Dear Professor Bonevac, Thank you for all the videos you share. I really enjoy and learn from them. I wish you a merry Christmas and a Happy New Year 🌲 🌟
@PhiloofAlexandria Жыл бұрын
Same to you!
@jeromengassa8764 Жыл бұрын
What Prof Bonevac is saying is: The ENSEMBLE/GROUP behaves in a way NOT PREDICTED BY the COMPONENTS/INDIVIDUALS, why because there is a FUNDAMENTAL ASYMMETRY BUILD INTO IT.This is well understood by Anthropology, and very mathematical probabilist. In short the group and the individual are completely different social animals due to SCALING and NONLINEARLTY( coming from THE TAIL EVENT/FAT TAIL).Something not well understood by many experts and forecasters.
@ddyatlov Жыл бұрын
Haven't seen any good Voting options since Barack Obama. And back then I was pretty young and stupid too.
@Mkmk-os8og Жыл бұрын
I’m in school right now and this video helped me understand the concept well! Thank you!
@kieferonline Жыл бұрын
Gives one something extra to think about when playing Paper, Rock, Scissors!
@OnTheThirdDay Жыл бұрын
From a probabilistic perspective, if we didn't know which of A,B,C are better than which others, then I would want my player to play last. It is possible that an option that could beat me was beaten earlier and so I would want to face off against the fewest players. For instance, when a game has brackets in a tournament then you have to face the same number of opponents and everyone knows that it is possible to choose your opponents so that you have a higher chance of winning even if everyone has the same number of opponents. One strategy is to have your worst fear face off against players that might be able to beat them and you can face ones that you have a better chance of beating.