BANNED For Cheating.

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GothamChess

GothamChess

15 күн бұрын

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Пікірлер: 1 600
@javierfernandez4896
@javierfernandez4896 13 күн бұрын
Danny sending their errand boys (Gotham, Naka) to convince everybody that their site and star competition (Titled Tuesday) is clean and under control ... LOL
@literallysweden
@literallysweden 13 күн бұрын
True
@rileywalters6616
@rileywalters6616 13 күн бұрын
Yikes!
@ansumanc
@ansumanc 13 күн бұрын
8 mins dayum
@Dimensional_Duck
@Dimensional_Duck 13 күн бұрын
....
@ansumanc
@ansumanc 13 күн бұрын
Also hai levy
@yeetyfreety6938
@yeetyfreety6938 13 күн бұрын
I like to imagine that Levi just appears in places, and that there was no logistics behind him getting there. He goes to bed, and then just suddenly wakes up somewhere new.
@jasonhargis5598
@jasonhargis5598 13 күн бұрын
This explains a bunch
@ericley6479
@ericley6479 13 күн бұрын
Levi is the whoopsie guy from mortal kombat only in my youtube and for chess
@samiraperi467
@samiraperi467 13 күн бұрын
Or a Quantum Leap kinda thing.
@djrickmedley
@djrickmedley 13 күн бұрын
He’s unlocked fast travel
@pernajuel9771
@pernajuel9771 13 күн бұрын
He probably only spawns in when the camera starts rolling tbf
@FocusBeam
@FocusBeam 13 күн бұрын
Kramnik frantically trying to find the Infinity Stones to destroy half of Hikaru’s pieces
@Bolu-mg2ki
@Bolu-mg2ki 13 күн бұрын
😂
@cC20417
@cC20417 13 күн бұрын
Lol
@GabrielRodrigues-gb5dt
@GabrielRodrigues-gb5dt 13 күн бұрын
Kramnuk, the Mad Giant. Know I got attached to the nickname
@somerandomdudefes31
@somerandomdudefes31 13 күн бұрын
The fact that Kramnik didn't even pretend to read the report before being upset with it... everyone needs someone in their life they can trust to tell them when they're losing their mind.
@Gefionius
@Gefionius 13 күн бұрын
Kramnik automatically doesn’t like anything that was not authored by Kramnik
@noahblack914
@noahblack914 13 күн бұрын
Right? There's no pleasing the dude. He wanted reports, they made a report, he won't even bother to look at it unless it means his own pedantic requirements. He thinks he's some sort of statistical authority just bc he's good at a board game. Maybe he should put his money where his mouth is and hire some independent statisticians to look at it.
@nonchablunt
@nonchablunt 12 күн бұрын
Russians haven't had someone like this for 300 years.
@junaidahmad1492
@junaidahmad1492 11 күн бұрын
It would be nicer if someone would say "I agree with point x that Kramnik made but disagree with point y". But as always, thinking is hard and hating is easier.
@Gefionius
@Gefionius 11 күн бұрын
@@junaidahmad1492 ironic then that Kramnik did not do this either, he made his criticisms prior to reading the report and his blog posts this entire time have been extremely dismissive of other people’s work. If one does not engage in reasonable debate and discussion, why would you expect that from others?
@coltith7356
@coltith7356 13 күн бұрын
When you report someone on CS:GO and it says "report 1541514867146874858 submitted", the 1541514867146874857 previous reports were Kramnik flagging everyone who killed him as a cheater.
@Nitidus
@Nitidus 13 күн бұрын
For the current state of CS2, 95% of his reports would be accurate.
@detrotsid
@detrotsid 11 күн бұрын
Except CS:GO doesn't exist anymore, it had a rampant cheating problem, and its successor, CS2, also still has a rampant cheating problem. It's obvious to the eye test, like if you're playing against spinbots etc., but also at higher levels. Just last week, FPL banned their highest rated player for cheating.
@elsyvien
@elsyvien 9 күн бұрын
​@@detrotsidnot FPL (free pro league) it was a faceit ban
@drunkenhobo8020
@drunkenhobo8020 13 күн бұрын
He lied to us, this looks even more like a hostage situation than the previous video.
@nathanherr1473
@nathanherr1473 13 күн бұрын
He said he would have a better set up next trip, not next video
@sergiob8501
@sergiob8501 12 күн бұрын
i just want to say thanks to germans for allowing him to still posting this video!❤
@zz4165
@zz4165 12 күн бұрын
------ |
@kicRick
@kicRick 11 күн бұрын
​@@sergiob8501Germans? 🧐
@auramyst3627
@auramyst3627 11 күн бұрын
@@sergiob8501dude what
@digiscream
@digiscream 13 күн бұрын
The important consideration, which none of the GMs seem to acknowledge, is...how much of the perception of cheating is accounted for by the higher-rated player having a bad day and not wanting to admit it (yes, even GMs)? I mean...I'm 1250 rapid, 1000 blitz and I hammered an 1800 in a blitz tournament earlier in the week. Obviously, he gave me loads of abuse, accused me of cheating and reported me, but...he made a series of blunders that an 800 would've been embarrassed by. Put simply, he was having a crap day, was playing on tilt and took it out on a player 800 points lower-rated.
@mikeanderson1722
@mikeanderson1722 13 күн бұрын
Totally agree with this. Also factor in someone like me with 150 IQ and an attention deficit, who can go from scatterbrained to world beater and back in a very short amount of time. My rating is some kind of average between those two extremes and depending on when you play me, I might either be amazing or a moron.
@ahz4877
@ahz4877 13 күн бұрын
Same thing happened to me even with less of a rating difference in a rapid game. I'm sometimes sharp with tactics and I was accused of cheating but I wasn't cheating nor I was banned. Conversely, last year I played 1 game at 98% and I wasn't accused of cheating nor was I cheating either, just played 1 brilliant Vienna game with white.
@LonnieDucote
@LonnieDucote 13 күн бұрын
Yep. Elo rating is not an objective rating where 1 point means you never lose. It’s a way to determine who is more likely to win, and the more games they play the more likely the rating is to be accurate An 1800 can lose to a 1000 but it’s just incredibly unlikely, and as you showed sometimes that happens. If you played him 100 times it might only happen a few times but it will happen statistically
@lunatickoala
@lunatickoala 13 күн бұрын
Yeah, there's a couple of other important factors as well. Even if cheating isn't widespread, the *perception* that it is affects players mentally. Not being in a good mental state can really affect performance, causing a player to perform below their potential. Whether it's Levy facing a GM or a GM facing someone they think is cheating (even if they're not), there's a real chance that they perform worse. Thinking that there's cheaters everywhere causes people to start seeing ghosts. But the other factor is that when playing online, it's possible to play a lot of games. Even if cheating isn't widespread, play enough games and you will encounter some. Then things like confirmation bias and availability heuristic will then make it seem like there's a lot more than there are. That sort of mentality is ingrained into the psyche. In the wild, it's better to see a hundred bears that aren't there than to not see one that is. I wonder if people who started out playing online are better able to just brush off games where their opponent cheated and just move on without getting tilted by it.
@otimelyofficial8146
@otimelyofficial8146 13 күн бұрын
@@mikeanderson1722bro your iq is not 150 stop the cap😂😂😂
@eccentricbass3730
@eccentricbass3730 13 күн бұрын
Kramnik hasn’t only been mildly reckless. He has completely destroyed his reputation and credibility.
@heinmiiink3806
@heinmiiink3806 13 күн бұрын
if you're talking about his own reputation, thats true
@donkarnage6986
@donkarnage6986 13 күн бұрын
and thats your opnion after a few tweets ?
@penknight8532
@penknight8532 13 күн бұрын
No such thing as bad publicity. More people know who he is now.
@anasmurshid3987
@anasmurshid3987 13 күн бұрын
@@donkarnage6986 throwing accusations of cheating just because you feel like it is truly unpleasent. He accused Hikaru just because his rating is as near as the top engine althought he streams his games.
@Josharoo
@Josharoo 13 күн бұрын
@@donkarnage6986 it hasn't been just a few tweets lol
@alphaportal97
@alphaportal97 13 күн бұрын
Saying kramnik is mildly reckless, is like saying dumbledore spoke calmly to harry during the GoF meme
@mtn2704
@mtn2704 13 күн бұрын
Levy never fails to have a beef with his barber
@timellis9293
@timellis9293 13 күн бұрын
Edward Scissorhands?
@John-hh5kx
@John-hh5kx 13 күн бұрын
I have those problems also
@ryuk5673
@ryuk5673 13 күн бұрын
😂 👌
@johnnyappleseed4158
@johnnyappleseed4158 13 күн бұрын
I feel for the Jewish Kings out there that hair game is just wild
@taiiiz3969
@taiiiz3969 13 күн бұрын
What are the origins of the never fails bit?
@_JeffJeff_
@_JeffJeff_ 13 күн бұрын
0:40 "Vladimir Kramnik has been mildly reckless" MILDY?!?!????
@minchy9094
@minchy9094 13 күн бұрын
HMMMMM Nah what you on aboutttttt
@NoobSharkey
@NoobSharkey 13 күн бұрын
But there are streamers you MUST watch, I mean basicaly it is absolutely nessesary to watch them, literally you must do it, watching some streamers, that is what I really mean, some of them are must watch. You just literatuly lost your mind if you dont watch them, I mean it is sad but means you are completely crazy and you dont know what are you talking about when streaming yourself, if you dont watch them. And, another thing,Anish, what all those insuniations like "I dont watch streamers" mean? Can you just come out and tell openly that you hate the most prominent one? Just cone out and say this directly, I know you mean it. Just say this, dont hide under "I dont watch it" bs 🙂
@marquisdelafayette-xe1ht
@marquisdelafayette-xe1ht 13 күн бұрын
Yeah, that’s a mild understatement
@seikgames384
@seikgames384 13 күн бұрын
Mildy is an interesting choice of word
@KaoticWhisper
@KaoticWhisper 13 күн бұрын
Interesting....
@agrimreaper2864
@agrimreaper2864 13 күн бұрын
4:11 wait, Kramnik hasn’t even READ the report????? jfc
@matthewdishman4831
@matthewdishman4831 13 күн бұрын
14:32 17% refers to score, not winning percentage so its not 'win 1/6 games' as there will be some draws too
@DoddyIshamel
@DoddyIshamel 13 күн бұрын
It's so levy that he would just dismiss the page about scores then mischaracterise score for the rest of rhe video 😂 7 losses 3 draws from 10 games doesn't seem so wild. Or 15 losses, 1 win, 4 draws from 20.
@robertopimenta9340
@robertopimenta9340 13 күн бұрын
Omg thank you. Had to scroll a lot for that.
@JGMeador444
@JGMeador444 13 күн бұрын
I was looking for this, because that really bothered me too. Hopefully he sees this.
@DoddyIshamel
@DoddyIshamel 13 күн бұрын
@@frikai8321 why?
@matthewdishman4831
@matthewdishman4831 13 күн бұрын
​@@frikai8321No because the y-axis is still the lower rated player even if they're in the same rating bucket.
@Kitsune_Chess1
@Kitsune_Chess1 13 күн бұрын
Levy is so lucky that the kidnappers let him record so they can collect the money
@LastSamurai21
@LastSamurai21 13 күн бұрын
What do u mean?
@Kitsune_Chess1
@Kitsune_Chess1 13 күн бұрын
@@LastSamurai21 so u don’t get the lore? Ull understand later
@randomchessplayer.
@randomchessplayer. 13 күн бұрын
​@@LastSamurai21He is in a different place so they make a joke like he's "kidnapped"
@bitcoingrinding
@bitcoingrinding 13 күн бұрын
This is actually a really great breakdown... kudos for Levy for taking time to go through this for us even during the vacation
@Dimensional_Duck
@Dimensional_Duck 13 күн бұрын
Vacation?? He's being held hostage!!
@brownie8090
@brownie8090 13 күн бұрын
Kramnink’s respect rating went from 2700 to 103 real quick
@Sindamsc
@Sindamsc 13 күн бұрын
same with Naka after his Kick stream, tbh
@shamrock73
@shamrock73 13 күн бұрын
​@@SindamscWhat happened?
@justindavis9629
@justindavis9629 13 күн бұрын
@@Sindamsc signing to Kick in general or did he say or do something while streaming over there? I’ve never seen a kick stream so very much out of the loop if it’s the latter.
@thenextgeneration9030
@thenextgeneration9030 13 күн бұрын
@@Sindamsc whatt stream?
@sanjithd3343
@sanjithd3343 13 күн бұрын
@@shamrock73he had a stream where he was promoting gambling, whilst he was playing slots.
@timepass4783
@timepass4783 13 күн бұрын
Kramnik has now officially gone crazy
@NathanLipetz
@NathanLipetz 13 күн бұрын
Just now?
@rdspam
@rdspam 13 күн бұрын
“now”? It’s been a while.
@penknight8532
@penknight8532 13 күн бұрын
It sneaks up on you if you live long enough. You start to see it around 50 years of age.
@Chelo._.
@Chelo._. 13 күн бұрын
​@@penknight8532 Biden is over 80 years old, but he's not going crazy like Kramnik. it is unlikely that we will see a crazy Biden at all, since only unworthy people lose their entire reputation in two months
@sk-ig4wt
@sk-ig4wt 13 күн бұрын
​@@penknight8532 Anand is doing just fine probably the highest rated player in his age, he is 54 btw and still is sane
@_JeffJeff_
@_JeffJeff_ 13 күн бұрын
Gotham never fails to title a KZbin video: BANNED For Cheating
@yankee637
@yankee637 13 күн бұрын
BANNED For Cheating.
@DexterHaven
@DexterHaven 13 күн бұрын
A GM can make one bad move; that's all it takes to lose to a 2100 player.
@InVersionStudio
@InVersionStudio 13 күн бұрын
Not, eventually...if you don't see that opportunity and play bad move too, you also can lose
@bruce2953
@bruce2953 13 күн бұрын
You haven't watched Fabi vs Nepo yet I see...
@InVersionStudio
@InVersionStudio 13 күн бұрын
@@bruce2953 ok, assuming that in one particular game there's drawish situation came after Nepo play ...very not ideal in mid game in important match. That's one game, and what about some genius,that after bad debut and average mid, starts playing like Magnus in endgame? Average probability of average 600, probably 🙂 And they even make strikes 40+ win. And that's just unrated play. Why? Is that Interesting, or not?
@sHaterred-vh7cs
@sHaterred-vh7cs 13 күн бұрын
Look Magnus games he's always play crap openings in blitz and opponent has advantage but he still outplays not always
@InVersionStudio
@InVersionStudio 13 күн бұрын
@@sHaterred-vh7cs just one little problem. This 600 is not Magnus, definitely ☺️ Maybe Hikaru 🙂🤷 He like strike's
@AkhilVerghese
@AkhilVerghese 13 күн бұрын
The biggest problem with this report is that underdog victories over the board are often the result of players just being underrated. Being underrated isn’t common online, for obvious reasons.
@strajder91
@strajder91 10 күн бұрын
This ☝️
@mitchderise73
@mitchderise73 13 күн бұрын
Technically this just means underdogs don't cheat significantly more than titled players
@DoddyIshamel
@DoddyIshamel 13 күн бұрын
Other than the super GMs everyone is an underdog to someone. Unless cheaters were the majority it would still result in more upsets not less. Unless you think titled players would cheat more/only against players rated 150-200 pts below them?
@rdspam
@rdspam 13 күн бұрын
“Technically” it means nothing. It’s a set of data. Your extrapolation of some conclusion does not make it “technical”, meaningful, or accurate. “We believe” in a potential interpretation, as this report correctly concludes, is the most you can state. Unless you can explain your technically supported methodology, the validated science behind it, and statistical data to support your conclusion.
@mitchderise73
@mitchderise73 13 күн бұрын
I'm not actually making any claims or conclusions with this
@Littlelongy1
@Littlelongy1 13 күн бұрын
I think your point is good. The majority of this report seems to be based on the assumption that players of lower rating will be more likely to cheat than people of higher rating. It doesn't find that correlation, but doesn't test the assumption to make sure it's valid, and instead just sort of assumes that it is when making their conclusion, right?
@DoddyIshamel
@DoddyIshamel 13 күн бұрын
​@@Littlelongy1it literally highlights the possibility its the higher rated players being the ones cheating at the start.... Though it's a real leap to think someone would cheat but only against weaker opponents.... Regardless the whole thing is based on the perception of weaker players cheating to beat stronger players in titled Tuesday ... That is what it's about...
@_JeffJeff_
@_JeffJeff_ 13 күн бұрын
Kramnik is chronically online 💀
@Why_did_YouTube_add_handles
@Why_did_YouTube_add_handles 13 күн бұрын
Just as you are
@ahmed.abdelaleem
@ahmed.abdelaleem 13 күн бұрын
​@@Why_did_KZbin_add_handles just as you are
@user-re2ul6ss2z
@user-re2ul6ss2z 13 күн бұрын
@@ahmed.abdelaleem Just as you are
@user-re2ul6ss2z
@user-re2ul6ss2z 13 күн бұрын
just as you are
@user-re2ul6ss2z
@user-re2ul6ss2z 13 күн бұрын
just as you are
@shamrock73
@shamrock73 13 күн бұрын
Kramnik writes a paragraph about how the report should be conducted. Then he doesn't read it. 🍷🗿
@timepass4783
@timepass4783 13 күн бұрын
Title for Future reference: “BANNED for Cheating.”
@CheukTheGreatestOfEverything
@CheukTheGreatestOfEverything 13 күн бұрын
thanks, very helpful (still the same after 16 minutes)
@Arishtanxmi
@Arishtanxmi 13 күн бұрын
There’s a period at the end
@guest9836
@guest9836 13 күн бұрын
BANNED for Cheating.
@godeminoveou6224
@godeminoveou6224 13 күн бұрын
Still the same
@kaszaspeter77
@kaszaspeter77 13 күн бұрын
One major flaw of this analysis is that it assumes only underdogs cheat. It is possible that the higher rated player cheated and it is possible that both of them cheated. Granted, the underdog winning against the higher rated through cheating is the most problematic scenario, but since we have seen how many times the underdog would win even OTB, it makes perfect sense for a higher rated to cheat as well, esp. if the rating difference is small.
@clappedbyben5438
@clappedbyben5438 13 күн бұрын
Valid point. But by that standard you have to realize that a for example 2200 is going to only cheat against 2000 and not against higher rated players to make this make sense. That isnt the most logical conclusion so its a occams razor scenario and the most logical conclusion is cheating isnt as big of a problem as it is portrayed online.
@alexisperron-brault6009
@alexisperron-brault6009 13 күн бұрын
If both people cheat, their score will be 50% on average. We don't see that here
@clappedbyben5438
@clappedbyben5438 13 күн бұрын
@@alexisperron-brault6009that also isn’t really valid or do you think 100% of titled players are cheating?
@alexisperron-brault6009
@alexisperron-brault6009 12 күн бұрын
@@clappedbyben5438 if everyone cheats, everyone will win about 50% of the time. This is not what we see. People might cheat only when it matters though (for one specific game)
@detrotsid
@detrotsid 11 күн бұрын
@@clappedbyben5438 Dunno if you can call Occam's razor on this, there simply isn't enough information to draw any solid logical conclusions.
@ninjanoodle2674
@ninjanoodle2674 13 күн бұрын
There is one other possibility to explain the data: that cheating is so rampant among both the higher and lower rated players in any given online game that the cheating cancels each other out. It is a little like the steroid era in baseball where a lot of pitchers and hitters were both taking performance enhancing drugs. I think that the more definitive approach may be to evaluate how much players performed above/below their rating in OTB vs Online games. If players are consistently playing at a level well above their expected level given their current rating in online games, then that would be an interesting indicator of whether cheating is as prevalent as some would say.
@Odysseusf
@Odysseusf 12 күн бұрын
Exactly. Plus that the cheaters are all underdogs is a self defeating assumption. By definition, cheaters cheat to win and gain ratings. So how can they both cheat and stay with very low ratings?
@railspony
@railspony 13 күн бұрын
When I was 1180 I beat a 1750 in classical... People often "play down" when there is a big difference. They look at a position and think, "Well, he's not strong enough to punish me so I can just do this easy thing and then win and go to lunch" and instead they lose because I'm trying my very best.
@eitanporat9892
@eitanporat9892 13 күн бұрын
Hi Levy, regarding the P-value comment, I think it is relevant for hypothesis testing. You could model the distribution of players as a mix of "noncheating players" and "cheating players" and then run a statistical test. There is much more work to be conducted here. Also, there are better methods than ELO, Glicko might work better idk. Sorry for nerding out 🤓
@alessandragreco1342
@alessandragreco1342 13 күн бұрын
I'm a simple man, I see Gotham, I click
@RaniaIsAwesome
@RaniaIsAwesome 13 күн бұрын
@@_JeffJeff_ I'm a simple man, I see a simple man meme, I want to take part.
@Cage66666
@Cage66666 13 күн бұрын
Roll*
@Lydown1825
@Lydown1825 13 күн бұрын
@@Cage66666 ?
@Pirhah
@Pirhah 13 күн бұрын
I never fail to be a simple man and see Gotham
@michaelmassaro4375
@michaelmassaro4375 13 күн бұрын
Might as well Levy has Good Stuff dam we need another Candidates tournament or other for more recaps they were fun 😅
@shukun-luxxy
@shukun-luxxy 13 күн бұрын
As someone who does academic business research and statistics all the time: the moment I saw the lack of methodology, correlation diagrams, ANOVA's, p-values, standard errors, and even the text not being symmetrically aligned, I knew that this "study" was not going to be anything to bet your money on.
@DiamondWolfX
@DiamondWolfX 12 күн бұрын
Interesting story from Minecraft speedrunning: Player Dream was accused and convicted of cheating; it later turned out his accuser knew what to look for because he himself was cheating. Makes me wonder if Kramnik is playing in an ...interesting manner.
@Anonymous-iz4yc
@Anonymous-iz4yc 12 күн бұрын
"This video very interesting" *Block and Report* - Kramnik 2024
@pauloriley4020
@pauloriley4020 13 күн бұрын
Gotham: What many people don't know about me is that I actually have a PhD in Clickbait.
@Jasonf3
@Jasonf3 13 күн бұрын
How long have you been held hostage in Hikaru's ceiling?
@DemoniqueLewis
@DemoniqueLewis 13 күн бұрын
I agree with your take on where are the P-Values and the other parts of a statistical examination that would provide context.
@DustinHorvath1987
@DustinHorvath1987 13 күн бұрын
My takeaway from this entire video is the FIDE rating system isn't rating players very accurately, and the datasets are not an accurate representation of players' abilities.
@detrotsid
@detrotsid 11 күн бұрын
Strictly speaking, nothing rates players _very accurately_, all rating systems just look at your results and make some educated-ish guesses. Better sample sizes give better predictions.
@Idontwanttoexistt
@Idontwanttoexistt 13 күн бұрын
Kramnik really said "i ain't reading all that"
@InfiniteQuest86
@InfiniteQuest86 13 күн бұрын
When comparing two groups like this, confidence intervals are way more important than p value which is to compare against the null hypothesis. So, unless you can come up with what should happen by chance, then it's going to be more accurate to use confidence intervals. But yeah there's a missing piece without that.
@jennymulholland4319
@jennymulholland4319 13 күн бұрын
Since chess is not a game of chance (except whether you play as white or black) I think it's not possible to determine what would happen by chance. You can only look at averages. Maybe the closest bit of information you could get to "what would happen by chance" would be seeing how often strong bots win against themselves as opposed to draw. Since the theory is that chess played perfectly should always end in a draw, so anything else that happens (when players are bots) will be by chance as it were.
@Odysseusf
@Odysseusf 12 күн бұрын
My friend, you’re the only person who knows Statistics in the comments section. Everybody else is so uninformed with the basics of 2-sample hypothesis testing 😂. Good job. What is your background in Stats?
@InfiniteQuest86
@InfiniteQuest86 12 күн бұрын
@@Odysseusf Haha, kind of. I majored in math so I have some stats. Mostly I got brushed up on it when going into more data science lately.
@InfiniteQuest86
@InfiniteQuest86 12 күн бұрын
@@Odysseusf I actually posted a much longer response explaining in more detail, which seems to be taken down. Weird.
@InfiniteQuest86
@InfiniteQuest86 12 күн бұрын
​@@jennymulholland4319 We say by chance when we mean the null hypothesis which is that no cheating occurred. So if you have a 2200 play a 2500, then they should win 10% of the time by chance (as opposed to skill you could think of it). This is based on rating. Of course rating has to be accurate to know this percentage, which it is admitted that the OTB ratings are not right. To do the p-test you have to stay within on group. So you look at the 2200s vs. 2500s in online only and see if it is more than 10%. The p-value tells you the likelihood that what we saw happen was described by cheating in our case as opposed to "chance." It takes into account how hard it is to achieve and how powerful your sample is. So if you only had one game of a 2200 vs. a 2500, and the 2200 won, you wouldn't claim cheating even though the 2200s won 100% of the games. That could happen by chance. It could be the 10% since it was only one game. But if you had thousands of games and the 2200s won even 30% of the time, that's huge, way bigger than expected if cheating wasn't occurring. Also think if 2200s only typically won 0.05% of the time, then even seeing a single win would indicate cheating because it should be so rare. Anyway, that's what's meant by chance, not that the game has a random element to it. The other problem with this approach is that we are running too many tests. Every comparison is another test, so comparing 2500s to 2400s, 2500s to 2300s, 2500s to 2200s, etc. By chance, one of them is going to indicate cheating has occurred. If you flip a coin a million times, your going to see 100 heads in a row at some point just by chance. When you go digging for results, you're bound to find them even if they aren't there.
@builderdog3875
@builderdog3875 13 күн бұрын
Levi never fails to make me feel like a mere statistic as he click baits me
@whateverwhocares3805
@whateverwhocares3805 13 күн бұрын
I think this report shows the difference in the stress in online versus over the board. The better player tends to win more online because there’s less stress causing variance in skill. Maybe that’s an oversimplification but it stands to reason.
@ryzekagi
@ryzekagi 13 күн бұрын
"mildly reckless"
@methanbreather
@methanbreather 13 күн бұрын
interesting conclusion at the 2min mark. You could also say: higher rated players are more likely to cheat online, because they have more to lose.
@stijnvanstrijen9285
@stijnvanstrijen9285 13 күн бұрын
Exactly
@Multiverseofcreativity
@Multiverseofcreativity 12 күн бұрын
I really like the vibe of your travel set up. It makes it feel like I’m just watching someone on a FaceTime.
@tallblondedude
@tallblondedude 13 күн бұрын
After reading the report I am not fully convinced on it. I would have loved to see an F score for the classical FIDE because that looked somewhat distinct. This is also working on the assumption that the lack of distinction in win rates is sufficient, which i'm not fully convinced was sufficiently shown, is a necessary sign. If cheating functions independently of rating, the effect would be totally masked; perhaps higher rated players see a "miracle" move that bails them out vs lower players and can play it off due to their rating, while lower players are more conservative. I think publishing a distribution (without specifics) of found cheater's ratings would be beneficial.
@ludodotho762
@ludodotho762 13 күн бұрын
Gotta love how Kramnik got 69 downvotes lol
@ippo4502
@ippo4502 13 күн бұрын
The lights look like Levy has cat ears
@Veptis
@Veptis 13 күн бұрын
these data visualizations are beautiful - I would love to see more of this. maybe even plot some of my own ideas.
@Random_starwars_and_chess_nerd
@Random_starwars_and_chess_nerd 13 күн бұрын
You know i needed this 3 months ago for my school project
@Willsczk
@Willsczk 13 күн бұрын
Mildly reckless is the understatement of the year...
@JDeLauer
@JDeLauer 13 күн бұрын
I still laugh whenever I talk about chess with people and they’ll be shocked that you can cheat at chess.
@Fiery-Cat-Art
@Fiery-Cat-Art 13 күн бұрын
Kramnik has not only destroyed his reputation, but has slowly begun to chip away at others’.
@BlackRose3610
@BlackRose3610 13 күн бұрын
Kramnik going how Bobby did
@radleytimajo
@radleytimajo 13 күн бұрын
as someone taking the AP Statistics exam soon, 21:57 genuinely jumpscared me
@gryllodea
@gryllodea 13 күн бұрын
17% score doesn't mean that an underdog would win 1/6 of the games. Maybe it's 26% for a draw and 4% for a win, and the result is 0.04×1 + 0.26×0.5 = 0.17.
@Peenos
@Peenos 13 күн бұрын
beginning pause was so good I thought the video wasn't playing
@rajroushan6565
@rajroushan6565 13 күн бұрын
This the reason Indian GM avoid playing online, just play OTB and win everything who cares about title tuesday anyway.
@harishjoshi-wf2xe
@harishjoshi-wf2xe 13 күн бұрын
🤡
@Secretarian
@Secretarian 12 күн бұрын
True that. OTB is and always will be the heartbeat of chess.
@ItsAlex-dw4uy
@ItsAlex-dw4uy 13 күн бұрын
levy never fails to be held hostage
@Kendraah
@Kendraah 13 күн бұрын
Come to Minneapolis, MN!!! We have several chess clubs a few have won tournaments.
@TheSwimmoney
@TheSwimmoney 12 күн бұрын
I'd love for you to come and do a UK tour or at least have a date in the north and the Midlands as well as London.
@osmarsanchez5165
@osmarsanchez5165 13 күн бұрын
I wonder if at least part of the reason the higher ranked player performs better in titled Tuesday than OTB is just because of facing less pressure and therefore making fewer blunders, errors, etc. It definitely seems a likely explanation
@Odysseusf
@Odysseusf 12 күн бұрын
Plus these highly rated players contain more cheaters and engines don’t blunder
@ancientknight9805
@ancientknight9805 13 күн бұрын
Levy finally using his stats degree😂😂😂
@quill444
@quill444 11 күн бұрын
Levy: _"What are the P Values?"_ Magnus: _"You mean Probability?"_ Hikaru: _"I'm Pushing P!"_ Kramnik: _"It's P as in Psychosis . . ."_ - j q t -
@TodorHristoski
@TodorHristoski 13 күн бұрын
That pic of Levy in that FIDE ranking list got me😂
@Yakcool
@Yakcool 13 күн бұрын
Wow tysm for the quick summary of the video. Good idea! :D
@koopercupp523
@koopercupp523 13 күн бұрын
in my opinion ANYONE that types like THIS, is emotionally unhinged
@flookaraz
@flookaraz 13 күн бұрын
The craziest thing in this video is Levy saying Kramnik was "mildly" reckless. Sheesh.
@muratsinanengin9773
@muratsinanengin9773 13 күн бұрын
He was trying to be polite methinks.
@chunklum3636
@chunklum3636 13 күн бұрын
what has Kramnik been doing and where can I read or watch about it?
@flookaraz
@flookaraz 13 күн бұрын
@@chunklum3636 Gotham has actually covered it quite extensively on this channel, although i know he doesn't title his videos too accurately so it might be hard to find. "Cheating" / "kramnik" should be in the titles though
@chunklum3636
@chunklum3636 13 күн бұрын
@@flookaraz thanks for the help
@natvanrooyen
@natvanrooyen 13 күн бұрын
I think an important thing here is also the coverage, we see more titled Tuesday than over the board games
@jonathonjubb6626
@jonathonjubb6626 13 күн бұрын
Many, many thanks for the summary! I have the attention span (I'm not a Septic) but, alas, not the available time.... Have a goood one Y'all!
@TigerSharkMLB
@TigerSharkMLB 13 күн бұрын
Hostage simulator
@mrfotball9261
@mrfotball9261 13 күн бұрын
Levy never fails to be Banned in Chess
@thelastnoise9210
@thelastnoise9210 13 күн бұрын
For some odd reason I wanna watch these upset games. The underdog winning that 17% chance.
@psymar
@psymar 13 күн бұрын
If underdogs are performing better over the board that probably means over the board blitz ratings are less accurate, which seems reasonable given there are fewer ratings over the board.
@m7areb
@m7areb 13 күн бұрын
my brain isnt braining
@Leventmaster
@Leventmaster 13 күн бұрын
No.
@marcossandoval7048
@marcossandoval7048 12 күн бұрын
These numbers are so satisfying! I never thought someone would be able to have some proper research, but the numbers don't lie. Very cool stuff!
@a.v.y8331
@a.v.y8331 13 күн бұрын
I do believe this report (and future ones) could definitely do with some more significance testing (t-tests and p-values) as well as standard deviation discussion, along with correlation and regression analyses. the team DID say they have data scientists and analysts, so I assume it wouldn't be too hard since they already have done the work of cleaning and acquiring the data set.
@Lvchrism
@Lvchrism 13 күн бұрын
That's just crazy talk. The report says that using the FIDE scores that they used in their graphing was a confounding variable, but they included it anyway because it was favorable to their position to do it that way. That's just junk statistics from undergrads. I doubt they have one capable analyst, scientist or statistician on the payroll.
@Gelo19
@Gelo19 13 күн бұрын
Kramnik: You cheat Hikaru: the 3rd highest rated player🗿
@harishjoshi-wf2xe
@harishjoshi-wf2xe 13 күн бұрын
highest performance rating this year
@Josharoo
@Josharoo 13 күн бұрын
kramnik probably the most unlikable person in chess.
@nuwandalton
@nuwandalton 13 күн бұрын
Not a chance with Carlsen and Kasparov around... Not to mention Firouzja
@Josharoo
@Josharoo 13 күн бұрын
@@nuwandalton maybe stupidest take i've ever read
@nuwandalton
@nuwandalton 13 күн бұрын
@@JosharooIs that so? Don't be so harsh with yourself. You're stupid, granted, but not THAT stupid. Now run along, fanboy
@vaibhavvb9898
@vaibhavvb9898 13 күн бұрын
It used to be hikaru after that I literally don’t care thing. Looks like that keeps changing with time.
@GustavoMunoz
@GustavoMunoz 12 күн бұрын
You really rock, Levy. How glad I am looking to a nice guy like you having the level of success you have achieved.
@chrisc1158
@chrisc1158 13 күн бұрын
The heat map and groupings seems like a methodology that can be manipulated. The simpler and easier to understand measure would be to divide the lower score by the higher score and plot this along the x axis. The y axis should depict the win rate of the underdog. This give a normalized chart that could then be broken out by rating ranges to see if there are any anomalies in any particular group.
@timepass4783
@timepass4783 13 күн бұрын
GM Gotham Soon!
@Hiiigh_Yoshi
@Hiiigh_Yoshi 13 күн бұрын
Why do you comment so much
@literallysweden
@literallysweden 13 күн бұрын
@@Hiiigh_Yoshihe probably likes the notification pop up
@roanoke999
@roanoke999 13 күн бұрын
stop spamming first
@tapaskohad
@tapaskohad 13 күн бұрын
(First)²
@shashankshekhar6952
@shashankshekhar6952 13 күн бұрын
(First)³
@DoddyIshamel
@DoddyIshamel 13 күн бұрын
When you are talking about the rating difference you seem to have forgotten they are using Fide blitz for both ....
@HeartFallsApart
@HeartFallsApart 13 күн бұрын
"traveling?" Everyone knows you enjoy getting kidnapped.
@jukezy46
@jukezy46 13 күн бұрын
Gotham already had to cheat to get to gm?? Smh
@Bolu-mg2ki
@Bolu-mg2ki 13 күн бұрын
Kiddo
@ChessMusclesBro
@ChessMusclesBro 13 күн бұрын
Gotham - was your barber blind bro? Cause wowwwwwww 😅
@Xtra_cube
@Xtra_cube 13 күн бұрын
Please come to UK, a city like Southampton/Bournemouth/Salisbury
@NoobSharkey
@NoobSharkey 13 күн бұрын
Levys lights in the background make it look like he has cat ears
@starmj5247
@starmj5247 13 күн бұрын
Levy never fails to cheat.
@JBM118
@JBM118 13 күн бұрын
Let me guess it’s a Clickbait
@Bolu-mg2ki
@Bolu-mg2ki 13 күн бұрын
Fool watch the video
@Nitidus
@Nitidus 13 күн бұрын
There are no clickbaits on this channel 😀 There is no war in Ba Sing Se 😐
@simonr.5801
@simonr.5801 12 күн бұрын
For the underdog range you mention, I thing it would be awesome to have a weighing scale. (Larger difference, larger impact)
@matt-d-webb
@matt-d-webb 13 күн бұрын
Great summary!! Enjoy the rest of your travels. It was nice to hear you politey handle things Kramnik is saying - I used to respect his views and insights on the game but now the guy has completely lost his marbles! Reputation self destruction, very sad to see.
@Prometheus4096
@Prometheus4096 13 күн бұрын
It just means higher rated players cheat more than lower rated ones.
@DoddyIshamel
@DoddyIshamel 13 күн бұрын
Even though they are the same people? They cheat when they are higher rated and stop cheating when rhey are lower rated?
@Prometheus4096
@Prometheus4096 12 күн бұрын
@@DoddyIshamel wut?
@DoddyIshamel
@DoddyIshamel 12 күн бұрын
@@Prometheus4096 literally what I said. Do you mean they cheat against weaker opponents but not stronger?
@Prometheus4096
@Prometheus4096 12 күн бұрын
@@DoddyIshamel No. I meant literally what I said. You think that higher rated players are just 1 person? And that lower rated people are also just one person? And that these are both the same person?
@DoddyIshamel
@DoddyIshamel 12 күн бұрын
@Prometheus4096 Every "higher rated person" is the "lower rated person" in other games.... Unless they are Magnus.
@CopperGames1
@CopperGames1 13 күн бұрын
Not first
@ethan073
@ethan073 13 күн бұрын
Mildly reckless is an incredible understatement 🤣
@kenconnelly773
@kenconnelly773 13 күн бұрын
Down in amateur world, I got accused of cheating in a bullet game this afternoon. I played h3 to stop the ol’ N-Q pin, he had Bg4 premoved. He lost.
@SplashCap
@SplashCap 13 күн бұрын
First
@Samurai24200
@Samurai24200 13 күн бұрын
NPC comment, no one cares
@Tk_IMPERIUS
@Tk_IMPERIUS 13 күн бұрын
What a tool, finish the video first.
@Tk_IMPERIUS
@Tk_IMPERIUS 13 күн бұрын
What a tool. Finish the video first.
@SplashCap
@SplashCap 13 күн бұрын
@@Samurai24200 ok
@Tk_IMPERIUS
@Tk_IMPERIUS 13 күн бұрын
What a tool. Finish the video first.
@mufakkas9731
@mufakkas9731 12 күн бұрын
if it happens online, compare perfornance measure between online and OTB, and use the Chi-test, very easy and established
@Dragonten312
@Dragonten312 13 күн бұрын
A video on the Svidler game would be great
@Flamingcloud083
@Flamingcloud083 13 күн бұрын
The problem with these stats are that the FIDE ratings are so inaccurate due to lack of games that they cant really be used as an accurate date set.
@DoddyIshamel
@DoddyIshamel 13 күн бұрын
It's the only one there us ..
@Flamingcloud083
@Flamingcloud083 13 күн бұрын
@@DoddyIshamel could check only players with enough recent fide blitz games to have confidence that their rating is accurate
@DoddyIshamel
@DoddyIshamel 13 күн бұрын
@Flamingcloud083 then the sample size would be much smaller. In any case as pointed out the lack of games for players gives them lower rating which should create more underdog results online. So it would only make the results even more stark.
@jennymulholland4319
@jennymulholland4319 13 күн бұрын
The addendum said they only used games where players' FIDE blitz ratings were based on at least 50 games and at least one game in the last year. I do wonder how many games this excluded then.
@imnotconsistent4504
@imnotconsistent4504 13 күн бұрын
Kramnik saw the Hikaru has Stockfish on his ceiling memes and took them seriously
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