Israel-Gaza situation has Biden facing bipartisan criticism | Ian Bremmer | Quick Take

When the war started, the US was not aligned on Israel policy with all of its allies out there. Increasingly today it is, with the entirety of the G7 and with allies in the Gulf, in the Middle East. And a US policy-like its policy on Ukraine-where the US is leading but is coordinating security policy with everyone, is a much stronger policy than one where the Americans are by themselves. Biden is now in a position where he's increasingly by himself internationally, and he's also increasingly by himself at home.
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Ian Bremmer's Quick Take: Hi, everybody. Ian Bremmer here and a Quick Take to kick off your week.
Of course, the Middle East is leading our concerns and the headlines right now. There is no deal despite Bill Burns, the most respected senior interlocutor the United States has to offer, director of the CIA, making a last-ditch effort last week in the region, including Israel, to try to get everyone to agree to a short-term cease-fire, in return for significant numbers of hostages being released. Did not happen. Lots of reasons for that. One is because it's hard to talk with Hamas, engage with Hamas. It is a terrorist organization. A lot of people refuse to negotiate with terrorists. And also because, by the time you get a message through to the leadership, it takes usually a minimum of a week, sometimes two, and things change quickly.
Secondly, Israel did not want any ambiguity on what was going to happen after the six weeks of the cease-fire. Prime Minister Netanyahu in particular, saying that they were going to go into Rafah, that they were going to continue and destroy the remaining battalions that Hamas has available to them on the ground in Gaza while the Americans were trying to say, “well, if you've certain further agreements were met, then it could extend and could become permanent. And that was the only way that Hamas was going to agree.” Well, the Israeli government didn't want that, particularly because the government would collapse in all likelihood. It would be very hard for the Prime Minister to maintain the support of his far-right coalition if he were to accept that in a deal. So he did his best to scuttle it.
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#QuickTake #IsraelHamasWar #Biden #GazaWar

[@LoneStar62]

Biden Administration's response is akin to asking Jeffery Dahmer not to eat so fast.

[@christineodonnell2711]

Thank you.

[@yaroslav257ify]

Ian thank you for highly professional (and very good) analytics 🙏🏼👍🏼👍🏼👍🏼

[@sanyaolaleye8710]

what is the difference between IDF and HAMAS.

[@KamalManasra]

🇵🇸🇵🇸🇵🇸🇵🇸🇵🇸🇵🇸🇵🇸🇵🇸🇵🇸🇵🇸♥️

[@paulaltomari6561]

Quick take: Appreciate your commentary, Ian, and I'm sorry to be so pedantic but - hate him or love him - can I implore you to please pronounce the Israeli PM's name correctly?

[@Emanon...]

Great analysis. Although it really shouldn't be a discussion whether or not the US should supply arms and funds to a country accused of genocide. The US has sanctioned countries for far less, and they are still sanctioning Cuba (!) Principles are not in fact principles of they only apply when you want them to.

[@existentialvoid]

Except there is no genocide - the UN has revised casualty figures and the civilian death toll is less than half reported. This means the IDF has a 1 to 1 civilian to combatant ratio - and unheard of number when compared to any other urban battle ever. By any objective assessment - the IDF has been very careful in Gaza. I recommend you look into this a little more before throwing misinformation around. It may fly in less rigorous environments but not here.

[@RyanSemmel77]

@@existentialvoidit doesn’t matter. They’ll throw around the G word all they can to make it “true”. It’s the same tactic Trump uses who I’m sure they despise but they can’t see that they are really just the opposite side of the same coin.

[@Emanon...]

@@existentialvoid That's a blatant lie reported from US media outlets. The UN has never made these comments. And every single neutral international expert has said this is in fact a genocide. Just read the declarations of intent from Israeli leader. 89 pages, my guy. Yes, outright lies. Just like the beheadings, HQs under hospitals, mass rapes etc. If it's from a pro-israeli source, there's a good chance they're just fed the "information" from AIPAC or the Israeli government. You're siding with the equivalent of Apartheid South Africa. You'll be sorry for your opinions and you'll be ashamed once the full extent of the Israeli horror is revealed.

[@TEKANNON-bz9fm]

Can anyone see what is beyond the GAZA war's outcome? What will it be like when the active war is over, the tanks go back in their army units, the rockets stop raining in from Hezbollah and HAMA's leadership has been neutralized? Palestinians will be left in a lunar landscape of a territory where nothing works and everything needs to be rebuilt from the bottom up. Would it not be better to get the UN on board for finding a new homeland for the Palestinians where at least they could build a country from the bottom up that would not be blown up if they stay in Gaza and a new terrorist organization rises from the ashes to re-establish itself as the armed political solution for defending Palestinian rights?

[@HellBot-gi5si]

Just remember before World War I, Emperor and Kings stilled ruled the lands of Europe. After two World War and death 70 million people Europe cast aside their monarchs and became a democracy. The "Capitalist Super Cycle" that America design with the "Bretton Wood Accords" at the end of World War II was design to fight the "Cold War" now it starting to collapse like "Wall" in Eastern Europe. Many will die in this cycle but it will be to you who survive to build the new world that will come from it's ashes.

[@rodrigoescalante5456]

Do you mean ethnic cleansing in GAZA?

[@jmhorange]

Move the Palestinians to a new country, where the current inhabitants would potentially turn to terrorism to get rid of the Palestinians? The UN tried to move populations to new landscape with European Jews. And that's how we have Israel. We can't undo that now, why would we ever want to do that again, since it's not particularly working well right now? Both the Israelis and Palestinians are very violent, let's not make it just about the Palestinians. And moreover, the Israeli government has supported and funneled money to Hamas to prevent a 2 state solution. And Israel controls the conditions under which Palestinians live. Jews and Palestinians need to learn to live together on that land, in 1 or 2 states. If Israel would just give up the idea that they will own all the land in the West Bank and Gaza, then peace will start to become a reality. The Palestinians basically have nothing. They don't have a state. What land they do have, Israel is continuously building illegal settlements on their land so it's clear whether Israel says it or not, and they have said it, they do not believe in a 2 state solution. They say the most dangerous type of man is someone who has nothing to live for. When you have something to live for, violence is a fool's game because you have so much to lose. Give Palestinians something to live for, their own state or equal rights alongside Jews, they will turn away from violence. Israel needs to understand they are fueling the violence, instead of looking at Palestinians as inherently violent. Terrorism by oppressed people is as old as civilization, Palestinians did not invent it.

[@Emanon...]

Ethnic cleansing disguised as voluntary migration. Why do you think the US built a harbour? They can't leave through Egypt or Israel. So it's boats, boats, boats to Europe. Once again showing Europe that following the US and their policies is absolutely detrimental to Europe.

[@RyanSemmel77]

Most likely Israel reinstates an actual occupation of Gaza. They will probably have to figure out how to deal with Hezbollah and eventually Iran, whatever that means I don’t know.

[@benb6527]

Ian is the only balanced source for information on the current state of world affairs.

[@bsmithhammer]

That might just be the funniest thing I've read today.

[@UrbaneFingerbang]

He's not all that balanced actually. Good info but not terribly balanced.

[@Thichaou]

😂🤣🤣🤣

[@Thichaou]

You must be a Jweish comedian😂🤣🤣

[@Emanon...]

He's a NeoLiberal with an agenda. His analyses are great if you want to understand where he's coming from, but balance? Nope.

[@existentialvoid]

It’s also causing some issues here in Asia - the narrative is - rightfully or wrongly - if US security policy and alliances are so easily changed by a few protesters and a minority according to poles - and the US will turn it’s back on it’s oldest and arguably strongest ally - then what would happen if Taiwan were invaded or DPRK shelled Seoul. Behind closed doors - there is talk to nuclear armaments and indigenous deterrence measure.

[@Emanon...]

If its "ally" is committing genocide, then yes, they should absolutely turn their back on them. Especially since the US is currently dismantling the entire international order to protect Israel. This will hurt the US immeasurably in the coming years. The global south will definitely never again look to the US for moral leadership. The West will, because they're vassals and do what their US and Israeli masters tell them to. And Israel is not the US' oldest ally. They didn't exist before 1948. France, The UK and Canada are the US' oldest allies.

[@stephenlight647]

Correct. Any ally must assess just how much real persistence the US has.

[@RyanSemmel77]

It’s just pontificating during an election year. They will say one thing and do the other. Claim to cut off aid to solidify protesters to their side but still provide aid in the long run.

[@KamalManasra]

Tap on a clip to paste it in the text box.Tap on a clip to paste it in the text box.Tap on a clip to paste it in the text box.Tap on a clip to paste it in the text box.Welcome to Gboard clipboard, any text you copy ‏‪7:59‬‏ ‏‪7:59‬‏ will be saved here.

[@emmeadowmitbbs3537]

Before the Oct. 7 attack, not many people cared much about Palestine. The Saudi's were ready to normalize relationship with Israel. Oct. 7 was clearly a terrorist attack, no one questioned about that. Therefore, it is fair to say that, right after the Oct. 7 attack, most of the international community supported Israel. Fast forward to now, there is significant international pressure against Israel, there is significant sympathy toward Palestine, not many people cared about the Oct. 7 terrorist attack anymore. Just by looking at this outcome, it is quite clear that the action of the Israel government is a big failure, irrespective whether they will destroy Hammas or not. Yet, I do not see Israel government accepting any critics and trying to understand what went wrong. Such a mindset itself is highly problematic and it is the real threat to the Israel nation. I hope the above comment is objective enough.

[@jmhorange]

Sounds objective, it's hard to have sympathy for Israel, a government that supported terrorism to prevent a 2 state solution and have it backfire in their face. It's not unlike Taliban terrorist attacks on Pakistan, it's like, don't support terrorism and that won't happen. And the worst part is they won't admit their fault in causing Oct 7th, the Israeli government won't listen to the world at at all to address the underlying causes of terrorism and give the Israeli people peace. Everything anyone says, is anti semitic. I mean, sure call Hamas evil, but if you are insulting heads of states of your allies, why should anyone care? If after 34 K civilians dead, you say your army is more careful than any other country, like don't insult my country like that. And toward the Palestinians, the simplest gesture Israel could have done, is stop the illegal settlements during the war. Give Palestinians some kind of hope there will be a 2 state solution in the future. I mean, if you fight terrorists and you raise support among the civilian population for the terrorists, you are not conducting the war correctly. If you can't get the population on your side, you can't defeat terrorism. Hearts and minds, terrorism 101. But what am I saying, of course Israel is right and we are all wrong, and Israel is the best country in the world...

[@Jery7773]

Objective, but keep in mind that just because the Saudi’s were going to normalize for military protection, weapons, keep MBS in power, doesn’t mean that the people of the region don’t care about Palestine. Puppets propped up by the US only further to alienate the people from the US and it’s damaging policy.

[@Emanon...]

Great comment. Israel has fostered an ideology of a "chosen people" in a "holy land" and made it a national project. It's very hard to not draw direct lines to certain nations that also viewed themselves as superior and sought lands to expand into that were inhabited by "lesser" peoples....

[@phillipaclemons7261]

Easy to see yourself as superior with unquestioned support from the most powerful country on earth

[@LumenMichaelOne]

3:15 ... Ian this is boring.

[@davidchunkyonion]

Your analysis is too often superficial. The Iranian missile strike was not a real attack but a demonstration. They weren't trying to hurt anyone.

[@ShaiFishman]

LOL

[@stephenlight647]

😂

[@phantom1076]

​@@ShaiFishmanwhat's so funny about it? The Iranians didn't really want to escalate it to a point where the US would be forced to intervene to help Israel. They announced in advance where they woild attack, they told all Arab states and the US. They didn't say how many missiles but they said it will be significant. Had they really wanted a war, they wouldn't announce it for days ahead of time because that woild ruin the element of surprise.

[@existentialvoid]

What the Iranian Middle attack showed is that 1/3 of their missiles never got off the ground. But overall - you are a fool to think launching a few hundred middles across e countries is ‘not a big deal’

[@ShaiFishman]

​@@phantom1076 You drank the koolaid. If you subscribe to the fact they "weren't trying to hurt anyone" and that wasn't a representation of their abilities, then you are at the very least gullible. No matter if what they did was designed for Israel and the US to not respond. It also implies that they knew no hits would occur. Even Israelis didn't know that. And had there been any hits, even one, Iran would be in deep trouble. so your analysis is superficial at best, and delusional at worst.

[@WriteInAaronBushnell]

Cheers to a United Ireland and a Free Palestine

[@Emanon...]

Amen brother

[@stephenlight647]

The Irish have an understandable, but dumb, blind spot here. Iran, Hamas, and Hezbollah have no Irish equivalent.

[@phantom1076]

​@@stephenlight647the Irish Republican Army basically was labeled as terrorist by the UK and US for a long time. Now Sin Fein (the equivalent of political wing of Hamas) is running Northern Ireland and they're fine.