Has China’s housing market tanked?

  Рет қаралды 505,576

South China Morning Post

South China Morning Post

Күн бұрын

Subscribe to our KZbin channel for free here:
sc.mp/subscrib...
For more on the Evergrande crisis: inks.tn/8e5d7a
China’s property sector has been a key driver of the country’s economic growth since the 1990s. During the high-growth period, the sector brought in huge revenues and employment that contributed to 30 per cent of China’s GDP. But between 2020 and 2022, China’s housing market suddenly experienced an unprecedented crash; top developers like Evergrande went into default and collapsed, while homebuyers were left in limbo after indebted developers ran out of funds to complete construction. So, how did China’s housing market go from boom to bust?
Support us:
subscribe.scmp...
Follow us on:
Website: www.scmp.com
Facebook: / scmp
Twitter: / scmpnews
Instagram: / scmpnews
Linkedin: / south-china-morning-post
#scmp #SCMPExplains #Chinaeconomy

Пікірлер: 709
@kelvinjohnson4
@kelvinjohnson4 Жыл бұрын
In my opinion, a housing market crash is imminent due to the high number of individuals who purchased homes above the asking price despite the low interest rates. These buyers find themselves in precarious situations as housing prices decline, leaving them without any equity. If they become unable to afford their homes, foreclosure becomes a likely outcome. Even attempting to sell would not yield any profits. This scenario is expected to impact a significant number of people, particularly in light of the anticipated surge in layoffs and the rapid increase in the cost of living
@williamsbrown4026
@williamsbrown4026 Жыл бұрын
Centre around two key targets. In the first place, remain safeguarded by realising when to offer stocks to cut misfortunes and catch benefits. Second, get ready to benefit when the market turns around. I suggest you look for the direction a representative or monetary consultant.
@LionTowercoporation
@LionTowercoporation Жыл бұрын
Exactly why i enjoy my day to day market decisions being guided by a portfolio-coach, seeing that their entire skillset is built around going long and short at the same time both employing risk for its asymmetrical upside and laying off risk as a hedge against the inevitable downward turns, coupled with the exclusive information/ analvsis they have, it's near impossible to not outperform, been using a portfolio-coach for over 2years+ and I've netted over 400k
@KelvinWallace
@KelvinWallace Жыл бұрын
@@LionTowercoporation I know a lot of folks that made fortunes from the Dotcom crash as well as the 08’ crash and I’ve been looking into similar opportunities in this present market, could this coach that guides you help?
@KelvinWallace
@KelvinWallace Жыл бұрын
@@LionTowercoporation I will look her up online and do my due diligence. If She seem proficient. I will write her an email outlining my financial objectives and scheduled a phone call.
@flyboyone
@flyboyone Жыл бұрын
Australia has this Right. Developers can not access even the 10% deposit buyers pay in to the Trust account of their lawyers until the property has achieved Local Council Occupancy requirements.
@HKim0072
@HKim0072 Жыл бұрын
Australia has it right for whom? The goal of CCP China real estate isn't for the protection of the buyer. It's for the protection of banks, developers and government. The individual means nothing for the CCP. It's role is to fill the state's need. Using western examples and applying them to CCP China is just silly.
@definat111
@definat111 Жыл бұрын
Are you sure about this number of developers have gone bust in Australia taking deposits not having proper insurance and don't even get started on the defective appartment blocks in all major cities of Australia
@flyboyone
@flyboyone Жыл бұрын
@@definat111 I am 100% sure. It is legally impossible to drawdown on Off the Plan purchasers'10% deposit with out a Certificate Of Occupation. I have developed/built over 250K sqms of apartments and hotel ($3.74 billion in value) within 4 kms of Sydney Tower, Pitt St Mall.
@wzk921109
@wzk921109 Жыл бұрын
Australia has much more regulations, both banking and construction. Still lots of developer/ builder bankrupt, some people left in difficult places.
@CodeMeat
@CodeMeat Жыл бұрын
Trust me, the Chinese situation is way better than the Aussie and the dying SK. If the RBA continues to raise the cash rate, the property boom madness will turn into a rental crisis, or it already is. I think another WA builders had gone liquidation this Wednesday, and the worst is yet to come. Basically we all gonna be fked in the post-pandemic world because the politicians wanted a war rather than cooperation.
@Miss_Wonderful1
@Miss_Wonderful1 Жыл бұрын
The policy of paying before having a house built is common in my country too, and it never ends well. For one reason or another, the developers disappears (I guess not in some horrible, remote shack), leaving penniless people and unfinished buildings.
@oldcat1790
@oldcat1790 Жыл бұрын
it's a matter of laws; in some countries people can pay before getting a house, but developers get the money only after actually finishing it: until then the money remains on a special bank account, and will be refunded if the house is never finished
@ArariaKAgelessTraveller
@ArariaKAgelessTraveller Жыл бұрын
In The past it's called "Paying for fruit from a tree which hasnt bore a fruit" Which has been illegal even from the Roman Era
@anthonyfam5469
@anthonyfam5469 Жыл бұрын
What country you live in ?
@ykmnkmi
@ykmnkmi Жыл бұрын
@@anthonyfam5469in Kazakhstan we have government backed company, which is building things over 10+ years. I got one.
@simplyyellow6240
@simplyyellow6240 Жыл бұрын
atleast you still have the land.
@KevinNguyen-ih3hk
@KevinNguyen-ih3hk Жыл бұрын
When you spend more than 50% of income just to pay mortgage, you are mortgage slaves. Cannot afford losing your job or being sick. That is a lot of stress!
@cooper1819
@cooper1819 Жыл бұрын
Not issue since you are paying yourself, or saving for an asset that value appreciates over time. Pay for 20 years and get to stay for next 50 years or collect rent or reverse mortgage for retirement. Else how do you retire early?
@pkalnin1
@pkalnin1 Жыл бұрын
True, but the returns on investing in property have been MUCH better than what the alternatives were: 300%. Welcome to 21st C America.
@panoptijohn
@panoptijohn Жыл бұрын
@@cooper1819 The value doesn't seem to be appreciating. In fact, it's doing quite the opposite. That's the issue.
@cooper1819
@cooper1819 Жыл бұрын
@@panoptijohn Housing value looks very long-term, by decades. See even after Japan's property crash from 80s, still not impacted because are mainly ownership rather than rentals. So there is less volatility.
@cooper1819
@cooper1819 Жыл бұрын
@YoDaddi Nah, got no more mortgage. Am on FIRE. just wasting time putting up posts when not on vacation. 😜
@Evelyn32423
@Evelyn32423 9 ай бұрын
Back in the day, when I purchased my first home to live-in; that was Miami in the early 1990s, first mortgages with rates of 8 to 9% and 9% to 10% were typical. People will have to accept the possibility that we won't ever return to 3%. If sellers must sell, home prices will have to decline, and lower evaluations will follow. Pretty sure I'm not alone in my chain of thoughts.
@Hudson367
@Hudson367 9 ай бұрын
If anything, it'll get worse. Very soon, affordable housing will no longer be affordable. So anything anyone want to do, I will advise they do it now because the prices today will look like dips tomorrow. Until the Fed clamps down even further, I think we're going to see hysteria due to rampant inflation. You can't halfway rip the band-aid off.Read more
@Hazel5063
@Hazel5063 9 ай бұрын
Home prices will come down eventually, but for now; get your money (as much as you can) out of the housing market and get into the financial markets or gold. The new mortgage rates are crazy, add to that the recession and the fact that mortgage guidelines are getting more difficult. Home prices will need to fall by a minimum of 40% (more like 50%) before the market normalizes.If you are in cross roads or need sincere advise on the best moves to take now its best you seek an independent advisor who knows about the financial markets.Read more
@Scarlett34568
@Scarlett34568 9 ай бұрын
I will be happy getting assistance and glad to get the help of one, but just how can one spot a reputable one?
@Hazel5063
@Hazel5063 9 ай бұрын
I had the pleasure of working with one and it proved to be immensely advantageous as they helped me restructure my entire portfolio. My advisor is none other than ‘CATHERINE MORRISON EVANS, a renowned figure in her line of work whom you may be familiar with.
@Scarlett34568
@Scarlett34568 9 ай бұрын
she actually appears to be well-read and educated. I just did a Google search for her name and found her webpage, I appreciate you sharing
@Raymondjohn2
@Raymondjohn2 Жыл бұрын
Some economists have projected that both the U.S. and parts of Europe could slip into a recession for a portion of 2023. A global recession, defined as a contraction in annual global per capita income, is more rare because China and emerging markets often grow faster than more developed economies. Essentially the world economy is considered to be in recession if economic growth falls behind population growth.
@usieey
@usieey Жыл бұрын
My main concern now is how can we generate more revenue during quantitative times? I can't afford to see my savings crumble to dust.
@maga_zineng7810
@maga_zineng7810 Жыл бұрын
It's a delicate season now, so you can do little or nothing on your own. Hence I’ll suggest you get yourself a financial expert that can provide you with valuable financial information and assistance
@Mohaimam316
@Mohaimam316 Жыл бұрын
Very true! I've been able to scale from $150K to $489k in this red season because my Financial Advisor figured out Defensive strategies which help portfolios be less vulnerable to market downturns
@usieey
@usieey Жыл бұрын
How can I reach this adviser of yours? because I'm seeking for a more effective investment approach on my savings?
@Mohaimam316
@Mohaimam316 Жыл бұрын
'Catherine Morrison Evans’ is the coach that guides me. She’s a verified coach and she helped me see that returns can be made in both bull and bear markets. She covers things like investing, insurance, making sure retirement is well funded and looking at ways to have a volatility buffer for investment risk, look - her up .
@taxol2
@taxol2 Жыл бұрын
It’s been tankinng for awhile, but a lot of people still denying it. Well they can’t deny it now since Evergrande gone bankrupt and Country Garden defaulted
@edwardv1219
@edwardv1219 Жыл бұрын
Between a crashing demography, killing future demand in an over built market. And a model based on never ending value appreciation. There is no demand as people won’t borrow if the house values are over priced and there is no longer a guarantee of future value increases.
@youarebeingtrolled6954
@youarebeingtrolled6954 Жыл бұрын
So cheaper housing bad ? 😂😂😂 ok
@damo87araimo
@damo87araimo Жыл бұрын
@@youarebeingtrolled6954 We live in an inflation reliant economy. Even though depreciation is awesome for a buyer, inflation is required to help repay debt. The money masters will counter with everything to continue inflation = higher prices.
@ErnestJay88
@ErnestJay88 Жыл бұрын
in short sentence : *Too much supply, not too much demand.*
@___beyondhorizon4664
@___beyondhorizon4664 Жыл бұрын
I first learned about the Evergrand news while I was traveling in Sharm El-Shake, Egypt in September 2021. I have been traveling for almost 3 weeks, disconnected from the media on my journey. Finally got a decent resort hotel with BBC, suddenly this news about the home buyers protests. It's predictable that when you pay large deposit for something you cannot have, and lack of rules and regulations like china, corruptions, mishandling funds is bound to happen. They said men cannot get a wife without an apartment in China!
@youarebeingtrolled6954
@youarebeingtrolled6954 Жыл бұрын
Your mom also got a decent hotel with BBC 😂😂
@ssuwandi3240
@ssuwandi3240 Жыл бұрын
Abs asia men don't get splurged on fomo backpacking or sabbatical but get on the saddle and their life purpose
@sirjcc
@sirjcc Жыл бұрын
Another problem this video doesn't mention is store of value. A LOT of chinese dump their entire life savings into housing instead of the stock market like in the USA. This messes with what is "true demand" vs speculation and will make housing prices even more volatile
@dons123111
@dons123111 Жыл бұрын
Rght, the real lack of investment in local markets does not help employment diversity, all your eggs in one basket when the bubble bursts is a GDP killer.
@bonglee6696
@bonglee6696 Жыл бұрын
China has been building houses/apartments that were too expensive for home buyers to pay for. The buyers counted on that there would be people who would pay even higher prices. This bubble grew bigger and was bound to burst sooner or later.
@martinleung212
@martinleung212 Жыл бұрын
When real estate price goes beyond the earning capability of the general public, this happens. This is the same all the world over, not only in China.
@WaylonFlinn
@WaylonFlinn Жыл бұрын
You failed to mention that much of recent demand was speculative. People bought second and third homes that were never finished that they never intended to live in, in the hopes that they could resale for more later. Once prices stop going up, people not only stop buying those extra homes, but also start flooding the market with homes they don’t need in order to get out before a crash. This then causes the very crash they hoped to avoid. The only way China will achieve “price stabilization” is by forbidding people to sell their unused extra homes.
@dons123111
@dons123111 Жыл бұрын
They bought 2nd and 3rd ones during the bubble, meaning speculating that prices would continue upwards. Same thing happened in the US in 2007.
@Mega-zi7ys
@Mega-zi7ys Жыл бұрын
Correct and they're doing same thing in other countries causing same problems... greedy speculators
@googane7755
@googane7755 Жыл бұрын
It's why housing shouldn't be used as investment. If you do not intend to live in it then you shouldn't be allowed to buy it. Speculative investment on housing is one of the worst poisons in the economy.
@JudgeyJudgeyable
@JudgeyJudgeyable 11 ай бұрын
And in addition to prices dropping, I think the lock down had people nervous and less willing to spend/invest
@karthur3421
@karthur3421 Жыл бұрын
to me it feels like it has reached saturation in a very abrupt pace, i feel that the boom before this was way unnatural, and many developers jumped on the bandwagon, only to lose in this game of musical chair, which was bound to happen.
@demonvictim
@demonvictim Жыл бұрын
The thing is that everyone knew this was unsustainable ever since ghost cities started popping up unnaturally fast. In most of America ghost cities can be equated to a major manufacturer leaving town so everyone moves away slowly. These ghost cities were just built dumped and never lived in so it never used its value as a building.
@MahendraS-mm6hj
@MahendraS-mm6hj Жыл бұрын
Use a building for costly crop fruits medicine plants etc. It's a vertical farming.
@marsz386
@marsz386 Жыл бұрын
Hard to make return of investment from that.
@TitusAzzurro
@TitusAzzurro Жыл бұрын
You assume they have the right plumbing for irrigation; the load bearing necessary to sustain thousands of tons of soil, and the willingness to pay for energy intensive lighting.
@dnguyen787
@dnguyen787 Жыл бұрын
One of the main problems is the developers were so greedy and irresponsible!!😮
@Mega-zi7ys
@Mega-zi7ys Жыл бұрын
Can't blame the developers only.. it's the greedy buyers who enabled the greedy developers. Go to other countries see what those same greedy speculators are doing to house prices elsewhere. Many who truly need housing cannot afford them because greedy speculators hoarding them. Same ppl.
@frank88ster
@frank88ster Жыл бұрын
Shocking and shoddy builds with floors giving way with big holes to lower floors means every build cannot be safe for dwelling. No insurance companies will back them.
@tschoong3897
@tschoong3897 Жыл бұрын
There is not an overall planning to look at the total demand and supply, and this is causing the housing problem.
@jennyohara4011
@jennyohara4011 Жыл бұрын
Until I see a tent city in China i wont worry too much
@qake2021
@qake2021 Жыл бұрын
👍👍👍😃😃😃😃😃👏👏👏👏
@wynn3077
@wynn3077 Жыл бұрын
But you by your own words haven’t been to China yet, so how will you know.
@diegoantoniorosariopalomin9979
@diegoantoniorosariopalomin9979 Жыл бұрын
I would. By that point a región Is basically beyond saving
@Mr.Patrick_Hung
@Mr.Patrick_Hung Жыл бұрын
@@wynn3077 I live in China and have never seen an American style homeless tent city. So I am not too worried.
@wynn3077
@wynn3077 Жыл бұрын
@@Mr.Patrick_Hung They aren’t made of tofu like some Chinese apartments 😂
@eddieleong6490
@eddieleong6490 Жыл бұрын
China is in a No-Win situation....sale of land funds the Provinces, Cities, Towns and Wards. Real estate forms a sizeable portion of GDP and hence employment. With real estate stagnating or even shrinking due to bankruptcies, the GDP must fall...a Red Line in itself. I cannot see a solution.
@paulconner4614
@paulconner4614 Жыл бұрын
More than likely at some point they will shift to a property tax model to fund the local governments so they are funded based on the current base versus future growth.
@MyMovie5858
@MyMovie5858 Жыл бұрын
China local government needs to get away from relying on property selling and transitioning towards a tax and service oriented model to fund the government operations. It is not going to be easy for sure.
@mrx2062
@mrx2062 Жыл бұрын
@@MyMovie5858 Yes, but then the people may wonder why they actually have no real say in political matters when they have to pay for all of that. No taxation without representation.
@fj418
@fj418 Жыл бұрын
It's not because of the macro population trend - it's not like China's population has suddenly dropped - rather it's a combination of the state of the economy, balance sheets of developers, and the slow implosion of the giant price bubble built up over the last 30 years.
@TheMo8ius
@TheMo8ius Жыл бұрын
The macro population trend will have some effect here because investors are coming to grip with the fact that there is no longer an expectation that there will be a continually growing source of organic housing demand, but in fact a decades long, maybe even century long decrease.
@joelbeeby866
@joelbeeby866 Жыл бұрын
@@TheMo8ius china is still relatively under-urbanised, there should still be some organic demand in the medium term
@dons123111
@dons123111 Жыл бұрын
Everything matters in economics, so indeed the depopulation could cause over speculation when people are making loads o $ in the bubble.
@JT-sr2pl
@JT-sr2pl Жыл бұрын
Everyone who wants to migrate to Cities, already have.
@rapture1949
@rapture1949 Жыл бұрын
That's when you have a dictator 😂
@ginn2108
@ginn2108 Жыл бұрын
This system also caused the creation of ghost cities and abandoned and incomplete housing projects
@MasTommy21
@MasTommy21 Жыл бұрын
Why is the youth unemployed if they said the productive work force is shrinking?
@dzcav3
@dzcav3 Жыл бұрын
The economy is shrinking faster than the work force.
@leanlifer
@leanlifer Жыл бұрын
Low skilled work force is shrinking, but “high skilled” work force are growing fast. There are 10 million 2-year and 4-year college graduates each year and many of them don't want jobs in manufacturing and service sector.
@kianh1903
@kianh1903 Жыл бұрын
Shud watch out for extreme huge private housing development & use the strict rule to control overstretching of financial abilities of such companies.
@poopermoodieisgay2131
@poopermoodieisgay2131 Жыл бұрын
It was a bubble similar to that of Japanese and the USA previously. The burst has burst.
@fohhee
@fohhee Жыл бұрын
Well the government allow it so......
@wynn3077
@wynn3077 Жыл бұрын
Now you know why they became rich.
@saifchowdhury3581
@saifchowdhury3581 Жыл бұрын
They over-extended themselves. Instead of taking money for one project and using it in that project, they went on to spend the money on 5 new projects.
@quyngo8203
@quyngo8203 Жыл бұрын
Sounds like a ponzi scheme
@dohboy88
@dohboy88 Жыл бұрын
It basically is
@randomtraveller8116
@randomtraveller8116 Жыл бұрын
He bankrupted tens of thousands but he still remain being a billionnaire. What a joke.
@Truth4Freedom
@Truth4Freedom Жыл бұрын
Greed full stop and the herd driven itself to the cliff.
@DanBurgaud
@DanBurgaud Жыл бұрын
Mainland China has too much housing while HK has too little.
@YourMomNDad
@YourMomNDad Жыл бұрын
No protection at all
@markmk44
@markmk44 Жыл бұрын
As usual Colliers is always optimistic .. I think the correction will be deep.. and may take years to stable .. separately Chinese have also ‘exported’ their pre sale practice to neighboring countries n these countries will also be facing a property correction due to the Chinese ‘demand’ that has now tapered off .. the ‘tap’ has just stopped on properly markets everywhere .. at least for the next few years ..
@youarebeingtrolled6954
@youarebeingtrolled6954 Жыл бұрын
Aka AU UK USA CAN all getting corrected
@damo87araimo
@damo87araimo Жыл бұрын
@@youarebeingtrolled6954 AU = Australia? What Australia are you living in? Prices still going up.
@smallwhitebug7566
@smallwhitebug7566 Жыл бұрын
population is falling, disposable income stagnant, youth unemployed 😮
@andia968
@andia968 Жыл бұрын
what they mean by youth is 16-22 people of high school and college age.also lockdown has been lifted now , the number is going down
@Hkchinese888
@Hkchinese888 Жыл бұрын
Export shrink Wages reduce Unemployment rate spike
@davidk.d.7591
@davidk.d.7591 Жыл бұрын
Feels very Japan like honestly. I hope they find a way to come out of it
@tranducanh-ok
@tranducanh-ok Жыл бұрын
Protest 🪧 later
@panoptijohn
@panoptijohn Жыл бұрын
@@andia968 Is it? It seems to be a severe structural issue. Also, the figure only includes those not currently enrolled in high school and college.
@fajarkurniawan9434
@fajarkurniawan9434 Жыл бұрын
the idea of buying something that is not yet created. so it's the definition of "Trust Me Bro..." marketing
@robertwang7825
@robertwang7825 Жыл бұрын
It will take many yrs to normalize or stabilize.
@datingcoachj
@datingcoachj 11 ай бұрын
At 4:28 you mistakenly used footage of Taipei, Taiwan when referring to Guangzhou, China. Why?
@datingcoachj
@datingcoachj 11 ай бұрын
Makes me question your credibility and biases.
@amardeepsidhu2871
@amardeepsidhu2871 Жыл бұрын
Not any different then USA market everyone is real estate investor and Airbnb host .
@lokesh303101
@lokesh303101 Жыл бұрын
Somehow finish the existing Housing and Reality Projects. Somehow China needs to see the transportation costs on terms of Market Prices for easy sales-on-Clearance of unsold Housing Units.
@ddbliss2871
@ddbliss2871 Жыл бұрын
Supply and demand is only part of the problems … In a true market economy .. price correction would have happened a lot earlier … But really the system failed them … there should have never ever any rotten-tail project .. as in theory down payment + mortgage loan are going to the developers .. they would have plenty of money to finish the project .. but greedy developers used these money to buy more land and developed more projects .. full value from banks again when they’re pre-sold .. exactly like a ponzi scheme .. rules and regulations to finish the projects were ignored .. by corruptions all over the places including banks .. resulted buyers are paying mortgages without homes
@dons123111
@dons123111 Жыл бұрын
In the US a contractor can only take 10% down when building a project for you and there is a schedule of work that has to be complete before the next payment is due. Missing a payment would cause a lien on the property by the contractor or missing a completion deadline would kick in a fine on the contractor each day the schedule is behind. Civil Law was invented by the market in western civilization which communism doesn't apply but rather is authoritarian.
@youtubeuser206
@youtubeuser206 Жыл бұрын
chinese viewed housing as a store of money so many people were buying 2nd, 3rd or even 4th homes expecting to sell it later so developers kept building to meet that artificial demand, raising prices for first time homebuyers and creating a huge oversupply
@ercushkakulmetov7458
@ercushkakulmetov7458 Жыл бұрын
Boom and bust cycles are just capitalism
@jakw97
@jakw97 Жыл бұрын
Only one problem, the chinese housing market is not based on market principles. Its state controlled, demand for state products and state owned loans could go to 0 if you lose sight of the real market.
@rgen28
@rgen28 Жыл бұрын
The chairman needs to go
@wynn3077
@wynn3077 Жыл бұрын
The emperor never will resign.
@eddieleong6490
@eddieleong6490 Жыл бұрын
China is so short of food...so why not start indoor farming under LED lights? Can use all the incomplete apartments or completed empty apartments. When demand increases, just move the racks back out.
@stevenliu8200
@stevenliu8200 Жыл бұрын
Dang I wish I can lose 90 percent of my net worth and still have 3 billion...
@hs630617
@hs630617 Жыл бұрын
4:30 is Xin-Yi District, Taipei, Taiwan, not Guangzhou, China!
@user-ye5xe5pp3c
@user-ye5xe5pp3c 6 ай бұрын
Houses are built to be used to live, not to be used to play money games. But it seems that many people likes to do the opposite
@ksoo8938
@ksoo8938 11 ай бұрын
never buy presale house
@Erik-gg2vb
@Erik-gg2vb Жыл бұрын
Land sales are not going to feed the local gov. much now. They will need to get creative.
@warg8728
@warg8728 Жыл бұрын
The local governments are trying to raise finances by fining anything and everything they can, public servants income is linked to the amount of fines they generate for the population.
@yakisobaj
@yakisobaj Жыл бұрын
4:30 was filmed in Taipei. Not Guangzhou China.
@paulngo4631
@paulngo4631 Жыл бұрын
Praying this happens in America soon. We need lower housing prices.
@dons123111
@dons123111 Жыл бұрын
The problem in the US is banking bailouts.
@MrBlack31695
@MrBlack31695 Жыл бұрын
Never buy, just break in and live free. It's ghost city so no one will notice you're there. Just keep a look out. Lay low
@amanitamuscaria5863
@amanitamuscaria5863 Жыл бұрын
The thing with cooking books is that eventually, like food, they become overcooked.
@strideredz
@strideredz Жыл бұрын
7:33 As Kay would say, "Why the swan have to be black?" 😂😂
@commiepig8016
@commiepig8016 Жыл бұрын
C economy is crashing down? Is that why they are meeting USA representatives Yellen recently in JULY 2023?
@ghitam6
@ghitam6 Жыл бұрын
Greed and corruption
@noniimut25
@noniimut25 Жыл бұрын
not to be nitpicky but the clip at 4:29 is Taiwan Xinyi district, not China. lol
@thomasmerrill3585
@thomasmerrill3585 Жыл бұрын
Look at what happened to rome.
@deepakpunia2188
@deepakpunia2188 Жыл бұрын
Same story in India real estate market specially NCR
@penukulbesi4006
@penukulbesi4006 Жыл бұрын
The loss is shared equally by the buyer and the developer, however, if the developer rebuilds it, the cost will almost certainly grow while the developer stays unprofitable because the buyer's payment remains below the cost, and the buyer will face 100% of the loss.
@felton-rx3ue
@felton-rx3ue Жыл бұрын
Why SCMP can't produce any updated inside story but lets their viewers savor outdated leftovers of other medias? We need to know the news, what are the current situations of the RE market and Evergranda in China, instead of repeating old stories.
@rotraven
@rotraven Жыл бұрын
it's crazy that china didnt even have a sort of red tag system that would force Everygrande to pay back lenders (at least) before they can access their funds. China is known for it's rigid social control but they really drop the ball on many micromanagement sectors of their economy.
@tommorningstar6373
@tommorningstar6373 Жыл бұрын
Congratualtions on reaching the 100K level. Great video and whatever you did to block out wind noise worked very well. These industries have got to be running out of suckers.
@williamlouie569
@williamlouie569 Жыл бұрын
As for all business it requires rules and regulations by the government to oversee fair development. You can see the results when lawlessness. Housing bubble!
@michaelpan2972
@michaelpan2972 Жыл бұрын
Hmmmm I like how you guys added clips of Taipei
@stephanenguyen2618
@stephanenguyen2618 Жыл бұрын
The video at 4:29 is in Taipei, Taiwan not Guangzhou, China lol
@panoptijohn
@panoptijohn Жыл бұрын
It's over, bros. The bubble has burst.
@blokin5039
@blokin5039 Жыл бұрын
Cool so now you can stop being obsessed with China right?😁
@panoptijohn
@panoptijohn Жыл бұрын
@@blokin5039 I hope you were able to buy a finished apartment. Are you one of the unlucky ones paying for an unfinished flat?
@blokin5039
@blokin5039 Жыл бұрын
@@panoptijohn Nope I'm unlucky enough having to content with certain cultures in my own country harassing my wife while rarely getting out anymore because of rampant gun violence. How are you holding up?
@panoptijohn
@panoptijohn Жыл бұрын
I live in a country with virtually no gun crime. Not everyone who reviles the CCP is American.
@panoptijohn
@panoptijohn Жыл бұрын
@@blokin5039 Chinese wolf warriors constantly remind the world that China is an indispensable part of the global economy and destined to become the world's leading economy. Is it not right, therefore, to pay attention to it?
@frostt6944
@frostt6944 Жыл бұрын
Marked
@ttemp2631
@ttemp2631 Жыл бұрын
I have been looking for housing at crashed prices in 2nd tier cities like Fuzhou and Wenzhou but I haven't noticed any drop.
@justgado2772
@justgado2772 Жыл бұрын
Most 1st and 2nd tier price are mostly flat but on other cities, it’s falling. Demand still high cause peoples migrate to bigger tier cities. Hence the high price.
@ttemp2631
@ttemp2631 Жыл бұрын
@@justgado2772 so this video is complete fake news. Initially I was glad that this may be a chance, but no only disappointment.
@nzmanhdee6246
@nzmanhdee6246 Жыл бұрын
@@ttemp2631 smaller cities yes
@ttemp2631
@ttemp2631 Жыл бұрын
@@nzmanhdee6246 not interested in smaller cities
@dzcav3
@dzcav3 Жыл бұрын
@@ttemp2631 "not interested in smaller cities" That's why prices are still high in large cities. Those are the only places people want to live. Prices are falling in smaller cities because people don't want to live there as much. Eventually it will catch up to the big cities also. Give it a few more years.
@WhereIsDustin
@WhereIsDustin Жыл бұрын
Excellent and informative KZbin video!
@bostonbruinsfanboy
@bostonbruinsfanboy Жыл бұрын
-1000 social credit points lol
@Bmwstephen
@Bmwstephen Жыл бұрын
That’s whack- how do Chinese banks even if approve mortgages on incomplete projects. Are the appraisals valued on concept? Besides the way property laws work there, you never own the land (only leased).
@HKim0072
@HKim0072 Жыл бұрын
Yeap. But, downpayments are massive. At least 20%. Lol, and any negative equity...the mortgage holder has to pay off for the rest of their lives.
@aaronp2542
@aaronp2542 Жыл бұрын
Appraisals are valued on concept here too in the west. You think people don't pre sale new construction buildings or don't get loans to build new construction? Besides you pay property tax and the concept of eminent domain is a thing. Do people really own the land outside of a paper saying they do that the government permits you to use with restrictions?
@Bmwstephen
@Bmwstephen Жыл бұрын
@@aaronp2542 not quite correct. they are valued at the phase of the construction and any smart lender won't lend more than 80% of LTV of that stage. For example, the builder would finance the build via construction loan. but a construction loan is appraised based on the land value which is significantly less value than a completed home. Only when the house is completed, does it qualify for an appraisal of traditional mortgage; so different risk and underwriting guidelines all together. In China- the lender/builder is essentially bypassing construction loan and using the entire mortgage (based on agreed value of the builder essentially) to finance the construction to completion; bypassing a lot of check and balance. The homeowner in China is also an idiot for assuming the full risk of the construction in progress. At least here in the US, if my builder doesn't complete the project, I can't qualify for the mortgage and therefore assume the risk of an incomplete project.
@MyMovie5858
@MyMovie5858 Жыл бұрын
When the housing prices grow at 20% annually, banks really don't care much about appraisal.
@edgardovillacorte7012
@edgardovillacorte7012 Жыл бұрын
This was predicted about 5yrs ago with the proliferation of ghost cities.
@osamaobama1574
@osamaobama1574 Жыл бұрын
Same in India
@senzen2692
@senzen2692 Жыл бұрын
The government needs to compare the economic and social (feeling of injustice) cost of bailing out developers vs the lower cost of clear laws and rules designed to prevent developer misuse of funds. Anticipate instead of react after the fact.
@MrMentalpuppy
@MrMentalpuppy Жыл бұрын
30% of gdp hmm
@samsungnewlife8739
@samsungnewlife8739 Жыл бұрын
How much have they fallen though? Looks like nothing
@mahendirangopal3885
@mahendirangopal3885 Жыл бұрын
Very costlier
@malkov0001
@malkov0001 Жыл бұрын
Idiot buyers. No one should pay 100% unless the building is completed.
@m-cw7er
@m-cw7er Жыл бұрын
Oh well.
@Indian_Girl_Aarini.
@Indian_Girl_Aarini. Жыл бұрын
It's shocking how China and India are just so strikingly in contrasting. On one hand they have an abundance of unoccupied buildings (ghost cities is what some people calls it). In fact a few thousand of those cities already. On the other hand in India there is hardly any buildings and is filled with sIums everywhere with no toIiets. USA is in a similar position to lndia with their amounts of homelessness now living in what are called "the ghetto", "hoods" and "projects".
@Indian_Girl_Aarini_
@Indian_Girl_Aarini_ Жыл бұрын
It's like a guy with 15 supercars compared to a guy with a wheelbarrow
@FilesdocumentsAndreposit-kr3vb
@FilesdocumentsAndreposit-kr3vb Жыл бұрын
Chinese real estate all made with debts and their national banks will go bust because of it.
@FilesdocumentsAndreposit-kr3vb
@FilesdocumentsAndreposit-kr3vb Жыл бұрын
They are literally billions of buildings in India.
@SinkLikeStone
@SinkLikeStone Жыл бұрын
However housing doesn’t come free. Most Chinese ppl spend 15-30 years for paying mortgage. And the ownership is only merely 70 years of ownership which assumes that the building would last that long?
@pjacobsen1000
@pjacobsen1000 Жыл бұрын
The US has a pretty healthy housing market with new homes being built all the time. Homelessness is not a problem of too few homes, but rather that housing prices are high in the most popular places. Additionally, a very large share of the homeless are homeless because of mental health issues, especially schizophrenia, where sufferers cannot live indoors without feeling paranoid. Also drug addiction is a major reason for homelessness. The "ghettos", "hoods" and "projects" are social housing paid for by the state to house people who cannot afford to pay themselves. All these problems tend to affect mature economies, and less so developing economies.
@b.carrie837
@b.carrie837 Жыл бұрын
Don’t build when you don’t need it, seems simple
@krazykorean2525
@krazykorean2525 Жыл бұрын
it could be mainly because china's yuan is tied to the state and is routinely devalued to avoided a natural occurrence when markets are trying to correct.
@aliciafreitag6682
@aliciafreitag6682 11 ай бұрын
Maybe they will finally stop stealing sand for the concrete from their neighbours.
@kradfreedom9624
@kradfreedom9624 Жыл бұрын
Let those scam developers finish those projects first before allowing them to borrow money or accept new projects or customers. Its sad knowing a lot of people there are continuously paying for unfinished houses while unable to move yet and some forced to stay to these hollow buildings without water or electricity.
@serena-yu
@serena-yu Жыл бұрын
The buyers borrowed money from the banks not the developers. They are obliged to pay for the bank's debt. The house was used as a collateral, but an unfinished house would be worth a lot less than it was collateralized for. The bank would request the borrower to fill the gap of lost value if the case goes into a default. In addition, there is no liquidation for individuals in China. In short, under China's financial rules, there's no escape from the money you borrow in the mortgage, never ever, even if it resulted in no house delivered.
@dnguyen787
@dnguyen787 Жыл бұрын
​@@serena-yuthat sounds like a third world mafia type economy! When will the people of China wake up?😢
@steverogers7211
@steverogers7211 Жыл бұрын
What’s Chinese for Ponzi scheme?
@charlesnyagah7423
@charlesnyagah7423 Жыл бұрын
Singapore PM visits Kenya to benchmark how corruption affects an economy
@ivychua4091
@ivychua4091 Жыл бұрын
Ridiculous to pay the developers the FULL AMOUNT ....... how dump & greedy of these common gamblers #Greed ☠
@pannypancakes5836
@pannypancakes5836 Жыл бұрын
The CCP told me and the HK gov told me that investing in greater bay is a great idea 😂😂😂
@josephwong453
@josephwong453 Жыл бұрын
Can please tell the full story Which Hedge Fund was involved they were ask to re capitalise not to have loan from Chinese Bank
@HiepNguyen-xs2pr
@HiepNguyen-xs2pr Жыл бұрын
how could it go broke when people pay it in advance to build their houses? overvalue and Greed!
@budimanbudiman2935
@budimanbudiman2935 Жыл бұрын
He is still richer than most of us at 3 billion usd
@davadh
@davadh Жыл бұрын
Wait I thought everyone said China's economy was going under 3 months ago, why are they still standing!?
@MyMovie5858
@MyMovie5858 Жыл бұрын
Well, many thought the US was supposed to be crashing 30yrs ago, so...
@RamonChiNangWong078
@RamonChiNangWong078 Жыл бұрын
Oh how does this article slip out the SCMP editorial? The CCP is not going to rike this
@blackknight4996
@blackknight4996 Жыл бұрын
It shows you China doesn't care, just like your im.be..cilic comment
@ctwpoco-oy6wu
@ctwpoco-oy6wu Жыл бұрын
Hui kayen has bad Feng Shui. ❤😂🎉😢😮😅😊
@knowwhere4185
@knowwhere4185 Жыл бұрын
huge population is a boon and a bane, boon for rich and bane for middle class
@khairulorama
@khairulorama 11 ай бұрын
Bit more than you can chew.
@vanng5689
@vanng5689 8 ай бұрын
They should have followed the British system !
@Superpooper-2020
@Superpooper-2020 Жыл бұрын
China has too many houses while here in my inddia we d0nt even have t0ilets
Housing Crisis - China's Reckoning (Part 2)
21:57
PolyMatter
Рет қаралды 1,7 МЛН
Economist explains why India can never grow like China
23:47
Money & Macro
Рет қаралды 845 М.
Секрет фокусника! #shorts
00:15
Роман Magic
Рет қаралды 64 МЛН
МЕБЕЛЬ ВЫДАСТ СОТРУДНИКАМ ПОЛИЦИИ ТАБЕЛЬНУЮ МЕБЕЛЬ
00:20
When you discover a family secret
00:59
im_siowei
Рет қаралды 32 МЛН
How Evergrande Became China’s Biggest Financial Headache
14:40
Bloomberg Originals
Рет қаралды 1,2 МЛН
UK’s 100 Year Economic Decline - No 1 to Failed State
13:14
Economics Help UK
Рет қаралды 222 М.
China is Dominating Innovation, Not Just EVs
28:31
DEBOSS GARAGE
Рет қаралды 188 М.
The Secret behind China's Ghost Cities
13:19
serpentza
Рет қаралды 4,2 МЛН
Monaco's $2BN Expansion into the Sea
16:40
MegaBuilds
Рет қаралды 862 М.
Anger mounts as China's property debt crisis leaves flats unfinished
4:49
South China Morning Post
Рет қаралды 529 М.
The World WON'T Believe China's New Infrastructure (America Failed)
8:50
Living in China
Рет қаралды 2,1 МЛН
Cathay Pacific’s excess baggage
10:38
South China Morning Post
Рет қаралды 28 М.
This is How Sanctions Changed Russia's Car Market
27:28
Real Reporter
Рет қаралды 1 МЛН