How Ethiopia could trigger Africa's deadliest conflict

[@CaspianReport]

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[@daviroza4700]

Free somali Ogaden from Ethiopia we are not Ethiopian our land is occupied and oppress by Ethiopia it’s the Israel of Africa

[@dorinchira7197]

Realistic battles = every nation has m4, so playing as USA u wil lfight againts japan that has almost the same m4 as u, sweden has MI-28 )

[@yoyobobbyman]

​@@daviroza4700

[@yoyobobbyman]

​@@daviroza4700, 3:48

[@WizNoFear]

17:29 This isnt president of Eritrea Al Burhan of SUDAN not Afwerki

[@davianoinglesias5030]

As a Kenyan its insane to think of all the conflicts going on around us yet most people are not even aware. We live in a bubble.

[@stark5353]

Suffering from success. Be grateful that your country is relatively safe and peaceful.

[@tormundgaint1022]

Ethiopia is a hell hole.

[@andoletube]

It is insane. It's just so complicated - how could all of these disputes ever be resolved? How aware of these things are you in Kenya? Where do you get your information from?

[@oghetokevin8746]

I guess just online.. learning that we have a new conflict after the tigrai war ..I guess Ethiopia needs a relook honestly this can't go on forever ​@@andoletube

[@abenezersalemu6146]

This is not true they are just creating narrative of conflict and war. It does not exist in reality. Yes there is a problem in Ethiopia but. it is not explained. The all point demonize the PM and Ethiopia. It is all bull shit

[@da.a1728]

Im living in Addis Ababa the problems is pretty insane. Default on debt, triple inflation one year, police everywhere in the capital. 3 civil wars going on in 3 different regions. Abiy Ahmed is definitely the man to blame. Don’t get surprised if Ethiopia doesn’t exist anymore then coming years. Don’t get me started on the problem with Sudan, Eritrea and Somalia. Pray for Ethiopia 😢🙏🏽

[@twistedsteeltv6130]

Hope you remain safe and avoid any trouble. Regards from the UK

[@markoconnor1361]

Thanks for your excellent comment. All the best.

[@da.a1728]

@@twistedsteeltv6130 thanks brother I’m also European citizen. Im going to leave next month. But im feeling bad for people who can’t leave or has no place to go.🥺

[@peaceleader7315]

Cultural identity sovereignty jurisdiction religions and boundaries can never embrace peace.. hmmmm.. reminded me of our human species' social structure itself.

[@bababababababa6124]

Whoever gave that man a noble peace prize should be arrested

[@muluken1476]

“A country cannot live off old glories”! Very well said!

[@ADH9093]

exactly

[@AmericaHabesha]

Not a country with a mix of ethnicities. But there is one group of people who can and will live off of the glory of our fore fathers and their accomplishments.

[@Jj-jg6pw]

That's why the west is neocolonising, genociding and warring again? This time I blame the citizens of the west.

[@muluken1476]

@@AmericaHabeshaas much as that gives you historical pride. However, how is it going to benefit the new generation if you can’t maintain/sustain the peace and development.

[@fullmetaltheorist]

Somebody turn that into a shirt.

[@nathanielsolomon8608]

As Ethiopian I can tell you that we cannot catch a break

[@dalac_93]

I think Ethiopia had a shot when it made peace with Eritrea but now it’s become the enemy of all neighboring countries 😢

[@profinneupane6883]

How do u see the deal between Somaliland and Ethiopia? Wouldn’t that trigger the somali region?

[@naol22]

​@@profinneupane6883nothing gonna happen until Somalia have a strong government 😊

[@mohamedhussein2185]

@@naol22you’re naive to believe this nonsense Ethiopia 🇪🇹 is weaker than Somalia 🇸🇴 80% of country is free of militias while Ethiopia 🇪🇹 government only controls Addis Ababa there’s no active war in Somalia 🇸🇴 our government focuses on building its airforces and navy our troops are taking over so-called useless African troops and sending them home without medals

[@agentopaque3776]

@@naol22 As someone from Somaliland, i dont even know why Somalia is getting mad. They have zero control over Somaliland, if we say that we want to give land in exchange for recognition then it will happen. Somalia can go cry for all we care, i'm literally done with that never ending wartorn failed state.

[@123Dunebuggy]

When ethiopia can leave tribalism behind, prosperity will follow. Otherwise the future will be much like the past.

[@rizkyadiyanto7922]

its the other way around. when people arent struggling economically, they will just chill inside their own house.

[@politics9714]

​@@rizkyadiyanto7922 did you type that or your dog did😂😂😂

[@ibrahimbello5546]

Hopefully everyone can leave tribalism behind for the world to move forward, Ukraine Russia , Israel Palestine , black people white conservatives.

[@recoil53]

@@ibrahimbello5546 I have a better chance of an A-List actress making me their boy-toy and being my Sugar Mama.

[@shafsteryellow]

This is not tribalism they're different ethnicity

[@Mtioo1]

As a former Yugoslav I instantly started to campere this situation with Yugoslavia which isn't good as this is so much more complicated and will be lot worse because it isn't one big culture dominating the others but multiple decades of rivalries and civil wars. It so sad what nationalism and and the feeling superiority can achieve and the nation of Ethiopia may just be better of dissolving if the other option is civil war and genocide. But would do I know And I just want to wishe all Ethiopians luck in this time we're living in

[@theancientsancients1769]

Abi Ahmed Picking Somalia for a fight will be his biggest mistake! It's a nation made for fighting! Somalia has it's arms embargo removed! Turkey Qatar Egypt Saudi Arabia EU US China are all going to deploy weapons to Somalia as grants and many will be purchased too, since Somalia has virtually no more debt as it was written off all. All Shabab is largely defeated now. China's support for Somalia was the last nail in the coffin Abi Ahmed Ethiopia! The US EU UK Turkey Arab League China all the great powers oppose Ethiopia's provocation against Somalia.

[@phiipiv1340]

Bro I understand you I know the consequences of Balkanization But I will tell you with full confidence that .... " Ordinary Ethiopian Society from all of Ethnic group believe in Unity & Territorial Integration " This is foult of political elite who is rude & greedy 😢😢

[@kurobeard9467]

Just like Yugoslavia was a frankenstein nation that should've balkanized, Ethiopia should also balkanize.

[@prsimoibn2710]

Serbia and Bosnia are Supporting Palestine 🇵🇸, I think this is why I think izraehel was behind the war in the Balkans and also in Horn of Africa

[@Mtioo1]

@@prsimoibn2710 no they weren't the war started because milošebvić started replacing people in the yugoslav national representatives with pro serbians but Slovenia didn't want that than fought the 10 day war later Croatia also left and than yugoslavia had no chance of existing and this has nothing to do with Israel

[@WizNoFear]

17:29 This isnt president of Eritrea. Al Burhan of SUDAN not Afwerki

[@crazygamer4765]

حيرني السان دا

[@harelkalifa2451]

It sounds like Ethiopia has become the modern Austria-Hungary: old, powerful power, with centuries of tradition and success on its hands, that might collapse in a few years.

[@PATISLAV]

Yeah, the collapse of Austria-Hungary... that doesn't trigger any existential dread at all.

[@BoqPrecision]

In your analogy, the Amhara are the Austrians, Tigray Hungarians, Oromo = South Slavs, Somali =Vlachs (more affiliated with neighboring Romania).

[@Yanzdorloph]

"old, powerful power, with centuries of tradition and success on its hands, " are we talking about the same Ethiopia that has 60% of it's ppl witout electricity ?

[@tangosmurfen2376]

Austria = Amhara Hungary = Oromo Eritrea.= Serbia Tigray = Croatia (Bosnia?)

[@caresword]

​@@tangosmurfen2376 Oromo is def not Hungry. Hungry was a small, yet powerful ethnic group. Oromo by contrast is a large yet previously subjugated group. Oromos would probably be a mix of all the slabs inside the empire.

[@warsame2245]

I had no dog in this fight until Abiy woke up one morning and said he wanted to annex part of Somalia to access the Sea. I'm like wtf, this guy is a mad man who is willing to throw the whole region into a conflict. I hope for all our sake, both Ethiopia and neighboring countries that a better government comes to power.

[@revivalist355]

That's our problem as Somalis. We need to be proactive politically and understand the enemy (abiy) and his realm

[@r.p5380]

​@@revivalist355Every single nation that borders Somalia is benefiting from the wars. The Kenyan Bantus don't want NFD Somalis to secede, the oromos want to expand into Somali galbeed and Djibouti and UAE want cheap goods and no competitors

[@revivalist355]

@@r.p5380 we have enemies from every side . Even worse we hardly get along among ourselves. Our neighbors simply saw a weak divided people squabbling amongst themselves and decided to exploit this apparent cracks. If Somali central government was any stronger and had actual competent leaders , I dont think ethiopia would've acted the way they are now . We've been plagued with good for nothing puppet rulers for decades. Somalia needs an authoritarian strongman who thinks beyond tribal lines .

[@warsame2245]

​ @r.p5380 @@revivalist355 I dont think its a coincidence that Abiys threats of invasion coincides with the lifting of the arms embargo and debt relief just a month ago. I'm telling you all these countries are afraid of stable Somalia. They don't know how that will affect their future.

[@death_parade]

@@revivalist355 "We're surrounded by trouble. Our neighbours want a piece of our land. Our Allies want a share of our profits. And our enemies? They want us dead." -Homi J. Bhabha, Rocket Boys Season 2. Killed by CIA for being the head of India's Nuclear Program. Here is hoping Somalia wins over all these troubles.

[@charlibravo371]

Abiy Ahmed is very very very reckless. Despite his goals, he is turning his country back 30 years. Relations with Eritrea, Djibouti, Somalia, and Sudan are all in one way strained. Internally, the country is on the brink of civil war and collapse.

[@Negus93]

That’s why the foreigners put him there

[@juch3]

​@@Negus93when everything goes to shit, just blame foreigners or "the west"

[@Negus93]

@@juch3 the west Chinese Indians Arabs and the rest of y’all. Y’all armed them so it’s y’all fault. Ethiopia was about to become the most powerful nation on earth but like every country Japan, Iraq, Iran, the world couldn’t accept that

[@PlaylistProleteriat]

​@@Negus93Ethiopia the most powerfuil? 😂 can't even secure its own borders or keep Eritrea so no they never were going to become a superpower. They're not even the strongest country in Africa

[@Negus93]

@@PlaylistProleteriat actually they were before this conflict. Eritrea is apart of Ethiopia but foreigners came in and separated it. Ethiopia ruled the world once and it will happen again

[@saymonxster]

Hey @CaspianReport, I have a proposal. I love your videos and value the way you deliver the information you research. Could you make dedicated playlists for every country/region composed of your videos? As a regular viewer I see the value for new and old viewers to be able to see the chronological development of things as they happened in the past few years and what they look like today. An eye opener

[@mothepractitioner]

I second that. Please 🙏🏻

[@mercurius8725]

@CaspianReport we need you on this, make the playlist, it'll be fire🔥💯

[@postmortemarg]

Sounds more like a demand than a proposal

[@talent2437]

I also second this

[@davidemuzio3719]

@CaspianReport that’s a great idea!

[@Numba003]

I'm sorry to see Ethiopia struggling after it seemed to have so much going for it just a few years ago. I hope they manage to find a lasting peace soon. Thank you for another informative video. God be with you out there everybody. ✝️ :)

[@panafrican.nation]

It's simply about different nations living under one roof not investing in cohesion. The resulting weakness becomes a conduit for foreign interests. There are a lot of strongly competing interests, and therefore conflict, all around the region.

[@hu6284]

they are the belligerents in the region, only country openly threatening their neighbours and dropping bombs in the Tigray Genocide.

[@toobeast673]

The RSF and Abiy are both backed by the UAE. The RSF wouldn’t support Fano it’s far more likely the Sudanese Army would supply them. Not to mention Abiy’s government has been caught smuggling weapons to the RSF.

[@dejentadele6858]

Yes RSF and Abiy are allies but Fano will never allied itself with al Burhan , Maybe Eritrea

[@GODDAMMNSHIT44]

The RSF needs help themselves now Fano have no choice other Sudanese Army because of the Border

[@anyanwu6233]

Is there religious part of the conflicts in Ethiopia? Do any groups get support just because of their religion like Christianity/Islam/Judaism? Are Muslims getting support from others above the Sahel?

[@MEZERARA]

fano has 0 allies

[@MEZERARA]

@@anyanwu6233 it's not religious, the Fano militias started to form to prevent an upcoming ethnic cleansing against the Amhara people. the spotlight is the Amhara people

[@andersthons]

Thank you for being 1000 times better than all news channels combined

[@soundscape26]

I mean, news channels typically report the news on the hour... Caspian Report's videos are more like mini-documentaries.

[@JMK948]

@@soundscape26 Exactly.

[@henihenry3254]

actually there is so many lies in this video, there is a conflict in our country but not as much as this video.

[@guraminiro]

​@@henihenry3254point out the wrong facts, don't just say it and run, this means you are either ignorant or the current situation is benifiting specifically you.

[@giosafanyen]

Speaking as an Ethiopian, this is actually a really bad video. Not that it's biased or anything but it's rife with historical and also political inaccuracies.

[@yusufshire]

It would be even more complex if you look at how Abiy Ahmed is trying to drag Somalia and Eritrea into this conflict with his provocative sea access policies. Let's hope Ethiopians stop this madman before he causes more havoc and destruction for the Region and Ethiopia.

[@pizzacrusher4632]

Having sea access is provocative? (serious question, I am not sure I understand why having access to the sea makes people upset)

[@profinneupane6883]

⁠@@pizzacrusher4632he made a deal with unrecognized state to access Red SEA, that’s like US making a deal with Catalonia

[@pizzacrusher4632]

@@profinneupane6883 I see. I guess Spain would be upset about that (in your analogy)? I can see that Spain may feel like it is missing out on taxes or fees or something, but not something one would enter into armed conflict over. I don't know; still thinking it through.

[@profinneupane6883]

@@pizzacrusher4632 i hate to break it to you but it’s Ethiopia thats saying they’ll invade and take it by force after somali government vetoed that deal, so the problem is Abiy’s leadership that picked a fight with the somalis, Egyptians and Sudanese. Every country would fight for their territorial integrity if what u saying is half true then Ukraine would’ve surrendered back in February 2022

[@pizzacrusher4632]

@@profinneupane6883 ty for your replies. I've read up on it a little, and i think solmaliland broke away from Somalia (like 35 years ago?)? And now Somalia is upset that Ethiopia is talking to Somaliland about access to the sea, 35 years later? I’m beginning to understand why that part of the world is having such a tough time…

[@AdastraRecordings]

Thanks for making an extremely complicated scenario understandable.

[@recoil53]

Real Life Lore did another one recently.

[@soundscape26]

@@recoil53 Real Life Lore meanders way too much.

[@recoil53]

@@soundscape26 And 90% of the time the answer is water.

[@henihenry3254]

there is a conflict but, there is so many lies on this video. For sure Ethiopia will continue 100%

[@Gmthekiller]

​@@henihenry3254cope.

[@mnm5165]

No offence, but sometimes I look at Ethiopia and wonder what the point of them staying together as a nation really is

[@shafsteryellow]

New yugoslavia is the only way

[@antiwesternvalues]

i wonder the same for the united states as well.

[@pubovac]

@@shafsteryellow Or new Italy. Erase all the ethnicities and be just Ethiopians.

[@mtg374]

@@antiwesternvaluesthat’s different. The US is diverse due to immigration. That’s a lot different than if your country was conquered by another country 120 years ago

[@bilalabdi9148]

its some problems Euroupe Had before , they will come over it

[@Logging_Out]

In the land where hills embrace the sun, Amhara hearts beat, a tale begun. State-sponsored shadows cast despair, Yet resilient spirits, a story rare. A people's strength in unity, Facing a storm, a harsh decree. Genocide's cruel, relentless hand, But Amhara's spirit shall withstand. Mountains echo a resilient song, Of courage, resistance, standing strong. In the face of darkness, they endure, A tale of hope, steadfast and pure. Oh, Amhara, beacon of light, In the darkest hour, stand upright. The world must hear your silent plea, For peace and justice to set you free.

[@AmericaHabesha]

* with peace and justice we will be free The whole world will hear our victory

[@awaiskhan9329]

You want to secede from Ethi0pia?

[@AmericaHabesha]

@@awaiskhan9329 Amhara is Ethiopia. 3000+ years

[@JGgoworth]

@@AmericaHabesha main issue is bringing up the past I think

[@selamasega5499]

Wow beautiful poem 🙏🏾

[@phoglebice]

The problem in Ethiopia stems from the fact that the elites (from all ethnic groups) have become completely ungovernable. It’s unfortunate because the people are actually quite the opposite.

[@Handle0108]

the problem is that its too ethnically and religiously diverse, and its a country made by empire, not a nation state. So it has the same problems as all other multiethnic African countries.

[@gsgzhzvs2632]

@@Handle0108Diversity is weakness

[@gsgzhzvs2632]

@@Handle0108It’ll soon happen in the west

[@WaveRider1989]

​@Handle0108 there are 100s of nations with high amount kf diversity living peacefully. All ethnicities can't have a country then we'll have 1000s of small countries and it'll be unproductive.

[@victorymonument1888]

This is the only comment that makes sense. Many people blame Abiy for debt default and conflict as if he is the one who brought these. The debt default was because of the reckless borrowing and misuse of the fund by tplf. Ethnic tensions were installed by tplf. Ethiopian elites of all sects are ungovernable.

[@moah2012]

When you were talking about Tigray from 6:11-6:25, you had a picture of Mengistu who was in power BEFORE the tigray rule.

[@Legendarywebhead]

Also 17:28 he says President Isaias Afewerki of Eritrea and shows a picture of General Al Burhan of Sudan. Makes me wonder how misleading his other videos are

[@Legendarywebhead]

Also he didn't cite his sources

[@tfozo]

exactly this is just another video to make money not to tell story. there are somethings he says that are completely untrue or wrongly addressed.

[@aradat9671]

​@@Legendarywebheadthe most garbage unresearched amature news about ethiopia always comes from western media especially tge ones that make videos like this just want quick views war infograpic is another brain dead channel le😊

[@AbdiNegassa]

'One conflict ends, another begins'- Ethiopian History 101

[@Dd-ky4ye]

አንቺ ደግሞ ። ግዜ ያመጣው ባይመችህ ፣ለግዜ ትተህ ለሀገርህ መትጋት ነው እንጂ ታሪክ እንደ ሌለን ሁሉ ፣ በ አንድ መስመር በአልባሌ ቃላት ትጠቀልለዋለህ ? ሰዎች ያልገባችሁ ነገር አለ ዘመኑ በጣም ተቀሯል እንደ አባቶቻችን ዘመን የግል መሻታቸውን ለመፈጸም ሲያስቡ እንደሚያደርጉት አይደልም ። በ እጃችሁ ባለው ነው የሚመጡት ። እስኪ ከ ፕሮግራሙ መነሻ ጀምራችሁ እናስተውለው ስፖነስሩ ምን ሆነና የጦርነት ጨዋታ ታዲያ ፣ የሆነውንም ያልሆነውንም እየደባለቀ ቢነግረህ ስለ ሀገርህ ያለ እይታ ይቀየራል እንዴ ? ይልቅ በጸሎትና እግዜሩን መማጸን ይሻላል ። ወኔና ኢትጵያውነት ውስጥህ ካለ ተነስተህ ማንበብና ህይወትህን መቀየር ነው( ጦርነቱን እንኳን የተካንበት ነው ) ። ለማንኛውም ኢትዮጵያ ትፈርሳለች ብላችሁ የሰጋችሁ ሰዎች አትፈርስም ። ይህ የሚሆነው በ መቃብሬ ላይ ነው ። እስኪ በኢትጵያዊነት የሚያምን ። # ኢትዮጵያዊ ብቻ ነኝ ይጻፍ ! እባካችሁን በምትጠቀሙበት ሚድያ ሁሉ ይህን በማድግና ቀናውን በወንድምና እህቶቻችን ውስጥ እንዲሰርጽ በ ማድረግ ኢትጵያና ኢትዮጵያዊነትን እንታደግ !!።

[@The.Federalist]

So many errors makes the video unwatchable. Example: 9:55 it was the widespread Oromo youth protests that led the government led by TPLF to transfer power. The Amhara efforts helped the cause but it is by no means the one that pressured TPLF to negotiation for political reform. 17:27 that is not Eritrea's president. He is Sudan's military leader Al Burhan. 6:10 people shown in the pictures are not Tigrayan leaders Video is full of misunderstanding of Ethiopian politics, which by itself is complex and requires a lot of research and consideration.

[@ytpanda398]

This is what happens when a single entity tries to cover too many topics

[@FunSunSet]

I believe making these types of videos is hard.. they will always be mistakes. anyhow, we watch them to know what others know. so you can't stop watching because you see mistakes.. appreciate your correction.

[@EyobFitwi]

The examples you pointed out are valid. He did miss the Qerro's role. And the pictures, need some work. But the narrative is not wrong. It just has a different presentation. It looks anachronistic but he hasn't missed the details so far (except for Qerro's role). It is interesting, but people not familiar with the conflict may lose track of events trying to follow.

[@lonehayena]

Oromo youth protests were achieving nothing until the Amhara joined.

[@jhonywalker1168]

very wrong Amharas joined at last.@@lonehayena

[@bababababababa6124]

Thank you for discussing this, I feel like Ethiopia constantly gets overlooked as there’s always another conflict going on that takes the spotlight Also can I just say that whoever gave that man a Nobel peace prize should be ashamed of themselves

[@roberthoward9500]

I think in general civil wars get less international media than one country invading another as well.

[@skeletonwguitar4383]

Maybe because theres alot of civil and minor conflicts all over the world now. Im getting tired of this stuff, and I can only sympathize with every populace suffering than the beligerents

[@svtinker]

Sadly, the new dam has received more play in western media. The genocide in Tigray is unconscionable.

[@IAMJEFFREY-cw9ns]

The Nobel committee lost it's credibility a long time ago.

[@skeletonwguitar4383]

@@IAMJEFFREY-cw9ns agreed, only the rich and in suit in their high seats ever cared, like Oscars and any other mainstream awards, theyre all garbage waste of money hard items to boost their egos

[@zt3kr]

I come from the Somali region of Ethiopia and this was really well researched, no many people get it right . and the visuals were amazing. bravo.

[@anon2034]

Ogaden? When are you unifying Somalia?

[@agentopaque3776]

@@anon2034 I will never understand you people, who in their right mind would unify with Somalia? Somalia is a literal failed state that has numerous problems. Its better that Ogaden seeks independence similar to Somaliland. If Ethiopia collapses theyd definetly get their independence.

[@marella2017]

@@agentopaque3776stfu nobody wants to join Aidtopia

[@thecooked8121]

​@@agentopaque3776keep 😂😂😂😂 crying

[@agentopaque3776]

@@thecooked8121 Your the only ones crying all over social media, begging outsiders to "condemn". Keep begging, nothing will stop us from gaining independence from your shithole failed state.

[@raghedanan3959]

With all these problems in Ethiopia Abbiy still want to Annex territory of Somalia 🇸🇴………. Unbelievable ! No Wonder why Somalis called him The Madman.😂😂😂

[@Homoerectus-zd7vc]

Somaliland is not Somalia

[@calm123]

​@@Homoerectus-zd7vc Somaliland will always be part of Somalia, it's even in the name😂

[@Homoerectus-zd7vc]

@@calm123 Somaliland is just like Djibouty you cant claim all Somali People lands

[@calm123]

@@Homoerectus-zd7vc Somaliland is Somalia u 🤡, look at the name Somaliland lol, it will never be recognized like Djibouti

[@Suzaku700]

@@Homoerectus-zd7vcDjibouti was strategically significant to the powers that be so they carved it out. Regardless of Somaliland or Somalia’s differences that’s between us and personally I’d rather we recognise them as a country ourselves if it means not having other people take their port. Even though I believe we’d be going down a route where every big tribe will think the same is still prefer it than having Ethiopia lease a significant port for a good century as in a century anything could happen.

[@Horn-sc2hzgtdooonbbfd]

As a Somalis who grow up under harsh uncivilised government of the former TPLF warlord meles zenawi. Now I’m worried if Abiy Ahmed leave his own ethnic Oromo dark legacy like meles zenawi leaved Tigray.

[@abenezerethiopiawi]

Don’t compare Meles to Abiy. Meles was an angel compared to Abiy

[@eyobgenene795]

stop it he did all his durt quietly behind the back. he is the main guys who draft the constitution dividing Ethiopia into an ethnic based federalism that lead to all this mess not too mention the corruption, discrimination and the ethnics based killing so save this angle bs. I'm be so disappointed if you is Amhara saying what you say.@@abenezerethiopiawi

[@Aural1]

@@abenezerethiopiawiyour saying that cause your habesha however meles caused more trouble

[@sudeisygeresu1019]

@@eyobgenene795 Yeah sure but at least the country was growing slowly. The wasn't any inflation even though corruption was still a thing. After Abiy did all this every imported product has not just doubled BUT QUINTUPLED to the point there's no way to survive without being corrupt. Meles would silence any threat approaching before it even gets publicized. Yeah sure, he wasn't hella transparent and was super suspicious but at least he kept this country stable and silent for all those years. Ethiopia is very hard to rule, just like Iraq. Well, that's my opinion on this colossal mumbo-jumbo mess this country is going through 😅

[@da.a1728]

The problem is Ethiopia is deeply rooted in ethnic groups taking the power and favoring their ethnic group. Which is stupid and it pretty clearly Ethiopians will never learn it. Abiy is a Oromo supremacies and favoring only his people, the same did the former prime ministers before him. It’s just tribalism at the highest level. I believe abiy is last leader of his kind. Ethiopia will split up, the damage he was caused is unforgettable specially for Tigrayans and for Amharas.

[@ZakariaQurbac]

As a neighboring Somali what a tragic turn of events for Ethiopia, I was in Hargeisa not long ago and Somalia is rebuilding, sad to say Ethiopia is now planning to forcefully take a piece of land from Somalia we will see how that goes Ethiopia and their unstable country, they’ll surely be the Yugoslavia of Africa as predicted years ago

[@countcryptonite]

This will be the downfall for Ethiopia. I really thought Abiy would walk a different path. But he has the same mindset as the elite. Thinking that he can take land from another country. He's delusional. The Somali region of Ethiopia will join their brothers and sisters from Somalia. Im happy Somalia is doing well and is on a path of rebuilding. Lets keep it that way and make sure no other country interferes with our land, sea, air and politics

[@phiipiv1340]

Keep dreaming 💭 😂😂😂​@@countcryptonite

[@dande8970]

​@@phiipiv1340Ethiopia is a country in shambles, it could disintegrate at any moment, what is there to dream about?

[@Amdatsion]

As an Amhara, I do not support the illegal agreement between Abiy's regime and somali land, since it undermine the territorial integrity of somalia. Ethiopia disintegrating as yugoslavia is far fetched. We have been in far worse situation since ancient times, as an Amhara this is our history, I know it, i live it, I breath is it war is our wedding, it is were we thrive we will fight to the last man standing until we secure the integrity of our ancestral lands. For an Amhara what greater glory is there other than joining his ancestors in death fighting for his Religion, country, and his people.

[@Benger2185]

@@dande8970it is exactly what Meles said about if democracy fails… unfortunately his own people betrayed his ideas for their own capitalist greed

[@silverros]

Let's hope this does not turn into an actual conflict. The big super powers are likely eager to support some faction or another and exploit the situation.

[@uchicha666]

As always, it would be a disaster to civilians who will not benefit from the outcome.

[@DOSFS]

Already happened once (Tigray war), likely it would happened again even without outside powers.

[@Mast3r0fTheUniverse]

Egypt is happy to see this happening. They’ll fund any opposition to a cohesive federalized government. China and Russia do not stand to gain any geopolitical gains against the west, so they’ve no motivation to pick a side. There’d have to be a disruption to trade to have the west get involved. I don’t see any of the groups involved capable of that. No, this could quickly devolve into a bloody ethnic based slaughter largely ignored by the developed world. That will be worse than if the it wasn’t.

[@recoil53]

What exactly does the EU and US gain here? Russia or maybe China would like to add another country as their client state maybe. But I doubt they'd be eager for this.

[@shafsteryellow]

​@@recoil53😂 how naive

[@Forge17]

Suddenly Abiy’s aggressive language about getting a port, by any means necessary, makes sense. An economic bump and a domestic victory he can tout, would help soothe tensions during the low grade insurgencies/economic downturn.

[@raghedanan3959]

Do you think Abbiy is going to get a Port without a fight ? In my opinion he might lose Ogaden and will not achieve anything including a port on the Red Sea.

[@MrAyuub22]

Or now somalia gets involved helping arm Fano and anyone looking to take down Abiy. Bad move by him

[@raghedanan3959]

@@MrAyuub22 Yes, indeed Somalia will use any card to play against Mr Abbiy The Fake King of Ethiopia.

[@Forge17]

@@raghedanan3959 Somalia barely possesses the ability to fight back Al-Shabob islamist cells or feed its own people, but yes I agree conflict is possible.

[@Forge17]

@@MrAyuub22 Somalia doesn’t possess the know how or resources to aid Fano. It’s also on the opposite side of Ethiopia far out of reach.

[@besratalemu4724]

That feeling when your country is next on Shirvan’s list 😞

[@2Bunphettered788]

😄

[@dream_weaver6207]

Kinda reminds me of the 30 years war with how messy relations are and how brutal the fighting is.

[@007kingifrit]

the 30 year war was caused by the rise of new communication tech: the printing press. just as now the internet is making institutions and states unstable

[@loworochi]

This isn’t even mentioning their recent attacks on Somalia’s territorial integrity

[@OmarArale-s1w]

Absolutely 💯

[@kasugaryuichi9767]

Somalia has that? Since when?

[@MarshalHemram-hy3rz]

Its Somaliland

[@ZombiePepperoni]

Lmao territorial integrity

[@AbuYusuf-fz5bt]

​@@kasugaryuichi9767 funny Ethiopian bot lmao 😂

[@redseayouth9119]

Much of the world media attention has been on what is happening in Palestine and Ukraine. But the Balkanization of Ethiopia is already unfolding with multiple civil wars and a PM who is intent on externalising the internal conflicts through aggressive moves on his neighbours. If nothing is done about this situation Ethiopia will end up being the largest country with a population of 126 million to collapse!

[@notsorry4735]

The balkanisation of Ethiopia is pretty much inevitable. The international community should try and make the process as smooth as possible to not have another Yugoslavia situation and the associated atrocities.

[@shafsteryellow]

The oromos have to be kept in check unlike other groups they have more illdefined ambitions and illogical claims

[@Rafael99923]

I agree we Somalis want to unite with Somalia

[@pipipupu5104]

​@@Rafael99923 you're definitely not somali from ethiopia dude

[@pipipupu5104]

​@@Rafael99923 you're definitely not somali from ethiopia dude

[@user-uq6pd1nv1j]

the balkanization of Ethiopia will never happen peacefully (which is why it's never happened till now) bc the current regions are heavily disputed. also, no one will allow the oromos to fully take addis ababa bc it is all of our money that made it so urban and Ethiopian Airlines/GERD will also be a huge fight. some regions (namely afar, tigray) really can't survive on their own and other smaller regions and even big regions like amhara don't want to leave. therefore, balkanization will never happen.

[@gosnooky]

As long as there are groups of people who bully and subjugate others, there will be conflicts. Africa is going through growing pains, and the levels of poverty exacerbate the divides between groups. This isn't the first major conflict in 21st century Africa, and it will not be the last.

[@PizeFish]

It's not that simple sometimes it just might be terrorists serving their own agenda for political or monetary gain just like what happened in ñazi Germany they created enemies out of thin air to serve their political ideology

[@zhcultivator]

sadly true

[@oghetokevin8746]

Same applies to Europe I guess..the Russia Ukraine war won't be the last It's gonna be a long century I guess

[@enduser8410]

"As long as there are groups of people who bully and subjugate others, there will be conflicts." What a generic statement. Like you see Africa as so simple.

[@r.p5380]

​@@enduser8410Ethiopia is not a real nation. It is a loosely united confederation of states held together by a series of genocidal leaders. It's time for SRS to restart ONLF and WSLF and reunite with their brothers across the border after a century of disunity

[@limayahe363]

Derge is neither Amhara nor based on tribal politics, which was installed by TPLF in 1991. Leader of Derege, Mengestu, is Oromo, though Derege has nothing to do with tribal politics. TRIBAL POLITICS is simply a VECHLE to POWER, nothing more!!! One Proof, as you read this, millions are starving in Tegray while most top TPLF are in western countries and most are multimillionaires.

[@dalloll]

I noticed that he said that derg is as Amhara. lol. It’s a socialist. Derg killed more Amharas than any other during its regime. For got sake it killed some of the most influential leaders which happened to be mostly Amharas.

[@karzan995]

Content starts at 03:10. :)

[@Spina-o3r]

❤

[@Averrois.]

Thank you

[@ciceroalexandar6184]

16:50 about Hemedetti, I am certain that he will ally with the Gov of Ethiopia rather than FANO, because both Ethiopia and Hemedetti's RSF are supported by the UAE, in fact, Hemedetti was in Addis Ababa few weeks ago in a trip of international rehabilitation, were he will visit several African countries to gain legitimacy over Sudanese Armed forces who are supported by Egypt. So, FANO and RSF alliance is not possible, because RSF and Ethiopia are in the same team already. 17:50 Second thing is that, Tigray is no longer fighting the Gov of Ethiopia, since it had a peace talks which were successful, and the Gov of Ethiopia and Tigranians have a common enemies who are Eritrea and FANO, so Tigray being that supposed war is not logical.

[@theancientsancients1769]

Well now Egypt moving into Eritrea and Somalia after Ethiopia picked a fight with Somalia . Sudan government siding with Somalia

[@profinneupane6883]

Didn’t Ethiopian asked help Eritrea when the Tigray war was going?

[@ciceroalexandar6184]

@@profinneupane6883 Yes, but that alliance between Ethiopia and Eritrea fell down

[@nebyeelda5862]

@@ciceroalexandar6184 Yes both are supported by UAE. But the RSF is also allied with Russia. So the UAE doesn't oppose RSF destabilizing Ethiopia. Even though the RSF is funded by UAE the military weapons are bought from Russia. Because RSF is considered to be a genocidal group by the US. For Ethiopia the best outcome would be a destabilized Sudan that is dominated by The military.

[@ciceroalexandar6184]

@@nebyeelda5862 RSF leader was in Ethiopia awhile ago, he and Abiy Ahmed are allies, and their main suppoter is UAE. RSF was pushing hard to reach Ethiopia's border. UAE is supporting both in finance and equipment.

[@yoshu4221]

Ethiopia has no hope of forging a unified national identity if it continues to explicitly use language that favors one ethnic group. Conflict will persist as long as people continue to focus on their divisions instead of their commonalities. I guess it's easy for me to say from the outside, but things don't change unless people try.

[@brookendale3611]

And what ethnic group do you think that is?

[@yoshu4221]

@@brookendale3611 He says it in the video... Abiy Ahmed is favoring Oromo because that's his power base.

[@Rafael99923]

Ethiopia is only held together by the night of the central government. If the central government collapses the entire system will fall.

[@shauncameron8390]

@@Rafael99923 Just like Yugoslavia.

[@abdiqafaarbashiir5672]

@@yoshu4221 before oromo it was amharic for 100 years tho,

[@GoofusPlays]

Ethiopia is a huge country in a super important region. I'm surprised it gets so little attention in the Western press

[@FexoNass]

B/c it's propaganda

[@Jj-jg6pw]

They just joined Brics. the west is using propaganda. You know what happens if the US is no longer the wwc? They can't weaponise the dollar and the imf can't destroy countries with predatory loans and destabilization. It will end US rule. Brics is dumping US dollars.

[@krumuvecis]

isn't this western press though?

[@aradat9671]

​@@krumuvecisan amateur useless one i suggest you do you're own research from Amhara view point because this is pretty garbage really unresearched click bait only for views this is why i don't like western media they point little truth's to gain people trust so they can paint a narrative they want

[@aradat9671]

​​@krumuvecis an amateur useless one i suggest you do you're own research from Amhara view point if you are interested because this is pretty garbage really unresearched click bait only for views this is why i don't like western media they point little truth's to gain people trust so they can paint a narrative they want

[@axelnovati]

I haven't seen such a complicated, entangled and intricated conflict like this since Syria.

[@sararetta]

So many major errors on this video, one needs to make a deeper research before trying to summarize such a complicated issue, so take the details on the video with a grain of salt but the fact is that Ethiopia is in turmoil the government being the main cause, pray for Ethiopia.

[@elhombredeoro955]

Have you seen Burmese conflict???

[@axelnovati]

@@elhombredeoro955 oh yeah. Another clusterfuck of interest. Like a 7 sides civil War xd

[@giosafanyen]

I agree with @sararetta. It is too complicated and this video ends up with so many inaccuracies. Just use it as a starting point to research the topics if interested.

[@deezeedrone]

an incredible analysis on the complicated and never-ending ethnic related issues currently troubling Ethiopia, @caspiabreport. But one correction: the Fanos don't intend to activate the Article 39 right to secession nor have they ever expressed interest in that matter.

[@zna826]

Fanos has valid reason to fight Abiy Ahmed. Genocide has been committed on Amharas in Oromia where Abiy Ahmed is from not only in Oromia Amharas are being killed and displaced in every corner of Ethiopia. Fano's or Amhara people are fighting for survival.

[@channelshalom8914]

Exactly but yet this guy make even an Oromo government Derg to Look Amhara to paint them as villains

[@aradat9671]

​@@lol-yx9zyderg didn't have no Amhara elites it only had oromo elites some of them are still here like general jula the Coward oromo pow of Eritrea being pow is oromo culture

[@m.s.1779]

@@lol-yx9zy At least the Derg was not Tribalist and didn't kill based on Ethnicity nor did it make Ethnic based regional borders and Ethnic police and military available.....I would choose The Derg if it was a political Entity of today 1000%

[@Dramaeditings]

Nope Fano are fighting for Expansion. Why would they conquer west and south Tigray. They’re the problem in Amhara region

[@oghetokevin8746]

As a Kenyan i wonder why we never get this info on our TVs seems Ethiopia is back at it again in a more deadly n worse way..peace is paramount dear Ethiopians..seems you did bot learn from the war in tigray

[@imperator692]

Because we live in a corrupt British-American puppet state and Britain and America supports Ethiopia.

[@turnleft8645]

As a person who lives in the Southern part of Africa, the Northern parts always have me worried as there is always wars and conflicts whether it's between nations, civil wars, between tribes and groups and so many more just to name a few. I'm glad that at least we escaped from that potentially disastrous era and hope one day they too can.

[@chinastudies6345]

Your journalistic approach concerning this issue is very professional and I hope everything will be alright in the country.

[@dontcomply3976]

Ethiopia is not one of the poorest countries in Africa, it is probably one of the countries on the higher side.

[@ibrahimbello5546]

Higher side of what

[@alexanderrohaj4794]

​@@ibrahimbello5546casualities rate on ww2 me think

[@dontcomply3976]

@ibrahimbello5546 The African average, go to the Wikipedia page for GDP Per Capita (PPP) to see the list. Probably a bit above average.

[@pipipupu5104]

​@@dontcomply3976who would to invest in such a unstable country

[@davela5467]

not you obviously@@pipipupu5104

[@tianming4964]

I wouldn't say Ethiopia would cease to exist if some areas secede-the Amhara at least would likely still call their country "Ethiopia," and some other ethnic groups would likely be part of it as well. Most of Ethiopian history has centered around the history of the Habesha people (Tigray and Amhara people), with other groups like the Somalis, Oromo, etc, mostly being incorporated after the conquest of Menelik II in the 19th century. I'm sure it would continue on in some form even if there was a partition, it just wouldn't be as big of a country or encompass so many ethnic groups.

[@channelshalom8914]

The other ethnic groups of southern and Somalis had history with Amharas before Menelik ll come on power read the Adal sultanate and how they invade Amhara highlands

[@NesiruTemam]

Lol. That's why we will never ever agree on something. you guys are so stubborn. The stolen history will never take u to anywhere. Everyone knows Ethiopia history before the creation of 'amhara' in 1270s as 'Kushites History' not habesha. You guys arrived in kushites land and mixed with indigenous, droves others downward and took over kushites. Plus, There is no way we gonna live past. Either you all will accept the fact that FINFINNE(Addis Ababa) belongs to OROMO, and respect the benefits of our people from every sections of income in Oromia, or we gonna create our own country 'Oromia'. That's it. If you think fanno terrorists will control Addis Ababa, forget about it it's a daydream.

[@countcryptonite]

@@channelshalom8914 Somalis arent Ethiopians and never were. Yes weve colonized Ethiopia through Adal Sultanate. But that was more of a religious war. No Somali consider themselves as Ethiopian. You can ask any Somali. Its better for the Tigray and Amhara people to form a new Ethiopia and let the other ethnic groups make their own country. Oromia would become an own nation wich has almost 30-35 million inhabitants. The southern regions will also form an own nation. And Ogaden would join Somalia. Thats the only way for longlasting peace in the Horn of Africa. These white colonial borders have caused major problems in Africa

[@connecteddthoughts]

@@countcryptonite That's the thing--these borders aren't white nor are they colonial. Ethiopia is one of the oldest nations on earth, and no, its people are not culturally the same. The reason for this is geography. Being mountainous has advantages when defending yourself from invasion, such as the Somali and Italian invasions of Ethiopia. But it is a double edged sword. Without an external enemy to promote unity, the people are simply too isolated. Despite living in proximity for literally thousands of years, their cultures evolved separately because the mountains keep people isolated for the most part. This reminds me of the Italian city states era. same issue. Ethiopia only became unified due to the empires mostly from Tigray and Amhara,, which is where Habesha culture came from. That is not inherently a bad thing, as the other tribes didn't have written languages or much organization. Ethiopia is not the most diverse country in the world, some competitors to that include the United States and India, both of which are unified despite being incredibly diverse. Ethiopia needs three things, realistically. Firstly, increased trade between regions. Build a rail line between the capitols of every region. From Mekelle to Bahr Dar, From Bahr Dar to Adama, From Adama to Jijiga, and all connected to Addis. I am not really against Abby's recognition of Somaliland, regardless of what anyone says. Get that port at all costs. Don't let Djibouti price gouge. Dont waste money on a navy, build the port and build a rail line to the closest major city. Secondly, diplomatic effort. Invite Fano, Tigray, and OLF to a roundtable. Figure it out. No preconditions. If it were me, I'd invite them into a room then lock the door. No one leaves until an agreement is reached. No guns inside, just unarmed security to prevent physical fights. Even if a fight breaks out or someone is injured , dont stop the meeting. And thirdly, unifying forces. Cross cultural exchange program. Military bootcamp as national service (not controversial, many safer countries do this, including South Korea, Sweden, and Israel. Reinstitute the cross cultural teaching program that the communist government had. That's one of the few things I would actually thank the Derg for.

[@dran7764]

gibberish , shallow statement... first I am 100% sure that you didn't understand why Tigre, OLA, fano fighting for.@@connecteddthoughts

[@YoAMAX]

Abiy Ahmed should have his nobel peace price revoked. It's clear he doesn't care about peace. Look at what he's doing with Egypt, Sudan and Somalia-Somaliland.

[@cheatcoddes]

Egypt?? Sudan?? somaliland??

[@cheatcoddes]

what you're saying is factually wrong, Ethiopians support his actions towards those countries. That's what every Ethiopian who have done if they were in power.

[@SRC-Kacaan]

You haven’t even mentioned the fact that Abiye has just tried to annex land in Somalia 🇸🇴 last week. And also nearly half the country’s land is the Somali region. The guys an absolute tool looking to speed run disentengrating his country

[@channelshalom8914]

Oromo Geda is big problem their ambition is huge most of Oromo land now even don’t belongs to them historically and Derg regime of Oromo portrayed as Amhara they played as innocent it can get wait and see Ethiopia is now under way to civil war then he also want war with Eritrea and Somalia as well that is what they are good at it

[@Alhamdlh]

I watched the video because I thought is going to talk about the issue with sea and land annexation from Somalia, since the title mentioned how Ethiopia could trigger African conflict. Poor Aby he is looking for external problem because he can’t deal with internal conflict! A clear diversion of intention!

[@axmedsayid9508]

He's biased trying to hide it by excuse of lack education

[@stevensmith2078]

You mean lease a port, not annex. Though he might since Ethiopia is the most populous land-locked country in the world, which hobbles it geopolitically.

[@mohamedalihashi572]

Great explaintion , this shows Ethopia internal problem is way much bigger than any other conflict in the region and Abiye yet wants create new problems

[@ziroja]

I live in Ex Yugoslavia region, but this is too complicated for me 😅

[@kevincronk7981]

Holup 3:28 Ethiopia is absolutely not one of the poorest countries on the continent. Before the war they were one of the richest countries in Africa, and even now most of Ethiopia is far better off than somewhere like South Sudan, Eritrea, or most of the Sahel.

[@AbuYusuf-fz5bt]

The average citizen in Ethiopia is practically poor and starving. The quality of life is probably terrible Aswell

[@jhonywalker1168]

bro the average Ethiopian is not starving who is feeding you this non sense@@AbuYusuf-fz5bt

[@FOXPOPKING]

​@@AbuYusuf-fz5bt before*

[@derrickmutuma7185]

Kenya really is surrounded by alot of Chaos. But Kenya stands with Ethiopia and Ethiopians. Peace, love, and success to all Ethiopians.

[@oo--7714]

Wild how Kenya hasn’t had a civil war

[@visuali235]

Kenya and Somalis in Kenya are soon gonna unite which their kin

[@derrickmutuma7185]

@@visuali235 They won't. Kenya is not a banana republic.

[@visuali235]

@@derrickmutuma7185they will and you can’t stop it Yugoslavia tried it but failed

[@derrickmutuma7185]

@@visuali235 Kenyan Somalis are not stupid. They wouldn't want to join a failed state like Somalia. But they can join if they wish. NEP isn't quite worthy.

[@zigzag4273]

Correction at 17:28 that's Al Burhan not Afwerki.

[@konnen4518]

9:58 it was the widespread Oromo youth (Kerro/querro) protests that pressured the then Ethiopian government (EPRDF) led TPLF to transfer power. The Amhara protest helped the cause but it is by no means the one that pressured EPRDF to come to negotiation for new political reform. You were able to capture the main idea but a lot of error in the details

[@aledwake]

If ranked the Oromo or Qero Protest to remove TPLF from Power was Oromo Protest If WE become honest and real ,IT ranked on third Position. What was the influnce of Oromo Protest on TPlF EPRDF ? Only crossing their arm on their forhead and If TPLF Agazi want shooted , of course Qerro by himself was even when He hear bullet Sound chased and dead in saffocation or entering in cave ( example the Deberezeit irrecha religiös Celebration in 2016) However the Oromo elites to Show as they struggled Patriotic and to claim psedo Hero , they brought false Rhetorik that they Had played great Roll to remove TPlF and the Amhara himself allowed for Oromo this false Rhetorik to lower the Oromo inferiority Complex which IS deep rooted any anyone Oromo Elites for century.In Realty WHO are pressurized the TPLF EPRDF with armed struggel ? atleast you lair can Not denay Colonels Demeke Zewudu lead Gondar armed Federal Police , Agazi war ended by 100% FANo Victory , you can Not denay 2016(2008 Bahir Dar Fanno sacrification WHO forced EPRDF to sit for 17day closed Meeting ) and Bring to Power this canibal Oromo goverement

[@channelshalom8914]

@@aledwakeThey denied everything as usual don’t be surprised

[@zewisdom4822]

Qerro startes the protest for three years and they did not get even any attention in local level. As soon as Amhara raised on 13 of july, the political shift changed up side down and the whole country started to shake.

[@dran7764]

there is a lot evidence than your little biased opinion @@zewisdom4822 google is #oromoprotest2016. thousand of source is coming out in second

[@greatguy2141]

You forgot to mention Ethiopia's agreement with Somaliland that will grant Ethiopia access to the Gulf of Aden. Somalia is very upset about this. That situation could turn into a war too.

[@skp8748]

😂 30%of Ethiopia belongs to somalia. It's called the Somali region and it's populated and governed by Somalis who have long wanted to rejoin Somalia after the british awarded it to Ethiopia for helping against the Italians. Somalia has also received military assurances from Egypt, who has its own existential problems with Ethiopia, to ensure Somali sovereignty isn't denigrated by an invasion. Somaliland is not a united entity. They literally just lost a civil war and their eastern territory to a people seeking to be a seperate federal state of Somalia called Khatuumo. In their west and the only viable link to Ethiopia another region has defected from it called Awdal which also seeks to be recognised as a federal state of Somalia. So Somaliland would be the smallest country in Africa, governed by a single clan and be flanked on all sides by Somalia... Does that sound like a country or a clan enclave.

[@greatguy2141]

@@skp8748 A counterargument can be made that the many clans of Somalia cannot get along with each other, and the reason Somaliland has been more stable is because it is made up of mostly members of the same clan. This blurs the distinction between a country and a clan enclave as you put it, but it is preferrable to an unstable Somalia.

[@skp8748]

@@greatguy2141 clans not different ethnicities. The Somali tribe is one ethnicity, one language and one religion. Clan disputes are normal because it's nomadic pastoralist society just like the Arabs in the Arabian deserts or the turkic/mongol people of the steppe. It is NOTHING compared to the ethnic and religious violence and persecution of Ethiopia.

[@skp8748]

@@greatguy2141 somaliland is a state of Somalia just like puntland, galmudug ect How is somaliland stable if it has higher unemployment than puntland? How is it stable when the city of Mogadishu alone is more economically productive than the whole state? How is it stable when they've cancelled their last two elections? How is it stable if it has two regions on its west and east declaring themselves independent states of Somalia? How is it stable when it lost an armed conflict to one of those groups?

[@greatguy2141]

@@skp8748 Thanks for the info.

[@mikementzer9292]

I remember collecting money as a kid in 1984 for famine relief in Ethiopia. I must have been 6 or 7 years old, and went door to door in my village asking for money. I remember collecting a lot of money, although I don't know the exact amount anymore.

[@88srtakz15]

That money went to a little boy named Abiy Ahmed, heard he did good for himself.😂

[@jhonywalker1168]

Thank you for your contribution.

[@sareeyemanusqaame8723]

That money went to the American CIA to fight against mingistu who allied himself with the USSR the money wasn’t to help Ethiopia it was to do a regime change in Ethiopia and install a CIA puppet regime and they did it in 1991

[@toobeast673]

The video is well researched but one thing I would add is the difference between the Amhara regional government and Fano. The Amhara Prosperity Party(APP) is viewed by most Amharas as Abiy’s puppet and are in full cooperation with the Federal government. When the APP accepted the order to disarm many of the regional forces defected and joined Fano. The Federal government has failed to protect Amhara civilians from massacres and then forces them to disarm so they have no choice to resist or else they are just waiting to be slaughtered. Another thing to correct is that the Derg was not an Amhara entity. It was a communist junta that slaughtered based on political ideology not ethnic.

[@dran7764]

multiple source confirm that Amhara ruled Ethiopia from 1903- 1991. so then they dont deserve power now . they have to step down give chance for other

[@wildfire9280]

@@dran7764 From 1903? You mean from Ethiopia’s inception, right? Because it comes from a line of monarchies?

[@dran7764]

based on evidence Amhara not deserve power right now. they chance is elapsed and used.opportunity for other@@wildfire9280

[@user-uq6pd1nv1j]

@@dran7764 what are those sources bc the head of the Derg was not ethnically Amhara and neither were the majority of his officials.

[@dran7764]

@@user-uq6pd1nv1j don't deny its full of history exist .. Only amhara language and amhara people freely move and 90% of derg official is amhara tribe. even they admitted lol. blood is thicker than water.

[@habentesfamariam8660]

Compliments on making this complex conflict understandable! Two mistakes on displaying leaders though: 1. At 6:15 Mengistu Hailemariam (Oromo) instead of Meles Zenawi (Tigray) 2. At 17:28 Abdel Fattah Burhan (Sudan) instead of Isaias Afewerki (Eritrea)

[@countcryptonite]

True i saw that too. These were the only mistakes. But great documentary

[@phiipiv1340]

Mengistu is not amhara He is oromo

[@dran7764]

mangistu derg is Amhara Goverment @@phiipiv1340

[@jonklaudverdammt229]

Isaias aferwerki is technically tigrinya But Eritreas ethnic groups are unified and apeased and they see each other as one nation and call themself eritreans not their ethnic groups

[@TerranRepublic0200]

And they have time to attack Somalia territory?! They just recently made move against somalia so they can have port

[@Ginfio]

Well explained. Well done. Video been waiting on

[@Phidiasan]

How did Ethiopia get into BRICS?

[@manthanpatel6295]

I question that .. just because African union headquarters there that doesn't mean they are powerful... 😅😂😂

[@Mu3az523]

Mostly, probably UAE requested that

[@user-xt3jy8dt4z]

PM wants to be a dictator like all the brics members that's all

[@shanewaters592]

BRICS is going balls to the wall. They are betting that they can fix this. If they succeed, the international respect will be enormous. As will be the humiliation if they fail. A very high risk/high reward gamble.

[@SamiNami]

Brics is just a talking club, they dont actually do anything

[@abdiqanihashi484]

😢I visited ethiopia when i was younger it would be a shame if it fell apart it was such an amazing country.

[@theancientsancients1769]

Warya ! Gaalo madob stop getting involved

[@abdiqanihashi484]

@@theancientsancients1769 🙄🖕🏾 🇪🇹💕🇸🇴 😍

[@maclie7078]

Maxana galay na hadayba badeena usoodhigteene

[@abdiqanihashi484]

@@maclie7078 🤷🏾‍♂️

[@maclie7078]

​@@abdiqanihashi484❤❤😊

[@aaronjones8905]

The irony is that the Tigray were allowed to rule because the Oromo and Amhara couldn't trust each other. The only solution is a more complete federalization. A system like the American Senate and House where representation is equal and proportional respectively. I fear that the overall Ethiopian identity will struggle without something like a constitutional monarchy or a long period of time.

[@Rafael99923]

Monarchy and such nonsense will not be tolerated. Remember the ethnic group of that said monarch would matter a lot as no ethnic group wants to allow their “enemies” to gain power on them. The best solution is decentralisation.

[@dran7764]

there is no such Ethiopian identity. the monarchy is only Amhara ethnic based monarchy.. ..their monarchy ban Oromo language, identity and culture.. as the result of bloody struggle...OROMIA was created. therefore it unlikely that Amhara Monarchy come to power by no means. Oromia is more prepare and have an army to face the enemy.

[@xasansuudi4565]

I somali men i support brothers fano

[@Homoerectus-zd7vc]

Stop lying you call them "gaal" habashi which means Christian Habesha. Somalians from South Somalia hate Christians and love Arabs

[@thegamersfaction6343]

Your all deranged tribalists

[@channelshalom8914]

❤

[@CalmDolphin-gl3tx]

fano is genocider bro😢😢😢😢😢

[@theassassin9326]

Abiy Ahmad Ali have no Amhara family. He stated himself that both of his parents were ethnically oromo

[@endex777]

His Mother is Amhara! Why do you want to mislead..?

[@iamthad1546]

actual goated video. I think this is the kind of content that separates your channel from others. thanks for all you do Shirvan

[@scott3017]

Unless this gets settled, I see Ethiopia breaking up like Yugoslavia in the future

[@Xenomorph-hb4zf]

Tigray could have easily done this but they didn't

[@anthonygroeblinghoff3184]

Very informative like always. Thanks for the work you do. I'm curious how this will effect the situation in the red sea since that appears to be escalating.

[@visuali235]

The country never used to have this border maybe they should go back to their Abyssinia border and grant every ethnic group in Ethiopia it’s independence

[@visuali235]

Basically Yugoslavia 2.0

[@FunSunSet]

"Both sides have traded barbs that cut deeper than knives"

[@Mohamed-sj2oz]

And while all of this is taking place, Abiy Ahmed is trying to antagonise Somalia 😂

[@charlibravo371]

It's a diversion tactic. But a very careless act. Ethiopia has much more to loose with playing games with a nation who has 6.5million brethren in his own country than Somalia.

[@Faz-O]

​@@charlibravo3716.5m population is in capital city, total population is above 30m

[@mohamedhussein4124]

⁠@@charlibravo371 so you believe Ethiopia statics its believing Kenya statics 😂both hate Somali and fear them always lie about their sizes 1964 treaty between them.

[@r.p5380]

​@@Faz-O30m if you include Kenyan and Ethiopian illegally occupied somalis

[@joshharris421]

amazing vid, such a concise explanation of a perennially messy problem. fast becoming my fave geoP account

[@Hadahadhow25]

Ethiopia is the root cause for continous instability in Somalia. They continue to fund arm warlords, and see existent of a stable Somali state as a threat. The only resistance to their aggression has been Alshabab who have now become a tool of Alqaeida and no longer serve any benefit in Somalia. Now that we are recovering and have debt relief and slowly rebuilding they want to invade and give legitimacy to separatist region that was slowly being reintegrated into the state. It’s very disappointing that after 30 years of war we can now loose all our stability and become a proxy for Egypt to defend our sovereignty

[@FNeway]

What about the Ziad Barre invasion in the 1979 to form "Greater Somalia"? You started first. Losers

[@theancientsancients1769]

Picking Somalia for a fight will be his biggest mistake! It's a nation made for fighting! Somalia has it's arms embargo removed! Turkey Qatar Egypt Saudi Arabia EU US China are all going to deploy weapons to Somalia as grants and many will be purchased too, since Somalia has virtually no more debt as it was written off all. All Shabab is largely defeated now. China's support for Somalia was the last nail in the coffin Abi Ahmed Ethiopia! The US EU UK Turkey Arab League China all the great powers oppose Ethiopia's provocation against Somalia. The Ogaden Somalia region in Ethiopia the second largest state in Ethiopia that borders Somalia would rejoin Somalia as soon a fight starts! Somalis are one ethnic one language one religion and geography wise not divided so it's easy for them to unite.

[@eca3101]

It always impresses me how Africans from the horn manage to bring Egypt into the conversation about literally anything

[@theancientsancients1769]

@@eca3101 Because Egypt is an ally of Somalia

[@eca3101]

@@theancientsancients1769 Because Ethiopia is a big bully in the region

[@skeletonwguitar4383]

Id imagine it would be Ogedan War 2.0 but bigger and with more players in the match

[@theancientsancients1769]

Despite Somalia not being as strong as 1977 as they are recovering from long civil war... Still I think this time I think Ogaden rejoining Somalia is much easier due to Ethiopia being in a mess and Ogaden just bordering Somalia 🇸🇴

[@nicholascarroll7966]

A lot of talk goes into the link between the scattered ethnic makeup of countries in Africa and their struggles. I think a lot of people don’t realise that ethnic homogeneity does not equal state stability. Numerous functioning and powerful states feature a jumbled kaleidoscope of ethnic groups (and yes, even countries that have had their borders drawn for them by Europeans). Simply, it doesn’t necessarily Matter the ethnographic makeup, it always comes down to the strength of the state socio-political-institutional infrastructure, which invariably influences how entrenched the notion of a national identity is within its populace across ethnic demographics. This is the true plight of African countries and not simply poor border demarcations. People consistently overemphasise ethnic homogeneity in the context of African statehood where it simply doesn’t exist in 90% of the world’s countries. This ultimately detracts from the major reasons behind the African nation’s problems with state stability, those being debt trapping and foreign meddling.

[@sideshowbob]

You are addressing my initial thoughts about this - Ethiopia is the only African nation not fully colonized by European powers (Italy did partially for a short period prior to WW2 but it was more a brief military occupation). Ethiopia still has the same issues w/multiple ethnicities & tribal conflicts that are usually blamed on European colonization & boundaries drawn in their interests alone. I'm not letting the colonizers off the hook by any means, but it seems the problem is more deeply rooted than that, at least w/this 1 example.

[@christianmpassi3450]

​@@sideshowbobspot on! I have had similar thoughts

[@ismaaciilahmed7665]

The mapping of Europeans is the reason why Ethiopia is the way it is now. Eritrea the historical Ethiopian access to the ocean was intial cut of Ethiopia because of European maping leaving entire country ocean leas. The British by giving Reserve Area to Ethiopia literally made one of modern Ethiopia's modern enemy in Somalia who subsequently worked as catalyst and support in 1977 Ethiopia civil war and 1991 Eritrean seceeding and forming WSLF and ONLF

[@nicholascarroll7966]

@@sideshowbob yeah well I mean, one could argue that the 'nation' in and of itself functioned and functions as a tool of collectivisation across multiple ethnic groups. What is britishness but necessary means of collectivising Angles, Scots, Irish, Welsh etc (obviously putting what should and shouldn't be aside).

[@sideshowbob]

@@ismaaciilahmed7665 I've done some superficial research on Ethiopian history (I'm a history Geek in general), & have always been under the impression their "core" nation has been very similar most of their history going back to Biblical times. Certainly borders have shifted along the edges, & access to the sea has been a long contested issue. I want to go back & revisit this history . . .

[@toobeast673]

Good video I’m guessing we’ll be getting an Ethiopia + Somaliland v Somalia video soon. It’s unfortunate how many conflicts Abiy is dragging Ethiopia into. Ethiopia won’t know peace while this madman is still in power

[@abdirisaqabdi318]

As someone from somaliland and from isaaq tribe we are against muse bixi, abiye Ahmed and Oromos in general. We stand with Somalis in every region

[@Atheist-Free-Republic]

If war breaks out it won't be Somaliland + Ethiopia vs Somalia its all of Somalia vs Ethiopia

[@Dramaeditings]

@@Atheist-Free-RepublicSomalis are not as United as u think. They’re threat to each other

[@konnen4518]

4:44 very misleading! The Ethiopia power struggle is among 3 ethnic groups (Tigrayans, Amharas and Oromos). The other ethnic groups are politically, militarily and economically incapable of mounting significant competition to Tigray, Amhara or Oromo regional states.

[@bilalabdi9148]

and somalis , who want to join somalia

[@phiipiv1340]

​@@bilalabdi9148complete false Who wanted to Join Somalia which is collapsed into 3 parts & house of terriorst like Alshebab 😂😂😂

[@kurobeard9467]

@@phiipiv1340 Who wants to join Ethiopia that has rebel groups all over the country and has as many IDPs as Libya and Syria? Who wants to join a country that has as many k i d nappings as Libya? Who wants to join a country that has a civil war every couple of years? Who wants to join a country that has just committed a GENOClDE 1 year ago? Who wants to join a country that can't even repay its debt? Who wants to join a country that is breaking apart despite the massive amount of FDI and aid? Who wants to join a landlocked country that is begging for ports? I can go and on....

[@keshi5541]

@@kurobeard9467 I swear these people are stupid do they not think our people who are nieghbors don't have eyes. They kill their people ever single day and yet they want us to rejoin them what kind of idiot wants to move in a house where everyone in the family is chopping each other like onions. There is no such sense of security in Ethiopia, even as a tourist I wouldn't visit out of safety.

[@hileamlakyitayew9450]

I think this was more or less a fairly presented story! Great Job @CaspianReport

[@demesss5369]

Etiopia will survive and thrive. Long live Etiopia.

[@abdiqafaarbashiir5672]

hehehe oromo u fucked up

[@thecooked8121]

I Don't think so

[@axmedsayid9508]

In your unlogical dream

[@Alfonse-dm6ht]

One Way Or Another

[@Magan-nx3qy]

Let it become the new Yugoslavia and every ethnic have their own country.

[@Magdyy]

From what I saw Ethiopia isn't Yugoslavia. They don't want to break away from the Federal government like Balkan countries . Everyone wants to lead the country and that's make them more like Lebanon (the diversity is in religions) . That will make the country destabilized and won't find peace but it won't get balkanized !

[@kabriid]

​​​@@MagdyyThat's not true. A lot of KZbinrs and others tend to oversimplify things. In reality, power in Ethiopia has mostly been dominated by the Amhara and Tigray ethnic groups. Abiy Ahmed is the first Oromo to hold real power, even though the Oromo are the majority. Both Haile Selassie and the Derg, despite some claims of having Oromo ancestry, were closely aligned with Amhara interests and didn’t represent or care about the Oromo. Haile Selassie, for instance, went as far as banning the Oromo language in writing and publishing, and imposed harsh punishments on Oromos, continuing the oppression that previous Amhara emperors had inflicted. When it comes to those wanting to secede, the Somali people are a good example. They inhabit about a third of Ethiopia geographically, and all of them want to leave Ethiopia, either to become independent or join Somalia. They’ve never really been a part of Ethiopia since they were unjustly handed over by the British in the late 19th century. Since then, they’ve been fighting in various ways to gain independence and have no interest in Ethiopian politics or power. The situation in Tigray is similar, especially after the recent war and the genocide. Most people there now want independence, feeling that there’s no place for them in Ethiopia after everything that’s happened. Oromos, despite Abiy’s position, still have a large faction that would prefer an independent Oromia over being part of Ethiopia. Groups like the Oromo Liberation Army (OLA) continue to fight for that cause and control significant parts of rural Oromia. As for the other ethnic groups, they’ve never held any power and are powerless with historical grievances. If given the opportunity, most of them would likely choose to secede as well. And about Article 39, which supposedly allows ethnic groups to secede, it’s basically useless. In practice, anyone who tries to invoke it will likely be imprisoned or killed. It’s not worth the ink it’s written with.

[@keshi5541]

@@kabriid Nah the country need to split up. People in the North are being genocided under Abiy.

[@abyssiniank7153]

I pray for Ethiopia . I thought Abiy would do better. All in God’s hand now. Ethiopians survive much worse over millennia

[@postmastersgt1670]

Too many ethnic groups fighting for dominance. Eventually the country of Ethiopia gonna implode because of this.

[@shastealyomeal]

Yugoslavia of the 21st century

[@infernalEnding]

New mic sounds great. Great vid as always. That gain is a bit too loud tho the voiceover is noticeably clipping a lot. Either during recording or in post.

[@mansasithole]

Its true that Ethiopia is a country made up of many nations. But to say that they should unite and assume one identity does not mean we destroy, throw away or disregard the individual cultures. A democratic and secular state should be able to embrace and allow inner diversity while directing our efforts to the common good of all our individual cultures. This might sound idealistic and I'm sure it seems like wishful thinking, but it in fact is very possible. A dedicated and inclusive policy aimed at achieving unity is essential. Its been done before, look at South Africa. The Zulu Nation is probably the greatest and proudest people group in the region, but no one can ever claim that they are not a proud and inseparable part of South Africa. The richness of the Zulu Nation and it's culture has been used to enrich the entire Republic of SA for the benefit of all the other nations included in SA. Thus unity has a multiplier effect for a nation and it enriches the culture of the nation. Can you imagine the USA without all it's constituent nations? Imagine a USA without the black American nation. One thing I noticed though, religious differences are much harder to reconcile than others. But hard doesn't necessarily mean impossible. Tanzania is an example of an ethnically diverse state made up of many nations, some with different religions. But the fact that Zanzibar (Muslim land) and Tanganyika (Primarily Christian with a bit of Islam) willingly united and assume one identity as Tanzanians till today is truly a testament to what is possible when do away with bigotry and self-centeredness. Many African countries could learn a lot from Tanzania, but most are so shortsighted they prefer to go the route of 1994 Rwanda.

[@death_parade]

India is another example. Hopefully Ethiopia becomes a bit more like us.

[@mansasithole]

@@death_parade exactly... There's more to be gained in unity than division

[@MiladChowdhury-yt8pt]

@@death_parade India is weak, disorganized, dirty because of our diversity.

[@death_parade]

@catfish9391 What about it? Foreign powers are trying to foment trouble and challenge India's unity in diversity. Not the first time this has happened, nor will it be the last. Sorry to disappoint you, but India will always win.

[@imnackeredsirnackered948]

playing warthunder and listening to Caspian report only to hear him advertise it lmao.

[@saladinthedark7459]

This is the most chaotic video I have seen on Caspian Report. It's super hard to follow. What a god damn clusterfuck. How is it possible for so many things to happen at so many places at the same time without any logical connection. My dud has been probably trying to put this video together since 2020. Good job for trying to present us with as wide as possible perspective on the matter. I will have to watch it 5 more times though.

[@mahboubnik2376]

Decentralisation of power is the only way out. When the central government is tribal centric and other ethics have no say, the problem will exist forever. Two options: Either a strong multi ethnic powersharing government that respect that citizens equally or decentralisation.

[@dantepr1566]

i think first option will always create other lebanons. strong multi ethnic power sharing, in other means "guarenteed" government positions for various ethnic or religious groups, will always create corruption, legal loopholes to exploit and basically, laziness of the government structures to act on anything. if they somehow can create something like, i don't know, united states for ethiophia i guess, and convince people to believe in it, things will go smooth for them i think. but as a turkish citizen with 25 years of "turkey" experience, i can easily say that dominant ethnic groups never ever let that kind of thing to happen even if the price is always constant unrests and uncertain future for the country.

[@thenamesianna]

Thank you for following with so much detail all the stages of the conflict in Ethiopia. It is a tragic, chaotic and very recent conflict and while I am not affected in any way I am very interested and invested, as much as with the Ukraine and Gaza conflicts. However, very few people cover this conflict, let alone well, so thank you. As for Ethiopia, I can only hope stuff gets better and their president stops being so belligerent or they get a new president. I used to hear before the conflict that it seemed to be a somewhat resurging country so it is really a shame that it turned out the exact opposite.

[@morrisjndungu]

Its not recent has been going on for more than 5 years.Just because its an African conflict no one gives a f*uck

[@rightclick7266]

I'm not familiar with the conflict but it sounds like the best thing for this mess would be to separate into independent states based on ethnic / tribal / sectarian divisions. Trying to force one Ethiopian nation where the "citizens" don't share a national vision seems to be the source of their problems. I don't have a clue how or if they would share the national resources which is probably a main source of contention.

[@kurobeard9467]

@@rightclick7266 You hit the nail on the head. The country only continues because of foreign military aid forcing the nation together under threat of GENOClDE. Basically, it's a far worse Yugoslavia

[@Anbesa13]

Thank you for this piece. Tuff to get information about current situation. Praying for All Ethiopians to come together. The world needs you to UNITE.

[@esense9602]

I am not really a fan of country having their territory to cede a region but I think Etophia should be divided or else civil war will just keep happening.

[@gw7594]

At 3:46, "... Different ethic groups held together by an artificially constructed idea of what it means to be Ethiopian". Correct me if I'm wrong, but Chiron seems to imply one's ethnic identity is the only "real" identity. And national identities are false. This would be a recipe for perpetual tribal conflict

[@Xenomorph-hb4zf]

Yeah. American identity is also "artificial and fake" as well. If everybody went by their ethnic identity only and never considered themselves Americans in the USA there would be massive never ending violence.

[@kurobeard9467]

Most Ethiopians don't think of themselves as Ethiopian, rather they identify with their ethnicities.

[@Rafael99923]

He is spot on. I myself am an “Ethiopian” but obviously I don’t identify myself as such. Instead I identify myself as my ethnic group.

[@fe8445]

I can't believe how Noble peace committee rewarded Abiy Ahmed the peace award. This man will set fire the entire Horn of Africa if not stopped now.

[@Ali-bu6lo]

Ethiopia is perhaps an example of why turning a historically unitary state federal, especially ethnic based federalism with armed militias without developing the necessary institutions that make a federation work is a bad idea.

[@Handle0108]

well the next best option is for one to subjugate others which would result in conflict and cause Balkanisation. Empire might work in the Middle Ages but in the 21st century that can't be maintained.

[@Ali-bu6lo]

@@Handle0108 Not really. There might be other options. 1) A form of federalization not based solely on ethnicity 2) A democratic and unitary but gradually decentralizing state. 3) Or hell, just the same ethnic federation but at least without armed ethnic local militias parallel to the federal army.

[@alexanderrohaj4794]

​@@Ali-bu6loi suggest the independence of each federal state of Ethiopia tbh. They deserve their own right for self determination. If they want to break free from central government they should be permitted to do so

[@DigitalShaolin]

@@alexanderrohaj4794and then they all keep fighting for the next 100 years until the Europeans eventually come back in and gain complete control, these petty disputes have no reason and only cause suffering and are exacerbated by foreign powers trying to Balkanize independent nations

[@alexanderrohaj4794]

@@DigitalShaolin what do you mean? Thats precisely what i wanted. Its unjust only the western European (france, german, uk, Spain) to benefit from it. We eastern European also want to do it too and gain benefit from it

[@TrrT-p6d]

You have to know Amhara want to Tigrai, Orromo Benshagul, kimant, agew, and other non-amhara Ethiopians. They believe they own Ethiopia and its culture. Also they feel they are entitled the whole Eritrea and the red sea. And the Amhara say they don't want to give a drop of water to Egypt. And they foolishly think they are next to Jesus in a religious hierarchy.

[@Kattakam]

Very intertwined, perplexed, aggressive and strained. Thanks for your video.

[@CraigTheBrute-yf7no]

I have very little sympathy for Ethiopia. They remind me of Israel. Trampling over the rights of their fellow human beings & neighbors out of a misplaced sense of supremacy. No wonder they are at war with literally everyone.

[@kurobeard9467]

THANK YOU!!!! Idk why people don't see this. That was the perfect analogy since they get heavy aid just to destabilize the region. This is clearly an old video made a couple of weeks ago since it didn't even discuss how Abiy is attempting to annex a piece of Somalia's coast in the midst of all this madness.

[@YaredBeyene-wq2ps]

Yes but you are talking about one specific ethnic group and that is the Amhara most of them are cowards .