Hypothesis testing and p-values | Inferential statistics | Probability and Statistics | Khan Academy

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Khan Academy

Күн бұрын

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@paintballr4654
@paintballr4654 12 жыл бұрын
I feel like you deserve my quarterly tuition more than the professors at my University. Your videos always seem to explain these topics in a fraction of the time it takes my professors, yet you still somehow manage to also explain them more thoroughly. Thanks for your help!
@creamyspinach8951
@creamyspinach8951 2 жыл бұрын
fr
@sunrequiem
@sunrequiem 2 жыл бұрын
yeah I was thinking the same thing! - student from hopkins here
@2.12tribeofbenjaminsson-gj8ur
@2.12tribeofbenjaminsson-gj8ur 4 ай бұрын
If you guys got it, how do we know when to use which formula?
@kellykelly6553
@kellykelly6553 Ай бұрын
Definitely! My professor only reads out loud word by word the PowerPoints.
@kmsc1997
@kmsc1997 4 жыл бұрын
I'm a new grad student who hasn't taken a stats class in about 4 years. I'm currently in a stats class (also for learning r and spss) and was feeling lost when it came to the basics. These videos explained everything I was missing in such a digestible and understandable way! Now I'm caught up theoretically with my class and I'm getting more out of the lectures! This is fantastic content. Thanks Khan Academy!
@CurtiousOne
@CurtiousOne 11 жыл бұрын
OMG the following clarification just made starting my homework a WHOLE lot more fun! The probability (P-Value) of getting a sample (H1) being 3%, assuming that the null hypothesis (H0) is true, suggests that we should reject the null hypothesis (H0). So, if (P-Value) is > 5%, then we will accept H0, b/c the chances of getting (H1) are high enough. Thanks Khan!
@takashihuang6986
@takashihuang6986 5 жыл бұрын
This is amazing! Having heard about Khan Academy a million times, this is my first time watching it. This is too good and I want my tuition back
@ck910328
@ck910328 6 жыл бұрын
5:18 it's not the standard "deviation" of the sample distribution but standard "error" of the sample distribution. se=s/sqrt(n)
@yaweli2968
@yaweli2968 4 жыл бұрын
@Nimbus : some books call it standard error of the sample mean. So in C.I, you see the sample mean +|_ z score*S.E, you do that for adjusting the error in the sample mean which gives an interval containing the pop mean with some level of confidence.
@GOAT352u
@GOAT352u 4 жыл бұрын
I have been searching for this comment. Thank you m8 for clarifying
@3P5C1
@3P5C1 3 жыл бұрын
old comment but THANK YOU ! I was so confused...
@johnk4121
@johnk4121 2 ай бұрын
Yes, he's actually completely wrong and confusing in this video because of this mistake. I guess this will create problems in a lot of people's attempt to understand this.
@logstwo4814
@logstwo4814 24 күн бұрын
He is correct but probably should've clarified that it is also called "standard error." Standard error (SE) is the *standard deviation* of the sample mean's sampling distribution (it tells you how much the sample mean is expected to differ from the true population mean.) What he means/says in the video is "what is the standard deviation of our [sample mean's] sampling distribution?" Which is probably the source for confusion.
@markelrod3852
@markelrod3852 6 жыл бұрын
Look at it this way, the null is saying that "there is no way on earth that the average is any value but 1.2 seconds." Then, assuming that is true, we do some math and figure out that if the drug indeed did have no effect, and we randomly sampled mice 100 times, it there would be a 0.3% chance that some of those mice had response times of 1.05 seconds. So it would be super improbable to get a value of 1.05 seconds. Now....rewind back to the problem. We were told that the scientist not only had mice with a response time of 1.05, but even better, that was his average response time! This means that it is crazy to think that the drug had no effect, because if it didn't there would only be a 0.3% chance we got a value of 1.05 seconds.
@taylor_o
@taylor_o 6 жыл бұрын
But that the mean of the sample would be 1.05 seems different (even less) than 0.3%, right?
@seshantb
@seshantb 5 жыл бұрын
eteoklos man, you should make your own set of videos. Thanks for that explanation :D
@hiteshpaul4093
@hiteshpaul4093 5 жыл бұрын
Thanks alot man!!! It totally cleared my doubt. Saviour u r!!! I m ur fan nw.
@gilbertcomprado3679
@gilbertcomprado3679 4 жыл бұрын
Thank you so much it cleared everything.
@HACKINGMADEFUN
@HACKINGMADEFUN 4 жыл бұрын
That makes total sense. Thanks
@augurelite
@augurelite 6 жыл бұрын
I learned more in 12 minutes online than I did for 3 90 minute university lectures lol
@aaryanvaidya3501
@aaryanvaidya3501 4 жыл бұрын
tell me about it...
@tezdogs
@tezdogs 3 жыл бұрын
Bro, I feel that. I've given up watching my lectures and come straight to Khan Academy now. Thank you Khan!
@juditmm
@juditmm 2 жыл бұрын
Absolutely. I don't even think that my university teachers knew that "p-value" stands for "probability value".
@nestoralejandro9310
@nestoralejandro9310 2 жыл бұрын
Me too!
@ashton2911
@ashton2911 2 жыл бұрын
Literally
@LukSkajwokerrr
@LukSkajwokerrr 9 жыл бұрын
Dear Khan, So im switching between 3 statistics textbooks trying to understand the p-value, and it takes me hours and hours. Then I come here and you explain it in 11:26 minutes. You are really kicking ass with this khan academy, or as charlie sheen would put it, you are winning.
@bagiromer8587
@bagiromer8587 5 жыл бұрын
LukSkajwokerrr Same here 😅
@anubhavkumar9189
@anubhavkumar9189 2 жыл бұрын
@@bagiromer8587 bhai hypothesis testing nhi kr skte mujhe stats mein kuch nhi aata h
@jasminesmith2474
@jasminesmith2474 4 жыл бұрын
you single-handedly got me through a-level maths alive god bless you and all of your descendants
@michaelstacey3512
@michaelstacey3512 3 жыл бұрын
Was around for your original videos in undergrad many many years ago, and now that I’m back for my Masters, you’re still coming in clutch as ever. Owe you a ton.
@ellaiyarasankalidass5699
@ellaiyarasankalidass5699 9 жыл бұрын
So in 2 more hours i'm having mathematics exam. The hypothesis says i'll fail it and will come back after 2 months to watch this video again for a resit paper. Thanks anyway.
@vipcrownemoji2272
@vipcrownemoji2272 9 жыл бұрын
i will reject the null hypothesis which means that your hypothesis is statistically significant and is applicable on population which include me which means that i will also fail the exam and come beck here 2 months later XD
@ellaiyarasankalidass5699
@ellaiyarasankalidass5699 9 жыл бұрын
spy 009 haha.. You'll pass don't worry.
@Zaloomination
@Zaloomination 7 жыл бұрын
Call your teacher instead of waiting till the last minute before the exam to learn the material
@ericterry4544
@ericterry4544 6 жыл бұрын
You shouldn't skip class, js.
@randomdude9135
@randomdude9135 5 жыл бұрын
@@ellaiyarasankalidass5699 what happened
@kellykelly6553
@kellykelly6553 Ай бұрын
THANK YOU! I finally understand what is the P-Value! It's much easier to understand it when it's visualized on the normal distribution, rather than just explaining the definition without visualization. Not all heroes wear capes lol.
@李徐泓
@李徐泓 7 жыл бұрын
There are three standard deviations he is talking about: the std of sampling distribution (of the mean) "\simga_{\bar{x}}" , the std of entire population distribution "\sigma" and sample std "s". (1) When the number of examples in a sample is large, "s" will be very close to "\sigma". This is pretty easy to understand, more sampling, closer to the true distribution. (2) "\simga_{\bar{x}}" means another thing, 100 examples as a sample, we compute the mean of these 100 examples; then we take another 100 examples and compute the mean; we do a lot of times; we compute the std of these means, this will be the std of sampling distribution of the mean. This is what he wants to compute and his computation is correct. (3) why computing "\simga_{\bar{x}}"? because all from beginning, all he compute is the mean. 1.2 is the mean, 1.05 is the mean. He tries to determinate how 1.05 is from 1.2. And the distribution of the mean is also a Gaussian distribution but with a smaller std, which we didn't at first but we can compute it by the formula given in the video, so it's 0.5 / sqrt(100) = 0.05. (4) why 0.03 not 0.015? I think it's because the hypothesis here is u != 1.2, not u < 1.2. So the extreme situation like getting 1.05 has the same probability as getting 1.35. Hope this helps.
@marke.8321
@marke.8321 7 жыл бұрын
Ok, I think I figured something out. There are actually three standard deviations at work here: SD1: the SD for the 100 individual drugged rats (the SD of the sample, .5 seconds), SD2: the SD for all could-be drugged rats (the SD of the population, we don't know), and SD3: the SD for AVERAGES taken of 100 drugged rats (the sampling distribution, which here is estimated to be .05 seconds) . SD3 represents the SD you get if you take averages of 100 drugged rats, many times. The fact that you're averaging 100 at a time makes the distribution tighter, and in that light, a difference here of .15 between the null and the test result is significant. In effect, it's bigger than the distance you'd normally see between an average of 100 rats and the true average. He said SD3 is supposed to use SD2 but you can use SD1 if it's a reasonable size like 100.
@matthewbauersfeld3871
@matthewbauersfeld3871 Жыл бұрын
Thank you I was so lost
@minah549
@minah549 Жыл бұрын
Bruh. I just had a moment of enlightenment 💡 : “ what is the probability that we would get these results (as in the drug has no effect) in our sample? In other words, if that probability is very very small, then the null hypothesis probably isn’t true”. Wow. What a game changer.
@Eludinium
@Eludinium 9 ай бұрын
Keep in mind that the p-value isnt the probability that the null hypothesis is true/false. It's the probability of reproducing the results obtained if we assume hypothetically that the null hypothesis IS true.
@VinodRM-jv4jr
@VinodRM-jv4jr Ай бұрын
The mean (standard) response time for rats is 1.2 secs. The sample data of 100 rats being drugged has a mean response time of 1.05 secs. Now we need to check if 1.05 secs can be the standard response time OR if this is possible only when the rats are drugged. In the video we saw the probability of getting 1.05 secs is only 0.3%. Therefore, (a) 1.05 secs cannot be a standard response time. (b) it is possible only with drugs.
@phoenixnow11
@phoenixnow11 5 жыл бұрын
p-value for Z score of negative 3 (-3) is 0.0013, which is less than alpha (significance level = 0.05 for 95% confidence), hence we Reject H0 null hypothesis. Another way is that the probability that the observed sample mean 1.05s being -3 Z scores away is less than 0.05 (5%) .13% here, hence Reject Null hypothesis.
@faresvanlierde4597
@faresvanlierde4597 5 жыл бұрын
Do you have to consider the fact that it is a two-tailed test and therefore use .26% instead of .13%? ( I know it doesn't affect the rejection of H0 but still useful to know) ps: exam on Monday I beg you, answer me fast lol ^^
@MrPabloguida
@MrPabloguida 10 жыл бұрын
Ur Z test inverts the position of x-u by u-x It suposed to be Sample mean 1.05 minus Population mean 1.2 and u put Population mean 1.2 minus Sample mean 1.05.
@mccn00
@mccn00 9 ай бұрын
Yess, he did. I got so confused
@jabo22
@jabo22 Жыл бұрын
This always helps me: "If the p is low, the null must go". which means, if the p-val is less the significance level(alpha), then you reject the null hypothesis.
@pinklove8422
@pinklove8422 Жыл бұрын
Thank you sir for this 😂 slogan. I am taking my Ap stats exam today 😊1
@Sup_keke
@Sup_keke 4 жыл бұрын
Omg this makes sooooo much more sense now Gonna go to sleep now and give it a try tomorrow with homework questions
@sweptangel7
@sweptangel7 12 жыл бұрын
Z = (Xbar - Mu) / [SDV / sq.rt(n)] He made the error of subtracting Xbar FROM Mu. He needs to reverse the two numbers for the correct formula. Z = (1.05 - 1.02) / [ 0.05 / sqrt(100)]
@JerusnamWien85
@JerusnamWien85 2 жыл бұрын
It doesn't make a difference. A z score of -3 would give the same probability of three standard deviations in either direction from the mean.
@BurgoYT
@BurgoYT 2 жыл бұрын
No he did 1.2 - 1.05 which is correct
@patricksorial7916
@patricksorial7916 8 ай бұрын
@@BurgoYT no, its incorrect because the formula is (sample mean-population). it should be 1.05-1.2
@danielgv1526
@danielgv1526 4 жыл бұрын
first channel I ever followed on KZbin (since 2011, I think). Sal has never disappointed me.
@philster00700
@philster00700 12 жыл бұрын
You do not understand how grateful I am to you. Thank you so much.
@lilpersiandude
@lilpersiandude 11 жыл бұрын
I have a final on this in 5 hours. It's 2 AM right now. Shout outs.
@nuha1906
@nuha1906 3 жыл бұрын
Yup in the same situation
@mathhack8647
@mathhack8647 4 жыл бұрын
In just 11 mns, all the picture is really astonishingly clear enough to understand this part of inferential statistics. Thanks.
@Tnz_ira200
@Tnz_ira200 2 жыл бұрын
I'm so glad I found this channel & wished I knew about it during my undergrad yrs. I am currently preparing for a quiz & I think I can say I got this.
@CameronLewis1
@CameronLewis1 11 жыл бұрын
Khan, you seriously rock. Never understood p-values from my professor, but I definitely do now!
@janszczekulski3916
@janszczekulski3916 4 жыл бұрын
There is a mistake : The t-statistic would be much more accurate since we know nothing about real s.d. (population s.d.). Edit : For n > 30 CLT kicks in and Z-score can be used instead of t-score even tho we don't know population sd
@domination2720
@domination2720 3 ай бұрын
facts
@tobynagreanu
@tobynagreanu 9 жыл бұрын
i still don't get it... damn exam is screwed
@faizal_ibno
@faizal_ibno 9 жыл бұрын
i feel u.
@MrBsehratmaannking
@MrBsehratmaannking 8 жыл бұрын
+Toby chua yep... and is actually a retake and im still screwed
@LetsDruz
@LetsDruz 8 жыл бұрын
I'm done too.
@chris-dd6uq
@chris-dd6uq 8 жыл бұрын
+Leo R. This was the ONLY thing that I could not understand when I took probability and statistics. I'm just all duuurrr when it comes to this concept.
@BerhanHDagne
@BerhanHDagne 7 жыл бұрын
Toby Cai y
@doddiharish2385
@doddiharish2385 2 жыл бұрын
Best video for hypothesis testing! Universities should play this video rather than teaching hours of lectures. They will save time and money
@MrAMerang
@MrAMerang 8 жыл бұрын
THANK YOU. i didn't get this in class just today. Pro. gave the formula without the details behind those simple formulas as z-score. Now it's very intuitive to have the x subtracted from mean and then divided by the sample standard deviation. so make sense now.
@Alchemist10241
@Alchemist10241 11 ай бұрын
this the best method of evaluating a null hypothesis, no need to refer to any table, amazing.
@chanyh0815
@chanyh0815 9 жыл бұрын
man , he explained so clear!!! for those who dont understand , go improve ur basic in probability
@SuperBartHole
@SuperBartHole 5 жыл бұрын
This...makes so much more sense. You just saved me from my stats final, thank you
@mattlayman5973
@mattlayman5973 5 ай бұрын
Currently doing the CFA Level 1. This was so helpful. Thank you
@adamfitzpatrick2366
@adamfitzpatrick2366 6 күн бұрын
In 2024, Khan Academy is still carrying me through school and university. Thank you so much
@shah-j1m
@shah-j1m 11 ай бұрын
At 49, in 2023, this is so helpful. Thank you Khan Accademy and the teacher with that calm voice who explained it so nicely.
@MaureenT1953
@MaureenT1953 13 жыл бұрын
I love Khan Academy and think Sal Khan is a hero. If only more teachers could explain concepts the way he can! Maybe he should do a series on 'how to be a better teacher' :-)
@jatinarora8776
@jatinarora8776 4 жыл бұрын
Amazing my god,u explain with damm clearity which I can't get in any video/class lecture
@ashifwad
@ashifwad 9 жыл бұрын
This is just incredibly awesome stuffs. Iam a medical student at Melbourne uni Australia. I felt maths soo hard when I was a kid, if I had gone through these stuffs I think I would have been the best student. Keep up the good work, hats off to you. You will get the reward from Allah. May Allah bless you.
@beingnothing34
@beingnothing34 2 жыл бұрын
Thanks for this. 4:37 you mention, because we have a nice sample size. Questions related to this: 1) What determines the right sample size in this case? 2) What if didn't have a nice sample size? How would we estimate the standard deviation of the population? 3) Am I right in assuming that you also estimated the sample mean for the same reason that the sample size is sufficient? Could anyone please answer?
@p1sc3s4
@p1sc3s4 4 жыл бұрын
Khan Academy, Khan Academy, what would I do without you...
@evelynreyna6993
@evelynreyna6993 3 жыл бұрын
I was about to break down because my teacher makes things so complicated THANK YOU
@sabiner3693
@sabiner3693 4 жыл бұрын
0:38 This made me kind of smile.
@hassanjaved4091
@hassanjaved4091 4 жыл бұрын
Think in terms of probability distributions. When we assume that the null hypothesis is true we are saying that the new observation came from the same probability distribution as the null hypothesis. Then with this assumption we calculate the probability of the new observation from null hypothesis' distribution. If it is very little (normally less than 5%) we say that this new observation is very unlikely to be from the same distribution as the null hypothesis and we reject it. Hope this helps others who are watching this.
@asifhossaintamim
@asifhossaintamim 7 жыл бұрын
I've spent whole day to understand this and this video my concepts clear within 10 minutes. You're awsome Sal.
@bakunin888
@bakunin888 10 ай бұрын
why is the alternative hypothesis μ ≠ 1.2 and not μ < 1.2? Seems like the test should be whether response time is reduced, not whether the response time is changed.
@Mihirskates
@Mihirskates 9 жыл бұрын
that blue color is so cool
@MrJaimexD
@MrJaimexD 8 жыл бұрын
+Stan Land LMFAO XD
@cyma6928
@cyma6928 5 жыл бұрын
I appreciate this video and your existence you saved my life xo
@brownian_motion
@brownian_motion 10 жыл бұрын
What is the difference between standard deviation of sampling distribution (sigma xbar) and sample standard deviation (s)? A detailed explanation would be appreciated. 4:54
@gamalshazly7098
@gamalshazly7098 2 жыл бұрын
5:18 it's not the standard "deviation" of the sample distribution but standard "error" of the sample distribution. se=s/sqrt(n)
@912kundan
@912kundan 12 жыл бұрын
this can't be explained better then this... spot on..
@timbolicous
@timbolicous 11 жыл бұрын
Stats is definitely one subject you can't cram. It takes time to fully understand. And one piece builds on the next.
@EK-ez8ic
@EK-ez8ic 4 жыл бұрын
Exam in 1.5 hours and haven't even read this topic yet (lol)... Understood with this video. THANK YOU!!!
@hyperTorless
@hyperTorless 8 ай бұрын
The 99.7% number comes from a basic rule in statistics (see "the 68-95-99.7 rule" on Wikipedia). It's a shorthand, a useful heuristic when working with SDs.
@erinsaylor6250
@erinsaylor6250 7 жыл бұрын
There's something about how this guy repeats certain key steps once or twice that just really helps me keep up with the lesson. ADHD is a b*tch.
@sk3402
@sk3402 5 жыл бұрын
For those of you who are confused, P value is the probability that the data from a given sample is not due to the changes made or external influences. In other words, if the null hypothesis was correct, we would end up with a large probability that the sample mean would still be possible without any external influences i.e. injecting rats in this case. A smaller P value means greater confidence that the results were due to the external factors.
@derrickarthur-cudjoe2767
@derrickarthur-cudjoe2767 9 жыл бұрын
Why did you divide the sample standard deviation by 10 instead of multiplying it by 10 to obtain the population standard deviation just as the reverse of the formula says?
@joyindian
@joyindian 5 жыл бұрын
I am confused too. I thought .5 was the sample std dev and the pop std dev would be .5*10 = 5
@femidaelettil1002
@femidaelettil1002 5 жыл бұрын
He was calculating the standard error not the standard deviation..
@arthurmlcc
@arthurmlcc 4 жыл бұрын
@@femidaelettil1002 It still doesn't make any sense, the formula for the standard error is the same. se=s/sqrt(n), it should be .5*10 = 5. Plus, if you take the "approximated standard deviation of the population" that he got it's not equal to the sample standard deviation. Se = 0.05/sqrt(100) -> 0.005. Can someone explain it to me?
@yuzhe6054
@yuzhe6054 4 жыл бұрын
Late but 0.5 is not the standard deviation of the sampling distribution, it is just a standard deviation for sample with sample size of 100.
@zeyad2121
@zeyad2121 4 жыл бұрын
@@yuzhe6054 thank you
@Vish23514
@Vish23514 9 жыл бұрын
Do not stop the good work Mr Salman it has made things a lot easier for people please go to some unattended topics and make videos of them..:) love ya
@ramtejkp4937
@ramtejkp4937 3 жыл бұрын
I want to give this dude a hug!
@thatnolan
@thatnolan 6 жыл бұрын
Yes! Thank you!
@buntafujiwara7013
@buntafujiwara7013 11 жыл бұрын
Yes, you're right. I'm not sure about real life practical usage for the distribution. But for studies, I believe you're allowed to take Z to approximate T when there's a large sample size as known as large degree of freedom. So, the video is in fact correct... so Imran comment might be misleading.
@hemanthhahaha4113
@hemanthhahaha4113 8 жыл бұрын
Perfectly explained...hatsoff!!
@rjkhemlani1996
@rjkhemlani1996 9 жыл бұрын
What is the sample standard deviation? Why don't we use it as a standard deviation for the sampling distribution but as a standard deviation for the whole population?
@skepticroadhog
@skepticroadhog 11 ай бұрын
- Assume that the underlying population's response time of the injected rats is equal to 1.2 seconds. - Construct the sampling distribution with expectation = 1.2 seconds. - Calculate the z-score of the observed sample mean - If z > cutoff value, then we reject that the underlying population's expectation of the injected rats = 1.2. - Given that, it implies that the drug has an effect on the response time with 95% confidence. But there is still a chance that the actual mean of the underlying distribution is 1.2, but the sample we got is very extreme. And we got that extreme value due to randomness of sampling.
@hephestos300
@hephestos300 11 жыл бұрын
Great video, in general hours of study in pure elegant 11 mins! Bravo! I wish I had found them when I was working and studyng together...
@miniprizes
@miniprizes 14 жыл бұрын
Thanks alot. I was stuck on my stats homework as to what a Ho and Halternative hypothesis were. Thanks!
@WekBenHelix
@WekBenHelix 5 жыл бұрын
Khan you provide a legendary service. Thank you.
@adityaaswani5817
@adityaaswani5817 11 ай бұрын
Very nice explanation! It was very comprehendable,Thank you
@jamesbekurs4683
@jamesbekurs4683 6 жыл бұрын
THANK YOU!!!! I was struggling to grasp this concept in a practical sense, and your video helped me connect the dots.
@MrNotMine
@MrNotMine 8 жыл бұрын
I can easily understand what those mean only from your explanation. Thanks.
@debendragurung3033
@debendragurung3033 9 жыл бұрын
seems smoothe but why would sampled standard deviation of the sampled poulation need to be divided by square root of sampling size instead of using the given standard deviation itself. 4:25
@Chenrandyliu
@Chenrandyliu 9 жыл бұрын
+debendra gurung he was looking for the standard deviation for the population by using the sample's deviation and size.
@debendragurung3033
@debendragurung3033 9 жыл бұрын
I think Kinda got it. But I lost it again. Is it because taking larger sample will give us more Normal distribution. And that dividing it by square root of sample size will at least try and reflect the SD. of the population. What a cheat way to do....
@pratiksapkota5083
@pratiksapkota5083 8 жыл бұрын
this actually is crap. I dont get it too. the question fucking says mean response time for 100 injected hairy ass rats is 1.05 with sample standard deviation of 0.5 . And then again Mr.Khan academy says the freaking sample standard deviation can be divided by square fucking root of the sample size to estimate population standard deviation. Moreover, the ass smelling rats without injections are taken in for normal distribution table to estimate z score. I am lost. Fuck me and call me hobo.
@debendragurung3033
@debendragurung3033 8 жыл бұрын
after going through all the central limit theorem and the simulations, i finally get it. the standard deviation of the population divided by square root of sample size actually approximaates the s.d of sample means of the sampling distribution otherwise notoriously known as the standard error. What a brain load of concepts.
@marke.8321
@marke.8321 7 жыл бұрын
It doesn't make sense to me. With a sample S.D. of .5 and a sample of 100, he gets a population S.D. of .05. That means we're assuming the population has much less deviation--1/10th the deviation--than what we see in the sample. But if the sample were 1000, then we'd be assuming even less yet, and with a sample of 10,000 we'd be assuming that the population S.D. was 1/1000 (!) of the S.D. of the sample. That seems like it can't be right. At 10,000 the sample should very closely reflect the population in basically all respects. How can it be reasonable then to estimate that the S.D. for the population is 1/1000 of what we see? The explanation also didn't sound right to me; you have the S.D. for the sample, and that isn't good enough to use for the population, but then you are substituting the S.D. for the sample into a formula that sounded like it was meant for the population S.D. What I've learned about stats suggests the S.D. for the population should be assumed to be bigger than what you get when you just look at a sample. I know I'm mixing up concepts, but this formula suggests the standard deviation for the population is much smaller than what you get by looking at a sample. Anyway, I still have to learn this material, and I'm sure I don't understand it yet, but it seems like it can't entirely be right...
@hydidiot
@hydidiot 5 жыл бұрын
Easy way to remember: P = Probability of null hypothesis is true, which is => u = 1.2 being true. Since P value calculated is small = only 0.03 (0.3 %) of samples taken from population will actually have u =1.2. This means u is not equal to 1.2 in 99.7% of samples taken from population. Therefore we reject null hypothesis since it's only true in 0.3% of samples taken from population.
@harountrabelsi3412
@harountrabelsi3412 5 жыл бұрын
shouldn't the p value be equal to 0.003/2 since our sample value is on the left side ?
@gin-kyenglee2649
@gin-kyenglee2649 5 жыл бұрын
This channel helps me not fail!
@TheJalerking
@TheJalerking 10 жыл бұрын
I don't understand when we need the sample standard deviation (4:13), why you take the standard error of the mean insted the (0.5) that is given previously :(
@henry7434
@henry7434 4 жыл бұрын
TheJalerking i don’t understand it either
@ganeshShelkeSGS
@ganeshShelkeSGS 5 жыл бұрын
Very nicely explained! It's one of the most important concept in Data Science and Machine Learning! Thanks team! :)
@TrollinJoker
@TrollinJoker 7 жыл бұрын
Thanks, got it! (: KhanAcademy is way more effective than my uni lectures
@DesDemona1134
@DesDemona1134 13 жыл бұрын
Yay! I get it now! My instructor made is SO confusing. This was beautifully simple. Thank you, thank you, thank you!
@nathannoggle323
@nathannoggle323 8 жыл бұрын
Man, this explanation completely blows my online lecture out of the water. You need to set up a contract with Pearson immediately so you can replace their god-awful video lectures with videos like this. Thanks a million!
@kiranpradhan123
@kiranpradhan123 11 жыл бұрын
The most important phrase in explanation. "What is the probability of getting mean of 1.05 by ""Chance""?" @ 8:02. If you miss that everything will go bouncers.
@youngwang8317
@youngwang8317 10 жыл бұрын
The assumptions of using z test are that first population is normally distributed and second the population standard deviation is known(not the sample standard deviation).
@aamirk345
@aamirk345 5 жыл бұрын
Hi - What he is saying is this 1) For most of us ordinary folks, we would think that since 2 is less than 3; or 3 is less than 6; so this is the end of it 2) but while 1.2 is greater than 1.05 in general, you CANNOT say that 1.2 is greater than 1.05 in this video 3) I am not pulling your leg(s) - this is because these two numbers (1.2 and 1.05) are not individual data such as height of two men or weight of two boys etc. These are averages from two different distributions 4) thus it is quite possible that my 1.05 number is fake news - i.e. it was obtained by luck. If I do it AGAIN on 100 rats I might get 1.25 or 1.22 etc 5) So now we are into probability - we cannot say if 1.05 is really correct or not 6) but we can say one thing - 1.05 is more than 3 SD away from the population mean 7) therefore we can say 1.05 is "different" from 1.20 but again not 100% but 99.7% of times! There is still a small chance this might be fake news but the chances are very slim - and we can even say how slim 8) Finally note that two "parameters" (sorry for this jargon) make so much impact here - one the SD of our sample and second size of our sample - now if our size increases from 100 to 100,00 you can see the number 0.05 will get even smaller! This means that our results will be even more true (guess why?) Similarly if the SD of my sample changes my results will change (why)? I leave these for you. I hope this makes some sense. Read it again. And bless SAL. Regards - Dr Aamir
@varunsharma3485
@varunsharma3485 3 жыл бұрын
amazing amazing amazing !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
@o.m.8936
@o.m.8936 5 жыл бұрын
thank you very much, first time i Understand the utility uf the p value. Love you khan
@randomacb123
@randomacb123 8 жыл бұрын
Khan - you're A GOD !!!
@SaruwatariKaitoKun
@SaruwatariKaitoKun 13 жыл бұрын
ur the best teacher ive ever had! Thank you Thank you Thank you
@timbolicous
@timbolicous 11 жыл бұрын
The man just has a talent for explaining things.
@muntazirabidi
@muntazirabidi 2 жыл бұрын
You know you will always learn something here. Thank you.
@debbydambani7040
@debbydambani7040 10 ай бұрын
This is the best explanation ever
@louiswang23
@louiswang23 11 жыл бұрын
i don't think this matters much. the z-value is to calculate the number of std dev the x-bar is from the mean. in the video, he calculated z to be 3 std dev (where you guys think should be -3, if x-bar minus mu) (look at 8:08 in the video). negative 3 means x-bar is 3 std dev below mu, which we know because 1.05 is less than 1.2. as long as we know how to locate z in the "bell curve", we should be fine. hope this clears things up :)
@offline._archive
@offline._archive 7 жыл бұрын
this is prob the best explanation so far
@goktu01
@goktu01 10 жыл бұрын
I know that drug. He is right, it does have a lot of effect. Yeah.
@Daniel-ws9qu
@Daniel-ws9qu 6 жыл бұрын
hahaha
@Sambathfilm
@Sambathfilm 5 жыл бұрын
Why do hypothesis testing when you can do drug testing 😂
@abhishekjn3390
@abhishekjn3390 4 жыл бұрын
machine learnig on its way ...lol
@kettleghost3721
@kettleghost3721 4 жыл бұрын
looll
@gooddeedsleadto7499
@gooddeedsleadto7499 4 жыл бұрын
Thanks for the great teaching on the concept, p value
@passer2by
@passer2by 5 жыл бұрын
To all of you not getting this video, you need some background knowledge about how the normal distribution relates to probability, and what it means by terms like "real mean", "sample mean", "standard deviation", and "standard deviation of the mean", etc.
@JunkanooBob99
@JunkanooBob99 12 жыл бұрын
Agreed that when the sample standard deviation is used, then basic consideration goes to the t distribution, however, in samples that =or exceed 30 then the t distribution approximates the normal distribution. So he is usually an approximate z or normal distribution.
@nurlatifahmohdnor8939
@nurlatifahmohdnor8939 3 жыл бұрын
Chapter 1 Page 7-1 Hypothesis Test 1| observation or 2| experimentation Conclusion = New Knowledge Exhibit 1.1 A Summary of the Scientific Method
@oms9216
@oms9216 7 жыл бұрын
4:15 why are we calculating the standard deviation of sampling distribution when it's already given in question as 0.5 seconds?? what's that 0.5 seconds?
@kimiakhoshroo1300
@kimiakhoshroo1300 8 жыл бұрын
I think I understood this... Thank you so much...
@TevinS94
@TevinS94 12 жыл бұрын
To calculate the 'sample' standard deviation, you do the S.D(sample distribution) = S.D(population)/sqrt(sample size)
@p_khale07
@p_khale07 Жыл бұрын
Was looking for this , thanks.
@hhoangc2
@hhoangc2 8 жыл бұрын
Very detailed and interesting lesson. I got it at the end of the video. Thanks so much.
@ontheverge2475
@ontheverge2475 10 жыл бұрын
Wait, (1.2 - 1.05)/0.05 is NOT the z-score. It is the t-statistic because the we have estimated the standard error using the sample SD in place of sigma (the population SD), which is not given.
@kelebogilenkomo7510
@kelebogilenkomo7510 7 жыл бұрын
onthe verge The sample is large enough hence you use a Z-stat
@dewinmoonl
@dewinmoonl 5 жыл бұрын
he had something like >30 samples so the two is same at this piont
@amann24
@amann24 13 жыл бұрын
Wish I had found these sooner, I struggled so bad with econometrics. You make things so easy to understand.
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