Big Problems May Lie Ahead For The Stock Market...

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Mott Capital's Market Chronicles

Mott Capital's Market Chronicles

Күн бұрын

Пікірлер: 67
@cheersmodreams691
@cheersmodreams691 2 ай бұрын
Excellent job Mike. A review of these liquidity trends would be most helpful at the end of each week. 😊
@milwaukeeguy7124
@milwaukeeguy7124 2 ай бұрын
One of the best videos on KZbin with great analysis! Thank you very much!
@Themarketchronicles
@Themarketchronicles 2 ай бұрын
Wow, thanks!
@abyeewzer1117
@abyeewzer1117 2 ай бұрын
His analysis are great and relatively well-developed but he's perma bear since the bottom 2 year ago
@JDdollars
@JDdollars 2 ай бұрын
thank u awesome as always
@louisahernandez
@louisahernandez 2 ай бұрын
I’ve been watching it. Seems like every day there’s a new headline about inflation, rising interest rates, or some geopolitical tension that’s pushing the market down
@Larry1-pl2wq
@Larry1-pl2wq 2 ай бұрын
It’s definitely getting more volatile. And with the Fed's policies still uncertain, it’s hard to know where things are headed.
@TimoSurfs
@TimoSurfs 2 ай бұрын
Great analysis!
@Themarketchronicles
@Themarketchronicles 2 ай бұрын
thanks
@DarkElfio
@DarkElfio 2 ай бұрын
i want to live to a day when i wake up and Mike is bullish. fantastic material as always, love your work
@gunfunandstuff9226
@gunfunandstuff9226 2 ай бұрын
Even though bank stocks have risen lately, I can't see them not CRASHING soon..... delinquencies in all types of loans are sky-rocking.... everyone is tapped out and pretty much trying to survive by maxing out their credit lines.... how much more/longer can banks continue to go deeper in the hole?
@mmmom6469
@mmmom6469 2 ай бұрын
This is a long lasting bull market
@albertmcnugget
@albertmcnugget 2 ай бұрын
Glad I found you. Subscribed and looking forward to more. Might be helpful if you are a little more specific about timeframes that you're seeing... I know it's scary to stick your neck out on these things, but helpful to form hypotheses
@Oliver-eg7vi
@Oliver-eg7vi 2 ай бұрын
I don't know if you said this and i just didn't catch it... but an interesting trend i've noticed during the past two years is that despite total margin coming down from 2021 highs, the margin debt to cash balance/margin credit ratios are actually far higher and skyrocketed alongside the bull market/AI boom. I assume this means the markets are actually more leveraged than ever.
@Themarketchronicles
@Themarketchronicles 2 ай бұрын
When you look at the values, of free cash in free margin, both are very low. I'm not sure what any of its means at time
@sunshineandhappiness6014
@sunshineandhappiness6014 2 ай бұрын
Actual real knowledge not just market looks bullish!
@mjbucar
@mjbucar 2 ай бұрын
Thank you Mike.
@cvrart
@cvrart 2 ай бұрын
Another great look under the hood! Thanks.
@Themarketchronicles
@Themarketchronicles 2 ай бұрын
Glad you like it!
@kelvinlee7550
@kelvinlee7550 2 ай бұрын
Great analysis! What resources can I study to learn more of these intermarkets?
@jflats357
@jflats357 2 ай бұрын
Markets only go up! Rate hikes, up! Rate cuts, up! Republican president, up! Democratic president, up! Dont fight this! Dollar debased = risk assets up!
@sunrizen
@sunrizen 2 ай бұрын
Elections come and go. Earnings reports come and go. Inflation comes and goes. Yet, here we are at all time highs. I see a trend.
@abr2926
@abr2926 2 ай бұрын
Expect every trick in the book to keep the market levitating into the election...then the big flush.
@johnnyotc8470
@johnnyotc8470 2 ай бұрын
i dont think they can keep it up that long....they have tried to take out Trump 2x already. They need something to blame it on. So next is start a war ...new strand of covid ...somethin "unforeseeable" ...some type of "attack" She has no chance of winning...so they need to cash-out now before the election
@user-ox8ix6lf4r
@user-ox8ix6lf4r 2 ай бұрын
Nah it will flush before that maybe next week 😮
@kellyallison9139
@kellyallison9139 2 ай бұрын
Excuse me interest rates haven't been this high since???? The FED is not elected but THEY CAUSE INFLATION WITH 8 TRILLION BALANCE SHEET
@nadavavnon8562
@nadavavnon8562 2 ай бұрын
you mean it will sink before elections Then pump
@TY-qn6ed
@TY-qn6ed 2 ай бұрын
Where is the liquidity going into out of market?
@TheCJUN
@TheCJUN 2 ай бұрын
Gold.
@Themarketchronicles
@Themarketchronicles 2 ай бұрын
perhaps back to bonds? perhaps simple being repaid
@sunrizen
@sunrizen 2 ай бұрын
How can liquidity not go up when interest rates are dropping? Lower mortgage rates means refinanced houses & more $ in people's pockets. Lower margin rates means more $ going into stocks. Even the gov spends less on interest.
@alsharifacom
@alsharifacom 2 ай бұрын
Related to the liquidity drain, the blackout period on the buyback programs can explain some of the weakness. Is there a way in BB terminal to chart the buyback flow?
@dogegamer3288
@dogegamer3288 2 ай бұрын
Would total bond indexes and cash be a good place to park? For how long?
@dogegamer3288
@dogegamer3288 2 ай бұрын
?
@TradeItUntilYouMakeit
@TradeItUntilYouMakeit 2 ай бұрын
Is there any way you can access current private equity/credit LBO issuance via terminals and make a video on the current state of the credit market? I suspect that this will be a likely source of a recession induced black swan event and with little to no visibility into it, nobody but the insiders will see it coming.
@Themarketchronicles
@Themarketchronicles 2 ай бұрын
I can look.
@TradeItUntilYouMakeit
@TradeItUntilYouMakeit 2 ай бұрын
@@Themarketchronicles thanks boss!
@viewlesswind
@viewlesswind 2 ай бұрын
There are multiple markets in addition to stock market.
@tonyb7275
@tonyb7275 2 ай бұрын
You see the giant gap ups on CEG and VST insane if your short it instantly vaporized any puts
@reddy4450
@reddy4450 2 ай бұрын
Always useful info.
@Themarketchronicles
@Themarketchronicles 2 ай бұрын
Glad to hear it!
@thetruthisoutthereyt
@thetruthisoutthereyt 2 ай бұрын
Headline suggests fuel for a squeeze but ultimately there will be a big October break down.
@spindal_1
@spindal_1 2 ай бұрын
Great job!
@jensroeckendorf382
@jensroeckendorf382 2 ай бұрын
Thank you very much for this analysis and the update!
@TableTennisLover1234
@TableTennisLover1234 2 ай бұрын
I’ve been bullish giving your viewers on this channel accurate calls without charging them, while you have been bearish all along. Now I believe we will visit 5800 zone before we have a decent pullback. And no, I don’t have a Bloomberg terminal armed to the hilt with information.
@sunrizen
@sunrizen 2 ай бұрын
Mike spends too much time looking at trees and misses seeing the forest.
@JoeSuarez-gp1hx
@JoeSuarez-gp1hx 2 ай бұрын
THX!!
@survivingthetimes
@survivingthetimes 2 ай бұрын
Yep. They been shorting the shih out of everything. Causing sudden price drops and then shorting the stock to capitalize on the rats jumping ship.
@wavymcfly
@wavymcfly 2 ай бұрын
🔥🔥🔥🚨🚨🚨
@briankuczynski4375
@briankuczynski4375 2 ай бұрын
Going to go lower when considering we just are entering the company stock buyback blackout window. Liquidity will really drop off.
@dariuszk6116
@dariuszk6116 2 ай бұрын
Great technical analysis like always. We do appreciate it very much.
@MariaPNW
@MariaPNW 2 ай бұрын
Thanks, Mike! I can't wait for trading in coming couple of weeks. Your vids always help me prepare & adjust my charts and targets! 🙏
@Themarketchronicles
@Themarketchronicles 2 ай бұрын
Great to hear!
@matrixist
@matrixist 2 ай бұрын
There is no stock market since the invention of the etf. Of the thousands of etfs amd mutual stock funds, almost all of them have the same 10 socks. Thatbis not a market.
@dougl867
@dougl867 2 ай бұрын
Great content that I can’t find anywhere else, I really appreciate you sharing this and plan to become a subscriber to pay service soon
@Themarketchronicles
@Themarketchronicles 2 ай бұрын
Glad it was helpful!
@blank-964
@blank-964 2 ай бұрын
Thanks
@Themarketchronicles
@Themarketchronicles 2 ай бұрын
No problem
@sethmiller5414
@sethmiller5414 2 ай бұрын
good video. logical thought process
@Themarketchronicles
@Themarketchronicles 2 ай бұрын
Glad you think so!
@s0.0s
@s0.0s 2 ай бұрын
Ugh, you're the one really splitting hairs it seems, because liquidity as you describe it by the widening of the top of book CLEARLY peaked in December of last year and has been shrinking for the past year.
@Themarketchronicles
@Themarketchronicles 2 ай бұрын
uhh,, that is not what i said
@mmmom6469
@mmmom6469 2 ай бұрын
Forever bull
@ttk4507
@ttk4507 2 ай бұрын
Your channel is mostly negative despite the market having done well in the past few months. Wonder why. U like to be unique?
@arthurhuang8978
@arthurhuang8978 2 ай бұрын
Another 2007 in the making
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