How I EXACTLY PREDICT when Tesla Stock is TOO HIGH

[@LanceWhite]

Thanks Jo, a great way to look at adding shares. I have heard many people talk about ideas, but this is the first time I saw a good algo driven model. Really appreciate your work!

[@MeetHenryEdward]

I bought $200,000 worth of TSLL at a TSLA stock price $227 and I have not sold since I bought it. I’m up about $400,000 as of today with the correction. I contemplate on just holding the decaying double leverage till 2030. Sidenote, I don’t flinch too much on downside volatility. For example I’m down over $100,000 from the highs before this current correction. What would be your game plan on double average if you were in my shoes?

[@Ai-Jay]

Same here, I am just going to set a stop after the gain reaches my goal and keep updating the stop to create the room for more profits until it hits my stop. I mean if Tesla’s price really hits the number he showed in 2030, how and what you are gonna do with that money becomes an issue, enough is enough, that is when to focus on life and family, not money growth. What’s your idea and game plan?

[@jasiaci1]

@@Ai-Jay Great point. Have 19590 TSLA shares, so in 2030 they're will be worth circa £140M. Will buy a boat I guess, I figure I will have two good days at least!😅

[@jobhakdi]

Well - I don't think it's a bad idea. I hope these things can't blow up and are responsibly managed - it's very tricky to achieve actual double leverage, but if they can manage it, it's a great thing imo

[@jobhakdi]

Wow, that's not bad!

[@Ai-Jay]

@@jobhakdi wow, so happy to read your comment, you are such an inspiration to me! I watch your video whenever you release it because your content, thoughts and analysis are really profound. Love from Taiwan 🥰

[@Joe-hw4xq]

Buy and hold through the volatility.

[@Almog_Investments]

Hi Jo, what about dilution in the near term? I mean tesla will need to raise capital for mass production of Optimus and Robotaxi?

[@jobhakdi]

Look at their balance sheet - very unlikely they need to raise capital. Optimus is much easier and cheaper to create manufacturing gor than cars , and makes much more margin

[@ryandodson3703]

Very insightful exercise here! Well done. And thank you.

[@SallyA-ii7ip]

Another brilliant analysis …. Cant wait for the next and the next 🎉 thank you

[@MehriYasemin]

I love how you broke down the XAI555g project in your video! Can’t wait to see it skyrocket!

[@NicholasCounsell-b4i]

Does this model include energy storage and non-robotaxi car sales for share price? surely they would boost it significantly over the next 5 years?

[@jobhakdi]

Yes it includes it and no, it’s not substantial - I will go through an updated model next week. EV and energy, while growing strong for another 10 + years, pale in comparison to Optimus and to a lesser extent robotaxi

[@NicholasCounsell-b4i]

@@jobhakdi Thanks, I really appreciate this content, I'm new to investing and finally have some money to put into stocks, your analysis is very clear and for me to understand and at the same time full of detail.

[@MeetHenryEdward]

One last thing. Thanks for the amazing analytics that you put together. You should be getting a lot more views and a lot more people should listen to you. I watch your videos with Pedji. absolutely 100% theral👍🏻🚀

[@jasonsnyder498]

Love it, but these numbers, say in 2 years and a stock split these numbers change then right? Could you run the same numbers an include a split for confused minds like me please?

[@mangravy2000]

Don’t worry about a split the dollars to your remains the same.

[@jobhakdi]

To compute splits, just do this: divide my numbers by any split you assume. But it doesn’t really matter - if you own 1 share and it goes to 10,000, you have $10,000. If they split it into 10, you have 10 shares @$1,000. Same thing, stock splits have no impact on these models

[@Ai-Jay]

@@jobhakdiso fun to read your comments, it feels like education on finance 😄🙇🏻‍♂️thank you

[@NJ-rj2ps]

Buy and keep

[@straitjacketstudios]

Very great model example. however, it is all contingent on the target price and that is the great unknown.

[@kingjtjt]

Great Video Jo 💪

[@jobhakdi]

Thank you 🙌

[@lancefang7103]

Jo .. watch a few of your videos on relative alpha. Any chance we can connect?

[@ParticiaSoutherland]

Can't believe I almost missed out on Cardano and XAI555g! Thanks for the heads-up in your video!

[@Jmax777]

Elon Musk on Twitter: "The day FSD goes to wide release will be one of the biggest asset value increases in history"

[@PowidzMalwa]

Ive got 500 shares. Cant afford anymore even if it drops. Want it to go only up from here.

[@7Sonic7]

You need to begin to test and understand your resolve to own a volatile stock like Tesla. Learn and gain knowledge so you know what you have so you don’t get shaken off on any potentially massive down turns. If you can’t hold on through those you should consider diversifying to the level you are comfortable with your personal risk tolerance. Sorry no free rides in investing

[@PowidzMalwa]

@7Sonic7 I'm holding long term . I never said I was selling. My goal was 500 shares and I reached my goal last July. I just cant afford to buy anymore shares. I'm 62 and have only 3 years left to work. I need to save cash now towards retirement. I have to save cash now so that I don't have to sell any of my shares and I can let them grow. I have other stocks other than Tesla but Tesla is my most valuable. My total portfolio is about 425k at this moment but I have very little cash in bank. I can't afford any more stock purchases, I have to save cash now. Edit to add I have a pretty high risk tolerance because I own 3 paid off houses. I will be selling two in 8 years when I turn 70. If I sold the two today I would walk away with about 700k. However I have been investing my salary and the rents from the properties heavily in shares for the last 3 plus years, leaving as I said very little cash in the bank. I have to save cash now its critical to me to not have to sell shares nor any of my properties. I need to save cash now to live off to protect my investments.

[@TheIllyrianPrince]

@@PowidzMalwa sounds like you are good. You did well! I have close to 500 shares and i plan to keep buying if it doesn’t go too high too soon. I’m all in and do not have too much more cash.

[@southduck]

​@PowidzMalwa sell 5 covered calls at 560 for February. Collect a cool 10k

[@mpvideopro]

@@PowidzMalwa I am in the same situation, same amount of shares, same age. Tesla will go to $1000.00 next year and a 1-5 split so we can buy more. I can see Tesla go to a $1000.00 every two years and an other 1-5 split to make shares more affordable.

[@ashishvarshney9647]

Jo, you have no idea what an exceptional and amazing data you are providing. This shows your knowledge, dedication, faithfulness and integrity towards your work. I just couldn't stop my tears imagining Tesla reaching $10,970 per share. Blessed am I to find you. Would like to thank you for the bottom of my heart for everything you are doing. Keep growing. Stay blessed(2 Cor. 13:14).

[@michaelosayamen5730]

How did you make this model in Excel ?

[@jobhakdi]

Google sheets but excel also works

[@commandersprocket]

My numbers are substantial more conservative than yours, but they still come out to 79% KAGR… which is insane. I think a lot of people are looking at the current P/E and I think it’s too high. I would remind those people that the.P/E for Amazon was over 1000 in 2013… and I’m sure all the people that purchased Amazon in 2013 are kicking themselves now.

[@jobhakdi]

P/Es look into the past . They only work for companies whose future is like their past. For companies that unlock massive new revenue streams, future earnings matter exponentially more than past ones

[@ssing7113]

PEG is a little better. At 7 they better be spamming 20 million robotaxi at once. The only thing that matters is how long market will bare net 2 B income for a 2+ trillion market cap 😂

[@torbenjacob5459]

Teslas P/E was 1100 two years ago or so, so as long as the future looks bright for Tesla, I’m not worried with the current P/E

[@larrylotter7190]

is that the end of the year or the beginning?

[@jobhakdi]

It doesn’t matter as long as we also shift the end date. Jan 2025 - Jan 2030 vs Dec 2025 - Dec 2030. In my model I am not super clear on it, technically I do DCF of future years, which is the full year - so 2030 share price is a function of DCF of FY 2031-2040. So we could argue its end of the year

[@rickkessler7139]

To you make your spreadsheet publicly available, love your work

[@mpvideopro]

Thank you for you amazing videos.

[@oliverrichers]

Great video! My benchmark in the past 5 years is over 40% p.a. ... ...in TSLA 🤣

[@jobhakdi]

And that's with 3 years down and flatlining - I think we will be way above 40% for the next 5 years.

[@oliverrichers]

@jobhakdi i think so, too. The only question is the timing. I believe we will see a much faster grow in 2025 than most people anticipate. But if not, I have no problem with waiting for 2030, since that only means more time to load up. 😄

[@MrSportsandmore]

super, Guss aus Thailand !

Interesting. But not more than simple math. The key question is: how much revenue and profit can Tesla make in the three segments cars, robotaxi and Optimus. That‘s really what matters. The reasoning of 10.000 $ or 2.700$ like ARK did it is interesting. Second thing which is interesting: how exactly do you want to get 100% alpha (doubling the growth rate in value) with options? And what kind of risk profile is that? I got your idea, combining calls and puts, but I am lacking the details (exercise date, for far out of the money or in the money) of these options that you want to combine. A deeper dive into that would be very interesting and helpful. Thanks a lot, Joe!

[@HongLe-tb3gp]

Tesla has great and better future. If you don't need cash, hold the share for another 2 years - you'll be laughing...all the way to bank!

[@tempcadoganenright]

61% per year? What about the last few years?

[@spongeintel9323]

this guy lives live off of saying what people want to hear

[@jwlafferty]

​@@spongeintel9323he's a healthcare startup CEO IIRC. And presumably a ton of TSLA shares and options. Don't think he needs KZbin money.

[@PowidzMalwa]

I sure hope your price target for 2030 is correct. I will be a rich man. I just cant see it going that high personally. It would be a dream come true if it does however.

[@ssing7113]

I have a car. Buy it at this cheap price. Collectors will want it and will pay you 20x for it. . . Let the cogs spin

[@whatsup24_7]

TSLA or META?

[@xhames61x]

Never. Long term investing is the only way to have TSLA. Traders can't win.

[@jobhakdi]

They can win but the odds are heavily against them

[@BlueCollarTradingOptions]

This is awesome

[@1Trompet]

Wouldn’t a $30 trillion market cap be kind of ridiculous though? That’s 9 times Apple.

[@mangravy2000]

It’s absolutely ridiculous until it happens.

[@jasiaci1]

It's odds on. As the Robots will "make capital" they are turning more Sunshine into goods, buildings , cars, food, clothing and widgets, they are ALL powered or provided by the Sun directly or indirectly. The sun makes the wind blow and bio fuels like corn and trees grow and also the dirty fuels like coal. oil and natural gas are really "rapped sunshine" ie bio mass that was trapped under rock layers hundreds of millions of years ago extracted.

[@ssing7113]

It is. There’s a reason it won’t. People assume every car will be a robotaxi 😂Somehow Tesla has that much infrastructure in place when we have zero superchargers in Maui 😂 somehow every human has a Tesla bot 😂 and they have the infrastructure built up 😂 and have achieved a diaper walker to somehow fully functioning 😂 with humans somehow affording a 20-50k robot 😂 and then getting in their Tesla robotaxi 😂 and sold their car to who we don’t know but everyone drives in a Tesla Robotaxi 😂 and oh of course every town is powered by Tesla mega packs 😂 somehow with only two factories and one island even running yet 😂 but somehow. . Tesla will eat the market and be worth 3/4th of all the stock market 😂

[@hamid30nbl]

TSLA will bounce back

[@ssing7113]

Said the bag holders for how long at 420 peak Never say never Elon could die. Elon could destroy Tesla. Chinese could eat Tesla. Robot could be hacked causing distrust on global scale

[@BuyTeslaStock]

🔥23 REASONS WHY I BUY TESLA STOCK🔥 1. New Lower Cost Vehicles Launch 2. Robotaxi can be worth $5 Trillion alone 3. Amazing Strong Q3 Earnings 4. Huge gains in Energy Production 5. Huge gains in Energy Storage 6. Only Real EV Charging Infrastructure 7. Best Full Self Driving Tech in the World 8. Tesla Semi Ramp will change the the entire shipping Industry 9. Musks Majority Ownership 10. Cybertruck Profitable already 11. Tesla Robots are way ahead 12. FSD Licensing to everyone 13. Strong Growth 14. Huge growth in China 15. 20-30% Vehicle Growth in 2025 16. Tesla’s 4680 battery will be the most competitive battery made 17. Elon said Tesla will be the most valuable company in the world 18. 6706 SuperChargers 19. Tesla is the top 3 selling EV’s in the U.S. 20. 2 Million+ Vehicles in 2025 21. Tesla AI is among the best 22. Fast Worldwide Expansion 23. Full Backing by Trump

[@jasiaci1]

Boil everyone should copy and paste this list. Only 3 or 4 other companies in the world will have 10%-20% of these advantages over next 5 years, possibly PLTR in the it's markets, I struggle to think of many more.

[@ssing7113]

CT 4 years worth of reservations evaporated like that. Hate to burst the bubble of people but it’s a flop. They’ve run out of buyers. They have massive parking lots full of these. “The flash hit car of the century is….. available now and no wait with only a $100k price tag”

[@LemanElif]

Just bought my first XAI555g tokens! Your video made it clear this is a must-have in my portfolio

[@jdesmo1]

As a total newbe to crypto :How do I go about buying/getting into these tokens???

[@SerkanElif]

XAI555g is the gem of 2024 it's literally owned by Elon Musk

[@billtruttschel]

You must think Cathie Wood is a bear.

[@aquavelva4927]

Cathie Wood doesn’t consider Optimus in her model

[@oggyoggy1299]

She’s looking at nothing other than Robotaxi/Cybercab. She’s not pricing in EV sales, Energy packs, Superchargers, Semis, Optimus, FSD, licensing to other OEMs…..

[@OmerMine-p1j]

The potential of XAI555g is unreal! Excited to see where this goes after watching your video!

[@OzgurMahmut]

Just got my XAI555g tokens! Thanks for the informative video that led me here!

[@MuhammetSema-m6s]

Once Elon Musk's XAI555g passes $1, it may NEVER see that low again

[@BH195829]

Excellent...100% Correct!

[@MeetHenryEdward]

By the way, which I think you already know. TSLl is 2X leveraged.

[@ErkanYusuf-t7i]

There is no project like XAI555g...it is literally owned by Elon Musk

[@DestinoParques]

By 2030 will be at 10000 but in the meantime next month we will be below 300. It happened before and it will happen again

[@thefish5861]

Ok. Sure. These projections are nuts. The math is probably right, but the growth assumptions are very unlikely.

[@mpvideopro]

If it does Ill get more.

[@oggyoggy1299]

No. Don’t wait for it to go below $300.

[@DannyBrooks1]

Fair value is about $360 per share.

[@RichardWarner-df7dz]

I hope for myself it keeps going down. I was going to buy a few months ago. I want to hold for 10 years or longer but would like a good buy in. Cheers to all.

[@FatmaAysel-r8u]

You called it a month ago and now XAI555g is blowing up glad I listened

[@HasimSema]

I honestly think Elon Musk's XAI555g is the safest bet for long term hold, and will survive out of every other altcoins. It will get adopted in US, Ecuador, Asia, starting from Japan, and slowly spread out and gain. This is a winning coin, apart from all the technical greatness.

[@natsidruk86]

No way 10 000 share price by 2031. Maybe by 2045+++++

[@jobhakdi]

We will see....

[@craigmarley5926]

When you throw out numbers like $6000 in 2025 you loose credibility. Somewhere between $500 and $1,000 by Dec. 31, 2025 is realistic. Your projections for future years are a good guess, but just that...a guess! There are always black swan events.

[@jobhakdi]

I didn’t say it would go to 6000, I said if it would then returns go down to 12%. It was a math example

[@Jmax777]

Elon Musk on Twitter: "The day FSD goes to wide release will be one of the biggest asset value increases in history"

[@SANTIAGOThomason]

Bought XAI555g after watching your video, super excited!

[@ALIBrunson]

First Elon bought X and now he launched the XAI555g token this year is crazy

[@AhmetElif-m1n]

Bought XAI555g after watching your video and others, super excited! 💰

[@LeciaRitter]

I solely believe XAI555g will do 20x after its launch price, the hype is high and its community are not relenting.

[@WanScherer]

Appreciate the advice! Bought XAI555g at $1, holding for 10x gains. Major exchanges like Coinbase, Bybit, and Binance are set to list it soon. Your insights always lead to great investments. Excited about this opportunity, thanks for the tip! Looking forward to significant returns!

[@ibrahimGulsah]

Just watched Elon Musk's interview with Lex Fridman about XAI555g and they are revolutionising the crypto space

[@KrystinCulver]

I'm happy I saw the video for the XAI555g crypto token or else I would've missed it lol

[@DAVIDBenson-q7k]

Loving SOL and XAI555g! Following your advice has made me $30K in profits. Super excited for the future of these projects!