Is widespread snow likely before Christmas?

[@A-Nobody]

I live full time on my Narrowboat cruising around the canal network, so always welcome these forecasts. Thank you!

[@TheWeatherOutlookTWO]

Glad you like them!

[@helenworrall8273]

Wish I still lived on my boat, biggest mistake I made going back to bricks and mortar. 😢

[@HazelKitching]

Love the jumper Brian.Thanks for the forecast.I am hoping for a mild Christmas and winter.

[@TheWeatherOutlookTWO]

Fingers crossed! Personally I'd sooner it was cold and frosty.

[@carlh429]

Unfortunately mild winter weather is usually grey, wet and windy. I think we’ve had more than enough rain recently. We need a prolonged spell of dry weather.

[@paulkenney4021]

on;ly problem is a mild winter does keep germs and usually a late snowfall . but I do hate cold too

[@fhugheveleigh2]

Well done. The one positive of living in the UK is that our weather is generally temperate which of course does not mean that we don't have droughts and floods and some hot days and some very cold periods but overall we are fortunate.

[@jamesjukebox2386]

Huge pinches of salt or grit with that:) we shall see Cheers Brian:)

[@TheWeatherOutlookTWO]

As ever....

[@iulimckenna1338]

Nah we have more of a chance of a white Easter than white Christmas

[@CurtainNotCertain1234]

Only when Easter happens in March.

[@TheWeatherOutlookTWO]

Snow is more common later in the winter as you say

[@CurtainNotCertain1234]

@@TheWeatherOutlookTWO He didn't say that snow was more common later on in the winter. Winter isn't even in March/April.

[@alunjones3860]

@@CurtainNotCertain1234 It depends on what you call winter. Astronomical winter runs until the spring equinox, which is in March and we often get winter weather in early spring.

[@sisulart]

Not next Easter we don't, it's not until late April. lol

[@stuartlaugharne6862]

It indicates that the weather patterns are showing a significant change to the large scale weather patterns the intense winter weather which we would experience in runs of several years at a time are becoming a thing of the past, there has not been a significant cold winter in over a decade many would welcome this but is it the effects of climate change being manifested??

[@Hugh-nr5sx]

Brian.. is the consistency of the Jet Stream a causal reason why we lack last for four last for eight High Pressure systems over Scandinavia these days.?

[@stevewilliams9338]

Too much energy in the Atlantic due to global warming…so it effectively just blows it away.

[@TheWeatherOutlookTWO]

Since the 1950s the pressure anomaly to the south of the UK has been rising. In other words, the Azores high pressure has been ridging more strongly into Iberia. That partly explains the trend towards milder winters in recent decades in the UK / NW Europe. When I investigated a few years ago it appears this correlates with less cold pooling in the Northern Hemisphere (I didn't look at the SH) at the 850hPa level. If you're interested I wrote a piece here: www.theweatheroutlook.com/weather-news/5594/air-mass-temperatures-since-1961

[@ryalwyngarner3258]

good presentation

[@TheWeatherOutlookTWO]

Thank you

[@HazelKitching]

As long as we don't get snow,ice fog and frost i will be happy.

[@chrisa9043]

Looking milder brian that cold weather has gorn from weather modles. At the moment

[@TheWeatherOutlookTWO]

Not sure. I wouldn't necessarily draw that conclusion from the 2m temperature data tables I showed in the video

[@SonofIberia]

People are too quickly to jump into conclusions, models most of the time favour mild weather. It’s all a prediction at this time frame , we’ll see what the models show next week.

[@TheWeatherOutlookTWO]

Not sure if you watched the video, but I talked about the possibility of colder weather and there was some evidence to support it.

[@weepair2]

There is no way of predicting 14 days ahead. You are a chancer.

[@TheWeatherOutlookTWO]

Did you watch the video? I make a point of emphasising what is and isn't possible > ~7 days.

[@ChristPaidForOurSins_ThatsLove]

@@TheWeatherOutlookTWONothing is Impossible with God! ❤

[@eddiejones.redvees]

You can usually tell it is coming up to Christmas the wether improves

[@TheWeatherOutlookTWO]

High pressure building to the south seems the form horse in many years. Still uncertain this year.

[@HazelKitching]

Very true.

[@heartsineurope]

Lol not up here in Scotland

[@Azureecosse]

Happy for a mild dry Christmas no wind or Snow in East Scotland would be my choice

[@TheWeatherOutlookTWO]

I'd be happy with a cold and frosty one, but the weather will do what it does

[@Azureecosse]

@@TheWeatherOutlookTWO Nah we get enough of that anyway, its minus 3 now and only 4:50pm I guess if you live in the south snow has a novelty affect, for me I don't really care for Snow at anytime .

[@stephenlane4377]

Can't tell yet didn't forecast the last storm till two two days before 😂😂😂

[@TheWeatherOutlookTWO]

Did you watch the update on 03/12? Approx 7 mins in I discuss the possibility of a named storm. kzbin.info/www/bejne/sIjUdYCurZt5p5o

[@notmanynamesleft]

No chance, another mild Christmas with westerly winds,snowy Christmases will be back around 2040.

[@sisulart]

Short answer. No. lol

[@mattockman]

Errrm, crimbo jumper alert. Whereabouts did you get that from ?

[@TheWeatherOutlookTWO]

I had to pay for it so I'd rather not give them free advertising. 😊

[@djmossssomjd8496]

Is widespread snow likely before Christmas?..................NO!!!

[@christinerose5629]

Same old story the north getting a colder weather boring 🥱

[@termite67]

Everyone knows that models can be mild,then change to cold snowy on a six pence,So no comment on the weather from me,though I would love to see another white Christmas,only ever seen 4 and I am 57, so work that one out.🤔😶😂

[@benmiles3292]

Do you believe in climate change? When you display the 30 year average it all stays pretty much the same around the mean

[@TheWeatherOutlookTWO]

Not really sure what you mean. Since I started producing these videos I'd say the ensemble mean has been above the 30 year average for significantly more time than it has been below it.

[@forest_169]

No chance

[@TheWeatherOutlookTWO]

I'm reminded of the famous quote: You've got two hopes of that happening. Bob hope and no hope.