As soon as you said supply side 11:27, i was wondering if this was the same thing mentioned in the capital returns book, and then immediately you referred to the same book, which solidified my thoughts!!! One of the few major pointers that seemed so obvious, yet nobody looks at it. Thanks, loved it. You have my absolute respect for reading this very underrated book.
@doncorleone39017 ай бұрын
People think most buyers of paints are regular home owners. But thats wrong. Most buyers of paints are builders - they don't care if quality of AP is higher than Birla, they just care about the cost
@SHALEENDAVE7 ай бұрын
No most builders provide white putty. Colour is on customer
@doncorleone39017 ай бұрын
@SHALEENDAVE All paint makers make Putty too. Plus there is external paint
@tradehut27826 ай бұрын
That's a good point.
@pradeepks69926 ай бұрын
But Asian paints can fulfill large demands but small suppliers fails
@mytradexpertlove7 ай бұрын
You are into fund management business that's fine . But if you would have selected the profession of teaching that would have also make you much more popular specially in the field of finance . Your convincing capability and clarity about the topic which you are discuss always is really remarkable. I eagerly wait for you videos. All videos have deep insights . Keep it up . I will request you to publish much frequent videos for us who loves to watch you .
@jugendrasingh58067 ай бұрын
kamal ki jankari mili sir . aapse sadar anurodh hai or naye sectors par bhi videos milenge jiska hum sabko besabri se intzaar hai
@vikramadityagautam69507 ай бұрын
Top notch yet again. However, sir would you like to pay any thought to Asian's demand prediction capabilities, can Birla's get to Asian's forecasting capabilities?
@sunny90917 ай бұрын
Excellent analysis, Sir. Additionally, it's worth noting that Asian Paints is expanding into the home decor market, which is significantly larger and more fragmented than the paint industry, with no major organized players currently dominating it. If Asian Paints can capture a substantial share in this sector, it could potentially lead to significant growth in their EPS and P/E ratios. I would appreciate your thoughts on this development.
@rohanch077 ай бұрын
It will take 10-12 years to build that segment to be equivalent to their current paint business. Additionally brand building in new segment will take more money and resources from current business. The PE will go down.
@abhishekmalhotra94157 ай бұрын
Superb @ajayg2g .... Ajay Sir! This is so much relatable to "Air conditioner Industry" as well... Outside competition will going to kill Voltas, Bluestar as well....
@kunalrao112326 күн бұрын
Sir I cant thank you enough for this video. Its a poetry, like mozart singing the perfect notes. Thanks!
@chandrikahc94887 ай бұрын
Really good analysis , enlightening people ❤ Beautifully explained in a very simple way, your thoughts process analysis and educating people really needs lot of appreciation, we like your videos
@arnabmondal59267 ай бұрын
Many many thank you sir. Please more video give on other industries.
@mohammadanisains94327 ай бұрын
Sir Birla ji main woh ability aur effort hai jo asian paints ke management ki brabri kar lenge Hum ne Voda fon idia mein dekh liya turn around nahi kar pa rahe hain , dhaoutfull hai, shukriya
@samwise83337 ай бұрын
Thank you sir for sharing ur insightful knowledge and doing such priceless analysis
@RishanThimmarishrishАй бұрын
Fantastic video. Only request if possible can be both english and hindi combined rather than only hindi. If possible.
@प्यारानंदुअपना2 ай бұрын
Sir, You are great analyst Thank you for your free education.
@replytarun7 ай бұрын
Very good analysis, would like to have conversation with you. Prof Tarun Dhingra
@G2GAjaySharma7 ай бұрын
Prof Dhingra, please email at ajayfy.connects@gmail.com
@abhijitdebnath98117 ай бұрын
Good one. I'm thinking about why Birla entered the paint industry and making this industry a red ocean. Can't they find any other low-competitive industry?
@z2zugzwang7 ай бұрын
Asian paints entered the putty market that was dominated by Birla and aggressively expanded. These are adjacencies and hence companies play the game of who blinks first. Game theory at play. Mazaa aayega.
@SamarthRajesh-iu9kn6 ай бұрын
Very beautiful and in depth analysis, pls make analysis video for HDFC bank and IDFC first bank too
@ATMARAMCHERUVU7 ай бұрын
Brilliant analysis as always. One assumption you made is no drop in crude prices. If Crude prices fall, profits could improve.
@dhirendrasingh70857 ай бұрын
I appreciate your views and ur videos. But can you also start speaking about companies or industries which according to you are in the good to gr8 phase.
@dhirendrasingh70857 ай бұрын
Btw Asian paints rt now is a pretty decent buy for a 20% return. Even if it takes a year, doesn’t really hurt. That’s what everyone is chasing in mutual funds anyways.
@z2zugzwang7 ай бұрын
@@dhirendrasingh7085But are there reasons for a 20% return?
@anishkumarsahoo75886 ай бұрын
I really wanna know in the paint industry which company has the best quality of paint??
@varunjain57892 ай бұрын
So much fun to watch these..
@jayantvora8067 ай бұрын
Would like to meet you when you are in kolkatta. Pls inform if possible.
@rishabhpatel17677 ай бұрын
ajay bhai you are amazing
@kaushikchauhan33977 ай бұрын
Loved it, as always. Keep up the G2G work Ajay ji. :)
@InvestorInsaan7 ай бұрын
Very nicely explained Krishna ❤❤❤❤ We are Arjuns of investment
@raghudesh7067 ай бұрын
Awesome episode 💗💗💗 My question is, if both biggies are looking & preparing for Export Market too (Blue Ocean Strategy)
@ShrenikBhura7 ай бұрын
What about the potential from international market focus of Asian paints? Is that insignificant?
@ghanshyammalani-k4o7 ай бұрын
Best video sirji👌
@mtp90skid7 ай бұрын
Great initiative (mangotown) sir. You are among the few successful people who really want to change the world for better.
@neeraj31797 ай бұрын
Fabulous video, Thanks a lot. Would love to know your thoughts on a scenario where costs increase for a sustained period. Specifically, how would Grasim Industries, which has a much higher debt level compared to Asian Paints, manage in such a situation?
@damdaman-jk8bl7 ай бұрын
Such a wonderdul analysis sir. Learnt a lot from this vedio. Thank you
@umeshshah96437 ай бұрын
Very good information. Can you make similar kind videos for telecom industry?
@deepakpatel41867 ай бұрын
Ajaybhai Superb...Please in similar study of Bajaj Finance VS Jio Financial ...Humble Request
@drhiraniclinic7 ай бұрын
one more time... one of the best video..Grt going ajay sir
@hemantunadkat86847 ай бұрын
You have great analysis and correct in all what you have said; except that photos of QR codes can be taken by employees and sent over WhatsApp and those photos can be scanned to redeem the contractor benefits. This could probably be a loophole. I want to add a few more variables; raw material costs over the next 3 years, M&A, geopolitics, underestimating the volume growth of the sector. 1. Raw Material: I expect the cost of the main raw material to go down over the next 3 years because of shift to EVs and renewables; that may compensate for the margin that is impacted due to higher ad spends and discounts. 2. M&A: Can we see something similar to the Telecom sector over the next 10 years in the paint sector where the smaller companies will either die or be merged into 2-3 big players? 3. Geopolitics: This can impact in unimaginable ways which may be difficult to assess at this time. 4. Volume growth estimation: What if the volume growth of the sector beats expectations by a huge margin on upside because of Government policies regarding home for all? Could this be the reason why Birla entered the sector in the first place?
@G2GAjaySharma7 ай бұрын
Hemant, very interesting questions. 1) RM cost. I can't predict that, but whatever happens to RM cost, IT IMPACTS ALL PLAYERS. What will matter is whether they want to pass it on or not? Till a new Marketshare STRUCTURE is established, you will see price wars and margin compression. This is about MARKETSHARES 2) M&A : this happens only when the industry goes through a very tough phase of POOR CASH FLOWS for a long period of time. That is a DIRE state of affairs. The industry is very profitable and high ROCE today. If we are talking about consolidation forced by PAIN, then there is a lot of trouble coming our way. That is not my base case today. 3) Geopolitics : No idea 4) Volume Growth : It has been 10-12% last many years. Possible that it goes up, that will be a positive surprise :-)
@sureshkhandelwal34977 ай бұрын
Great Sir. I belong from Jaipur and live in Vaishali Nagar. ❤
@tapanhati91587 ай бұрын
Very good information, God bless you uh🌷🌹💐
@udaygaikwad52827 ай бұрын
How much period Birla will take to get decent ROCE ?
@Karptml7 ай бұрын
Sir, Tata pigments paint already in market
@ravilakhotia5756 ай бұрын
Sir, what are your thoughts on paint companies hiking their prices?
@tradehut27826 ай бұрын
If quality of the paint is of prime importance then Dulux would dominate home painting, right? Afaik its almost impossible to compete with Asian Paints at a distribution level.
@Hans-dw5yo7 ай бұрын
One thing you are missing, after knowing all this...Both companies are looking for business thro benifitting the sellers n intermediateries like contractors etc.....now someone should focus on customer the final buyer....i will look for my benifit n give my paint to the painter n not what he wants to apply....Customer, the final payer first
@ankurmittal197 ай бұрын
Pvt sectors banks analysis
@ratiramsharma87137 ай бұрын
Very nice Knowledge for common man understanding
@1979arijitpaul7 ай бұрын
Such a nice analysis... But you are not mentioned about quality, in continuation of this Tug of war should quality be compromised?
@productheroe20067 ай бұрын
Thank You Sir for the detailed analysis. Lot of new things learnt today.
@pavantadas307 ай бұрын
Sir , how do you source data like share of voice , dealer network etc
@AbhishekGarg-b2b7 ай бұрын
How can we start paint manufacturing
@debojit96397 ай бұрын
Wow..thanks for the scuttlebutt information
@ankurmittal197 ай бұрын
Sir birla ko kya mileage fhir
@sayandebghosh26817 ай бұрын
What is scuttlebutt ?
@atharvadhokte62727 ай бұрын
Hello Sir, I am Atharva from IIM Kashipur. I searched for HHI index that you mentioned but didnt found any website which provided it directly. Do we have to individually calculate it as per the formula or is there anything I am missing. Thanks in advance for the reply
@G2GAjaySharma7 ай бұрын
You have to calculate on your own. Sum of square of marketshares
@atharvadhokte62727 ай бұрын
@@G2GAjaySharma Sure sir, Thank you
@sweetkarbhari72607 ай бұрын
Great learning..Thanks a lot sir
@seshafarmspalmarosa12677 ай бұрын
Thank you Ajay sir, I gone through your website of mangotown, my humble request is to add ayurveda balaroga chikitsa department... It is much underated treatment but it makes big difference in child... My prayers for your initiatives... God bless you.....
@G2GAjaySharma7 ай бұрын
Thank you for your wishes. can you please email me at ajayfy.connects@gmail.com
@srir68446 ай бұрын
Birla can't discount for long as shareholders will want to see great Roce. Further, the capex impact on the balance sheet of Birla is large. Asian is also doing capex for new plants, but many of their factories are already set up so better balance sheet. Asian is bound to remain positive cash flow as there is strong internal cash generation. Does Birla know how to innovate in this sector? What type of people culture does it have versus Asian for sustainable momentum in execution and continuous improvements. Lovely analysis, but somewhat pessimistic towards Asian Paints , but grabs the attention as pessimism can have a seductive appeal. 😊
@neerajgupta797 ай бұрын
Really good analysis. Thanks!!
@abdul-eq5ki4 ай бұрын
birla pInts kerala markeing no ading compant 1 nodrying 2repainting noading beakround coplant
@stockmarket43716 ай бұрын
Sir muje invest karna he kis me karu
@Dhron_Unnithan7 ай бұрын
Superb Analysis 👌🏾🤩🔥
@mngupta27117 ай бұрын
Again very insightful and great analysis ❤
@debabratadey76967 ай бұрын
Very interesting analysis sir......
@Lifeisgudhh7 ай бұрын
Bhai you're awesome quite drunk but efforts you put in the video are recommending!!! Lot's of love from Maharashtra! ❤❤❤ I've been introduced to you by Vivek!
@shrikant45407 ай бұрын
Beta wo Bhai nahi sir hai pahle unka academic aur work experience dekho phir comment likho.
@happyguy6507 ай бұрын
तुत्छ मानव, ये 'sir' शब्द का प्रयोग बंद करो। ये अंग्रेज़ो का टाइटल है। *श्रीमान* बोलो और फिर कमेंट लिखो।
@singhyogendra49533 ай бұрын
Will you also open a centre for autism in Delhi ❤
@omprakashpandey39047 ай бұрын
Again Great insight sir I learned lots of things from your business analysis thank you very much sir❤❤🙏🙏🙏🙏
@vikramadityagautam69507 ай бұрын
Sir, camera angle is not helping. If you could give some thought on it
@kishorepanjabi52027 ай бұрын
Thanks for enlighten us ❤
@jitenderbhatia18577 ай бұрын
Mind-blowing Analysis.
@vikskukreja7 ай бұрын
It’s such an amazing session, absolute Masterclass. Returns on investing time on your videos is huge. Thanks a lot for sharing class knowledge 🙏🏼
@Paint1Lovers7 ай бұрын
Beautifully explained sir .... Thank u
@mayankraghuwanshi53127 ай бұрын
Thanks for sharing amazing insights
@kirannayak21605 ай бұрын
Nestle pe v banaiye
@sumeetjain84457 ай бұрын
Hello Ajay sir .............great analysis.......... but not useful for investing ....bez AP 3 year return is 0 and next 3 years will be 0. sub ko pata hai ...grasim ko kya hoga......nobody knows
@balkarsingh-e7lАй бұрын
nice info sir
@abhijitbasak62717 ай бұрын
Sir pidilite industries pe video banaya sir
@puneetgu7 ай бұрын
Sir i am a parent of special kid please open centre in east delhi or noida
@investment4137 ай бұрын
sir plz bajajfinace Ki analysis krodo next year k liye
@jitenderbhatia18577 ай бұрын
Excellant Analysis
@mystictilopa2812Ай бұрын
Excellent 🎉
@basavarajmayi96677 ай бұрын
Super sir, thank you 🙏 ur my IIM.❤️
@saurabhbhardwaj15117 ай бұрын
Lovely analysis sir
@subhajithansda25237 ай бұрын
Thank you Sir...
@maaanusuiyabuildmart87306 күн бұрын
Birla opus bik kha rha hai abhi company apne network k use kr k maal market m dump kr diya hai, or dealer company dhk k le liye hai maal but customer nahi le rhe opus ko.
@ajaymirchi20563 ай бұрын
Can u share
@axaymalaviya13847 ай бұрын
Ajay bhai please share PPT
@venkag7 ай бұрын
As your channel name suggests, you are becoming Good --> Gr8
@irfanbarmare69757 ай бұрын
What about the data ? What it takes years for asian paints cannot be easily done by birla.
@jitenderbhatia18577 ай бұрын
Invite more merger or closure of few small companies
@bsrikanth12617 ай бұрын
SIR, I AM FROM HYDERABAD. MY BOTH CHILDREN ARE AUTISTIC. I WANT TO OPEN CENTRE. HOW TO CONTACT YOU SIR
@G2GAjaySharma7 ай бұрын
Please email at ajayfy.connects@gmail.com
@satyen21227 ай бұрын
In 3 yrs it will like HUL.growth low but pe high.
@tushargaur85287 ай бұрын
Thanks sir ji 😊❤
@sandeepkumar-mk5ht7 ай бұрын
Basant ji to kahte hai asian paint gira hai kyuki india me development nahi ho raha hai ,
@surendersaini613 ай бұрын
Unko india alliance ki govt me development dikhegi, usse pehle nahi
@Typesoffundamental3 ай бұрын
कांग्रेसी है वो उनको रोड बनाने से प्रॉब्लम है, वंदे भारत से प्रोब है,
@mystictilopa2812Ай бұрын
Maheshwariji is a Bias person
@deveshmaheshwari65987 ай бұрын
very nice vdo
@islamajadul7 ай бұрын
Berger Painter ko bahut pehle se de raha.... Isiliye mere area main kuch painter ye v kehete Berger ke alwa paint nahi karunga.
@AkashKumar-ip7br7 ай бұрын
Pranam guruji ❤ like you very much
@subhojeetchanda27765 ай бұрын
Birla opus is the newly excellent paint producer than asian paints now in the market.
@goldenpaints20247 ай бұрын
Thanks for 66 subs
@aftabchoudhary61035 ай бұрын
Berger, Nerolac be like : Khaya Piya khuch nhi Glass toda 12 Aana.😂😂😂
@Gbhk56847 ай бұрын
Sir asian paint choro abhi kouncha stock me paisa lagaye
@mrsaurabhkumar37717 ай бұрын
Nifty index me dal do 😂😂
@akshatlalka66967 ай бұрын
VI got disruption from jio Now birla doing the same to paints.
@rajanpatadiya54286 ай бұрын
Beauty of Capitalism which will never be seen in socialism
@ashadda7 ай бұрын
Good sir ❤
@pueriners7147 ай бұрын
Don't include Asian Paints in paints, it will move to become another company wchich does home decor, it is on its path from zero to good to great in that regard