Seismic poll predicts Tories getting just 72 seats in extinction level event | LBC analysis

Rishi Sunak has said that the only poll that matters is on July 4, after a new survey suggested that the Conservatives could be destined for a General Election wipeout.
The Survation poll suggests that the Conservatives could win only 72 seats at next month's election, down from the 365 they won at the 2019 vote.
A separate poll from Savanta saw the Tories record their lowest-ever vote share with the pollster under Rishi Sunak’s leadership at 21%, with Labour holding a 25-point lead on 46% of the vote.
Chris Hopkins, who conducted the poll for Savanta, joins Lewis Goodall to go through the numbers.
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[@prisoneroffortune]

72 seats seems a lot to me. Who votes for these muppets?

[@Silver-st2zq]

The rich.

[@hohohohehehe6910]

Other muppets

[@Macaroni1479]

More Muppets

[@kevoreilly6557]

@@Silver-st2zqit will always amaze me how the tops 1% mange to win 40% of the vote

[@Tzhz]

Usually those too intelligent to vote for Labour, a socialist far left ideological party. Vote Reform if you still have the ability to think critically.

[@seanashmore8785]

They should be out of power and most of them in prison

[@Nosh_Feratu]

exactly this

[@hohohohehehe6910]

Most of them have been in prison

[@TheColeman83]

In prison. Homes taken off them. Bank accounts frozen. Passports removed. None persons

[@ImMamba]

In prison? They've been bad but that is ridiculous.

[@markparker5585]

@@ImMamba Some of the stuff some of them have done is borderline treasonous, so I'd say prison would be a lucky break.

[@MrGavinBoyd]

Worst government of my lifetime.

[@IMBlakeley]

Ditto and I lived through the reign of the Grantham witch.

[@antonrudenham3259]

Are you 14 yo?

[@summit7051]

Labour: "Hold my beer...."

[@seniorslaphead8336]

@@antonrudenham3259 Exactly... some people have short memories. If you think the Tories were bad (they were) you ain't seen nothing yet.

[@malcolmrowe5031]

@@seniorslaphead8336 i remember the 70's and labour

[@DrMattiLabbratt]

Still too many Tories for my liking…

[@johnmccann5104]

😂😂😂😂👍🇬🇧

[@regwedde]

Talking jarg

[@DrMattiLabbratt]

@@johnmccann5104 ❤️👊🏼

[@DrMattiLabbratt]

@@regwedde What is jarg please? I am Swedish /English dual nationality and don’t know that word? Thank you x

[@jasoncooper9391]

72 too much

[@philipwhitby1982]

Only in politics could you get away with what the Tories have.

[@user-hl1ex6py8l]

Not anymore if this poll is to be believed.

[@SISU889]

Yeh , nearly as bad as Tony Bliar ! REFORM for a change!

[@AnthonyWilliams-sh1gv]

Deform ??

[@everettbr]

@@SISU889 "tories, but worse!" is not exactly a promise of change

[@eyesodd]

​@@everettbrClearly they put Labour would be as bad a the Tories. Hence vote for change, vote reform.

[@paultaylor7082]

72 seats for the Tories? 72 too many for most of us. Single figures would be better.

[@Joemccxc]

Zero seats FTW.

[@user-ol6rd7pl5t]

72 seats too many. Vote tactically.

[@garystorey]

How do you vote tactically, when both both parties in a 2 horse race are WEF sponsored globalists ?

[@nectarinedreams7208]

Hipgnosis pfp. Cool. Edit: just remembered I have one too lol.

[@sadjaxx]

Tactical Voting!!!

[@brianferguson7840]

I still fear that many voters will stay home, thinking that the result is so guaranteed that their vote is unnecessary. 1) CHECK VOTER REGISTRATION✅️ 2)CHECK VOTER I.D.✅️ 3)CHECK FRIENDS AND FAMILY ✅️✅️✅️

[@brendanroberts4866]

Not needed for postal voting, ppl want to punish tories, so they will vote

[@user-dc8sr2fx6v]

No don't bother. The result is in the bag. Stay at home and watch the Euros.

[@samb3783]

My friend an older die hard Tory voter is going to spoil her ballot, register a vote, don't vote.

[@mr_incognito9305]

@@user-dc8sr2fx6v its not tory bot, stop encouraging apathy

[@user-dc8sr2fx6v]

@@mr_incognito9305 Reform bot, let's have it right.

[@kizzmiaz]

There's no conspiracy against them, they did this to themselves and nothing has ever been more richly deserved.

[@sadjaxx]

Many of them leave with a lot more taxpayer money!

[@chatham43]

@kizz Apart from the first bit I agree.

[@Youalleatmuffins]

💯

[@belindamay8063]

@kizzmiaz. I’m sorry to say this, but the electorate must take some -perhaps a large part - of the blame. How many times did they return these heartless people to power ? . For how many years? Those that were comfortable just didn’t see the misery that was all around them. They ignored the threat to our best traditions. Our grandparents built a better Britain ( the NHS and so on). We let it go. What have we got to hand to our own children ?

[@beardedbloke2521]

Not surprising. All of the scandals Bojo was involved in, Liz Truss' disastrous 6 week tenure and Sunak being out of touch with reality. Cabinet members being involved in scandals too. Voters have had enough

[@eyesodd]

It was the same with the expenses scandal, they are ALL at it. Vote Reform.

[@ismailjames3781]

Let's not forget May hiding in the cupboard for 2 years and David Cameron's evil austerity measures. This should've ended in 2015

[@TheIdlesurfer]

It should never have started. I'm tactically voting Lib Dem but I find it difficult to vote for the bridesmaids of austerity but seeing the Tories as not even the Loyal Opposition is just too delicious a prospect for me not to get over my distaste.

[@chatham43]

@bearded And that's why they're staying at home.😊

[@Cam-mo7gq]

@ismailjames3781 And would have done if that arsehat McCluskey not pushed Ed Miliband over his brother to the labour leadership. No wrexshit, no endless cuts...etc. Oh to be in that parallel universe.

[@dalecollins2085]

Dont forget your A.B.C. Anything But Conservative

[@leehighland5435]

Reform then.

[@annphillips1086]

@@leehighland5435 Urgh.

[@newtrix548]

Or Labour

[@newtrix548]

Anything but that is

[@chatham43]

@dale Your weekend wasn't wasted.😊

[@mikeallison7753]

Still far too much.

[@johngoddard2270]

I think they'll be lucky to get 72.

[@arwelp]

As a Crewe & Nantwich resident, I’m delighted to see that our chicken-running Conservative ex-MP is projected to lose by 5.1% in Bexhill & Battle. Supposedly he wasn’t standing in this election due to “changed personal circumstances”.

[@happytimes6113]

A Labour Govt with a huge majority will lead to Britain going to war… Look at the world stage Putin is now in Korea - we are going to end up in a serious war if weak on defence Labour are elected with a huge majority! Vote for anyone you want to - but don’t vote Labour! Defence matters!

[@DaSweetBwoyStallion]

The chicken has come home to roost.The selfishness,greed,racism,incompetence,callousness and dishonesty is circling back on them.

[@In_Paradiso58]

+ Corporate Manslaughter (Lest We Forget)...+

[@Silver-st2zq]

Exactly.

[@GazTU1]

oh don't forget to add overt, in your face, corruption to the list

[@jezlawrence720]

The problem is the electorate mistaking Reform for a new chicken instead of seeing them as the (hostile environment x trussonomics), squared that they are. Don't mistake anti tory sentiment as pro labour. So not the case. Danger, Will Robinson.

[@zeeone4492]

Unfortunately the Starmer labour is no better The only hope is they don't get a majority and have to power share with reasonable others

[@paulastevenson387]

Just vote. Vote tactically. Vote them out. Worst government, by far, in my long lifetime.

[@splifsend]

You forgot labour under Blair already ??

[@marksc111]

@@splifsendYes, people definitely remember how much better everything was under Blair.

[@splifsend]

@@marksc111 That's sarcasm right?

[@chatham43]

@paul Guess most of your school mates would agree with you.😊

[@Cam-mo7gq]

@splifsend Name a single meaningful economic metric or public service that's better now than under the last Labour government. (Clue: there isn't one).

[@chadvader974]

How anyone can vote tory at this point is beyond me. Even if you hate labour.. vote for an independant or reform. Dont vote for these crooks

[@nectarinedreams7208]

Reform is even worse. At least the Tories don't deny the existence of climate change or want to close the borders and crash the economy.

[@martindornan1667]

In Scotland vote SNP who are in second position in the Scottish Tory MPs constituencies and get rid of all the Tory MPs in Scotland especially the incompetent three jobs Dross.

[@chatham43]

@chad I suspect many things are beyond you.

[@happytimes6113]

A Labour Govt with a huge majority will lead to Britain going to war… Look at the world stage Putin is now in Korea - we are going to end up in a serious war if weak on defence Labour are elected with a huge majority! Vote for anyone you want to - but don’t vote Labour! Defence matters!

[@blink93221]

Funny that conservative MPs are complaining about if labour get a super majority, would they be complaining if it was the other way round ? Of course they wouldn't.

[@hohohohehehe6910]

The Tories stopped kids learning about politics in public schools because they think only privately educated people should be in politics. They must absolutely hate it when Labour are in, because most of them haven't been to private schools or have any qualifications.

[@leehighland5435]

Labour have the chance to destroy capitalism, it's been part of their hidden agenda and now they can achieve it, most of their voters want that to happen, full on socialism and then communism, cashless society, full control. I bet you can't wait for that.

[@NewEstablishment]

Exactly they’ve framed it like any party with that much power is dangerous. Would they say that about themselves?

[@blink93221]

@@NewEstablishment they calling it a dictatorship, funny because Boris was the one that illegally shutdown parliament, Boris and sunak both got fines, both have tried to change our democracy by making harder for people to vote. The hypocrisy is on another level

[@charlesfaure1189]

The pretense of principle.

[@dismalfist]

Absolutely outrageous 72 is WAY too many.

[@Andrew-vx2ls]

As many as 72 ?

[@mufccharliemufcglazersout]

Kick the tories out Polls are not to be trusted

[@jaybee4288]

72 seems really high to me. Who is actually going to vote for them? I find it hard to believe they’re going to win majority of votes in any area of the U.K.

[@johnrussell3961]

Places like Chelsea and Kensington. There are about 72 rich places like that which will remain Tory.

[@IMBlakeley]

There'll be a few areas that would never vote Labour. If Labour had any sense they'd withdraw in those and hope the Liberals or whoever stands the best chance etc. will turf the tory out

[@rookierookierookie]

@@johnrussell3961 Chelsea and Kensington will go red quite comfortably on current numbers. Remaining Tory seats will be deep in rural areas, Lincolnshire, Shropshire, Mid-Devon, North Yorkshire and the like

[@MrManBuzz]

​@@IMBlakeleyThey can't do that for political reasons, but there is a wink and a nod between Labour and the Lib dems that while they stand candidates, if there's a tactical vote to be made, they won't campaign hard in that seat.

[@sawtooth808]

In 1993 in Canada, people predicted that the Progressive Conservative government of the day would lose, Election Day came, and the Progressive Conservatives lost…reduced to 2 seats, due to the presence of the Reform Party (and the separatist Bloq Quebecois) if people don’t think Reform UK will be a huge factor, they’re not paying attention.

[@cdeford2]

Whatever the numbers, I'll give you a smaller one: the number of Tory MPs who will admit it was their fault.

[@Human_Herbivore]

72 too many.

[@susanwaite1187]

My local Tory MP is panicking 😂

[@jjefferyworboys8138]

He's probably deciding which of his many income streams he's going to focus on.

[@richardruff8712]

I think that EVERY Tory MP is now scared of the voters... Any MP with a majority of 15,000 should now be considered a marginal seat, and at risk...

[@chatham43]

@susan Who's that?...and no googling.😊

[@kryptonic269]

The Who I won’t be fooled again

[@sirbarringtonwomblembe4098]

'... We don't get fooled again' No need to thank me.🙂

[@kryptonic269]

⁠I was talking about i won’t get fooled again and Actually it’s won’t get fooled again

[@jjefferyworboys8138]

@@sirbarringtonwomblembe4098 When Labour get in you will be paying more tax, it's the only way they can afford their manifesto commitments.

[@petyrkowalski9887]

I wasnt fooled last time..but yea… i agree

[@atomo9255]

I can't explain

[@stevecunningham5598]

Roll on July 4th it’s the night of multiple Portillo moments.

[@richardruff8712]

Yes, I suggest we record it, as the results are declared.... I predict there will be many ' Portillo ' moments ... Get the drinks and popcorn in....

[@hypsyzygy506]

I'm sure Michael will be watching with a pint of beer and a big grin.

[@richardruff8712]

@@hypsyzygy506That would be a ' wry ' smile, I guess !

[@vercoda9997]

I'm Irish, and thus an immigrant as well here in the UK, where I've been for almost 4 years. I'm happy to pay my taxes, give to charity, donate to food banks etc etc etc etc - but all I've seen in my time in the UK from the Tories is their breathtaking corruption, cruelty, incompetence, and more recently, overt racism - by any metric, they've left British people (and people passing through, like myself) sharply worse off, with collapsing services, broken social support systems, and millions of people relying on food banks simply to exist, while meanwhile, FDI has largely collapsed, economic trade with Europe has collapsed, various sectors are fundamentally broken, and avenues of social and cultural progression and cohesion alike have been blocked off, with the already fragile bonds that tie British people together fraying at the seams. And in the background of this broken Britain, utter charlatans like Nigel Farage and the odious Reform party have come slithering forward, overtaking the rotten Tories to chase the disaffected and disenfranchised votes out there, which I'd comfortably wager will soon see that particular party blaming all immigrants for Britain's ills. Frankly, while Labour are less than persuasive with their claims and policies and general whinges - largely seeming to be coasting along on a Not Tories So Will This Do? ticket - they still should take over, to get the wretched Tories out of power and cast into whatever political wilderness is suitable for the likes of Rishi and Cruella and His Excellency, Lord Moggy, the Ambassador for the 18th Century to roam around in. Brexit was already an absolute farce and a catastrophe for Britain - unless you're a retired, ageing white southern English voter, I've no idea what kind of lunatics would keep the Tories in power - aren't you already poor enough after their rule?! - and continue backing the party that provided such inspirational leaders as BoJo and Liz Truss. Frankly, I'd vote for the cabbage rather than the Tory party, at this stage - at least a cabbage is useful.

[@Paul-pf6rm]

So much garbage in one post...you must be so proud. 🤣😂🤫

[@edeledeledel5490]

I think of Jacob Rees-Mogg as Mogbad the Bad, the cousin of the evil antagonist in Noggin the Nog.

[@cyeamaculture8486]

​@@Paul-pf6rmso.. what's wrong with what he said?

[@davidblight7502]

Brilliantly analysed and written.

[@annphillips1086]

Too late to wager, they're already doing the "That foreigner is taking your biscuit" thing. I love your characterisation of the roamers in the wilderness. I hope the tigers don't get indigestion. Btw I'm a semi-retired, ageing white southern English voter who is staunchly Remain (I suppose it's too late now, so colour me Rejoin) and haven't voted Conservative since falling for the bait and switch in 1992, which I've learned to regret. It's been Labour ever since (though with some trepidation during the Corbyn era). Lib Dems or Greens would make acceptable alternatives for a tactical vote. I'd rather lose the pencil somewhere uncomfortable than ever use it to vote for Reform.

[@johndean1634]

They will need a Miracle to get 30 seats. And thats 30 more than they should get.

[@hypsyzygy506]

I'm sure they've got the pieces of silver.

[@simonn4077]

For years they've been telling us 'its what the people want' and it plainly wasn't!

[@neilparry14]

Who the f*ck is voting for them to give them 72 seats?

[@johnking5174]

OAPs who still think the tories are on their side, because they are posh. Millionaires who want to not lose their great tax help they have had from the tories.

[@neilfenton4066]

Sadly there are silly people everywhere you go

[@chatham43]

@neil Because they can spot the alternative.

[@thegreatest3651]

id say some of the torie MPS with a special relationship with their constitutents but it wont be that many, id be surprised if they get over 50 seats

[@Gerrygambone]

72 seats BLAH that's 72 seats too many for the Tories. Im hoping the Liberals become the official opposition.

[@jjefferyworboys8138]

I'm hoping that Labour get less than half of all seats, so the rest can prevent the spread of socialism.

[@johnnelson7735]

That would be an even worse thing if it happened. Fortunately for common sense it wont.

[@luke7708]

​​@@jjefferyworboys8138 turn off GB News and stop listening to Richard Tice. If you think Starmer's Labour is socialist then it shows a blatant lack of education.

[@jon989uvxx3]

​@@jjefferyworboys8138for common sense, it wont spread the socialism and stop watching the tories propanganda

[@everettbr]

@@jjefferyworboys8138 they're neoliberals, buddy. center-right at best

[@BoredomIncarnate1]

They conspired against themselves by being a bunch of incompetent self-serving hacks.

[@daveroberts1]

The vote on July 4 will wipe the grin off Rish!'s face....forever!!!

[@daydays12]

he and his green card will be off to California

[@jjefferyworboys8138]

Why, he and his wife will go to California and make even more money and not pay a penny in UK tax.

[@daveroberts1]

July 4th is the final day of his daughter's school term....funny that!

[@chatham43]

@dave Doubt it.

[@sarahbarrett1247]

It's still 70 seats too many. They deserve just about 2. I'm assuming that there is two decent Tory MP's that care about their constituents but maybe I'm wrong about that.

[@steveomokhoje8029]

I can only think of of Rory Stewart. Someone please help with the other one

[@CRINOTH]

@@steveomokhoje8029 He stood down in 2019... so you still need to find two... ;)

[@sarahbarrett1247]

@@steveomokhoje8029 don’t be fooled by Stewart. He’ll have your granny lying on a trolley for 12 hours in A&E just like the rest of them. He may hold his principles deeply and sincerely but they are deeply held beliefs in allowing his pals to avoid taxes and funnel them into their Swiss bank accounts .

[@a4482921]

The most shocking thing about this analysis is that there are still enough Tory voters for them to win any seats at all. Who are these people?

[@gillianpope9039]

People who have been gaslit by the tory media for many many years. I know people who read the fail who are totally unaware of so many of the corrupt things this government have done! But know everything about Angela Rayner and swear she is corrupt!!!

[@sirsurnamethefirstofhisnam7986]

There’s a lot of retired wealthy old people who’ve gotten richer the last 14 years and see nothing wrong

[@wendyknight9574]

I’m in Sunak’s constituency. Even Manor House Farm have Labour posters out in my village.

[@qsfrankfurt9513]

What's significant about Manor House Farm? What does it represent?

[@hazyhayley7488]

Please vote him out! It will be so funny!!

[@evolassunglasses4673]

Torys deserve ZERO SEATS

[@JamesHilston-kh4lb]

No. 1 seat, so the ONLY Tory has to sit by himself, a visual reminder of their humiliation

[@petyrkowalski9887]

The tories deserve long prison sentences

[@smalrast]

Jesus, as many as that.

[@sol2746]

I've nothing in common with Tories,People in my local are working class Tory voters because it makes them feel posh🙄

[@BobC250]

That's the issue - "cultural Tory voters", who see it as part of their identity (totally detached from policy or even political views).

[@dereks1264]

The Tories have a long way to go to match their Canadian Conservative cousins in 1993 who ended up with just two seats, (out of a possible 294) down from 158 when parliament was dissolved and they were the government. C'MON TORIES, YOU CAN DO THIS! YOU NEED TO REACH 4 TO 5 SEATS TO EQUAL THE CANADIAN CONS! GET ON THE STICK!

[@jasonbutcher4833]

I am disappointed as it was 66 seats a few weels ago Anything under 50 would be better

[@monkeyboy8424]

The game is up for Ritchie Sunak - was he pretending all along....

[@thereverendsam413]

They've all been pretending all along. They are in the business of transferring money from normal people, the economy, the treasury and wherever else they can, into the hands of the very rich.

[@joeduffy3309]

I don't think Sunak is solely to blame for the collapse of the party, Johnson, Truss, Mp's like Rees-Mogg, Gove, Cleverly etc. The complete failure of brexit, austerity the list is endless.

[@sarahbarrett1247]

I'm sure he was pretending all along. His education would have taught him that he would succeed at everything he tried. Pity it didn't teach him humility, empathy or service to others.

[@chatham43]

@monkey Dunno...but you usually have all the answers.

[@marystringfellow8185]

Rishi Sunak PM Our first prime minister who is a man of colour. At least his halved our inflation now down to 2.3% May 2024. Childcare package for 2 year old in 2024. Thank you

[@blehoo1]

Labour had better turn the country right around by the time of the next election or else they could well be next to get binned and we could end up with Nigel Farage and Suella Braverman running the show....

[@paulchadwick9419]

That will be impossible because nobody knowns how big the mess is but there will be progress

[@johnrussell3961]

It’s quicker to destroy than rebuild . And the Tories have been destroying things for 14 years.

[@suzy7726]

Labour have no intention to turn the country around

[@notwhatitwasbefore]

They are politicians not miracle workers. Its always been easier to destroy than to create, so to undo 14 years of widespread mass destruction in less than 5 years is not realistic

[@Greyrabbit22]

@@paulchadwick9419 People said much the same about the Americans and Trump.

[@michaelmccarthy9411]

What does this correspondent mean when he says that the Tories are the natural party of government? That's a frightening notion!

[@marksc111]

That phrase was obviously invented by the conservative party. It's vomitous.

[@chrisoneill3999]

The beauty of democracy is that the voters have nobody to blame.

[@franktakacs329]

72 seats is 71 too many

[@chatham43]

@frank Your arithmetic is very impressive.😊

[@rayofhope1114]

The drop in the labour % is seen in a gain in the Liberal %. This is the impact starting to show for the tactical voting. I live in a strong Tory area where the Lib Dems are 2nd. Most of the Labour vote will possibly convert to Lib Dem to oust the Tory candidate and this will show up in the polling voting intent.

[@joejohnson1969]

Totally agree 👍

[@damianleah6744]

I can’t see it myself, but 100 seat+ majority would be nice. One can dream and sometimes dreams come true. Inflation, high taxes,huge increases in mortgage and rental costs and then Liz Truss on top of everything else, what do they expect would be the public response? 😂 people rumble along with the status quo, until it effects them personally, especially financially.

[@user-hl1ex6py8l]

Yeah I think at the end of the day a lot of disgruntled Tories will switch back from Reform. I think the Tories will end up with between 120 and 160 seats. Still one of their worst defeats, one that its going to take two or even three terms to recover from but not political extinction. That is fine for me I am nearly 60 so by the time the return to power I will be either too old to care or six foot under.

[@infostudy101]

Projections are around 200 seat majority for Labour right now (June 15). Let’s see how close they are to that.

[@sadjaxx]

Brexit. Brexit. Brexit. is the Curse.

[@danielfitzgerald3964]

The problem Labour face, once getting a huge majority, is that the economy is so badly damaged there isn't going to be any significant improvement before the next election roles around.

[@JasonAtlas]

Five years is a long time. They might manage something.

[@LiveDonkeyDeadLion]

I’m refusing to get my hopes up until I hear the exit poll from John Curtice. Until then, we need to fight for every vote, to make this prediction a reality

[@grahamturner1290]

That's 72 too many.

[@TheScoppie]

With tactical voting, the Lib Dem’s could become the Opposition. They are up by at least a couple of points in most polls this week, and Ed Davey is getting more recognition thanks to his daft antics. Many people criticise him for doing the same thing Boris did in playing the clown, but Davey’s strategy only extends to grabbing attention before moving on to actual policies and solid debate, whereas Boris was all about the attention grabbing and nothing else - he was eternally winging it and looking for the next soundbite.

[@KiNgLeOnIDaStHeGrEaT]

Reform are Labours main challenger now

[@TheScoppie]

@@KiNgLeOnIDaStHeGrEaT yeah, that’s not how it works sweetheart.

[@indricotherium4802]

For the Tories to be whittled down to third party ststus - wouldn't that be nice - I estimate Labour will need to win about 430 seats in England and Wales. This would be about 70 more than Blair gained in his halcyon year 1997.

[@leehighland5435]

Full on socialism and then communism is what labour voters want, but starmer could go down the corporatist globalist route to get there, either way labour can now destroy capitalism in this country, their life long ambition.

[@richardw2646]

Blair won 418 in 1997

[@indricotherium4802]

@@richardw2646 : not in England & Wales. That's my point.

[@aperson22222]

There have been so many videos announcing a dire new poll for the Tories that I’m starting to wonder if they’re even newsworthy anymore.

[@Thegreyreaperuk]

I’d like to know how the people in these 72 seats can justify voting Tory after the last 14 years,

[@David_Bower]

Well, one of them could well be Clacton, where Farage is the main challenger, the voters in the other 71 constituencies have no excuse.

[@chatham43]

Because they see the alternative. More of the same!

[@Jourifouler]

72 is too many

[@mylesmacleod4306]

When I was a lad, media would tell you the margin of error of a poll, as a matter of course. The fact that they no longer do so is evidence of a decline in the quality of journalism.

[@hazyhayley7488]

I think it’s why every outlets hates on starmer. They realise the danger he poses to the current media landscape. He went after them before (phone tapping scandal) he’s coming for them again. They don’t want him in power.

[@gameking50P]

I've not seen numbers like that since the Permian extinction! 😬😬😬

[@annphillips1086]

Appropriate for a bunch of dinosaurs.

[@equusasinus]

This is worrying. Have the supermarkets stockpiled enough popcorn for all the 'Portillo moments' on election night?

[@tgraham1347]

'Natural party of government' 😬 embarrassing

[@marksc111]

Can't stand that phrase. It's so cap-doffing.

[@jazzx251]

Natural Party of Arrogance and Gluttony They have earned complete dismissal from history

[@johnrandall125]

The only net zero I approve of is Zero tory seats.

[@obtuse1291]

I will be annoyed if they get as many seats as that! 😂

[@gregf9160]

that's 72 too many

[@GregOrCreg]

"Everything's conspiring against them" Why do we always use such mitigating language for the Tories? They've conspired against themselves. No-one else has done this to them, especially since they have most of the UK media on their side.

[@hazyhayley7488]

Because there’s money in keeping the tories afloat. Starmer is going to go after the media companies (he has a record of it). Even the left wing outlets don’t want his reforms.

[@tednindo6761]

May have to do an all nighter to take it all in 😂😂😂😂😂

[@massdebation]

I was hoping to see the Six Counties rejoin Ireland during a Conservative government, just so the Tories would be blamed for breaking up Britain

[@sisulart]

I was sceptical of the polls but they’ve been so consistent for so long, and the Tories are facing an unprecedented 3 way squeeze from Labour, Lib Dem’s and Reform. Maybe something seismic could happen on July 4th.

[@mattspintosmith5285]

One seat less than the Lib Dems - so no longer the official opposition - would be poetic justice.

[@brendanroberts4866]

It doesnt consider tactical voting

[@martinobrien7110]

The End Is Nigh .

[@jeffsimon9594]

Well spotted, genius

[@Paul-pf6rm]

It is if Labour get in! 😮

[@chatham43]

@martin Scotland can still qualify. What do you mean?😊

[@floatingpeaks4584]

Vote reform if you want something worse then the Tories.

[@russellmarriott9396]

And get 2 seats

[@DoneDunning]

Privatisation has run loyalty aground. Obviously.

[@andya6461]

I think the most shocking thing about all of this is that they must have known about this for a long time and have not made drastic changes 😮.

[@user-dg6bl2ry2y]

it'll only be a wipe out if people actually go and vote. Lets not get too excited about this poll. What matters is if you actually go and vote on the day

[@benharis1956]

Liberal Democrats may take most of Conservatives Blue wall seats, These were Liberal 108 years ago. Big change ahead??

[@quintuscrinis8032]

The Liberals should be the main gainers out of the blue wall collapse, although the Liberals were more replaced by Labour than Tory MPS in the 1920s.

[@moggy21]

The less the Tories get the better they’ve ruined everything . Vote reform…

[@bkray26]

Love him or hate him, Boris won the election for the Tories. The Tories then kicked him out and Liz won the internal Tory leadership bid. Not ratified by the Public, but by the Conservative Membership. Then she was kicked out and the Sly One, Rishi Sunak went in, with no competition. The Sly One, then laughed at the Public when they wanted the PM to be ratified, which the Sly One laughed at. The Sly One isn't laughing now.

[@reggiejames7812]

First past the post is in many ways a weird system. In 2017 Corbyn got over 40% of the vote and only 260 seats. Starmer will get less than that and could potentially get 400 seats!

[@MrBizteck]

Because Corybn was a protester Starmer is a winner. Im nota fan but in politics you cant do anything if you don't WIN first.

[@reggiejames7812]

@@MrBizteck A winner! He will get less popular vote percentage than Corbyn in 2017 and He's going to get battered in five years time. No one is voting for him because they like him, people are voting for anyone to get the Tories out. Hardly anyone out there likes or respects Starmer/Starlin

[@hazyhayley7488]

Be mad at the game not the players trying to stop the fascists.

[@EPIPHANY544]

Get Rattatoile Sunak out of 10 !!

[@user-zr2me9dm9y]

Out.out.out.out.

[@pipins3616]

It’s like when you go to the restaurant, you look through the menu determined to have something different. Then the waiter turns up to take your order and you order the same Chicken Tikka😊

[@loneprimate]

72 seats, big deal. In 1993, the Tories in Canada went from a majority government to literally _TWO_ seats in the Commons. Twelve years later, they were back in government.

[@obsolete9121]

TORIES OUT

[@paulwright9106]

72 seats is too high !! They should also be lower than opposition .

[@alancoates4531]

Vote Labour get the Tories out.

[@bavariancarenthusiast2722]

Ahem to my British friends - what is the point about Farage coming back with a new "Reform" party and getting more votes as the Tories? I don't understand the rational from the people.

[@badbooks476]

It was 1 poll & probably made up. Reform is undemocratic, Farage been unelected leader as no members & Tory enablers in last election / Brexit. Trump’s election was Farage’s priority afew weeks ago, but he U turned

[@IMBlakeley]

Fatrage and his new blackshirts will split the far right vote, the not the tory vote has always been higher but there's been a plethora of choice from centre right of Labour, Liberals to leftish parties like the Greens etc. Now the far right are getting their vote split.

[@paulgibbon5991]

Farage embodies the saying that for every complex problem, there's a solution that's simple, obvious, and wrong.

[@paultaylor7082]

The closer we get to July 5, the more it begins to resemble 1 May 1997. That resulted in a Labour majority of 179, only around 160 Tory MPs (under half the previous number), and over 60 Lib Dem MPs. Only it could well turn out to be worse for the Tories. Nice interview with the two participants, clear reasoning, sensible questions asked and logical answers given, by understandable explanations a layman can appreciate.

[@StopTheRot]

45 years of potentially being polled, and I’ve never been polled. 🤔

[@alanconway94]

72 is, certainly, too many. If it were actually to happen (unlikely but possible), it would mean they had fewer seats than their 2019 majority.

[@MinutemenMInutemen-zi7sy]

Votes have to be cast. Predictions are just that. (As per @brianferguson 7840, I worry that fellow citizens won't use their vote to show their deep dissatisfaction, and, in many cases, utter disgust. When I did poll clerking, I saw first-hand that the older generations feel duty-bound to vote but younger voters are thin on the ground - in some European countries, voting is mandatory.)... Remember to take ID !

[@richardruff8712]

Please remember, everyone... If you don't bother to vote, then, in effect, you are giving approval to the sitting government.... Please vote for anyone but Tory....

[@dheerahews8178]

Tory was lucky to survive this long, must have gone long ago, 72 is too much I believe

[@englishstark6100]

Dame Kiers wetting himself that Tories get Zero seats no opposition it becomes a bun fight between the Blairites and the Corbynistas.

[@Simplemankind]

Isn’t it ironic tories kept going on about immigration and immigrants kids and toddler prime minister has wiped them out

[@GlynRyles]

This is what happens when you ignore what the electorate keep telling you is important to them, eventually they give up on you, stop voting for you, and vote for change and reform

[@hazyhayley7488]

I wish the electorate would stop voting for the people who actively want England to fail. Could you stop hitting yourself?

[@GlynRyles]

@@hazyhayley7488 unfortunately many people truly believe the politicians are doing what's best for England. They don't realise the politicians have very different goals that prioritises their agenda above all else, even when that isn't in the interests of the country or the interests of the people.

[@hazyhayley7488]

@@GlynRyles I’d like to believe that people have been hurt enough to know better.

[@user-js3rg9sj1k]

SUNK BY SUNAK.😂

[@leebailey229]

My mate Wilson says "Any pledge by a politician to get elected, MUST be met with a severe prison term if they dont deliver them"

[@MrGreen1314]

So, who does he want to run our government? Presumably a dictator, like farridge

[@problemsolverthinktank859]

I need them to be left with less than 10 seats

[@raymondyu412]

This election is about the Anglos gaining their independence from India!

[@lesleyrobertson5465]

Still too many. Scottish Independence now🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿

[@silondon9010]

The SNP party hates oil 🛢 unbelievable 😂😂😂😂

[@jensboettiger5286]

That's way too many seats