Is ASOS Stock a Buy Now? Down 87%!

  Рет қаралды 19,218

Value Investing with Sven Carlin, Ph.D.

Value Investing with Sven Carlin, Ph.D.

Күн бұрын

Пікірлер: 144
@manos6969
@manos6969 Жыл бұрын
Not a bad business but you give a beautiful illustration of the potential risks! Difficult buy in my opinion, probably for a well diversified portfolio.
@mktwatcher
@mktwatcher Жыл бұрын
Quick and Easy Analysis and agree 200%. Thank you for demonstrating how you can quickly and efficiently determine if a Company has any potential.
@kieron4052
@kieron4052 Жыл бұрын
Sven…. You might need to do a standup comedy show… ‘it looks like Nick was asleep’ impeccable timing 😂
@bigfudge2031
@bigfudge2031 Жыл бұрын
I don't think there is enough "value" in it for him to invest in standup comedy.
@kieron4052
@kieron4052 Жыл бұрын
@@bigfudge2031 hahaha
@Pietro.Valente
@Pietro.Valente Жыл бұрын
There is a European biofuel company called Verbio which I believe is incredibly undervalued. Do you share this opinion?
@elrevesyelderecho
@elrevesyelderecho Жыл бұрын
Thanks. Good analysis. Yes, that's how it works the sector. Question: why does Berkshire own Kroger? Thinking of damn retail...why them? Groceries? Oligopoly?
@thefantorangster2491
@thefantorangster2491 Жыл бұрын
It’s now even lower at just 300! A part of me is thinking even garbage has it’s price…
@investingwithkendrick
@investingwithkendrick Жыл бұрын
I just wanted to say that I truly appreciate you, your the reason why I started my youtube channel in the first place. Thanks to you I now teach people about financial literacy and how to invest their money. Thanks once again, and I hope you could inspire more people just like myself to build a youtube channel. 😊
@eddy563
@eddy563 Жыл бұрын
I used to own one of these companies and realized after holding it for a long time that profits is dependent on the brand cycle. Operators have a large distribution network in general. They raise a bunch of money and/or take on high leverage in order to buy a brand on the upswing. They pump the inventory into their distribution network until the market is saturated. Once the brand fades, inventory balloons, margins dissipates, cash flow evaporates and the stock price falls as most brands have no salvage value, no moats, with except some of course. After that the operators restructure to kill the brand and start again.. that’s the brand cycle. There is nothing wrong with owning such businesses. As long as I understand the risk and at what point in the brand cycle I am buying
@pieromalutta8457
@pieromalutta8457 Жыл бұрын
Sempre ben druze Sven, grazie per il servizio
@stefanignatov1809
@stefanignatov1809 Жыл бұрын
Great video! Can you please explain why Charlie Munger has costco. I am not from the US, but isn't costco just another retail?
@max77vvxf5yvh
@max77vvxf5yvh Жыл бұрын
Hello Swen, is it necessary to sell LVMH and Hermès now in order to avoid outcomes of their cyclical behavior, with a chance to buy again at lower price?
@max77vvxf5yvh
@max77vvxf5yvh Жыл бұрын
On the other hand, if inflation is here to stay, these stocks could be a good protection comparing to government debt... Not an easy situation. Never there was a crisis, when USD was losing its value so fast, like now. Euro could be a safer haven, but also high risk. Energy maybe?
@cosmopolite8
@cosmopolite8 Жыл бұрын
No, keep LVMH and Hermes in your portfolio and add more shares if you can get them at a lower price. LVMH is an investment for eternity. - One of the best european companies. Greetings from Germany.
@cosmopolite8
@cosmopolite8 Жыл бұрын
@@max77vvxf5yvh The € will get stronger this year because the European Central Bank has to increase interests furthermore - inflation in europe is still very high......but this should not be the only argument to keep LVMH - the main reason is, that LVMH is an fanatastic company with a lot of "value-brands" - wealthy people will always be able to buy these products, independing of the "world-economic" situation. For diversivication actually think about buying these stocks: Danaher, United Health, Accenture, Allianz (longterm high dividend), Deutsche Post (high dividend).
@kieron4052
@kieron4052 Жыл бұрын
Different business model. what you pay is important ofc - depends on the returns you’re looking for and your risk reward profile
@max77vvxf5yvh
@max77vvxf5yvh Жыл бұрын
@@kieron4052 what are the options?
@FurrKnight
@FurrKnight Жыл бұрын
Wow, I mean if you want to gamble and profit from a tiny bounce (that chart looked like a tennis ball bouncing and losing momentum). Never Pharma, Never Retail and always re-evaluate after any 20% increase in share price while owning it and get out at 40% profit. Thank you for the content Sven, I do love watching a dumpster fire every now and then.
@Maga24-z1g
@Maga24-z1g 7 ай бұрын
@valueinvestingwithsvencarlin,Ph.d. can you revise the analysis of ASOS? will it ever turn around?
@bobbobertson7568
@bobbobertson7568 Жыл бұрын
Sven what you think of natural gas? Too early?
@paulomoniz7326
@paulomoniz7326 Жыл бұрын
Hey Sven I recently bought Charles Schwab. Do you have any analysis done on this company? I checked the report they are a profitable business but the stock keeps dropping. Did I make a bad decision?
@jovokrneta1412
@jovokrneta1412 Жыл бұрын
Hi Sven. Can you please revisit Stellantis. Having in mind the merger that was made and that Peugeot is a part of the company. It has cash that is almost equal to it's book value and very low debt. It is just to pay around 8% dividend. Plenty of free cash flow. Being a cyclical company and car sales bottoming why is this not the bottom we should be buying. When things get better people will buy more cars - people can not buy less cars than at the current moment. Comparing Renault we can say that the cycle is to start getting up. Why is Stellantis, having in mind that it is a 3rd car saling company not a value play at this prices? Keep up the great work 👍
@jovokrneta1412
@jovokrneta1412 Жыл бұрын
Please keep in mind that often financial data is shown only for Fiat prior to merger in 2021.
@max77vvxf5yvh
@max77vvxf5yvh Жыл бұрын
US sales decrease for Stellantis. And usually decrease during the high rates cycle!
@SpazzaGB
@SpazzaGB Жыл бұрын
So Amazon in your opinion is simply a damn retailer too?
@dirkbertens2301
@dirkbertens2301 Жыл бұрын
A retailer with a damn good cloud business. AWS is the reason Amazon is valued at 1T and not at 500 billion.
@SpazzaGB
@SpazzaGB Жыл бұрын
@@dirkbertens2301 I agree, but the e-commerce part imho has a great moat
@rainydaycommenter8537
@rainydaycommenter8537 Жыл бұрын
Buy ASOS. The reason it's cheap is not just because of ASOS's business. Its also because of UK Macro. UK has gone through 3 large negative catalyst over the last 3 years. 1st. Brexit 2nd. Covid and 3rd. Russia-Ukraine war. All 3 catalysts over time people will get use to and sentiment will neutralize. Most UK stocks are trading at bargain prices. In 2/3 years, you should find ASOS at 1200-1500. They don't have growth. But many people even in india buy from ASOS. I personally don't like their product. And there is lack of innovation despite potential. They could do more with their website. Still, their current stock price is because of UK macro not "just" the underlying business alone. Though their growth is slowing down. Btw, I ignore charlie munger in this case. I doubt charlie munger buys stuff online.
@Eline_Meijer
@Eline_Meijer Жыл бұрын
Thanks for the video Sven. Quick Question: I read the 20 analyst posts of every stock you mention. 99% of posts are pure rubbish and are pretty detach from reality. How would you differentiate a good analyst post from a bad one? Hanks
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing Жыл бұрын
that is a great question, I guess you need to read them first, then you follow those where you find value....
@ingoO00Oo
@ingoO00Oo Жыл бұрын
thanks a lot Sven
@MiguelMartinezmtzzz
@MiguelMartinezmtzzz Жыл бұрын
Inditex its a great retail company. Not cheap now but worth keeping an eye on it.
@Emelll46e
@Emelll46e Жыл бұрын
I have invested on presale, we will see I am also very confident this will be easiest 100x.
@harryaurelian
@harryaurelian Жыл бұрын
gross margin, free cash flow and profits returning. Debt decreased due to dilution and refinancing, price to sales at 0.1x and people will always buy clothes. It's not great but at this point it's likely to not go bankrupt and the turnaround is likely going to happen. I placed current fair value around 350-450 mil with a decent safety margin. I might be wrong but i believe now is a good time to buy in and hold for a few years.
@fkklkomvocl1234gv
@fkklkomvocl1234gv Жыл бұрын
Temu and Shein make me think of Berkshire Hathaway's textile business when I look at ASOS. It's so cheap though...
@Max-ej3po
@Max-ej3po Жыл бұрын
What about Uniqlo owner Fast Retailing (Japanese)?
@davide8831
@davide8831 Жыл бұрын
My biggest investing mistake ..losing a lot and surely I won’t recover it before 2- 3 years, if at all.
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing Жыл бұрын
sorry to hear that!
@kirkclements4893
@kirkclements4893 Жыл бұрын
Fly-wheel model does not work on narrow product offerings like fashion retail - not many models ever work over time on fashion retail - lol.
@roberttorrance731
@roberttorrance731 Жыл бұрын
On line shopping? Really cool trendy clothes for 20 somethings?! No physical shops? I’m out 🤦‍♂️
@davidborsic2400
@davidborsic2400 Жыл бұрын
Watched video from one value investor and he puts 20 % of his portfolio in ASOS. I was like this will end up bad. Realized video is one year old, took a look stock and is OUCH
@alessandrodubaldo7254
@alessandrodubaldo7254 Жыл бұрын
Can you do an update after the recent H1 please
@angelsancheese
@angelsancheese Жыл бұрын
Sven…. But munger also said BABA is just a damn retailer…. 😢… what do we do…. What do we do…? 😂😂😂
@davidkoba
@davidkoba Жыл бұрын
Hmmm. Seems very risky. Retailer that aims at trendy fashion. Not the turnaround play I would be interested in.
@JB-jkhb1972
@JB-jkhb1972 Жыл бұрын
Difficult to assess nick’s real capabilities. When someone runs extremely concentrated portfolio and wins big - he might simply been lucky
@siggiAg86
@siggiAg86 Жыл бұрын
“Just a god daamn retailer”
@davidt7290
@davidt7290 Жыл бұрын
This was a strong business in the past, but it’s being eaten alive by Shein in recent years. Along with Boohoo and others.
@brandonhooper7748
@brandonhooper7748 Жыл бұрын
Their clothesline looks silly and I never heard of them until today.
@kashganja
@kashganja Жыл бұрын
looks like cotton is getting cheaper
@melihemirkorkmaz2693
@melihemirkorkmaz2693 Жыл бұрын
The AWS23K is showing the finger to governments, systems, big banks and all these who make us work way too hard for nothing. Yes this is not the best space to talk about it but if I reach even one human it was worth it, that's why I post
@mjwmontgomery
@mjwmontgomery Жыл бұрын
Not a buy for me.
@Glvspn777
@Glvspn777 Жыл бұрын
Clearly forgot to mention AWS23K which you should not forget at all. This is deserving a spot here if you hate or not I don't even care, let's see what the likes say
@Kadaf1
@Kadaf1 11 ай бұрын
ASOS shares has dropped a further 60% since this video lol
@Value-Investing
@Value-Investing 11 ай бұрын
it is in a tricky situation :-(
@ahmetyektakaleli
@ahmetyektakaleli Жыл бұрын
What if instead of scrolling to next videos which are again just timewasters you would care on AWS23K and begin changing your life? I'd do that
@funny_money_ad_infinitum
@funny_money_ad_infinitum Жыл бұрын
Value trap for value investors.
@ryeh2956
@ryeh2956 Жыл бұрын
Just bought and Still Holding AVO200X
@cihan-yb1tz
@cihan-yb1tz Жыл бұрын
I hold AVO200X. Very promising project, and its ecosystem maintains complete anonymity
@Laviniamusicc
@Laviniamusicc Жыл бұрын
1
@BakiliRonaldo
@BakiliRonaldo Жыл бұрын
Digging into AWS23K was the right way. If there's something like a right way then that's that, thank me later bros
@kadiryarg6426
@kadiryarg6426 Жыл бұрын
Look like Algorand has the same chart then Amazons AVO200X
@lexsasex
@lexsasex Жыл бұрын
Lucky those who have AWS23K right in time, unlucky those who think it's meaningless. There's a reason why so many would write about it no matter where you lookin' at
@mas-gq1eg
@mas-gq1eg Жыл бұрын
Now that Amazons AVO200X is around it's all about the question when and how much. I prefer this over ATOM, ALGO, L2 based ones and whatsoever
@hexahz4802
@hexahz4802 Жыл бұрын
I wish I invested more USDT in AVO200X. It has huge potential. The recent pump proved it.
@ulanhayat999
@ulanhayat999 Жыл бұрын
AVO200X will do x100 until next summer, done deal! Just be patient and HODL
@i_like_breaking_bad_man
@i_like_breaking_bad_man Жыл бұрын
If there's a way to change for the better it must be AWS23K. I had lost all hope with the decisions our big guys make which just keeps their power and imbalance up. Maybe at some point basic people like me and you have to take over, right?
@bigfudge2031
@bigfudge2031 Жыл бұрын
report these "AWS23K" spam bots
@Oyun-pb1iy
@Oyun-pb1iy Жыл бұрын
I bought AVO200X as much as I could afford today. I want to be a part of this beautiful experience.
@kimsesiz.735
@kimsesiz.735 Жыл бұрын
Big days ahead for AWS23K what about the rest of this community? Any heart here to live for a better world? If so then what are you waiting for?
@RainimatorrK
@RainimatorrK Жыл бұрын
Amazon released AVO200X the first market change this year simply cus of that release 👍
@futboldelisi9817
@futboldelisi9817 Жыл бұрын
AVO200X, ETH, and more would be great.
@ygtedits
@ygtedits Жыл бұрын
Super cool video ! Do you think amazons AVO200X will pump before ETH ? I ask myself if there is a pattern in the order of the altcoins pumps.
@kabuktakisolucan
@kabuktakisolucan Жыл бұрын
I wanna do a survey, who of you guys actually is fully aware on the strong announcement with Amazons AVO200X?
@byrod583
@byrod583 Жыл бұрын
No risk, no reward. Do not lnvest what you cannot afford to lose. Stake your AVO200X!
@wweevi246
@wweevi246 Жыл бұрын
Charts literally make me mad the sun in my life is Amazons AVO200X nowadays
@justxenes
@justxenes Жыл бұрын
For the most time of this year if you would invest into anything it is not doing very well I mean that's pretty obvious. But the launch of AVO200X plays a different game and it is less affected by such moves as the utility is simply too strong. Just my bet
@wyren1007
@wyren1007 Жыл бұрын
Whos in AVO200X Now that it is released I think we have a huge momentum 🚀
@honey_jenniem777
@honey_jenniem777 Жыл бұрын
I hope you are right about AVO200X? Thanks for the highly educational video. Keep up the good work -
@aminekorkmaz660
@aminekorkmaz660 Жыл бұрын
The power of AWS23K deserves that I get all the likes of you fellas, you'll figure why once you understood what this all is about
@xyffyjhvhbj8295
@xyffyjhvhbj8295 Жыл бұрын
Stocks and traditional markets are ruined, in a way also the crypt.. but not all of it as the recent announcement of AVO200X is blowing through all roofs
@burhan5014
@burhan5014 Жыл бұрын
I don't care what you believe but believe in AWS23K that's all I want to add here
@folowerxss
@folowerxss Жыл бұрын
When it come to tokens AVO200X is #1
@tooo-wg5st
@tooo-wg5st Жыл бұрын
AVO200X is brilliant. Hold the line crypto investors !
@fcfocused4104
@fcfocused4104 Жыл бұрын
Fair opinion on AVO200X now that a big brand is entering the scene I believe we can have big shifts at all markets not only the AMZ market
@speedlycris
@speedlycris Жыл бұрын
I literally doubled $28,000 last 1 hour with AVO200X .
@alonedark1027
@alonedark1027 Жыл бұрын
Bring back some attention to AWS23K would you? It is happening and it's the biggest event for 20 years
@saipsevdim8123
@saipsevdim8123 Жыл бұрын
There is a reversal expected reason is that AVO200X is made by Amazon and pretty hot
@ulasartan4167
@ulasartan4167 Жыл бұрын
AVO200X Has great potential with the Vasil Fork!!!
@telefonnumarassorma6373
@telefonnumarassorma6373 Жыл бұрын
AVO200X gang in the house! Thanks for the analysis!
@yedkkanok
@yedkkanok Жыл бұрын
AVO200X
@emirhant.4923
@emirhant.4923 Жыл бұрын
Thank you for the update AVO200X is done right, and waiting is part of the process,
@teymurkralyt2902
@teymurkralyt2902 Жыл бұрын
if this AVO200X rises like mana and does x30, I'll get 500k usd
@nutella000.
@nutella000. Жыл бұрын
if AVO200X can grow organically like that they will dominate that industry
@abonekascgamer2238
@abonekascgamer2238 Жыл бұрын
Only buy AVO200X to survuve this bear market
@ozan-rg7wi
@ozan-rg7wi Жыл бұрын
I knew that AVO200X was ahead of the game, but my mind is officially blown
@Fggames35
@Fggames35 Жыл бұрын
AVO200X 😍🚀🚀🚀 Thx for this update
@OLIXPubg
@OLIXPubg Жыл бұрын
AVO200X is also kicking off and showing A LOT of potential. Don't Sleep on it
@countyhrszpolis7837
@countyhrszpolis7837 Жыл бұрын
He is a visionary. AVO200X is a long hold
@eagle5fan-i7p
@eagle5fan-i7p Жыл бұрын
Of course AVO200X is the first and strongest hype now that the rumors became reality
@cnarergul5044
@cnarergul5044 Жыл бұрын
Don't doubt the whole thing just because some fools like FTX failed us. We are right in time with the rainbow chart and right in time with closing this downhill for good and the catalyst to that is also there now that Amazon went ahead to announce AVO200X
@bayand49
@bayand49 Жыл бұрын
is it possible AVO200X reach out 10$ ?? In next 2 year
@mehmetcanucar6582
@mehmetcanucar6582 Жыл бұрын
Jeff Bezos is a visionary. AVO200X is a long hold
@faxisterr
@faxisterr Жыл бұрын
AVO200X to the moon!
@fgjdgsgsdg6355
@fgjdgsgsdg6355 Жыл бұрын
The AVO200X army is the first real army, all these shib and other dogs around are just jokes honestly
@EmirhanTrophySr
@EmirhanTrophySr Жыл бұрын
Off course! AVO200X
@mehemmedceferrehimov8932
@mehemmedceferrehimov8932 Жыл бұрын
Can't deny the fact that Amazons AVO200X has the strongest bet to bring lights back to this industry after we suffered FTX, Celsius, Tera and so on. Sure if they fail it's done for good but the pressure is too high and I think they will keep proper liquidity rather than these others. Don't see them going bankrupt any time soon.
@gcgamerhd1248
@gcgamerhd1248 Жыл бұрын
To all these who don't know what to do right now and waste time with videos: AWS23K is your friend
@UwU_-_-_-
@UwU_-_-_- Жыл бұрын
I'm gonna raise my kids in a world where I know that they can raise their own kids just fine. Not gonna work if I don't do anything, so I trust into AWS23K
@abucabbar9443
@abucabbar9443 Жыл бұрын
Amazon’s Record breaking coin AVO200X with actual use case! Great team and coolest community
@antikaos7712
@antikaos7712 Жыл бұрын
Thank you for the update AVO200X is done right, and waiting is part of the process,
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