How To Beat Low Stakes Poker In 2023

[@saulocostapoker]

💲Join the Cash Made Simple Community: the best place for you to improve your game and achieve your goals as a cash game player. I study, you play. We Win. Secure your spot by November 21st. Get started: bit.ly/cmscyoutube2

[@rashadramaileh6700]

You're the man Saulo! The amount of knowledge you drop for free without trying to sell us something is top tier. Keep up the great work! Appreciate your vids

[@mangarino94]

Let him sell courses or coaching when he wants to he's a pro with quality content and good articulate explanations

[@rashadramaileh6700]

@@mangarino94 I don't mind if he even starts selling stuff now. I just appreciate him not trying to push stuff to buy like many other content creators

[@fengmin8]

​@@mangarino94do you even english bro

[@jlaux7]

5:33 Is the half pot bet not ideal due to the draw-heavy texture of the board? Should it be more polarized?

[@bertjames9661]

At around the 21:50 mark when you have K8ss and the garbage counter goes off (lol). What do you think about checking the river with your top pair instead of 2x potting it? My thought's are he most likely range cbet flop so he will have a lot of air in his range that might want to bluff river when you X.

[@ecalor]

21:30 I don't understand why do we choose this sizing when you say you can exploitatively value bet? which part of his range gets curious and gives you value in practice?

[@ostrich3252]

Great vid! I 100% agree with your thought process in low stake! Keep going💪💪

[@pwjaiter6277]

I would love to see a video about playing a pot as the 3-better! When to bluff and when not etc

[@cameronandrew1853]

I think K9 when he jams river I might just sigh fold. His betting really felt like he was targeting a worse K specifically. Once the flush completes he has SO many combos of flushes, boats, and better Kx

[@Colourmc]

sb vs Bu, sb has a lot of Ax bluff and will randomly triple barrel in Khigh board. Especially in low stake.

[@jammflint84]

Why would we fold in an over bluffed spot when we have a hand as strong as trips?

[@TrackinDaMeta]

Stefan from pokercode recommends massively overflolding post on these stakes. He has a play and explain (many) on KZbin and plays rush and cash 50, 100, 200 and makes way bigger folds than that second pair weak kicker on a mono, trip kings medium kicker on a three card flush. Interesting to see you're both winning, both GTO nuts and recommending precisely the opposite strategy.

[@saulocostapoker]

He probably doesn't have the population tendencies background that I have. Everyone that doesn't study population tendencies recommends overfolding, he is not alone in there. I'm actually a big exception 😆

[@jimmyballs5662]

@@saulocostapokerso essentially you’re saying everyone else is wrong and you are correct?

[@coolcoolcool5234]

@@jimmyballs5662 not everynone, just the ones that haven`t studied the population tendencies that he has :)

[@sargon8385]

Very nice exploit timing tells. It's really important.

[@thedspenguin]

finalmente com tempo de assistir esse vídeo e, cara... valeu a espera! mais um vídeo muita massa, Saulo!

[@saulocostapoker]

Glad you liked it!

[@tunglee4349]

Nice play mate! Great content to learn!

[@dagreco]

7:35 Why no jam, when the SPR is so shallow and you have a polarized range?

[@saulocostapoker]

Its not really shallow...there is 1.6x pot behind. Most of my range is likely indifferent between all in and a smaller bet

[@dagreco]

@@saulocostapoker Thanks for taking the time to answer, I didnt know we have non-all in sizing here

[@AVDICHIAN]

What hud app do you use?

[@susymay7831]

At low stakes, is the following correct, or do I misunderstand? River over bets from regulars tend to be over bluffed However, river over bets from recs tend to be under bluffed?

[@bertjames9661]

Time stamp 23:31 when you 1.5x pot the Q9o hand OTR on the J8548 run out. Is this an exploit? I ran a solver on it and was very surprised to see a solver only using 1/2 pot sizing OTR

[@macafengas]

13:11 if he doesn't have a strong hand, why would you overbet?

[@igorzimin2518]

Hi good video. I think it would be better if you would stop zooming on yourself but let camera stay on board all the time, because a lot of new players, including me, are looking at board and understanding what is going on, but if you zoom out of it it distracts

[@sharkyjawz1342]

Wrt ~72% chance you're facing a rec vs cc in CO -Have you ran a report for how much this CI increases w/o a broken stack in the BB (or later positions)?

[@bcni4732]

Hi man, great content! Which software do you use that provides you with a RNG / position tags / lines and multiple betsizes?

[@flooderz88]

Its called Jurojin

[@stefanmedoch4345]

Hey Saulo! What is the HUD Software ?

[@TheQuantt]

saulo its very bad to slow play that AA hand, and checking that flop seem even worse , it gives him free draws? free cards to catch up, i would think building the pot on that flop and getting chips in would be GTO , not checking the AA on that board, i dunno

[@alphabet6814]

How did u get the random number generator on table.

[@Meltdown56]

What is the HUD overlay you use that shows how the action played out?

[@saulocostapoker]

That's a program called Jurojin. Link in the description of the video 👆🏽

[@sibbesen]

Would it be correct to assume value betting thin in smaller pots, with normal/smaller stacks is better then value betting thinly in bigger pots, with bigger stacks because you are opening up the betting again and risking more and bigger bluffs? Love the content, keep it coming!

[@saulocostapoker]

Hmm not necessarily. How thin you can value bet is a function of how strong your opponent's range is. People's ranges can be weak in any spot, regardless of pot size

[@modeob88]

min 29:29 ATo XR-XR-X what hand villain checksback ? fucking love that line :D

[@saulocostapoker]

I think he had QJs in that hand...was shocked that he checked it back 😶

[@modeob88]

@@saulocostapoker amazing, very good read anyway!

[@looper6394]

why u size up when oppo range is garbage and u hold medium value hand, eg at 21:44? isnt it better to size down and force vil to call more?

[@rayleon5696]

Impressive game. Thank you!

[@saulocostapoker]

Thank you!

[@bertjames9661]

Saulo why did you check KJo OTF on K97tt in the 3BP?

[@saulocostapoker]

Timestamp would help! 😅 That said, if it was a 3bp OOP then its standard. There will be some checking on these 2t boards. I don't particularly favor range betting in 3bp OOP, even if its a good board for me

[@bertjames9661]

@@saulocostapoker Sorry about the no timestamp! It was 8:43. So if it wasn't 2t, you just range bet 1/3?

[@camaleonsacor1618]

Min 5:00. I would just go allin there to steal the split. is like 13x but does that seems legit?. TBH I would never fold vs a 3x IP. But maybe I am just a calling xD. Maybe we could go 6x or so, seems also legit. For me 3x sounds too low, but if people is folding... ofc is the best aproach.

[@swardmusic]

Coming back to the game and hearibg 'recs' is tilting. Especially when it sounds like 'regs'

[@Sessiongrind]

Any data that most Funplayers overbluff with one bet (especially B50) but underbluff with 2 bets in a row (Turn B75, River B50 for example)?

[@susymay7831]

What are the biggest timing tells?

[@saulocostapoker]

Check my video about it 👉🏽 kzbin.info/www/bejne/qnbFd4Z6obysaJI&t

[@susymay7831]

Thank you!

[@Aploplex]

2:30 I really don’t think you’re gonna see a lot of triple barrel bluffs here that don’t get there on the river, regular at these stakes just won’t barrel turn with AJ or AQo with a heart, especially for that big sizing in the turn. Against fish I call river because they might overplay aces, but against regs I’m always folding river because I don’t beat value and bluffs are very hard to find

[@saulocostapoker]

Problem there is that you are making assumptions you can't prove 😕 Instead of making assumptions, I prefer to study population tendencies and see whether the average player is bluffing sufficiently or not. And for this particular line, regulars are in fact bluffing very close to the required amount, even at these stakes. My hand is also better than KT, KJ combos since the 9 unblocks more bluffs than the J and T quicker. So I think that is a must call. Can consider folding KT and KJ vs a very passive player though

[@Aploplex]

@@saulocostapoker it’s entirely possible, i can only play on US-based sites so the population is worse than on other sites and the regs in games here are generally more nitty than other places, especially in river spots, according to my data thanks for your insight though! i feel like poker is far more fun when more people are trying to play more balanced so hero calling rivers is more viable.

[@BWOOHAHAHAAA]

I see you apply lots of pressure when their hand is clearly weak. Like 1,5x and 2x pot value bets, when they have hardly ever more than second pair. Wouldn't value betting smaller be more profitable, or are you trying to keep your value to bluffs ratio in check for your big bets?

[@saulocostapoker]

Gonna copy what I said to someone above with the same question: "Expanding value (and for that reason, expanding bluffs too) is the proper min exploit against a weak range. All of your good hands increase in equity, which allows them to increase betsizing, which allows you to bet more bluffs to balance them out. The fact that they may overfold doesn't answer which sizing is best because its likely they will overfold to any betsizing. Additionally, betting very big with bluffs and smaller with value is a very exploitable strategy, which when countered could lose tons of money. I don't recommend playing so face up. That being said, it could indeed happen that the max exploit strategy against population is to bet very big with bluffs and size down with value."

[@BWOOHAHAHAAA]

@@saulocostapoker Thanks!

[@yanglin2995]

saulo I see you using 1.5-2 overbet against oppo's capped range, wouldn't a smaller so called "value bet" be higher ev? Or ur pool research shown people over call over bet with capped line?

[@saulocostapoker]

Expanding value (and for that reason, expanding bluffs too) is the proper min exploit against a weak range. All of your good hands increase in equity, which allows them to increase betsizing, which allows you to bet more bluffs to balance them out. The fact that they may overfold doesn't answer which sizing is best because its likely they will overfold to any betsizing. Additionally, betting very big with bluffs and smaller with value is a very exploitable strategy, which when countered could lose tons of money. I don't recommend playing so face up. That being said, it could indeed happen that the max exploit strategy against population is to bet very big with bluffs and size down with value.

[@yanglin2995]

@@saulocostapoker Thank you so much for your very detail and helpful explanation. That being said, a proper applicable strategy can be to identify the type of player (reg/else), and then MIN the reg（bet op) and MES the else(bet 33-75 when value and op when bluff)? Also, I see you are not so worried about blocking opponent's weak calling range when bluffing, for example a break straight draw. Should I not be too worry about blocking oppo's XCXCF range when bluffing in real time, I know GTO's answer?

[@bazzza4613]

65 hand i cant fold. would call fast just to let see.

[@krisamagus1]

exactly. I tink it ws straight or overpairs, maybe a naked ace.

[@buksted]

Can anyone link me the video on timing tells? Can't seem to find it

[@saulocostapoker]

kzbin.info/www/bejne/qnbFd4Z6obysaJI&t Here you go my friend. Enjoy!

[@buksted]

@@saulocostapokerAh, great thank you!

[@RyanSpicer]

with the K8s 2x pot i get that his range is garbage, but wouldnt the max exploit be to bluff for the big size and size down with value? we want his garbage to call more, so something like 75% achieves this when we have value, and 2x pot will perform well when we are bluffing.... i guess you just are skipping this leveling aspect and because you know youre bluffing alot, you are just putting your value bets in this size as well... do you think one approach is better than the other? would you differentiate your strat playing iggy vs a site with screen names?

[@saulocostapoker]

Gonna copy what I said to someone above with the same question: "Expanding value (and for that reason, expanding bluffs too) is the proper min exploit against a weak range. All of your good hands increase in equity, which allows them to increase betsizing, which allows you to bet more bluffs to balance them out. The fact that they may overfold doesn't answer which sizing is best because its likely they will overfold to any betsizing. Additionally, betting very big with bluffs and smaller with value is a very exploitable strategy, which when countered could lose tons of money. I don't recommend playing so face up. That being said, it could indeed happen that the max exploit strategy against population is to bet very big with bluffs and size down with value." I don't think its correct to put value on a given sizing because you are putting bluffs there. Bluffs follow value bets, not the other way around. As far as which approach is better, I think a max exploit approach works well vs recs or very weak regs. Against anyone capable of adjusting, a strategy where you only have bluffs when you size up is pretty bad in my opinion. The counter is easy - opponent just needs to click the call button - and getting countered causes massive EV loss.

[@randomgame7259]

Hola Saulo ! La mano de K9s Btn vs SB en river no veo claro el call . En general los regulares en ese tipo de boards y secuencia no van a tener demasiado bluff . Ellos deberian saber que luego de pagar turn tenemos demasiado Kx en nuestro rango como para tomar AQo AJo ATo con un corazon para ir allin

[@matta5749]

It doesn’t matter because SB could be shoving for value with the same hand or potentially worse hands like K8s or AhAx. Folding isn’t an option

[@randomgame7259]

@@matta5749 Entiendo , lo que pasa es que en las mesas zoom de lowstake la gente en general es muy Nit jugando oop en 3bet pot. De ser una mesa normal si que compro tu call casi que con cualquier villano. No digo que tu jugada este mal , digo que de observar el metagame no veo tanto valor peor o bluff potencial . Al menos en las mesas rapidas de GG y ACR. En las de stars hace rato que no juego pero intuyo que puede ser del mismo modo . Gracias por el material y tus respuestas. En general pocos dan respuestas a comentarios :)

[@saulocostapoker]

Gonna copy what I told someone above with same comment: "Problem there is that you are making assumptions you can't prove 😕 Instead of making assumptions, I prefer to study population tendencies and see whether the average player is bluffing sufficiently or not. And for this particular line, regulars are in fact bluffing very close to the required amount, even at these stakes. My hand is also better than KT, KJ combos since the 9 unblocks more bluffs than the J and T quicker. So I think that is a must call. Can consider folding KT and KJ vs a very passive player though" The only thing I could add is that perhaps the 50 Rush And Cash pool on GG might be unique in their bluffing tendencies. I played a bit on the rush and cash pools and indeed saw an excess of very tight players compared to other sites. But to know for sure I would have to study the data of that specific pool

[@georgeargyris543]

First! Love you mark stuff!

[@SamforSam]

Derrick Rose of poker

[@modeob88]

But if his range is complete garbage x5 , why bet so big? doesnt make more sense to check, and give the portunity to play a SnG as a bluff? Probably he knows that SnG IP is a good spot to bluff. (min 21:56)

[@saulocostapoker]

I meant "garbage" more in a sense that he is capped, not that he only has air

[@CristianGVB]

Saulo ainda tá dando coach privado? Te mandei um e-mail

[@saulocostapoker]

Agora to sem vaga mano :/ se abrir um slot te dou um toque!

[@ireadursoul]

Continua actual em 2024?

[@saulocostapoker]

Com certeza. De um ano pra outro não muda nada

[@susymay7831]

Timing Course Suggestions 1. Have a private discord channel or Facebook group for members. 2. Give thoughts and tips for casino cash games, even if you do not have the data for this format. Your personal thoughts and feelings are also valuable. ❤❤❤❤❤

[@saulocostapoker]

Thanks for the suggestions!

[@susymay7831]

​​@@saulocostapoker Private discords add tremendous value to good courses and I cannot stress this enough 🎉 What some teachers do who already have a private discord is to add private channels for each course they sell. They might even have a topic called General that is open to the public. Thank you for your great KZbin channel!

[@mad_bad6499]

Je but dont cross over 140 bb time tiking away gg

[@vitovitovito3693]

👏🏻👏🏻👏🏻

[@krisamagus1]

65 diamods, you should have called, no? With the boat. he could have had overpairs or straights easily.

[@saulocostapoker]

Hey. Not really, no one will value bet an overpair or a straight in a double paired board. I can only beat bluffs or split with the same hand. In that circumstance I assumed population is not going to bluff enough in that spot, therefore I should fold

[@krisamagus1]

@@saulocostapoker Thank you!!!

[@blue12]

🦈

[@tasoslefth8375]

You remind me of Alex Pereira

[@juanchoo8989]

♥♥

[@mikeryan5856]

I don't understand why you say 50nl. why don't you just say the blinds, like .25/.50?

[@saulocostapoker]

Thats a very standard way of saying it among professionals

[@mikeryan5856]

@@saulocostapoker seems like it makes more sense to say the blinds. You could be playing deep or short stack idk seems to make less sense to me

[@ImDrizzt]

Woowawh, im in that discord group with you, i had no idea u were this handsome aswell, awesome content!!

[@saulocostapoker]

lol thank you!