How to Predict Stock Market Crashes using Mathematical Models

[@bikramadityaghosh1450]

Amazing explanation my friend. I do some research in this domain. I've found that stock markets from developing nations, commodities and stocks during stressful time obeys LPPL like anything. Herding being at it's peak ensures that.

[@klam77]

Has HFT in developed markets changed the dynamics you see?

[@fzycold8652]

Sayısal analiz ve matematiksel modellemeye ilgili bir mühendis adayı olarak, çok ilginç bir anlatı, teşekkürler! :)

[@kebman]

A Norwegian quant team did some financial modelling for fun. Then the news got wind of them earning a 100 million on the stock market. They said "Oh we're just trying a few things out" and the media magically left them alone. Also there's this math professor in London. Yeah he just bought an apartment for £10,000,000.

[@leoisikdogan]

Do you have any more information about this team and the math professor? I'm curious to know.

[@andreizaika3775]

Best channel that I have discovered in years. Keep it up!

[@iKavt]

This was awesome. Thanks for explaining a topic that is otherwise way over my head :)

[@Aviszzs]

awsome! Thank you so much! Would be nice if you do more videos of this topic

[@mustafaiskdogan4393]

Çok güzel bir çalışma olmuş. Tebrikler sevgili oğlum..👍👏

[@WhyGoThere]

Great information, especially the end with your own nn approach. Keep it up!

[@arnoldmusk2172]

Your so smart Leo!

[@applepie7282]

usta bir türkün başka bir türkün ingilizcesinden türk olup olmadığını anlaması max 5 saniye sürüyor bu mucizevi bir şey :) gayet güzel konuşuyorsunuz yanlış anlaşılmasın video için teşekkürler

[@nd8166]

Nice intro to the topic. Besides my lamenting the over constrained approach, I would assume the parameters are sector sensitive, thus train for each sector separately.

[@AIStockPrediction]

Thanks for introducing mathematical approach. I'd like to read all of reference your provided

[@retrofutur1st]

awesome video! I am stuck in finding the value for the critical time variable, to compute Tc-T cheers

[@joshuanielsen4666]

Nice video, you do a great job explaining the model! You have some original ideas with regards to using the estimated params in a nn. No love for the BiT blog tho? :(

[@leoisikdogan]

Thanks! What's BiT?

[@joshuanielsen4666]

boulder investment tech - boulderinvestment.tech/blog/2018/log-periodic-power-law-lppl-model-for-bubble-detection boulderinvestment.tech/blog/2019/trading-strategy-using-indicators-derived-from-the-log-periodic-power-law-singularity-lppls-model

[@leoisikdogan]

Nice blog! I ran into your github repository earlier. I think I even recommended it somewhere in the comments.

[@nunoalexandre6408]

Love it!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[@rakhibalasani5595]

How to download the stock market data?

[@taranukhin]

Really interesting video. Thanks!

[@luckychan3631]

I use square of 9 to predict future dump or pump in crypto

[@klam77]

I think Sornette paper says P(t) = ..... and NOT Ln{P(t)} = ..... ?

[@hilbertshotel]

This is just excellent.

[@faizs9676]

The Rational Investor !

[@oguzhandilber7909]

Yeni kesfettim sizi . Cok begendim kanalinizi . Umarim daha iyi yerlere gelirsiniz

[@leoisikdogan]

Tesekkurler!

[@salonimandrekar2593]

wow..nice video !! thanku ...

[@user-ub3lb8qe5h]

Great video! Thanks for sharing, btw, is there any source code about this?

[@leoisikdogan]

Thanks! You can find open-source implementations of LPPL on github: github.com/search?q=lppl This one seems to be one of the most comprehensive ones: github.com/Boulder-Investment-Technologies/lppls

[@michealjohn7793]

Hi is this quantitative anaylsis

[@dkmk3424]

Great Video!, I learned a lot. I am going to start working on my research as well including a Neural Network model, Utility theory including the SMA. There is no way that you can predict the Stock Market just with math. The Stock Market is moved by emotions and it's pretty irrational like the 97% of people that invest in the Stock Market... lol... do you have Twitter?

[@user-sc4ne9zj2e]

I’ll keep it to myself ;)

[@toshb1384]

Great video

[@nunoalexandre6408]

Market are driven by Faith Only...

[@9986382371]

Awesome , Can you predict the next crash now with your formula

[@leoisikdogan]

The Financial Crisis Observatory estimates the odds that the US Stock market is currently in a bubble as ~30% (Indicator: early bubble warning - long time scale). You can find their daily predictions for different markets on their website: tasmania.ethz.ch/pubfco/fco.html P.S. I'm not affiliated with the Financial Crisis Observatory. As far as I know, they are a research lab at ETH Zurich.

[@9986382371]

@@leoisikdogan Can you help me read the report , I am not able to understand it .. Can I have your email to show my findings?

[@bobfisher5085]

@@leoisikdogan yes, and sornette is the mastermind, I attended a fev years ago a course led by him, was a little chaotic, but interesting

[@yataogong7175]

This is awesome video! Thanks Leo. Just wondering, if we run the model for calculating, what computational power needed ? If use one powerful PC ( such as 64G memory G with 32 core CPU, roughly, how long time needed? any idea?

[@heisenburg0167]

It's great bro and do you have a github account. I have some problems on coding this model.thx bro

[@Javkillers]

so many formulas yet simple elliot wave theory can predict what economist can't

[@Madhu-zn7fh]

Grt video💛

[@dananjayaidabagusgede5144]

i like it thx..

[@go00o87]

John von Neumann: With four parameters I can fit an elephant, and with five I can make him wiggle his trunk.

[@kascesar]

nice vid!

[@rsmagl693]

you're awesome

[@bwil5502]

Can we use this LPPL in python?

[@nd8166]

Of course...

[@shadowbanned4days]

would like to thank all the hero taxpayer's that are allowing me to stay home safe and still collect a double pay every week. I've never made 900 aweek before. I also have a lot of time to brush up on educational finances. I'm going to increase my purchases of money metals with this windfall. I hope the working people can keep working for us. Godspeed.

[@prithvinalawade8329]

I tried neural network on 4000 asset over 12 years data💀 legend says computer is still interpretation is still going on. 😂

[@Nereus00]

and here we are in 2021 trying to predict next financial crisis.. fucking modern life

[@PurpleColonel]

Super fucking fishy that I was just randomly subscribed to this random channel about things I've never been remotely interested in.

[@leoisikdogan]

I made a bike review video that got a lot of views 4 years ago. Maybe you subscribed back then.

[@PurpleColonel]

@@leoisikdogan Ah. I'm sorry that first thing came off really hostile, but I've been kind of paranoid over hacking going on for the last week or so

[@leoisikdogan]

No worries :)

[@MrHotanli]

Furkan, bist 100 bir iki kağıt söyle özelden, balık ver balık tutmayı öğretme

[@leoisikdogan]

😂😂

[@RyuuOujiXS]

"You could do _, but I haven't tried or tested it" Bullshit from a bullshit channel