S&P 500: After 2 Stellar Years, What Can Investors Expect in 2025? Boom, Bust, or Something Else?

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Erin Talks Money

Erin Talks Money

Күн бұрын

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@timopraxis
@timopraxis 7 күн бұрын
I predict that the market will keep on marketing.
@ErinTalksMoney
@ErinTalksMoney 7 күн бұрын
best prediction ever!!!
@douglash.8862
@douglash.8862 7 күн бұрын
Engineered "Soft Landing" by FED's / Powell, IS, Coming for, One MORE,. "Good" Year ! KZbin,. "Doomers", will Be,. WRONG !!!
@wernerfoerster3666
@wernerfoerster3666 7 күн бұрын
please look at reality ... not just smiles and rainbows
@timopraxis
@timopraxis 7 күн бұрын
@@wernerfoerster3666 I have no idea what you are talking about. My comment accounts for an increase, decline, or even being flat.
@JerryTobinUSMC
@JerryTobinUSMC 7 күн бұрын
​@@timopraxisLMAO 😂😂😂!!! Perfect response
@mtunderwood
@mtunderwood 6 күн бұрын
I really appreciate how straightforward your videos are. No doom/gloom or euphoria, just talking some numbers. Thank you!
@ErinTalksMoney
@ErinTalksMoney 5 күн бұрын
I'm glad you like them! 😊
@thomasmoshier3920
@thomasmoshier3920 7 күн бұрын
The market crash of 2008 saw my portfolio down 55%. I did nothing. Left my investments alone and continued to invest. Because I told myself it didn’t matter what my portfolio balance was in 2008. It was 2024 that mattered, my projected retirement date. Such an outlook rewarded me handsomely.
@kevinseversonandhisvizslas8287
@kevinseversonandhisvizslas8287 7 күн бұрын
But what if you were 64 years old in 2008? Suddenly it looks different doesn’t it
@kdkragt
@kdkragt 7 күн бұрын
@@kevinseversonandhisvizslas8287 Money you plan to spend on "life" in the next few years probably should be invested somewhere other than stocks? Just an idea.....
@murraypassarieu9115
@murraypassarieu9115 7 күн бұрын
Congratulations. I should have done the same. In my personal life I didn't know one person who held on through that.
@mikepeterson6052
@mikepeterson6052 7 күн бұрын
@@kevinseversonandhisvizslas8287 I retired in Jan 2008, I tightened my belt, lived off the 3 years of cash I had as a buffer and didn't sell until the market came back. I did go back to work in Dec 2010 and worked for 3 more years. I stuffed the max into my 401K with catch up amounts too. I wish I had put more into my brokerage account and gone for the cheaper long term capital gains tax instead. I now have 72% in my 401K and IRA.
@JoeCole12
@JoeCole12 7 күн бұрын
A lot of my co workers pulled out, I stayed the course.
@sman9774
@sman9774 7 күн бұрын
I like the term 'pillow test' you used for making individual decisions that help the investor sleep at night. That sums up many things, from retirement investing to whether to pay off the house early, etc. The math behind the decision vs the emotional toll of the decision, and finding a personal balance. Thanks
@ErinTalksMoney
@ErinTalksMoney 7 күн бұрын
Thank you!! 🙏
@mikeb4757
@mikeb4757 7 күн бұрын
Bloopers!! Love it.
@randolphh8005
@randolphh8005 3 күн бұрын
Any opinions after seeing the markets today? The main point not loudly stated, although I think Erin understands, is that market timing doesn’t work, but LIFE BASED PLANING DOES. We are retired and in distribution. We have enough to not need high returns every year, but are subject to Sequence of Return Risk. So we have about 5 years of money in low risk investments like CDs and bonds held to maturity. The rest in stocks, metals and even some Bitcoin. This way we have no chance of having our portfolio drop to levels that would adversely affect our lifestyle. I am totally comfortable giving up a little upside for security! I tell my kids to just keep DCA since they are decades from retirement.
@mikebemis9584
@mikebemis9584 6 күн бұрын
Erin, I love your videos. I've shared you with several of my family members and always stay till the end to watch your bloopers. Keep up the good work.
@ErinTalksMoney
@ErinTalksMoney 6 күн бұрын
Thank you so much!
@johnmaggio7976
@johnmaggio7976 7 күн бұрын
If I assume the promised tarriffs actually materialize, i predict a down 2025 and possibly even 2026. Tarriffs will increase inflation and other countries will reciprocate. If the promised tarriffs do not happen or are significantly less, we will probably do ok. I think this is the most likely scenario. As a retired couple, weI are still converting IRAs to roth and our roths have mostly dividend funds and I reinvest. My goal is to keep our income, including RMDs below the IRMAA level that impose a medicare surcharge. My emergency and living cash is in a MM account or a Treasury fund. I feel comfortable we have enough cash to wearher a downturn. I love watching your videos. They are easy to understand and are always timely for me. Thanks.
@republicunited2183
@republicunited2183 2 күн бұрын
Tariffs in 2016-2020 and the economy was great.
@johnmaggio7976
@johnmaggio7976 Күн бұрын
​@@republicunited2183 none of the previous tariffs were nearly as bad as what has been threatened. There have been threats not only to countries we might consider enemies but to countries we consider friends and allies. Tariffs on the EU, tariffs on Canada and Mexico, tariffs in Japan, etc. We expect tariffs on China, but our friends and allies deserve discussion and negotiation, not threats. As I said in my comment, if the tariffs that have been promised happen, it will make previous tariffs look like a slap on the hand. Our economy can't continue to do well if we alienate or friends and allies. They will respond and then what do we get? We get an economy that loses its exports, and economy that costs more to import and an economy that will surely go into a recession.
@horanz
@horanz 7 күн бұрын
I think Erin's upping her microphone and editing software game. Crisp!
@howielewis2235
@howielewis2235 2 күн бұрын
Did you say 2029-2039? Loved the video. Very accurate and helpful!
@Jim-Greek
@Jim-Greek 7 күн бұрын
Tuned in for the content 🤓👌🏽 Stayed for the bloopers 😂 🤞🏽for a stellar 2025 Erin
@BadPhD777
@BadPhD777 7 күн бұрын
You are wise beyond your years, Erin! Thank you for sticking to the facts!
@DK-pr9ny
@DK-pr9ny 7 күн бұрын
Just keep buying whether it’s up, down or sideways.
@khoasterful
@khoasterful 7 күн бұрын
As always, I've enjoyed your videos. They serve as a general reinforcement reminders, and for new investors, a focus and a starting point... Couple things. 1) I think you meant Worst 10 year market condition 1929-1939 =) 2) with 2025, we'll probably see more individuals investing in the market, with the automatic 401k contribution, by default. Hence, this may be a factor on the upside...
@koufax174
@koufax174 7 күн бұрын
I keep it very simple. 75% of year are positive. 3 out of 4 years are positive. I don’t like the 50% downsides so I hedge. The max temporarily down is 19.3% in 40 years. My recovery time in big downsides is 4 months. I can absolutely live with that.
@Iffy50
@Iffy50 6 күн бұрын
"My recovery time in big downsides is 4 months" I don't understand what you are saying here. Can you elaborate?
@wrsawy
@wrsawy 3 күн бұрын
wow, that was a Harris word salad.
@Fscmco
@Fscmco 7 күн бұрын
Interesting review of past markets, but what about “Irrational Exuberance” years?
@xerxescolah5271
@xerxescolah5271 7 күн бұрын
like your factual and common sense approach.
@ErinTalksMoney
@ErinTalksMoney 7 күн бұрын
thanks so much!
@BK12310
@BK12310 7 күн бұрын
Can you do a video on how you reinvest dividends? Thanks for this video!
@MeltingRubberZ28
@MeltingRubberZ28 7 күн бұрын
Yeah you click on reinvest dividends as the option for that investment
@LoriThantos
@LoriThantos 7 күн бұрын
I definitely believe in your plan of dollar cost averaging (just keep investing) though this may be a difficult time if one is close to retirement. Also? That blue looks great!
@nica8667
@nica8667 2 күн бұрын
Erin has a good perspective in the overall equity market. She is right you will lose if you time the market. Stay invested. Those who weather the 2008 market crash of -38% and kept buying at the low quadruple their money relative to those who sold and waited to get back in.
@6461791
@6461791 7 күн бұрын
Erin, you do everything right! U are sooo intelligent! Know finance! Speak so well! And soo attractive!!! I have been subscribed to ur channel for a looong time!!!! TY Erin...
@robertcpressly
@robertcpressly 6 күн бұрын
Erin, thanks for all the great content in 2024!
@ErinTalksMoney
@ErinTalksMoney 5 күн бұрын
Thanks for watching! 😊
@jeffrodgers4500
@jeffrodgers4500 7 күн бұрын
Yes long term investing wins thank you for your insight on this!!
@JoeCole12
@JoeCole12 7 күн бұрын
You are my favorite You Tube investment person. You explain things so I can comprehend them and I actually enjoy learning from you. You’re also a beautiful woman with a nice personality.
@drz400sy8
@drz400sy8 7 күн бұрын
I plan to do market timing this year. Hold out a bit until the market drops and then do a Roth conversion….. will see if it works. 😅
@wernerfoerster3666
@wernerfoerster3666 7 күн бұрын
you cant wait until the market drops its like slow boiling ... do it now what does Roth conversion have to do with getting out of the market?
@drz400sy8
@drz400sy8 7 күн бұрын
@ I did conversions for this year. I am saying I will not try and time the market for all investments but if it is down during next year I will have the whole year to do another conversion. Hope this makes more sense :-)
@1wheeldrive751
@1wheeldrive751 6 күн бұрын
@@wernerfoerster3666- “timing” roth conversions isn’t getting out of the market. It’s doing the conversions when the equity’s value is low to pay less in taxes. Usually people keep their IRA investments when doing a Roth conversion. You just need to come up with the tax money from somewhere else (not the IRA).
@michaelhernandez2868
@michaelhernandez2868 Күн бұрын
​@@drz400sy8 Are you certain you wanna do a conversion in a down market that might keep going, even, further? Why not get some or all of your principal back while the markets are up & leave the profit in there? That way you've got the cash ready to deploy, again, when you're ready to buy low. And if you're not retired nor retiring soon, keep d.c.a.'ing into the markets... Just an idea out of a multitude that's out there
@tonysilke
@tonysilke 6 күн бұрын
Biggest lesson i've learnt in 2024 in the stock market is that nobody knows what is going to happen next, so practice some humility and follow a strategy with a long term edge.
@wmwoods-l4f
@wmwoods-l4f 5 күн бұрын
Nobody knows anything; You need to create your own process, manage risk, and stick to the plan, through thick or thin, While also continuously learning from mistakes and improving.
@j.ottinger
@j.ottinger 5 күн бұрын
Uncertainty... it took me 5 years to stop trying to predict what bout to happen in market based on charts studying, cause you never know. not having an advisor guide me cost me 5 years of pain I learn to go we’re the market is wanting to go and keep it simple with discipline.
@karitanaw
@karitanaw Күн бұрын
I’ve been down a ton, I’m only holding on so I can recoup, I really need help, who is this investment-adviser that guides you?
@j.ottinger
@j.ottinger Күн бұрын
My adviser is "'Annette Marie Holt " You can easily look her up. She has years of financial market experience and she is also FINRA & SEC verifiable.
@karitanaw
@karitanaw Күн бұрын
Thank you for this amazing tip. I verified her and booked a call session with her. She seems Proficient.
@andrewlm5677
@andrewlm5677 7 күн бұрын
Attempting to “time the market” is futile but trying to recognize when valuations are unreasonably high or unreasonably low and factoring that into decisions about the balance of risk in one’s portfolio is a fine idea. The idea of resolving yourself to buy and hold forever is better than panic selling and never getting back in but that still doesn’t make it a good plan
@jessymadsen2699
@jessymadsen2699 6 күн бұрын
Why not? Why is always buying and not panic selling bad?
@andrewlm5677
@andrewlm5677 6 күн бұрын
@ It comes down to the loss of future opportunity. The money that you lock into investments that are worth less than what you paid for them is money that can’t be used to buy when good deals are available. A bear market is the best time to be alive if you have significant dry powder to invest. How many years of investment is a huge variable here though. Riding the market to the bottom with 1 year of your investments is significantly different than if you are dealing with 10 or 20 years of investment gains. Also, none of us know what the future holds for the stock indexes of course. People like to assume they will have a reasonably short period to wait out being under water on their investments. To have a 30 year period like the Nikkei 225 (where the 1990 peak wasn’t reached again until 2024) is the nightmare scenario for those folks. The buy and holder puts a very high priority in seeing maximum paper gains by being in when the market gets to its last ATH before the inevitable next market cycle. Better to sell early and suffer seeing it go higher than to be presented with selling at a loss as your only option later.
@NormanOkada
@NormanOkada 7 күн бұрын
This video is very timely. As I approach retirement I have struggled with staying 100% in equities because I have a military pension. However using the pillow test, I switched to an 80/20 portfolio. Thank you for all that you share.
@AlanHuang122
@AlanHuang122 7 күн бұрын
Minor typo - Erin casually predicting another Great Depression in 2029-2039 😉
@petestandley2690
@petestandley2690 7 күн бұрын
Opps at 4:23 of the video, these young folks who barely remember the 1900's....😊😊
@valerieproctor517
@valerieproctor517 7 күн бұрын
She's just helping us realize that she's the real deal and we can believe her!
@ErinTalksMoney
@ErinTalksMoney 7 күн бұрын
Haha 😂
@Chad17764
@Chad17764 7 күн бұрын
Great video Erin. Solid information. I thoroughly enjoy your financial advice and think you are providing information that people need.
@MotorsportsWithMitch
@MotorsportsWithMitch 7 күн бұрын
Awesome video! I’m parking most my cash in SGOV & reinvesting dividends into FXAIX. So far it’s done me well!
@leveneziadvm
@leveneziadvm Күн бұрын
good job and solid message. Forget the bloopers
@unclefester6501
@unclefester6501 7 күн бұрын
How much of the increase is just inflation?
@toddmasick7752
@toddmasick7752 7 күн бұрын
My FA says very similar things when it comes to investing, I’m retired so I tread lightly (conservatively) but agree with your assessment. I have faith in the market to remain positive. Enjoy your videos.
@ericschmitz357
@ericschmitz357 7 күн бұрын
Erin Talks Money is a very well presented. Erin makes thinking about the market and investing a very pleasent listen. For a future episodes, perhaps Erin could talk about market "melt-up"...would this fall under the title "something else"?
@galenperry4606
@galenperry4606 5 күн бұрын
We are in another technology boom like the 90s. Get in, stay in, and enjoy the ride. There will be a 30-40% correction sometime in the future but stay the course.
@Jennifer-xq2yu
@Jennifer-xq2yu 5 күн бұрын
I Hit $12,590 k today. Thank you for all the knowledge and nuggets you had thrown my way over the last week .i started with 3k in last week 2024..... now i just hit $12,590
@victorbaird8220
@victorbaird8220 7 күн бұрын
I enjoy all the content 😊
@LiamRappaport
@LiamRappaport 7 күн бұрын
I predict somewhere between 3-8%, but whatever happens won't change my dollar cost averaging. Hoping for another 20%+ year
@stevenobrien595
@stevenobrien595 7 күн бұрын
As usual great content!
@ErinTalksMoney
@ErinTalksMoney 7 күн бұрын
Much appreciated!
@mikephilpot9857
@mikephilpot9857 6 күн бұрын
“Time in the market” beats “market timing”. I agree with Erin completely on this point. 👍
@cosgrovesix
@cosgrovesix 2 күн бұрын
Love the bloopers at the end!
@hansschotterradler3772
@hansschotterradler3772 7 күн бұрын
Average annual return is about 9%; However, there are very few years where the market actually return that average (6% to 12%). I keep on investing, but realize that the return on new money deployed will be low due to the current overvaluation.
@SergioRicardoMurguiaSantana
@SergioRicardoMurguiaSantana 7 күн бұрын
Thanks for making these videos! They are always informative and entertaining to watch! Just wanted to let you know that there is a little mistake in the worst 10 years section, when saying the years of the great depression... it should be 1929 to 1939 instead of 2029 to 2039 . I hope it was a small mistake and not a prediction! Thanks again for your videos!
@grantyuen9811
@grantyuen9811 7 күн бұрын
I caught that one too!
@kevinferry126
@kevinferry126 3 күн бұрын
Have you done a video on risk tolerance ?
@probuilder961
@probuilder961 6 күн бұрын
For the 2nd worst 10yr period, I think you meant to refer to the 2000-2010 "Lost Decade" of virtually $0 gain of held money. From Jan. 2008 to Dec. 2018 the S&P 500 returned a total return of 74% (NASDAQ ret. 123%)
@christiansailor2880
@christiansailor2880 7 күн бұрын
I predict more great videos from you in 2025!
@ErinTalksMoney
@ErinTalksMoney 7 күн бұрын
😊🙏
@robc4440
@robc4440 7 күн бұрын
Hey kiddo. Thanks for what you do. Really Appreciate it.
@spinnetti
@spinnetti 7 күн бұрын
My prediction is that up or down, I'll keep investing aggressively. That said, I'd be more comfortable with moderate growth for economic stability in the future.
@ErinTalksMoney
@ErinTalksMoney 7 күн бұрын
great plan!
@nhango4073
@nhango4073 7 күн бұрын
great predictions/ recommendation !
@Paul-tm3xt
@Paul-tm3xt 6 күн бұрын
New sub from the uk..loved the content
@theladder06
@theladder06 7 күн бұрын
Hahaha…great ending! And 2025 I am hoping the market continues to thrive in a positive direction. My only worry is our unstable world and the conflicts they produce. That can definitely throw a wrench into the system.
@kentloar2175
@kentloar2175 7 күн бұрын
At 3:53, the statement "There has never been a 10-year period where the stock market as a whole has posted negative returns" didn't sound right to me. Unless I'm misunderstanding what's being claimed, there are at least 2 periods where this is not true... Jan 1999 to Jan 2009 is one example (-18.3% return or -2% annualized). Another is Oct 1929 to Oct 1939 (-53.9% return or -7.45% annualized). Those rates of return are based on the S&P 500 including dividends.
@ErinTalksMoney
@ErinTalksMoney 7 күн бұрын
once you factor in dividends being reinvested (and allowed to compound) - research has shown that returns over 10 year rolling periods has been positive www.spglobal.com/spdji/en/documents/research/research-sp500-dividend-aristocrats.pdf
@rpshah79
@rpshah79 7 күн бұрын
I agree that the decade 2000-2009 was a lost decade for the S&P 500. With dividend reinvested, the average annualized return was -0.5% per year kzbin.info/www/bejne/bYekiZ1pat2Lick&si=_SBxcH2Kk37HICVq
@brandongregozeski6266
@brandongregozeski6266 6 күн бұрын
Loved the bloopers!
@doughalverson1271
@doughalverson1271 7 күн бұрын
Love your videos and the bloopers at the end. You missed a blooper in this video, unless you're predicting a great depression in 2029. At the 4:20 mark you said the great depression was the 2029-2039 period instead of 1929-1939.😅😅😅
@Emthon
@Emthon 7 күн бұрын
I have been fortunate enough to stay over 90% invested in the market through my 10 years of retirement. Further, I was over 95% in the market prior to retirement. It can be a frightening ride going through those 30-50$% downswings. However, staying the course has paid off handsomely. Your last part of this video fits my experience perfectly. I predict that Erin will continue to grow her audience and further improve the quality of delivery. And, yes, the post script moments are the cutest. I would never call them bloopers!
@wernerfoerster3666
@wernerfoerster3666 7 күн бұрын
very risky
@Iffy50
@Iffy50 6 күн бұрын
"Fortunate" is a very good description.
@geneclarke2205
@geneclarke2205 7 күн бұрын
Didn't Charlie Munger warn that no index is immune to a sharp correction when a concentrated stock segment valuations soar too high. The average PE of the Nifty in the last 20 years was around 20, the current market is 32, overvalued. It seems like something has to give out and this market start to cool down.
@Iffy50
@Iffy50 6 күн бұрын
It's a breath of fresh air to see a comment using math rather than feelings.
@Moxieball
@Moxieball 7 күн бұрын
I predict a continuation of excellent financial insights and discussions. I’d like to see an increase of your dog appearances and decrease in leaf blowers in the background..haha.
@Bum_Hip
@Bum_Hip 7 күн бұрын
2025 will probably be pretty good for the markets. But after the sugar rush of wild, out of control revenue, short falls, that are guaranteed to come, we’re probably due for a pretty big correction. That’s OK, buy on the dip. Make a fortune when we get this all straightened out.
@Andrewww1088
@Andrewww1088 7 күн бұрын
If I’m putting $85,000 check into my Fidelity account, do I need to invest that into SPAXX or will it do that automatically if that’s my “default” position?
@halcooper6059
@halcooper6059 7 күн бұрын
If your default (core) account is that MM, then the deposit goes there.
@Andrewww1088
@Andrewww1088 7 күн бұрын
@@halcooper6059 Thanks baby
@WendyB-f6f
@WendyB-f6f 7 күн бұрын
With all the bad news videos it’s nice to come across something more positive. Thank you for bloopers (keeping it real), not predicting, and reminding us all that patience is key.
@pvecch712
@pvecch712 6 күн бұрын
Great video.
@noveltyrobot
@noveltyrobot 4 күн бұрын
I'm glad we gave back some gains yesterday. IMO this market needs to chill
@tscoff
@tscoff 6 күн бұрын
I’m 11 years away from my planned retirement date. And if I don’t feel comfortable I’ll work for another year or two before I retire. Until I actually retire the market really doesn’t matter much since I’m investing for retirement, not tomorrow.
@itsMohak
@itsMohak 7 күн бұрын
Very nice
@hemangcdave
@hemangcdave 7 күн бұрын
Erin, Great Depression was from 1929 through 1939 and not as you indicated in the video as 2029 through 2039. I know slip of tongue 😊
@michaelfortney7510
@michaelfortney7510 7 күн бұрын
Usually by the time you come to the conclusion that it’s going to be a down year it’s too late. I’ve tried timing the market and only hit the bullseye once. It’s not worth it. It’s hard and takes some effort but long term is the only way to go.
@SPY_0-DTE
@SPY_0-DTE 6 күн бұрын
They cut rates too early. Tariffs which I agree with will cause the market to go down before it gets better. 1 step back to go 2 forward. Volatility the next couple years. Great for investing. Let's go
@jameschaves5723
@jameschaves5723 6 күн бұрын
Tariffs are just a bargaining tool. They won’t happen
@livingunashamed4869
@livingunashamed4869 7 күн бұрын
I think it will be up but another 20% I don't know, I hope!
@ld5714
@ld5714 7 күн бұрын
HI Erin. Great discussion today and I am 100%% in agreement with you - we are on the same page. I don't know what the market will do, nobody else does either, but what I do know is that I'll still be in the market. Have a blessed week and I'll see you on the next one. Larry, Central Valley, Ca.
@ErinTalksMoney
@ErinTalksMoney 7 күн бұрын
I hope you are having better weather out in California than we are over here on the East Coast. It is getting so cold.
@ld5714
@ld5714 7 күн бұрын
@@ErinTalksMoney Hi 30's - low 40's night time low and @55 or so for daytime high. It will get cold here in about 4-5 weeks.
@justinfolk2832
@justinfolk2832 7 күн бұрын
i plan on selling most of my short term brokerage crypto and stocks early on in 2025 and holding cash or bonds. As for my roth ira im just dollar cost averaging and not selling anything. Roth is up 16% on the year and my individualis average is up 48% ...some as high as 100%.
@MarkPurnell-er1lx
@MarkPurnell-er1lx 7 күн бұрын
I expect the us stock market to growth between 5 and 8 percent in 2025. Tech will rebalance a bit due to the current hot AI play … it has to cool down to an equilibrium that is more sustainable.
@martyi398
@martyi398 7 күн бұрын
Thanks for the encouragement Erin lots of Dooms Day predictions on internet & U-Tube, I Plan to keep invested in stock index funds for the long term, holding a couple years of cash to weather any downturns!
@mysticaltyger2009
@mysticaltyger2009 6 күн бұрын
Oops. I think you meant 1929 to 1939, not 2029 to 2039, lol. Love you Erin!
@joeyvitamins
@joeyvitamins 7 күн бұрын
Erin, are you predicting a depression from 2029 to 2039?!
@ErinTalksMoney
@ErinTalksMoney 7 күн бұрын
nooooo
@rpshah79
@rpshah79 7 күн бұрын
That’s another blooper. She mentioned the Great Depression happened in 2029-2039 instead of 1929-1939 kzbin.info/www/bejne/bYekiZ1pat2Lick&si=IzCOrnAl-I7_C3ha
@joeyvitamins
@joeyvitamins 7 күн бұрын
@rpshah79 Exactly! That was what I was teasing Erin about.
@mikeg9b
@mikeg9b 6 күн бұрын
I'm worried about a strongly negative 2025, so I'm keeping a lot of cash in money market sweep accounts. Yes, it's market timing, but I'm okay with only getting a 4% return on 15% of my NW. And I'm going to do a 4-year Roth conversion ladder and need lots of cash to pay the tax. I'm retired. If I still had a job, I would stay fully invested.
@robkeshav800
@robkeshav800 7 күн бұрын
Good presentation. I wonder if the markets will react favorably if the DOGE group successfully removes $2T from Govt. spending and streamlines the Govt. process for the business to grow in the US. I am personally very optimistic for the US.
@LoriThantos
@LoriThantos 7 күн бұрын
Yes, wrecking the government and creating tons of unemployment along with cutting social services is certain to improve the economy!
@LoriThantos
@LoriThantos 7 күн бұрын
What do you imagine removing that money will do? Where do you think that money goes now? Where will it go? This is political wishful thinking rather than any kind of analysis.
@briandenison7608
@briandenison7608 7 күн бұрын
Love your videos! However, I, and maybe others may appreciate it if you cut the bloopers at the end out. I often have playlist going and I don't want to hear 30 seconds of bloopers at the end just like I don't wanna hear an ad then either. It makes me have to grab my phone and Skip And probably hurts your play through rates. :-) Thanks for considering it!
@breehartley1627
@breehartley1627 7 күн бұрын
Your time is obviously way more valuable than mine.
@jeffreysmith5018
@jeffreysmith5018 7 күн бұрын
Wait - great depression in 2029?? Are you predicting or 100 years off??? 😊 @ 4:08
@rayjaramillo4400
@rayjaramillo4400 7 күн бұрын
2025 will be a growth year in my opinion; maybe even 2026 as well. What I'll do differently is take a longer look into small and mid-cap stocks.
@appleztooranges
@appleztooranges 6 күн бұрын
I keep trying to time it but keep losing
@trackguy4038
@trackguy4038 7 күн бұрын
The follow on book to the Millionaire Next Store by Thomas Stanley was the MIllionaire Mind. He talks about on P. 95 & 101 that millionaires have discipline and tenacity. They got it by having something difficult to over come growing up such as a year long illness or conquering stuttering. Did you have an experience like that?
@ErinTalksMoney
@ErinTalksMoney 7 күн бұрын
put me down for discipline and tenacity because I had a brain tumor 😊
@trackguy4038
@trackguy4038 7 күн бұрын
@@ErinTalksMoney Can you give a show on the experience and how you came back stronger as a person?
@azizkaraulov6872
@azizkaraulov6872 Күн бұрын
What’s up with us money supply expansion ? Everybody seems to underestimate the dollar year on year value loss to itself. You might think 🤔 you are getting richer but all it is just an money inflation
@lisab1312
@lisab1312 6 күн бұрын
I think 2025 is going to be another good year. Maybe not > 20%, but still positive. I am not basing that on anything except my gut.
@mikephilpot9857
@mikephilpot9857 6 күн бұрын
Markets with do what they do. It is a random walk. No way to predict it. Just buy and hold the total global market. 👍
@seans7513
@seans7513 7 күн бұрын
I see more of a regression towards the mean, maybe over shooting it a little. Still positive, not as much growth.
@hanwagu9967
@hanwagu9967 7 күн бұрын
S&P500 could drop 36% in 2025 and you'd be even from two years prior, which means that you didn't miss out on investing two years ago since you can invest more. What we can expect from 2025 is a boom, bust, and something else. That's the market baby!
@TheBeagle1956
@TheBeagle1956 7 күн бұрын
Come January I’ll be pulling my spending for the year out of my taxable brokerage account. Roth and traditional IRAs have dividends reinvested except for a little play money I use for a personal strategy that made me a little money this year. We’ll also do a Roth conversion with my wife’s IRA. I predict in 2025 the market will go up and will go down. Where it stops, nobody knows.
@daviddadamo2290
@daviddadamo2290 7 күн бұрын
On the one hand I’m scared by several years of high returns leading to historically high valuations, and concerned by Trump’s stated policies of mass deportations and high tariffs. On the other hand corporate tax cuts and decreased regulations could be net positive for the markets. Given these contradictions, I’m falling back on basics and regular rebalancing. I planned on a 60:40 split; one account is now 70:30 and an old one I haven’t touched in years is nearly 80:20. So simply getting back to my planned balance should help me reduce risk. I also have been overweight on US equities (which has worked out for the past 10 years) so I might increase exposure to international stocks as well. I feel these should be conservative moves to keep my plan on track despite the uncertainties.
@googtv1
@googtv1 7 күн бұрын
Erin, you might check, but the S&P lost money during the 10 year period of 1/1/2000-12/31/2009.
@MeltingRubberZ28
@MeltingRubberZ28 7 күн бұрын
If you were reinvesting dividends that likely is false.
@shadowninja6689
@shadowninja6689 7 күн бұрын
I'm going to continue to dollar cost average into stocks I consider a good deal. But in my opinion the market is definitely getting way too over-hyped right now. KZbin reminds me a lot of how things were just before the slump after the COVID boom, where all of the videos are hyping meme or AI stocks, and everyone is ultra bullish, and few people are posting videos about how bearish they are on the market.
@MichaelThompson-f5u
@MichaelThompson-f5u 5 күн бұрын
it's really crazy how nobody is talking about the book The Hidden Path to Manifesting Financial Power, it changed my life
@Andre92426
@Andre92426 7 күн бұрын
Could I just take a few minutes, and share how I simply love the last (Bloopers) section of the video? The content is always so informative, and I thought you nailed it every time on the first try. The bloopers give us a glimpse (even if it's only a little bit) of how much time and effort goes into shooting a video for content - regardless of how long each video might be. Thank you for sharing your thoughts with the rest of us! :)
@RubbingPotatoes
@RubbingPotatoes 7 күн бұрын
Unfortunately past results do influence future performance. It's not a completely random casino dice roll or law of independent probability. Past performance affects today's valuations, and according to the Buffet indicator the market is highly overvalued. 😐
@mikeflair6800
@mikeflair6800 7 күн бұрын
Right now in early Santa Klaus, and market momentum will continue as the Trump Deregulation Economy starts on January 20th. The Bears may engineer a 10% correction (or two), but expect S&P 500 > 7000 by year end 2025. Erin is 100% correct, the USA Stock Market continues to rise over time. Too much cash flow in, and it has to go somewhere.
@LoriThantos
@LoriThantos 7 күн бұрын
Yeah, deregulation, deportation, depression! Yay!
@glen46823
@glen46823 7 күн бұрын
I'm scared of how high the S & P 500 is right now, so i've been transitioning more into VT which has less of the S & P 500, and more of the world stocks in it which don't curently seem as overvalued.
@tscoff
@tscoff 6 күн бұрын
Something that I did a few months ago was diversify away from 500 Index funds because only 7 to 10 companies make up over 1/3 of the value of those funds. I’m still 95% invested in stocks, but I’m invested in more than just the top 7 to 10 companies now.
@freedomworks3976
@freedomworks3976 2 күн бұрын
God bless Jack Bogle 🙏 Always Vanguard your money 💰 🤑 💸 ❤
@TimIsThankful
@TimIsThankful 7 күн бұрын
I am very optimistic for 2025. AI and other technological advances will spur the markets. Also, the pro-business economic policies of the Trump Administration will likewise spur economic growth.
@LoriThantos
@LoriThantos 7 күн бұрын
You think a guy who consistently ran his businesses into bankruptcy will be good for businesses? What an odd belief
@SilvioCastelluccio
@SilvioCastelluccio 7 күн бұрын
@@LoriThantos what was she going to be good for? A good laugh lol
@LoriThantos
@LoriThantos 7 күн бұрын
Hmm…let’s see, expanding access to medical care, extending the good policies of the Biden administration that gave us the lowest inflation of the major industrialized nations, and stability. Compare that to the staggering chaos promised by the guy who knows nothing but is promising to rewrite the constitution…
@MotorsportsWithMitch
@MotorsportsWithMitch 7 күн бұрын
I agree 1000%
@shawnbrennan7526
@shawnbrennan7526 7 күн бұрын
I agree that when Trump screws taxpayers and the national debt again by reducing taxes on corporations, their stock valuations will go up. That is not the same as “spurring economic growth”.
@mikebridges20
@mikebridges20 7 күн бұрын
My wife and I have been talking about helping our 2 adult kids out with their home mortgages, and will probably pull those funds out of our traditional IRA early in '25. Later in the year we'll convert as much of the traditional into Roth IRAs as we can and stay within the 24% tax bracket. That's the only time we'll "time" the market; if the market corrects, then we can convert more %-wise.
@jayocean4724
@jayocean4724 7 күн бұрын
2025 will continue to be good I dont think it will be as good as 2023 and 2024 im thinking still over 15% but not as good as the last two have been.
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