How well did we predict all of 2022?? | F1 Predictions Challenge 2022: The Results!

First 200 get 20% off Brilliant's annual premium subscription: www.brilliant.org/chainbear
At the start of the year I asked 4 guests and the audience to predict what would happen in the 2022 season and we're back to see how everyone did. It... was a mixed bag.
Premiere viewers: this video is 1 h 23 m long.
00:00 Introduction
03:00 Simple Starters
13:58 Best Looking Launch Car
16:12 Top N after N
24:27 One Bold Prediction
29:00 All the Podiums
34:28 Team Mate Wars
45:15 The Sprints
50:54 Get Yuki's Points
53:30 The Unreliables
1:01:00 True or False?
1:14:45 Wrap Up
Dan: / @racingreviews
Sean: / thef1word
Hazel: / hsouthwellfe
Jonty: linktr.ee/JontysCorner
#F1 #2022 #predictions #Formula1
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Patreon: / chainbearf1
Twitter: / chainbear

[@chainbear]

You may notices points ticking up randomly about half an hour in. That's just an animation error. The points are ultimately correct, but I missed a keyframe so they ticked up during the course of the discussion instead of suddenly at the end. The actual result is still correct.

[@tybrock8609]

So, when do fans that do say that they want to see their points final in email?

[@Lashb1ade]

How many components did Alpine use? 56:40 I assume that's a typo and they *are* second.

[@MrCiey]

Is it correct? As far as i remember Mazepin drove the least amount of laps followed by De Vries and Hülkenberg. So the audience should have won it.

[@itsjesseb]

@@Lashb1ade would've been 67 i'd assume

[@thesunnynationg]

Häkkinen seriously?!

[@the_kovic]

I initially thought Hazel had gone mad selecting India for a sprint race. I had no idea this is what the flag of Miami looks like.

[@freddiesen]

I was wondering through most of the show whether I’d missed a joke about Miami being India but apparently the flag is very similar.

[@shivam77043]

Same

[@sparksk8er]

As an american even seeing a city flag is so weird to me. If anything we are used to state flags, very rarely does a city/town even have a flag

[@theleftuprightatsoldierfield]

@@sparksk8erost American cities have flags, but most are pretty bad and are not flown frequently. The only major exception I can think of is Chicago, who’s city flag is everywhere

[@The51cents]

Been waiting for this since the season ended. Last year's video was so good

[@whysrumgone]

Highlight of the early off-season

[@JontysCorner]

Can we see some love for Dan in the comments, that was an incredible way to end. 😆

[@foryousten]

I was hoping Dan would jump on the podium and splashes champagne

[@gsurfer04]

Big Wheatley energy

[@mutantgeralt]

I hope that this happened for real and the call was somehow recorded cause that's how it's always gonna be in my head

[@CheetahLynx]

I think next year you should do "true or false" near the start. It's a bit anticlimactic.

[@NickzAndMikz]

Yes

[@0xhayleydev]

I would love to see each section's points be separated as by the time you get to the last few questions of the last section, you know how is going to win So rather than see who is winning overall, you can see who is winning that round Points overall should be what is used though

[@JontysCorner]

That's a very good call, I'll keep that in mind in case Chainbear misses the comment :)

[@0xhayleydev]

@@JontysCorner thanks Jonty Deffo can keep you on the edge of your seat with who wins and make a spectacle of who wins each section and if that's enough to make them win out over the opponents Might be a little more work and make the video longer next year, but I would welcome that change - no harm in testing that either right ? Love the videos all you guys make, I definitely wouldn't be as clued in with F1 events/technical understanding/everything really if it wasn't for you guys

[@abeastateverything]

I think knowing who was gonna win way ahead was fitting for this season

[@cannygrowabeard]

The work that clearly goes into these continues to impress. A great package again this year Chain Bear

[@nathanclinch3001]

Always a Highlight of the Post-Season Rounding up, Thanks as Always Chainbear

[@alonso_ma]

Alternative bold predictions got me laughing haha. Excellent video as always! Cheers from Mexico

[@Timps27]

I hate when the season ends, and then I remember I get to watch the pre-season challenge results show! It’s not quite a race weekend, but it’s always a nice year end treat!

[@Shrrby]

Worth noting they eventually tallied up all the overtakes for all the races, and it went to Lance! followed by Ocon then Sebastian

[@hauke3665]

Are you doin' the predictions this season again? Would love to be a part of the audience this year and see how good i can do.

[@hermanappelgren]

Thank you so much for making these every year! Looking back at the predictions at the end of the year, both yours and my own, really puts the season in perspective. As always, it's also obvious that you put a lot of time and effort into making these videos, from coming up with the questions, polling the audience and the great presentations. I can't wait for next year.

[@Wizzkidwas]

43:20 It's worth mentioning Latifi made it to Q3 before Albon did!

[@callumblyth3741]

The goat

[@charlespletzke8311]

Opinion: the Haas on day 3 of Barcelona testing (the simplest design) was the best livery of the season

[@Setz84]

There seems to be issue with score, I started to notice it around 35:15 where Jonty's, the Audience's and then Dan's points keep increasing by 1, happens about 15-20 seconds apart each time.

[@formulafish1536]

I’m glad it wasn’t only me

[@borandiUK]

See pinned comment

[@swordfish1929]

Thank you for doing this again, it is always a post season highlight

[@pentiofotal]

Where is Stuart? He hasn't uploaded any video since this one, and has been quiet on Twitter for an unusually long time. I hope he's doing well and just taking some well deserved time off.

[@danka814]

I look forward to these alot

[@austman1991]

This is the best F1 Content of the season. Both the initial predictions and results. Well done

[@WicherBos]

Great stuff! I really enjoy this kind of games… the predictions as well as the results broadcast… wonderful… thanks!

[@helderboymh]

When are you coming back, we need you chainbear!

[@StanleyV64]

The quality of this video is amazing, and really makes the watching of the experience even more enjoyable.

[@BrijG1988]

Thanks for organising these @Chain Bear; it's a lot of fun to look back at the season and see how our expectations compare to how things actually panned out! The work you put into creating this is appreciated! I scored 289 points however, I dropped 55 points (and the individual audience member win) in the question regarding races with most DNFs. I misread the question and only chose 1 race instead of 3! I would've chosen Jeddah and Singapore in addition to Baku as these are races of attrition but oh well, I'll take the win in my rookie year!

[@stephenascottcbc]

Genuinely been waiting for this for months. So we'll made and set out. Love these every year

[@Chappington]

Ugh, I wish I had remembered to save my responses and score myself, but always great to see all of your results!

[@king_zapp]

Don't ever stop doing these please!

[@resurrectedsunlight155]

5:15 "nobody got any points"... apart from Latifi, who did score points!

[@Neilios1000]

Always one of my favourite videos of the year. I eagerly look forward to discovering which question Sean has fundamentally misunderstood in next year's batch. I got 218 points, which I'm mildly pleased with.

[@psyaviah]

Ooh yes. Thx again, love your content!

[@Bilstar1979]

Top stuff again! Bonus points for the finish 😂

[@temy4895]

245 this year, which was nice. Always love doing these, thanks all for taking part.

[@Joe-po8rx]

I absolutely love Hazel's dry sense of humour. That last comment of 90% cheers, 10% boos, was absolutely class

[@HazelSouthwellFE]

haha thank you, I am always surprised anyone likes me in these so much appreciated!

[@Joe-po8rx]

@@HazelSouthwellFE I hope you are there for the next prediction challenge, with another Ferrari narrative

[@itsjesseb]

I played along at the start of the season, and ended up with a total of 281 points, and were 1 different pole sitter away from another 29 (predicted 7 different pole sitters and there were 6). Really enjoy playing along with these!

[@keeganharrison3769]

I'm a huge fan of these every year. Seriously, one of the things I looks for

[@ankurpradhan9655]

Got 245 points, I'm a huge fan of these and look forward to them at the start and end of every season, cheers!

[@50runeeli]

I would love to see the highest scoring individual from the audience, just to see if somebody trounced everybody.

[@Thermalions]

Congratulations on the win Dan

[@Xathon]

Thanks, always great fun to look back on those. Small suggestion though - maybe make DNFs worth 3 points, not 5, next time. That was a pretty big point scorer.

[@SeanMather]

Lol that ending, poor Dan. Missed his videos this year.

[@GuidoHaverkort]

Maybe it would be interesting for next season if you ask them some of the questions again after seeing the cars or maybe even after testing and maybe after x amount of races and then compare how they adjusted

[@vladholban390]

Hey! I think there was one question from the googleform before the start of the season that was missed in the video. After comparing averages starting positions of Stroll and Vettel, there was an extra question worth 5 points to select which one of Stroll and Vettel will actually be higher. Otherwise amazing video, always looking forward to it before and after the season! :) Edit after finishing the video: (Including the question mentioned above I got 296 points!!)

[@pimvandergeer7179]

This was the best one yet, can't wait for next year. keep it up guys(and girl ;))! oh my god, that was an hour and a half! well, made me lose track of time, good sign i've been entertained. thanks all :D:D:D:D

[@mozilla2576]

I love Dan! What a classic Dude. Glad you made it in.....and the winner is Dan!

[@gregrtodd]

Thanks Stuart. This is easily my favourite partof the F1 season

[@MIVEC4B11T67]

I've got the 'Drivers on The Podium' bang on! Got 252 total.

[@DanielFair]

How on earth do you make these PowerPoint/stream animations and graphics? I think it’s incredible and the production quality is so top-notch

[@xSwitchB1ade]

Great content as always! I know how much work goes into these, and its deeply appreciated! A cool idea might be to show clips of funny guesses from the original predictions, I could see some of those being hilarious, hearing the replays could add a lot! I want to say that I originally voted for mazepin not to be included in the fewest racing laps question, but upon reflection I don't think it was correct. I can't quite remember how you phrased the poll, but I think you lumped mazepin and subs to lumped together. I don't think that subs like hulkenberg and devries should have counted, but in some ways the people who guessed mazepin did so based on all his flaws as a driver, which ultimately was the reason he didn't do any laps. I think they should have been awarded points, or the question should just have been removed.

[@findtheoddemojistudios6719]

This year I decided to do the predictions as well and I'm pretty pleased with 233 points. It was so fun relating to you guys haha and laughing at my predictions.

[@DiabloGamer2000]

1:20:21 I was already hoping this would happen😂😂😭😭💀💀

[@eoghanhyland8995]

Pretty happy with 255 for my first year. A little unfortunate with choosing Mazepin and Russia a couple of times but excited for next year's!

[@LeadFarmer1597]

I'm in bed with the flu right now and have been bored out of my mind. So excited that you posted this!

[@Zzzlol94]

Got 259 points. Had some bonkers luck with the DNFs picking Baku, Saudi and Singapore. Baku could've easily been just 1 DNF, but then we had the hat-trick of sudden DNFs in 5 minutes.

[@brenchyalowicois6748]

I got 451

[@148quickbricks]

I got 271 in total, got that same DNF luck, I predicted as my bold prediction haas will get 7th and i scored it myself as 35 points if it came true and it did so my score might be slightly off depending on how the audience woud have rated my bold prediction.

[@cereofficial909]

@@brenchyalowicois6748 no you didn't

[@crazyjack3357]

With the car flips I've seen in the past year in F1. Got me thinking about when Nascar briefly had a wing on the car, and they seen a large increase of times the car became air born. Then put back their traditional spoiler, and the car was happy again I just wonder if F1 should look at something similar.

[@anirudhburman839]

Please do it before Bahrain. I wanna be a part of this

[@drxisbad2]

Hey, any update on 2023 predictions

[@duckrutt]

Was Dan screaming into a muted microphone the whole time or was he really not there? I can forgive him for not posting (life and all) but he's only got a few weeks left for the annual channel renaming. It's just not the same if I recognize the icon.

[@Zrepid]

Seems to be an error with Alpine on the power unit question and math mistakes on the DNF question 1:03:32

[@Questerer]

Every year I make screenshots of my answers and compare them. This year I got 244 points. Again not winning. Even behind the average of the audience with a few points. Can't wait till the questions for next year :D

[@MrZicotorres]

227 see you all next year! thanks chain bear for such amazing content

[@YeungMarcus]

5:18, the ranking should be like this: P20: Nicholas Latifi P21: Nyck de Vries P22: Nico Hülkenberg

[@dinkasaurus8243]

257 much better than expected, i'll take it!

[@tinymouse2]

277 let's gooo, Mick getting 4 Q3's saved me

[@jkliao6486]

So I guess it's now the overtake of the year award instead of overtake award.

[@danonthestrings]

I’m sorry but the Alfa Romeo was the best looking car all year. That shade of red plus the white and the touch of green from the 4 leaf clover on top of the engine cover was just beautiful.

[@anirudhburman839]

When are you doing this for this season??

[@AlexThePlatypus]

I think I did rellay well until the DNF round. Only got 40 points from that but still scored 272 points. I think that overall this was my best year although I was over optimistic with Latifi.

[@Tromboninja]

58:00 did Alpine use 67 power unit elements and that's just a typo?

[@geminiMDZ]

Yooooooo... 297! Only 3 shy from 300. I got lucky on bold prediction (😭 Danke Seb) and DNF's even if I totally lost on places predictions. Can't wait for 2023 challenge. //Edit. Might have done some miscalculation but 280 is still respectable with 81st place.

[@thomasda7423]

I got 313 points. Really lucky with the 80 points for the dnf question.

[@rzaagman]

Hey Chain Bear. You like data.. Do teams actually get closer to each other over the years with fixed regulations?

[@hennysmith]

I played along, and got 238, one shy of the podium. Last year i was first. Cant wait for another one later on

[@tkg__]

F1 needs to start giving points for 11-20. I want to see and root for Williams or Alfa. Who cares if they even finish the races when they don't get points anyway...? 0 for DNFs to encourage reliability.

[@bagasaria93]

Can you invite Josh Revell for the next year prediction?

[@EmyrDerfel]

he'll be even more sleep deprived than Hazel!

[@JustFrana]

Please chainbear !

[@EForrest88]

6F, Bottas v Zhou, the scale doesn't work for the points allocated? if it's 3pts for 2out and 1pt for 5out, what do 3out & 4out get? I scored 185 - really lost out on the 1st round and the retirements.

[@herbertvanderwerf6667]

Just curious, but why do sometimes increase the scores by 1 point for no reason? Is it too keep the scores a little even so it's more exciting?

[@godoftenors]

Look, we can hate on the special liveries all we want, but McLaren's floral one at year's end was pretty nice. Not as good as their Gulf one, but if they were going to go with a new title sponsor in their livery, I'd love to see that carry over.

[@Mayoisglue]

I’m keeping score on my note pad not doing to bad so far

[@TheKeeperofChaos]

You've heard of countryballs Now get ready for F1 CHANNELBALLS

[@ishaankotecha1917]

Happy with my score of 267 this year but gotta try get top spot next year!

[@noway3128]

I wouldn’t blame Mercedes’ engine spend in 2021 on shonkiness… it was more part of their strategy to beat Max.

[@needles_balloon]

More Hazel pls!

[@BestWafflesEUW]

Ah the highlight of my off season returns again 😅

[@JohnSmithShields]

228 personal score, just missed out on a podium. Great fun as always.

[@Akab6]

The Ferrari was gorgeous, close second but I think the Alfa Romeo took the cake - stunning looking car, particularly from the sides.

[@jaybrtt]

He really captioned the enter hour 20 video. Absolute Chad

[@benhayward2597]

39:21 I went to school with a guy who looked exactly like the bust from Art Attack, it was uncanny.

[@Honza58]

Ok 265... Reliability cost me oh.... so much... Picked Hungary and Mazepin. On the other hand I chose the Shumacher Q3 so that was very lucky bump for me.

[@YeahJumper94]

239!! Exactly as the master Bear!

[@mwaffi]

238 for me. Actually felt like a better result than that but I guess doing well on Yuki's points with 10 wasn't all that helpful :D

[@KayJblue]

I don’t think I wrote down my personal predictions 😅. Is there anyway to go back and check or should I just do better this year.

[@geminiMDZ]

If you filled google form and filled email you shoud have received all answers around 17th of January in email.

[@KayJblue]

@@geminiMDZ Nice, thank you

[@fedeofeast3525]

I got 325 this year!! very proud of myself

[@Sportfuck]

when will you send the mail to fans of their results?

[@lukeskywalket2894]

As a McLaren fan, I wholeheartedly agree their livery looked absolutely horrendous this year

[@notjustsad]

59:01 wait that's not 55 Points, it's 65, right? I don't think that was just said wrong but also added wrong?

[@fundude365]

Agree with the assessment of the audience's reaction to Alpine's car design. The 2021 livery was just such a classy design. I don't know how well it rates in the highly objective and scientific 'Best Liveries of all time' league, but it looked like a fantastic place to start from at least. The 2022 livery was just a fairly average one, but the delta in classiness was so great that it was voted on how disappointing it was.

[@hallamhal]

It's amazing watching this just how the new regulations haven't mixed things up at all

[@jaimesrk]

I got 177 points, so Dan outscored me by 1 point. If that doesn't make him feel better about his results, I don't know what will.

[@jam8483]

58:00 is Alpine supposed to say 67? or should they not be second?

[@mplane0001]

Kept my Google form answers, got 171, you beat me Dan