Actually he has a very balanced cheating range; I've been editing footage of him all day. He has: 1) hands that are pretty normal that he plays pretty normally. 2) Hands where he has a very weak holding that just happens to be good where he extracts amazing value from the hand that's second best. 3) Hands like this one where his opponent has him beat but on a scary board where opponent must call an enormous river bet with a hand that should never be good. 4) Hands where he has an extremely weak holding that has enough equity against his opponent's exact hand in order to continue profitably, that will then extract value perfectly once made and 5) hands where he has an extremely strong holding that nonetheless always bets more or less exactly what opponent should be willing to call with their own holding on that particular street. This is a very balanced strategy that allows him to make +EV decisions on every street of every hand except in those spots where the implied odds of moves he could make on later streets outweight the -EV of the decision he's making on the current street. It seems that unfortunately Mike has given off some strange tells in various hands, not only this one but also in other hands. Of great interest at the moment specifically are the hands where the RFID system either cannot see Mike's cards or mislabels Mike's cards until it becomes clear that Mike might have to show a different hand than the one the graphic says that he has. These hands in my view will reveal the specific mechanism by which Mike gets the information to make these plays, because they represent moments when the show did not go as planned and had to be altered during the broadcast in order to make sense.
@the-chillian5 жыл бұрын
@@RaulGroom By a "balanced cheating range" one might also include losing a few hands on purpose, and making purposefully bad river decisions, so that your results aren't quite so massive a statistical anomaly. This is how it's evident he's cheating without seeing the exact mechanism by which he's doing it. His results are SO improbable, especially given his play style, that cheating is actually much more probable than a heater.
@maracaiba28915 жыл бұрын
He could do a middle-of-the-road cheat, but I'd also recommend he balance his strategy by working in some swindling or even some blackmail from time to time.
@sneakkyz36965 жыл бұрын
Hilarious
@peperami2545 жыл бұрын
6:37 "Do you think the stream adds an element to the decision" Well it's definitely adding an element to SOMEONE's decisions.
@MonkeyFreeZone4 жыл бұрын
and here I thought he said "do you think the cheating adds an element to the decision" ...
@jerodcurtis27315 жыл бұрын
Why don’t you call it “Postle hands”?
@mrvaultguy11185 жыл бұрын
for fucks sake 😂
@SUBSUB-jl6jk5 жыл бұрын
Cheating hands? Guess it’s the same thing
@Russian55 жыл бұрын
? Because Apostle hands is way better.
@billbill86495 жыл бұрын
The sickest part is that the commentators always try to justify what Postle(God) does They are totally involved in this
@gjchawks175 жыл бұрын
I don't know if they are involved in the cheating itself but they are involved in talking him up so that no viewer should be suspicious that he wins or makes ridiculous plays. Might be under some order from Justin to talk him up yet not know why besides "we need a hero".
@RaulGroom5 жыл бұрын
@@gjchawks17 I haven't ruled out complicity beyond just the one confederate but I do not yet see any evidence that anyone else NECESSARILY knows for certain what is going on. My guess is that this was pitched to the commentators as "we know this guy who always wins, it's crazy, we're going to make a stream about him it'll be great fun" and they went along with it. I think there is evidence that at least some of the people involved suspected Mike was cheating at the very least, but I would not be too surprised at this point to learn that Mike had only one confederate. It is certainly technically possible that it could have been done with one confederate, and I don't see why you would tell anyone besides the people directly involved.
@gjchawks175 жыл бұрын
@@RaulGroom Hey I'm all for catching everyone that was a part of it and even just heard whispers and didn't say anything. I just know that the less people involved the better chance of not getting caught. So in my eyes the commentators aren't in on the cheating itself, just they chose to make the streams always about him. Which makes some of this more sickening. That only one of them ever brought it up and none of them (to my knowledge) have said anything yet.
@luxon45 жыл бұрын
nah i watched joey's 5 hour stream, and all the announcers reactions make it sound as if they're not in on it. you would never mouth off on a suspicion like that, it's a massive accusation that would blow up the community (as it is now). you'd be fired at best and sued for libel at worst. if you were ACTUALLY in on it, you would justify the plays as strategically smart and not sit there in incredulity saying things like "omg how does he get that read, etc".
@Anthony-nv7gd5 жыл бұрын
Raul Groom Why do you keep using the word confederate? Wtf does any of this have to do with which side of the civil war these guys would have fought for? Ya dummy. 🤣🤣🤣 #NotAsSmartAsWeThinkWeAre
@wecomeinpeace50825 жыл бұрын
"Maybe he was just surprised his opponent had a hand" lmfao
@Josh-ye2kw5 жыл бұрын
Solid investigative work Vanessa. You should get an emmy
@johnmcdaniel81475 жыл бұрын
Yaaaasssss gurl, you gettem Nessa!
@TheMiddleManagement5 жыл бұрын
Two 'Vanessa's working together to take him down, outstanding
@emdiar65885 жыл бұрын
If he should get an Emmy, then Joey Ingram deserves a Nobel prize. Doug's... sorry, Vanessa's analyses are great, and I applaud him for doing this, but Joey is the real GOAT investigator.
@Josh-ye2kw5 жыл бұрын
@@emdiar6588 nobody is arguing joeys part in the investigation. but way to get butthurt about a comment
@emdiar65885 жыл бұрын
@@Josh-ye2kw Butt hurt?? Where did you get that impression. I'm saying Doug is great, but Joey has gone beyond the call of duty.
@JasonSigman5 жыл бұрын
I think the graphics are wrong! He has Pocket Aces! ...oh, wait...
@paulgrubits55725 жыл бұрын
Lol
@johnlee8135 жыл бұрын
lmao
@cmill72725 жыл бұрын
I love how Doug is doing in depth analysis from the superusers perspective lmao
@sxyy25595 жыл бұрын
Doug this is serious Sherlock level deductions
@BradDanyluk5 жыл бұрын
That hindsight 2020 shirt is fire
@cobydijkstra2105 жыл бұрын
The pre-emptive movement of his arms is for me definitive proof. Well spot Douglas
@Nash9r5 жыл бұрын
As if it was needed
@rc59895 жыл бұрын
Yes! Moar impostleably impostleable polker hands!
@SkLLzDaTkLLs5 жыл бұрын
the best part of my day presently is polker-postle hands.
@craigknauer65355 жыл бұрын
We've reached peak Polk. These Postle videos are Doug's finest work.
@DrinkElectrolytes4 жыл бұрын
LOL!! "BUT, if your range is just your hand because your opponent can see your cards, well then you have to call some of the times - and this is where you really have to mix up that strategy - if your opponent knows your exact holding, you're going to have to sometimes be willing to call and sometimes be willing to fold, because your range is really just that one hand... and you really have to keep your opponent (who is a GOD, and knows your hand) guessing, it's a really important part of your strategy."
@harisjashari89685 жыл бұрын
Damn Detective Polk nice eye on that reaction, props to you for this find.. people don't realize how hard it is to find this kind of spots!
@gjchawks175 жыл бұрын
Don't know if you caught that reaction, or someone from 2+2 in a post but that is a great catch. Well done to you or whomever and way to include it in the video.
@Lotussta5 жыл бұрын
I haven't seen anyone mention it on 2+2, I think Doug caught it on his own actually. Pretty impressive
@biggawinnacrapsa38705 жыл бұрын
Time stamp?
@gjchawks175 жыл бұрын
@@biggawinnacrapsa3870 Let's say 11:00 though it started before that but that's right at the reaction.
@biggawinnacrapsa38705 жыл бұрын
@@gjchawks17 - ty - I've watched so much concerning this that I didn't watch all of this one when I asked for a time stamp - if I had, I would have easily been able to locate it, thanks.
@SorcererUB5 жыл бұрын
the commentators called him Taylor, "Hart Banson" which is what the graphic reads, not Bart Hanson
@robertpoirier45575 жыл бұрын
someone is texting him from behind the scenes who has access to live card distribution. the bill squeeze is a hand signal and so is the back scratch. hes working with a team in my opinion.
@driver8M32 жыл бұрын
Fantastic analysis. Would have loved to see the JJ dude interviewed to explain the call.
@xXOblivionXx1 Жыл бұрын
I think he's cheating..watch Bart Hanson as the commentators are talking at 6:40 his hod nod and laugh seem so in time as if hes reacting to what the commentator is saying..
@driver8M3 Жыл бұрын
@@xXOblivionXx1I think you are thinking the wrong guy was cheating!
@karlypearl97014 жыл бұрын
"If you're gonna start with a seven duce, ya gotta keep going.... I guess." 😂😂😂
@brianbransfield4 жыл бұрын
He's just took David Sklansky's poker theory a little too literally. That says every time you play your hand the way you would if you could see your opponents' cards, you gain.
@marca.63915 жыл бұрын
Appears to be Taylor Carroll from O-Town/ AZ
@elducky95745 жыл бұрын
He called because he knows Postle is cheating. He knowns Postle knows his hand. So he knows that Postle knows that it's really hard to call a bet. So he knows the bet is designed to make him fold. So he known Postle has nothing. So he calls.
@runabath5 жыл бұрын
I heard he watches rocky 3 before he plays poker
@damedley754 жыл бұрын
Wow, video gets really good at 10:45. Nailed it.
@AndreasFroehliPoker5 жыл бұрын
11:28 Hmm, it's almost as if he knew his opponents cards...
@FCKOFFFCKOFF-g3u5 жыл бұрын
I do enjoy the actual strategy mixed in with the drama
@danielracine19915 жыл бұрын
In conjunction with the previous video (not excluding the bomb pot where Postle shoved over two flush draws), even the commentator's confidence that Postle will not give up on a AAQ board, to a pre-flop three-bet flat, is dubious.
@danielracine19915 жыл бұрын
Nice editing, Doug.
@pokerguru29235 жыл бұрын
I normally agree with just about all of your opinions. And I DO believe this guy is most likely in a contract with Stones as they could very reasonably be using him as a marketing ploy. This is done with slot channels; i.e. Brian Christopher. However, this example lacks one reasoning... In the event you bluff knowing its damn near impossible to beat ANYTHING (WTF could 72 actually beat) you could reasonably react to the fact your opponent calls rather than the cards in their hand. Think about it. How many times have you said I'm going to bluff the next one no matter the cards and played range against range and the board was in your favor, plus your betting didn't fuck up your perceivable range. In these cases, you react to the action and not the cards. Still love the videos bro...friendly opinion in a conversation. I do believe he's employed by Stones!
@derek41775 жыл бұрын
Easier said..........he knows it is a shitty hand, if his opponent takes such a long time to call, it is clearly not an Ace, a street or a boat...........so he knows it is most mainly a Qx or some other shit.......and obviously his bluff is beat. I think Doug and all the people here interpret way 2much into this situation.
@falsofacu5 жыл бұрын
Who won?
@haitaoy5 жыл бұрын
The one at Hart Hanson's left looks like Bart Hanson ... . :) .
@gabrielgarciana33934 жыл бұрын
He didn't even look at the cards lol, he goes from looking his side of the table to looking his opponent will raising his hands 😂
@DanielBSuhr5 жыл бұрын
"What's up guys, Doug Polk here and welcome back for another episode of Postle Hands, and today...."
@Jamesbass745 жыл бұрын
That’s Taylor Caroll a live at the Bike reg and his alias says Hart Banson.
@dbass63265 жыл бұрын
Most likely it was a gesture of saying "yeah I had 72 what can I say..." which turned into the other thing when he saw the cards.
@JonasPolsky5 жыл бұрын
Really Freaking Insane Deductions
@Acesman123455 жыл бұрын
Great catch, Doug. Mike is at the opposite side of the table. At best, all he sees is the hand is two face cards. That could just as easily have been KQ or QJ, which is still a tough call for all of your chips, but not nearly as tough of a call as JJ, and wouldn't warrant that kind of reaction.
@nuknuk4205 жыл бұрын
There has never been a better time to be a poker fan. This is amazing.
@notrab135 жыл бұрын
That slow-mo arm raising was really well-spotted. Very damning evidence along with everything else.
@aaronm58025 жыл бұрын
Also should be noted, notice the body language difference between this hand and all the other multi way all in bluffs he made. In this one he is visibly nervous and has his hand over his mouth probably to mask his breathing while staying mostly still. All the other arguably crazier bluffs like the 67o and 52o etc. he's all jovial laughing completely relaxed....
@SupehSLoth5 жыл бұрын
Taylor is such a good player, love the kid! :-)
@TaylorWCarroll5 жыл бұрын
SupehSloth thanks!
@joeregan635 жыл бұрын
Taylor Carroll sick calldown in that hand man. Is that dbag really FOS there like 40%? Probably if he has 72o and is just trying to exploit his information edge, huh?
@lucdh93015 жыл бұрын
@@TaylorWCarroll Sick call, man... Been following you from your reddit post about the Bike. Keep crushing!
@TaylorWCarroll5 жыл бұрын
@@lucdh9301 Thanks man!
@karlseastrand76785 жыл бұрын
Well done. Got him bang to rights. Hoped and expected Bart to provide his detailed input since he was there for some sessions. Guess we will see a Bart breakdown on it all very soon.
@caliguy444 жыл бұрын
Pretty sure the dude knew Postle had nothing. Making a hero call on the river knowing two overs on the flop. It's a great read to take that pot down.
@matthewbryant29725 жыл бұрын
I was with you till the end there, you even slow it down so it is even more clear, he sees the cards revealed and begins the hands up in the air motion; you can see what things are as the fly across a table... they don't magically become visible when the cards hit the table. What is insane to me, is, has a cell phone at the table... and the dealer or casino doesn't care... like; wtf... maybe poker needs the beeper but screw Poker man, are Casinos really letting players play with a cell phone on their lap? Damn... weird times
@beanshady5 жыл бұрын
Keep them coming Doug! I feel bad for the players cheated by this "apostle", but I really enjoy your coverage on these "God" hands of his and hope he gets what's coming for him in the end.
@adamporter15595 жыл бұрын
Sick cameo from bigger Doug in the Torelli jacks clip😁
@FocusedAndMotivated1005 жыл бұрын
Surprisingly he lost with 72.
@yoloinvesting87495 жыл бұрын
More of this S.O.B. Losing please 😂 😂 😂 it made my day amazing
@playablejank77305 жыл бұрын
Unfortunately there's not much of it...
@bobbybax23605 жыл бұрын
Am I the only one here who wouldn't mind losing a few hundred dollars to sit across from that girl at the table?
@hugoperera15 жыл бұрын
😬😬she nasty bro
@Galahad545 жыл бұрын
Yes, you are.
@makemoneyatstandardandbina7495 жыл бұрын
One of Doug's best right here 😂
@richhaff5105 жыл бұрын
Great video Doug. Your on point with the hands. It’s an instant before the cards are revealed. The only way you can do that is if you already know the cards. If you are going to cheat like he did you have to think about so much more then clearly he has. You have to think about how you react or your going to get caught. People and technology will catch up to you eventually. I’m glad he got caught. He and his conspirators need to do jail time pay back all winnings and a big fine. And last of all be banned from playing in poker games.
@hxhdfjifzirstc8945 жыл бұрын
Hey Doug, I think both Postle and the other guy can see this flop as higher than their opponent's range. It's a transparent bluff, JJ is the next pair below Q, and a Turned 3, River T don't change anything. Postle throws his hands up because he was thinking that nobody could ever call a shove after tanking with AAQ out there. I don't think it's evidence that Postle was cheating on this hand, but ironically might be evidence that Postle isn't good enough to win without cheating.
@MissDaisyTheRacoon5 жыл бұрын
Maybe he was surprised because he knew that abaucally any 2 cards can beat him.
@gabrielgabe69494 жыл бұрын
Holy shit Doug, I never noticed how Postle throws his hands up before opponent tables his JJ.... Nice catch man.
@douglassauve46594 жыл бұрын
If you watch postles body language through out the hand, he is more and more annoyed the guy is not folding. seems like the guy just had a really good read on postle and knew postle bluffed a lot. just my humble opinion.
@CartoonMohammed5 жыл бұрын
At 1:50, why does the dealer smirk when the cheater call preflop with 72o? Great pick up on the timing of the hands up!
@KanoPal14 жыл бұрын
What are the odds of getting a Hart Banson and a Bart Hanson playing poker on the same table?
@guitarislife56925 жыл бұрын
Nice catch with the hand raising.
@andrewcampbell96955 жыл бұрын
Delts coming in Doug, keep up the hard work!!
@vascosiva33805 жыл бұрын
very good analysis. good Sir
@robolasher5 жыл бұрын
Hart Banson..lmao 🤣👍
@andrewb25482 жыл бұрын
Doug - I want to clear this up. The "graphic" does NOT say the JJ player is "Bart Hanson." It says, "Hart Banson." Your brain just fixed the reversal. These players, I believe, can pick their handles, which is why that cheating spit bag is labelled "apostle." You have correctly pointed out that Bart Hanson is sitting next to JJ player. But the JJ player has, humorously, I suppose, picked a variation on his friend's name, and is using Hart Banson. It would be like me playing next to you and my handle is "Poug Dolk." But nobody would confuse me with Doug Polk, because I'm not handsome and I suck at poker.
@BlowOutTheTown5 жыл бұрын
i should thank mike, because of him now doug makes poker videos everyday again
@OriginalKarasu5 жыл бұрын
Keep them videos coming Doug xD
@patrick_kyker5 жыл бұрын
I wonder how big the crowds are at stones?
@billigmad37205 жыл бұрын
Hart Banson and Bart Hanson :D
@MaddMaxxMtb5 жыл бұрын
He calls because of his sweatshirt! SEND IT BABY
@chairyannn5 жыл бұрын
Haven't seen Worm since that police station all those years ago...
@DavidLane795 жыл бұрын
The big thing I saw is that you are making big calls to your health and fitness. Keep it up! 🏋️
@RealFactsForYou245 жыл бұрын
Really good catch at the end Doug
@dippy91195 жыл бұрын
Could this be the ultimate poker level? Knowing that your opponent can see your cards, you make thin calls when your opponent moves all in on the river?
@JohnSparkmanandBlackTopHerd5 жыл бұрын
I love how you slowed it down! Awesome analyzation! Wear that P.O.S out!
@Azar15715 жыл бұрын
Is there a Hart Banson and a Bart Hanson?
@johnsims99075 жыл бұрын
One thing I noticed is the players all seem to react to the commentators. Is it possible they hear them through the partition wall?
@hardtarget15175 жыл бұрын
******YOU CAN BEAT THE SCAMMER WITH THE POWER OF GROUP. ALL OTHER PLAYERS SAY: "WE WON'T PLAY IN THE SAME TABLE WITH THIS FRAUDSTER, SO IF YOU WANT SOME PLAYERS IN YOUR CASINO, YOU SHOULD TELL HIM TO LEAVE THE TABLE!" I AM SURE THAT CASINO DON'T HAVE ANOTHER OPTION THAN ASK HIM TO LEAVE.******
@davel35525 жыл бұрын
great video..that ending is very telling i agree
@Santino_Valentino5 жыл бұрын
Same thing hapened when "Mike Apostle" moved all in with 5-4off(pair of fives) and got called by Ace-high. He flipped his hand like he had the nuts instead of saying something like "oh shit, you got it"
@MikeHoltzPoker5 жыл бұрын
That’s Taylor Carroll fam he’s a monster
@gustavoc68125 жыл бұрын
Great catch!
@tjnunez20315 жыл бұрын
Would be very interesting to hear from Bart Hanson on this subject.
@Stockhandle1235 жыл бұрын
TJ Nunez I believe he has on Twitter
@misomiso82285 жыл бұрын
Also the 'House over House' hand where he only calls is crazy as even the commentators are shocked. EDIT: And the commentator for this hand, Kasey Mills has tweeted she raised the issue with management March 13th, and no longer works for the show. kzbin.info/www/bejne/ZqfEd2OhrM-Ensk 19:19
@Sipuliteemakkara5 жыл бұрын
I was a little skeptical Joey's remarks but this was a good 👍
@michaelsmith49045 жыл бұрын
" Do you think the stream adds an element to the decision here?" Player labelled as Hart Banson nods. Wait, who is listening to the live stream here?
@BradDanyluk5 жыл бұрын
Side note, I don't play holdem really, generally a PLO player. But is jacks even a crazy call there? Seems like just as good a bluffcatcher as anything
@derek41775 жыл бұрын
Of course it is a crazy call here, when the 3bet Range just hits this Flop so hard and he 3 barrels............when he should actually slow down after his opponent called 2 barrels, because he has also many Aces in his range.
@timsullivan45665 жыл бұрын
Doug, wish you'd let the clip of your failed bluff vs Torelli run until you delivered your BEST unscripted line ever, framing it not as a bluff but as a bad beat - "What are the chances of 8-6 running into jacks?" LOL!
@janideberg804 жыл бұрын
A question from a novice: How does it come that it's ok to bring a pc/communication device/ machine with possible evil apps to a poker table/ money depot? Why don't just prohibit them during the entire game?
@Locke199015 жыл бұрын
Second wind inc Doug!
@paulee9115 жыл бұрын
Ahahaha solid tongue in cheek NotBartHansen joke.
@paulrush91665 жыл бұрын
Lookin swole Doug! Keep it up!
@ericguo82093 жыл бұрын
Very talented guy. Expert at poker AND criminal investigator
@benoitbeaulac4155 жыл бұрын
Great point!
@JungleFeverForOShea5 жыл бұрын
Good shit fam
@WizzRacing2 жыл бұрын
Thew slow motion says it all... As it does take a few seconds after you see the cards. To react to the call. Yet the Cheater is already giving away what he already knows before he can see the cards....
@mistressliz38913 жыл бұрын
Since he was bluffing with 7 high, he SHOULD know that anyone who makes the call has beaten him, without seeing their cards, to be fair. He didn't need to see the cards.
@SaintKimbo2 жыл бұрын
Totally agree, if you are Postle and you DON"T know what the other guy has, you must assume that he has SOMETHING when he calls TWICE, you may not think he has the Aces or even a Queen, but when the 10 shows up on the River, the Opponents range becomes so great, that ONLY someone with knowledge of the Opponents cards would push all in, because anyone else, representing the nuts here, would make a large value bet against seasoned Players, and that is, maybe, why the Guy called the bluff. The only Player who would do what Postle did here, would be a complete Newbie who has zero knowledge of the game, or a Cheat.
@allankay125 жыл бұрын
These episodes are GREAT Doug! Expose this cheater!
@Jerry-zz2eu3 жыл бұрын
Why is Hart Banson Sitting Next to Bart Hanson, lol?
@redmancunian56035 жыл бұрын
when mike is bluffing at the river but he knows he has the best hand,he is laughing and he looks very certain about the outcome.....However in this pot and some others like this,when he is bluffing with the weaker hand,he is quiet and not reacting at all.....just a small notice although its pretty clear he is cheating.....again nice video Polk.....
@bananagoat26824 жыл бұрын
There's a guy named Hart Banson and a guy named Bart Hanson. Cool.
@spacetime7053 жыл бұрын
10:52 if you look close enough he actually flips the card revealing it already before throwing it on the table no?