First Half Goals: The ultimate strategy for profit | The Half Time Hustle

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Trading The Market

Trading The Market

Күн бұрын

Пікірлер: 23
@tylertamoli3081
@tylertamoli3081 Күн бұрын
Bloody Boom James. Just when you think this channel can't get any better... Boom you hit us with even more. The info you guys share with us is priceless ❤
@petermacdonald1030
@petermacdonald1030 Күн бұрын
Yeah a good start with 1st two gains, easy to follow system with no need to trade out.i will try to build this one up. Cheers James
@stveloop9452
@stveloop9452 Күн бұрын
A nice simple set and forget FHG goal strategy. Judging the goal distribution is the icing on top.
@mattg8855
@mattg8855 Күн бұрын
Cheers guys. I do enjoy a FHG. James’ voice is soooo deep. It dominates me 😈
@sa21dlinusandersson41
@sa21dlinusandersson41 Күн бұрын
Interesting but i have a couple of concerns with this way of trading 1) If a high draw odds increases the chances of goals why wouldn't that already be priced into the goal markets already? 2) Why not backtest with the suggested break even odds? The strike rate drops significantly when doing that. 3) In the Singaporean games showed live none of the games had an odds on the over 0,5 FH market that was even close to the suggested break even odds? Thanks!
@TradingTheMarket
@TradingTheMarket 23 сағат бұрын
1... High draw odds will be priced to into the goal markets... we are waiting for the odds to decay to 1.5 and give us value. 2... I have back tested with break even odds and also no goals scored in the first 15 minutes... I can still achieve a Strike Rate of 76.43%. Waiting for odds of 1.5 as stated in 1... this is very much profitable. 3... In the Singapore matches "Yes" the odds were not near the break even odds before kick off. Yet I still waited for my desired odds of 1.5 and was successful on both matches as show in the video. Thanks.
@amymccreary2210
@amymccreary2210 Күн бұрын
I'm really excited for this one. Thanks James 🎉
@joebt3000
@joebt3000 15 сағат бұрын
Interesting strategy. Just one question. You mentioned that you wait for the odds to rise. What is the success rate in your back testing? From the stats you showed, a goal may have been scored before your entry point. Do you have the results based on after the typical entry point? Thanks
@TradingTheMarket
@TradingTheMarket 12 сағат бұрын
The difference from the original test is just 382 games and these matches had a goal scored in the 15 minutes. With draw odds of 5.0 you can achieve a 69.65% SR, waiting for odds of 1.5 (which is more than achievable) using a £10 stake you would make £447.50 and achieve a ROI of 4.48%. Just looking 10 ticks further at odds of 1.6 you would make £1,144.00 and achieve a ROI of 11.44%. The SR increases as the draw odds increase 6.0, 7.0 etc.
@timothywhitley383
@timothywhitley383 8 сағат бұрын
Absolutely, all the back testing includes goals scored throughout the first half but then the actual strategy places your trade after 15 mins or so.
@SLT1978
@SLT1978 15 сағат бұрын
Not a criticism but just a thought - How many games had a goal scored before the odds reached what you wanted them to reach to place your trade / bet? Wouldn't that have a big impact on whether the strategy was successful?
@TradingTheMarket
@TradingTheMarket 12 сағат бұрын
The difference from the original test is just 382 games and these matches had a goal scored in the 15 minutes. With draw odds of 5.0 you can achieve a 69.65% SR, waiting for odds of 1.5 (which is more than achievable) using a £10 stake you would make £447.50 and achieve a ROI of 4.48%. Just looking 10 ticks further at odds of 1.6 you would make £1,144.00 and achieve a ROI of 11.44%. The SR increases as the draw odds increase 6.0, 7.0 etc.
@SLT1978
@SLT1978 7 сағат бұрын
OK. I understand. Thanks for taking the time to reply and clearing that up.
@dontbewoke
@dontbewoke 22 минут бұрын
The problem with this system is that how many games are 5.0 or bigger on the draw? Not many....once you've added in the low early goals criterion you won't find many games at all.
@Rocknrolla1979
@Rocknrolla1979 Күн бұрын
Great video! Thanks very much!
@clvnwtts
@clvnwtts Күн бұрын
Excellent stuff!
@TradingTheMarket
@TradingTheMarket Күн бұрын
Thank you kindly!
@TheJumpiestmonkey
@TheJumpiestmonkey Күн бұрын
Have you tried legging in and taking advantage of the rising odds?
@TradingTheMarket
@TradingTheMarket Күн бұрын
I have. The second game in the video [Alberix Niigata] you will see I legged in over the half. £9 staked for a profit of £10.04. It's a good tactic but you can miss out on some profits with early goals.
@ravmok846
@ravmok846 Күн бұрын
if i haven't been hearing his voice for couple of years know, you would think it's AI. :)
@TradingTheMarket
@TradingTheMarket Күн бұрын
I am most certainly human 😉
@Sunraid1971
@Sunraid1971 Күн бұрын
Boom!
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