadership of China. 5. Change Chinese law and regulations to honor foreigners freely do the businesses in China legally. 6. Return all the illegal siesed foreign investments previously done. 7. Stop take over foreign properties they took in the means of their loans. Well, I asked too much, I know. But no one is going to trust China otherwise.
@peta333
@peta333 7 күн бұрын
No, there is not.
@peta333
@peta333 7 күн бұрын
China is untrustworthy
@mevech
@mevech 7 күн бұрын
Sure, but what would that trust do for China? Soviet union/Russia has done the similar reform, where did that lead the Russian people? The "trust" was earned but no "help" was provided.
@OverlandingParadise
@OverlandingParadise 7 күн бұрын
Well, trust is not what they can get it back once they lost it. But some entrepreneurs may starting to invest.
@bingcao116
@bingcao116 7 күн бұрын
You are basically asking China to kneel down to the west. What are you smoking?! 😅
@samliew6610
@samliew6610 20 күн бұрын
Another GORDON CHANG😂😂😂 The Birds on the trees are all laughing 😂😂😂
@fs5775
@fs5775 9 күн бұрын
china bot with identical comment to other china bot comments. pathetic, no originality which is why you all have to steal from the us. no ideas of your own. just copy others
@Luxury_vagabond
@Luxury_vagabond 11 күн бұрын
High quality presentation !❤
@channeltwo6238
@channeltwo6238 5 күн бұрын
A very insightful study about China.
@nathanandsopa
@nathanandsopa 8 күн бұрын
Fantastic lecture!
@ismailnyeyusof3520
@ismailnyeyusof3520 Күн бұрын
A good tying up of all the diverse threads in the world today. I think Michael is on the right track. Certainly it helps explain, to me as a citizen of a South East Asian country, China’s action in the South China Sea (really needs to be re-named!) of late! Makes a lo5 more sense now! Also, Trump’s election win was not factored in as it transpired after this talk, so the actions of the United States moving forward would certainly be most unsettling to China’s bargaining position!
@nelumpiyasena5203
@nelumpiyasena5203 9 күн бұрын
I do not understand howslowing down Chinese economy will increase other countries ecnomies. For example China is one of the Major Trding partner for Australia for Mine products such as copper coal etc. If they slow down definetly Australia's ecomnomy will slow down too. I do not think this man is correct. China is coming up with lots of electric cars and their industry for Solar panels are used in many countires. I think by enforcing tariffs on China US will have more Impacts.
@tianchen8569
@tianchen8569 Күн бұрын
As a Chinese, I’m glad to see the this wiseman, though I don’t know where he comes from, talking about China is not rising. I totally agree with this guy, therefore please don’t saying China is a threat to the world anymore😂
@justwhenithought
@justwhenithought 14 сағат бұрын
You missed his whole point - a declining power is more dangerous.
@arbalest2807
@arbalest2807 9 сағат бұрын
@@justwhenithought dangerous is meant for something going stronger not weaker .. or else that math doesnt work pretty well lol
@willengel2458
@willengel2458 5 күн бұрын
If we look at the group photo of APEC at Peru and where Biden stood. A picture is worth more than a thousand words.
@pengseahang946
@pengseahang946 8 күн бұрын
That's a "Too quick a judgement" ! Let's see 😁
@JoA9500
@JoA9500 5 күн бұрын
Excellent presentation
@Georgefaller341
@Georgefaller341 18 күн бұрын
I lost over $80k when everything started to tank. Not because I was in an exchange that went belly up. I was just stupid to hold and because that's what everyone said. I'm still responsible. It just taught me to be a better investor now that I understand more of what could go wrong. It took me over two years of being in the market, I'm really grateful I found one source to recover my money, at least $10k profits weekly. Thanks Wendy Hubbard Stewart.
@Georgefaller341
@Georgefaller341 17 күн бұрын
she's mostly on Instagrams, using the user name
@Georgefaller341
@Georgefaller341 17 күн бұрын
@Fxwendy12 ..that's it .
@Georgefaller341
@Georgefaller341 17 күн бұрын
Please tell her that I reffed you 👍 She’ll guide you💯
@hooks503
@hooks503 20 күн бұрын
Joker is talking to himself. Challenge him to come back and repeat what he said in 5 years from now.
@MartinBergholtz-y1x
@MartinBergholtz-y1x 3 күн бұрын
Will see how this comment will age
@leoliang3145
@leoliang3145 11 күн бұрын
Sad. These guys choose to sleep while China is waking up
@blackbelt2000
@blackbelt2000 4 күн бұрын
gutter oil
@lijie6431
@lijie6431 3 күн бұрын
终于有人说实话了,是时候了。我们需要更聪明的新中国领导人。我的家乡广州正在遭受苦难。
@Frenchcrop
@Frenchcrop 9 күн бұрын
The Asians in the audience seem ambivalent or gutted. Noice.
@fritzeph6550
@fritzeph6550 5 күн бұрын
I need affordable products and I cannot afford American goods. Why stop a country that makes things affordable to many common people.
@znrctrnn
@znrctrnn 4 күн бұрын
We can buy goods from other Asian countries, Mexico, and South American countries.
@ThePP1982
@ThePP1982 4 күн бұрын
Canada is even better 😢
@fritzeph6550
@fritzeph6550 4 күн бұрын
@znrctrnn I'm from the Philippines and China is selling us affordable goods. Most of us is buying cheap Chinese products.
@mallutornado
@mallutornado 4 күн бұрын
@@znrctrnn are any of them as good as China at manufacturing…I doubt …they r all wannabes
@yapsang2648
@yapsang2648 18 күн бұрын
Too many 'expert ' say bad about China, but non of their expectations come true.
@kendemajoros4617
@kendemajoros4617 5 күн бұрын
For a pretty professional broadcast, you have fully missed the point by not showing the graphs. I mean the name of it is “knowledge forum”.
@tkmac7802
@tkmac7802 4 күн бұрын
Good inform with your analysis!
@Donut16367
@Donut16367 4 күн бұрын
Whether or not you agree with this, the most important thing imo is that China did not rise by invading others or starting wars.
@marshallslifeinmexico6046
@marshallslifeinmexico6046 3 күн бұрын
May be true, but not relevant to this topic
@ttemp2631
@ttemp2631 14 күн бұрын
are these 'experts' not saying this for 40 years?
@JCSY1
@JCSY1 12 күн бұрын
They are empty tins. They have nothing else to say so they create fake propaganda and perceptions. 😂😂😂 What else can they do?
@martinliew578
@martinliew578 11 күн бұрын
they have not been.
@ttemp2631
@ttemp2631 11 күн бұрын
@@martinliew578 yes they have
@HikerBikerMoter
@HikerBikerMoter 8 күн бұрын
In the eighties, japans commercial successes were so great they started behaving in a very arrogant way. But the 2008 recession completely humbled them. China is acting in exactly the same way..
@ZakiHaider-y9o
@ZakiHaider-y9o 7 күн бұрын
Arrogant way = usa didn't like them
@georgetaylor2640
@georgetaylor2640 Күн бұрын
Really fine analysis. Thank you.
@geoffevans7
@geoffevans7 5 күн бұрын
Beckley is brilliant. I bought his two books while listening. Thank you for your excellent work.
@hannahoang8582
@hannahoang8582 11 күн бұрын
1. After China is India -> still Asian century 2. Measure Chinese energy from space? How do you measure their underground infrastructure? Their bullet trains, subways and endless military structures. 3. China is restructuring their export led economy to consumer led. Very similar to the US after ww ii
@jlanetman
@jlanetman 5 күн бұрын
Hasn’t the same thing you describe about China happened in the US already? Except China has at least modernized themselves. The US has not. Look at our roads, infrastructure, and manufacturing base.
@jenjor123
@jenjor123 23 сағат бұрын
CCP,troll.Good luck,i hope they pay you enough.
@dracorpgroup
@dracorpgroup 12 күн бұрын
>Keep this in mind: last year the population of China actually decreased by over sixty million people. The people who built the China we see today will be leaving the planet soon. The young do not want to work as did their parents who are now in their seventies. The young men and women in China cannot afford to start a family. More to the point, the young men outnumber the young women by two-to-one. This last point is the result of the one-child policy which the CCP tried to change recently but which failed. >All this drives current trade policies. It seems to me that the CCP will be trying to compensate the decline in population with subsidized manufacturing for export; essentially, the CCP will be trying to export its debt The West has enough debt, too much really. All this debt devalues the dollar, and so, it takes more of these devalued dollars to buy anything. This produces what we identify as inflation, but which is really the devaluation of the dollar.
@willywonka4340
@willywonka4340 11 күн бұрын
excellent observation!
@buildmotosykletist1987
@buildmotosykletist1987 11 күн бұрын
The USD$ is still increasing. China already heavily subsidises many industries, EV's are one of the big ones with large subsidies.
@buildmotosykletist1987
@buildmotosykletist1987 11 күн бұрын
WOW, so many CCP bots on this video.
@criticalwokeracisttheory4645
@criticalwokeracisttheory4645 8 күн бұрын
Plus nearly 80% of the People's Liberation Army are One Child Policy men....this is totally catastrophic for China.
@Yellow1964
@Yellow1964 8 күн бұрын
@@dracorpgroup this is your wishful thinking. You are dead wrong. I suggest to google China trade surplus in 2024. I suggest to research about the size of Russia economic size and how much economic gain to China from Ukraine war. I suggest you google China GDP from 1985 to 2024. I strongly suggest you pay a visit to China. Clearly you bet on China fail and I bet China stay rising. I suggest you google China technology development, clearly China government attempt to regulate the economy model from housing to technology. I suggest you study China EV development, specially BYD and bullet train. It is very important to leave your emotion out when you attempt analysis of a nation, otherwise your emotion will make fool of yourself. Enough lecture. Now do your own home work. Again China will not fail just because some haters wish so.
@vidyatheerthan
@vidyatheerthan 2 күн бұрын
People are red faced for calling their beloved poo a dictator 🛑
@vitostan3134
@vitostan3134 5 күн бұрын
Very good speech.
@robingoh2325
@robingoh2325 7 күн бұрын
The Chinese in the audience are looking at him like “what nonsense is this guy talking about?!!!!”
@crazy791326
@crazy791326 7 күн бұрын
It was held in South Korea, so most of the audiences should be Korean. I actually do admire his courage if he dare to speak in front of all Chinese audience.
@zacksmith5963
@zacksmith5963 7 күн бұрын
​@@crazy791326they are chinese . And they all are looking at him as a 🤡
@Pdotta1
@Pdotta1 9 күн бұрын
This has strong high school conference energy.
@ashhere31
@ashhere31 11 күн бұрын
Excellent speech. So many practical points 👍
@quicksilver0201
@quicksilver0201 4 күн бұрын
US goes through boom bust cycles. As a market economy, China is also following natural market cycles. Its growth is not actually 'dead'. No one calls the US 'dead' during its recessions.
@saloninegi147
@saloninegi147 Күн бұрын
Very good insight. China's rise was the exception. Not its decline.
@chriswong9158
@chriswong9158 20 күн бұрын
How little this twin brother of Gordon Chang know of the said subject: Asian Century. It was not China PRC who said it, but member of the ASEAN whom are the center of the Asian Century movement. They, ASEAN member since 1960's started by USA, has move Asia to the forefront for other Asian Nation States. China PRC is nothing more then being largest Nation State in population, now India, after coming out of civil war in 1949.
@jitendrajoshi786
@jitendrajoshi786 20 күн бұрын
I remember reading Gordon Chang's book about the coming collapse of China! Look at the reality now !
@asean1503
@asean1503 19 күн бұрын
Another harbinger to the rise of China like Chang did a decade ago
@santunkesuma2291
@santunkesuma2291 9 күн бұрын
You must said that USA more homeless and jobless not China
@justanghozzst8218
@justanghozzst8218 7 күн бұрын
That's because it's communism and they are forced to work manual labor for peanuts
@ZakiHaider-y9o
@ZakiHaider-y9o 7 күн бұрын
​@@justanghozzst8218soooo usa is communist ?😂😂😂
@louisewaltu5142
@louisewaltu5142 20 күн бұрын
I can’t believe this guy intelligent wasted lmao
@understanding.everything
@understanding.everything 20 күн бұрын
Not really but he is missing Americans are in the same camp but worse with degeneration of woke and drug problem
@loosegoose2466
@loosegoose2466 7 сағат бұрын
Loved the point about the ranger build being viable. Thx.😊
@KingBooks26
@KingBooks26 10 күн бұрын
Yes, dream on
@amunra5330
@amunra5330 20 күн бұрын
Wow mini Gordan Chang is confident in his BS lol
@fs5775
@fs5775 9 күн бұрын
bot, where is your original comment, just copy pasted orders from Beijing
@amunra5330
@amunra5330 8 күн бұрын
@@fs5775 Oh boy we got an NPC here guys lol Oh by the way China just opened a Mega port in Peru.
@ObjectiveObserver-xh4vk
@ObjectiveObserver-xh4vk 2 күн бұрын
If you aren't worried about China's rise, you wouldn't pay attention to it one bit. 😂😂😂
@debashishbramha
@debashishbramha 6 күн бұрын
I'm from India, and India must learn many things from China. The median age of the Indian is 29 years, that's a little advantage, China is a greying economy. India has got only 20 years in hand . Hope by 2047 India will be another China.
@yokwah1
@yokwah1 10 сағат бұрын
india is india_not another china_should be another USA
@mrbbkk
@mrbbkk 4 күн бұрын
Our differences can be resolved
@briansmale5457
@briansmale5457 20 сағат бұрын
I have worked in China & he is spot on, 1 thing i think is the chinese military is not what we have been led to believe, it's more like the home guard that was the last line of defence in the UK during WW2.
@albert4357
@albert4357 12 күн бұрын
Excelent ECONOMIST ! BRAVOO Michael
@satriojumeneng7055
@satriojumeneng7055 20 күн бұрын
This guy only dares to present to high school students..... too much bs
@bexdkolimited1889
@bexdkolimited1889 20 күн бұрын
😂😂😂😂 the end of china so after over 5000 years of chinese existence it will come to an end ,, so where will it go?? total propaganda hubris,,
@QuizmasterLaw
@QuizmasterLaw 20 күн бұрын
EXACTL Y
@ronaldcasanillo
@ronaldcasanillo 20 күн бұрын
Chna has risen and fallen many times in its history... like all any superpowers in history... you should study world history first.
@hk379723
@hk379723 3 күн бұрын
How can productivity declined in China when GDP growth consistently outpaced the population growth?
@JS-jh4cy
@JS-jh4cy 10 күн бұрын
Is there a book on this in more detailed information?
@blcsfo
@blcsfo 10 күн бұрын
Read Gordon Guttry Chang’s book on the coming collapse of China, circa 2001. Michael Buckley is a disciple.
@ZakiHaider-y9o
@ZakiHaider-y9o 7 күн бұрын
​@@blcsfo🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣
@aruunmenon
@aruunmenon 12 күн бұрын
Chinese bot army is out in real force in the comment section. Must have struck a nerve to be so salty. Kind of telling regarding the truth of the video.
@willywonka4340
@willywonka4340 11 күн бұрын
It's the title 😂 I bet they didn't even bother to listen to Mr. Beckley's presentation.
@DukeLM
@DukeLM 8 күн бұрын
Open your mind
@bingcao116
@bingcao116 7 күн бұрын
What kind of forum is this? I just saw someone wishing for an entire country to sink like a ship, taking all its people down with it. As a Chinese-American, I deeply love the United States, the country I swore allegiance to, and I genuinely wish it the best. At the same time, I also wish the best for my mother country, China. In fact, I hope for prosperity for our entire planet and for all people living on it. How is it that a forum like this isn’t focused on lifting ourselves while also helping others rise-especially those who may be going through difficult times? Instead, are we here to watch a great nation falter and then celebrate its downfall? How cruel and misguided is that?
@zacksmith5963
@zacksmith5963 7 күн бұрын
Is called fake news
@prend160
@prend160 5 күн бұрын
Tell your China to stop grabbing islands belonging to its neighbors.
@prend160
@prend160 5 күн бұрын
Your China is buying lands left & right on Philippine soils using sinister tactics to gain fictitious citizenship, then promoting large-scale gentrification.
@prend160
@prend160 5 күн бұрын
Why are you deleting my comments that are against your view?
@csieweng
@csieweng 5 күн бұрын
Where did he "wish" for China's decline?
@Jaronia
@Jaronia 11 күн бұрын
50years ago:china is over 30years ago:china is over 10years ago:china is over 5years ago:china is over last year:china is over this time:china MUST over okay,i should belive u right?bro is trying so hard lol😅😅🤡
@Alex.8081
@Alex.8081 10 күн бұрын
CCP is BROKE! little Pink... 😂 😂
@Jaronia
@Jaronia 10 күн бұрын
@ lol,u seemed like 🤡🐶👍haha low iq,,,
@kennethli8
@kennethli8 10 күн бұрын
I highly suggest reading Michael Pettis' vlog and research papers. He's been right about China for over 15 years. Pettis is currently a finance professor at Beijing University for well over 23 years.
@Jaronia
@Jaronia 10 күн бұрын
@ sure,thx :)
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