Aaron Judge and the Goldilocks Ball

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Baseball's Not Dead

Baseball's Not Dead

Күн бұрын

Пікірлер: 257
@soadratmetc
@soadratmetc Жыл бұрын
I’m so glad baseball isn’t dead so I can enjoy another video
@worldwidegamer9487
@worldwidegamer9487 Жыл бұрын
As a Mets fan, I was really hoping your conclusion was going to be he might not have broken it, but your in depth analysis is unmatched. Great stuff, cant wait for more
@BaseballsNotDead
@BaseballsNotDead Жыл бұрын
Glad you enjoyed
@TobyMac24
@TobyMac24 Жыл бұрын
I have to give you a lot of credit here. My usual critique of your very entertaining videos is that there are often some sensational claims that can be a little misleading. But this was done very carefully, methodically and fairly, which I appreciate.
@BaseballsNotDead
@BaseballsNotDead Жыл бұрын
I'm wondering what my sensational claims in previous videos were.
@toilet_cleaner_man
@toilet_cleaner_man Жыл бұрын
​@@BaseballsNotDead he's still salty about Air Bud
@allthingsvikings5449
@allthingsvikings5449 Жыл бұрын
absolutely love ur vids man never even watched baseball but you got me into it
@kingamity1985
@kingamity1985 Жыл бұрын
@@BaseballsNotDead yk just general tuber behavior, prioritizing entertainment over investigational integrity it isn't anything personal or an insult it's just the grind
@WiffGiff
@WiffGiff Жыл бұрын
@@BaseballsNotDead that baseball’s not dead
@mrtheminecraftminer1
@mrtheminecraftminer1 Жыл бұрын
“Opinion this” “opinion that” I’ve seen way too much of it at this point…. Which is why I love these videos theres almost never any opinions, or atleast any opinions that aren’t heavily backed up with insanely thorough analysis and evidence. Superb
@braedenr9182
@braedenr9182 Жыл бұрын
I live for these type of videos. They are so enjoyable that’s why I always watch right when I get the notification that he posts.
@BaseballsNotDead
@BaseballsNotDead Жыл бұрын
Thanks!
@lukehewko260
@lukehewko260 Жыл бұрын
Here's what I have a problem with: The cumulative effect of things that may be rigged. What I mean by that is, let's say we have an NFL game with a blatant missed call on the deciding play of the games like Rams/Saints. If we look at that call on its own, it's very clearly the deciding factor and looks very suspicious. However, there's no way for us to know how many other tiny calls, balls nudged slightly toward or away from the true line of scrimmage, nuances with the play clock, TV timeouts, whatever that could hypothetically manipulate the entire momentum of the game. This could be the difference easily of this play being on say the 30 yard line or the 50, or, more likely, possession ending up being with the other team in this situation. In this case, Judge hitting slightly better than he'd expect, more balls over the infield maybe, perhaps a couple fringe balls at the wall, whatever, builds his confidence right? Confidence is going to MAKE him a better hitter. It doesn't have to be blatantly obvious for it to have a measurable effect. The reason I use the word "measureable" is not that it's actually measureable or statistically meaningful. What I mean is, we don't know what the alternate timeline looks like where there is a proper dead ball used from beginning of season to end for Judge. We just don't. I could have saved myself a million words by just saying the butterfly effect isn't real, but momentum in sports is close.
@ScottServais-poet
@ScottServais-poet Жыл бұрын
Brother you have one of the best intros on KZbin
@aaronpalpatine5722
@aaronpalpatine5722 Жыл бұрын
Hey man, i just wanna say that your videos have got me back into baseball again. I actually applied to work at Dodgers stadium because i wanna be around baseball again! I appreciate your videos and thank you for being you!
@BaseballsNotDead
@BaseballsNotDead Жыл бұрын
That is awesome!
@codygooch510
@codygooch510 Жыл бұрын
Baseball sucks nowadays. I’d literally rather watch that minor league banana team or college softball. The mlb & the Commissioner are so bad.
@aaronpalpatine5722
@aaronpalpatine5722 Жыл бұрын
@@codygooch510 i don’t necessarily agree with that, but i get where you’re coming from! Yeah baseball isn’t the same as when i was a kid (grew up in the 2000s) but Aaron Judge just broke a home run record. do with it what you will but cmon, a record being broken?! Baseball is as exciting as you want it to be. you can sit through 3 hours of baseball and hate it or you can enjoy the fact you’re watching Americas oldest sport and seeing freak athletes hit bombs. I’ve been a Mets fan since i was a kid and we have always sucked, but i’d still watch my team and enjoy the game! everyone is entitled to their opinion and i respect that! but please leave the negativity at the door dawg! 🙏
@pyRoy6
@pyRoy6 Жыл бұрын
The exit velo at the end could be a consequence of the Goldilocks ball, and should not be considered to be a static factor, maybe? Also, the Statcast HR probability doesn't really matter for the individual HR analyses. In the end, it looks like you looked more at the landing point each HR, which I think is the main relevant factor. As for a possible cause of Goldilocks balls, my guess based on your info is that all of those special stamped balls were done in the same batch (i.e. the stamps aren't "causing" Goldilocks balls)?
@amwchicago5276
@amwchicago5276 Жыл бұрын
If you keep pumping out this level of content, you’re gonna blow up this season. Foolish Bailey is quivering. Keep up the good work!
@BaseballsNotDead
@BaseballsNotDead Жыл бұрын
He shouldn't be. He's good people and makes great stuff.
@amwchicago5276
@amwchicago5276 Жыл бұрын
@@BaseballsNotDead didn’t mean to put shade on Bailey. I love his stuff too and I hope both of you keep up the content.
@kevinminer1293
@kevinminer1293 Жыл бұрын
Great analysis. Your comment comparing the number of intentional walks between Maris in '61 and Judge in '22 raises in interesting point. The 1961 Yankees lineup was stacked from top to bottom. You'd have to be nuts to intentionally walk Maris with Mickey Mantle on deck, followed by Yogi Berra and Elston Howard.
@sneersh9107
@sneersh9107 Жыл бұрын
Yankees need better protection for Judge lol
@rileyesmay
@rileyesmay Жыл бұрын
Next video idea: How Judges 2022 HR season compares to the other top 10-20 HR seasons of all time, and which ones are truly great for distance, number of actual chances, etc. because some just aren't as amazing as others that are
@APNTGaming64
@APNTGaming64 11 ай бұрын
@@sneersh9107 im here from the future, they have Juan Soto to protect Judge now lol
@NoahVanNest1
@NoahVanNest1 Жыл бұрын
Amazing video, your presentation of the data was superb! Keep it up man!
@BaseballsNotDead
@BaseballsNotDead Жыл бұрын
Glad you enjoyed it!
@Puffo__
@Puffo__ Жыл бұрын
1:12 I was at that game on the left, I was actually walking by the Jersey Mike's when Rengifo hit BOTH of those HRs
@Thinwhiteduke1185
@Thinwhiteduke1185 Жыл бұрын
As a Red Sox fan and therefore expert on how much the Yankees suck, I can say with 100 percent confidence that Aaron Judge would have 0 homeruns if there were no goldilocks ball.
@BaseballsNotDead
@BaseballsNotDead Жыл бұрын
Ah, come on. I think he'd have at least 1 or 2.
@Thinwhiteduke1185
@Thinwhiteduke1185 Жыл бұрын
@@BaseballsNotDead maybe 1. Definitely not 2.
@TheKillerocker
@TheKillerocker Жыл бұрын
First of all, love the analysis and thorough research with statistical normalization. I do have a question regarding the comparison you made with 2019 stats and how only Pete Alonso broke 50. While the balls were obviously juiced in 2019 the pitchers were also running unchecked with Spider Tack and other substances. Once those were banned and the hand checks were introduced, we saw a rise in offensive production and a drop in a lot of pitcher performances. Do you think that this could've played a factor in those 2019 Home Runs numbers?
@BaseballsNotDead
@BaseballsNotDead Жыл бұрын
Very small difference. Number of balls in play between 2019 and 2022 was almost identical (24.34 per game versus 24.41 per game) and BABIP was higher in 2019.
@TheKillerocker
@TheKillerocker Жыл бұрын
@@BaseballsNotDead Gotcha, thanks very much!
@baactiba3039
@baactiba3039 Жыл бұрын
@@BaseballsNotDead Balls in play were the same, but what about fly balls?
@christiandavis7443
@christiandavis7443 Жыл бұрын
Been enjoying all these videos! Definitely subscribed after I watched the Nolan Ryan WAR video!
@oaxolotl7587
@oaxolotl7587 Жыл бұрын
I think something important to realize is that the juiced ball didn’t help already good power hitters hit for more power, it made more average guys look better
@inglebingle6423
@inglebingle6423 Жыл бұрын
Love how thorough you are in your work, good stuff!
@BaseballsNotDead
@BaseballsNotDead Жыл бұрын
I appreciate that!
@Madlib7
@Madlib7 Жыл бұрын
I love how you can have a video full of numbers, math, and spreadsheets right next to a video with the scientific criteria of 'yeah that looks like baseball to me'.
@rittpro
@rittpro Жыл бұрын
Always a good day when Baseball's Not Dead uploads
@DenGames5
@DenGames5 Жыл бұрын
I can’t believe you took the machine out of the intro
@jackdullboy8723
@jackdullboy8723 Жыл бұрын
Your channel should have more subs, great stuff
@BaseballsNotDead
@BaseballsNotDead Жыл бұрын
Thanks!
@zachbode9789
@zachbode9789 Жыл бұрын
Love the amount of research you put into your videos. Like it or not at least your conclusions are pretty dang thorough, bro.
@jinxedchef
@jinxedchef Жыл бұрын
All of this "assumes" that Judge only got the better balls for about 2 months. But MLB gave the better balls to the Dodgers and Houston the whole season. I am willing to bet they gave the Yankees the same treatment the whole season.
@theodorec5775
@theodorec5775 Жыл бұрын
Great video. You continue to put out some of the absolute best baseball content, not only on YT, but pretty much anywhere. I don't want to assume, but I'm guessing Camden Yards isn't on the list at 7:59 because the change in LF dimensions would skew the data?
@christianlentz2193
@christianlentz2193 Жыл бұрын
God I love the videos so much, really makes me think so much deeper and really appreciate the uniqueness of baseball! Thank you.
@chasepadgett4221
@chasepadgett4221 Жыл бұрын
So all the games with Trout, Ohtani and Judge had perfect balls. Fucking sus.
@Verlisify
@Verlisify Жыл бұрын
Yooooo I didn't know about this. Great video
@BaseballsNotDead
@BaseballsNotDead Жыл бұрын
Thanks!
@ryanjapan
@ryanjapan Жыл бұрын
This was really interesting, but I have a question about the methodology. Your analysis seems to assume that the only effect of a dead ball vs juiced vs goldilocks is going to be its response to contact at a given launch angle and velocity... but it'd seem to me that a lighter ball is going to react differently to air turbulence imparted by its spin -- and that the reason a dead ball may produce fewer homers isn't just that its fly ball to HR ratio is different, but that its movement when pitched is less likely to create solid contact in the first place. A heavier ball will have more momentum / higher inertia and will be shifted off course less by otherwise equal outside forces acting upon it -- so air resistance will push it off course less, creating less break (and thereby being easier to hit). All of Judge's homers could conceivably been sure things regardless of the ball given their exit velocity and launch angle, but that doesn't mean that he would have ever had that exit velo / launch angle combo if he'd seen a pitch using the dead ball.
@jonathanbrowning4
@jonathanbrowning4 Жыл бұрын
Barrel rates are a fun stat.
@trevorcross9738
@trevorcross9738 Жыл бұрын
Love the video, great analysis, but not sure if you’re asking the right question here. I think the question should be, did the mlb attempt to unfairly assist a single player in reaching a particular stat by providing a certain ball that wasn’t uniformly being used throughout the league? Whether it actually did make a difference or not is kind of a moot point. For example, if a player uses performance enhancing drugs but his overall stats and level of play remain the same, showing no notable improvements, isn’t he still liable for at least attempting to gain an unfair advantage regardless of if he was successful or not?
@MisterVicky9
@MisterVicky9 5 ай бұрын
Seeing judge play even better than his record breaking season the past two years gives me hope that he eventually breaks bonds overall season record if fate lines up and judge is healthy for a full season
@John_Notmylastname
@John_Notmylastname Жыл бұрын
1:35 god I still remember that play. I sat there stunned and disbelief. I love Pujols now but back then I hated his guts. Also felt bad for Lidge because the man was excellent. I was happy for him when he had that perfect season a few years later. I remember Pujols talking about trotting the bases after he hit that home run. He said it got so quiet that he could hear his feet crunching in the dirt. Which is beyond wild.
@Ghxst12
@Ghxst12 Жыл бұрын
Idk how you could ever hate Albert
@dopy8418
@dopy8418 Жыл бұрын
Your conclusion is if they used regular baseballs during the last part of the season, judge would probably not have the record. The league cheated. That’s what the conclusion is.
@hoangthaiduongnguyen6790
@hoangthaiduongnguyen6790 Жыл бұрын
From the Insider article: "The only Goldilocks balls we obtained from the regular season that did not have commemorative stamps were from Yankees games." Why is this the case? If the ball were more juiced because of the stamps then how come balls in Yankees games belong in this category?
@BaseballsNotDead
@BaseballsNotDead Жыл бұрын
They had invisible stamps for authentication purposes.
@listen2thelights
@listen2thelights Жыл бұрын
As a Red Sox fan, Im not going to lie, I was really hoping that I could point to this and say "See! He wouldn't have gotten it!". Why did you have to ruin this with logic and stats. Great video as always
@lilwaifu1347
@lilwaifu1347 Жыл бұрын
Great analysis! One thing I'd add though is data sourcing has a good reason to stay hidden; non-union employees would be easier to track and thus get fired if that information was public.
@jeffday4005
@jeffday4005 Жыл бұрын
Great analysis! Loved the explanation of methodology and approach. 100% agreed with your tweet and wanted to know more at the time. Thanks a bunch for the video, and clearing our captains good name! 😂
@jgray2718
@jgray2718 Жыл бұрын
I love the intro music so much.
@WESsential
@WESsential Жыл бұрын
Impressed by the methodology and video in general BND
@setrist4620
@setrist4620 Жыл бұрын
You know, Jake Tapper, I figured you would be a bad rip-off of Baseball Doesn't Exist. But you're way better. Subbed. Also you're my favorite CNN employee.
@philtheecox
@philtheecox Жыл бұрын
keep it up every video is great.
@BaseballsNotDead
@BaseballsNotDead Жыл бұрын
Thanks, will do!
@ferdinandfoch7816
@ferdinandfoch7816 Жыл бұрын
Great work! I do have one question though, did Judge benefit at all from the goldilocks balls in Texas or Anaheim earlier in the season?
@BaseballsNotDead
@BaseballsNotDead Жыл бұрын
If my assumptions are right on all commemorative stamped balls being Goldilocks balls (could be wrong on that since we just don't have the data), he did get one HR in Houston on July 21st but it was clearly a no doubter.
@ferdinandfoch7816
@ferdinandfoch7816 Жыл бұрын
@@BaseballsNotDead Awesome, thanks!
@jaketrustin
@jaketrustin 7 ай бұрын
Your research is insane! Haha love it
@BaseballsNotDead
@BaseballsNotDead 6 ай бұрын
Thanks!
@danieljd6776
@danieljd6776 Жыл бұрын
Regardless of the very minor differences between the balls, hitting 60+ home runs without steroids is a remarkable accomplishment that can only be done by a player who gets half of his at bats at a park as small as Yankee Stadium.
@kochspostulates6149
@kochspostulates6149 Жыл бұрын
It still doesn’t change the fact that MLB was trying to help him get the record at any cost
@Sacksalot
@Sacksalot Жыл бұрын
Baseball’s not dead…but the ball might be? 🤔
@archr117
@archr117 Жыл бұрын
Love it. Had already decided to ignore the goldilocks ball report as relates to his achievement last year, but this in-depth analysis definitely reinforced that call.
@BeegYoshi97
@BeegYoshi97 Жыл бұрын
Great video, I think you nailed it. Unlike pitchers using substances to help with spin, I really don't understand why people are trying to hold the baseball against against Judge and his performance when he and every other batter have no control over the ball being used. I hate this selective narrative trying to invalidate Judge's season. I haven't heard anybody try to invalidate the great hitting seasons of Ohtani or Trout even though the Angels were using the Goldilocks ball too. None of these guys or anyone else who hit exceptionally well in 2022 needs the Goldilocks ball imo and I wish we could just enjoy Judge's historic season for what it is, good baseball.
@itsjustmarcus2242
@itsjustmarcus2242 Жыл бұрын
It’s laughable that people think Judge needs the juiced ball, he’s 6’7 280. Guys like Judge, Stanton, and Oneil Cruz are essentially dead ball proof considering their size if you think about it
@befairmonk5988
@befairmonk5988 Жыл бұрын
The exit velocity depends on the type of ball. For better analysis, the exit velocity needs to be adjusted. You need to re-normalize the average exit velocity (dead) and the average exit velocity (Goldilocks). For now, your analysis is only for the drag coefficient.
@BaseballsNotDead
@BaseballsNotDead Жыл бұрын
That has its own pitfalls because spin is one of the biggest aspects in distance and no source tracks that.
@Youtubesucks777
@Youtubesucks777 Жыл бұрын
Just found your channel. I played D1. Love baseball and dig your work. Keep them coming. Lgfm!
@dominictran2967
@dominictran2967 3 ай бұрын
Ultimately, there’s an inherent unfairness when someone selectively manipulates the balls for specific teams.
@danielcorreard3746
@danielcorreard3746 Жыл бұрын
if this turns out to be true then the record should be disqualified just like i think bonds 73 should be.
@Neckrollios18
@Neckrollios18 Жыл бұрын
I really can't stand how baseball can't get out of their own way with the variation in baseballs seemingly year to year, paired with the lack of transparency about their integration, affect on the game or anything in between. We shouldn't have to talk about whether players are benefiting or suffering statistically based on the ball, which in turn affects the outcome of games, player salaries and more. At least if they were up front and transparent, we could have an easier time drawing conclusions for ourselves instead of relying on crazy hypothetical or abstract statistical theories.
@funnydonor9484
@funnydonor9484 Жыл бұрын
I think the amount and or method of mud put on the balls. It’s literally a guy scooping it out of the bucket and rub it on by hand. Of course there’s other slight variables… but the truth of the matter is, even if every ball was made identically, there will still be different reactions from the balls after hit by a bat
@ScreamingRamen
@ScreamingRamen Жыл бұрын
Can't believe that a game played for close to 150 years hasn't figured out the ball they play with
@scullystie4389
@scullystie4389 Жыл бұрын
I wonder what Ohtani thinks about all this
@lunarumbreon7699
@lunarumbreon7699 Жыл бұрын
I don’t really get why MLB is so secretive about their balls. Other sports leagues change their ball constantly. It would give MLB a lot better look if they just said “hey we want to make some changes to the ball, here’s what’s happening”. Like I get that there’s a large part of MLB fans that absolutely hate change but still there are better ways of implementing change
@Tacozrule12
@Tacozrule12 Жыл бұрын
This is better than that other baseball is not something channel
@BaseballsNotDead
@BaseballsNotDead Жыл бұрын
Comparison is the theft of joy.
@ErrorMessage01
@ErrorMessage01 Жыл бұрын
Meanwhile in 1918 players be like; “ oh boy, that pitcher sure can throw that spherical shaped rock with some accuracy!! Do you think we should have some sort of standard of measure for how heavy/ big those round objects should be?!”
@thomashart2803
@thomashart2803 Жыл бұрын
Why is the hr to fb rate the same for both dead ball and Goldilocks games? I feel like they should be different because it doesn’t seem possible for them to be exactly the same.
@jinrosemont3132
@jinrosemont3132 Жыл бұрын
Great vid!
@BaseballsNotDead
@BaseballsNotDead Жыл бұрын
Thanks!
@illusionSquared
@illusionSquared Жыл бұрын
Appreciate the analysis and all your videos. I have a question about the way you calculated the HR/FB rates you use to compare the dead and goldilocks balls (and their expected difference in travel). You did your best to eliminate ballpark factor, but couldn't the player factor have a significant affect on the HR/FB rates? If the goldilocks balls were used in Yankees games down the stretch and (apparantly all?) Angles games in 2022 (among other uses), wouldn't that bias the data set by including many games with prolific HR hitters (Judge/Ohtani/Trout). No idea how significant this could be, just curious.
@jettheinrich19
@jettheinrich19 Жыл бұрын
I think everyone would be fine with juiced balls and pitchers using sticky stuff just make it consistent and league wide. I hate the possibility that one team can be getting fed juiced balls while another is playing with regular balls
@emmacruz3699
@emmacruz3699 Жыл бұрын
Was doing so well till you said, "non assisted steroid season" based on what considering the past with MLB and the recent "ringworm cream" fiasco! AJ never in his career hit anything close to 62 and you can't just extrapolate the rate in 2021. Btw, MLB temp paused testing during contract nego thus allow guys to juiced up, stop, then test negative! lol
@lunarumbreon7699
@lunarumbreon7699 Жыл бұрын
You said that you worked with manufacturing and how you talk about it makes it sound like you worked with analyzing the manufacturing process, that and your EXCELlent use of excel. Did you you work as an engineer?
@BaseballsNotDead
@BaseballsNotDead Жыл бұрын
I was an engineering project manager. So while I didn't do the actual design, I did coordinate everything (construction, mechanical, electrical, process) for integration and rollout of new technology and processes (which included a lot of troubleshooting and documenting and fixing defects) and do have an engineering degree.
@alexvanmeter398
@alexvanmeter398 Жыл бұрын
Am I tripping or was Camden yards not included in the graphic 8:00
@BaseballsNotDead
@BaseballsNotDead Жыл бұрын
You aren't tripping. For some reason fangraphs didn't have Camden yards data on their split finder for 2023 so I exclude it from the analysis.
@ShartStainMagee
@ShartStainMagee Жыл бұрын
Regardless of the juice, Manfraud, former lawyer, will always be sus in my book.
@NotSomeJustinWithoutAMoustache
@NotSomeJustinWithoutAMoustache Жыл бұрын
1:20 - 1:52 What's the BGM name? I don't see it in the description and Idk what it's called... sorry
@JunkYardCardGuy
@JunkYardCardGuy Жыл бұрын
You had something with regards to the manufacturing process. When you're talking about "grams," you could be talking about stitching that has 12 threads as opposed to 10 threads, 6 extra rubber wraps, or even canvas from the seam eyelets that got crammed down in the stitching...MLB isn't going to weigh every single ball, nor are they going to worry about a "gram," anyway. As a lifelong Blue Jays fanatic, I'm STILL beyond confident, that Judge's 62 HR's is 100% fact.
@bullshark3771
@bullshark3771 Жыл бұрын
the fenway one over the monstr I'd argue with a dead ball would be impacted more since it would reach an apex sooner and drop a lot sooner. I'd say probably not. I think it would be oming down off the monster.lets say it hit it's peak at 250 with thegoldilocks I'd argue with the deadball it's hitting its apex at 235 with that low of a velo and angle.
@IKER0718
@IKER0718 Жыл бұрын
question, would the slightly heavier or lighter ball affect the pitching? like the spin rate, velocity, command and make it easier to hit etc?
@jroggs85
@jroggs85 Жыл бұрын
Today from Baseball's Not Dead: baseballs are more dead than you might think.
@kookmissile69
@kookmissile69 Жыл бұрын
How come Camden Yards is not included in this?
@TheTEN24
@TheTEN24 Жыл бұрын
Good analysis
@bmac4
@bmac4 Жыл бұрын
A thing people also don't mention is that pitchers were scared to give up those post-60 homers. If they weren't intentionally walking him, they were pitching around him. So circumstance suggests he mighta hit #61 a bit later with a deadened ball but like I doubt he wouldn't have been able to hit 62 because he probably shoulda hit more than 62 this year lol
@auzmo
@auzmo Жыл бұрын
I dont think they were scared to give them up then anymore than any other point of the season. Some of the teams they were facing were out of the race and some in tight pennant races. I actually think as it gets closer they are scared not to pitch to him as even their own fans get frustrated over it. I think you saw that back in the McGwire Sosa chases and the Bonds chase. I feel like pitchers dont want to be the one that chickens out and the pressure of the situation can cause them to throw poor pitches that lead to HRs.
@shnipes
@shnipes Жыл бұрын
the biggest issue is the shady x axis on that first graph. if it started at 0 i doubt anybody cares
@trueempire8948
@trueempire8948 Жыл бұрын
What Judge did last season was special. Best season by a Yankee player in my 30 plus years of watching the Yankees as a fan.
@nickwiener8729
@nickwiener8729 Жыл бұрын
Judge had his worst homer spurt of the season at the end w these balls.
@facetiouslyinsolent8313
@facetiouslyinsolent8313 Жыл бұрын
Even though the balls were rigged to help Judge the pitchers were also grooving him pitches. Judge was getting batting practice balls to hit every game, dirty!
@bloodwrage
@bloodwrage Жыл бұрын
MLB could have avoided this by not giving him different balls
@WindomRettes
@WindomRettes Жыл бұрын
This guy sounds like what Manfred was spewing out.
@Sillydeath123
@Sillydeath123 Жыл бұрын
As an Astros fan, Aaron Judge is a scary dude. Any team would be very lucky to have him
@joshuapatrick682
@joshuapatrick682 Жыл бұрын
Why not apply the Goldilocks balls advantage to the probability of a home run and determine if any were aided that way or is that what you did and I missed the explanation? Seems to be the most logical way to approach this task
@liam9749
@liam9749 Жыл бұрын
What's the name of your intro song? I feel like i've heard it before
@therenewedpoet4292
@therenewedpoet4292 Жыл бұрын
mesmerizing... slow-motion... dingers... o sorry, what were the conclusions?
@THUGSHAKERPRODUCTIONS
@THUGSHAKERPRODUCTIONS Жыл бұрын
the Paul Harrell of baseball videos
@grahamarnold7940
@grahamarnold7940 Жыл бұрын
Great video but I question the assumption that all commemorative balls were Goldilocks balls
@BaseballsNotDead
@BaseballsNotDead Жыл бұрын
I do too... but until they release the dataset any attempt at analysis is built on a lot of assumptions.
@Gemnist98
@Gemnist98 Жыл бұрын
It makes sense. Those balls are primarily made with the purpose of giving the audience a show during such things as the All-Star break, and the plebeians are obsessed with home runs. It’s only business.
@lukehewko260
@lukehewko260 Жыл бұрын
I'd also say that it's kinda dangerous to just be like, oh well he still would've gotten 60. Okay, but he didn't. If he's got 62 legit, he's got it. We shouldn't have to make concessions for it. It needs an asterisk even if it didn't make a huge difference because the record isn't AT LEAST 60, it's specifically 62.
@daltonvanpelt8269
@daltonvanpelt8269 Жыл бұрын
This is an important study; with that being said, it should in no way discredit Judge's record. Meredith Wells is doing god's work.
@hdtripp6218
@hdtripp6218 Жыл бұрын
Barry Bonds holds the record.
@BaseballsNotDead
@BaseballsNotDead Жыл бұрын
He doesn't hold the American League HR record, which is what the video is about.
@sk33t_38
@sk33t_38 Жыл бұрын
Jokes on you because regardless of the objective evidence presented to me I will believe they helped him because I'm a hater
@richardhughes3939
@richardhughes3939 10 ай бұрын
Was intrigued by your “steroid-assisted season” comment as well, and was interested what your thoughts were about Eric Walker’s (and others) research which indicated the increased HR totals of the steroid era were due more to the juiced baseballs than to juiced players.
@simonthegreat527
@simonthegreat527 Жыл бұрын
Damn dude, your data has a flaw unless the video doesn't show when you remembered that you left out CAMDEN YARDS?!?! In the words of Rodney Dangerfield "No respect I tell ya".
@rawbones4117
@rawbones4117 Жыл бұрын
It's pretty funny how this is such an issue in Modern Baseball. Like, how stringent were baseball regulations back in the early 1900s? Would Christy Matthewson really care if the ball he just got was a little heavier, or more oblong, than the previous one? Probably not. Hell before the spitball was banned for killing Chapman the Ball would notoriously be a muddy, black, disgusting heap of leather by the end of the game. I'm sure that impacted exit velocity! But back then it didn't really matter. Now Baseball has entire manufacturing plants and scientists making baseballs specifically in an automated way to suit their needs! And because of that we have controversy where before there was none... Funny how times can change.
@waynemontpetit8181
@waynemontpetit8181 Жыл бұрын
I heard a millennial KZbinr the other day say 2022 Aaron Judge was the best individual season a Yankee player ever had. 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣 Ruth, Gehrig, DiMaggio, Mantle........... Judge. 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣
@IdliAmin_TheLastKingofSambar
@IdliAmin_TheLastKingofSambar Жыл бұрын
The first two played their entire careers-and DiMaggio played most of his-in baseball’s apartheid era, when players like Judge wouldn’t have been allowed to play at all. And all four dead guys got to face the same handful of starting pitchers, over and over, throwing 80-poo garbage over a gajillion innings until their arms fell off, with no infield shifts and such taking away hits all over the place (except for, like, Ted Williams sometimes). Meanwhile, Judge has to face an army of guys who train at high-tech facilities year-round instead of selling insurance, throwing 98+ with wipeout sliders and exceptional command (think I’m wrong? Look at walk rates over time). I hate the Yankees, but I’m with the “millennial KZbinr” on this one.
@waynemontpetit8181
@waynemontpetit8181 Жыл бұрын
@@IdliAmin_TheLastKingofSambar b.s.
@IdliAmin_TheLastKingofSambar
@IdliAmin_TheLastKingofSambar Жыл бұрын
@@waynemontpetit8181 Feel free to believe that, but you’re letting your nostalgia bias blind you to reality. The notion that today’s players are somehow not as good as players back in the day may be comforting to some folks, but it simply defies logic. The belief that “things were better in the old days” is almost never true, in any aspect of life.
@waynemontpetit8181
@waynemontpetit8181 Жыл бұрын
@@IdliAmin_TheLastKingofSambar b.s.
@IdliAmin_TheLastKingofSambar
@IdliAmin_TheLastKingofSambar Жыл бұрын
@@waynemontpetit8181 Oh, you’re dumb. And you like your own comments. I’m sorry. 😆
@alexvanmeter398
@alexvanmeter398 Жыл бұрын
The first 2 in most likely a hr should’ve been probably not.
@4b131
@4b131 Жыл бұрын
So after all that it's a high probability that 62 was possible and a most likely 61 would have occurred. What was his HR/plate appearance number? If no intentional walks were given how many extra HR would have occurred? Too much math 😪
@johnosland1870
@johnosland1870 Жыл бұрын
It just sucks having a great player on your team and still get booed by your home team….
@TheToxicity
@TheToxicity Жыл бұрын
And yet he still re-signed for less money
@treystiemsma7329
@treystiemsma7329 Жыл бұрын
So that’s why the Yankees offense died in August and September
@paulhopkins1905
@paulhopkins1905 Жыл бұрын
Personally, I think he gets 60 HR's if he used the same balls as the rest of the league, if nothing else changes. But, it's not that simple, the pitcher gets more spin and velocity on the dead ball giving the pitcher that much more of an advantage, and Judge is prone to swing and miss. So you can't really say. Regardless, the MLB giving him different balls is highly questionable, and it's extremely silly to not simply have a single standard, and any out of spec ball gets rejected for game use. This nonsense about using different balls in different situations is beyond ridiculous and proves that Rob Manfreds MLB is corrupt. I have no doubt that they did this to help Judge get the record, just like they went out of their way to keep Yankee, Dodger and Red Sox sign stealing out of the news
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