Flashpoints: The Emerging Crisis in Europe | George Friedman | Talks at Google

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Flashpoints: The Emerging Crisis in Europe.
A major new book by New York Times bestselling author and geopolitical forecaster George Friedman (The Next 100 Years) with a bold thesis about coming events in Europe, this provocative work examines ‘flashpoints’-unique geopolitical hotspots where tensions have erupted throughout history-and why conflict is due to emerge again.
“There is a temptation, when you are around George Friedman, to treat him like a Magic 8-Ball.” -The New York Times Magazine
With uncanny accuracy, George Friedman has forecasted coming trends in global politics, technology, population, and culture. Now, in Flashpoints, he focuses on the continent that was the cultural and power nexus of the world for five-hundred years: Europe. Analyzing the historical fault lines that have existed for centuries within the borderlands of Europe and Russia--which have been the hotbed of numerous catastrophic wars--Friedman walks readers through the flashpoints that are smoldering once again. The modern-day European Union was crafted in large part to minimize these built-in geopolitical tensions, but as Friedman shows with a mix of fascinating history and provocative cultural analysis, that design is failing. Flashpoints is George Friedman’s most timely book, delivering an unflinching forecast for the coming years.
About the author:
George Friedman is the Chairman and founder of Stratfor, the world's leading private intelligence company. He is frequently called upon as a media expert in intelligence and international geopolitics, and is the author of six books, including the New York Times bestsellers The Next Decade and The Next 100 Years. He lives in Austin, Texas.
This Authors at Google talk was hosted by Boris Debic.

Пікірлер: 1 261
awuma 4 жыл бұрын
George Friedman's books and lectures certainly age well! It's mid-2019 and this lecture is even more current (after the refugee crisis and the Brexit vote).
Anaesthesia 4 жыл бұрын
awuma That's because he belongs to people who actually control the world events. He actually acts as advertiser of the agenda of new world order.
John and Judy Schuh
John and Judy Schuh 3 жыл бұрын
I agree with him about Putin. Does anyone not understand that that the Ukraine is not called “Little Russia” for nothing? The very idea of Russia began in Kiev,.
Stimpy Whizzleteeth
Stimpy Whizzleteeth Жыл бұрын
@John and Judy Schuh And here we are.
Lokostroem Жыл бұрын
Age well? His whole point is that the EU will devolve into civil war, due to the 2008 financial crisis. "Greece 26% unemployment..." Fast-forward 7 years and not only is there no war in the EU, but the outer states have almost fully recovered to unpemployment rates of around 10%. Meanwhile the US started a proxy war with Russia to maintain its currency dominance.
Barna George
Barna George Жыл бұрын
@Lokostroem What happend in 2008 will happen again with a bigger rebound. 2008 was only a demo
Thomas Donovan
Thomas Donovan 2 ай бұрын
I love that George always answers questions at the end of every talk.
Christian Libertarian
Christian Libertarian 3 жыл бұрын
Absolutely fantastic lecture. Gathering the threads and putting them together into a coherent story. I guess I have to buy the book.
King of Crabs
King of Crabs 3 жыл бұрын
How much were you paid for this comment?
Mohammed El Massri
Mohammed El Massri 9 ай бұрын
@King of Crabs That was in 2015.How are things now in 2022 ?
(pro)kremeľskí dezoláti
(pro)kremeľskí dezoláti 7 ай бұрын
@King of Crabs "gay music for gay people" you say? looooooool
Christian Libertarian
Christian Libertarian 3 ай бұрын
@King of Crabs Pretty cynical comment. It does reflect on what happens often on the internet. But I actually never did buy the book.
Bouslama Karim
Bouslama Karim 3 жыл бұрын
Yes so well said! People in rich countries often tend to lose touch with reality!
Ayatollah of a rock n rolla
Ayatollah of a rock n rolla 3 жыл бұрын
This guy explains Europe so well. Brilliant speech
Enkidu Gilgamesh
Enkidu Gilgamesh 7 жыл бұрын
I like George Friedman, because he is honest, experienced, clear sighted and has vast perspective!
Khai-Yuen Loh
Khai-Yuen Loh 4 ай бұрын
His predictions on which countries would emerge as world powers and the current war in Ukraine are dismal.
Khai-Yuen Loh
Khai-Yuen Loh 4 ай бұрын
His arguments are sound though. Just that God's plans supercede our own as the saying goes.
Liz Kuisma
Liz Kuisma 3 жыл бұрын
I thoroughly enjoyed this lecture which filled in quite a few gaps in my understanding. Thankyou Mr Friedman.
joeyfotofr 7 ай бұрын
"I see no example of any empire that so rapidly destroyed itself, not because there were external forces but because internally it was so unstable and so disorderly." ~ George Friedman As an American who has lived in Europe for over a decade, I see that quote as more closely describing America than Europe, even granting the fact that George Friedman's analysis of the structural problems of the European Union is as impeccable, as his expectation of Russian behavior is flawed. All in all, a brilliant lecture...jt
Mike Preece
Mike Preece 3 жыл бұрын
He quite rightly pointed out the great change that happened with the voyages of discovery. He failed, though, to acknowledge that the world today is undergoing just as great a change. The rise of huge corporations that can and do ignore international boundaries, choosing where to pay taxes and where not to, and when some of those corporations have a vested interest in armaments etc., in waging pointless wars in parts of the world in which they have have nothing on the ground to lose, and when they can effectively buy politicians, news media and therefore elections, it is as much of a change in geopolitics as in the age of discovery.
ISIS McCain 3 жыл бұрын
The private central banks are above the mega corporations in the food chain. They print money out of thin air and lend it for principal and interest. Do you not smell corruption and tyranny just from that last statement alone? Please do your research, but please keep the power of the bankers in mind while doing that research!!
Nina Loos
Nina Loos 5 ай бұрын
Mike, and how evident it is all, the reality of the American Exceptionalism! Thank you for your well said comment.
Enkidu Gilgamesh
Enkidu Gilgamesh 7 жыл бұрын
Learned enough about history. Thanks to George Friedman!
Gerard Vaughan
Gerard Vaughan 4 жыл бұрын
Like his very distant relative, Benjamin H Freeman.
David C
David C 4 жыл бұрын
Couple of questions? How does the current changing demographics in Europe; influx of African and Middle East immigrants, effect it in the long term in reference to Mr Friedman's predictions? If he believes that a nation is a generalized collective set of values and cultural norms and vote along those said values, how can he effectively predict what a nation will do if their demographics change? This is especially true a couple generations down the line; many of these immigrants have many more children as compared to ethnic Europeans.
Leon Me
Leon Me 3 жыл бұрын
@Tijuana Foreplay why is the majority of welfare used by people with a darker shade of skin? Explain it without resorting to institutional racism. Bc you know indians and Asians do quite well. Why don't Mexicans and blacks?
Eric Johnson
Eric Johnson 3 жыл бұрын
Excellent question. Who knows what he'll say, all that matters is that we act, we must breed beyond replacement rates, we must incentivize our women to breed more, incentivize our men to be their husbands and rear children, that is our only way out of this shit show. Focus on the old gods, for they knew the way, your choice of course, as it cannot be forced. But nature demands. We must obey, OR WE PERISH. They show natures path, and in order to survive we must adapt. David I hope this reaches you and touches your soul, however you wish to act, is only up to you.
Dieter Metzger
Dieter Metzger Жыл бұрын
@Leon Me like also jews were supressed in every contry where they were minority, but they often still got more wealthy the original population because they are smarter
Raymond Parsley
Raymond Parsley 3 жыл бұрын
This is the internet at its best, as a tool for educating and informing...exposing us all to great minds like that of George Friedman.... Truly interesting. Thanks.
Alter Ego
Alter Ego 3 жыл бұрын
Thomas Donovan
Thomas Donovan 2 ай бұрын
one of the greats
Jim Naz
Jim Naz 2 жыл бұрын
excellent, extraordinary. thank you for this lecture.
Rybo James
Rybo James 4 жыл бұрын
A moving story and a compelling presentation.
Wilfried Dehne
Wilfried Dehne 3 жыл бұрын
I am a German immigrant to the USA since 1963. Managing a German automation supplier / builder in the USA gave me insight in German and USA problem solving. USA and Germany have provided a good standard of living for most of their citizen but not all of them. The constant struggle to improve the lower income population is a serious challenge. Worrying what this constant struggle does to other countries takes a back seat. I do not see any solution from Mr. Friedman's video.
Alina Tarasyuk Russian Refugee
Alina Tarasyuk Russian Refugee 3 жыл бұрын
He is a jew so he claims Muslims as a problem and blames Germany then pretends he is not blaming anyone. Doublespeak bull.
SeattlePioneer 7 ай бұрын
21dolphin123 3 жыл бұрын
A great summary of recent economic history and where we're heading
Barna George
Barna George Жыл бұрын
@Alter Ego Seems like it aged very well
Tuber me
Tuber me 6 жыл бұрын
Thank you Mr. Friedman for adding clarity to what is like to be part of the human condition. People, we are all one family, let's take care of each other and let's stop repeating the mistakes of the past.
SeattlePioneer 7 ай бұрын
You weren't listening to Friedman. He WAS being clear about the human condition, at least for Europeans, and that human condition is resort to war to settle differences that aren't settled by other means. His lecture discusses the prospect of war between Russia and EU-United States, and that is happening in pretty much the way he described.
Pascale Bertier
Pascale Bertier 8 жыл бұрын
Great conference, no matter you like the man's ideas or not.
Michelle Cox
Michelle Cox 3 жыл бұрын
I am glad he mentioned the 100 million because in 2019 many history teachers deny it. all rights reserved
swirlcrop 6 жыл бұрын
This is a surprisingly good talk. I agree with a lot of what George Friedman says here.
spencer -
spencer - 6 жыл бұрын
Agreed, so nuanced and I like the objectivity over the Ukraine crisis. It isn't often a man uses a personal story, disavows it as personal, and ties it into understanding the whole.
swirlcrop 6 жыл бұрын
I think I´m gonna watch more of his talks. It has wide appeal both to academics and the everyday person.
Priceless presentation. By the way, the town he mentions at 8:42 where his father met the Jews / weapons smugglers is Bratislava (capital of Slovenia, I think). Congratulations, Google!
Aleksa Radojičić
Aleksa Radojičić 3 жыл бұрын
Bratislava is capital of Slovakia.
Yasmine Huyghebaert
Yasmine Huyghebaert 3 жыл бұрын
I lost my grandfather in war, my dad was 4 when he lost his daddy. This trauma never leaves, it stay in your cells even after several generations. My grandfather was brought into a camp, died somewere but my father and grandmother never found his body. His other brothers were also in camps budt they came back. These are heavy traumas. Now Germany is still a. country that I never connect with because of this. I know Germany is not Ok, some say that merkel is the daughter of Hitler, I know that they have always been steong in technology and that the nazi s moved to America after the war to work for NASA like Werner von Braun. It hurts that you speek like we are all evil, but the evil is on the top not with the normal people. Greed and power, that is what they want, we are just numbers, slaves. We have always been that, I know there is going to be a collaps, but this time it will be worldwide. We all have to get through because of all the money printing, the lies, the corruption.....but we all he e to get through it. My grandparents lost everything during war, my parents lost everything during crisis and probably we will lose it too, but better to be aware of whats coming then be unaware, then the shock will be so severe.
Michael Ring
Michael Ring 3 жыл бұрын
Buy Gold and silver
Yasmine Huyghebaert
Yasmine Huyghebaert 3 жыл бұрын
@Michael Ring Hello Michael, thanks for your respond, I am protected, thx
Billy Bob
Billy Bob 3 жыл бұрын
What a load of horsecrap. If trauma stays with us then almost everyone in the world has genetic PTSD, your ancestors were in camps, mine were getting starved and shelled. No one had a good time back then, not even the Germans as individuals. You are right about the collapse and whatnot though.
J gardiner johnson
J gardiner johnson Жыл бұрын
It is true I am a descendant from the Caribbean and I know that the enslavement of Africans over centuries and the serious mistreatment has left a real scar and legacy that we have not been close to dare to contend with, but dare we must. Thank goodness the PM of Barbados is attempting to ask us to address this trauma and giving us confidence to move forward and ahead. I fully understand where you are coming from.
Garrett Dills
Garrett Dills 3 ай бұрын
Financial independence is something that people spend decades trying to achieve. For the average American worker, this can be a slow grind of saving a few hundred dollars per month in the hopes of being financially free at sixty-five so they can finally enjoy retirement. The problem? You spent three or four decades at a job, waiting to do what you want. Buddy, INVEST if you want to crack the code to financial freedom, retire early. In three years, I've earned more than $5 million.
Justina Earley
Justina Earley 3 ай бұрын
Congrats. My husband is 55 years old, and I am almost 42. We saved about $386,000 from our farm. We're thinking about putting half of our money into the stock market. Having said that, we have been tracking stock recommendations from KZbinrs, particularly Jim Cramer.
Andrew Garrels
Andrew Garrels 3 ай бұрын
@Justina Earley There are trained financial/investment counselors who can help you get through this and feel more confident in your personal finance and investing journey, particularly those with more than ten years of experience.
Linda Addams
Linda Addams 3 ай бұрын
@Andrew Garrels Andrew, I concur wholeheartedly. I lost $63,590 in a savings account when my bank failed in 2008. I tried to get it out, but they refused. I was devastated and needed to invest as a backup plan. As a result, I sought the assistance of an investment advisor. Just last month, I received $158,000 in investment earnings.
Teresa Brickle
Teresa Brickle 3 ай бұрын
@Linda Addams I'm glad I came across this. Could you please tell me the name and contact information of the investment advisor who assisted you with your investments, if you don't mind?
Linda Addams
Linda Addams 3 ай бұрын
@Teresa Brickle KATHERINE DUFFY BURKE, You can find her by searching her full name online. She is well-known. She has appeared on Fox Business, Bloomberg and WSJ to discuss market and portfolio growth.
[a]_{i,j} 2 жыл бұрын
This man is a genius. To answer the question of the power of germany: it's a country of engineers that at the one side takes pride in its bureaucracy and other side is driving by people that are fundamentally afraid and depressive.
Duane Bidoux
Duane Bidoux Жыл бұрын
They have a very functional efficient government (relatively speaking to most governments). They are very efficient administrators as well as engineers. More than any other country they have been able to handle the displaced workers of globalization by retraining for new jobs. But, being a mercantile power is their weakness. (Fine Living is the French's weakness lol).
Dixie Riese
Dixie Riese Жыл бұрын
It's now 2022 and Russia is on Ukraine. Your talk is very relevant even after 7 years. You foresight is spot on..... Now let's see where the bluff of USA/NATO leads us to
Yuqian Wang
Yuqian Wang 2 ай бұрын
Well he predicted that Russia is not going to invadde Ukraine...and also the europeans would remain divided. well russia did invade ukraine, and the europeans/americas showed a lot of solidarity. So I'd say the foresight isn't exactly spot on.
cairo 7 ай бұрын
In Greece the state paid jobs had ridiculous high salaries. Like a common bureaucrat got a house (yes, a house) after some 30 years in the job. Had a nice salary too. The train drivers had a so called extra month salary. They had 13, 14, 15, 16., 17. 18 and 19th month salary.
angel666 3 жыл бұрын
Awsome ,Eloquent Analyser ! Brilliant professor .
Saroj Dip
Saroj Dip 2 ай бұрын
Very noble speech or talk. I do really appreciate
Frank S
Frank S 3 жыл бұрын
Brilliant lecture
Olaf 8 жыл бұрын
He completely lost me going into detail on Europe. Comparing Germany as an export nation in Europe to the United States hypothetically exporting 50 % of its product to Canada and Mexico is ridiculous considering the population sizes involved. Germany has been a manufacturing center in Europe for a long time, that by itself has got nothing to do with the Maastricht Treaty.
Aro Ada
Aro Ada 2 жыл бұрын
As a European myself, i watched with lot´s of atention Dr Friedman´s points towards Europe´s fate while we do all recognize that all arguments made by him are well established, there´s a point that has escaped from his analysis, and that´s having to do with what new generations feel about European project, nationalism indeed exist in our continent, but the interesting think is that younger Europeans consider themselves primarily Europeans and secondly whatever their nationality might be, that´s because they travel freely ,establish relations, work , study in other countries plus a significant percentage is able to communicate easily in more than four languages,younger Europeans are quite educated sophisticated and see the future of their native land linked entirely into European project, we do know that in a world scene no European country alone can raise a loud enough voice inside a theater composed by actors as USA, China, India, Russia,Japan, Brazil, Indonesia,Mexico and so on....together we are a giant.....alone we are just a bunch of countries, at the end is not the only prediction in which Dr Friedman has failed....so far, as the one made for China some years ago, does not corresponds with today´s reality.Do we Europeans disagree one with other? of course we do,but we do not and especially the younger ones think of raising walls or going to war....... to give you an example : as you know during iiww almost all European families have suffered by some other European army, and while this is true for older generations to us younger such an incident represents a tragic moment in our common history, who in some strange way has contribute to the peace and thrive of Europe....yes we do not always agree with EU decisions, and that´s because we want Europe to mature and to act as a single entity......we are quite overconnected over here.....in every aspect: family,friends,work,studies,travel.....and so on, European project can´t be stopped because is moved by Europeans themselves.....Dr Friedman could not be more inaccurate....
Rodney Henchliffe
Rodney Henchliffe 2 жыл бұрын
Hi, I really enjoyed reading your post. Its refreshing whenever someone tries to form genuine arguments based on reason. I would like to start by testing some of your reasoned assertions here; simply reasoning that the EU is largely 'unified' and 'all together' is nice (this is the picture you are painting), but this approach discounts the real major problems the block faces and has failed to resolve for over decades now, and, misrepresents massively important divisions as a result within and across Europe ... deep structural economic and political problems that cause 'disunity' and now even part 'disintegration' via the second largest EU net contributor leaving under the banner of Brexit. Sure, we can discuss these issues 'together' ... we can say that "every territory has its problems" ... but this would be dismissive and doesn't alter matters. Maybe I should be more specific and less general. You 'say' or 'reason': "... we want Europe to mature and to act as a single entity ..." Really? Who's "We"??? (Who wants Europe to be a "single entity"? does this include Germany?) How many decades does it take to 'mature'? and why does EU economic growth consistently lag and remain so elusive?????? A "single entity"??? Really? Does this mean you are wishing for 'full alignment'? because Germany won't stand for full alignment on economic grounds - why would it do that? And in much the same way, as the EU increasingly centralized power the UK European skeptics increasingly became fearful of being less in control of policy decision-making versus centrally driven EU reprisals due to 'non-compliance' - this helped drive Britain away! As a result, the EU lost one of its largest most lucrative net contributors and you want to maintain a discourse about 'unity'? You say: "European project can't be stopped because is moved by Europeans themselves ...". With respect, you are conveniently lumping all Europeans together by reason alone. Which European project are you citing specifically? Broad political integration? Economic integration? A single immigration policy for all? - i.e., regardless of differences in democratic feeling (think Poland) or geographic vulnerability. Don't get me wrong, its good that you want to remain being a European. But the way the EU is being run is frankly irresponsible on behalf of nearly half a billion people. Its not "maturing" ... its being RUN!!!! Think about that and how the EU is being maintained (I contend that the EU is being run to benefit some more than others). More specifically, Germany is the biggest beneficiary of "European integration" ... right?, which is not really full integration or "Europeans together" at all (you are wrong). The EU supplies the political and economic certainty on which German prosperity has been built and maintained against consistent low growth. No country has more to lose from a break-up than Germany. Thus it is not simply that "together we are giant ..." but Germany continues to do very nicely from the single currency indeed. Just look at the unemployment figures in Germany (4%?) and compare this with most of Southern Europe (25% youth unemployment?). What the Dang? There has been a spectacular rise in support for far-right parties in Europe over the last two decades, but what has driven this electoral success? Drawing on new research, Vasiliki Georgiadou, Lamprini Rori and Costas Roumanias demonstrate that different types of far-right party have benefitted from different factors: economic insecurity has helped increase support for ‘extremist right’ parties, while cultural factors have been associated with the growth of the ‘populist radical right’. This is just one existential threat that could lead the break-up of the EU. And this is just one of many links you can find on this subject (see below). The problem is, the EU has other massive problems too, each of which partly stem from how the EU is being run. It seems that political 'disunity' is a growing phenomena withing the EU (this is not "Europeans all together"). newrepublic.com/article/153964/will-radical-right-break-eu It was the Americans that created the EU and funded the rebuilding of Europe towards this project after WWII (the EU didn't just happen because "Europeans wanted it"). Friedman observes this. In terms of Friedman's central thesis though, he also makes various valid points 'for discussion' (The Next 100 Years is not a 'fixed prediction', it provides a framework for discussion about the possible future and he's clear about the limitation and role his methodology plays). That's my understanding. He asks: if the EU fails to provide 'prosperity' what comes next? This is one of his big questions, because the EU is 'failing' on the back of this particular promise upon which it is fundamentally founded!!!! And people become more resistant to immigration and power being centralized once prosperity eludes them - our instinct is to regain something 'for ourselves' (think Brexit): I would argue that Brexit is an example of this happening as the EU starts to 'disintegrate'. And it is not going to stop there. Just as another example, what do you think will happen with Poland? Poland is now set to exploit the Polish Bloc's increased sphere of influence to rebuild its economy. The United States has begun to look at the Polish Bloc's growing strength as a potential future threat. To prevent Polish hegemony in Europe, the United States will ally with its former enemies Japan and Turkey, as well as the UK, to prevent Poland from dominating Eurasia, and will prevent Poland from making use of space for military purposes. Poland is already an regional power emerging that is land-locked hence the resistance to mass immigration we have seen. As it becomes even more powerful, it will naturally want to assert itself separately (It will only 'buy' EU 'unity' for a time and we already see cracks emerging). Just a few thoughts, of which there is far much more I could inject to support a counter-argument to your own. But 'disunity' and 'disintegration' are present for us to see already. We can disagree, that's fine. Regards
Nick Clegg's Promise
Nick Clegg's Promise Жыл бұрын
At what point does support for European centralisation and unity simply become a new nationalism? And when it does will it be any less dangerous than the nationalisms it replaced?
Kirstin Strand
Kirstin Strand Жыл бұрын
@Rodney Henchliffe thank you. As a North American curious about International Polices, your perspective is how I understand the current situation. Very well done! PS, we, in the US are beginning to see similar fractions within the primary 48 states. It raises concerns for me.
Rodney Henchliffe
Rodney Henchliffe Жыл бұрын
@Kirstin Strand no worries, Kirsten. Interesting stuff this.
Martin Karlsson
Martin Karlsson Жыл бұрын
@Rodney Henchliffe The "problem" with EU is that Friedman along with many others seem to think the goal of EU is to become "United States of Europe" while most Europeans simply see the EU for what it is, a structure of cooperation. What is breaking EU apart is rather the fact that the elite is striving for the "USE" while common people look at USA as something deterrent, showing how we don't want our future to look like.
William Bruce Wilhite
William Bruce Wilhite 3 жыл бұрын
A brilliant presentation.
Ketiboa Blay
Ketiboa Blay 4 ай бұрын
Excellent lecture
Brent Hendricks
Brent Hendricks 4 жыл бұрын
The book to read that will add to this is "The revenge of Geography". It deals with "what a nation is" which is about the geographic boundaries, not political boundaries... such as the land from the English channel to the Ural mtns, where most of the killings took place in the last 100 years. Why Iran is a country and Iraq and Syria are political creations of past wars. The curious thing about this talk is that he didnt connect it to the Google people which are transcendent above all of these boundaries, created and natural. That he didnt connect it to his audience was unfortunate.
Eric Johnson
Eric Johnson 3 жыл бұрын
its not that syria and iraq are unnatural, they are very natural, its that they are very convenient
Tomer Ben David
Tomer Ben David 3 жыл бұрын
So clear! Thank you!
Dr. Alexander Müller
Dr. Alexander Müller Жыл бұрын
Breathtaking to look back at this speech from march 2022
SeattlePioneer 7 ай бұрын
D Strachan
D Strachan 5 ай бұрын
We got here because of flawed views as people like him is promoting, due to his bitternes towards the Europeans. He's a good speaker though!!
Machilado antonio
Machilado antonio 5 ай бұрын
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Barbie Turner
Barbie Turner 4 ай бұрын
Indeed! Gotta go see if he's spoken anywhere lately.
Doug Ryan
Doug Ryan 3 жыл бұрын
There are many things right here. Europe needs to start paying for It's own defense and I whole heartedly agree that Europeans calling the US "Cowboys" is laughable considering they themeselves wiped out 100 Million of their own population in the last century alone. There is a reason why there are no competitive technology companies in Europe. I love the place, I love a lot of European people -- Being a Canadian (A very new country) it is so nice to see old culture, however, It is so evident that Europeans have so many conflicting Interests that It seems Impossible to form a coherent government body. I see the value in maintaining Nationalism but I also see value in uniting, but it's so fraught with difficulty that I do not think It's going to happen. All the best and all the luck (You guys are going to need it!). The Canadian :)
Eric Johnson
Eric Johnson 3 жыл бұрын
@Connor Donohoe possible. this is a serious test however, of your commitment to survival and the ability to adapt. I agree with your assessment though, congress are responsible for a whole heap of shit, that they eventially didnt pay for.
Rodney Henchliffe
Rodney Henchliffe 2 жыл бұрын
There's not much I can disagree with here. I could only add to it, for example the other day an EU citizen/ debater told me that "the Americans run NATO" and argued that 'Europe' doesn't want the U.S. dictating their level of military spending. Fine, but 1.2% of combined EU GDP doesn't 'cut it', they have to start spending and cannot continue rely on the US/UK military alliance and spending to support them forever. Also, it shouldn't go unmissed that the current secretary general of NATO is the former Norwegian prime minister Jens Stoltenberg, who took office on 1 October 2014. Stoltenberg's mission as secretary general was extended for another four-year term, meaning that he will lead NATO until September 30, 2022. Brexit itself remains testimony to the "return to nations" and the EU 'disintegration' process in action we now see has begun (it doesn't end with Brexit - UK Euroskeptics and the British electorate ultimately couldn't square greater EU centralization with dwindling prosperity under the banner of this 'grand project' - the natural instict is to take something back 'for your country'). Germany continues to prosper while EU growth continues to lag, and there isn't the prospect that Germany would ever advocate true economic integration - why the heck would they do that? I won't continue ... but I see all of the 'disunity' and deep structural cracks that will ultimately bring devastating EU 'disintegration' on the back of how the EU is being RUN more for some than others. And we all know about the 'regional geo-political tensions', the history of Europe and how it likes to start wars on itself when things don't look 'Rosy'. I'm scared for them.
Martín Alcala
Martín Alcala 8 жыл бұрын
This guy is beyond awesome :-)
kokolanza 3 жыл бұрын
The entire talk is fascinating, but it begins to take off with the idea of the European Union, attributed to de Gaulle, around 27:20. 👍👍
TestTheTube 5 ай бұрын
If you want to know what led to the war in Ukraine, then you should watch and listen to this. Esp. after minute 53 ... One wonders, why we have so excellent people like Mr Friedman, but politicians and diplomats that ignore the vast knowledge and foresight that specialists like Mr Friedman offer!
ioannis I Mansola
ioannis I Mansola 3 жыл бұрын
A devoted enemy to EU does not always examine international conflicts with less bias
William Behan
William Behan 3 жыл бұрын
A very wise and interesting man .
King of Crabs
King of Crabs 3 жыл бұрын
I wouldn't call him wise. If he was he'd shut the frack up a long time ago.
Pensi Ring
Pensi Ring 3 жыл бұрын
There are ... many things wrong here. First, Europe was not an empire, it was a collection of empires. And it had in fact long periods of peace - Germany for example, nowadays considered the most militaristic and ambitious state, fought no wars from 1871 to 1914. Fourty years of peace in europe. So it is completely wrong to say that all europeans lived in fear of each other. Quite the opposite was the case. Everybody was convinced that war would not come, and secondly, that they would win. And the July Crisis was not really that remarkable. Similar crisis had come before and were solved diplomatically, without any bloodshed. What was different this time was that this balance was threatened on two fronts. First, Germany had risen to become the most powerful empire, at least industrially, and was seeking to do what all the other empires had done before: Act on a global scale. Secondly, Austria was facing a slow but steady decline into meaninglessness. There was a lot of conflict in the air, because there was peace for so long. France felt humiliated and faced a similar decline, Great Britain was losing relative power in the face of a rising Germany and US, Russia was just Russia (some things never change). So, naturally, everybody tried to either better their standing, or not lose their position. That is really important, because Germany, being the youngest of the empires, and the strongest, had no natural allies besides Austria - who only were natural allies because they were also German, but they were weak. Much like the Ottoman Empire, the Sick Man of Europe, the KuK Monarchy was at that point a paper tiger. So Germany found itself surrounded by more or less hostile nations, with only one ally. And that ally was intent on regaining past glory. The Austrians basically gambled: Either they win the next war, which means renewing their empire, or they lose it and go down in flames, but they would also go down if they do nothing. And Germany was stupid enough to stand by their ally. The rest is history. Second, IF the diplomats of 1914 had nuclear weapons at their disposal, there would have been no war. It wasn't better diplomatic skills or sober tempers that kept the Russians and Americans from fighting, it was the utter dread of complete nuclear annihilation. Third, Europeans have been extraordinarily violent. Woohoo, here we go again... I guess he just ignores the American conquests and the native genocide to prove his point. He also ignores literally EVERYTHING ELSE. The only reason that Europeans seem violent to him is because he does not know any other history. You just have to look to China, the middle east, India, or really any other place that has produced civilization, to see that all of them also produce war. Need I remind you all of the Azteks? Who where so violent and hated that neighbouring countries banded together with the european conquistadors and wiped them from the face of the earth? And America is only pacifistic in the way that Europeans were pacifistic up until WW1: They fought all their close wars already, beating everybody surrounding them into submission (plus their civil war), and once they asserted complete dominance over their neighbours, they started to colonize the world and fight their wars on foreign soil.
Ludwig van El
Ludwig van El 3 жыл бұрын
One of the reasons WW1 dragged on as it did, instead of one side running out of money and having to give up, like in most wars before (which raised volunteers expectations for a quick end - obviuosly a victory for them), was central banking. Germany vould not inflate its way into,m military victory (and future economic defeat), like the British and Amricans could, so they had to hyper-inflate to pay off the loans. Also, civilization means, that a nation organizes its military horizontally and vertically, instead of all warriors charging into battle after the chief,
Alex Long
Alex Long 3 жыл бұрын
Early Europe may not had being an Empire,,, BUT, the inter marriages among the "autocracy" seems to make them, acting like one ??? All in the families, the ruling classes of Early Europe, then they started to fight each other, for power and greed ???
Robert Half
Robert Half 3 жыл бұрын
@Ludwig van El No, WW1 ended because of the Lord sending the Spanish flu to infect the combatants and populations supporting them, because the chastisement for sins of the flesh was sufficient. However, the BVM came to Fatima in 1917 announcing the imminent cessation of the war, but warning us that unless we bettered ourselves, a worse war would erupt in the pontificate of Pius IX, who had not yet been elected. Man did not better himself and became a licentious monster, WWII broke out and world wide carnage of the illicit issue of fornicating men became cannon fodder. Today, since satan unleashed the unholy Trinity of sex, drugs and rock ‘n roll, mankind, overwhelmed by carnal addictions, have reached the point of internet porn saturation driving men into masturbating nitwits, and a pandemic of prostate cancer rendering the west's ability to procreate null and void, while Islam increases to exponential levels of superior numbers to fulfill Isaiah 10:1-7. All because we have forgotten God and how to pray and fast. Armageddon is on the horizon and its 11:59:57 PM. Pray the Rosary if you know what's good for you. And, trust me, you don't.
truthsayer 0
truthsayer 0 3 жыл бұрын
@Robert Halfvery interesting
Gerald O'Hare
Gerald O'Hare Жыл бұрын
I remember in elementary school when I was a child many Hungarian children enrolled in our school and didn’t speak English at all. At the end of the school year they were fluent in English. I’m 75 and I wonder what happened to them in life.
B123 6 ай бұрын
In the government.
Elliot F.
Elliot F. 3 жыл бұрын
Wars are not fought with people you don't know? How about all the wars of conquest of nations around the world? Here we are 4 years later and Europe didn't fall apart...yet. Europe has other problems like confronting efficient Chinese production and unfair trade practices. They are also contending with an unprecedented amount of underproductive people who are on the dole.
Eric Johnson
Eric Johnson 3 жыл бұрын
they are unproductive because they dont see a future worth fighting for. its really that simple. To energize a population you must give them something to be hopeful about and an enemy to fight and win against.
Ronbo710 3 жыл бұрын
Scary how perpetual warfare has become the new norm. Business as usual takes on a whole new meaning.
David Anderson
David Anderson 3 жыл бұрын
Great talk.
samnuck Жыл бұрын
Hard to believe this was from 2015! so timely for 2022
Mickelodian Surname
Mickelodian Surname Жыл бұрын
All said, he concluded there wouldn't be an actual war in Ukraine. And I'd be of the opinion that nobody was more shocked at the speed that NATO and the EU found its calling than George Friedman. The EU was also there with a big stick for Germany to beat them into line!
Rolingmetal 3 жыл бұрын
I'm not a fan of the EU experiment but we might actually need some unity to battle the global changes humanity can expect in the coming centuries.
Al Yz
Al Yz 7 жыл бұрын
Great program. Thanks.
joebainter 4 жыл бұрын
I love listening to this guy
Elijah 3 жыл бұрын
I like his Star Wars analogy at approx 46:30. How do you “create a grand army of the Republic”?...like Chancellor Palpatine.
Mark Smith
Mark Smith 3 жыл бұрын
U.S. Civil War reference, which he plainly explained.
hungryta 2 ай бұрын
“Europeans will never change. they will just pretend it never happened.” -What a strong, eye opening sentence when I look around in Europe in 2023.
Felix van Diggelen
Felix van Diggelen Ай бұрын
He should admit he is talking about EAST-europeans.
Richard Preschel
Richard Preschel 3 жыл бұрын
Friedman, the genius that predicted in 1991 a war between the US and Japan in the next 20 years (which have elapsed in 2011), predicts in 2015 the collapse of the EU. LOL
Con Cong
Con Cong 3 жыл бұрын
Richard Preschel I think he's right about the EU. I hope he's right. You'd be surprised, I think, how many Europeans are praying he's right.
Richard Preschel
Richard Preschel 3 жыл бұрын
@Con Cong Why should you hope he's right? What harm has the EU done to you? More than 70% of EU's citizens are happy to be in it.
Unwashed Unelected
Unwashed Unelected 5 ай бұрын
It was a financial war. (See “princes of the yen”)
sonja k
sonja k 4 жыл бұрын
The dad wanted to go to a strong country...the son wants to support the strong country.
HT 3 жыл бұрын
Yup, evident aint it! And now grandson makes weapons for same army.
Kyle Schaff
Kyle Schaff 3 жыл бұрын
What? His dad wanted to go to a nation that was both internally and externally stable because his livelihood had been threatened twice by things outside of his control. Now, Friedman is a geopolitical analyst. Is he supposed to say America isn’t all that important of a country? That America’s international clout hasn’t been injected everywhere? That any other nation post-Cold War offsets influence in any way? Get real, dude
Withnail1969 3 жыл бұрын
yep pretty much. George's whole outlook seems to come from this story.
SeattlePioneer 7 ай бұрын
Friedman's father faced geopolitical reality and chose the United States. Good choice. Friedman now analyzes geopolitical reality, and proves that his father made the right choice. The only problem with that is that the United States continues to be involved in Europe ---currently confronting Putin's threat to use nuclear weapons. The United States doesn't need Europe, and the smart basis for American foreign policy was identified by George Washing as America's first President "No entangling foreign alliances." The United States should abandon Europe, and the world, to solve it's own problems. The United States is not the policeman of the world, and shouldn't try to be.
ClarksonsinUSA 7 жыл бұрын
George is awesome... :)
Haim Shenkar
Haim Shenkar 3 жыл бұрын
Unfortunately, he is completely right. There was a moment of climax and quick process to the point of no return due to Middle East emigration
ArchesBro 4 жыл бұрын
He misunderstand the Ukraine geopolitical dilemma. Ukraine has warmwater ports that Russia desperately needs and has been using under Ukraine for a long time peacefully. When the status of Ukraine came under question their hand was forced and they were obligated to invade. Europeans tempted Ukraine, but when push came to shove they had no ability or even thoughts about defending Ukraine
Kirsch kern
Kirsch kern 4 жыл бұрын
Not misunderstood. He just not tell it. He understand it. And he will never say it in a direct way. He want to make another picture of the situation.
truthsayer 0
truthsayer 0 3 жыл бұрын
Ukraine is the birth of Russia.
truthsayer 0
truthsayer 0 3 жыл бұрын
@Kirsch kern well said
JBTechCon 3 жыл бұрын
Great talk, once he actually got started. Do yourself a favor and skip ahead to about 27:00. That's where he gets to the substance.
SirFiggin 7 жыл бұрын
George has a habit of laughing to make his audience less scared
Mohamed Mohamoud
Mohamed Mohamoud 6 жыл бұрын
Me, The guy is raising European unity to stand up against their eastern giants neighbor Russia while denouncing Germans vision and economic relations with Russia as to their European neighbours and averting Thierry eyes from what they call transAtlantic relations
Álvaro Gines
Álvaro Gines 4 жыл бұрын
Laughs like George Bush
Mathias Raulf
Mathias Raulf 4 жыл бұрын
I believe he cannot help but chuckle at the daftness of his listeners. It always happens shortly before he tells a particularly sinister and devious lie.
Fusselwurm 4 жыл бұрын
@Mathias Raulf such as?
방탄소 4 жыл бұрын
@Álvaro Gines I always thought so
curioso 7 жыл бұрын
In light of current events isn't hard to see those who are pulling the strings.
Anaesthesia 4 жыл бұрын
curioso And George Friedman is their prophet - to psychologically prepare the public about what is coming in the near future - ultimately controlling the world from Jerusalem.
Ula Thomas
Ula Thomas 3 жыл бұрын
Anaesthesia Not only preparing the public but contributing towards the events( keen warmongering).
Joeblack 4 жыл бұрын
The E,U, plan was in the pipeline by Germany way before the first world war, as soon as the second world war was over the German industrialist started making plans again, the U,S,A, did not want the union to succeed because it would have to compete, Peter Hitchens has a good blog on this very fact.
Curt's Clocks
Curt's Clocks 3 жыл бұрын
I was watching the armaments of our USA nation, heading to the eastern/central nations of Europe. I believe that is what he was referring to, it was called Operation Atlantic Resolve.
Omar B
Omar B 12 күн бұрын
Damn this aged well. That last point
Tazio Mirandola
Tazio Mirandola 2 жыл бұрын
The interesting part starts at minute 32:00.
Charles Long
Charles Long 3 жыл бұрын
This guy is batting about 30% in his predictions. He would do better if he said, “it will or it won’t happen.” Then he would be 50% accurate.
junsu21 3 жыл бұрын
I don't think you listened carefully.
HT 3 жыл бұрын
JP Zhang
JP Zhang Ай бұрын
He is right to point out European union's inherent problems. That may stop Europe from being the No.1 power. But political power does not equate to ordinary citizens' life standards.
Hilton Watkins
Hilton Watkins 5 жыл бұрын
Too many vulgar comments. People need to make their comments with a little less emotion and a lot more intelligence. I think most people would agree it would be embarrassing to them to read after they grow up. I find George very thoughtful and I like the way he precedes his views with the facts as he understands them. I believe in listening to as many viewpoints as possible and drawing my own conclusions, knowing that the future becomes more recognizable the closer it comes.
Michelle Cox
Michelle Cox 3 жыл бұрын
My world history teacher predicted the world we live in now in 1987. all rights reserved
Maggie Adams
Maggie Adams 3 жыл бұрын
Aren't many Americans largely of European decent? I'm only half way through this and trying to understand why he talks about Europeans as though they were an homogeneous group, when up until quite recently Europe was, and still is to a lesser extent, a collection of countries speaking different languages with differing food, traditions etc. France, Germany, Italy were each made up of smaller countries speaking differing tongues in the 1800's. Naturally they had wars just as the people's in the Bible over thousands of years fought wars with their neighbours, Syria, Egypt, Persia, The Hittites, Israel, Moab, they were all at it!. Just as some of the native Americans fought tribal wars. Truth is is that fighting wars is a human, generally male trait, and not exclusively European by any stretch of the imagination!
Olena Ksovreli
Olena Ksovreli 4 жыл бұрын
მადლობა ბატონო ფრიდმან!🇬🇪Дякую пане Фридман🇺🇦. 29:29
Ronald Ostrowski
Ronald Ostrowski 7 жыл бұрын
So, all Friedman knows is that France and Germany failed to conquer Russia. Friedman does not know his European history when he neglects to mentioned that the Polish and Lithuanian Commonwealth for centuries controlled the Ukraine, and even occupied Moscow for a few years in 1609. The Russians even made a movie about that recently with the title '1612'. Even Smolensk remained under Polish rule for over 100 hundred years. It is important to know this history to put things into perspective.Central and Eastern Europe rely on NATO. They fear an increasingly desperate Germany forming yet another 1939 type short term alliance with a Russia wanting to re-emerge as a dominant power. Friedman also forgets to mention that in 1920 the Poles saved Europe, at least a weaken Germany post WW1, from a Bolshevik invasion. The Poles know the Russian threat only too well and resent how Churchill and Roosevelt failed to heed their warnings before the Yalta Agreement. There are really two Europes. One that enjoyed the post war economic boom, and another that suffered economic repression and political oppression under Soviet imposed communist systems. The Eastern half is only too aware of the Russian threat and have now become distrustful of Western Europe, particularly Germany. This divide could become more pronounced if Brexit occurs and Hungary have a referendum against taking refugees. Eastern and Central Europe are treated as second class and often vilified by Western Europeans who don't even bother to read the histories of these nations. The Germans in particular, but also the Brits have this very negative thing about the Poles. Very loud German individuals writing articles and Utube crap claiming that the Poles started WW11 as well as allegedly murdered two million ethnic Germans during 1945 to 1947, and who demand the regained Polish territories of Silesia and Pomerania, ain't helping matters any.Basically, America should leave the military affairs of Western Europe to France and England, and instead continue to bolster the military capability of the former East Block, who resent interference from Brussels. There is a new dawn in Europe and that is the other Central and Eastern Europe. I was at the World Trade fair in Shanghai during 2010 and saw first hand the massive effort these nations are undertaking to also forge major trade deals with that other giant East of the Russian Federation - namely China. Interesting, the high quality Polish WW11 TV series "Days of Honour" about the Polish resistance to both the German invaders and subsequent communist government, which is only shown in Scotland and Italy, is being screened on Chinese Television. Watch this space as another part of Europe takes the lead in preserving Europe and its legacy against a potential Russian invasion.
Рафаил Курмаев
Рафаил Курмаев 7 жыл бұрын
So, aside from confirming that Poles like their alternative history phantasies, how could you explain why Russia would attack Eastern Europe? Just what's the point of attacking? A hint: Russia is a capitalist country.
Ronald Ostrowski
Ronald Ostrowski 7 жыл бұрын
Oh, you just confirmed the Russian agenda towards Poland and other East/Central countries by so casually dismissing their histories as fantasies. It demonstrates a disregard for the past that so directs these countries against you and disrespect as a precursor to a potential invasion. I am of Polish extraction and do take interest in history, yours included given that I also have some distant Russian ancestry as well. My take on your very sad history, where the greater majority got the raw deal and only the privileged few benefitted from Russia's imperialist glory, is that Russian people by and large are prone to brainwashing by tyrants The few dissidents are dispatched in short order. Democracy is not in your DNA just is not part of your sense of human dignity, pride, and self-respect as you allowed centuries of despotic rulers cruelly abuse you. Marshall Pilsudski who sent you guys packing in 1920 was right about aq suffocating Russia, whether as repressive Czarists or Bolsheviks. I suppose the revenge of the Georgians was giving you Stalin, the Jews giving you Trotsky, and the Poles giving you the ruthless and psychotic Felix Dzierzynski, who created the murderous police state under Cheka later to be known as the NKVD. You say that Russia is a capitalist country. Well, newsflash, you can be both a capitalist country and an imperialistic and despotic one. Ask the German industrialists who scored big time as Hitler unleashed WW2.
Рафаил Курмаев
Рафаил Курмаев 7 жыл бұрын
Thank you. You confirmed the racist attitude of Poles towards Russians. I like your condescending manner of preaching, it sounds very funny and helps you a lot. But I digress. Russia is a capitalist country. It means that all expenses are calculated including the military ones. What is the point of occupying Eastern Europe? What resources have you got? Which product will compensate for occupation?
Ronald Ostrowski
Ronald Ostrowski 7 жыл бұрын
I am currently reading a biography of Pilsudski by Peter Hetherington. The future leader of a liberated Poland experienced his education in Russian schools where Polish history was belittled by Russian teachers, who like their then German allies were hell bent on destroying the Polish language and culture. They failed, obviously.Yes, the decline of the Polish and Lithuanian Commonwealth, which once held territory stretching from Livonia (now Estonia and Latvia) to the Black Sea was in part the responsibility of Polish, Lithuanian and Polonised Ruthenian nobles, as well as some poor decisions of Polish Kings. The consequence was Poland being occupied for 120 years by the Austrians, Germans and Russians. Despite my Polish surname I am not a Pole. My knowledge of Polish history comes from non Polish historians such as Norman Davies and Hetherington, as well as Polish American Zamoyski. You call me a racist. Well, Sunshine your earlier flippant dismissal of Polish history, and describing it as a fantasy indicated that the Russians still have no respect for the Poles or other East and Central European countries, and, I responded in the manner I did. It seems that your fact-impaired notion of Polish history as a mere fantasy is either belittling or racist. While my equally condemning of the Russian history is racist according to you. You can give it but can't take it. And, if Russia is a true democracy can you please explain to me why Russian journalists are murdered, or a protesting girl band is jailed, and why Putin still pulls the strings for nearly two decades with no end in sight. The man is ex KGB and now a billionaire for chrissakes! Now do you understand the vigilance by the former East Block when it comes to Putin's Russia? Show less
Рафаил Курмаев
Рафаил Курмаев 7 жыл бұрын
Typical: lots of cliches, emotional statements, lies, but no specific information. The question was: Why would Russia attack Poland? What's the use? It's cheaper to buy something than to make war, then occupy a country with hostile population and feed it. Occupation must be deserved.
Steve Fitt
Steve Fitt 4 жыл бұрын
An interesting talk, but it left out some important points. The basic treaty locked in certain elements of Neo-liberal or Neo-classical economics. Basically, this put Europe back on the 'gold standard'. The rules say there are just x number of euros (like x tons of gold) and the nations must borrow euros from whoever has them. Fiat money has been found to work well and solve several problems with the gold standard. Add in limits on non-gov. lending/borrowing and it would pretty much end the business cycles the world saw while on the gold standard. . . . International trade is [by definition] a zero sum game. Germany runs a trade surplus with most European nations. So, this sucks euros out of those nations. There is no countering process that replaces the euros of the importing nations. This means that as long as a nation has a trade deficit, no amount of taxation or austerity will provide that Gov. with the euros it needs. It must borrow. But, it can never pay the loan back because the loan doesn't result in a trade surplus. . . . The EU can not be reformed, therefore all the importing nations must leave it ASAP. If and only if they do this, will it maybe be possible for Germany to accept the necessary reforms. Until then Ger. can turn a blind eye to the fundamental problems I outlined above. . . . Modern Money Theory (and practice) shows clearly the problems with the EU rules. They are totally unworkable because they are based on a false economic theory. The new EU must be based on MMT. The EU must start over with a clean piece of paper.
J Charisse Sandberg
J Charisse Sandberg 10 ай бұрын
If there were a new EU, with new paper, what do you suggest the importing countries do, so that it doesn't happen again?
SeattlePioneer 4 ай бұрын
Aichu Johnson
Aichu Johnson 3 жыл бұрын
>> 0:30:00 I really "LOVE" how he talks about Russia invading Georgia as if Georgian state did not try to oppress their Ossetian minority group. Yet when it comes to U.S. going to Yugoslavia to prevent ethnic cleansing by Miloshevich, that is "Peacekeeping".
patrick gordon
patrick gordon 3 жыл бұрын
1 mans terrorist is another mans freedom fighter.... 17 76 happy 4th July from the UK.. its all about respect..
andrew J
andrew J 6 ай бұрын
Great analysis by George but the Russian obsession with Ukraine is cannot be explained solely by military strategic significance. 1. The argument about Ukraine as a potential invasion corridor is substantially weakened by the existence of the Russian nuclear arsenal which is an existential threat to any potential invader. Therefore alternative explanations must come to the fore. 2. The commitment of Putin and his clique under the influence of Alexander Dugin, to the resurrection of the Russian Empire, is one salient alternative explanation. Putin explicitly refers to this in his recent manifesto. The history of Russia is one of an expansionist power. 3. The cultural and emotional position of Ukraine in the Russian psyche is another. The Putin clique and more broadly, most of the Russian people, view Ukraine as ‘theirs’. 4. The lure of obtaining Ukrainian assets such as its gas fields in Donbas and the Black Sea, and its extremely fertile rich agricultural land is another. Putin’s clique is a kleptocracy with unbridled greed as a driving force. 5. Note the muted Russian reaction to Finland joining NATO which is also a strategic military threat. 6. Russia is extremely adept at political sophistry in geopolitics and pushes this idea of Ukraine a a strategic threat to justify its invasion and as justification for keeping Ukraine under its control. We need to see through that sophistry and not allow Russia to use it as a justification for its invasion of Ukraine.
Milla Heska
Milla Heska 3 жыл бұрын
the main reason for 1914 was oil in Iraq, the German Baghdad Bahn, and England's heart attack at the very thought how much Germans would charge them for oil, if it works. No wonder they tend to make a mess in the Balkans in that case, at all cost. All because of good old greed, and Britain's fear of losing their overseas business of ripping off their colonies, if their ships would be forced to run on coal..
SuperBigwinston 3 жыл бұрын
Very interesting video.
Henry Seidel
Henry Seidel 5 жыл бұрын
"Get your facts first, then you may distort them as you please." (Mark Twain)
Bob Bart
Bob Bart 3 жыл бұрын
Robert Bonneau We don't need help fighting and killing each other ...
rumchjoe 3 жыл бұрын
@Guitar Monkey - What a load of crap. Sounds like you got your history from RT news (Russia). Russia is run by oligarchs afraid that "those clever Europeans" would usurp their control over the Russian people with European freedom and prosperity if given a chance.
Guitar Monkey
Guitar Monkey 3 жыл бұрын
@rumchjoe No sorry nice try but you can't pretend there was no English Civil war and dismiss history as being part pf a Russian TV programme I was actually a well researched Bsc undergraduate in Psychology and Social science and .Whats your educational background?
Alex Goslar
Alex Goslar 4 жыл бұрын
A wonderful narrative about the core values of the Europeans. Thanks for sharing.
Darrylle Sunderland
Darrylle Sunderland 3 жыл бұрын
Alex Goslar: as you say; a narrative. Completely regurgitated PAST, but a narrative nonetheless. We now have lesser worries, but worries nonetheless, where one, global system will never be allowed to rule the UK.
Gerard Vaughan
Gerard Vaughan 3 жыл бұрын
@Darrylle Sunderland 7/7/Ripple Effect They are ruling us alright !
Mole Man
Mole Man 4 ай бұрын
It is an eye opener to watch this in Jan 2023
Paul Joseph Soh
Paul Joseph Soh 7 ай бұрын
So true today in November 2022 with the Ukraine war and the collapse of the European economies due to the energy crisis.
Robert Bennett
Robert Bennett 6 ай бұрын
George Friedman spent time during the Cold War in dreaming of Soviet tanks rushing thru the Fulda Gap and the North German Plain. I recon that he is still disappointed.
Mary-Lee Lutz
Mary-Lee Lutz 3 жыл бұрын
It remains to be seen whether the U.S. will stay "pacifist" as we head towards the elections. We are deeply divided now.
Paul 5 жыл бұрын
I'm curious what he has to say about the Muslim influence in Europe, specifically how it'd being affected by the large amount of immigration.
Eric Johnson
Eric Johnson 3 жыл бұрын
its not just islam, its the demographic change, large influx of Africans and Arabians storming into Europe replacing the native populations. That is the real issue, Islam, is just a political entity, we make it out to be this mythical thing that cannot be stopped, well it can look at the mongols, ooh so terrifying, just dudes on horseback, yet we beat them with new tech and a will to fight, something we have to give the proto Russians credit for, but we must first get rid of the traitors at home, the corporate and the elites with their monetary influence, Europe must be made self sufficient to where a small loyal local business can compete and win against the international corporate and their scumbag bought politicians. That takes innovation and a European community mindset, an alternative tribalism, and an end to the worship of celebrities, money, and material culture.
SeattlePioneer 4 ай бұрын
You should read the French novel "Submission." en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Submission_(novel) It relates a plausible scenario in which the Muslim minority winds up taking control of the French government and imposing Sharia law. The most poignant moment for me is when two French people are discussing the event. One says he's decided to immigrate to Israel. The other says, "I don't have any place to go."
Jim Nutter
Jim Nutter 4 ай бұрын
I’d love to hear his current analysis.j.
ClarksonsinUSA 7 жыл бұрын
The demographic/economic death spiral in the European Union and Russia accelerates after 2020,with each new generation being smaller than the last generation..Leading to less and less economic activity year on year ,and declining tax revenue going forward as far as the eye can see...
Con Cong
Con Cong 3 жыл бұрын
This guy writes for The New York Times. "nuff said!
Neither DoI
Neither DoI 6 жыл бұрын
Another factor could be that in Europe there are many different languages in 2 different main branches (latin and german), we cannot even understand each others :|
Southern C
Southern C 4 жыл бұрын
Like the Tower of Babel
arnoldripkin1 3 жыл бұрын
Question is: Has Friedman ever been right?
Eddie A
Eddie A 3 жыл бұрын
Things are looking great in the EU! Russia invades Ukraine and annexes part of it The US now has Patriot missile batteries in Poland, Romania, and Lithuania. Along with arms sales to those same countries and Latvia. China made Xi a dictator for life, and they have prison camps, authoritarian rule. Turkey is most certainly trying hard to become a big time regional power. Japan will also become a regional power because they're with the US. Poland is also becoming more powerful. The UK is obviously going to go with the US. You shouldn't even try to understand any of this if you don't have a basic understanding of geography. Look at these locations, realize the US is a Naval power, this is how you can control trade. Japan and the UK own some of the world's greatest strategic locations/ports. Did you see the Iranian ship get stopped in Gibraltar? You can control the entrance to the Med with the UK. Poland, Lithuania, Latvia, Romania, Ukraine, etc should be an obvious border for you to see by simply looking at a map. It should also make sense to you that they would side with the US after watching the do nothing EU sit while Russia invaded Ukraine. Nord Stream 2 was just sanctioned, this is the most interesting development, that German hegemony will be stopped, and this is your third border, the Nordic countries, and the Northern Sea Route. George simply wont come out and tell you why this is happening, because he runs in uppity circles and it would be offensive. The EU made a bunch of bad decisions against the US, the same US that has been protecting them, and now they're going to lay in the bed they made. It's actually amazing that they even thought they'd be able to get away with it and win over Americans with BS about being great allies. He hasn't been 100%, but he always counts on America's competition to stay the course on bad decisions, we'll just have to wait and see on what the Europeans do.
Underheaven8 9 ай бұрын
@Eddie A , you're a pretty bright guy, reading this 2 years in.
Emilio Ughetto
Emilio Ughetto 6 ай бұрын
Questa storia mi ha commosso. Auguri di ogni bene.
Chris Reeves
Chris Reeves 3 жыл бұрын
His constant assertions about Europe rarely apply to the UK hence why we're offski
iD 3 жыл бұрын
Chris Reeves Enjoy your trip!
patrick gordon
patrick gordon 3 жыл бұрын
we are Offski ok.. we hang on the outer edge of Europe .. I don't think Britain has ever tried to invade Europe ..helped with a few European freedom fighters and sorting out minor disputes ..the war of the Spanish Succession , Peninsular war, WW1 and WW2 .. I once had a major argument with a friend ... that if Britain had stayed neutral in WW1 we could have supplied both combatants with arms and made a mint .. instead we entered WW1 because 80 years before we guaranteed the freedom of Belgian.. MY great grand died my great uncle dies my grand father survived ..
Joker Жыл бұрын
@patrick gordon there is an interesting debate on this topic on intelligence squared that you might find interesting
AKAHEIZER 2 жыл бұрын
To understand Europe, take a look as this war lists from 1500 until WWI: c. 1500-1854 Lekianoba 1501-1512 Dano-Swedish War (1501-12) 1502-1543 Guelders Wars 1503-1505 War of the Succession of Landshut 1508-1516 War of the League of Cambrai - 31,000 killed in action[1] 1509-1510 Polish-Moldavian War 1514 Poor Conrad's Rebellion 1514 Dózsa rebellion 1514-1517 Saxon feud 1515 Slovene Peasant Revolt 1515-1523 Frisian peasant rebellion 1519-1521 Polish-Teutonic War 1520-1521 Revolt of the Comuneros 1521-1523 Revolt of the Brotherhoods 1521-1523 Swedish War of Liberation 1521-1526 Italian War of 1521-1526 - 30,000 killed in action[1] 1521-1718 Ottoman-Habsburg wars 1522-1523 Knights' Revolt 1524-1525 German Peasants' War 1526 Revolt of Espadán 1526-1530 War of the League of Cognac - 18,000 killed in action[1] 1529 First War of Kappel 1531 Second War of Kappel 1531-1532 War of Two Kings 1534 Silken Thomas Rebellion 1534-1535 Münster Rebellion 1534-1536 Count's Feud 1536-1537 Reformation in Norway 1536-1537 Pilgrimage of Grace 1540 Salt War 1542-1546 Italian War of 1542-1546 - 47,000 killed in action[1] 1542-1543 Dacke War 1543-1550 Rough Wooing 1546-1547 Schmalkaldic War 1549 Kett's Rebellion 1549 Prayer Book Rebellion 1550 Battle of Sauðafell 1551-1559 Italian War of 1551-1559 - 75,000 killed in action[1] 1552-1555 Second Margrave War 1554 Wyatt's rebellion 1554-1557 Russo-Swedish War 1558-1583 Livonian War 1559-1564 Spanish-Turkish War - 24,000 killed in action[1] 1560 Siege of Leith 1562-1598 French Wars of Religion 1563-1570 Northern Seven Years' War 1565 Great Siege of Malta 1566 Siege of Szigetvár 1568-1570 Morisco Revolt 1568-1648 Eighty Years' War 1569-1580 Spanish-Turkish War - 48,000 killed in action[1] 1569-1570 Rising of the North 1569-1573 First Desmond Rebellion 1573 Croatian-Slovene Peasant Revolt 1578 Georgian-Ottoman War 1579-1583 Second Desmond Rebellion 1580-1583 War of the Portuguese Succession 1583-1588 Cologne War 1585-1604 English-Spanish War - 48,000 killed in action[1] 1588-1654 Dutch-Portuguese War 1587-1588 War of the Polish Succession 1590-1595 Russo-Swedish War 1593 Battle of Sisak 1593-1606 Long Turkish War 1593-1617 Moldavian Magnate Wars 1594-1603 Nine Years' War (Ireland) 1595-1621 Moldavian Magnate Wars 1596-1597 Cudgel War 1598-1599 War against Sigismund 1600-1629 Polish-Swedish War 1602 Savoyard escalade of Geneva 1605-1618 Polish-Muscovite War 1606-1607 Bolotnikov Rebellion 1606-1608 Zebrzydowski Rebellion 1610-1614 Spanish-Turkish War - 15,000 killed in action[1] 1610-1617 Ingrian War 1611-1613 Kalmar War 1615-1618 Uskok War 1615-1617 Spanish-Savoian War - 2,000 killed in action[1] 1617-1621 Spanish-Venetian War - 5,000 killed in action[1] 1618-1619 Spanish-Turkish War - 6,000 killed in action[1] 1618-1648 Thirty Years' War 1624-1625 Siege of Breda - Spain vs. Holland, England 1635 Siege of Leuven - Spain vs. Holland, France 1637 Battle off Lizard Point - Spain vs. Holland 1638 Battle of Getaria - France vs. Spain 1639 Battle of the Downs - Spain vs. Holland 1643 Battle of Rocroi - France vs. Spain 1648 Battle of Lens - France vs. Spain 1618-1639 Bündner Wirren 1620-1621 Polish-Ottoman War 1625 Zhmaylo Uprising 1627-1629 Anglo-French War 1628-1631 War of the Mantuan Succession 1630 Fedorovych Uprising 1632-1634 Smolensk War 1637 Pavlyuk Uprising 1638 Ostryanyn Uprising 1639-1653 Wars of the Three Kingdoms 1639-1640 Bishops' Wars 1641-1653 Irish Confederate Wars 1642-1651 English Civil War 1642-1646 First English Civil War 1648-1649 Second English Civil War 1649-1651 Third English Civil War 1649-1653 Cromwellian conquest of Ireland 1640-1668 Spanish-Portuguese War - 80,000 killed in action[1] 1648-1659 Franco-Spanish War - 108,000 killed in action[1] 1648-1657 Khmelnytsky Uprising 1651 Kostka-Napierski Uprising 1651-1986 Three Hundred and Thirty Five Years' War 1652-1674 Anglo-Dutch Wars 1653 Swiss peasant war of 1653 1654 First Bremian War 1654-1667 Russo-Polish War 1654-1660 English-Spanish War - 15,000 killed in action[1] 1655-1660 Second Northern War 1656 War of Villmergen 1663-1664 Austro-Turkish War 1666 Second Bremian War 1666-1671 Polish-Cossack-Tatar War 1667-1668 War of Devolution - 4,000 killed in action[1] 1670-1671 Razin's Rebellion 1672 First Kuruc Uprising 1672-1678 Franco-Dutch War - 342,000 killed in action[1] 1672-1673 Second Genoese-Savoyard War 1675-1679 Scanian War 1676-1681 Russo-Turkish War 1679 Covenanter Rebellion 1683-1684 War of the Reunions - 5,000 killed in action[1] 1683-1699 Great Turkish War - 384,000 killed in action[1] 1685 Monmouth Rebellion 1688 Glorious Revolution 1688-1697 Nine Years' War - 680,000 killed in action[1] 1689-1692 First Jacobite Rising 1700 Lithuanian Civil War 1700-1721 Great Northern War - 30,000 Russians killed in action[2] 1701-1713 War of the Spanish Succession - 1,251,000 killed in action[1] 1703-1711 Rákóczi's War of Independence 1707-1708 Bulavin Rebellion 1712 Toggenburg War 1714-1718 Ottoman-Venetian War 1715-1716 Jacobite rising of 1715 1716-1718 Austro-Turkish War 1718-1720 War of the Quadruple Alliance - 25,000 killed in action[1] 1722-1723 Russo-Persian War 1727-1729 British-Spanish War - 15,000 killed in action[1] 1733-1738 War of the Polish Succession - 88,000 killed in action[1] 1735-1739 Russo-Turkish War 1737-1739 Austro-Turkish War 1740-1748 War of the Austrian Succession - 359,000 killed in action[1] 1740-1763 Silesian Wars 1741-1743 Russo-Swedish War 1745-1746 Jacobite rising of 1745 1756-1763 Seven Years' War - 992,000 killed in action[1] 1757 Georgian-Ottoman Battle 1763-1864 Russo-Circassian War 1768-1772 War of the Bar Confederation 1768-1774 Russo-Turkish War 1770 Georgian-Ottoman Battle 1770 Orlov Revolt 1774-1775 Pugachev's Rebellion 1775-1783 American Revolutionary War 1778-1779 War of the Bavarian Succession 1784 Kettle War 1784-1785 Revolt of Horea, Cloșca and Crișan 1785 Battle of the Sunja 1787 Dutch Patriot Revolt 1787-1792 Russo-Turkish War 1788-1791 Austro-Turkish War 1788-1790 Russo-Swedish War 1790 Saxon Peasants' Revolt 1792 Polish-Russian War of 1792 1792-1802 French Revolutionary Wars - 663,000 killed in action[1] 1794 Kościuszko Uprising 1795 Battle of Krtsanisi 1798 Irish Rebellion of 1798 1798 Peasants' War 1803 Irish Rebellion of 1803 1803 Souliote War 1803-1815 Napoleonic Wars 1804-1813 First Serbian Uprising 1804-1813 Russo-Persian War 1806-1812 Russo-Turkish War 1808-1809 Finnish War 1809 Polish-Austrian War 1815-1817 Second Serbian Uprising 1817-1864 Russian conquest of the Caucasus Battle of Dervenakia (1822) by unknown 1821-1832 Greek War of Independence 1821 Wallachian uprising 1823 French invasion of Spain 1826-1828 Russo-Persian War 1827 War of the Malcontents 1828-1829 Russo-Turkish War 1828-1834 Liberal Wars 1830 July Revolution 1830 Ten Days' Campaign (following the Belgian Revolution) 1830-1831 November Uprising 1831 Canut revolts 1831-1832 Bosnian Uprising 1831-1836 Tithe War 1832 War in the Vendée and Chouannerie of 1832 1832 June Rebellion 1833-1839 First Carlist War 1833-1839 Albanian Revolts of 1833-39 1843-1844 Albanian Revolt of 1843-44 1846 Galician slaughter 1846-1849 Second Carlist War 1847 Albanian Revolt of 1847 1847 Sonderbund War 1848-1849 Hungarian Revolution and War of Independence 1848-1851 First Schleswig War 1848-1849 First Italian War of Independence 1853-1856 Crimean War 1854 Epirus Revolt of 1854 1858 Mahtra War 1859 Second Italian War of Independence 1861-62 Montenegrin-Ottoman War (1861-62) 1863-1864 January Uprising 1864 Second Schleswig War 1866 Austro-Prussian War 1866-1869 Cretan Revolt 1866 Third Italian War of Independence 1867 Fenian Rising 1870-1871 Franco-Prussian War 1872-1876 Third Carlist War 1873-1874 Cantonal Revolution 1875-77 Herzegovina Uprising 1876-78 Serbian-Ottoman War 1876-78 Montenegrin-Ottoman War 1877-1878 Russo-Turkish War 1878 Epirus Revolt of 1878 1885 Serbo-Bulgarian War 1897 Greco-Turkish War 1903 Ilinden-Preobrazhenie Uprising 1904-1908 Macedonian Struggle 1904-1905 Russo-Japanese War 1905 Łódź insurrection 1905 Revolution of 1905 1906-1908 Theriso revolt 1907 1907 Romanian Peasants' Revolt 1910 Albanian Revolt of 1910 1910 5 October 1910 revolution 1911 Albanian Revolt of 1911 1911-1912 Italo-Turkish War 1912-1913 Balkan Wars 1912-1913 First Balkan War 1913 Second Balkan War 1913 Tikveš Uprising 1913 Ohrid-Debar Uprising
Kirstin Strand
Kirstin Strand Жыл бұрын
Thank you! This history is mind boggling; it puts life in a different perspective. What is to happen next? Much Appreciated.
Mickelodian Surname
Mickelodian Surname Жыл бұрын
I think what you demonstrated there is what a huge place Europe is, and how many people live there. Ohh and you demonstrated that copy and paste works. just saying.
SeattlePioneer 7 ай бұрын
Yes, Europe has a thousand years of war as history. And it's future history is a thousand years of history into the future. Heh, heh! You left out a few, though....
goarchie16 7 ай бұрын
I listened to his most recent talk on Ukraine and then this. It seems that how Ukraine has developed and fuel supplies to Europe etc has fed a moral component to Europe uniting. Although far right has had democratic success even that has been curtailed by putins insane use of an autocratic system.
Maggie Smith
Maggie Smith 3 жыл бұрын
I think not taking into account the whole southern hemisphere is a major error.
Bagiennik 3 жыл бұрын
This talk is about Europe, not about the southern hemisphere.
Peter Tóth
Peter Tóth 8 жыл бұрын
Friedman is todays Machiavelli and that is it what this wolrd need! Good jog George!
Just Latvian
Just Latvian 5 жыл бұрын
Interesting Man! I have almoust read his book.
Scott Spooner
Scott Spooner 3 жыл бұрын
" Is life so dear and peace so sweet as to be purchased with chains and slavery?"
Alex May
Alex May 5 жыл бұрын
The key is for Europeans to embrace what our Jewish citizens have added - have contributed - to our European identity. Once we have acknowledged that and then seek to work with our fellow Jewish European Citizens we will go forward ...this is what European Citizens need to realize at this time (2018)
LeVI KING 4 жыл бұрын
as clever as this guy may be he is leaving out important details, like the British being the Bridge between United states and USSR. It was the British that done all the negotiations and talks between the 2. I've listened to a few of his talks now and its like the U.K doesn't exist when talking about foreign policies yet nearly all are drawn up in London, notice how the USA have never been to war without allied forces (British). Just think hes not giving a full picture when he should when talking on important issues.
iD 3 жыл бұрын
iD 3 жыл бұрын
LE-VI KING Where was that meeting between Truman and Stalin when Churchy was left behind against his wishes?!
LeVI KING 3 жыл бұрын
@iD he was probably dividing up the biggest empire the world has ever seen,
LeVI KING 3 жыл бұрын
@iD ​ you mustn't get caught up in the hype of the west relationship with Russia, most English people actually like the Russians for sticking 2 fingers up at the elites, Russians never get the credit they deserve especially with their sacrifice in WW2. When shit hit the fan we are allies but in between we are in competition and must outsmart and build weapons and technology that is better than each others lol next time shit hits make sure u bring the vodka and i'll supply the gin
LeVI KING 3 жыл бұрын
@iD just in case you want to know how the British helped Russia beat the germans www.computerhope.com/people/charles_babbage.htm without Britains secret weapon you me and the rest of the world would all have blue eyes blonde hair and speaking German,
smokingskill 3 жыл бұрын
In another talk he promoted war because that's where technological innovation happens. A batshit crazy and very dangerous man.
XoferWalken 3 жыл бұрын
I mean it does though, admitting that doesn't mean you support war.
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