Survey: 77% of climate experts expect temperature rise by more than 2.5° by 2100 | DW News

Global temperatures are rising higher and higher above the long-term average. April was the eleventh consecutive month to become the hottest ever recorded - that's according to the EU's climate monitoring service. To experts, it's just another sign of the progressing climate breakdown. This, of course, has many people asking - how much hotter will it get? Well - a new survey by the British newspaper The Guardian has revealed a lot of pessimism among climate researchers.
380 of them, all from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, were asked how far they anticipate global average temperatures to rise above pre-industrial levels by the year 2100. Three-quarters of them expect a rise of 2 point 5 degrees or more. That's a full degree above the internationally set target of 1.5 degrees celsius! In fact, only six percent of those polled believe that goal can still be met.
And for more on this, we talk to one of the scientists who participated in the survey. Lisa Schipper is a Professor for Development Geography at the University of Bonn.
#ClimateChange #Experts #Temperatures
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[@themadmanisreal2022]

We are destroying ourselves

[@JohanThiart]

😢😮😅😊😂 my home education teacher (scientists) says it will be 9 degrees! Who on earth developed this survey? Asking scientists deployed by the IPCC to write reports on cultural effects, physics, education, economics, geopolitics, engineers ……. to predict temperature change fluctuations… 🤩 Who would have thought. 💭

[@dongarippo7279]

@@JohanThiart Are you saying your home education teacher is more trustworthy? Or did I misunderstand? If it's up to 9 degrees (celsius) then it feels likely that the nature catastrophies that will occur due to it will end the world sooner than from nuclear warheads

[@labourlawact7826]

​@@JohanThiart🙋🏼‍♂️ Are you a South African, Johan?

[@JohanThiart]

@@labourlawact7826 once.

[@labourlawact7826]

@@JohanThiart Lucky you. I'm stuck in this destroyed place😭

[@Turretdown_Hero]

2,5° sounds low considering the way things are going

[@dongarippo7279]

I think they are saying that it's around 1.3 to 1.8 degrees celsius more now, and by the year of 2100, an additional minimum of 2.5 Celsius degrees more. I guess around 2.5C to 3.5C degrees could be possible? Well I'm gonna be dead by then and as I have no kids and no plans for it. I will leave this crappy planet without caring too much. If I was a politician however I would try to act on it as it would've been my job to help aid the country and it's future. Or I'd just become corrupt like the rest? Or I think that's even a requirement to become a successful politician to begin with. World is doomed :)

[@DESSERT_X]

According to Australian Scientists, on 1/4/2024 we were already at 2.1°C. (Perth is still hot for autumn ... it was 48°C this summer)

[@toadvine9264]

If Hansen is correct, which he appears to be, and sensitivity is 5C, we will be between 3 and 4 in 2050, if carbon dioxide continues rising at the current rate.

[@Djamonja]

Yea, I feel like 2.5 degrees is pretty optimistic now. I'd say we're on pace to be closer to 3.

[@DESSERT_X]

Gauss's Function has exponential parameters in it as well. We are on it.

[@patrick247two]

I'm pessimistic because there is so much measuring, and so little action.

[@rhene1548]

Sad that human planning is for the next profit quarter rather than for future generations

[@Brainsucker92]

I love how her estimation is being framed as 'pessimistic'. I'd rather describe it as being 'realistic'. People just don't seem to know the difference between these two.

[@emistar288]

True, even in the small details, the media screws

[@CT-vm4gf]

She referred to it herself as pessimistic.

[@michaeldeierhoi4096]

When predicting what global temperature will be in 75 years it is impossible to say for sure because we can't predict what efforts will be made between now and then to slow warming. That being said it is a purely subjective statement to say whether 2.5 C is pessimistic or realistic. If the status quo continues as it is then we will most likely blow right past 2.5 C and past 3 C.

[@kated3165]

Gotta love hearing certain politicians talking about our need to ''protect the children'', and then pretending like Climate Change isn't a thing...

[@gregvanpaassen]

Other politicians talk about climate change incessantly, but never actually do anything meaningful about it. Banning plastic bags? Please. How about banning international travel?

[@JohanThiart]

Socio cultural expert predicts temperature change… wow. The younger ‘scientists’ …… I am so convinced.

[@kated3165]

@@JohanThiart I would not call James Hansen (former NASA director) a younger scientist... at 83 years old!

[@JohanThiart]

@@kated3165 now where did I call him young or a good scientist. I do know for sure that he is not a cultural expert on the IPCC. I will be surprised if he is still on the IPCC panel. Some of his protégés are, but Jimmy? My point is that suggesting that 77% scientists collaborating on IPCC assessments predicting a global temperature change of 2.5 degrees C by the end of the century cannot be taken seriously if the scientists include cultural experts and others …….

[@ddr8993]

Also blame the Climate Change deniers among the public

[@cheweperro]

So far we're warming way faster than expected. Let's see what happens when we keep crossing the tipping points

[@heww3960]

Especially the ocean temperatures really stands out.

[@geistacwm]

I agree. We’ll easily surpass 2.5

[@A3Kr0n]

We really did have it all, didn't we?

[@laughy38247357075834]

Nope. Just 0.1% of us.

[@DirtFlyer]

Great movie. Unfortunately, it didn't have the impact I hoped for.

[@user-kg4fr9jr7v]

Yes and we'll have it done within a hundred years only. What would have happen in a thousand?

[@austinrichards1987]

Said the colonizers at the expense of the entire world.

[@heww3960]

No we didnt, we didnt have freedom since we had fascism/feminism.

[@infidelheretic923]

We're driving towards the edge of a cliff and just can't step off the gas.

[@DirtFlyer]

The problem is that we aren't the driver. We are just along for the ride.

[@nickfindsgold9788]

The other problem is that we left the cliff behind us in around 1987, now we are falling and arguing over the value of a parachute , whether we need a parachute, who should pay for the parachute and the driver still has their foot planted firmly to the floor But everything is going to be just fine

[@spikemansss]

The problem is that there is no one at the steering wheel and we are almost crossing the flipping points

[@CT-vm4gf]

Before we reach the cliff, enjoy the ride. It’s all we can do.

[@ReesCatOphuls]

365 day average > 1.6C 17 month average average > 1.5C WMO, Hansen, Schmidt say we are/should-expect acceleration Anyone who thinks 1.5C is possible has a weird interpretation / expectations. Why didn't report mention the current GMST temperatures.

[@Corpomancer]

My old Memo to Management About CO2 Greenhouse Effect, says it's off the chart, but if I'd have to guess between 3.6 to 8.0 is most probable at 2100. Blame exxonential curves for that one.

[@Kessoku]

stop saying warmer, it's hotter

[@moonshot3159]

literally the same thing dumdum

[@AlfariuS-rl1et]

​@@moonshot3159dont be hard with him is the end of the world

[@SteffiReitsch]

Folks, it's NOT going to stop at 2100. It just keeps going up. Heaven help the people of the future.

[@SigFigNewton]

No need to keep burning fossil fuels. Other techs already arriving. Solar is already super cheap once we can store it for nighttime, and the EV industry is making rapid advancements in energy storage

[@SigFigNewton]

Maybe by 2050 we stop increasing greenhouse concentrations

[@SteffiReitsch]

@@SigFigNewton What humans have already emitted is not going away, there's no economical way to get rid of it, so the climate has been altered for centuries to come and more is going in all the time. 8+ billion humans cannot be supported without lots of fossil fuel burning. We're doomed.

[@SteffiReitsch]

@@SigFigNewton All that green tech stuff requires fossil fuel inputs, also steel and concrete cannot be made without lots of fossil fuel burning. No, tech won't save us, eventually the brief Fossil Fuel Age is going to collapse like a house of cards. We're doomed. There's a video called "Planet of the Humans," I think it's on You Tube ; it illustrates the problem.

[@nnonotnow]

Governments and for that matter, the general population will not perceive this to be a major issue until it becomes a major issue. In other words, until the impact of this begins to affect their daily lives, they'll be able to ignore it and put it on the back burner. Much to our peril.

[@VictorReynolds]

Well folks, it’s been real!

[@charlesvt2010]

Oh above 30c mist crops don't grow , 2.2c an above we have little food , lots of oil but no food

[@gamingtonight1526]

Above 2.2C ALL foliage, trees, bushes, grass, etc on the planet, start HOLDING Oxygen and start sending out CO2 into the atmosphere!

[@neuralnetwork17]

@@gamingtonight1526 That is obviously wrong. Look up how photosynthesis works.

[@Dave47FL]

@@gamingtonight1526 Rising temps decrease photosynthesis effectiveness and increase plant respiration, and the effect is to lower yields. The main impact will be less and lower quality food.

[@DelusionalDoug]

Studies have shown that higher concentrations of atmospheric carbon dioxide affect crops in two important ways: they boost crop yields by increasing the rate of photosynthesis, which spurs growth, and they reduce the amount of water crops lose through transpiration. NASA Study: Rising Carbon Dioxide Levels Will Help and Hurt Crops May 3, 2016

[@Andreas-hh9yg]

The most asthonising result is that some experts still think we can achieve the 1.5°C goal. Completely unrealistic.

[@DarkSoulSama]

To people in the comments stating that 2.5º doesn't sound too bad, remember it's 2.5º above the current "global average", and 70-ish% of the world is ocean, which lowers the "average" quite a lot. Meaning the actual practical increase in temperate is 2.5º times a factor that depends on where you live. (Plus, if you live in a tropical area with high humidity, the temperature doesn't have to raise that much before you can't sweat it out and start suffering from heat-stroke). (PS: If it's 20ºC in your kitchen and start oven-roasting a chicken at 175ºC, the average temperature of the whole room may rise by only 1º, but the chicken still gets roasted, for example X_X)

[@EmeraldView]

Imagine how much extra heat it takes to raise the entire planet's temperature 2 and 1/2° C.

[@bradsillasen1972]

Great point about the ocean acting as an overall moderating influence on the calculated global average.

[@michaeldeierhoi4096]

@Darksoul. That's a false statement about the context of an increase of 2.5 C. The 2.5 C increase is above what the average was at the turn of the 20th century 124 years ago. We are up over 1.5 C for the last 11 months. From that 1.5 C baseline it is just 1.0 C to 2.5 C by 2100 which seems absurdly optimistic. So at this point reaching 3.0 C at least seems like the bare minimum. Nothing about the future is set in stone especially that far from the present.

[@DarkSoulSama]

@@michaeldeierhoi4096 I agree with you, my point was just that while a regular person might think that 1,2 or even 3 degrees "globally" don't sound like much, the effects they'd feel would be much more intense on a "local" level.

[@michaeldeierhoi4096]

@@DarkSoulSama That is true. Thanks for making the point.

[@yetao5801]

James Hansen, the expert of experts, would say >4.5C.

[@john1boggity56]

His (et al.) paper Global Warming in the Pipeline sets out his case. I think it's essential reading!!!!

[@spaghettiisyummy.3623]

That's...... A lot.

[@mep.stance1210]

​​​​​@@spaghettiisyummy.3623Yes. Way before that (soon) we will be experiencing collapse of the AMOC, ocean acidification, tropical and boreal forests dieback, collapse of the coral reefs, collapse of the west antarctic ice sheet and numerous other tipping points. By 4.5 °C homo sapiens has gone extinct, that "climate" will bear no resemblance to holocene that our species has evolved to thrive in.

[@geofflepper3207]

That's roughly the same amount of temperature increase that occurred at the end of the last ice age over thousands of years.

[@gehwissen3975]

​Our ancestors didn't have atomic bombs, there were just 500 million of them on the whole planet and the increase in temperature was 100 times slower. But otherwise everything was the same..... LOL

[@dougtheslug6435]

Eastern Ontario Canada zone 4b here and we had pretty much had a frost free April and early May we're seeing double digit temp at night already, plus mid 20's during the day. I put some plants out in the veg garden a month early this year for the first time. We would normally have frost right into the first week of June and I'm now considering growing some flowering plants and shrubs that I never imagined I could before as they would survive the mild winters we've had for 2 years now no problem. Crazy times calls for evolution of planting practices and new ways to store water for end of July to mid August droughts.

[@sertandoom4693]

Try- sooner than that.

[@fv6125]

Rich people keep on building and poor people keep on selling their lands where trees are cut down.

[@ibnbattuta1304]

That's a change of 4.5 F for Muricans.

[@EmeraldView]

For context.... Just imagine HOW much energy it takes to increase the entire planet's average temperature by 4.5 degrees Fahrenheit. The energy imbalance (energy coming in to the planet vs. energy leaving the planet - as heat) is enormous.

[@juliane__]

And Chinese and coming Indians.... Europeans did their thing in the past too.

[@geofflepper3207]

I've actually been amazed to hear American news reports using Celsius when talking about climate change. Maybe Americans are finally starting to realize that metric is not a communist plot designed to destroy the United States.

[@josiemystery]

We don't have to go to Mars at this rate we'll be similar planets soon

[@margin606]

Mars is cold

[@freelancer8636]

We are already at 1.5, it could easily goto 2.0 till 2050

[@scrabbleking1965]

April 2024 was 1.7'C. More like 2.0 by 2030, 2035 at the latest.

[@spikemansss]

It was about 0.2 degrees every decade and rising. I believe around 2040

[@brinaldi81]

50 years and it's rich for themselves

[@margin606]

Run that by me again

[@tomaszzap9574]

I think it is a bit strange that younger people cars moe about climate change. Older generation should be more conscious. They remember the World, when it was colder...

[@labourlawact7826]

Older people don't care as much, because they know they'll be dead by the time the chaos happens 🤷‍♂️ Thank goodness I don't have children🙏🏻🙏🏻

[@laurensa.1803]

Most people are top dumb. 😅

[@franimal86]

Older people had decades worth of misinformation thrown at them by the fossil fuel lobbyists (since the 1950’s!) They can’t see the forest for the trees.

[@RodBarkerdigitalmediablog]

The discussion around emotions rather than the data frames the issue of climate change to be about a bunch of people with biases for certain outcomes dependant on feelings. Surely the issue is about human activities that are leading to increased warming, and feedback loops that will have devastating impacts for millenia. Leave the discussion about emotions and policy decision making heuristics to the social psychologists. Yes - it's obvious that those at the decision making tables are making irrational choices: e.g. focused on business as usual rather than radical change. The paradigm shift required needs to happen sooner rather than later, yet, onwards we go towards planetary boundaries tipping points. Even with the best science, those in power seem gripped by their emotions, their desires, their egocentric optimism for eternal economic growth.

[@jondasek]

Of course the scientists have various predictions, based on the actions taken, and the results vary widely. Then of course it comes to the prediction of unpredictable, and based on the actions taken so far, no one can be optimistic about this...

[@nnonotnow]

Scientists provide the data but they don't make the decisions. That's left to the emotion of the politicians who only want to get reelected. Short-term thinking and kicking the climate change can down the road.

[@johntresemer5631]

None of these nice climate scientists seem to consider that we are already in a “runaway greenhouse” scenario with no known or imaginable limits of heating. Of course this is doomsday stuff, but seems very possible, considering that probably it will take too much too late to turn this nightmare around. Not saying we can’t suddenly get a surprise cooling from massive volcanic eruptions or when the AMOC quits, kind of like in the movie “The Day After Tomorrow”. If I was a young person, I would be angry and ornery. Being over 70, I am just deeply disappointed with our obscene Anthropocene.

[@heww3960]

Do not a stop in the amoc makes it colder in north but warmer in south, since the warm water then stay in the south.

[@emistar288]

I am a young person and I feel so powerless.. This isn't the future I wanted.. I do what I can, but I the end it is others actions that doom me

[@RobertMJohnson]

as if y ou have any idea what will happen in the future

[@johntresemer5631]

@@RobertMJohnson Nobody does.

[@john-ug7nc]

17 November 2023 was the first day in which the global temperature exceeded 2°C above pre-industrial levels. But it's going to take another 76 years before the temperature goes up another .5C. Yeah right.

[@frankstollar8492]

On AVERAGE not peak! Peak will be much higher

[@Dave47FL]

@@frankstollar8492 Also, the average must be for a 10 year period, not a single year or a few consecutive years. TEN consecutive years.

[@user-hc8ki1rl4t]

A new set of climate scenarios has been developed with respect to the sixth IPCC report (IPCC AR6). There would be a progressive temperature rise reaching 4.589°C above preindustrial in 2100 compared to the same period, i.e. 1979-2000 and in a CMIP6 SSP585 scenario.

[@john1boggity56]

I haven't read that but I'll find the paper and have a read. James Hansen et al. might feel vindicated.

[@topfuel29channel]

That number sounds more realistic considering 2023 was 1.54°C

[@BoothTheGrey]

Over 4 degree is what is to be expected for the end of the century. Cause no one wants to change our absurd economical system with the main goal of ongoing GDP growth. This kind of global growth needs a growth in energy consumption. And therefor the energy has to be cheap. This is only possible with fossile fuels. Our demand of fossile fuel still is RISING. There is no reason to believe that we will reduce it almost to zero in the next 20 years. Just to reduce the demand to 50% seems currently almost impossible. So we will go on with our great atmospherical experiment. And btw - wil also kill a lot important species like insects with our agricultural industry. Everybody who thinks we will globally change this within the next 10-20 years is a total dreamer.

[@Dave47FL]

The petroleum will run out long before 2100. That's both good news and bad, since many products (plastics, medicine, even food) require petroleum to produce.

[@franimal86]

Unfortunately, all you said is true.

[@TheLordDino]

Sorry, but 5.0ºc or above is most likely scenario, at the current pace less ice or snow less reflection equal to more heat, oceans streams collapsing equal more unstable whether pattern across all globe

[@joso7228]

because you know better than all the scientific experts

[@NashHinton]

Shout out to the people who know we're already at 3 degrees due to the McPherson paradox.

[@deepashtray5605]

99% of the world's coral will disappear at 2C.

[@deepashtray5605]

@@DG-ie5ip Do you have a point?

[@samrajunaidha]

Disappear? What does this mean?

[@deepashtray5605]

@@samrajunaidha Exactly what it says, 99% of the world's coral will die off with most species going extinct. I had to look into it myself when I first heard it and suggest you do a google search on the issue. Very disturbing prospect if even a fraction of that unfolds.

[@qweqwe9678]

and with coral gone, a lot of fish too.

[@geofflepper3207]

​@@DG-ie5ip Maybe best if you leave the conversation to the adults and children who appreciate the gravity of the climate crisis and can discuss it seriously without making flippant comments.

[@DestroyerVishnu]

Just wait for 5 years, it's end of kaliyuga. You can see people dying from lack of water, food, and being sick

[@DeathsGarden-oz9gg]

Hyways and freeways with there dirt or rock off ramps fill em with native plants and trees do everything from seed to reduce costs and let the plants adapt better then pre grown ones.

[@happymelon7129]

😆Taiwan’s current government is a genius. Cutting down so many trees and clearing forests to install solar panels. They are so proud of their “achievement” in helping the environment.

[@qweqwe9678]

peer pressure is a thing, even on nation level

[@Shini1984]

My source of hope? That I won't live long enough to enjoy 2100 😂😂😂😂😂

[@juliane__]

It will get you way earlier.

[@FactsCountdown]

If you have children then your children will pay the price.

[@DirtFlyer]

At this rate chaos will come well before 2100.

[@shiptj01]

Doomed.

[@Steve30x]

If I live to the year 2100 I'll be 127 years old 😂

[@juliane__]

Seeing how fast the mean temperatures rises, i don't believe 2,5 °C will be the maximum in 76 years from now. If we trigger the tipping points now, how will we reverse the effects? Will we globally work together and mitigate every temperature hike or will it be like in the past with every one bickering around their own goals - wich are not necessarily mitigating climate change. 3:25 She chose the nice answer. 5:20 Ok, we have to wait till Xi, Modi and Biden and old followers are out of office and the younger generation gaining enough power. We can wait at least another 20 years or longer, if the old ones don't give way.

[@blinkspacestudio8892]

As usual it is far too late to act now after being warned about this since the 80's.

[@michaeldeierhoi4096]

On the contrary, it is never up late to act because doing otherwise is suicidal and would lead to even worse behavior around the world. If people felt that there was no hope of slowing this climate crisis then all of the worst human faults would come out in spades!! Murder, rape, war etc would all expand dramatically!! The world is difficult enough without what would result from giving up!!

[@GregoryJWalters]

Sorry to tell the 6%: We are past 1.5 already... .😢

[@Jc-ms5vv]

And 2c

[@michaeldeierhoi4096]

For the past 11 months we are past 1.5. C, but that isn't how climate works. Global temperature change is averaged over 10 years to get a more accurate measurement. Having said that we could hit a tipping point, if we haven't already, in which we suddenly see plus 1.5 C every year. We haven't been here before so who can say if we have hit that tipping point for sure?

[@user-wf2ls3bj6v]

We are at 1.5 NOW. 1 more degree and we are cooked. We have 20 yrs before things are REALLY BAD!😮

[@themadmanisreal2022]

Ikr these scientists/governments aren't going to tell the people that we are in the end of days

[@Akira282]

Yeah, things are accelerating so fast

[@anthonymorris5084]

So has every other positive trend. Data proves humanity has never been safer, healthier or more prosperous than at any time in history, by almost every metric you care to examine. After 200 years of warming, 200 years of growing fossil fuel use, this trend has accelerated.

[@Anty2004]

Calling Scientists pessimistic or optimistic... It's not an opinion, it's a review of the facts and figures we currently have and plotting projections.

[@guilhermegrg]

We're already near 2.5ºC. By 2100 it's gonna be way more.

[@imtheeastgermanguy5431]

Pray for it that you are wrong and that we never will see the 4 degree

[@chris4973]

So what do we do now? Given reality, there is precious little one can do save delve deeply within ourselves to discover a different path. I can’t change yours. Nor can I change the world’s. But I can change mine. By which, I mean specifically how I choose to interact with the dominant paradigm. I can choose to comply. I can choose not to comply. At this point, I fail to understand why folk don’t simply refuse to go along with the system. Read Andreas Malm’s How to Blow Up a Pipeline. Rather go down alongside the countless who spent their all that there might be a better tomorrow, than submit

[@oskarvikstrom229]

Anticipate is the key word here.

[@tomkelly8827]

This is great news for Canadians! We won't have to heat our homes nearly as much then!

[@geofflepper3207]

But on the other hand the loss of glaciers mean potential water shortages that will limit food production and higher temperatures can mean more nasty invasive species and diseases that can effect people, animals and plants and we will have more extreme weather events in Canada and will need to stay inside more and more because of wildfire smoke. Neither Canadians nor Americans enjoyed Canada's wildfire season last year and it's probably going to get a lot worse in future. Plus a lot of winter ice roads will no longer be safe and many species such as polar bears may go extinct in the wild. And if climate change devastates agriculture in the United States and much of the world then that will be bad for food supplies for Canada. Plus a lot of winter sports will no longer be possible in many places. Plus Canadians will need to spend more money on air conditioning. Plus a lot more days will be too hot for a lot of outside activities Windsor is expected to see about 55 days a summer over 30 degrees by the 2050s and no doubt it will be a lot more days by 2100. 35 degrees in the sun is not really ideal for a lot of sports or outdoor work.

[@Muddslinger0415]

2.5 is very conservative cause most scientists think it will be at 2 degrees Celsius by 2045

[@karensavageau4622]

It's gonna happen long b4 2100....

[@user-tq8pf8se4i]

I as an individual take time to witness the rain, it is my leisure to attend to nature.

[@joellarsson9486]

So what does the other 23 % of experts sauy

[@franimal86]

The rest say that global temperatures will rise by less than 2.5 degrees. 6% say it will stay below 1.5 degrees which is already saying a lot, since we are 1.5 degrees higher already (not on average, just this year). If we stay on this course, we’ll have an average of 1.5 degrees higher in less than 10 years.

[@danielrawlings8355]

0.04% of the atmosphere is CO2.

[@karlwheatley1244]

"0.04% of the atmosphere is CO2." Yep, and we know that if only 0.01% was CO2, plants would die off and so would we. But it we push CO2 levels up to 0.06%, that alone may be enough to trigger a collapse of ecosystems and societies. So it's really a potent trace gas, isn't it?

[@danielrawlings8355]

@@karlwheatley1244 Possibly yes. I don't know enough about it. The single biggest cause of CO2 is the Sun burning the world's oceans.

[@andrewstorey9081]

At the rate our boreal forests are burning up and oceans warming, I'd take 2.5 degrees all day.

[@HolloMatlala1]

2030....

[@robaire.b]

Extraordinary that so many people resist electrification of their energy usage and feel they can continue to justify fossil fuel combustion to power their cars, homes and travel. We cannot continue to rest easy by pointing the finger at fossil fuel companies. We as consumers with individual purchasing choices are the customers that continue to support those companies. We’ve known for many decades what the problem is. Denial and self-justification are not a viable option. Political change is needed to reign in the fossil fuel industry but as with individual choice on diet e.g whether we eat meat and dairy (these we can decide not to eat if we still do so), we must accept individual responsibility and act accordingly for ours and our children’s futures and importantly the rest of biodiversity. Individuals are a large part of the solution

[@nomadedoasfalto]

Pode acontecer uma coisa que ninguem nem imagina com o clima e muito mais rapido que as previsões......o caos se aproxima.......

[@PaulJoanKieth]

your bargraph did not convey a 75% support for 2.5 C. your data was not beautiful.

[@colinherr8011]

Donate, protest, lobby your government. Change your lifestyle if you can!

[@nathangant7636]

Man-made atmospheric C02 is a driver for temperature, it follows lock step with the carbon curve just like a shadow following you walking down the sidewalk. We can predict C02 levels based on an average 2.3% growth rate per year. It's an exponential equation, which means that temperatures are going to accelerate at least as fast as the carbon being dumped into the atmosphere. In less than twenty years I calculate. 500ppm of carbon. Assuming a strictly linear graph, I get 2.89 C. in that year 2042 with a 95% confidence interval. Simple linear regression y=mx +b, y (temp) = 0.017 x (carbon - 330.0 ) That temperature prediction should work with most carbon values from the last ten years. This is significantly greater than the predicted 2.5 deg. C. and it's coming 50 years earlier. And it's probably not going to be a straight line. Which suggests higher global temps faster than even this rate is forecasting. Humans and most marine life will go extinct at 3 deg. C.

[@batman9699]

Nuclear power

[@michaeldeierhoi4096]

But at what cost?? In the US the only nuclear power plants under construction are the 2 Vogtle plants in Georgia. Originally planned to be operating in 2016 at a cost of 14 billion $$ are not yet complete and at least 17 billion $$ over budget!!! Who ever said nuclear power is cheap efficient energy?? No new plants are planned. Thorium reactors are on the back burner for several reasons. The company behind the small modular nukes backed out of production.

[@wind-leader_jp]

I've read in an article that if the temperature rises by 2.8 degrees, there will be a food crisis and the possibility of world war will increase. The other day, I watched a video by NASA that visualized the increase in atmospheric CO2 in chronological order. This video made it clear that in the Northern Hemisphere, where many industrialized countries are located, CO2 is gradually flowing to the North Pole, and that the temperature rise in the Arctic Circle is greater than in other regions. I may be wrong, but since the Arctic Circle has midnight sun, it must have been affected by CO2 for a long time, causing the permafrost in Siberia to thaw, accelerating global warming. At the latitudes of the Arctic and Antarctic, the distance that sunlight travels through the atmosphere is longer, and warming increases proportionately. We need to conserve energy and reduce CO2 emissions, even if just a little.

[@anthonymorris5084]

There is evidence of warming. There is no evidence of a crisis. There is certainly no evidence *"that if the temperature rises by 2.8 degrees, there will be a food crisis and the possibility of world war will increase."*. This is hyperbolic and speculative nonsense. War and conflict have remained in an uninterrupted downward trend while food production has remained in an uninterrupted upward trend. These trends have continued over the last 200 years of warming.

[@1964mcqueen]

I'm sure that younger scientists are more pessimistic due to the political realities as much as the science. Older scientists remember times when we were able to make positive changes, such as taking lead out of gasoline, the Montreal Protocol to reduce ozone depletion, and maybe think our leaders will come to their senses on climate change. Younger scientists see a world full of conflict and anger, and likely have a harder time imagining the kinds of unified action needed to take on such a monumental challenge as climate change.

[@samrajunaidha]

This is a biased opinion.

[@Jole30]

77% could be wrong.. 99% could be wrong.. That number says nothing in science..

[@gregmijjares3725]

It will get about 20. 000 degrees hotter when the missiles start flying ! 😮😮😮

[@blaydCA]

Not if it's a Nuclear Winter.

[@matthewbaynham6286]

She said a third of everyone on the planet will have to migrate because they live somewhere where life is not going to be sustainable in the future. So I'm guessing the Europe will be getting about a billion people from Africa.

[@blaydCA]

According to models I looked at: Russia will be the place to go climate wise.

[@drjordan5706]

Europeans will move to Russia

[@EmeraldView]

A) It *will* be MUCH greater than 2.5 degrees by 2100 B) No human being will be around then to see it.

[@Spice1_]

Climate buddies 🖖 @humptydumptytribe

[@cheecharron1244]

Some will survive in caves as they have done so in the past.

[@Riddingwithvivian]

That would happen if there was going to be population growth but we will see global population stagnate and decline and a will see a significant reduction in emissions and temperature.

[@craiglee3253]

Science shouldn't be based on pessimism and optimism but on facts. So.....?

[@karlwheatley1244]

So, the facts are we are pushing the world toward ecological and societal breakdown.

[@Dwseias60]

Oh, we are ruining our Ökosystem. Very interesting, but let us just go on, right?

[@Dam-a-fence]

Who uh, who're you asking? Us? oil and gas and their foolish investors or everyone else?

[@degagnemarc]

It's the whole human system that as to change. People should have empathy towards the current young generation. I don't even want to think about the future of their generations and how bad going to be. When you have a greater picture of all the dying ecosystems, lost of biodiversity, the lack of actions, the continuing of modern life styles most of us want to keep, the fact that we have reach serious tipping points already, the changes taken place are always faster than what is predicted, I to, do not have anything positive about the future. But this does not stop me from trying to change things around me and act like there is still a chance. I don't want to die and have my children's and grand children know that I did not try for them!

[@piotrwojdelko1150]

predicting climate so far is not relevant .You cam predict a decade

[@silverflame2501]

3 for sure😅😢

[@heww3960]

Why even care what happens 2100, we will have passed away from old age by then anyway. Plus so much can happen from now to then. It is to far away to even start planning for. But without geoengineering, i think 2.5c is very optimistic. What happen to 2040-2050 is more relevant.

[@michaeldeierhoi4096]

Even more relevant is right now to 2030!!!

[@davidforbes3855]

the ice is melting now. If we froze climate change at its current level, the ice will keep melting. Mho.

[@DestroyerVishnu]

I have simple solution for climate change but can disclose only to DW channel. No, I am not kidding

[@iamspeed4130]

Mother Nature's gone crazy

[@joso7228]

No humans have

[@Rnankn]

If climate change hinges on human action, why would they survey the expectations of climate scientists? Social scientists understand social change and power relations, and so are in a far better position to anticipate likely trajectories.

[@john1boggity56]

This is essentially a social problem. Great post!!!

[@AlexandruVoda]

I am pretty certain social scientists are similarly or more pessimistic.

[@michaeldeierhoi4096]

Obviously predictions from both would be more ideal and then some way to interface the two!?

[@hahtos]

It will be fine in higher latitudes. The problem will be the billions of people near equator who will have to relocate

[@infidelheretic923]

Maybe Russia will be willing to let in another billion people... Lol. Yeah we're all doomed.

[@DirtFlyer]

Thanks for your expert opinion.

[@Dave47FL]

You know where they'll relocate to, right? Higher latitudes.

[@pearlyung]

Nobody knows. Even scientists dont know. Everybody knows its very hot every increasing year.

[@michaeldeierhoi4096]

Of course nobody knows, but it's important for scientists to try and predict what we can expect in the future.

[@dustindwiebe1183]

Kitty cat

[@shamusosullivan5650]

Billionaires building houses on coast of Florida. Think it’s going to be fine

[@Shini1984]

They build houses everywhere 😂

[@gamingtonight1526]

But billionaires don't care if their houses are underwater in 5 years, they'll just move somewhere else. So I don't think you'll be "fine"!

[@soundscape26]

They'll all be dead by 2100 so why care?

[@janradtke8318]

Get a brain.

[@nunofoo8620]

If a billionaire builds a house near a volcano? This means volcanoes don't exist. If a billionaire builds a house near a geological fault? This means there are no earthquakes If a billionaire builds a house on mars? That means its atmosphere is breathable

[@Spice1_]

Climate changed

[@mimikrya8794]

There is no salvation as long as countries pursue policies of short-term individual interests. The basic problem is overpopulation, which can only be solved globally.

[@martiansoon9092]

Models can only help you so far. You may have all impadting features in them, but one thing you don't have: What humankind is doing. And since 1985 (Carl Sagan testimony in congress, followed by Hansen's testimony) we have known the real impacts of global warming. And nothing has done since, except doubled our emission rates. This leads to sad conclusion: Not enough will be done in time to save world from even 3C warming by 2100. Keep in mind that earliest predictions of human extinction beguns from 3C and situation worsens rapidly when temperature goes upward. Southern hemisphere is under heatwaves (ie. India, New Zealand, Thailand, ..), droughts and massive floods (ie. Saudies, Kenya, Brazil). Seas all around the world are extremely hot and some places have even deadly warmth (ie. India, Spain, ...). And changing from El Niño to La Niña along warm seas is modelled to bring extremely active hurricane season to Atlantic ocean (3-8 major ones, more than alphabetical number of named tropical storms, ...). Situation is already getting out of control and safeties have been tossed away.

[@Dave47FL]

The year over year CO2 increase record was just set in March 2024, at 4.7 PPM; not only are we accelerating towards a cliff, we just floored it!

[@fanamlawuli6761]

Another day in Africa

[@ChrisTaylor-dz6nk]

I thought we were to late 20years ago.😢and still nothing happens no change. Electric cars 😅😅😅more co2 every year and still increasing

[@imnotanalien7839]

Climate change depends on money? Then we are in trouble. Every nation is in debt. There is no money. The only hope is new technology continues to come on line… but that takes capitalism…. and that is what the UN and even the U.S. government is shutting down. Maybe the population will start declining, that would help.

[@RK-ip9zp]

The beginning of the end

[@anthonymorris5084]

The endless climate mantra: "Just you wait, it's going to be bad, you'll see". Repeat decade after decade in perpetuity.

[@Zeitgeistboxee]

She sounded like the most optimistic scientist I've heard in a long time. People will migrate at 3°? Lol I'm afraid it's going to be quite a bit worse than that. Still downplaying it once again. This silly talk will go on for just a few more years. Don't look up.

[@anthonymorris5084]

The endless climate mantra: "Just you wait, it's going to be bad, you'll see". Repeat decade after decade.

[@shantanu.t]

I wonder how much the speedy AMAZON package delivery accelerates this issue? Are people willing to wait 2-4 weeks for their items to be shipped to them, for the sake of being responsible global citizens? Or should people be required to wait that long? Capitalism seems to play a big part in this issue… instant gratification can be addicting. Big talk and slow action is not exactly ideal. Act swiftly, take chances, make mistakes, correct mistakes, keep evolving quickly. Don’t get used to the comforts of a king… that’ll say a lot about us too.

[@john1boggity56]

Great post!! I think neo liberalism is the first true AI on this planet. It self corrects, it takes slaves, it has a voracious appetite for natural resources, it's soul destroying, authoritarian and difficult to leave.

[@bobbydennis8333]

2024[Gregorian] “Respect and dignity.” Furthermore:

[@rockydopeydoge6730]

How many of us watching this will be alive in 2100? Can the experts use a closer date for f***'s sake?

[@michaeldeierhoi4096]

If you want more details you'll need to go and find a video a lot longer than 8:12!!

[@alexgere529]

experts haha, next year 🤦‍♀🤦‍♀

[@helderjorge2]

Really bad job by the journalist! The climate experts expected temperature rise isn't science. So of course there feelings influence the interpretation of the possibilities of future policies. The interpretation of the possibilities of future policies as nothing to do if climate science data.

[@emikomina]

the population will halve by 2124

[@user-le6zd4rx5t]

At least...

[@infidelheretic923]

Possibly lower than that.

[@mynameisLuke]

People, just live out your lives and try to find joy and well being. The Earth has existed for 99,9% of it's existence without humans and it will go on after us..There is an inevitable ice age coming and it will happen no matter what you do...Just enjoy your lives and nevermind the coming chaos.

[@michaeldeierhoi4096]

How do you breathe with your head down in the sand?!?! 🙄😂

[@JohanThiart]

Socio cultural expert. That is really a good choice to interview on the effects of physics, temperature change. Well done😂. Is this a f….. comedy show? Ask economists to tell us about economic effects, socio cultural experts do exactly what…..

[@michaeldeierhoi4096]

Congratulations!! You have won the flippant comment for this video! Your prize is nothing!