I am a college student, your video is so valuable. Thank you.
@rickgarza21422 жыл бұрын
Sounds like he’s saying “it’s different this time”.
@thomasvita3292 жыл бұрын
Your just making me SMARTER!!! I could have read Wikipedia for years and never have gotten that take n the yield curve.
@거북이서재2 жыл бұрын
It's well written in the book "Beat the Stock Market" with three questions. Thank you, Ken Fisher.
@aconsideredmoment2 жыл бұрын
Thank you. Another lesson so durable and fundamental that I am going to share it with my child.
@renegade3822 жыл бұрын
Thank you, another great lesson I’m going to share with my son. Your perspective and descriptions help calm a lot of fears.
@jimmeyer96482 жыл бұрын
Thank you Mr.FISHER
@1Slayer66612 жыл бұрын
Nice vid Kirk
@mav70792 жыл бұрын
what's intriguing about this video is that it's the fact either 10yr-2yr or 10yr-3m spread predicted it bubble, financial crisis and even pandemic yet, mr. fisher calls this time's different while the curves get deepening this year.
@everglades_n_co.2 жыл бұрын
what's intriguing about this video is that it's the fact either 10yr-2yr or 10yr-3m spread predicted it bubble, financial crisis and even pandemic and mr. fisher calls this time's different while the curves get deepening this year.
@jeffdejeanne17992 жыл бұрын
Great video! I was not aware of the exact numbers, however I am not surprised that today banks are only paying for 6% of the funds they loan out, compared with 70% (then say 20 yrs ago) You could also point out that the Fed has been creating the inversion of the yield curve. They have been conducting QT in the short end and QE in longer dates securities like MBS. Until yesterday the Fed has been a net buyer of MBS since June 2nd. 4+ months into their imaginary QT of the MBS market they should have let 96.25 bln roll-off and yesterday we saw their first reduction of 9 bln.
@FRANKWHITE19962 жыл бұрын
Thank you for sharing❤
@ronaldlinkert Жыл бұрын
Great info...
@efibendor12 жыл бұрын
While most of deposits are free to banks One major concern of mine is that they have also became fickle since due to technology its very easy to shift deposits between institutions at very low cost to the depositor. Banks May very well have to offer high interest rates to keep the deposits on the books. I already see it happening in the market. The higher short terms rates had also pushed up the mortgage rates this causes the monthly payments of borrowers to be higher and affordability lower so banks which are using affordability ratios to lend might hit the breaks. If they hit the breaks on business loans that might cause recession even if the global yield curves are not inverted. I find your explanation about borrowing at low rate abroad and investing in USA very plausible to explain the strength of the dollar I learned something new so thank you.
@horacetso2 жыл бұрын
He has a good point. Banks don't pay for deposit these days. But he missed the signaling effect of the yield curve. Bond market is dominated by big investors whose expectation about the economy is reflected in the yield curve. And currently, that signal is flashing red.
@benitoproto77022 жыл бұрын
US yield curve, FED, PMI's... are important but not so crucial as people think. Economy and monetary system are complex, flexible and interconnected. And more importantly evolve. It's far more important to understand the consequences of what is happening ( pandemic restrictions, fiscal stimulus, policies,...) than look for "historical" clues.
@TheBeav302 жыл бұрын
Euro Dollar curve has been inverted for some time , sound like someone talking their book. Gig is up recession is coming and this time there is no Fed Put.
@Marcasecas2 жыл бұрын
Wise person.
@universidadefalada76142 жыл бұрын
Greattt
@rolandfinke7045 Жыл бұрын
Banks are starting to pay fairly high interest rates on deposits. And the "regular" yield curve is still inverted. What is your current view on the yield curve?
@jonathanlangford42912 жыл бұрын
Everyone pull their money out of bank accounts. Easy solution
@benitoproto77022 жыл бұрын
Yeah, we get rid off the banking system and then we come back to the barter. 🤣 It's no gonna happen!
@tcpUtube12 жыл бұрын
So where is all this money the banks are flush with coming from? US quantitative easing or other source?
@chrisgordyn3872 жыл бұрын
Stock sales, as the market has crashed this year
@benitoproto77022 жыл бұрын
Good-health banks can make money out of thin air when they make loans. The money they put in the deposit is simply the other side of the balance sheet of the loan. QE is more about the good health of the banks.
@danielhutchinson66042 жыл бұрын
The Nation that sponsored the Marshall Plan seems to be long gone? The US that attempted to use Gunboat Diplomacy and name it after the USS Maddox, seems to have less punch left, as the effort to secure Pacific Rim Colonies begins to cost more than it did in 1969? The US Navy might eliminate Competing Fuel Providers simply to promote profits to Investors in the US, but they might be facing some more effective opposition as the effort to promote US presence in the Pacific, appears to have little industrial support to back that part of the US Empire? Like the Romans who promoted the objectives of protecting the identity of Investors, the current US Empire seems to demonstrate a different Aura than the one Japan faced after sinking the Russian Fleet? The US Economy depending on an Empire to support the exploitation of weaker nations to feed the greed has directed the US to that fateful area of dirt, where Soldiers have died to promote profits, as Tennyson immortalized in poems after the Half Million Poor Boys died between Balaclava and Sevastopol in 1850's...... The Romain, and Nazi guys who died there later seemed similar to Persians and Vikings who clashed around that Appendix of the region? Economy seems to provide Poet's with Purpose?