Learn From My 15 HUGE INVESTING MISTAKES!!! (free lunch for you)

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Value Investing with Sven Carlin, Ph.D.

Value Investing with Sven Carlin, Ph.D.

Күн бұрын

Пікірлер: 709
@ayurdal
@ayurdal 2 жыл бұрын
I love it when finance KZbinrs reveal their failures instead of pretending to be godly beings. It is a true manifestation of self esteem and respect to viewers. Kudos Sven for being transparent.
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
thanks!
@jimcramer323
@jimcramer323 2 жыл бұрын
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@joelatallah3646
@joelatallah3646 2 жыл бұрын
I agree 100%. It's human tendency to brag about wins and diminish mistakes, even though mistakes are where we do more learning! This is a great video with valuable insight
@caucasianafrican1435
@caucasianafrican1435 Жыл бұрын
100%. It's what really gives an investor like Sven, and Buffett, credibility.
@kristinakolev5679
@kristinakolev5679 Жыл бұрын
Interesting
@overnightgrowth
@overnightgrowth 2 жыл бұрын
Every investor should strive to make a video like this. If only for him or herself. Facing your past decisions and trying to learn from them is very hard to do in this space.
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
thanks!
@georgeconstanza6505
@georgeconstanza6505 2 жыл бұрын
Great video. Unfortunately, not too many people are able to acknowledge their mistakes in real life and learn from them and on KZbin it is even more rare! Kudos to you Sven for doing this video - you have earned a lot of respect by doing this!
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
thanks George, coming from you it is really something!
@caucasianafrican1435
@caucasianafrican1435 Жыл бұрын
And, allow his audience to learn.
@cherrytofu8939
@cherrytofu8939 9 сағат бұрын
Maybe your best video. Some people love to give credit to people for being transparent with their portfolio's and reasoning, but I think transparency with your mistakes and what you learned is more valuable. Any idiot can tell you what they're doing and why. It takes real integrity to admit what you did wrong and why.
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 сағат бұрын
thanks, and, I know I will make many more mistakes!!!
@timotejcernak7086
@timotejcernak7086 2 жыл бұрын
I usually dont watch videos through my account, but after watching this, I had to sign in and say: Thanks a lot for this gem!
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
happy to hear that!
@maiasalyamani
@maiasalyamani 2 жыл бұрын
Huge thanks. The value of this video is unbelievable.
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
happy to hear that!
@landi2244
@landi2244 2 жыл бұрын
Thank you for your transparency, Sven. You are a winner in my book.
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
:-)
@thomashelveg7563
@thomashelveg7563 2 жыл бұрын
I think this is your best educational video ever. I find patience as the most difficult skill. It is also very difficult not to copy people you are mesmerized of, for example I blindly followed Ray Dalio, as many people blindly follow and copy Munger or Pabrai choices without having an own real convinction or knowledge in that choice.
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
you always think they know more than you as they are professionals with all the info - but the truth is the unknown is impossible to know, also their risk tolerance!
@fingerprint1991
@fingerprint1991 2 жыл бұрын
Probably the best video I have ever seen. If you are not planning to include this in your next book you should definitely consider since it's a pure gold mine.. Taking a step backwards and comparing your mistakes against with my little journey I could clearly see similar mistakes in my investing behavior. So thank you!
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
thanks, will add or make a list or something!
@investingsimplified2452
@investingsimplified2452 2 жыл бұрын
I personally did many of those mistakes. No shame, it s part of the game. I respect your transparency Sven
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
thanks!
@javiergz5767
@javiergz5767 2 жыл бұрын
Thanks for this video Sven! I've seen more than 100 hundred of yours and this is likely the best for me. Very personal, which is something to appreciate. Hope you stay that personal in the future, It will help people engaging with you.
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
Wow, thanks!
@АндрійШульга-ъ4к
@АндрійШульга-ъ4к Жыл бұрын
Great respect to a person who described his mistakes in such an open way, admitting unwise decisions and categorizing them. Thank you, sir, indeed, a lot to learn here.
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing Жыл бұрын
thank you!
@giuseppeo77
@giuseppeo77 2 жыл бұрын
At 0:40 "Please support the channel so I can put some food on the table" You previously said that all youtube revenue was going to charity! What happened to that Sven? 🤔 I still hit the like button.
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
that was a joke!
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
I mean, the food on the table :-))
@giuseppeo77
@giuseppeo77 2 жыл бұрын
@@Value-Investing Nothing wrong with keeping the money from youtube, it's all about walking the talk...😉
@miellamborghini7003
@miellamborghini7003 2 жыл бұрын
So much value here, really learned a lot. Thank you Sven.
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
Glad to hear it!
@bozolito108
@bozolito108 2 жыл бұрын
Man this was a trip down memory lane. It was like getting closure after a bad breakup. Lol. Good stuff sir
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
:-) Now we can go on after the closure :-)))
@susymay7831
@susymay7831 3 ай бұрын
One of your best videos! ❤ We must learn from our mistakes, both our mistakes and the mistakes of others!
@ameeetbareek9098
@ameeetbareek9098 2 жыл бұрын
what a classic video. Honest and very helpful. Thank you for sharing. Sharing my summary and notes for others: Summary: - apply common sense when buying business - is business providing true value to its customers right now? if not, thats speculation. - stick to low risk/high reward. avoid high risk. identify high risk as low probability in future, geopolitical risk, IPO, value trap, scammers, cyclic businesses - Value investing is about patience - wait and wait to bet big - Stay within your circle, apply first principle - The best investments are buying quality businesses heavily concentrated patiently waiting for the right price Details: - Peter Lynch - Its okay to do mistakes, keep looking for the top stocks, even if 6-7 out of 10 perform as expected, you are a winner. - FRAUD: If something smells fishy, avoid it. Look for short seller report, balance sheet. Stay away from bad business model - SELLING TOO EARLY: Stay anchored if you believe in your analysis. Adjust the thesis if necessary when stock booms, might be even better value (for self, I remember selling Tesla because everyone around me was telling me to sell) - HIGH RISK: - Stay away from High risk - e.g. IPO, few qtrs of growth doesn’t mean shit. People look at 10 year history and only them invest. There are many businesses in the world, focus on the best ones if you can find same high return with low risk - Geopolitical risk - China, Argentina, etc. Avoid them if possible - Identify the size of the risk 1st - If its too high, or the probability is high or even ≥ 30% then, avoid it. - Stay away from Shady management - especially if they have track record. - Avoid Value Trap - How to tell if a value or cheap stock is a trap? - If its unclear what true business value it will give to its customer. (apply common sense) - Avoid cyclic business - especially do not buy cyclic business in their peak or high side. - **INVEST HEAVY IN YOUR CURRENT PORTFOLIO**: Buy more of good that you already own that keeping the size small (e.g. I bought Apple, but only few shares, I should be buying more) - GROWTH WILL STOP EVENTUALLY - Growth stocks end up becoming Value stock - **INVEST IN YOUR CIRCLE OF COMPETENCE** - THAT YOU UNDERSTAND - DO NOT JUST TAKE ANYONE’s WORD. People in KZbin and new channels have incentive to tell you to buy buy buy, thats how they get more views, hence don’t take anyones advice just as-is, even Warren Buffet - APPLY FIRST PRINCIPLE ALWAYS. - **BE CONCENTRATED AND FOCUSED**, NOT DILUTED - Make your investing boring - Buying too early when you know it can go lower - Patience and Discipline is value investing - **Value investing is about waiting for 1 out of 10 of your great ideas to reach absolute bargain with little downside and very high upside** - Avoid taking speculative bets or keep that to minimum (== none) - Be clear are you investing in speculation or value - If a **business is providing immediate value** (e.g. revenue, dividend), **then its not speculation**, but if there are future speculation that this business will go 100x in future, future being unknown, then reduce that risk - (e.g. BAIDU in robotaxi, Facebook in META) - **The best investments are buying quality businesses heavily concentrated patiently waiting for the right price**. Focus on great business at fair price, not fair business at great price
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
good summary!
@proracingproracing6931
@proracingproracing6931 2 жыл бұрын
Thank you Sven, well done, appreciate your honesty!
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
thanks!
@explorerjlc1743
@explorerjlc1743 2 жыл бұрын
43:55 how would you know how low BABA would go? at the time you made the first video, it still seemed like a bargain as the company was still growing and earning money. That is why Munger bought around there too. Would be good if you can go into specifics and how you can mitigate this in the future.
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
I knew there are risks and I took them :-( So, it might be a sizing error etc... But taking risks is about possibilities and patience too!
@explorerjlc1743
@explorerjlc1743 2 жыл бұрын
@@Value-Investing how would you never know when the bottom would be. There is also risk in waiting for something that will never happen and it goes 5x because it was still a value buy at the time of your first video. What are your thoughts on this?
@marklalonde7996
@marklalonde7996 2 жыл бұрын
By far your most valuable video. I learned that you should trade where the winds are blowing. Try to find value in something that will be in high demand and has political tailwinds. For sure learned a bunch from mistakes investing in Chinese stocks!
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
thanks!!!
@JanBruunAndersen
@JanBruunAndersen 2 жыл бұрын
Sven, you convinced me to buy Baidu and Alibaba, but you also gave me Albemarle. I have sold Baidu, I am still hanging on to Alibaba hoping for better times, and I grin 🤑 every time I look at the gains from Albemarle.
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
that is investing, at the end it is about sizing the positions properly!
@russellditchfield-agboh838
@russellditchfield-agboh838 2 жыл бұрын
Great content Sven! Would you please analyze ASOS? There appears to be very deep value here. It’s a favorite of Nick Sleep’s.
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
It depends on whether they can return to growth and scale - who knows - maybe Nick can also be wrong - time will tell!
@MrFrescocotone
@MrFrescocotone 2 ай бұрын
Excellent video. We all learn more from mistakes than from big wins. Thanks for the transparency
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 ай бұрын
Glad you enjoyed it
@AssociateEquity
@AssociateEquity 2 жыл бұрын
Another great video. Thank you. Are you going to write an update to your book ‘Modern Value Investing’? Why don’t you have it on the bookshelf? May I suggest: 1. Include references to your book when making important points about investing such as the meaning of risk and the importance of the value/price relationship. 2. The red ‘pen’ doesn’t add as much as hoped for. 3. Using the dotted ‘box tool’ was ok.
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
Thanks for the suggestion!!! Will lower the red pen!
@unktzor
@unktzor 2 жыл бұрын
The value in this one is insane!
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
thanks!
@phd_angel
@phd_angel 4 күн бұрын
Excellent video, thanks for sharing, Sven. On 37:02, do you really think that 15 stocks is too many?!...
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 3 күн бұрын
3 is max for quality...
@phd_angel
@phd_angel 3 күн бұрын
@ 3 stocks?? Well, your portfolio is for testing only then? having more than 10% of your portfolio in a single company is quite risky.
@alvarodehais1784
@alvarodehais1784 2 жыл бұрын
Thanks for the video and the free lunch! As Monish Pabrai said: don't water the weeds and cut the flowers!
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
Peter Lynch said that:-)
@Noveshento
@Noveshento 2 жыл бұрын
This was your best video to date Sven. Congrats for the courage and candidness. I see a great future for grandpa Sven
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
I will do my best, so let's see!!!
@LDP..
@LDP.. 2 жыл бұрын
great video ! How is it that your stock platform was in dutch 13:50 but you have a eastern accent ? Just interested as a dutchie 😉
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
toen woonde ik in Nederland :-))
@maxjames00077
@maxjames00077 2 жыл бұрын
Amazing video! Loved all 51 minutes!
@polishfish
@polishfish 2 жыл бұрын
Just a nitpick on your last two lessons- Alibaba was a mistake because you didn’t wait for it to fall further, and the final was a mistake because you waited? While they’re obviously contradictory lessons, they both depend purely on price action to learn from them, and the lessons are opposing in their wisdom. Truly a small complaint from me- I appreciate you and your channel!
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
yes, but then you also have to analyze the risk and reward to decide on waiting!
@Michael-Wil
@Michael-Wil 2 жыл бұрын
The lesson I learned from this video was just to buy Berkshire Hathaway. Then there's no need to watch KZbin investing channels for stock ideas, free up loads of time and avoid all the mistakes.
@jessehamlin3420
@jessehamlin3420 2 жыл бұрын
berkshire makes mistakes too - buffet admitted he missed a massive opportunity to load up at the beginning of covid - just buy the index thats less risky
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
Investing in BRK is great, but the returns depend on price paid!
@Michael-Wil
@Michael-Wil 2 жыл бұрын
@@Value-Investing Yes, I think you got that from Warren Buffett, you showed the clip of him saying he only swings when he want to.
@Michael-Wil
@Michael-Wil 2 жыл бұрын
@@jessehamlin3420 That works great if you’re in your 20-30 and have decades to compound, I wish I was in that position.
@coderslang
@coderslang 2 жыл бұрын
Bought Amira back in the day after watching one of your videos, Sven. Still sits in my portfolio at a shining -100% loss
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
sorry to hear that, I made a video about selling it, you must have missed it :-(
@coderslang
@coderslang 2 жыл бұрын
@@Value-Investing I heard that the 2 main mistakes that investors make are panic buying and panic selling. I decided to eliminate at least one :)
@ufopiloot
@ufopiloot 2 жыл бұрын
My biggest mistakes: 1) listening to others (option (a stock) was up 3x asked to sell (as a 18th birthday gift) but my aunt said"no, it will be worth more in a few years. Finally no profits. 2) betting 50% of my profit on Us election results and the index reactions. Lost 100% of the portfolio. (went form 5k to 20k, then 0) 3) Listening to analists (Telenet stock, high div, but value trap, down 60% and big cut in div) 4) Listening to Sven (sorry), bought a big FlowTraders position, down 50% at least) 5) Selling TotalEnergies at a loss of 20% because of ESG hype. 6) Listening to analist (via Yahooo articles), bought Ideanomics and Chargepoint (EV play), down 80% and 50% 7) Alibaba stock in a big position, down 50% at least. Sold the US listing at a loss. 8) Reddit hype, option play on Arcelormittal, never went anywhere and lost big. 9) Selling Tesla to early at 360 dollar (50% profit) before splits!!! Still holding Telenet, Flow, Ideanomics, Chargepoint and Baba (hongkong). Biggest wins: 1) Getting a loan in 2020 covid dip and buying dividend stocks (4% cost) 2) Listening to Sven and buying Russian Gas and commodity. Got out in time though. I do prefer a smaller profit for sure than being greedy) 3) Stopped AVD and actually have some cash on my bank account. 4) Using marging as a loan to buy dividend stocks on 'crashes' (4% cost) Unfortunately no money to AVD due to energy crisis in EU.
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
thanks for sharing!
@AdrianVaju
@AdrianVaju 2 жыл бұрын
Thanks! I'm really curious why you sold your positions, I really hope you are not a new Michael Burry, even if he's right at some point in time 🌈
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
video coming soon - nothing in relation to Burry!
@sanc9808
@sanc9808 2 жыл бұрын
This needs more views.
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
:-)
@Marniarno
@Marniarno 2 жыл бұрын
Thx, Sven! A lot of wisdom and value in this video. Well done :)
@vardanarakelyan5214
@vardanarakelyan5214 Жыл бұрын
Thank you very much for sharing such valuable knowledge, we all do mistakes, the important is to realize it quick and then review and change the strategy of entire portfolio.
@jurgenmeyer7602
@jurgenmeyer7602 2 жыл бұрын
I bought Qudian this year when it started showing up in my net-net screener and sold for a nice 110% gain. Goes to show that anything can be a buy at the right price
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
great to hear!
@tsonez
@tsonez 2 жыл бұрын
Great video. So much to learn here. Great Buffett clip. “Swing you bum!” Thank you!
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
:-)))
@Theo_Sot_9360
@Theo_Sot_9360 2 жыл бұрын
Without skin in the game y never can become an investor, especially a value one. Congrats Sven😎
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
that is how it is, but it also depends how much skin!
@GHIBaal
@GHIBaal 8 ай бұрын
Thank you so much ! So much value for a 24yo Investor from Germany! Learning from others mistake feels like a cheat code for life ! ;D
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 8 ай бұрын
great to hear!
@TaKa-uq6us
@TaKa-uq6us 2 жыл бұрын
Awesome honest video Sven would love to see this periodically
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
I hope not, I hope to make mistakes only to make such a video every 5 years :-)
@patrickshanghai2064
@patrickshanghai2064 2 жыл бұрын
very interesting video. will watch it a couple more times. always hard to learn the right lessons from mistakes. i followed you on several of those stocks. got better returns than my own pics, haha. glad i exited the Russian stocks before the war. thx for the hard work.
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
Thanks!
@larrygerry985
@larrygerry985 2 жыл бұрын
Thanks for sharing. Failure is a great learning point.
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
Thanks!
@Poco2099
@Poco2099 2 жыл бұрын
Stocks I watch never go as low as I think they should, so if I avoid buying too early, I invariably buy too late or not at all.
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
:-)
@tater6573
@tater6573 2 жыл бұрын
Good to hear from an honest man
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
Hope so...
@ernhonglim
@ernhonglim 2 жыл бұрын
Thank you very much Sven. Finally you made the content that I want the most. Hehe
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
:-)
@tomislavhorvatseo
@tomislavhorvatseo 2 жыл бұрын
Very informative stuff, Sven! Thanks!
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
Thanks!
@77magicbus
@77magicbus 2 жыл бұрын
Great video. This is how we learn. And learn from these common mistakes . Many of your mistakes were because of a lack of patience. Buffett says the stock market is a machine that transfers wealth from the patient to the impatient. Sven , you are too hard on yourself here. You will do fine going forward. Warren says if you had only 20 stock trades in a lifetime you would do much better. Be extremely careful before investing. Also I believe that most all investors should make a portfolio of Index funds the core of the portfolio and reinvest all dividends and cap gains. Build alpha around that with individual stocks using extreme care. Thanks
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
I would be still a poor kid with index funds, so there is a lot to discuss and analyze the to find the best for yourself!
@jakelo1045
@jakelo1045 2 жыл бұрын
This video is packed with information. I will have to watch it a few times to fully digest. This may be your magnum opus!
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
thanks, enjoy it!
@RemiStardust
@RemiStardust 2 жыл бұрын
50:07 I doubt very much there is any book Warren Buffett reads 'almost daily'. I think you meant once a year? And did he really say he reads Seth Klarman?
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
yes, he said it in some conference!
@juanprodriguez2813
@juanprodriguez2813 2 жыл бұрын
One if the best videos ever. Thanks Svan.
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
Wow, thanks!
@herokorai8346
@herokorai8346 2 жыл бұрын
Best video that I've watched Sven! Best lessons are through mistakes :)
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
Thanks! 😃
@siggiAg86
@siggiAg86 2 жыл бұрын
Ok this is one of your best videos imo
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
:-)
@augustus331
@augustus331 2 жыл бұрын
Hoop dat je een mooie zomer hebt gehad Sven! Working on my thesis now so only scanning this 50-min video, I'll do a deeper dive later!
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
success met jou afmak... thesis!
@joezawinulreviewsandreacti2509
@joezawinulreviewsandreacti2509 2 жыл бұрын
about the geopolitical mistakes. I think crisis investing is still smart but it needs to be bought after the huge crash. Just because you bought before the crash in Argentina doesn't mean it isn't a buy now
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
:-))
@mikerolla5601
@mikerolla5601 2 жыл бұрын
I can appreciate you being humble and showing what you thought were doing wrong. For some reason the first video I watched of yours I felt you were an honest human. I had been watching Buffet and Munger but they never really gave out their secrets so I read the books they read. I learned a lot from you, you cleared up many questions I had, so, Thank You. I will continue to be a sub and appreciate what information you send our way.
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
Thanks!
@mikerolla5601
@mikerolla5601 2 жыл бұрын
@@Value-Investing You're welcome
@thezenguy9509
@thezenguy9509 2 жыл бұрын
Probably best video so far, love it !!!
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
thanks!
@xzxz85
@xzxz85 2 жыл бұрын
It takes great humbleness to recognize your mistakes and share them. Thank you Sven!
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
thanks!
@miket2916
@miket2916 2 жыл бұрын
@Aru Bucar, Sven was called out in 'private' by research platform members, as well as in public just about 1 month ago, no choice but to recognize and address it
@christianh.riiser2807
@christianh.riiser2807 2 жыл бұрын
Excellent video - transparency on your mistakes - great !!!!
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
I appreciate that!
@RedVSBlueIsCewl
@RedVSBlueIsCewl Жыл бұрын
Thanks for honest talk - videos like these make it easy to spot you as one of the few knowledgeable people on here out of all the idiots who talk about some shitty stocks they think are a buy. Maybe videos like these don‘t resonate well with the YT algorithm, but real recognise real. I‘m convinced it helps you grow a more lasting, loyal viewerbase. I started with ETFs because I am lazy, but the new economic environment made me realize I need to pick and research winning stocks. So even though I won‘t earn a share in your business I invest the power of my like and sub to increase the value and hopefully the earned knowledge will pay dividend in the future.
@RedVSBlueIsCewl
@RedVSBlueIsCewl Жыл бұрын
Also thinking about tattooing „I‘m an idiot but hopefully a lesser idiot“ on my forehead. What a great motto for life
@Ruudjee
@Ruudjee 2 жыл бұрын
About geopolitical risks? What is your outlook on the tensions between China and US considering Taiwan? What is the risk having Alibaba stocks?
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
nobody knows what will happen, there is certainly risk, but how much risk is also hard to quantify!
@balazszentai3364
@balazszentai3364 2 жыл бұрын
Thanks for the summary of your mistakes, lessons. My biggest mistake was underestimating the geopolitical risk about Russia. I had a 20% exposure to Russian ADR stocks in my portfolio. I got stuck. What do you think? Will western investors get their stocks back in the future? What do you suggest?
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
depends on the development! I have some minor positions too so we are watching, for now all is blocked!
@jerzyfilipek4100
@jerzyfilipek4100 2 жыл бұрын
Hello Sven, I have been watching you from beggining - this is best video ever. Thanks.
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
thanks!
@levelupwithsam
@levelupwithsam 2 жыл бұрын
This was an incredibly valuable video. I love these lessons of what not to do!
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
Thanks!
@ims7865
@ims7865 7 ай бұрын
Maybe you should look more at Terry's philosophy: the best companies out there keep on giving. You had a lot of mistakes on unknown companies.... but you didn't take advantage of the best companies in the world when they dropped: meta, netflix, Adobe, Amazon, Google, EL, Tencent, BN, and so on. My Rule is to have one good buy every year, that is it. One , max 2 ideas a year... This will make me focus on the best opportunity out there
@josebarron1422
@josebarron1422 2 жыл бұрын
Nice video!! I really like how you analyze your investments and reflect on them
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
Glad you enjoyed!
@kentvandervelden
@kentvandervelden 2 жыл бұрын
Thanks!
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
:-)
@chrisok7057
@chrisok7057 2 жыл бұрын
Best video so far.. will rewatch it multiple times for sure. One on biases would be great as well ^^ thanks a lot sven
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
that is a good suggestion!!!!
@AlekseyShevchuk
@AlekseyShevchuk 2 жыл бұрын
Thanks for hones insights into lessons learned!
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
Glad it was helpful!
@pacocalabasa6605
@pacocalabasa6605 2 жыл бұрын
Your new approach is taking shape and there is a kind of consistency to it that is reassuring as a research platform subscriber. You have spoken often about having a very concentrated portfolio of your three or five best ideas. If you do that you absolutely have to accept the least possible amount of risk. Otherwise a short run of bad luck (anything can happen to one company) could leave you with a permanent loss of capital. That's recoverable if you have $10k and add $1k/month. Not if you were a few years from retirement and now have to work until you die. I would love to see on the Research Platform (NOT on YT) an analysis of all of your current holdings/recommendations, that only speaks about their worst-case downside risks. We already know about the potential upside in each business. It's true that each business analysis also discusses the risks, but it would be fascinating to see them all together. How much is the exposure across the whole portfolio to one event, and how much is isolated operational-type risk in each business.
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
that is a great idea!!! Klarman also says the risk analysis has to be separated from the reward analysis!
@gsabic
@gsabic 2 жыл бұрын
hi Sven, great video, very honest, we all make mistakes. You forgot to mention all the money you miss in TSLA :)
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
hahahahaha:-)) Tesla has always been too risky, so I don't consider it a mistake :-)))
@user-jc1yx9of9p
@user-jc1yx9of9p 2 жыл бұрын
One hour Sven on sunday is better than one hour of formula 1 on sunday;-) Sven, great video!
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
:-)))
@levimachado
@levimachado Жыл бұрын
great video sven. Followed you years ago, but now will be back seeing what you are up to. Would love your educational content.
@Jod4light
@Jod4light 2 жыл бұрын
Thank you sven, this video is super valuable!
@TheAcharyaa
@TheAcharyaa 2 жыл бұрын
Your best video to date. Thank you!
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
Wow, thanks!
@louisking11
@louisking11 2 жыл бұрын
Probably one of the most useful videos you could find on the net. Mistakes help investors to improve their method and process.
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
thanks!
@roarslot
@roarslot 2 жыл бұрын
Great value at a fair price!
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
:-)))
@frankle246
@frankle246 2 жыл бұрын
Thank you very much. I like this topic a lot. we learn more from mistakes than success. Please do more on this topic in future. Thank you much. Is INTC under value now, Sven? If Intc drops another 20% or mCap around 100B, will you go all in, Sven?
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
Video next week :-))
@THEchrisse95
@THEchrisse95 2 жыл бұрын
Intel is building their plants so next 2 years (6 quarters) will be a lot of CAPEX. Normally they will increase their prices for the coming quarter what they didn't do their latest quarter causing the stock to drop. Dividend is still safe. So if it get's lower might be a good dividend stock. For the long term it depends on if their plan of making extra factories pays off.
@jdr4674
@jdr4674 2 жыл бұрын
I find no signs of a turnaround. And INTC is not cheap now. On the opposite, now with companies creating production redundancies in the west, either oversupply or misinvestment is guaranteed. I'd get out of all semiconductor stocks.
@frankle246
@frankle246 2 жыл бұрын
@@THEchrisse95 we are here to learn from Sven and others. So please don't misunderstood these: I think your logic has a problem; 1. " Normally....": mean you " based" on the past behavior of the market or the price. To me, I simply cannot predict the market behavior. But if you can, then you are good. 2. "dividend is still safe" : what is your reasons ? this conflicts with " future depends on..." mean you are not sure about its future. Yes, future is difficult to predict. So, a simple solution is normalizing E conservatively (MOS) in the time frame 7 yrs like: the low year E is 10B and the high is 2OB. So, ave is 15B for 7 yrs. Is this conservative? So, with ave E 15B and mcap 115B( 10% drop) or 100B(20% drop), return is 13%-15%( not a compound) conservatively. Sven, please give some thoughts about this.
@pacocalabasa6605
@pacocalabasa6605 2 жыл бұрын
@@Value-Investing Intel is a great bargain here -- if there is war in Taiwan and TSMC goes up in literal smoke. Not something you would wish for though, and definitely speculating not investing.
@alejonn12
@alejonn12 2 жыл бұрын
Sven could you do an updated analysis con LAC? Or maybe Orocobre? Thank you!
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
could do a lithium take again - not that easy to invest :-)
@fredo119
@fredo119 2 жыл бұрын
Sven, that's your best video ever !
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
Glad you think so!
@linusjacobsson2419
@linusjacobsson2419 2 жыл бұрын
This is awesome value. Thanks Sven
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
thanks!
@RonPaulBot1234
@RonPaulBot1234 2 жыл бұрын
Great video with lots of value and examples!
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
Thanks!
@slimjimjimslim5923
@slimjimjimslim5923 2 жыл бұрын
Thanks Sven. It takes a lot of pain and courage to analyze one’s past mistake. : )
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
thanks!
@slimjimjimslim5923
@slimjimjimslim5923 2 жыл бұрын
@@Value-Investing at least sven wasn't pressured into investing in NFTs. 😁
@Isendir1234
@Isendir1234 2 жыл бұрын
This is rich in value Dr. Carlin!! Thank you for sharing your mistakes. Hopefully, we can learn from them (or we will repeat them uh-ho!).
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
In 5 years, if my next mistakes videos lasts less than this one, I am happy :-)))
@faridrottigni
@faridrottigni 2 жыл бұрын
You are the best professor ever!
@imba69420
@imba69420 2 жыл бұрын
Great to own your mistakes! Still with you Sven!
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
THANKS!
@josephlombardo1267
@josephlombardo1267 4 ай бұрын
Great video with kudos from those who actually invest for sure compensating the 20k missing views to the 100k mark. P.S. I place BABA together with GEO in my (geo)political group but some mistake appear common - I think Michael Burry fell for both of those, too.
@jovokrneta1412
@jovokrneta1412 2 жыл бұрын
What would you say about ADES. Looks like cash - all debt is 30 millions + market value. Is that value investing? There looks to be no catalyst...
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
don't know, thanks for suggesting!
@pongop
@pongop 2 жыл бұрын
Thank you for this great video! This is very helpful.
@JohnSmith-wg6fy
@JohnSmith-wg6fy 2 жыл бұрын
Sven you just hit the top people from KZbin for me with this material. Very well done 👏 ✔ 👍 👌. Most of KZbin rs belive ar better then Buffett or Linch🤣🤣
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
thanks!
@finfabable
@finfabable 2 жыл бұрын
I followed you because you were one of the few true long term investment. Hard to see that you ve sold lot of your position after few weeks. However thank you Sven for this video, lot to learn
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
thanks! Video coming today discussing it all - I hope you will see my actions are absolutely long-term and what I did before was shorter term unfortunately - that also led to these mistakes!
@francescobaroncini5403
@francescobaroncini5403 2 жыл бұрын
Best video of the year, congrats!
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
THanks!
@ricardodangelo4639
@ricardodangelo4639 2 жыл бұрын
Thanks for sharing Sven. Regards from Argentina and excuse my country for your loses 🙏😄
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
not your fault, my risk taking!
@elrevesyelderecho
@elrevesyelderecho 2 жыл бұрын
Thanks for this video. Taking a lot of notes.
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
a lot of notes for sure!
@christianlollmann9537
@christianlollmann9537 Жыл бұрын
Oh that's very nice, now I feel much better, cause I'm not the only one... 😊
@georgegogolan8472
@georgegogolan8472 2 жыл бұрын
Amazing video! Keep up the good work! Thanks!
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
Thanks!
@daves5698
@daves5698 2 жыл бұрын
CVNA=Lesson 3. Thank you Sven!
@frankieceeeee8128
@frankieceeeee8128 2 жыл бұрын
Brave. Honest. Value. Respect for making this video Sven!
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 2 жыл бұрын
Thanks!
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