BEWARE: This Druid Run is Infectious! | Arena | Hearthstone

[@LordofBroccoli]

Is Trump's return to Arena a direct result of investors' growing reluctance to fund Trump Laboratories?

[@eyle6839]

i think the investors are not happy with the decks produced, they have too little value

[@sebastianjohansen2142]

Eyle THAT’s A LOT OF VALUE- words from a more civilised age.

[@stanle1101]

Trump seeking alternative funding by joining the arena for the sweet sweet gold.

[@specialk314]

Short it

[@mueezadam8438]

The way I see it is that Trump Laboratories inc. is a pet project that got blown up by the media as the next big thing to hit silicon value and the expectations became way too outlandish for any one scientist to meet.

[@seniorcactie2722]

Yes more arena, I love arena. Also makes for good long video’s

[@treysav3657]

I agree🧐

[@danders1094]

Quite 🤔

[@Merllemon]

Trump trades and good cards to relax/study to

[@mueezadam8438]

Merllemon 😂

[@Nissenov]

Indeed!

[@mindscapejem]

I had a lot of fun posting my game last time, so I'll try again. :D The two cards this time are: (1:47) Bone Wraith (against Rocket Augmerchant and Dalaran Mage) [Sticky Stall vs Flexibility/Ping] (3:42) Infectious Sporeling (against Frenzied Felwing and Kobold Geomancer) [Weird Removal vs ~0 Cost Minion] --- *Game 1* (N/A) Bone Wraith wasn't drawn or played this game. (N/A) Infectious Sporeling wasn't drawn or played this game. *Game 2* (N/A) Bone Wraith wasn't drawn or played this game. (N/A) Infectious Sporeling wasn't drawn or played this game. *Game 3* (N/A) Bone Wraith wasn't drawn or played this game. (N/A) Infectious Sporeling wasn't drawn or played this game. *Game 4* (16:51) Bone Wraith was drawn (The early game flexibility didn't matter much on draw.) (17:23) Infectious Sporeling was drawn (The other options wouldn't have matter much this early in the game.) (17:48) Bone Wraith was played (Augmerchant would have allowed for a "fast" answer to the Frozen Shadoweaver, but at the cost of two cards (i.e. combined with Rising Winds), so this was the best option this game.) (18:46) Infectious Sporeling was played (Given the damage on board that could go face, he could have played a 3/2 minion instead of the Sporeling. Given how the plays worked out, it appears that the opponent attempted to play around the Sporeling, sacrificing minions, board clears and a Fire Elemental to take out one minion lends to support that the Infectious Sporeling was the best option this game.) *Game 5* (25:42) Bone Wraith was drawn (On draw, it wouldn't have affected the play for either option.) (N/A) Infectious Sporeling wasn't drawn or played this game. *Game 6* (26:41) Infectious Sporeling was drawn. (Could've been used for early game pressure, but Trump values it as removal. Other options would have been unplayable on turn 1.) (27:10) Infectious Sporeling was played. (A good concept on paper, arguably should have been played earlier, but comparing it to the other options, this was the best choice for this game.) (N/A) Bone Wraith wasn't drawn or played this game. *Game 7* (34:32) Bone Wraith was drawn. (On draw, the Augmerchant might have allowed Trump to establish a board in this position, but he might have still chosen hero power, valuing the utility of the Augmerchant over its presence on board.) (35:21) Bone Wraith was played. (This was the best option at this board state, he would have probably fallen behind if he didn't have a good minion to play at this point in the game.) (36:25) Infectious Sporeling was drawn and played this turn. (Frenzied Felwing would probably have had roughly the same result as Infectious Sporeling in this position. Trump would have ended up taking an addition 2 damage, and he would have probably used the Oasis Surger to trade into the Cobalt Spellkin, which would mean that he would have a 4/3 Felwing instead of a 4/2 Surger on board after the play had finished. Sporeling was therefore a neutral choice compared to the other options.) *Game 8* (37:31) Bone Wraith was part of the mulligan phase. (He might have considered keeping the Augmerchant at this point instead of tossing the Bone Wraith back into the deck. I'm not sure if his plays would have changed for the early turns. It should be noted that in the world where he kept the Augmerchant, the draws would be at the very least delayed, so its usefulness can really only be stated on drawn or when the Bone Wraith is eventually played. Therefore, it is wholly unfair to rate its apparent usefulness beyond 1-2 turns past the mulligan phase.) (42:09) Embiggen buffed Infectious Sporeling was drawn and played. (If Frenzied Felwing had been selected, he would have had to either leave up the Pyromancer, or be unable to play it as it would cost 6 mana on draw. As an interesting note, a 4 mana, 4/4 Kobold Geomancer would have been an excellent play on this turn, but he wouldn't have drafted it against the Felwing and the Sporeling.) (N/A) Bone Wraith wasn't drawn again or played this game. *Game 9* (51:02) Embiggen buffed Bone Wraith was drawn and played. (Best option for this game, other options would have been terrible for tempo, and he probably would have been beaten.) (N/A) Infectious Sporeling wasn't drawn or played this game. *Game 10* (53:34) Bone Wraith was kept during the Mulligan phase. (He probably would have kept the Augmerchant, but its possible based on the fact that he already had solid turns 1, 2, and 3 plays, that he might have considered mulliganing it away. I'm going to rate it based on the fact that he kept it, instead of the other option.) (53:55) Having Augmerchant instead of Bonewraith might have altered the play on this turn allowing for value trades and maintaining early game pressure. (56:18) Bone Wraith is played. (Probably would have been more useful as an Augmerchant even here as he could have either taken out the other Augmerchant or potentially used the ping to clear out the Dragonmaw with a combination trading with the Gyrocopter.) (N/A) Infectious Sporeling wasn't drawn or played this game. --- All in all, Bone Wraith performed moderately better than expected compared to the Rocket Augmerchant especially due to its positive synergy with Embiggen. However, Infectious Sporeling was pretty fringe overall and its utilities didn't outright outweigh the usefulness that a 4 mana, 3/2 that could cost 0 would have added to the deck. Due to the fact that Infectious Sporeling is both difficult to play and to play around it could be considered more powerful, but it feels more like a liability than a consistently useful tool.

[@nathanenoughalready3518]

Hey, I appreciate the extra analysis you’re providing. Please keep posting these! Thanks

[@Yahikkox]

Pretty cool analysis, thanks

[@TrumpSC]

Awesome analysis! After playing with Sporeling, I think most people will play it "under its potential" and I think when it is played well it is an above average card which I definitely pick all the time against Frenzied Felwing, a below average card

[@arch1q892]

Get a life nerd

[@tha-fresherson]

@@arch1q892 What are you doing here?

[@lucasnadamas9317]

So everyone just casually has highlander decks with alextrassa in arena?

[@MaxedEntropy]

Yeah i was pretty surprised by the amount of alex's aswell

[@g-rated-g]

Played against a full highlander deck with Zeph and Alex. I cried

[@MaddyBird666]

@@g-rated-g I went up against 3 like that and all I got in my draft was 3 class cards

[@joshyoung4367]

Natural selection, I think. Alex/Zeph are so good that as you reach 7+ in Arena your opponents only consist of the 1% of decks that drafted it, or that can reliably generate them. Everyone else was outcompeted at the lower ranks. So they feel more common than they really are. Or the spaghetti algorithm is busted idk

[@ericcheng5526]

I played against a guy with 2 zephyrs which was ironically his only duplicate

[@jinstrondabr]

That the forest aid play was incredible, i would had lost that game

[@nikenit]

The warrior was an idiot though, he decided not to trade and have 100% chance to win, but to go face and lose to savage roar. Number one rule against druid - always play like they have savage roar.

[@Lokisif34]

NIKENITIUS In arena?

[@dandan4092]

Kamicombat yep, even in arena!

[@nikenit]

Savage roar is a common class card, so its occurrence is incredibly high. So yes, even in arena.

[@statisticserinokripperino]

That's right, I have never been able to take a druid or shaman board seriously without thinking twice or even thrice that they have a savage roar/bloodlust in their hand, especially if they have things like that forest aid.

[@akbmfm]

Why would that warrior not kill a token for 10 armor though? Kargath had ONE JOB!

[@SomethingSmartish]

greed made him think he had 2 turn lethal

[@JimnyThePython]

Don't you just love it when you think you finally have a decent Arena deck and your opponent has Alexstrasza?

[@lucasnadamas9317]

It feels like all oponents past 5 wins do

[@akbmfm]

Everytime I feel like I'm ahead, they Slam it and I subsequently lose.

[@akbmfm]

It should be removed honestly.

[@devinsmartphone]

That middle mage... one of the craziest decks I've ever seen in arena

[@sorenlily2280]

I have never seen the "choose one" cards from Oasis Surger before (8:18). I've seen the card played hundreds of times, but not once did the person actually *choose* either of it's options.

[@BovineIntervention]

Noob

[@connormayberry3538]

He’s saying that in standard they always finish the quest and have the hero power that gives you both options my guy. He ain’t no noob

[@arifridwanabriyanto9286]

People literally just play oasis surher without quest in embiggen winged guardian meta.. It actually makes sense to say noob..

[@BovineIntervention]

@@connormayberry3538 if he hasn't seen oasis surger in anything other than quest druid which is the most dead deck ever then he's a noob period

[@vulcaireh2528]

guys. guys. guys. By using my logical reasoning in analysing this comment through it's phrasing and intertextual between the line narratives, I can safely conclude, it's a fucking joke. nocap

[@estooo]

Glad your doing arena again! I think it’s been put in the back ever since Battlegrounds has started. Thanks for the video!

[@TheeFreakiishlyz]

Arena has been in a horrible state for ages, tons of people stopped playing it.

[@connorbraithwaite]

23:38 not only did it trade poorly with the 2 drop, i bet a random legendary would have been worse than what trump drew lmaooo. You really love to see that.

[@JalesNaves]

32:30 Hahahahaahaha. Oh, my god.

[@Bottle5354]

That shivarra would have been an excellent counter to his crocolisk after a solid, non-greedy trade of tyrant into batterhead :D

[@Elephanthobo]

and all he needed was to pass his turn

[@maggotthemadman8142]

45:26 RIP that one missed attack lost you the game.

[@TripleTrick3]

Loving these arena runs, it's my favorite game mode and I really enjoy watching trump playing it. Thanks a lot :D

[@MrZombieanator]

32:31 Trump had a 7,8125% chance of that happening if I did my math right. Unlucky.

[@GeekProdigyGuy]

There's 64 outcomes for 6 flips. 1 is impossible because you can't land 6 hits on a 5hp minion. 1 more is impossible because you can't land 6 hits on the 4hp minion, and 6 more are impossible because you can't land 5 hits on the 4hp minion. So there's a total of 64 - 8 = 56 valid outcomes. Out of those there are 6 which result in 5 bad hits, 6/56 = ~10.7%

[@jamesmaguire9152]

@@GeekProdigyGuy good math here.

[@maomaeramnon3870]

That's actually not true, because different outcomes have different paths to get there. For example: outcome 3/3 has the paths: First 3 minion a, last 3 minion b. First 2 a, next 3 b, Last a First 2 a, next 2 b, next a, next b First 2 a, next 2 b, next b, next a First 2 a, next b, next a next 2 b ... You get the thing First a, next 3 b, Last 2 a ... First 3 b, last 3 a Whilst (if it were possible) the outcome of all 6 a or b only have one path to get there: a-a-a-a-a-a For the outcome to get 5 x b and 1 a there are only 6 paths: aaaaa b aaaa b a aaa b a aa b aaa a b aaaa b aaaaa You can also look at it this way: There are a total of 1x2x3x4x5x6=720 paths. Of these all the paths with 5 or 6 X a and 6xB don't work. We don't know if hearthstone rerolls if one of those options appear or if it does every roll after the other which would just lead to 4a 2b everytime effectively giving 8 more paths for the outcome 4a2b. You can actually just use Bernoulli though and get the chance of the outcome 5b1a which is (Amount of paths for outcome)x (chance of hitting b)^(amount of hits of b in outcomes)x(1-chance of hitting b)^number of totals rolls-amount of hits of b in Outcome) Which is 6x0.5^5x0.5^1= 9,375%

[@maomaeramnon3870]

The last 8/720 paths only lead to a very small difference in probabilities and since we don't know how the code works it's okay to leave them out here. If they do work with rerolling, all other 712 options get equally more probabilities and if they add to the outcome of 4a2b than it doesn't change the chance of outcome 5b1a

[@georgebarnard7831]

Also worth pointing out that the percentage chance isn't the only thing that makes it a good or bad play. Also need to think about expected benefit of the play weighted by the probability of each outcome. So the outcome he got was losing the game which obviously sucks, and had no shivarra to play in future. That's a big enough negative that even at 10% may not be worth it, whereas you don't know your opponents hand, so if the play does go your way you might just lose both minions next turn anyway. Not saying it was bad but I don't think it's 10% lose 90% win therefore do it.

[@zerti86]

stumbled over his old arena videos from 2014. god this game was so so so much better back then....

[@lucasnadamas9317]

23:16 *D R O O L I N G N O O B S*

[@ronaldduttweiler1578]

Loving watching Trump play these arena runs. They're really fun, and good long videos. I'd also love to see him do some more Runeterra now that it's officially launched

[@axe_decapitation]

MY GRANDFATHERS DECK HAS NO PATHETIC CARDS!

[@JaceMindsweeper]

Trump: *Sees any low win rate card Trump: “This card isn’t being played CORRECTLY”

[@milkworms7839]

I’ve been missing arena runs since kripp switched to battlegrounds. It’s nice to see them here

[@DarknessBlade808]

I love arena. I came back to it recently, and to Hearthstone overall, and felt like I knew nothing anymore. I played like 20 arena runs and all sucked.

[@AjeetSingh-xq4yb]

I'm trying to get better at playing arena. I've gone from 1-3 runs to getting 5-3. These arena videos are really helping me out.

[@edelgardian749]

Imagine bringing your *Embiggen* druid deck into the Arena. Practically *cheating* ! Can't wait for the 10/10's to ram into the 1/2's all in the name of value. 🥰

[@awsomeppookk2777]

playing arena is great, but watching trump playing arena while playing arena is even better!

[@ryantoscano9739]

Thank you for these arena runs! I miss arena. They need to balance it the same way they have with Battlegrounds.

[@scarletvrgames568]

That mage deck was pretty crazy. You still almost won too, that's the kind of stuff I love seeing. Never give up!

[@joeboss2188]

It's always nice to have Trump back playing area.

[@butkral]

45:29 that misplay cost him the game :/ punishment is real :v

[@lizzyamaranth4141]

The one with mirror entity?

[@butkral]

@@lizzyamaranth4141 should have attacked first with 4/2 treant with that all three minions could attack and next turn if oppenent still plays alexstrasza it would have been lethal and the secret could be vaporize not flameward . Whatever the secrets were he had to attack with 4/2 treant first

[@Taiottavios]

Trump: arena is fun! Everyone else: no?

[@Satherian]

16:16 Why did he attack face instead of the 5/6? WTF

[@jschroeman]

Game 8. What was that Snipe interaction with his frozen 2/2?

[@stefanmirkovic1840]

it hurt my soul to watch this 32:28

[@Kanig94]

Looove the long videos! Keep it up Trump :)

[@jean-charlesleveugle5338]

7:18 Wow, this isn't the usual line. It wasn't changed, nor is it an interaction with Elise, provided we can hear the normal line two games later. Anybody knows what happened?

[@GaryBoyles342]

I feel like a wild constructed version of this could be especially fun.

[@hal1385]

4:54 "My grandpa's deck has no weak cards, Kaiba!"

[@TravisRiver]

I've never wanted Trump to win a game more than 37:31

[@Kbabknight]

Does anyone know the name of the music at the end?

[@xVibra]

You should always play Siamat on 7 in that position. He really needed to push for tempo that game considering he was running low on cards, and his deck is substantially worse when from behind. In retrospect, he would've likely used humility on Siamat, but you shouldn't play around cards specifically like that. You don't play your bad minions first to avoid having them removed, when you're losing tempo if you don't, and you're on a time limit to kill him due to his hefty card advantage. Just because a minion has a lot of power in one situation does not make its uses outside of that situation never worth considering.

[@Aganie.]

22:50 Bro i swear that’s the only cardback i see now godamn “Hakkar”

[@phocosta]

How the deck Tracker works with the arena pick phase?

[@khalidcarrillo1132]

What is the name of the add on he uses?

[@xVibra]

I believe it's Arcane Tracker. If you just search Hearthstone deck tracker, and find the site or app on mobile/tablet with the black Hearthstone icon, that's it.

[@Javier.c147]

Which is the BEST clases for arena?

[@scheeet123]

They should ban highlander cards in arena

[@bevvvy1374]

29:56 Trump roasted him so hard lmao

[@EdWardNewgate6791]

45:28 miss 4 damage and pay a game xD

[@Agginlaer]

He realises that huge misplay then he says he lost because he didnt play moarg...

[@O-Negative]

I wish they had that arena tracker for the Mac.

[@Jimmydeans]

I always seem to get 7 wins too, drives me nuts. I always seem to lose game 1 in an absolutely absurd deck too.

[@zenobi44]

AAARRRRREEEENNAAAAA! (you winning a hearthstone match noises)

[@darrensanderson1031]

What's the addon/overlay that he's using for the card advice during draft? Or is that stock now? (I haven't played Arena in a while)

[@danielwitt1793]

It's a 3rd party program. It might be built into hsdecktracker

[@brettpierce5225]

Does anyone know what the average Deck score is for Arena on HearthArena? I just drafted a Warrior deck with a score of 82 and it is probably the best deck I've ever drafted (granted I don't play arena that often)

[@provarence7361]

i got 12 with a 84.6 shaman

[@Creekvalley54]

I don't think I ever got a deck over 75

[@hammerofdawn1158]

It’s super fun to see an arena run with the best cards I’ve ever seen. Could it be they you haven’t been flagged ftp? I know this will be deleted but it is painfully obvious that this game is not intended to be on even ground. Arena used to be the one place you could actually test you’re skill, but that hurts profit margins

[@RealLofef]

what areana helper does trump use?

[@nothankyou4859]

heartharena

[@Trashanna]

I love watching arena! Please do more

[@tyhy1]

King mukla... Guy smasher 😂🍌

[@kevinnathaniel9231]

Wait how can he sees rating of each cards?

[@blasvillanueva7195]

That first loss against the mage was disgusting

[@Ace4Jayce]

Really enjoying these :)

[@hunterclark7733]

The hunter in game 9 hit the divine shield, talking 5 damage, traded the locust then dealt 3 and deadly shot. Why didn't he hit face, trade the locust into the 7/4 and use the 3 damage on it, and then dealt shot the divine shield minion?? Weird

[@matyasfridrich3528]

You should put anti-spoiler at the end of the run like you used to do, it was nice :--)

[@bobo34]

Welcome back arena trump!

[@catdogfishdogcats]

Please put unedited full runs on the second channel

[@lucasnadamas9317]

You would not like unedited Trump gameplay, trust me

[@steinsgate2971]

We need more!

[@melaquidez]

5:18 to skip draft

[@Fiendling]

Why would you ever skip the best part?

[@gohomehero]

Nozdormu is Trumps only weakness

[@Klaital1]

Man what a throw, instead of taking the easy trade of tyrant into batterhead, he gambled with Shivarra and lost the game.

[@Alexbfd94]

Aah more arena ❤️

[@surajanand6401]

What app is he using to get that information?

[@jonahehlers1673]

HearthArena

[@cobrax236]

SO many missplays.. Well its Trump^^ PS: but i love him for his personality! :*

[@ottojagenstedt9740]

Trump needs to play Old War, the civ + CK lovebaby since he's such a big fan of civ games

[@andrejoss475]

holy hell what's with all the alexstraszas

[@jakethebottleofbleach1581]

Trump should do a custom card review again, we are dry on those

[@duckdude7664]

If you see someone asking to be friends in the comments DO NOT INTERACT WITH THE COMMENT IN ANY WAY SHAPE OR FORM. You WILL be hacked by "Logan". He WILL steal your account info and lock you out. Im just saying this because I saw him in the comments. Please don't reply, like or anything to Logans comment!

[@SomersBugtopia]

I've responded and I've had nothing happen. How do you know this?

[@duckdude7664]

@@SomersBugtopia Look in to it. It's really weird shit. There are quite a few videos on it.

[@BIGhappyG33]

Same number of class cards as the last deck tho...

[@ostermanumbrellaco.7445]

I’ll be waiting for the day you get a leegndary card option

[@bookedchimera]

How do you get those ratings at the bottom of the cards to come up

[@patriknovak6264]

HearthArena

[@bookedchimera]

@@patriknovak6264 thank you

[@KurticusZen]

The glorious return of Trump cards

[@joelgarcia6480]

I miss these trump areas run

[@kaianderson9920]

There is another card that crashes the game,”Scarlet Purifier.” Don’t play this card, same thing with Ethereal Conjurer.

[@jsong768]

Trump casually losing games by roping and trump trading

[@Dexter_1309]

T H E I N F E C T E D M A N

[@crazyginga98]

I'm a little hurt he isn't guessing his wins at the start of the run like he used to

[@Pedun42]

I want my cookies!

[@bevvvy1374]

He guessed the last one I'm pretty sure

[@timonderstijn4589]

What happened to the anti spoiler system?

[@arifridwanabriyanto9286]

Its become anti anti spoiler to not spoil people with anti spoiler.

[@kitteninabag7402]

If like to see a tavern brawl video

[@mueezadam8438]

17:40-17:43 👀

[@Befernfard0fo]

Yay, arena!

[@finlaylowing1641]

The value at 14:14 - 14:24 turns me on

[@arch1q892]

Arena more fun right now then srandart

[@RaymondHinton]

Insta-watch, insta-like!

[@finn7530]

HI TRUMP ILY

[@mynewaccount2361]

what a day

[@moogleking]

T H E A R E N A M A N

[@awkwardwarrioropah2943]

Yay another araeaena run

[@kaasloo1303]

Everyone loves arena

[@leonidas1200]

more ARENAS !!!

[@snakeking5009]

That hunters deck was absolutely insane. Shame he sucked.

[@rabidkoalamk1624]

Yay another arena.

[@joshuachesney7552]

Arena gang rise up

[@NumdegasedUHC]

Arena yay!