البرامج والسياسات الاقتصادية

د / سامح العطوى - أنواع البرامج والسياسات الاقتصادية ببساطة - مقدمة للفهم حتى يمكننا تقييم البرامج يموضوعية

[@Mahmoud.Kamal87]

الله عليك والله..احنا محتاجين كتير زى حضرتك يظهروا فى التلفزيون يوعوا الناس بدل الاعلام الفاسد اللى بيخرب عقولهم أكتر

[@smk729]

Excellent effort in simplifying Egypt's current events, Trickle down economics or Increase governmental spending to revive the economy are two valid ways of stimulating the economy. The devil is in the implementation of these policies, just like what we experienced with TDE, if increase government spending is not implemented correctly we will have the same outcome.

[@Mo0oaYeD]

اتمني لك مزيد من سعة الافق والحياد .،. انت رائع بحق !

[@boosaad]

كلام الدكتور صحيح ، اسهل طريق دعم العرض وفوز في الانتخبات وخلص

[@89mo2men]

شكرا ,, دكتور ساامح ,, منتظرين الفيديو الجااى :)

[@samatawy]

أشكرك - هذا بالفعل ضرورى وسيحدث ولو لم نسعى اليه - فدعم الطلب ينتهى دائما بدعم العرض بشكل تلقائى - بالاضافة الى وجود مشروعات للانفاق الحكومى تقع تحت تسمية دعم العرض كانشاء الموانى والطرق والبحث العلمى. ضرورة الاختيار لا تعنى رفض احدى السياستين

[@KHALEDWAGDY]

ربنا يجازيك خير ... و بجد انت تشرف

[@moromono]

رائع رائع رائع رائع

[@samatawy]

True if the policies are not implemented properly. When a government offers to buy 10,000 cars from a local producer it encourages local investors to build a plant that delivers those cars. Once the factory is up and running, it produces those cars and covers its basic costs. After that it won't stop! Another known way is to subsidize the purchase of local appliances for newly weds. This encourages people to buy local goods and enjoy the discount. Again we produce more. Direction is vital :))

[@samatawy]

In a new video, I will show how to decide between them in a more scientific manner ISA. I hope its clear.

[@samatawy]

What I would suggest is (1) a massive deficit spending but with the government creating national projects that can earn revenue. Alongside we should tackle corruption, improve services, and reduce subsidies (2-4 years). (2) This will boost demand but will also provide intermediate term gains to cover these deficits so we can afford to reduce taxation (2-4 years). (3) Eventually we can invest any surplus into basic science and research, converting us into a knowledge economy (5-10 years).

[@AhmadSalahAbdElMotagaly]

Dr., If you please, fix the sound recording issue, because I've noticed that the recent videos that the sound recording quality is low and there is echo that needs to be canceled. it greatly lower my enjoyment listening to your great videos Thanks in advance for your corrective action

[@samatawy]

Very true. Proper implementation is crucial in either demand-side or supply-side policies. In the next video ISA, assuming proper implementation in any case, I will describe how I think we should choose based on well-known economics. Thanks for the input.

[@hamzam0h]

انا بجد حسيت ان الاقتصاد ده سهل ونفسي اتعلموه من استاذ زيك وشكرا علي الافاده

[@madamakaz]

Jazzakum Allahu Khayran for this video, I really love your videos and we need more of people like you to make these concepts more easily understood. Supporting demand does have its shortcoming and don't think it would work well in Egypt. These policies will likely end up increasing Egypt's already large deficits & debt and will lead us to a path like Greece & (eventually) the US. It is convenient for politicians to promise more expenditures but this is not sustainable (More comments below).

[@samatawy]

Consumption itself is not a bad thing as long as we produce what we consume. Importing is not bad either, unless we fail to export goods of equivalent or higher value. The most important thing in my opinion is to have reasonable expectations. Thanks for the question :)

[@NIMO239]

تمام انا مقتنع بوجهة نظرك جدا...انا اقصد مبدأ الاستنتاج

[@EhssanHD]

د سامح انت كلامك بصراحة رائع وجميل بس فيه اقتراح انت حضرتك لما بتقول الاقتصاد "بلغة الشعب" الناس بتحب تشوف الفيديو وتفهمه وتمخمخه عشان تخش في عالم الاقتصاد والسياسة يعني لو حضرتك تكلمنا عن مواضيع مثيرة زي مثلاً مصر واليابان ، ان اليابان احسن في الاقتصاد رغم ان ظروف مصر الموجودة والموارد المفروض تخلي مصر الأحسن فايه السبب الاقتصادي البحت ؟ وبرضو موضوع البطالة ووالوظايف وكمان متوسط دخل الفرد ودخل مصر الاجمالي والميزانية وغيره اتمنى حضرتك تدينا مواضيع كتيرة وتفيدنا بخبرتك

[@MajdJoubi]

مشكور عالإيضاح

[@mromarlutfialnatour1]

This is the first time I'm gonna comment on your videos though I have been watching your videos since you started upload them . Ii wanna show my appreciation to your efforts to help people for better understanding of the economy and the financial issues cos you talk about the very important issue in any country . I really like the way explain how things work around us . And all I ask is just to keep up like this . May Allah reward you my brother

[@samatawy]

As you brilliantly noted, developed countries adopt supply-side policies in areas where private investments cannot afford to take the risk or engage in long-term projects. The state steps in to cover (or reduce) the inherent risks and promote growth in that sector. Other areas (already profitable) need no state encouragement as the demand is already driving supply. If you think of it, demand-side policies already improve supply and vice versa. Whatever you choose, its only a matter of time.

[@TheESMAT07]

دكتور ،، تقييمك لبرنامج أبو إسماعيل مع الحب ^_^

[@samatawy]

Thank you for your most valuable input. You are right in every sense. My point is that, in a heavily corrupt environment, and with such public unrest, long term plans (supply side policies) will be unwelcome. The poor cannot be expected to wait another 20 years to have breakfast. Demand side Keynesian policies are a short term but necessary solution. I agree that, once we have satisfied basic needs and created a proper domestic market, we should focus on exports and private investment. (more..)

[@elibryce7297]

I know im asking randomly but does anyone know a tool to log back into an Instagram account? I was stupid lost my account password. I would appreciate any tricks you can give me!

[@NIMO239]

مع احترامى ليك وشكري لمجهودك الجميل بس انا عندي ملاحظة صغيرة..مش معنى ان سياسات دعم العرض فشلت في عصر مبارك انها غير صالحة ، قد تكون المشكلة في التطبيق والتهليب

[@samatawy]

Government inefficiency is well noted. However, a certain scale of projects cannot be tackled by private investment. In a future video I hope to discuss what I mean by a "national project" and the reasoning behind it (comparative and absolute advantage, etc). Investing with the private sector is always an option but somebody has to lead and make the tough calls. However, I do understand your point.

[@madamakaz]

This will reduce your G, and cause short term pains but these people will eventually be gainfully producing in the private sector and not just aim to be gov't employees shuffling papers. Canada did this in the 90s under Chretien and it has paid well in the long run. This is unpopular so I doubt anyone will do it, but this is the only long-term solution in my humble opinion.Less government & more free markets is the solution not borrowing endlessly to boost your G as it the case now...

[@madamakaz]

D=C+G+I+(E-I) so some questions. Egypt is running large deficits (8% of gdp) and have massive debts (80% of gdp) and have high interest rates (9.25%), if you increase your G this debt also increases (like in the US now) and so do your debt repayments/ gdp. Taxes in Egypt are relatively low compared to most countries (I'm in Canada, taxes of 40% on individuals are normal!). You could decrease taxes further, but your G would decrease (unless you increase your debt which is unsustainable eg Greece)

[@samatawy]

You are right. I changed the camera twice. I tried recording sound on a separate device and then syncing that audio with the video which I will try again. Its hard for me as I can't afford professional help. However I promise the next video will be better ISA.

[@samatawy]

Thanks for that. Supply side policies have their merits. I just need to emphasize that they are long-term plans with delayed benefits to the average people. Following a revolution, and with a very low household consumption capacity, ignoring demand-side policies will lead to unrest, discontent, and poverty. Nobody is rejecting or denying the importance of supply-side policies, I just don;t think this is the time to focus on it.

[@madamakaz]

I think this would work well if this was the US/Europe where the gov't has access to cheap money, in Egypt how many large projects can you do with returns that are economic with 9% interest rates to counteract the increase in your debt? Governments (whether corrupt or not) are inefficient compared to the private sector (eg in the US, they built bridges to nowhere during the recession). Large for- profit projects should be left to investors and if it's economically feasible, it will be done :)

[@Hassaanness]

أظن برنامج حمدين صباحي برضه بيتبع ساسات دعم الطلب ياريت الدكتور يقراه و يقولنا رأيه

[@JimFattoo7]

Trickle Down economics: the principle that the poor, who must subsist on table scraps dropped by the rich, can be served by giving the rich bigger meals.

[@ashrafmahadeen2721]

جزاك الله خير

[@Samelshikh]

Thanks for the informative video, two questions. 1)is there any experience or literature about mixing certain aspects of each system (supporting demand or supporting production Second: beside our bad experience with the support of production, are there other international experiences that you may quote. I have been living in germany for 7 years now, and I can say that the system here clearly is support of demand. I know they support production only in certain fields, such as renewable energy.

[@MajdJoubi]

طيب الشيخ حازم سلاح أبو إسماعيل بينفذ أيهم ؟

[@EgypTPHONIX]

حازم صلاخ ذكر فى برنامجه أنه ضد الضرائب التصاعدية فالأغلب أنه مع زيادة العرض

[@mounirsamir9376]

حسنوا الصوت من فضلكم. ولكم الدعاء بالتوفيق.

[@ahmed11117777]

Great explaination ... Thank you :)

[@4mohamedsafy]

Dr. Sameh I have a question: if we subscribe to the idea of supporting the supply side and make sure the money is going to the right place, wouldn't that be better? I think so because take the US for example, minimum wage caused a decrease in manufacturing (hence exports), as opposed to China who maintains high inflation (hence lower wage costs and higher exports). Thanks for time by the way, I really enjoy your videos.

[@EngHussien]

hazmooooooooooooooooon

[@samatawy]

Dear viewers, most sources will write the above equation as AD=C+G+I+(X-M) Where C=Consumption, G=Government expenditure, I=investment, X=eXports, and M=iMports. If I have caused any confusion I apologize.

[@MrHadynassef]

this if egypt produce cars or anything we have to make one or more product is global needed frist and produced it with high quality..... so we must subsides some compatitve product or produce one this mean we have to subsides supply AS am i right ? DR sameh thx for the answer and ur time again

[@MrHadynassef]

Dr samatawy thanks for this video and ur time i have one question, subsidization the AD wont make us always a consumption country and also a importing one ?

[@mazagngi2010]

1st

[@resaraha863]

دكتور المعادلة في فيدو يختلف عن المعادلة الاصلية : (Y = C(Y - T) + I(r) + G + NX(e هنا معناها دخل او out put

[@EgypTPHONIX]

طب و برنامج حمدين صباحى دا المفروض ناصرى يعنى اشتراكى ؟

[@EgypTPHONIX]

سؤال بسيط حضرتك لم تتكلم عن الضرائب التصاعدية فى الشرح أنا شخصيا أجد أنه من المنطقى أن ترتبط الضرائب التصاعدية بسياسات دعم الطلب لأن الإنفاض الحكومى يحتاج الضرائب المرتفعة على رجال الأعمال و مع تخفيض الضريبة أو إلغائها على الفقراء يزداد الطلب و هذا ما لم أفهمه لأنك قلت أن الضرائب مخفضة فى كلا النظامين شكرا

[@resaraha863]

مرحبا دكتور... عفو عن تاخير مشاهدة فيدواتك، لكن انا استفادة كثير ، عندي سوال بسيط.. انت تقول زيادة انفاق لدى حكومة، ولكن الحكومة كيف يزداد انفاق اذا كان ما عندها مصادر مالية؟ هل الاقتراض الدولي أو زيادة ضرائب ، او بيع ممتلكات دولة يمكن ان يدخل في زيادة قوة تمويل الحكومى؟ شكرا

[@rahmyafify]

الحقيقة الصين والنمور الاسيوية تفعل الافاعيل وتقتل الاقتصاد العربي والاوروبي والامريكي أيضا فهي تمارس سياسة الاغراق للأسواق منذ فترة ، وقد أتى وقت الحصاد لها وهي تتحكم بالأسعار وقد زاد الاستثمار العالمى بها ، وأصبحت مركز الانتاج في العالم أما نحن فعدنا إلى الصرف والنحو

[@gkababa]

يجد يادكتور انت مكانك مش هنا ...انت مكانك فى وزارة الاستثمار او المالية

[@madamakaz]

If you promote investment and export by reducing taxes, your I & E increase and G decreases and you're hoping for the trickle effect to occur soon which takes time. I respect your opinion, but I personally believe what's needed is a massive reorganization of government expenditures where there is too much waste and burdensome public subsidies (e.g. why is gasoline & bread subsidized for poor & rich?).

[@omarhamadelneil3134]

استاذ عندي لك سؤال، انا شاب من السودان، التضخم عندنا بلغ 250% سعر صرف الجنيه مقابل الدولار الامريكي 240 في السوق الاسود وفي البنك المركي 50 دولار ومش متوفر...البطالة فوق 70%، هل استطيع ان ابدا عمل تجاري صغير واحقق منو ارباح مالية؟ وكيف النجاح في ظل ظروف مثل هذه؟ ارجوك اريح حل، انا خلاص، 90% دخلت علي إكتئاب!