Ian Bremmer: Trump victory guaranteed if Israel goes to war with Iran

“If there’s a war between Israel and Iran and the Americans are dragged in, Trump will win.”
Netanyahu is accepting “greater risks” to drag the US into war with Iran to save his own presidency. In turn, this could bring down Biden at the upcoming election says Ian Bremmer.
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[@DavidMartin-ws9es]

The sounds of the bottom of the barrel being scraped.

[@ristomattikolsi5711]

If we as the west would have stood firmly as one, and we had done absolutely everything to support Ukraine to win their country back from attacker, it would have happened already. But unfortunately, at this moment west seems to be divided and weak. There is serious division among NATOmembers in Europe and in United States between pro Ukraine politicions and pro Russia politicions. It's incredible how foolish the western nations stil are, when they don't understand how dangerous this situation really is.

[@TheMrCougarful]

The Western nations understand business. Or so they imagine.

[@shd94]

The west is de line that tge full press is on 😂😂

[@user-mz3in7vo5b]

Hunt for "escape" goats have started...

[@ristomattikolsi5711]

@@TheMrCougarful It's not business, it's just short sighted greedy.

[@toby9999]

It's no so much about western nations as it is small groups of maga types within their governments. We're seeing this very cleary in the US Congress, in spite of the majority supporting Ukraine.

[@philskoda9720]

"Guarantees"? Bremmer just lost my confidence in his judgement. Maybe? Sure. But guarantees is a step too far.

[@user-wv8tm2iv9b]

This is going to age like milk.

[@user-cg3vd5yv2c]

Very much so, indeed!

[@benwilson7006]

Lactose free and oat milk lasts quite a while

[@anvilinparachuteproduction2027]

Already has, Israel's response was weak, just for show.

[@user-wv8tm2iv9b]

GI Joe Biden, Wartime President 🇺🇲🫡 Ofcourse no one would rally behind the flag.

[@frederickmiles327]

​@@anvilinparachuteproduction2027You bet.

[@richardvale214]

A vote for Trump is a vote for Putin.

[@1776stubborn]

Hillary sold USA uranium to Putin. If there is a nuclear war blame her for when your mother's house turns to ashes in 3 seconds.

[@sabinasb2445]

So vote Biden? 😂

[@richardvale214]

@@sabinasb2445 Yep. Vote blue up and down the ticket.🌝

[@peperider]

Luh? Putin took Crimea when OBAMA WAS THE PRESIDENT. Putin launch an all out invasion of Ukraine when BIDEN IS THE PRESIDENT. 😂

[@peperider]

​@@richardvale214then Vote Blue and let Putin take ALL OF UKRAINE

[@Chaxar]

wow! Fear monger much? #deplorableTimesRadio I would not burn my house down just because my neighbors are feuding. I would not vote against Democracy just because two Theocracies cannot get along. I would not vote for Trump just because the gas prices would go up even in your theoretical idea of American troops on the ground when.

[@daraorourke5798]

Its Fox 🦊 Murdoch they thrive on fear ignorance and chaos....

[@brendanh8193]

I agree. And his analysis ignores the levers that USA has to buffer the oil prices due to the tiny exposure to middle east oil that the USA has. It is more about the impact that this has on its allies that prevents the president using these levers at the moment.

[@joaogarcia9488]

You dont...but many people do. And this people have the same rights as you...choosing.

[@Chaxar]

Last I checked, many people don't burn their houses down. You are right, someone has the right to stand outside of a movie theater asking customers if they are afraid of the building burning down. And I have the right to criticize that ridiculous person.

[@stardust1837]

it is always intresting to me how so many people will tell you that one particular incident is going to be the one determining factor in a major event when there are so many variables involved

[@_Stroda]

The inability of most people to accept, let alone try to work with, the complexity of the real world is at the root of almost all of the greatest issues we face. The childlike clinging to black and white, x caused y, thinking leads the daft conspiracies so many believe in. It enables the worst types of people to gain and maintain power, spewing endless, ridiculous soundbites which in the 'media landscape' most pay attention to, greatly influenced by the likes of Twitter, has generally turned away from any kind of meaningful discussion or in depth analysis. People rage about the Trumps and the Farages; about our political systems. But it's all enabled by the ignorance, tribalism, stupidity and inability to think critically of such a depressingly large proportion of the people out there.

[@richardvale214]

You got it.👍

[@PolferiferusII]

"The wise man admits he knows nothing."

[@ericdane7769]

Bremmer didn't say that, though. He said (20.20) "... it makes it a little more LIKELY that Biden loses, the events we have seen over the last weekend. I am CERTAIN that Netanyahu knows that. He understands that if there is a war between Israel and Iran and the Americans are drawn in, we are looking at $150 oil price and Trump will win, that is certainly something Israeli leaders are thinking about."

[@loudtim265]

Wut? Ah, must be nice to have time to sit and overthink everything.

[@PauloAdriano-zo2ng]

Ian likes the smell of his own 🐂💩

[@kipper2k]

you are wrong!

[@stephenl9463]

Well argued. 😂

[@ericdane7769]

Autocrats around the world (+ Netanyahu) do try their best to include Trump in their group hugg. He would be their best bet to create as much chaos and disruption as possible.

[@chrimbus71]

yep, look at all the wars stareted on Trumps watch compared to Biden. You need TDS help

[@willdon.1279]

@@chrimbus71 No leader can cause one country to attack another, only try to moderate/worsen it. NOT in any Western countries' interest to have war - even an idiot can see that! (maybe not)

[@ericdane7769]

@@chrimbus71 Correction: it's DTS (Deranged Trump Supporter), not TDS. Learn how to parrot official partylines better.

[@thetransplanter3337]

Nonsense! Your international affairs specialist is totally out of touch with America's electorate.

[@kurman4749]

You are absolutely spot on, my friend. Bremner is talking through his backside.

[@avramtrifa30]

Russia will be pushback. It’s not that time for Russia to win.

[@unfamiliarenvironments]

Zelenski was correct in saying the deaths in Poland were Russia - because they had been firing missiles at them - therefore the consequences of the defense of those actions are on the Russians - So to say it was simply zelensky creating misinformation is ignorant of this guest

[@Chips505]

It's crazy to say a Trump second term will be characterized with uncertainty. If there is any politician, we all know what he is about, it is Trump. We have dealt with him before. He is the most known quantity ever in American and world politics. If he comes back, you can be certain that he'll have more of an impetus to carry out his policies. No ambiguity or uncertainty there.

[@wottermelon4060]

Nope. The majority of Americans, including those who are not committed to a particular party, know how important it is that Trump never again be let near the White House. His own cabinet and former VP know this and have spoken out about it. And his criminal charges are not going to magically go away. Someday (and hopefully someday soon), he will no longer be the focus of everything in this country. But until that day, we must endure the daily onslaught of news regarding the Tangerine Tyrant.

[@christopheryoung2874]

the cost of everything has gone way up over the last four years thats enough reason to vote for Trump

[@wottermelon4060]

@@christopheryoung2874 Inflation is definitely a thing. But the president does not control inflation. Things like the global price of oil impact inflation. The US economy is actually doing very well. Plus, reasonable people know that even high inflation doesn't justify voting for someone who sees himself as an emperor and would very likely be the end of democracy in the US. Trump will never again be in any kind of position of authority.

[@user-cg3vd5yv2c]

@@christopheryoung2874 Trump won't make anything more affordable.

[@rambleon2838]

​ @christopheryoung2874 Everything has been going up since Trump started his tariff wars and gave the biggest tax cuts to the rich since Reagan, including his own mail box companies. Trump grossly mishandled the Covid "flue" that grocery stores ran out of common staples, prices shot up and never came down despite the lowest fuel prices since the 90s. It turned out that Trump allowed meat packers export meats rather than put it in the freezers at the stores. Hard to see the truth with MAGA blinders on.

[@technokicksyourass]

Your detached from reality. Trump is up in the polls.. including with independents... so you are just flat out wrong.

[@drewstead316]

90% of the time the incumbent wins, especially if they started a war

[@axavidesign1670]

Drama Queen

[@joaogarcia9488]

Its obvious you are not in the front of this conflicts....Thats tell alot about you think about the others....

[@marcusantoniusAfterDark]

NO. He is wrong. Yes. Gas price for americans is a point but again there was no bloodbath in the midterms.

[@audrunasgruslys9243]

It was not a russian balistic missile that went throuigh polish territory. It was a cruise missile. It sounds like a technicality, but it is important, as having a cruise missile crossing territory is way more provocative.

[@thornok2131]

no it does not

[@cruxer666]

Exactly, US elections are won by internal politics, not international. Iran did sort out help for Ukraine, which is really funny, BRICS axis of evil shot themselves in the foot again.

[@DSRQ1]

No.

[@JaneSoole]

Net is only out for himself and his legacy...He has not and will not learn that leaders who stay too long cop it in the end.

[@inzilbethx4501]

This guy is cluless.

[@dougfoley6175]

Fast track Ukraine EU membership.

[@nickkorea5850]

When has an international issue ever decided an election?

[@user-mz3in7vo5b]

Today it does, what else matter?

[@nickkorea5850]

@@user-mz3in7vo5b domestic issues always overtakes international issues in an election. Abortion will lose trump the election before Israel wins it for him. Plus, Iran and Israel aren't at war so the whole basis of this video isn't even reality

[@nickkorea5850]

@@user-mz3in7vo5b Elections are decided by domestic issues. Its a known fact. Bush won a 2nd term after it was known there were no WMDs bc for most Americans the war was far away

[@joaogarcia9488]

I was to respond something but it seems you dont understand whats going on.

[@user-ij5lc1kw8r]

I'm the only person curious to see the result of an all out war; I'm sick of speculations?

[@abynor8687]

If there is a war between Iran and Israel ...... how Iran will get to Israel (map)?

[@lordkira9791]

what?

[@timtrewyn453]

It would be a war of ranged attacks and perhaps limited special forces assaults. Hezbollah would be the wild card.

[@brianguenther4285]

Can’t you ask the exact question for Israel? How will Israel get to Iran?

[@technokicksyourass]

LOL.. well Israel just answered that question.

[@brianguenther4285]

@@technokicksyourass ha. Did they?

[@damienmurray3928]

The man America needs for President is Robert Kennedy junior.

[@hectorrodriguez2686]

Israel and Iran might have an aerial rocket war, but without a navy, no real conflict. For Iran, advance over land is impossible.

[@user-tz2ch1im3r]

Israel Navy is still quite good 5 very modern nuclear ballasitc missle german subs with 5 light modern frigates is pretty good . Thats equal to the Netherlands

[@davidangeron3365]

B/S!!!!

[@Hesham_MK]

Anyone who knows where the power is knows what’s going to happen next

[@richards9750]

If, but, and maybes. The election is 6/7 months out

[@nickgood8166]

That's a collateral benefit....

[@rodmarker2071]

Completely unimpressed by the expert who has no expertise. His customers must be complete gammon suits who buy anything from 'consultants' . In the 21st Century we still have 'snake oil' experts LoL

[@dadmezz4024]

This man is an _ss.

[@rossbaker9721]

America has lost to me all legal and moral authority in the world over gaza

[@davidyemm7910]

Ridiculous. People don't switch sides over gas prices.

[@TheMrCougarful]

You're kidding, right?

[@willdon.1279]

Well, only enough of an idiot minority will do...

[@drewstead316]

The next big budget vote in Congress is in September, we vote for president in November, but Biden has until January 2025 to declare an emergency to get unlimited spending.

[@kurtwicklund8901]

Zzzzzz

[@niklaswikholm514]

Israel braking up a container shipped from pandora...

[@nutterbutter1133]

Ian, what other nations are even remotely near the US in autonomous drone operations? In fact, China does not even have any drone fighters like the US XQ-58A Valkyrie platforms and will not for many many years. China can't even build a proper 5th generation fighter that can compete with technologies the US had developed AND DEPLOYED over twenty years ago... What you are describing sounds like a good Tom Clancy novel, but it is not reality. Asymmetric opportunities are minimal for US adversaries in the coming decades, as the US only gets more and more advanced. The reason why the US is not worried about China's new PL-15 air to air missile is because it's range advantages are easy to counter, especially with stealth technology. In any event, testing is complete on the new US JATM missile, which matches China's PL-15 range, and is now in rushed production. Age like milk is right!

[@technokicksyourass]

China got a lot more production capacity than USA though.. and a lot more people. Quantity has a quality all of it's own.

[@sammmmmysluggggger]

Ian is hard to listen to because he doesn't use his diaphragm ... he needs to learn how to project his voice. too much throat and nose.

[@stephenfeldman8104]

Today’s winner for oddest comment on the internet.

[@sammmmmysluggggger]

@@stephenfeldman8104 lol

[@real_MacrocosM]

Good

[@robnews11]

The US started all of this

[@_observer_-xk7hb]

This guy is clueless. Just bla bla. As is the host.

[@irinaellis2446]

👍

[@darylbeyers2719]

Guy is a 🤡

[@avramtrifa30]

The answer is not. The only time China is mentioned in the Bible is still the end of the great tribulation.

[@maarteneh]

She's cute, but there's no need for this submissive smile nor for desperately searching for the right words in order to be super friendly. May be that's British?

[@DIPU1036]

This "expert" has no expertise!

[@rambleon2838]

What is your expertise, genius?

[@DIPU1036]

@@rambleon2838 Common sense, being totally objective and non partizan.

[@bren4061]

Thick Host

[@yanivreif7379]

Wow, such a disappointment. That’s a bad analysis! His takes about Israel is just bad and full of misunderstandings…

[@davidgleinbach7316]

CAN A FUGITIVE RUN FOR CIC/PRESIDENT? 1:40

[@fundadorbinahon6756]

Isreal return to Palestine in the time of JESUS.

[@vandalayindustries3057]

The Ukrainian city is NOT Keev - it’s “Kiev” (Key - ev). For some reason the pretentious talking head elitist class decided to change the pronunciation because they’re….well, pretentious.

[@fundadorbinahon6756]

BB war time President. South K President offered to resign. Israel like Philippines cling to power

[@missouriboy2463]

Trump needs to keep his nose out it for now.

[@yeahboee]

Trump isn’t currently in a role of power. But when he was, there was peace in the Middle East, and Arab nations lining up to sign the Abraham Accords. I’ll vote for that, any day

[@ruthwhall3020]

​@@yeahboeeall trumplier did was show how weak america has become ,all he did was show Xi ,putin,Kim jung un and the Middle East was his soft burger belly . He literally lead putin into thinking he could take ukraine with out any western nation blinking an eye ,and he almost got away with it ,and will still get away with it if maga johnson and the plebs that are maga in the house of representatives have there way ,

[@saeiddavatolhagh9627]

Trump is responsible for thousands of american deaths during the covid pandemic. He refused the jab and didn't wear a mask, and when he fell sick he had the best doctors in the world taking care of him. What about those who followed in his footsteps? Many of them didn't even have proper health insurance because Trump had repealed the Obama care. What a shame!

[@ruthwhall3020]

All trump did was show Xi ,putin ,Kim jung un ,and the Middle East his soft burger under belly. By his inability to be a real democracy leader ,he had putinlier believing he could take ukraine with out the west blinking an eye ,which he almost got away with as even Bindens leadership was extremely slow on the up take especially as america is suppose to be the leaders of the west

[@ruthwhall3020]

​@@yeahboeeall trump did was show putin ,Kim jong un ,Xi and the Middle East was his burger under belly ,showing how weak america will be under his leadership ,he literally lead putin into believing he could take ukraine with out the west blinking an eye lid ,and putin almost got away with it ,as even Biden was slow on the response of America, especially as america and the west had promised ukraine after the Minsk agreement to come to its aid IF Russia didn't hold up on its end of the agreement

[@johnadam2885]

What is she talking about strength of NATO ?

[@user-mz3in7vo5b]

Strengh is decided by the weakest Link....

[@johnadam2885]

@@user-mz3in7vo5b Weakest link in NATO - Baltics ? They posture the most against Russia.

[@willdon.1279]

@@johnadam2885 Orbán - Putin's friend...

[@V12F1Demon]

😂It never ceases to amaze which people would pay Ian for geopolitical advice!

[@mysteriousfox88]

nice grift lol

[@TheMrCougarful]

He's largely correct.

[@dodgeewanker2179]

I disagree. Trumps legal battles will continue, as the stress increases, Trump mental well-being is tested. Combined with the campaign Trump is deteriorating rapidly

[@Diamondsrsgbf]

D

[@DominicFlynn]

If the American people vote for Trump then that's democracy. The American people don't want Europe to drag them down.

[@Sasha-dr4or]

America! Don't go to war with Iran! It's not important at the moment! It's very important that Ukraine wins, believe me!

[@user-si7bk5qw6e]

Sheer speculation. A massive B.S.

[@volo7877]

I dont agree. Biden will win

[@lilianmalvaso2996]

How pathetic a comment is that!!!!!

[@richardvale214]

@@lilianmalvaso2996 That’s not pathos. That’s a fact.

[@alamer2503]

👍