The Rise and Fall of China's Evergrande Group

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Asianometry

Asianometry

Күн бұрын

Пікірлер: 770
@Asianometry
@Asianometry 3 жыл бұрын
As with everything related to China topics, please be civil in the comments. Check out other videos on China's economy with the playlist: kzbin.info/aero/PLKtxx9TnH76T_4R7Lxs8QoDr64zlvt8SS
@shazmosushi
@shazmosushi 3 жыл бұрын
14:21 Here's a direct link to the Asianometry history video on Heaven Lake: kzbin.info/www/bejne/mmXCmJ-obqeinKs
@GoodBaleadaMusic
@GoodBaleadaMusic 3 жыл бұрын
Nipples
@bandbrekaberb99
@bandbrekaberb99 3 жыл бұрын
they touched my lens through the market
@makedredd299
@makedredd299 3 жыл бұрын
No!
@adithyadanaj9768
@adithyadanaj9768 3 жыл бұрын
What's gonna happen to Hengchi now?
@trillionsflames4982
@trillionsflames4982 3 жыл бұрын
Lol when I saw Jackie Chan in the bottled water ad. There were many companies who hired Jackie Chan as their brand ambassador went bankrupt or suffered big losses. This has became a meme.
@fannyalbi9040
@fannyalbi9040 3 жыл бұрын
ya how bawang, the hair grow brand. shopee recently hired him as brand agent. hmmm
@reoru4425
@reoru4425 3 жыл бұрын
dont say that dude shopee hired him a month befor as a brand agent. i dont want my sister business affected by this lmao
@CaptainVKanth
@CaptainVKanth 3 жыл бұрын
@@reoru4425 *watches Shopee ad with Jackie Chan on tv* LOL
@AgentOffice
@AgentOffice 3 жыл бұрын
It's not him it's companies desperate to overpay a big star so they appear legitimate
@metagde6402
@metagde6402 3 жыл бұрын
They just wanna leeche of his legitimacy nothing to do with jackie really He just gets poached due to popularity
@twomix1822
@twomix1822 3 жыл бұрын
"Evergrande wasn't just touching the Red Lines. It took them to prom and got them pregnant in the backseat of a Volkswagon Beetle" made me laugh out loud.
@shazmosushi
@shazmosushi 3 жыл бұрын
You got to admire Evergrande's ambition though. If the tide *didn't* turn it could be a Hengchi, not a Volkswagon. I'm still in complete awe that a debt-fueled apartment builder can enter the electric car industry. China really is something else.
@Greg-yu4ij
@Greg-yu4ij 3 жыл бұрын
@@shazmosushi so true. For most of evergrand’s life they were ambitious and risky but then they got carried away way worse than the 2008 crisis
@nexusyang4832
@nexusyang4832 3 жыл бұрын
@@Greg-yu4ij Go big and go home. :D
@yuchungman
@yuchungman 3 жыл бұрын
I have a very serious question... WHY IN A BEETLE?
@subrotoxing8214
@subrotoxing8214 3 жыл бұрын
wkwkwkwkwkwkwk
@francois487
@francois487 3 жыл бұрын
I just knew I would get some quality analysis by Jon when I saw this video. Everyone one else is quick to make a video which basically says: - Evergrande is huge in China! - Evergrande has many unhappy employees! - Evergrande has many unhappy creditors! -Evergrande is Lehman Brothers! Thanks for the details and context, Mr Asianometry. We'd be lost without you.
@cpgeorge4442
@cpgeorge4442 3 жыл бұрын
find and buy the land from government --> make " personal deal" to bank officer to get loan to pay off the land - -> start selling unit right after ground break - -> keep a parton of profit then use the rest of money to finish the project ; repeat the process by using bank's money and home buyer's money to expand the business. ........... while all government official , bank officer , local government loan agent all have " candy " , everyone is happy, quiet, and helpful.
@crylittlebitch
@crylittlebitch 3 жыл бұрын
hey man, I've been following the channel for a while and just wanted to say that I really like the way your videos have developed, the topics are more interesting (at least to me) and I also like the dry jokes in between!
@douginorlando6260
@douginorlando6260 3 жыл бұрын
He teaches in the form of telling a story ... like a book you can’t stop reading. Very organized, relevant and educational.
@arthurswanson3285
@arthurswanson3285 3 жыл бұрын
Yeah the dry humor is great. And his storytelling skills are excellent.
@manfreddng
@manfreddng 3 жыл бұрын
A well-researched video on the company Evergrande and the entrepreneurial ups and downs of their founder, Xu. Keep up the good work
@Sunday_Morning570
@Sunday_Morning570 3 жыл бұрын
Agreed, very well done 👍.
@jont2576
@jont2576 3 жыл бұрын
The difference was bezos was actually making money,but he was spending those excess profit he made into growing and expanding his logistics infrastructure and rnd,and he did not had to raise ever growing amounts of debt in order to show a profit,all of it came from growing revenues.i mean building warehouses and distribution centers to handle the growing demand of millions of orders is not easy.But once I think he reached his growth potential in like mid 2010s,he just let loose and let the growing revenues and profits pile up. On the other hand Evergrande was just raising huge amounts of debt every year and unpaid liabilities just to produce a tiny result.
@avexionix
@avexionix 3 жыл бұрын
And let's not forget that Bezos has been at it for a long time with Amazon, and it has been a long and steady growth. To me, it just feels like Evergrande was trying to speedrun growth, and while it could have worked under perfect conditions, it's a bit over optimistic to assume that those perfect conditions would last lol. Maybe it was better that Evergrande got problems now, than maybe 5 - 10 more years down the line where the debt might have been even more lol. :P
@kookidvatohuh4061
@kookidvatohuh4061 3 жыл бұрын
They had 77 billion in revenue with , -9 billion operating income . 300+ billion in debt , only around 50 billion of equity . Business model is horrible . Company is 53x times larger than in 2010 . Overleveraged , big Ponzi scheme if u ask me.
@jont2576
@jont2576 3 жыл бұрын
@@kookidvatohuh4061 kind of crazy how men like him are allowed to carry on doing what he did......things were already showing cracks like 17+ years ago yet he kept diving in deeper and deeper.....and accumulating more and more until it became too big to fail,until failure became the public's problem..... And the world is full of stories like these,Donald trump was one,a guy who had no idea what he was doing except he had ability to sell and kept raising more and more debt.at least back then the size of the debt was only a couple billion.....it didn't accrue to the size where it sent shockwaves through the economy and entire country.. Companues like ltcm and aig and Uber and wework..... though But they let them do whatever they want cause it's private capital? I feel like there should be a government body or board to overwatch and scrutinise all these companies,not to control them or tell them what to do,but at least analyze them and provide a body of intelligence and roughly guage the amount of risk they are carrying and display this information to the public so they know what they are dealing with. But of course capitalists are going to scream bloody murder.....after all who would want anyone to know that ur company is in deep shyt and share this information with everybody or at least imply that something serious is going on.
@cpgeorge4442
@cpgeorge4442 3 жыл бұрын
find and buy the land from government --> make " personal deal" to bank officer to get loan to pay off the land - -> start selling unit right after ground break - -> take some profit then use the rest of money to finish the project ; repeat the process by using bank's money and home buyer's money to expand the business. ........... while all government official , bank officer , local government loaner all have " candy " , everyone is happy, quiet, and helpful.
@jpaugh64
@jpaugh64 2 жыл бұрын
I suspect that Bezos changed his strategy in response to political pressure, rather than to make investors happier. When I heard about Amazon's reinvestment strategy, I thought of it as an unusually valuable investment.
@kicapanmanis1060
@kicapanmanis1060 3 жыл бұрын
Come for the interesting in depth topics, stay for the deadpan humor.
@katphisH11
@katphisH11 3 жыл бұрын
The little quips and sarcasm are a nice touch, they keep the video conversational and help to sustain attention
3 жыл бұрын
I have an economic channel here in Slovakia and now I am preparing video about this topic and I found your video. Really great work. You have my sub :)
@jpaugh64
@jpaugh64 2 жыл бұрын
I love that your videos lack typical Western biases and ignorance or apathy towards the finer details of Asian economies and governments. I'm learning a lot! Thanks!
@manictiger
@manictiger Жыл бұрын
Some of the biases are warranted. China seems rife with fraud. From those little Chinesium screws I get tortured with any time I'm trying to do home refurbs to their shady little equities... I have to do massive research and testing on things that come from there, because their own government won't do it.
@CAROLDDISCOVER-2025
@CAROLDDISCOVER-2025 Жыл бұрын
Keep drinking red Kool-Aid. The fruit punch I guess it would be. I fell asleep during this. But after reading your remark I'll just block the channel
@moskaumaster1594
@moskaumaster1594 Жыл бұрын
@@CAROLDDISCOVER-2025 Kinda sad of you
@Sudeep.Manerkar
@Sudeep.Manerkar Жыл бұрын
True
@endingalaporte
@endingalaporte 3 ай бұрын
I love it. Totally support your channel and sharing it to my friends
@terrywilkinson1570
@terrywilkinson1570 3 жыл бұрын
What an extremely interesting, in depth and thorough piece of research. I am enjoying your detailed work and your presentation is also almost gripping. Thank you
@cousefirst1351
@cousefirst1351 3 жыл бұрын
Glad to see this video take off! You deserve it man 😀
@anfangerm
@anfangerm 3 жыл бұрын
Evergrande is the hottest financial topic in Chinese. But why am I the only one that is worrying about Evergrande FC, the Chinese super league football cup giant
@harshjain3122
@harshjain3122 3 жыл бұрын
Lmao dude...The world is shitting itself for another 2008 and then there's you....haah
@tsijr915
@tsijr915 3 жыл бұрын
its affecting markets in USA, so its a topic in USA too. I believe BlackRock and few others might have too much money invested in Evergrande but not 100% sure yet. dominoes already falling over here.
@ttytty6940
@ttytty6940 3 жыл бұрын
Corrupt as usual 😬😬
@jont2576
@jont2576 3 жыл бұрын
@randomguy8196 it's just one company....it's not like the whole us housing market held by dozens of banks all over the world..... Unless there's more companies out there?
@jont2576
@jont2576 3 жыл бұрын
@@pokbot few hundred mil is alot?
@KingsKeep
@KingsKeep 3 жыл бұрын
I’m subscribing to your Patreon after watching this video!! Excellent analysis on what has led up the company’s current situation! Also, the side comedy gave me a few good laughs as well!
@jrshaul
@jrshaul 3 жыл бұрын
This is quality journalism. Too many "internet geniuses" can't even pronounce "Guizhou."
@dushyantm9579
@dushyantm9579 3 жыл бұрын
He lives in Taiwan afaik, that must count for something. Agree, top notch content though.
@sathyath84
@sathyath84 3 жыл бұрын
Evergrande's case was initially the case of illiquidity. Not insolvency. In normal scenario, when a company facing an illiquidity issue, they can just rise money from loans or equity. But in evergrande's case, the stock price was already on heavy downturn trend, while the debt was already maxed out. It's like someone just losing their job and already maxed out their credit cards. So in this case, what was once a illiquidity scenario, became an insolvency scenario. Not to mention their founders who cashed out prior to the downfall.. It really shows the bad ethos and will to save the company.
@davidhynes
@davidhynes 3 жыл бұрын
Even Swedish Evergrande Auto Industry is in trouble? $305,000,000,000 + USD.
@cpgeorge4442
@cpgeorge4442 3 жыл бұрын
because at the beginning , government ordered no bank can load money to real estate company and property buyer . also ordered new housing price caped , also ordered re-sale price can not go up certain % , also ordered 2+ property owner need to pay higher tax , when market cool off less buyer , less investor , the real estate company cash chain broken. Evergrande have 2 trillion RMB debts, with 1.5 trillion RMB in land , non finish project , un sell housing as asset , all brick and stone but no cash
@zhaoluyue1995
@zhaoluyue1995 3 жыл бұрын
A few factual error observed here: 25:13 You might want to point out that only if the company crossed all three red lines that they couldn't take on more liability with interest. For those cross 2 lines, 5% increase in liability with interest each year; for 1 line, 10% increase. 26:20 They discount the real estate units to 78%, not by 78%, or it would be crazy.
@caleb2242
@caleb2242 3 жыл бұрын
Ok that makes more sense. 78% I was thinking ok so the usd won.
@Asianometry
@Asianometry 3 жыл бұрын
With regards to 26:20, this seems reasonable. I can edit that. Thanks.
@Al-ng2wn
@Al-ng2wn 3 жыл бұрын
@@Asianometry I was like, wtf Evergrande trying to cause a property crash in China? No wonder CPC is pissed.
@cpgeorge4442
@cpgeorge4442 3 жыл бұрын
these craziest rules came from top central government , and they don't know what is right thing to do to solve the real estate bubble. they don't know so keep trying . it called government planned society, planned economy . . . . . . .
@hansonhong9917
@hansonhong9917 3 жыл бұрын
Great video! The “three highs one low” actually refers to high leverage, high gross margins and high turnover, low prices
@PunchClock
@PunchClock 3 жыл бұрын
People/channels likes yours brings otherwise irrelevant information to the forefront of the average person's inquisitive nature when questions arise about issues in relation to impacts on a possible global scale. Great work!
@wngimageanddesign9546
@wngimageanddesign9546 3 жыл бұрын
Great in depth reporting of the history of this company, that I've seen no one else has been able to shed light on!!
@Gaiafreak6969
@Gaiafreak6969 3 жыл бұрын
Its so nice to hear and see an impartial voice that covers the facts and doesnt foam at the mouth when it comes to China existing
@casuallatecomer7597
@casuallatecomer7597 2 жыл бұрын
I know right, the reactions by Western Media are truely eye-rolling.
@AG-en5y
@AG-en5y 3 жыл бұрын
Wow this was amazingly put together. Thx.
@deaththekid3998
@deaththekid3998 2 жыл бұрын
Finally, a non-clickbait video on evergrande. Bravo.
@zodiacfml
@zodiacfml 3 жыл бұрын
did not expect this to be so interesting. the missteps reminds me of our family business back then, taking for granted the success made from real estate while continuing to rapidly expand it without improving efficiencies because too busy on making friends (and/or bribing) and expanding/lusting in other opportunities. they fix problems by borrowing more money without really fixing deep root problems.
@hugof3243
@hugof3243 3 жыл бұрын
What was your Family Business if I may ask?
@zodiacfml
@zodiacfml 3 жыл бұрын
@@hugof3243 buying and selling houses
@FOLIPE
@FOLIPE 3 жыл бұрын
@@zodiacfml Lehman Brother's?
@sunnohh
@sunnohh 3 жыл бұрын
DRAAMMM finally from someone trustworthy and level headed about China
@Charigun
@Charigun 3 жыл бұрын
The three auto headquarters in Tianjin, Shanghai, and Guangzhou are to represent the economic centres in Northern, Central, and Southern China respectively (top 2 cities in each). It's the 3rd largest country in the world with an area larger than the EU so having distribution spread out is quite normal for manufacturing companies.
@jimirving3235
@jimirving3235 3 жыл бұрын
Couldn't be more timely, on the very day that all this made the markets shudder and my own nest egg shrink appreciably. Great work! Helped to take the edge off.
@cancercell1
@cancercell1 3 жыл бұрын
this story is fascinating! please make a follow up video in a few months if possible.
@linjasonlin
@linjasonlin 3 жыл бұрын
another super informative video. The Evergrande situation reminds me of the saying, "if you owe the bank a little money and can't pay up, you are in trouble. But if you owe the bank a lot of money and you can't pay up, then the bank is in trouble."
@fannyalbi9040
@fannyalbi9040 3 жыл бұрын
same what happened to china hold us debt bond, and china is stuck in the trap.
@tonycd2709
@tonycd2709 3 жыл бұрын
LMAO
@NexusApollo
@NexusApollo 3 жыл бұрын
Another amazing video, especially with the indepth look into Evergrande origins and its present situation given how much attention the company has been getting internationally. Also, congrats on reaching over 80k subs! With the quality content on this channel, I can confidently say you deserve much more. As a long time watcher, it's amazing to see this channel grow with leaps and bounds. Can't wait for the 100k milestone and many milestones afterwards!
@douro20
@douro20 2 жыл бұрын
Evergrande was ordered to demolish 39 buildings in January of this year (2022).
@teprasyura
@teprasyura 2 жыл бұрын
Hello, I congratulate you for your channel, I don't miss any video. I just wanted to make a comment, maybe you have already been told, it would be great if you could turn up the volume on the videos, they are a bit low. Greetings from Chile!!
@richwu6752
@richwu6752 3 жыл бұрын
Well, regardless what you make of Evergrande today, it is still an inspiration to hear the story of a man literally from rags to riches, without family wealth, political connections.
@apga1998
@apga1998 3 жыл бұрын
Rags to riches to rags! He borrowed and spent more than he earned. He even bought his connections. But I believe he will ultimately land on his feet.
@richwu6752
@richwu6752 3 жыл бұрын
@@apga1998 Well at least he can say "been there, done that" to his grand children.
@cpgeorge4442
@cpgeorge4442 3 жыл бұрын
100 % political connection , plus 100% bank officer connection, i mean corruption , kickback.....
@cpgeorge4442
@cpgeorge4442 3 жыл бұрын
@@richwu6752 @ he should better tell his live in America children and grand children know that fast before he get suicide or died of illness
@baptistamercado1380
@baptistamercado1380 2 жыл бұрын
25:47 that metaphor was perfection 😘.
@brandonbao7097
@brandonbao7097 3 жыл бұрын
Housing and shelter is a basic human right, it should be affordable so that more people can live under a roof, but they need to make sure the cheap properties don't just immediately get bought out by other conglomerates.
@_Wai_Wai_
@_Wai_Wai_ 3 жыл бұрын
Anybody can go to the forest to build a hut or earthen home. Does everyone have the right to live in downtown of a major city?
@wyw201
@wyw201 3 жыл бұрын
The real issue is that real estate market has been out-growing the equity and commodities market in China. Hence, real estate is used as an investment driver and an asset to preserve wealth. There's no point holding the yuan either given the inflation.
@kwicksandz
@kwicksandz 3 жыл бұрын
@@_Wai_Wai_ if you dont own the land your hut is built on you will soon have troubles
@daniel_960_
@daniel_960_ 3 жыл бұрын
Aren’t rent prices just supply and demand. If everyone wants to live in the same spot prices go up. Only way to combat is build more. Having empty living space isn’t attractive for the owner. When it comes to buying property that’s different, because it’s an investment. And thus depends on the overall market with many factors.
@FallingPicturesProductions
@FallingPicturesProductions 3 жыл бұрын
@@_Wai_Wai_ Don't overestimate the ability of the average person.
@11Gotama11
@11Gotama11 3 жыл бұрын
I love your videos, but with so many numbers, could you put them on the screen as well? It is really hard to follow them if you only speak them out.
@LinasVepstas
@LinasVepstas 3 жыл бұрын
Turn on subtitles.
@XalphYT
@XalphYT 3 жыл бұрын
The subtitles are excellent.
@alexzack4285
@alexzack4285 3 жыл бұрын
Yeah I'd also consider saying a value in one currency and putting the equivalent (e.g. in USD) on screen
@XalphYT
@XalphYT 3 жыл бұрын
Or just tell us how many Yuan it is and let everyone else convert.
@douginorlando6260
@douginorlando6260 3 жыл бұрын
Good comment.
@leechps
@leechps 3 жыл бұрын
Excellent research and detail by Aisanometry on the Evergrande Group saga.Very much appreciate and thankful for the informative video.
@neothaka
@neothaka 3 жыл бұрын
Did any of these 200 banks ever thought about saying no after even roughly scanning Evergrande's record?
@diestormlie
@diestormlie 2 жыл бұрын
The "wasn't just touching the redline, Evergrande had..." quip was *very* good.
@nexusyang4832
@nexusyang4832 3 жыл бұрын
Man this video is so underrated. I think I've watched/listened to this video at least 10 times now.
@Toothily
@Toothily 3 жыл бұрын
2:10 _”I have no people, I have gifted gifted people I am specical specical people I refined”_ w h a t
@Pbenter
@Pbenter 2 жыл бұрын
Haha 😂The prom line! How are you so good at throwing at least one great punchline in per video!?
@gendashwhy
@gendashwhy 2 жыл бұрын
More of this humor! Smart and snarky, and your metaphors are ripe af...
@DeleLang
@DeleLang 3 жыл бұрын
Your content is gold! Your side comments are spot on. Great work. Keep it up
@renj123
@renj123 2 жыл бұрын
I just wanted to say there's so much about your channel that tickles my brain. But what made me click the subscribe button is the fact that I feel you made admirable attempt at getting the pronunciation correct (or as best as you can, and for the most part you're spot on or very close). You pronounced "Xu" a bit more like "Shu" or "Shoo", but it should be almost exactly in the middle of "Shu" and "shii"(or "she"). Yours is a little closer to Shu, but still arguably closer than the average person would've gotten.
@madvanbrussel871
@madvanbrussel871 3 жыл бұрын
I discovered today your channel wow keep going greetings from Belgium
@mzfbados1294
@mzfbados1294 3 жыл бұрын
Thank you! This video was clear and concise and provided good background information.
@jerryc5743
@jerryc5743 2 жыл бұрын
I have just found your channel. Really like your content! 👍
@dewittbourchier7169
@dewittbourchier7169 3 жыл бұрын
Thank you for the JP Morgan Chase example to show how 'liabilities' can be a complicated thing. Like for a bank a deposit is a liability but also the basis for them actually being able to do anything to make any money. So without that 'liability' they would be literally nothing and would not exist.
@mickkelly6389
@mickkelly6389 10 ай бұрын
And today ,here we are.
@ichoudhury007
@ichoudhury007 3 жыл бұрын
Excellent research and contents as usual. What I love the most is your ways of story telling techniques. I feel like we are hanging out, drinking coffee while you are giving me good details to bring me up to speed on a matter and not losing me in the process. Keep up the great work!
@ahuruglica
@ahuruglica 3 жыл бұрын
You got my immediate subscription. Great unbiased content.
@kryts27
@kryts27 3 жыл бұрын
Well researched & interesting topic. Many houses and apartments globally are over-leveraged (meaning too expensive). The value of property against (average) wage earning capacity is now over 2.5 times more than my parents had in the 1960s and 1970s. Meaning that overall (average, not high end) property prices is now over 2.5 times more expensive than its repayment capacity, than it was 40 years ago. We call this "progress". Yes, for the banks and real-estate agents until the property bubble bursts.
@dj_koen1265
@dj_koen1265 2 жыл бұрын
But how will it burst People need housing And land is getting scarcer
@MASMIWA
@MASMIWA 2 жыл бұрын
First, about 90% of Chinese own their home and only 20% of the 90% carry a mortgage. If a mortgage, down payments are like 50% down, 10 to 15 years to pay. Unlike the US where 20% down is the standard and during the 2008 bust, zero down. Why can they afford this? When Deng moved China towards capitalism, it privatized many businesses or let them go bust and the employee housing that was owned by these companies were given or sold cheaply to the occupying employees (In Mao's socialist state, the state owned everything, the company, the housing, and the land). That instant asset wealth was the basis of their new found capitalist wealth. As house prices rose, many traded up, or from their savings of not paying a mortgage, bought a new house. Further, today a developer is finding it harder to find vacant land (farm land) so with the approval of local government, it embarks on urban renewal. For example, 20 year old 6 story walk-up condos are torn down to make way for 30 story ones with elevators. (today it is 60 story ones), From that, one can see that the developer can give an equivalent house in the new structure or elsewhere in its library of existing developments and still make a sizable profit. As new developments rise, the value of housing increases, especially driven by families moving from rural areas to cities to gain higher wages and employment. It is common for families to pool funds to buy a house if no sales of previous houses are made. Rural housing is almost worthless and lands are leased to other farmers for some income. For urban families, it was common to use the family house sales to pay the down payment for a new house owned by the kids. Today, things are changing in China. China is becoming more like the US where the closeness of families is in decline. The trading up and pooling of funds is becoming less and less the mechanism for owning a house. However, in today's world, it is not uncommon for Chinese to own more than one house. These lie empty or rented out. Rent in China is relatively cheap compared to the US.
@deusexaethera
@deusexaethera 3 жыл бұрын
It's hard to understand how it all went so wrong. Who knew that plowing all your profits into leverage to acquire more debt could backfire?
@cpgeorge4442
@cpgeorge4442 3 жыл бұрын
find and buy the land from government --> make " personal deal" to bank officer to get loan to pay off the land - -> start selling unit right after ground break - -> keep a profit then use the rest of money to finish the project ; repeat the process again by using bank's money and home buyer's money to expand the business. ........... while all government official , bank officer , local government loan agent all have " candy " , everyone is happy, quiet, and helpful ; then recently , government ordered no bank can load out money to RE company and 2nd hand house buyer . also ordered new housing price caped , also ordered re-sale housing price can not go up to certain % , also ordered 2+ property owner need to pay higher tax , RE market immediately cool off , less buyer , less investor , the real estate company cash chain broken.
@James-pt1ns
@James-pt1ns 3 жыл бұрын
These are some of the best and most informative videos on KZbin or anywhere.
@pranavwani2509
@pranavwani2509 Жыл бұрын
2:22: "I have no people, I have gifted gifted people I am special special people I refined"
@DaedalusAI
@DaedalusAI Жыл бұрын
lol, it actually says, What ability people lacks I have; what ability people have I have in excellence; what ability people have in excellence I have in extraordinary; what ability people have in extraordinary I have in crystallized state.
@shepardsinsequence
@shepardsinsequence Жыл бұрын
It’s nice to see the Chinese-Mexican effect take place upon ruling class. I like how he drew in his eyebrows with a Sharpie . 1:19
@NPak-cw1ny
@NPak-cw1ny 3 жыл бұрын
The pop hasn't happened yet, when the balloon bursts in November, you'll hear the boom.
@ftd7435
@ftd7435 3 жыл бұрын
First time here and subscribed. Great video man 👍👍👍❗
@ridhuanrizal9696
@ridhuanrizal9696 3 жыл бұрын
You're pretty calm about the situation, and downplayed the off balance sheet liabilities. You don't think this could be a full blown crisis?
@larssomething1410
@larssomething1410 3 жыл бұрын
I am worried about the downstream effects of Beijing's "Three Red Lines" mandate. It would be foolish to think that the Evergrande Group is the only developer in this situation. If the assets on the developers balance sheets tumble with a housing crisis, its damage could spread far beyond the Chinese private and state owned financial institutions.
@angelrdev
@angelrdev 3 жыл бұрын
@@larssomething1410 There has been a lot of chinese real state companies stock falling down today, quite probably same business model as Evergrande, debt.
@MikaBeeF
@MikaBeeF 3 жыл бұрын
Keep up the good work!
@richardthomas598
@richardthomas598 Жыл бұрын
Always glad when someone throws shade on the Dunning-Kruger set.
@blose4793
@blose4793 3 жыл бұрын
The problem started because Banks kept giving loans to them. The owner gets greedy and went into businesses that he was clueless.
@cpt_bill366
@cpt_bill366 2 жыл бұрын
Kinda neat how they show their stock performance directly on the sides of their building like that. Cool lights
@soorajjp1847
@soorajjp1847 3 жыл бұрын
This channel deserves more subscribers.
@kamaujohn6303
@kamaujohn6303 3 жыл бұрын
It is getting there...but he will be a top youtuber if he keeps it up.
@adithyadanaj9768
@adithyadanaj9768 3 жыл бұрын
Yeah. He has great content. And his Channel is growing at a good rate.
@WooShell
@WooShell 2 жыл бұрын
"I would like to reach 100k subscribers one day".. damn, not even one year later you've overshot that target by a factor of three..
@CreamOfEcstast.
@CreamOfEcstast. 3 жыл бұрын
Sweet video loved the way you presented it with the pictures and presentation .
@froodsmash
@froodsmash 2 жыл бұрын
"Evergrande wasn't just touching the red lines. It took them to prom and got them pregnant in the backseat of a Volkswagen Beetle." This one got me XD
@nikolatasev4948
@nikolatasev4948 3 жыл бұрын
Tesla also did the bump of small profits just to show they can do it, then returned to plowing every dollar they could find into growth. And after said growth they achieved sustained profits. Operating on limitless credit is very dangerous. I hope these rules about the red lines prevent any more events like this one. They should have been there from the beginning.
@gelinrefira
@gelinrefira 2 жыл бұрын
A lot of regulations only happened after a terrible crisis. Evergrande is going to be one of those stories you will learn in textbooks about why things are done in a certain way in China.
@ernestwest6861
@ernestwest6861 3 жыл бұрын
Whatever happens to Evergrand, you gotta admit the founder had some serious ambition and talent. Really interesting back story.
@nochance3914
@nochance3914 3 жыл бұрын
Ambitions are good but one should always keep feet on the ground at all times.
@GG-el5te
@GG-el5te 7 ай бұрын
@@nochance3914very well said
@Claxiux
@Claxiux 3 жыл бұрын
Am i the only one that reads this company’s name as a combination of English and Spanish? Ever and then Grande
@StephenYuan
@StephenYuan 3 жыл бұрын
Grand is a word in English as well.
@lambertax
@lambertax 3 жыл бұрын
@@StephenYuan Grand is, grande is not.
@MAtogable
@MAtogable 3 жыл бұрын
is blowing up as we speak.. well, you are speaking. Good channel man! subscribed
@mact4369
@mact4369 3 жыл бұрын
Please keep posting cases like this. Great 👍🏿! Thank you!
@fuleung4296
@fuleung4296 3 жыл бұрын
Great work and information
@simonnaughton2272
@simonnaughton2272 Жыл бұрын
@Asianometry would be great to see a follow up on this group and where they are now.
@SandyRiverBlue
@SandyRiverBlue 2 жыл бұрын
It's not a good sign if your valuation is less than your tangible assets. It bring to mind a company that works with pen, paper, and spreadsheets instead of internally owned project management software.
@vera9230
@vera9230 3 жыл бұрын
Love the little quips and jokes throughout the video.
@purpletulip7122
@purpletulip7122 3 жыл бұрын
Awesome video, clear, interesting and informative. Thank you!
@thienn95
@thienn95 3 жыл бұрын
Good content! Here is a subscribe for your channel
@bobowetboot3611
@bobowetboot3611 3 жыл бұрын
I’ve been looking for this video. Great info
@sokolmihajlovic1391
@sokolmihajlovic1391 3 жыл бұрын
great work!!!!!
@mazimadu
@mazimadu 3 жыл бұрын
This video is the greatest explanation of Guanxi I have ever head. This guy uses it to do nothing but push his self interest to the next level. Everything and everyone is a stepping stone.
@douginorlando6260
@douginorlando6260 3 жыл бұрын
Reminds me of Michael Millkin who ripped of 10,000 families of their life savings, put $360 million in his wife’s name so it could not be clawed back, went to prison for a while then returned as a frequent guest on business news tv. I get the wall street crooks mixed up but I think he’s the one who donated $500,000 to Mother Teresa.
@arnepianocanada
@arnepianocanada 2 жыл бұрын
Let me echo Terry Wilkinson & Gailfreak below. This is one of the best-ever company reviews in my experience. Both your deep research and your "just the facts" straight delivery (not hyper-breathless 😁) add to the impact.
@yipwaifong456
@yipwaifong456 3 жыл бұрын
Hi, I enjoyed this episode very much. Could you make one on Danke too?
@DavidMorales-rj2pz
@DavidMorales-rj2pz 3 жыл бұрын
Is amazing to hear this whole video in English, sorry Australian producers I know they do their best
@Stadtpark90
@Stadtpark90 3 жыл бұрын
Aus dieser Perspektive ging es damals bei Baulöwe Schneider wirklich nur um Peanuts...
@Mysterus88
@Mysterus88 3 жыл бұрын
With such a distance (with its debt ratios) to new policies, there is no way to restructure it. The company can only collapse. One more thing. People are wondering is Evergrande going to make their payments tmr. It's roughly 100 mln on a 500bn balance sheet. 2% only. If Evergrande is advertising for some time now there isn't even so little money to spare, how can this improve, when all the trust has been lost. It's a panic run on this company. Nobody is going to touch it with any financing. If they were to be liquidated at 70% of assets value, they will meet their liabilities. Which is not terrible.
@tonycd2709
@tonycd2709 3 жыл бұрын
Wow... Vingroup from Vietnam got its hand in everything too. Can't wait for part 2.
@angquangnguyenthac2833
@angquangnguyenthac2833 3 жыл бұрын
Vingroup is a separate case altogether since it's never really have any real impact in Vietnam like Evergrade did in China. And the Vietnam government has done heavy crackdown on Vingroup for YEARS now which makes it even more separated from the economy of Vietnam. It's basically just a luxury company at this point, with the only thing that is remotely connected to the macro economy is their supermarkets and convenient store (Which isn't actually that hard to replace seeing that grocery store and grassroot markets are the norm in Vietnam and not the exception).
@howellPan
@howellPan 3 жыл бұрын
excellent content
@pranayomama
@pranayomama 3 жыл бұрын
excellent presentation... thank you for your high quality informative work...
@halahmilksheikh
@halahmilksheikh 3 жыл бұрын
Some feedback. Can you say RMB to RMB and then USD to USD figures? It's easier to follow rather than mixing them up
@PlanetFrosty
@PlanetFrosty 3 жыл бұрын
It’s not that Evergrande is the worst of it there are at least two other in similar or worse condition, but with wrong connections. With millions of jobs at stake and intertwined globally this is no small issue.
@metagde6402
@metagde6402 3 жыл бұрын
@carl hartford my guy your number went from 3 to 15 to trillion Over just speculating the numbers of loans and even imaginary debt numbers What did you wanted to say
@dennissalisbury496
@dennissalisbury496 3 жыл бұрын
Fundamentally, no one is living in Evergrand's millions of apartment units, aka Ghost Towns; so, there is no real demand for these apartments other than speculation. Until these apartments become occupied by owners or renters Evergrand has no viable business model to go forward.
@dj_koen1265
@dj_koen1265 2 жыл бұрын
Thats really stupid And a good example of why such construction should be regulated
@TheeRomantic
@TheeRomantic 3 жыл бұрын
You had me rolling when you said; just a few billion in debt 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣
@magnetospin
@magnetospin 2 жыл бұрын
Those two $620 million cash charity should really be investigated. It's a significant portion of the whole company's cash flow, and no one in their right mind would donate such a significant portion of their cash flow.
@rorynesta7766
@rorynesta7766 Жыл бұрын
unless the charity that was donated to was run by some family member or close friend.
@samnguyen8426
@samnguyen8426 Жыл бұрын
Can you do one on Vingroup? I'll be glad to help translate anything Vietnamese to English
@mattforthelikes
@mattforthelikes 3 жыл бұрын
Awesome video. You have my subscription!
@cpt_bill366
@cpt_bill366 2 жыл бұрын
Selling toxic real estate and then selling clean water is a genuis business move. I'm honestly impressed with the capitalistic exploitation there, but at least they're making the best of a bad situation. Like everything in China, they may favor short-term gains over sustainability, but people's quality of life is improving quickly.
@lakeguy65616
@lakeguy65616 3 жыл бұрын
liabilities are hard dollars, assets like land are hard to value and are easily carried at inflated prices on financial statements. Evergrande is toast. Its over, the only real question is who is assigned the losses and how much.
@mostlynew
@mostlynew 3 жыл бұрын
More women in the street, and shouting about being robbed of their life savings should bring this to a head
@TubersAndPotatoes
@TubersAndPotatoes 3 жыл бұрын
How could they make a loss selling bottled water? It's one of the most profitable things to do.
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