Expert says the Chinese military could seize Taiwan’s government buildings in under an hour

[@RedPill556]

Just another so called expert trying to sell their book.

[@Anklespank]

He could get paid thousands in royalties maybe even tens of thousands if his book is a smashing success 😅

[@mikej9470]

But he predicted the Russian invasion of Ukraine...as did the rest of the world. No mention of how quick this expert thinks it would take Russia to capture Ukraine, but I bet it wasn't years but hours or days...which didn't happen.

[@patriciogonzaga3101]

Better to err on the side of caution

[@minhthunguyendang9900]

Another Victor Louis.

[@minhthunguyendang9900]

@@patriciogonzaga3101 This guy errs on the side of 💰 💵 💴

[@yumyumgimmesum]

Are these the same experts that said Iraq had WMDs?

[@mav841]

Hardly a comparison..

[@rogerthat4545]

You mean like the ones Iraq used on Iran and the Kurds?

[@Ron-j3t]

​@@rogerthat4545did they use nukes I had no idea.

[@aztekwarriorhr]

​@@rogerthat4545you mean the weapons the U.S supplied Iraq to use against Iran and the Kurdish

[@rogerthat4545]

@@aztekwarriorhr Sources? I don't ever recall our government having a problem with Kurds.. That sounds made up to me.

[@ceridangauv3955]

Never trust one single "expert".

[@piehound]

If you mean get your information from more than one source only . . . then yes i would agree.

[@josedurin1125]

It's only conclusion in his mind, expert???he is not a god

[@piehound]

@@josedurin1125 If anyone asks: *Are you a god ?* Say YES. kzbin.info/www/bejne/mWq9ZWxpaN51l7csi=3ST8zkhImyOcdyqo

[@Rapiddrive1]

And you’re trustworthy because you are not “an expert“?

[@ceridangauv3955]

@@Rapiddrive1 i meant don't trust only one single person. He might or might not be an expert.

[@snapper_slapper]

As an expert in bs, this is indeed bs.

[@TheHallway7]

My Navy shipmate is teaching English in Taiwan. When I send him articles like this,he says,the Chinese have been talking this for 70 years.

[@RickBlaine]

The Chinese have or has Western media been? I'm Australian, apparently we will be invaded in 2025 or 2027.

[@karlheinzvonkroemann2217]

Taiwan is a prt of China. Officially! It's already theirs!

[@boomboomboom9297]

Which Chinese? The nationalists Chinese already own Taiwan.

[@已由寒國人置顶]

😂😂😂😂😂

[@asole100]

The China Show has also said, and laughed about this, what's even funnier is their leader said he wasn't going to invade because the US. was trying to trick them into doing it, and so they won't, in a recent speech of his 😂

[@peterl545]

No military can do anything in an hour.

[@段光-m6x]

but advanced weapons can do that in one hour

[@sunnymitra6372]

​@@段光-m6xNope......Only Nukes can

[@juniorleslie4804]

That is true, for it is always hurry up and wait. Lol

[@rip_ruru]

My question is that what dose Taiwan have that could win China?

[@benjohnson7950]

Depends on money in that amount of time.

[@hoa081258]

Experts are even worst than a dead clock which is at least right twice a day.

[@john_the_realest_doe_]

Se pasan

[@Dept246]

These US experts have been wrong about Iraq, Vietnam, Ukraine, Afghanistan.

[@octitawhythisnameistaken]

Facts.

[@crazyoilfieldmechanic3195]

Be nice for someone to tell that @!#%$&( on the air that he is dumber than a broken clock and of course explain WHY to him as he isn't brigjt enough to get it. 👍

[@johnqpublic4012]

Experts working behind the scenes, out of public view, to avert a war aren't the same Chicken Little "experts" plastering their faces all over media for 15 minutes of fame with stories of worst case scenarios. These snake oil salesmen use fear to hawk books and other products similar to the way hawkish politicians use it to sell their shtty policies.

[@PlayMistyforMee]

But it does not take an expert to realize that a Chinese invasion of Taiwan would result in a global catastrophe.

[@Nhaflm1821]

Yep

[@BenhurBaguio]

That expert knew nothing about war history like in the battle of Megido, when KUBLAI KHAN attack Japan and events leading to D-day 😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂

[@X-7-JAMES]

@@BenhurBaguioyou don’t sound too bright yourself.

[@Ibrahim-qj1lr]

Completely false

[@rooster1012]

Really? I have a feeling you are not an American because if stupid was a crime most of my country would be doing life.

[@BD-8171]

''Hey, I haven't been relevant for a while and I'd like some attention, let's say something ridiculous so I'll get on the news''

[@Scottsdale_87]

yea its totally ridiculous to think that....did you eat lead paint as a child?

[@stanleyh5792]

It's deeply troubling that Taiwan's importance is often viewed solely through the lens of its semiconductor manufacturing industry, ignoring the profound significance of its people who live in freedom and democracy. History has shown that an exclusive focus on economic gains often leads to human suffering and disasters. When the pursuit of profit overshadows the value of human life and rights, the consequences can be catastrophic. It is this relentless prioritization of money over humanity that has been the true culprit behind many of the darkest chapters in our history.

[@naervern2107]

Your motivations are good, but the scope should be much wider. I live in Scandinavia and despite countries here being called "very democratic" there's no constitutional right to referendums and the parliament is not a democratic structure. People have no say over laws and only vote for parties which in turn elect the legislators. People can't protest over a politician nominated by some party, who called for domestic t--rorism, yet most media will claim that these countries are "democratic heaven." Unfortunately, most people are not interested in actual peace, but in being above others in respect to some metric. I wish there were more people like you, Stanley.

[@SharonLermond]

Taiwan is the Republic of China.

[@rodmotor]

From the piece: "If China invades, the US...is likely to destroy those factories." That is how much the US cares about Taiwan.

[@rih-p8s]

中国对台湾的半导体没有兴趣，中国想要的只是祖国的和平统一

[@joellee6142]

@@rodmotor US has helped keep the peace before there was any chips since late70 or 80s, and that started in the us, not taiwan. some just make excuses why us support taiwan.. and I think taiwan also wants to show its value and why they should not be forsaken.. its a complex situation and if it wasnt for ww2, this taiwan problem would have been between china and imperial japan..

[@savannahfan]

The same “experts” that said Kiev would fall in days …?

[@Spirit-vlad]

Yup because it wasn't and it isn't with eu and us weapons the proof the first week zelensky agreed to negotiations in Istanbul

[@pigletBR]

The first shipment of weapons was 4 months after Russia invasion. They held the orcs long enough to get support, stop saying this Russia utopia "jUsT bEcAuSe tHeY wErE hElPed!"​ Russia was supposed to be the 2nd superpower and failed to invade a poor country, do you think china's help would stop the USA from invading Canada or mexico as the USA help stopped Russia?@@Spirit-vlad

[@pigletBR]

​@@Spirit-vladall Russians do is cry.

[@macdaddyalexis]

Kiev is defeated.

[@Klaus293]

Putin doesn’t want Kiev.

[@b21raider27]

I recall Ukraine will fall in 3 days…

[@rhetorical1488]

that was general Miley about Khariv

[@mattyboy456]

Taiwan is different... Ukraine is Europe's largest country.. Taiwan is a small island.. China could encircle it and prevent any supplies from the US..

[@eveening7401]

Small difference... Russia never wanted to capture Ukraine, it wasn't even possible with 180.000 Russian soldiers. They wanted Ukraine to stay neutral and two weeks later there were negotiations going on in Turkey, exactly what Russia wanted. Besides that, Russia never said Kiev would fall in 3 days, I think it was US gen. M. Milley who said that.

[@canto_v12]

Ukraine is not Taiwan (it’s a fair bit stronger) and Russia is not China (it’s far weaker)

[@firdausidris6367]

Ukraine just like Korean war in 1950, They just want to push US back. The diff. this time, US wont join the war officially to avoid past shame of losing to China.

[@kiranpatil2924]

Its easier said than done..Just a Click Bait

[@songli2156]

It’s a book bait.

[@leminion3097]

Also US experts said Russia can't win?

[@cooliipie]

​@@leminion3097 It's been 2 years 😂

[@Stephen-bq4nq]

​@@leminion3097Russia is bogged down in a mess they wish yhey hadn't started

[@Amidat]

@@cooliipie people are dying... it's not funny... but Russia will likely have better results than the US in Vietnam and Afghanistan

[@jacobkuntflapp]

Yes, ofcourse and russia could take Ukraine in " 3days " the difference here is Taiwan is further away, a massive moat and taiwan has been preparing for 50 years.

[@Hhhh22222-w]

Difference is russia is stuck in the 80s, China actually is on par if not better in some aspect than the US

[@redviperbear]

i wonder how he got the title of Expert🤔

[@kmaar-vx7vy]

No one can take any defended city in an hour and Russian cannot take Kiev in Three days with a force of about 50 thousand,your assesment is crap.

[@PurpleBugs]

eh, china is likely way more powerful than russia since of their fast growing economy and military

[@raymondnoel6053]

There is enough Chinese loyalists, spies and Chinese agents in key positions in Taiwan to make a coup assisted by the PLA. Most Taiwanese will not resist or join a resistance and with a strong propaganda campaign, Taiwan could offer to negotiate very fast. People seem to forget that Taiwanese are Chinese; they come from China, with Chinese culture, Chinese history... they watch Chinese cinema, Chinese news and do business with their brothers in the mainland. They are not enemies.

[@MohamedAli-eo2iz]

​@@raymondnoel6053 So were the Ukrainians, just like the some Russian soldiers were expecting to be welcomed with flowers, and They got it...... On their coffins

[@raymondnoel6053]

@@MohamedAli-eo2iz Ukraine is compose of 2 groups. Ukrainian speaking in the west and Russian speaking regions in the East. In the Russian speaking regions like the Donbas, in 2014, in a turnout of 81%, people voted at 96.2% for the separation but Ukraine denied it's autonomy. What we see in Ukraine is the west Ukrainians fighting Russia while the east Ukrainians joined Russia in the liberated territories. In Taiwan, the Republic of China, the official language is Chinese and the population is compose at 96% of East Asian ethnic group native to Greater China and like we saw in Hong Kong, there will be no resistance after the conquest.

[@spyder801jd]

It's doable but Russia did not want to do it

[@roberts2642]

So writing a book and going on a selling tour makes you an expert in war.

[@77D777]

I’m an expert KZbin commenter

[@ArcStormcaller]

One of the best 👍 He read a Tom Clancy book and he's an expert of experts. TV expert 😂lol

[@Amidat]

he doesn't even know the history of the conflict nor the actual geopolitics.

[@sultanmswahilitv4864]

😅😅😅funny

[@johnsmith1953x]

I guess you're the REAL expert??

[@fatmanjstyle5306]

1 hour?! Thats not even realistic! Even without US aid.

[@General_MacArthur]

Agreed, it would last in a minute because Taiwan is apart of China, almost the entire world recognizes the People’s Republic of China as the real China.

[@firdausidris6367]

You just don't realize how big Chinese military really is, ask the US army during the1953 Korean war, that time, they're poor yet won.

[@General_MacArthur]

The US cant aid Taiwan like Ukraine, all shipping would be targeted by Dongfeng.

[@bigtuna4010]

@@firdausidris6367 troops are outmatched by naval assets in this, whoever has the most equipment will control the terrain

[@firdausidris6367]

Even with Houthis outdated missiles, US can't stop in red sea, let alone Chinese hypersonic missiles.

[@stevetaylor8298]

"Hundreds of thousands of troops parked in these ships", just off the coast of Taiwan and WHAT, nobody noticed. Seems to me that China would lose hundreds of thousands of troops.

[@walishi8549]

就算损失数亿人也会收复台湾的。相信中国人的决心。

[@andrewhoover4641]

The most amateurish take on that possible conflict I have ever witnessed.

[@wewave23]

And he's the so called expert that America has. LoL

[@ToadyMcgee]

Indeed. Let's be honest, if the PRC agreed with this take, they would have done this a LONG time ago.

[@wewave23]

@@ToadyMcgee PRC hasn't moved to take Taiwan because they do not want war, and because they are looking at all 360 degree extending far and wide, up to the middle east oil trade, supplies, etc. China wants an all rounder, sure win, not stacking up on merely a higher odds of winning. USA is getting more and desperate.

[@ToadyMcgee]

@@wewave23 We can agree to disagree. I was actually talking to the other guy anyway.

[@diemannschaftweltmeister8197]

@@ToadyMcgeeWrong. War is the continuation of politics. If politics has not failed, then any sane nation will not resort to war. Do you think the US military is capable of completely exterminating the Houthis? Of course. But that still has not happened. Why? Politics. Balance of gains and losses. Think about it.

[@Leevancliff-v8z]

Expert said he's not really an expert 😂😂😂

[@Bruce3949]

This is the same clown that always had wrong predictions in the past. He will however, make profits from selling his books🤣

[@finddeniro]

Yeah..some military and business book

[@joshuaerickson2458]

Does he understand modern manpads? Taiwan woould have days or weeks to prep while being surrounded by slow boats. How would fragile helicopters and hovercraft go up an enemy controlled river surrounded by buildings? China doesnt even have soldiers who fought in a war, just dumb recruits told they are the master race.

[@pwartsstudio7782]

We need experts for experts. Where do TV stations pick those people?

[@globalado2593]

They are selected on purpose. Snack food for those that don't care about what they feed their opinions with. China will never risk a global boycott, when they already have a raft of internal economic woes. Their true goal is to infiltrate Taiwan from within, the toys are deployed only to be a nuisance and to create headlines.

[@wewave23]

These MSM picks them because their opinions concurs the same with the stations' own one sided agenda. That's why.

[@karlheinzvonkroemann2217]

The CIA picks them.

[@redcliffebeachhire9214]

Carparks

[@RoslynDoe]

​@@karlheinzvonkroemann2217 china and Russia loves to buy these things

[@DeMan59]

Experts also thought the Iraq war would be a lark. Idiots.

[@USCGCoasttoast]

LOL right been hearing this for YEARS.

[@statuarytuna676]

Experts ain’t the ones fighting

[@qiliu4667]

U.S. experts are trying to pick a war so both sides lose and U.S. is the only winner.

[@victor7936]

Were these the same experts that said Ukraine would fall in a few hours? They really should not call themselves experts.

[@alexanderjdivic4784]

More experts? You saw what those experts were right about with Ukraine, right? BS experts maybe.

[@leminion3097]

Also US experts said Russia can't win?

[@jacoblozano1787]

​@@leminion3097 we are yet to see if they're wrong

[@davidstanton2896]

You do realise the media will do anything to tell us how Russia is losing badly ect and Ukraine is dominating this war when in fact it’s not and that’s US and nato helping it. There’s a huge Technology difference between Russia and China. We really don’t want war with China but it’s going to happen and America is terrified about this as China is now just as powerful

[@roseela1191]

Are you calling out this media because they doesn't suit your mind? Your other account history tells a lot

[@passit467]

​@@roseela1191it doesnt suit the facts..

[@szpoti]

This video should be titled 'How to embarrass yourself in under 5 minutes'.

[@Wunderpus-photogenicus]

That will make everyone an "expert", including those under 5 years old.

[@SmilingDrums-ng2mc]

Experts are not perfect, some of them are biased

[@naervern2107]

All of them are biased, but some of them are stupid

[@floydlawsen]

They might be able to seize some government buildings quickly (fifth column type of thing), but they can't take the whole island that fast. Ridiculous. An hour? Nope.

[@Ryan_Christopher]

Caption said it was those buildings that would fall in an hour, not the entire island.

[@floydlawsen]

@@Ryan_Christopher either they changed the caption or I am thinking of the previous video someone here mentioned.

[@wolfkurt2301]

That’s how they gonna crash and reset world economy and get to new world order, that’s very possible, plans are made long time ago.

[@jadey5621]

Once the first wave is successful, no Taiwanese will fight like Ukrainian because Taiwanese are also Chinese, we don't really care who's the ruling party. I am a Taiwanese.

[@floydlawsen]

@@jadey5621 so you believe that if it did happen (taken over like Hong Kong), most lives there would remain about the same except some activists and corporation assets might be at risk?

[@Momula101]

Literally they just re-uploaded the same video

[@Beezy776]

If it’s less than an hour…good..then I won’t have to hear about it for weeks on end 🙄

[@DrSmallarms]

Experts are so wrong when it comes to war

[@righteousbyfaithinChrist]

Any ally allowing such a thing, would be considered a weak one...

[@LastEmperor86]

Why did the "ally" watch Ukraine get fingered?

[@Amidat]

who is an ally? The US has no official relations with Taiwan. It is just a weapons seller/buyer relationship. And what happened when the US intervened in Vietnam???

[@KevinWeaver-fv4vr]

Have you looked at Joey biden?

[@madsam0320]

Is there any American troops in Ukraine?

[@strayedarticle2838]

Japan used Taiwan to launch an invasion of China in WW2. Germany invaded Russia through Ukraine during ww2. Now the US wants to put their missle bases in Ukraine and Taiwan, so the can control Russia and China. The US military is the new ww2 era German military.

[@annai157]

Dishonest, Clickbait title. The word "Hypothetically" should be there. There is NO imminent invasion as the title implies. This shady reporting is cruel to those with friends and relatives in Taiwan.

[@linusmlgtips2123]

The median guess is 2027

[@Cannon_Fodder_Russians]

Mainland China is a PROVINCE of Taiwan.

[@kendallkruse355]

Agree...wonder how many more of the Chinese missiles or rockets use the environmentally friendly water for fuel

[@bugz000]

@@linusmlgtips2123 china's been threatening war for over 100 years, they never do lol...

[@CulturalXplorer19]

We see what you did 😂 Yesterday you posted this video, with the title " an expert says china may invade Taiwan in an hour" Now you realized that china hasn't invaded Taiwan like you suggested, so you reposted the video and changed the title 😂😂😂😂😂 Now you made the title even less outrageous to protect your credibility. You're saying an expert says china can take over government buildings in under an hour.... Nice try with your propaganda

[@User-jr7vf]

🤣

[@Amidat]

How else can they get the US public to cheer for war???

[@THE-X-Force]

@@User-jr7vf No one knows what your stupid emoji is supposed to imply, but this person is 100% correct.

[@HockSengNg-i7n]

This expert is dead wrong about China military strategy on Taiwan.

[@tysonmckinster3868]

As a Marine combat vet I question your "expert" does not sound like he knows about what he's speaking to.

[@ArenAurelius]

Expert says ... Yeah, right

[@Phlegethon]

These “experts” are the worst

[@ElBandido_pecas]

Damit Tim I told you, the factories were going to Thailand not Taiwan 🤦🏽‍♂️

[@suckit758]

You said Thai I thought you meant Thaiwan

[@henhoci]

We have 2 carrier strike groups near Taiwan. Each has about 80 plus aircraft and a few dozen air, sea, and land capabilities. Im not worried.

[@marcusaetius9309]

China has hundreds of fighter and bomber aircraft, thousands of anti aircraft and anti ship missiles and the largest navy in the world. All a few minutes from Taiwan. You are delusional….

[@ExPraetorianGuard-dl1pz]

I don't think having 90 aircrafts in a carrier is that big

[@wewave23]

What good is 80 aircraft when they have no landing strip to land or takeoff when your 2 carriers are sunk to the deepest pit of the South China sea? LoL And what good are your F35s and F22 when they encounter same parity, superior hi tech jets of the PLAAF?

[@wewave23]

@@PepRex Your US military is so scared you are now going around Asia trying to recruit henchmen to die for you. The last time that mafia kingpin, Al Capone tried this same tactic, he ended up locked up and died an early death.

[@ExPraetorianGuard-dl1pz]

@@wewave23 "superior" "hi-tech" bro Chinese have nothing that can match F35 or F22 in their arsenal, What they do is copy Russia's SU and Mig variants and then replace the names with 'J'

[@glenndavidtorres]

As if USA doesn't know that, and beyond. What a great to promote a book. He should be the Defense Secretary. He seems to know more than the collective people in the department.

[@bidenator9760]

Oh, just like how Ukraine fell in 3 days. Time to ignore these "experts."

[@rd8370]

I forgot about that, good point.

[@johnsmith1953x]

Russian experts said that, not US ones.

[@TheBumbleCheese]

"Russian tanks are already in Kiev"- Vibes

[@MistyMountainVideo]

Has this "expert" ever heard of air defense? Did he ever wear a uniform? He makes it sound like Taiwan just sits back and lets it happen.

[@dabo5078]

Whcih could be real considering the amount of defectors

[@Amidat]

Over 1 million of them live on Mainland China (well right before Covid).... How many of the ROC soldiers have family on the Mainland? A minority wants to declare independence.. But anyway Mainland planes wouldn't even take off before the rockets and missiles hit the air defense systems.

[@RickBlaine]

Ask Israel about the "Iron Dome".

[@AnimaRandom]

he doesnt know naval invasion is too difficult to pull off

[@MichaelCapangpangan-qu4gu]

He forgot US has a lot of bases in japan philippines and south korea so why does he say US cant respsond immediately? His Calculation are all unaccurate is he really A geopololitical annalyst?

[@naervern2107]

He's a guy in a suit speaking to some news channel. Entertainment industry. Maybe some social engineering prod to get popular opinion onto some matter or to cause scare.

[@darkhorseman8263]

America will provide logistical data if they fill civilian ships with troops. Trying to surge up a prepared river is harder than you think.

[@BxM_Studios]

Haven’t trusted an “expert” since 2016.

[@lawrencefrost9063]

^Good for you. But what about the argument you duck

[@rubylaser8601]

Semiconductor is not even the most critical to worry about. The really important one is geopolitical. If China takes Taiwan, then China breaks out of the 1st island chain. A PLA nuclear submarine launched from the east cost of Taiwan can easily slip into the depth of the Pacific Ocean without being detected. When it emerges again, it can be near the coastal of Los Angeles or any where of the west coast.

[@ozzyphil74]

And this is a problem because? Don't US warships already have that capability? Why is China having it suddenly a problem?

[@frankblangeard8865]

China is rapidly increasing its stock of ICBMs which can be launched from mainland China. The USA can't intercept those missiles. China does not need submarines to destroy the USA.

[@joemeatballs3694]

​@@ozzyphil74you don't let an adversary gain that kind of advantage if you can help it

[@fuchaoli3000]

I believe China can do it now. The so-called first island chain is a joke. It's just that China is not a country that likes to invade other countries. It is the American idea that when it becomes strong, it will invade weak countries. China has the ability but only wants to develop in a friendly way under a peaceful state.

[@Jjkal899]

I disagree. If the west doesn’t have access to semiconductors the consequences are enormous.

[@Lejeron]

Basically its not worth it to aid them, just pull the micro chip production by force back to the states.

[@Al-oe8ib]

The machines that make the smallest chips are all made in the Netherlands, and TSMC has already begun setting up to produce in the USA

[@raymondnoel6053]

The problem is that TSMC has success because they use Chinese workers who will sacrifice their well being for the greater good. For chip makers it mean 24/24 operation because you can't stop and restart the foundry every day. So skilled engineers, analysts, technicians, managers need to work night. When the production will be done in the US, prices will explode and China will take over chips sales.

[@claycooper9955]

No, all the latest generation chips are manufactured in Taiwan, and the plan is to continue to do so. The factories in other countries will not produce the new, best stuff. Credible sources report that a plan is in place to destroy the fabs and research if China invades and this will set back AI chips for approximately five years.

[@Al-oe8ib]

@@raymondnoel6053 how do you figure they will take over when they can not produce anything half as clever as the chips they can no longer access due to sanctions?

[@Al-oe8ib]

@@claycooper9955 Also, China can no longer purchase the advanced machinery that produces these chips from the Netherlands. The actual machines USED BY TSMC

[@nnhk0056]

@@raymondnoel6053 Or the American operation will slowly move over into Mexico and then the cartels control the semiconductor industry

[@ivanplacido6996]

As an American voter I support my country minding its own business and focus on the problems here at home

[@ElDrHouse2010]

If that was true it would have already happened.

[@john_the_realest_doe_]

serio

[@JalomMatia]

no, i think they could do it easily. but they know that if they do, the rest of the world will hate China more.

[@dexorne9753]

Nah China is pretty adamant about not subjugating Taiwan by force, if they have to resort to invasion they've already lost their objective.

[@tcsmagicbox]

An hour seems too ambitious. I think he's assuming no ground resistance whatsoever.

[@Stephen-bq4nq]

The Chinese are going to suffer heavy casualties they will be sitting ducks trying to cross the Taiwan strait the operation is extremely dangerous that's why they haven't tried it..

[@PurpleBugs]

@@Stephen-bq4nqthe reason why they havent tried it is that they know that taiwan’s allies will backup taiwan, which will most likely initiate a global war

[@User-jr7vf]

@@Stephen-bq4nq I think that's right. The Chinese can't take all of Taiwan defenses with missiles only. We see from the war in Ukraine, that it is possible to take down only one building at max if you shoot several missiles. Russia has spent thousands of missiles in Ukraine and they didn't have significantly weaken Ukraine's ability to retaliate, let alone completely destroy that capability. The same goes for China. They would need to put boots on the ground to conquer, and those troops would be sitting ducks for the Taiwanese artillery.

[@Callsign.Adam1]

Temu adds are crazy rn

[@kaitoshinichi]

With how uncoordinated the Chinese military is, 1 hour to have their infantry to put on their shoes is a challenge

[@stellar8ball640]

Honestly.. this isn’t too far fetched. And this war has nothing to do with Ukraine and Russia.

[@angela2726]

I can't understand how the USA and the west could put themselves into such a vulnerable position. They say it would take until le year 2035 and pots of money for the USA to build similar factories to Taiwan factories

[@tominmtnvw]

That’s right, you can’t understand.

[@angela2726]

@@tominmtnvw no it makes no sense. The politiciens should have seen this comming decades ago and done something about it

[@twistsnkicks]

​@@angela2726 pure incompetence

[@isobutylquinoline]

Vulnerable against the CCP?! HAHAHA, Third World stands no chance.

[@Amidat]

@@angela2726 The One China policy allowed Taiwan to prosper and end up building a semiconductor industry. So you are admitting the US planned decades ago to go against the policy that kept the peace??

[@Julian0l0ll00]

This expert is not experienced military how can he call himself as expert.

[@lawrencefrost9063]

Experience and Knowledge are different things, why do I have to spell this out? I was in the Navy but I wouldn't call myself an expert on Naval warfare. There are people who spend their life learning and you can't outright say they have nothing of value to add to the conversation because they haven't fought in a war.

[@naervern2107]

@@lawrencefrost9063 good points. But in this case that guy still sounds more like social engineering to get popular opinion stirred up and concerned about something, as elections in the USA draw closer.

[@strayedarticle2838]

Because he works for Northrop Grumman?

[@pacitalapena9371]

Expert just another word in the dictionary. Does not mean a thing on real war.

[@ZachBurns-gu9zk]

To be an expert you need to have 10,000 hoursof practical experience This dude has never been to war. He has 0 experience. Theres absolutely no way hes an expert

[@rossspenser8314]

Why do you tell this

[@GotterVibez]

Why not building more semiconductor production facilities in other countries as well, to safeguard the industry ?.... Keeping all eggs in one basket is just wrong

[@normanchan2001]

It would take less than an hour to render the island effectively defenseless. By taking out radar and air defense systems, power infrastructure, air field runways, etc.. Bringing the population under control would take considerably longer, but their prime objective is that they need to be able to hold the Americans at bay for a period of time, long enough to set up their own defense of the island. Tactical nukes can render surface battle groups useless and would have to rely on land based assets and possibly submarine launched missiles for reinforcements. Manned aerial assets would have to fly long distances and have limited payload. Therefore, unless there are American troops on the island, I don't see why the Chinese can't take the island in quick order.

[@Stephen-bq4nq]

The Chinese ships will be sitting ducks in the Taiwan strait they wont be taking Taiwan quickly or easily.

[@Stephen-bq4nq]

What rubbish the Chinese are going to be sitting ducks trying to cross the Taiwan strait.

[@bctvanw]

Taipei is actually surrounded by mountains.

[@normanchan2001]

@@Stephen-bq4nq Without radar and air defense systems, the Chinese would more likely parachute their invading force.

[@Guy15110]

@@normanchan2001 You do realize that easier said than done. China has virtually no experience in that regard and has not been in a war since the 1970s. Whereas the US does have experience especially with major and even then it still took the US and it allies 10 days to gain air superiority in desert storm. And if Russia couldn't gain air superiority despite supposedly having vastly superior air force in comparison to Ukraine and is still struggling to gain air superiority what makes think China gonna be a any better. "but their prime objective is that they need to be able to hold the Americans at bay for a period of time, long enough to set up their own defense of the island." Right and I suppose the US and its allies are gonna stand idly by to allow this happen lol. "Tactical nukes can render surface battle groups useless and would have to rely on land based assets and possibly submarine launched missiles for reinforcements." Yeah shut up kid. Its clear from this statement alone you have absolutely no idea what you are talking about. China would never use nuclear weapons because then that would mean South Korea and Japan will get there own and also that would also set a precedent for the US to use their own and could potentially start a nuclear war. Not to mention consequences from the international community that would occur as a result that could potentially draw in other countries as well. "Manned aerial assets would have to fly long distances and have limited payload." Did you forget about Okinawa, aircraft carriers, and midair refueling "Therefore, unless there are American troops on the island, I don't see why the Chinese can't take the island in quick order." Pretty sure they said something similar about Ukraine. How is that 3 day operation going by the way? Even though that was a land invasion, which significantly easier to supply, on Russia's own doorstep "It would take less than an hour to render the island effectively defenseless." Source: Trust me bro

[@leathernecksapperredleg2752]

They are failing to take into account the Taiwanese years of preposition. Also the awkward Chinese military operational doctrine. They have never used carriers in real combat and just now are learning basic flight operations from carriers. The Chinese are also highly dependent on the USA economy and could severely reduce the effect of their ability to even holed Taiwan. The geographical location of Taiwan is also a big problem for the Chinese. There are only a few suitable amphibious landing site on the island and a few avenues of approach to the capital from those positions. Taiwan also has a robust anti air defense capability etc. we could go on and on but there’s a reason why China has not invaded Taiwan and only postures. If they fail in taking the island and holding it, that would have serious implications for the regime in China.

[@PurpleBugs]

the US is dependent on china not the other way around. thats why weve been trying to buy products made from other countries

[@raymondnoel6053]

While the US and NATO don't have the manufacture capacity to provide Ukraine with weapons, China is the 1st maker of ships, cars, drones... Their industrial "over capacity" would make a war fatal for their enemy.

[@johnlukach4091]

The country that is in debt over their eyeballs even worse then the US? Their fake real estate market is bursting.

[@rodmotor]

Regarding the ease and rapidity of a Taiwan invasion, this expert's opinion is quite different from many/most of the experts. "If China invades, the US...is likely to destroy those factories." What did they just say? Amazing.

[@MrFiction80]

Ah, Yes, and they said Ukraine would fall within three weeks.

[@JohnSmith-gz5pm]

It would have if it weren’t for foreign aid, mainly from the US.

[@MrFiction80]

@@JohnSmith-gz5pm So, Ruzzia, with all it's intelligence services, failed to account for the possibility that the rest of the modern world would help Ukraine? Seems possible on the other hand.

[@fujinaraphoenix9351]

3 weeks and 2 decades😅

[@DK-ev9dg]

Nobody said from Russia. It was made by so called self styled American experts to spite Russia.

[@canto_v12]

Ukraine is not Taiwan (it’s a fair bit stronger) and Russia is not China (it’s far weaker)

[@emman9374]

It's not possible and I am not even an expert.

[@maatagentsmith5800]

Just common sense🤷🏿‍♂️

[@mav841]

Hmmmm ur def not a expert more a export !!!! 🤣

[@Ibrahim-qj1lr]

Americans are so funny. This is 2024, not 1945.

[@BaBaYaga1999-p7u]

We’re not laughing, chump

[@OksanaBodarenko]

Muslims are so funny. This is 2024, not 700AD.

[@naervern2107]

What does a continent and a religion have to do with anything? I'm just lost now.

[@Ibrahim-qj1lr]

@@OksanaBodarenko I am speaking to Americans, not to Eastern European Slavs. Go fight for Ukraine instead of playing the anti-Semites. After persecuting Jews, do you want to attack Muslims now?

[@Ibrahim-qj1lr]

@@OksanaBodarenko I am speaking to Americans, not to Eastern European Slavs. Go fight for Ukraine instead of playing the anti-Semites.

[@henrychiu9323]

The military industry complex needs more funding.

[@parrotbrand2782]

It makes more sense if they say they can seize Taiwan gov within a week. An hour is kinda ridiculous.

[@bowlampar]

It is same as saying Taiwanese national forces can decimate several Battalion of PLA in under an hour, based on a well-known Geopolitical expert on warfare.

[@prince17618]

As An Indian I always surprised when world media overestimate Chinese aggression it really a coward country don't think it is like Russia

[@abdelrahmangamalmahdy]

It's all about technology, the US has the most coward soliders in the world and yet they invaded many countries. The technology makes war easier

[@evileyesense]

Its not, even though Russia bully it’s own kind to an extent they are stronger than CCP. CCP and military act like they’re tough and strong but realistically they only have tons of men, their equipment is garbage material with the possibility of Xi giving the best equipment to certain forces or men. Overall they can’t hang like how they think they can. Maybe with Artillery but Military? No. Maybe if they catch US off guard or long range stealth and get some lucky shots, but they wouldn’t be able to withstand most of US military or their allies. They wouldn’t be able to withstand a fight from Russia, if Russia wanted to take their lands. It’s all because of the quality of their equipment.

[@j4312f]

同意你的说法，千万别太把我们的军事实力当回事。Made in China的东西，有几个能是好的？你们放松警惕就好了。

[@Zergcerebrates]

⁠@@evileyesense😂 spoken like an expert. If China isn’t a threat the U.S. intelligence or Japan wouldn’t have to worry. I’m pretty sure they know more about Chinese capabilities than you.

[@yehuo2825]

i think you should study your indian history. which country surrender without a fight?! the worse is that they even help the west to attack other asian countries. this was the reason every asian countries see them as cowards. china advanced in the last 50+ years. what is india doing?!

[@aarondavies8164]

The US knew Russia was gonna invade Ukraine weeks before everyone else. China cannot move even 10,000 men without Taipei knowing. The idea that enough men could meander undetected up the heavily defended river to the capital city in mere hours is hilarious.

[@thelastdefenderofcamelot5623]

10,000 is a joke compared to many Taiwanese there are. They need about 300 landing ships if they want to invade with 300,000 troops. Even then that many trying to land on a tiny strip of land will have devastating consequences. Even worse more than half of those ships won't even make it to the shore.

[@naervern2107]

Russia literally said in December that they were going to invade if they weren't given some guaranties that Ukraine would not join NATO, plus a bunch of stuff demanding buffer from NATO that like... kinda backfired for Russia.

[@garythesquidsquid7779]

And? A government building has nothing to do with the existing government and military leadership.

[@lanzgusta3928]

Hmmm I think he is right this time

[@jasonjean2901]

The entire United Nations officially acknowledges that Taiwan is a province of China. The U.S. is presently arming and stationing increasing amounts of troops on Taiwan while also actively encouraging its separatist government, all while claiming that they want to maintain the status quo. According to Lyle J. Goldstein, the Chinese mainland has been able to conquer Taiwan for a while now, and they could easily do so. They haven't because they are telling the truth when they say they want peaceful reunification. The U.S. obviously doesn't want this, so they are attempting to push China into a war. It's also important to note that the U.S. has incredible economic and military leverage over Taiwan, making them unable to make entirely independent decisions. Almost all of Taiwan's military hardware comes from the U.S., who must maintain and continue to supply much of it. But, more importantly, as former President Trump clearly demonstrated, the U.S. government has roughly $1 Trillion in Republic of China bonds which are still valid. In other words, the U.S. government can economically collapse the Taiwanese economy at any time.

[@RB9522]

The US has no troops in Taiwan.

[@gordongekko4752]

1. The CCP is stockpiling gold, food, oil, etc. for a potential war/blockade of their coastline. 2. The CCP would conduct an electronic Pearl Harbor, first, on US financial, energy, water/sewer, traffic lights, toll roads, hospitals/emergency services like police, EMTs and fire, etc. 3. Then, blackmail the US. If you respond to our invasion of Taiwan . . . 4. If the US responds, both the CCP and North Korea, will launch missiles with conventional and non-conventional (EMP) warheads attacking all US bases in the Pacific plus North Korea will attack South Korea to tie down US Forces there. 5. CCP Fifth columns will seize all tv and radio stations and inform the public to move to certain locations away from the coastal cities/beaches to hinder responding Taiwan Army units and to offer no resistance as, Taiwan, has surrendered.

[@shiyufang1600]

Why's the US always meddling in other countries' stuff, even losing lives over it? Can't they just work on their own tech?

[@johnsmith1953x]

Let's not forget that Taiwan is under China's Missile Umbrella of 50,000,000 missiles that can be launched from China. Half the missiles can almost reach Hawaii. Any US involvment would be suicide for those troops. China doesn't even need ships. BUT China does have ships, and boy do THEY! You are also forgetting that there are ALREADY 1 million to 10 million chinese SF already there. Have been there for 10-20 years now. I don't think the invasion would last more than 10 minutes. It would be over sooo fast, it'll make your head spin son.

[@lorneyoung6298]

And who will buy Chinese tofu-dreg after that? Economic suicide.

[@OksanaBodarenko]

@@shiyufang1600 Why China is always meddling in other countries stuff?

[@ftoalan]

What and during all this do you think every western country won’t respond with defensive weapons and media blockades themselves???

[@BenhurBaguio]

Experts makes me laugh, even china uses civilian vessels it is very easy to identify hostile intent of a vessel while stir far from Taiwan shores, PLA can only win in GRAMMY AWARDS for BEST SCREENPLAY 😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂

[@iamjohnblack]

China is not alone, keep that in mind.

[@ClydeB1]

Leftist expert? 😂

[@tominmtnvw]

It has nothing to do with left or right bozo.

[@naervern2107]

More likely a very hawkish republican fearmonger, tbh. Making up silly hypotetical scenarios plays well with blaming the status quo for allowing such silly hypothesised possibility to exist (even though they provide very weak backing for that anyways)

[@alicat398]

China has more ships, most are coastal based. It has limited ability to project power away from the coast. US naval power is the world police and unmatched.

[@captainsunbear5472]

And taiwan is super close to chinese mainland, where US navy have to travel half across the world to come to it's aid.

[@NWer-c5u]

@@captainsunbear5472 the US Navy has been ever present aroudn Taiwan, then there is what is underneath the waves, lurking... I sure wouldn't want to be an only-child son as a soldier on a Chinese troop transport in the strait. Lots of artificial reefs would be made there.

[@alicat398]

100 miles which is the limit of its coastal navy assuming good weather and no turns or maneuvers. So realistically out of range. Leaves just the larger navy. Smaller force and no real combat training.

[@johnsmith1953x]

LOL! What color is the sky in your little world sweetie? Let's not forget that Taiwan is under China's Missile Umbrella of 50,000,000 missiles that can be launched from China. Half the missiles can almost reach Hawaii. Any US involvment would be suicide for those troops. China doesn't even need a Navy, but they do have more ships than the USA and EU combined. And more advanced ships. You are also forgetting that there are ALREADY 1 million to 10 million chinese SF already there. Have been there for 10-20 years now. I don't think the invasion would last more than 10 minutes. It would be over sooo fast, it'll make your head spin sweetie..

[@s2k209]

China learned alots from Ukraine war...so Taiwan won't last aday..

[@thomasstuart6861]

What if Taiwan fights back though?

[@TonyPIRANIO]

​@@thomasstuart6861it will but if china plays its cards right it could win but we could win too either way our economy would crash and need to be rebuilt

[@dylanmartin6125]

They said the same thing about Ukraine and look where we are.

[@Blento0404otnelB]

with all this tech available, one would think that regular people would, by now, with ease differentiate between human and text-to-speech program.

[@freedomcontrolled6190]

Who cares Taiwan is Chinese just like Ukraine is Russian stay out of everybody's business and you want have to waste trillions of dollars in tax payers money on useless military spending!!!!

[@bettybunbun9664]

You know who disagrees with you? Actual Taiwanese and Ukrainians.

[@spyder801jd]

Russia only got involved with attacking Ukraine cuz Ukraine was doing dirty crap if China attacks Taiwan our entire infrastructure will go freaking South 80 to 90% of all our clothes come from Taiwan amongst other things

[@NemeanLion-]

I can’t even finish taking a dump in an hour. 💩 You’re telling me they’re going to seize the entire country in an hour?

[@operator9858]

in this example they mention 'government buildings' would likely take a good while to clear the mainland.

[@epursimuove1633]

We would obviously not risk much for Taiwan

[@lexas1]

Remember when experts said the USSR could be in Paris in 2 days?

[@HaveyoumetKen]

Highly doubtful especially when this is entirely based on ONE guys book. Which is hilarious

[@MLEPOS1]

We’re only weeks from total disaster….

[@kellyburket6955]

They said the same thing about Ukraine.

[@michaelyun2407]

Taking it and holding it is a different story.

[@bodiandras]

Does he really say China will launch ballistic missiles and Taiwan wont fire on the ships parked in international waters 😂😂😂

[@jimaylan6140]

The ships are parked first, then the missiles come in and the ships right after, duh.

[@husamabed6527]

The entire globe has gone crazy, peace on the mother earth.

[@leonardmichaelmarkrandrup2375]

Really? How hopeful could CPLA be.

[@Anonymous-by5jp]

Quantity has a quality all its own until the A10’s show up